The 2011 Import and Export Market for Semi-Bleached or Bleached Chemical Wood Pulp, Soda, or Sulfate Excluding That of Dissolving Grades in Germany by ICONGroup

VIEWS: 1 PAGES: 67

More Info
									   The 2011 Import and Export
   Market for Semi-Bleached or
    Bleached Chemical Wood
      Pulp, Soda, or Sulfate
   Excluding That of Dissolving
       Grades in Germany




                                          By
                          Professor Philip M. Parker, Ph. D.


www.icongrouponline.com                                        ©2011 ICON Group Ltd.
                      Chaired Professor of Management Science
                    INSEAD (Singapore & Fontainebleau, France)




www.icongrouponline.com                                      ©2011 ICON Group Ltd.
                                                                                                                  iii




                                             COPYRIGHT NOTICE
                                                00035927-4G


All of ICON Group Ltd. publications are copyrighted. Copying our publications in whole or in part, for whatever
reason, is a violation of copyrights laws and can lead to penalties and fines.

Should you want to copy tables, graphs or other materials from our publications, please contact us to request
permission. ICON Group Ltd. often grants permission for very limited reproduction of our publications for internal
use, press releases, and academic research. Such reproduction requires, however, confirmed permission from ICON
Group Ltd. Please read the full copyright notice, disclaimer, and user agreement provisions at the end of this
report.




                                          IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER



Neither ICON Group Ltd. nor its employees can be held accountable for the use and subsequent actions of the user of
the information provided in this publication. Great efforts have been made to ensure the accuracy of the data, but we
can not guarantee, given the volume of information, accuracy. Since the information given in this report is
forward-looking, the reader should read the disclaimer statement and user agreement provisions at the end of
this report.




www.icongrouponline.com                                                                   ©2011 ICON Group Ltd.
                                                                                              iv


                                About the Author
Dr. Philip M. Parker is the Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Innovation, Business and Society at
INSEAD where he has taught courses on multivariate statistics and global competitive strategy
since 1988. He has also taught courses at MIT, Stanford University, Harvard University, UCLA,
UCSD, and the Hong Kong University of Science and Technology. He is the author of six books
on the economic convergence of nations. These books introduce the notion of “physioeconomics”
which foresees a lack of global convergence in economic behaviors due to physiological and
physiographic forces. His latest book is "Physioeconomics: The Basis for Long-Run Economic
Growth" (MIT Press 2000). He has also published numerous articles in academic journals,
including The Rand Journal of Economics, Marketing Science, the Journal of International
Business Studies, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, International Journal of
Forecasting, the European Management Journal, the European Journal of Operational
Research, Journal of Marketing, International Journal of Research in Marketing, and Journal of
Marketing Research. He is also on the editorial boards of several academic journals.

Dr. Parker received his Ph.D. in Business Economics from the Wharton School of the University
of Pennsylvania and has Masters degrees in Finance and Banking (University of Aix-Marseille)
and Managerial Economics (Wharton). His undergraduate degrees are in mathematics, biology
and economics (minor in aeronautical engineering). He has consulted and/or taught courses in
Africa, the Middle East, Asia, Latin America, North America and Europe.



                                 About this Series
This series was created for international firms who rely on foreign export markets for a
substantial portion of their business or who might be threatened by foreign trade competition.
The estimates given in this report were created using a methodology developed by and under the
direct supervision of Professor Philip M. Parker, the Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Innovation,
Business and Society, at INSEAD. The methodology, relying on historical figures of economic
growth and trade flows, estimates the market shares of some 150 countries for over 500 industrial
or product categories. The figures should be seen as market estimates, as opposed to historical
records, as these are projected for the current year of trade.



                               Acknowledgements
Some of the methodologies and research approaches used in this report have benefited from the
R&D Committee at INSEAD, whose research support is gratefully acknowledged. Additional
editorial assistance from Tiffany LaRochelle, ICON Group International, Inc., is also
acknowledged.



www.icongrouponline.com                                                    ©2011 ICON Group Ltd.
                                                                                                    v


                           About ICON Group Ltd.
ICON Group Ltd.’s primary mission is to assist managers with their international information
needs. U.S.-owned and operated, ICON Group has field offices in Paris, Hong Kong and Lomé,
Togo (West Africa). Created in 1994, ICON Group has published hundreds of multi-client
databases, and global/regional market data, industry and country publications.

Global/Regional Management Studies. Summarizing over 190 countries, management studies
are generally organized into regional volumes and cover key management functions. The human
resource series covers minimum wages, child labor, unionization and collective bargaining. The
international law series covers media control and censorship, search and seizure, and trial justice
and punishment. The diversity management series covers a variety of environmental context
drivers that effect global operations. These include women’s rights, children’s rights,
discrimination/racism, and religious forces and risks. Global strategic planning studies cover
economic risk assessments, political risk assessments, foreign direct investment strategy,
intellectual property strategy, and export strategies. Financial management studies cover taxes
and tariffs. Global marketing studies focus on target segments (e.g. seniors, children, women) and
strategic marketing planning.

Country Studies. Often managers need an in-depth, yet broad and up-to-date understanding of a
country’s strategic market potential and situation before the first field trip or investment proposal.
There are over 190 country studies available. Each study consists of analysis, statistics, forecasts,
and information of relevance to managers. The studies are continually updated to insure that the
reports have the most relevant information available. In addition to raw information, the reports
provide relevant analyses which put a more general perspective on a country (seen in the context
of relative performance vis-à-vis benchmarks).

Industry Studies. Companies are racing to become more international, if not global in their
strategies. For over 2000 product/industry categories, these reports give the reader a concise
summary of latent market forecasts, pro-forma financials, import competition profiles, contacts,
key references and trends across 200 countries of the world. Some reports focus on a particular
product and region (up to four regions per product), while others focus on a product within a
particular country.

                               Orders & Customer Service
                               ICON Group International, Inc.
                               7404 Trade St.
                               San Diego, CA 92121
                               USA
                               Tel: (858) 635 9410
                               Fax: (858) 635 9414
                               E-mail: orders@icongroupbooks.com
                               www.icongrouponline.com

www.icongrouponline.com                                                       ©2011 ICON Group Ltd.
                                                 Contents        vi


Table of Contents
1     INTRODUCTION AND METHODOLOGY                           8
2     GERMANY AND THE WORLD MARKET                          10
    2.1    Imports in Germany in 2011                       10
    2.2    Exports from Germany in 2011                     11
3     IMPORTS IN GERMANY                                    12
    3.1      Africa                                         12
       3.1.1   Morocco                                      12
       3.1.2   South Africa                                 13
    3.2      Asia                                           14
       3.2.1   China                                        14
       3.2.2   Indonesia                                    15
       3.2.3   Thailand                                     16
    3.3      Europe                                         17
       3.3.1   Austria                                      17
       3.3.2   Belgium                                      18
       3.3.3   Bulgaria                                     19
       3.3.4   Czech Republic                               19
       3.3.5   Denmark                                      20
       3.3.6   Finland                                      21
       3.3.7   France                                       22
       3.3.8   Hungary                                      22
       3.3.9   Italy                                        23
       3.3.10 Norway                                        23
       3.3.11 Poland                                        24
       3.3.12 Portugal                                      25
       3.3.13 Romania                                       26
       3.3.14 Russia                                        27
       3.3.15 Slovakia                                      28
       3.3.16 Spain                                         29
       3.3.17 Sweden                                        30
       3.3.18 Switzerland                                   31
       3.3.19 the Netherlands                               32
       3.3.20 the United Kingdom                            33
    3.4      Latin America                                  33
       3.4.1   Argentina                                    33
       3.4.2   Brazil                                       34
       3.4.3   Chile                                        35
    3.5      North America & the Caribbean                  36
       3.5.1   Canada                                       36
       3.5.2   the Netherlands Antilles                     37
       3.5.3   the United States                            38
4     EXPORTS FROM GERMANY                                  39
    4.1      Asia                                           39
       4.1.1   China                                        39
       4.1.2   India                                        40
       4.1.3   Indonesia                                    41
       4.1.4   Malaysia                                     42
       4.1.5   South Korea                                  43


www.icongrouponline.com                      ©2011 ICON Group Ltd.
                                                            Contents        vii

       4.1.6    Taiwan                                                 44
       4.1.7    Thailand                                               45
    4.2      Europe                                                    46
       4.2.1    Austria                                                46
       4.2.2    Belgium                                                47
       4.2.3    Bosnia and Herzegovina                                 48
       4.2.4    Finland                                                48
       4.2.5    France                                                 49
       4.2.6    Greece                                                 50
       4.2.7    Hungary                                                51
       4.2.8    Italy                                                  52
       4.2.9    Norway                                                 53
       4.2.10 Poland                                                   53
       4.2.11 Romania                                                  54
       4.2.12 Russia                                                   54
       4.2.13 Slovakia                                                 55
       4.2.14 Slovenia                                                 56
       4.2.15 Spain                                                    57
       4.2.16 Sweden                                                   58
       4.2.17 Switzerland                                              59
       4.2.18 the Netherlands                                          60
       4.2.19 the United Kingdom                                       61
    4.3      the Middle East                                           62
       4.3.1    Iran                                                   62
       4.3.2    Israel                                                 63
       4.3.3    Pakistan                                               64
       4.3.4    Turkey                                                 65
5     DISCLAIMERS, WARRANTEES, AND USER AGREEMENT PROVISIONS           66
    5.1     Disclaimers & Safe Harbor                                  66
    5.2     ICON Group Ltd. User Agreement Provisions                  67




www.icongrouponline.com                                 ©2011 ICON Group Ltd.
Semi-Bleached or Bleached Chemical Wood Pulp, Soda, or Sulfate Excluding That of Dissolving Grades in
Germany                                                                                      8


1       INTRODUCTION AND METHODOLOGY
On the demand side, exporters and strategic planners focusing on semi-bleached or bleached
chemical wood pulp, soda, or sulfate excluding that of dissolving grades in Germany face a
number of questions. Which countries are supplying semi-bleached or bleached chemical wood
pulp, soda, or sulfate excluding that of dissolving grades to Germany? How important is
Germany compared to others in terms of the entire global and regional market? How much do
the imports of semi-bleached or bleached chemical wood pulp, soda, or sulfate excluding that of
dissolving grades vary from one country of origin to another in Germany? On the supply side,
Germany also exports semi-bleached or bleached chemical wood pulp, soda, or sulfate excluding
that of dissolving grades. Which countries receive the most exports from Germany? How are
these exports concentrated across buyers? What is the value of these exports and which countries
are the largest buyers?

This report was created for strategic planners, international marketing executives and
import/export managers who are concerned with the market for semi-bleached or bleached
chemical wood pulp, soda, or sulfate excluding that of dissolving grades in Germany. With the
globalization of this market, managers can no longer be contented with a local view. Nor can
managers be contented with out-of-date statistics which appear several years after the fact. I have
developed a methodology, based on macroeconomic and trade models, to estimate the market for
semi-bleached or bleached chemical wood pulp, soda, or sulfate excluding that of dissolving
grades for those countries serving Germany via exports, or supplying from Germany via imports.
It does so for the current year based on a variety of key historical indicators and econometric
models.

In what follows, Chapter 2 begins by summarizing where Germany fits into the world market for
imported and exported semi-bleached or bleached chemical wood pulp, soda, or sulfate excluding
that of dissolving grades. The total level of imports and exports on a worldwide basis, and those
for Germany in particular, is estimated using a model which aggregates across over 150 key
country markets and projects these to the current year. From there, each country represents a
percent of the world market. This market is served from a number of competitive countries of
origin. Based on both demand- and supply-side dynamics, market shares by country of origin are
then calculated across each country market destination. These shares lead to a volume of import
and export values for each country and are aggregated to regional and world totals. In doing so,
we are able to obtain maximum likelihood estimates of both the value of each market and the
share that Germany is likely to receive this year. From these figures, rankings are calculated to
allow managers to prioritize Germany compared to other major country markets. In this way, all
the figures provided in this report are forecasts that can be combined with internal information
sources for strategic planning purposes.

After the worldwide summary in Chapter 2 of both imports and exports of semi-bleached or
bleached chemical wood pulp, soda, or sulfate excluding that of dissolving grades, Chapter 3 goes
into detail on imports, but for each major country of origin serving Germany. A “major” market

www.icongrouponline.com                                                          ©2011 ICON Group Ltd.
Semi-Bleached or Bleached Chemical Wood Pulp, Soda, or Sulfate Excluding That of Dissolving Grades in
Germany                                                                                      9

is defined as a country where Germany represents a substantially large share of either imports or
exports. For each major country exporting to Germany, one can thus observe how important
Germany is to that exporting country compared to other countries of the world. Chapter 4 does
the same, but for exports of semi-bleached or bleached chemical wood pulp, soda, or sulfate
excluding that of dissolving grades originating from Germany, for each major country of
destination. In doing so, one can discover the share that Germany has in each major market; this
share value is often used as a measure of competitiveness for Germany. In all cases, the total
dollar volume and percentage share values by major trading partner are provided. Combined,
Chapters 3 and 4 present a the total picture for imports and exports of semi-bleached or bleached
chemical wood pulp, soda, or sulfate excluding that of dissolving grades to and from Germany to
and from all other major countries in the world. "Semi-Bleached or Bleached Chemical Wood
Pulp, Soda, or Sulfate Excluding That of Dissolving Grades" as a category is defined in this
report following the definition given by the United Nations Statistics Division Classification
Registry using the Standard International Trade Classification, Revision 3 (SITC, Rev. 3). The
SITC code that defined "semi-bleached or bleached chemical wood pulp, soda, or sulfate
excluding that of dissolving grades" is 2515 . For more information on this definition, please
refer to the following web site:
http://unstats.un.org/unsd/cr/registry/regcs.asp?Cl=14&Lg=1&Co=251 .

This report is updated on an annual basis. To ensure that you have the most current version,
please check the web site of ICON Group at www.icongrouponline.com.

Important Caveat. The figures should be seen as market estimates, as opposed to historical
records, as these are forecasted for the current year of trade. More importantly, in light of the fact
that unforeseeable factors might interrupt markets in achieving their reported levels, the figures
should be seen as estimates of potential. For example, "mad cow" disease, foot-and-mouth
disease, trade embargoes, military conflicts, acts of terrorism and other events will certainly
affect the actual trade flows recorded for a variety of industry or product categories. In such
cases, the difference between the numbers given in this report and the numbers actually observed
might be interpreted as the "net loss" or "net gain" due to these exogenous events affecting
regular trade flows that would have occurred had these events not have taken place.




www.icongrouponline.com                                                          ©2011 ICON Group Ltd.
Semi-Bleached or Bleached Chemical Wood Pulp, Soda, or Sulfate Excluding That of Dissolving Grades in
Germany                                                                                     10


2       GERMANY AND THE WORLD MARKET
2.1         IMPORTS IN GERMANY IN 2011
      Imported Semi-Bleached or Bleached Chemical Wood Pulp, Soda, or Sulfate
                 Excluding That of Dissolving Grades in Germany, 2011
                              (Structure of Foreign Import Competition)

Country of Origin             Rank         Value (000 US$)              % Share        Cumulative %
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Sweden                            1                  573,691                22.07                 22.07
Finland                           2                  513,871                19.77                 41.84
Brazil                            3                  361,399                13.90                 55.74
Canada                            4                  282,700                10.88                 66.62
Portugal                          5                  233,423                 8.98                 75.60
the United States    
								
To top