The 2011 Import and Export Market for Woven Fabrics of at least 85% Acrylic or Modacrylic Staple Fibers by Weight in the United States by ICONGroup

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									   The 2011 Import and Export
   Market for Woven Fabrics of
     at least 85% Acrylic or
   Modacrylic Staple Fibers by
   Weight in the United States

                                         By
                         Professor Philip M. Parker, Ph. D.
                      Chaired Professor of Management Science
                    INSEAD (Singapore & Fontainebleau, France)




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                                About the Author
Dr. Philip M. Parker is the Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Innovation, Business and Society at
INSEAD where he has taught courses on multivariate statistics and global competitive strategy
since 1988. He has also taught courses at MIT, Stanford University, Harvard University, UCLA,
UCSD, and the Hong Kong University of Science and Technology. He is the author of six books
on the economic convergence of nations. These books introduce the notion of “physioeconomics”
which foresees a lack of global convergence in economic behaviors due to physiological and
physiographic forces. His latest book is "Physioeconomics: The Basis for Long-Run Economic
Growth" (MIT Press 2000). He has also published numerous articles in academic journals,
including The Rand Journal of Economics, Marketing Science, the Journal of International
Business Studies, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, International Journal of
Forecasting, the European Management Journal, the European Journal of Operational
Research, Journal of Marketing, International Journal of Research in Marketing, and Journal of
Marketing Research. He is also on the editorial boards of several academic journals.

Dr. Parker received his Ph.D. in Business Economics from the Wharton School of the University
of Pennsylvania and has Masters degrees in Finance and Banking (University of Aix-Marseille)
and Managerial Economics (Wharton). His undergraduate degrees are in mathematics, biology
and economics (minor in aeronautical engineering). He has consulted and/or taught courses in
Africa, the Middle East, Asia, Latin America, North America and Europe.



                                 About this Series
This series was created for international firms who rely on foreign export markets for a
substantial portion of their business or who might be threatened by foreign trade competition.
The estimates given in this report were created using a methodology developed by and under the
direct supervision of Professor Philip M. Parker, the Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Innovation,
Business and Society, at INSEAD. The methodology, relying on historical figures of economic
growth and trade flows, estimates the market shares of some 150 countries for over 500 industrial
or product categories. The figures should be seen as market estimates, as opposed to historical
records, as these are projected for the current year of trade.



                               Acknowledgements
Some of the methodologies and research approaches used in this report have benefited from the
R&D Committee at INSEAD, whose research support is gratefully acknowledged. Additional
editorial assistance from Tiffany LaRochelle, ICON Group International, Inc., is also
acknowledged.



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                                                            Contents        v


Table of Contents
1     INTRODUCTION AND METHODOLOGY                                      7
2     THE UNITED STATES AND THE WORLD MARKET                            9
    2.1        Imports in the United States in 2011                     9
    2.2        Exports from the United States in 2011                  10
3     IMPORTS IN THE UNITED STATES                                     11
    3.1        Africa                                                  11
       3.1.1      South Africa                                         11
    3.2        Asia                                                    12
       3.2.1      China                                                12
       3.2.2      India                                                13
       3.2.3      South Korea                                          14
       3.2.4      Taiwan                                               15
    3.3        Europe                                                  16
       3.3.1      Austria                                              16
       3.3.2      Belgium                                              17
       3.3.3      France                                               18
       3.3.4      Germany                                              19
       3.3.5      Italy                                                20
       3.3.6      Spain                                                21
       3.3.7      Switzerland                                          22
    3.4        Latin America                                           22
       3.4.1      Argentina                                            22
       3.4.2      Mexico                                               22
    3.5        the Middle East                                         23
       3.5.1      Turkey                                               23
4     EXPORTS FROM THE UNITED STATES                                   24
    4.1      Africa                                                    24
       4.1.1   South Africa                                            24
    4.2      Asia                                                      25
       4.2.1   China                                                   25
       4.2.2   Hong Kong                                               26
       4.2.3   India                                                   26
       4.2.4   Indonesia                                               27
       4.2.5   Japan                                                   27
       4.2.6   Malaysia                                                28
       4.2.7   Philippines                                             28
       4.2.8   Singapore                                               29
       4.2.9   South Korea                                             29
       4.2.10 Taiwan                                                   30
       4.2.11 Thailand                                                 30
    4.3      Europe                                                    31
       4.3.1   Belgium                                                 31
       4.3.2   France                                                  32
       4.3.3   Germany                                                 33
       4.3.4   Italy                                                   34
       4.3.5   Lithuania                                               34
       4.3.6   Spain                                                   35
       4.3.7   the United Kingdom                                      35


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                                                               Contents        vi

    4.4        Latin America                                              36
       4.4.1      Argentina                                               36
       4.4.2      Brazil                                                  36
       4.4.3      Colombia                                                37
       4.4.4      Costa Rica                                              37
       4.4.5      Guatemala                                               37
       4.4.6      Mexico                                                  38
       4.4.7      Peru                                                    38
    4.5        North America & the Caribbean                              39
       4.5.1      Canada                                                  39
    4.6        Oceana                                                     40
       4.6.1      Australia                                               40
       4.6.2      New Zealand                                             41
    4.7        the Middle East                                            41
       4.7.1      Armenia                                                 41
       4.7.2      Saudi Arabia                                            42
       4.7.3      Turkey                                                  42
5     DISCLAIMERS, WARRANTEES, AND USER AGREEMENT PROVISIONS              43
    5.1        Disclaimers & Safe Harbor                                  43
    5.2        ICON Group Ltd. User Agreement Provisions                  44




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 Woven Fabrics of at least 85% Acrylic or Modacrylic Staple Fibers by Weight in the United States     7


1      INTRODUCTION AND METHODOLOGY
On the demand side, exporters and strategic planners focusing on woven fabrics of at least 85%
acrylic or modacrylic staple fibers by weight in the United States face a number of questions.
Which countries are supplying woven fabrics of at least 85% acrylic or modacrylic staple fibers
by weight to the United States? How important is the United States compared to others in terms
of the entire global and regional market? How much do the imports of woven fabrics of at least
85% acrylic or modacrylic staple fibers by weight vary from one country of origin to another in
the United States? On the supply side, the United States also exports woven fabrics of at least
85% acrylic or modacrylic staple fibers by weight. Which countries receive the most exports
from the United States? How are these exports concentrated across buyers? What is the value of
these exports and which countries are the largest buyers?

This report was created for strategic planners, international marketing executives and
import/export managers who are concerned with the market for woven fabrics of at least 85%
acrylic or modacrylic staple fibers by weight in the United States. With the globalization of this
market, managers can no longer be contented with a local view. Nor can managers be contented
with out-of-date statistics which appear several years after the fact. I have developed a
methodology, based on macroeconomic and trade models, to estimate the market for woven
fabrics of at least 85% acrylic or modacrylic staple fibers by weight for those countries serving
the United States via exports, or supplying from the United States via imports. It does so for the
current year based on a variety of key historical indicators and econometric models.

In what follows, Chapter 2 begins by summarizing where the United States fits into the world
market for imported and exported woven fabrics of at least 85% acrylic or modacrylic staple
fibers by weight. The total level of imports and exports on a worldwide basis, and those for the
United States in particular, is estimated using a model which aggregates across over 150 key
country markets and projects these to the current year. From there, each country represents a
percent of the world market. This market is served from a number of competitive countries of
origin. Based on both demand- and supply-side dynamics, market shares by country of origin are
then calculated across each country market destination. These shares lead to a volume of import
and export values for each country and are aggregated to regional and world totals. In doing so,
we are able to obtain maximum likelihood estimates of both the value of each market and the
share that the United States is likely to receive this year. From these figures, rankings are
calculated to allow managers to prioritize the United States compared to other major country
markets. In this way, all the figures provided in this report are forecasts that can be combined
with internal information sources for strategic planning purposes.

After the worldwide summary in Chapter 2 of both imports and exports of woven fabrics of at
least 85% acrylic or modacrylic staple fibers by weight, Chapter 3 goes into detail on imports, but
for each major country of origin serving the United States. A “major” market is defined as a
country where the United States represents a substantially large share of either imports or exports.
For each major country exporting to the United States, one can thus observe how important the


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 Woven Fabrics of at least 85% Acrylic or Modacrylic Staple Fibers by Weight in the United States     8

United States is to that exporting country compared to other countries of the world. Chapter 4
does the same, but for exports of woven fabrics of at least 85% acrylic or modacrylic staple fibers
by weight originating from the United States, for each major country of destination. In doing so,
one can discover the share that the United States has in each major market; this share value is
often used as a measure of competitiveness for the United States. In all cases, the total dollar
volume and percentage share values by major trading partner are provided. Combined, Chapters
3 and 4 present a the total picture for imports and exports of woven fabrics of at least 85% acrylic
or modacrylic staple fibers by weight to and from the United States to and from all other major
countries in the world. "Woven Fabrics of at least 85% Acrylic or Modacrylic Staple Fibers by
Weight" as a category is defined in this report following the definition given by the United
Nations Statistics Division Classification Registry using the Standard International Trade
Classification, Revision 3 (SITC, Rev. 3). The SITC code that defined "woven fabrics of at least
85% acrylic or modacrylic staple fibers by weight" is 65325 . For more information on this
definition, please refer to the following web site:
http://unstats.un.org/unsd/cr/registry/regcs.asp?Cl=14&Lg=1&Co=653 .

This report is updated on an annual basis. To ensure that you have the most current version,
please check the web site of ICON Group at www.icongrouponline.com.

Important Caveat. The figures should be seen as market estimates, as opposed to historical
records, as these are forecasted for the current year of trade. More importantly, in light of the fact
that unforeseeable factors might interrupt markets in achieving their reported levels, the figures
should be seen as estimates of potential. For example, "mad cow" disease, foot-and-mouth
disease, trade embargoes, military conflicts, acts of terrorism and other events will certainly
affect the actual trade flows recorded for a variety of industry or product categories. In such
cases, the difference between the numbers given in this report and the numbers actually observed
might be interpreted as the "net loss" or "net gain" due to these exogenous events affecting
regular trade flows that would have occurred had these events not have taken place.




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 Woven Fabrics of at least 85% Acrylic or Modacrylic Staple Fibers by Weight in the United States        9


2       THE UNITED STATES AND THE WORLD MARKET
2.1         IMPORTS IN THE UNITED STATES IN 2011
    Imported Woven Fabrics of at least 85% Acrylic or Modacrylic Staple Fibers by
                          Weight in the United States, 2011
                              (Structure of Foreign Import Competition)

Country of Origin             Rank          Value (000 US$)              % Share        Cumulative %
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
France                            1                     4,153                26.55                   26.55
Spain                             2                     3,082                19.70                   46.25
Mexico                            3                     2,242                14.33                   60.59
China                             4                     2,075                13.27                   73.85
South Korea                       5                     1,050                 6.71                   80.57
Italy                             6                     1,046                 6.69                   87.25
Turkey                            7                       763                 4.88                   92.13
Austria                           8                       501                 3.20                   95.33
South Africa                      9                       206                 1.32                   96.65
Germany                          10                       178                 1.14                   97.79
Switzerland                      11                       132                 0.84        
								
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