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The 2011 Import and Export Market for Vegetable and Fruit Juices Excluding Those Made from Citrus Fruits in China

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On the demand side, exporters and strategic planners focusing on vegetable and fruit juices excluding those made from citrus fruits in China face a number of questions. Which countries are supplying vegetable and fruit juices excluding those made from citrus fruits to China? How important is China compared to others in terms of the entire global and regional market? How much do the imports of vegetable and fruit juices excluding those made from citrus fruits vary from one country of origin to another in China? On the supply side, China also exports vegetable and fruit juices excluding those made from citrus fruits. Which countries receive the most exports from China? How are these exports concentrated across buyers? What is the value of these exports and which countries are the largest buyers? This report was created for strategic planners, international marketing executives and import/export managers who are concerned with the market for vegetable and fruit juices excluding those made from citrus fruits in China. With the globalization of this market, managers can no longer be contented with a local view. Nor can managers be contented with out-of-date statistics which appear several years after the fact. I have developed a methodology, based on macroeconomic and trade models, to estimate the market for vegetable and fruit juices excluding those made from citrus fruits for those countries serving China via exports, or supplying from China via imports. It does so for the current year based on a variety of key historical indicators and econometric models. In what follows, Chapter 2 begins by summarizing where China fits into the world market for imported and exported vegetable and fruit juices excluding those made from citrus fruits. The total level of imports and exports on a worldwide basis, and those for China in particular, is estimated using a model which aggregates across over 150 key country markets and projects these to the current year. Fro

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									   The 2011 Import and Export
    Market for Vegetable and
   Fruit Juices Excluding Those
    Made from Citrus Fruits in
               China




                                         By
                         Professor Philip M. Parker, Ph. D.
                      Chaired Professor of Management Science
                    INSEAD (Singapore & Fontainebleau, France)


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                                                                                              iii


                                About the Author
Dr. Philip M. Parker is the Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Innovation, Business and Society at
INSEAD where he has taught courses on multivariate statistics and global competitive strategy
since 1988. He has also taught courses at MIT, Stanford University, Harvard University, UCLA,
UCSD, and the Hong Kong University of Science and Technology. He is the author of six books
on the economic convergence of nations. These books introduce the notion of “physioeconomics”
which foresees a lack of global convergence in economic behaviors due to physiological and
physiographic forces. His latest book is "Physioeconomics: The Basis for Long-Run Economic
Growth" (MIT Press 2000). He has also published numerous articles in academic journals,
including The Rand Journal of Economics, Marketing Science, the Journal of International
Business Studies, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, International Journal of
Forecasting, the European Management Journal, the European Journal of Operational
Research, Journal of Marketing, International Journal of Research in Marketing, and Journal of
Marketing Research. He is also on the editorial boards of several academic journals.

Dr. Parker received his Ph.D. in Business Economics from the Wharton School of the University
of Pennsylvania and has Masters degrees in Finance and Banking (University of Aix-Marseille)
and Managerial Economics (Wharton). His undergraduate degrees are in mathematics, biology
and economics (minor in aeronautical engineering). He has consulted and/or taught courses in
Africa, the Middle East, Asia, Latin America, North America and Europe.



                                 About this Series
This series was created for international firms who rely on foreign export markets for a
substantial portion of their business or who might be threatened by foreign trade competition.
The estimates given in this report were created using a methodology developed by and under the
direct supervision of Professor Philip M. Parker, the Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Innovation,
Business and Society, at INSEAD. The methodology, relying on historical figures of economic
growth and trade flows, estimates the market shares of some 150 countries for over 500 industrial
or product categories. The figures should be seen as market estimates, as opposed to historical
records, as these are projected for the current year of trade.



                               Acknowledgements
Some of the methodologies and research approaches used in this report have benefited from the
R&D Committee at INSEAD, whose research support is gratefully acknowledged. Additional
editorial assistance from Tiffany LaRochelle, ICON Group International, Inc., is also
acknowledged.



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                                                                                                   iv


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                                                   Contents        v


Table of Contents
1     INTRODUCTION AND METHODOLOGY                             7
2     CHINA AND THE WORLD MARKET                               9
    2.1        Imports in China in 2011                        9
    2.2        Exports from China in 2011                     10
3     IMPORTS IN CHINA                                        11
    3.1        Africa                                         11
       3.1.1     South Africa                                 11
    3.2        Asia                                           12
       3.2.1     Indonesia                                    12
       3.2.2     Japan                                        13
       3.2.3     Philippines                                  14
       3.2.4     South Korea                                  15
       3.2.5     Taiwan                                       16
       3.2.6     Thailand                                     17
       3.2.7     Vietnam                                      18
    3.3        Europe                                         19
       3.3.1     Belgium                                      19
       3.3.2     Denmark                                      20
       3.3.3     Italy                                        21
       3.3.4     Spain                                        22
       3.3.5     the United Kingdom                           23
    3.4        Latin America                                  24
       3.4.1     Argentina                                    24
       3.4.2     Brazil                                       25
       3.4.3     Chile                                        26
       3.4.4     Ecuador                                      27
    3.5        North America & the Caribbean                  28
       3.5.1     Canada                                       28
       3.5.2     the United States                            29
    3.6        Oceana                                         30
       3.6.1     Australia                                    30
       3.6.2     New Zealand                                  31
4     EXPORTS FROM CHINA                                      32
    4.1      Africa                                           32
       4.1.1   Mauritius                                      32
       4.1.2   Senegal                                        33
       4.1.3   South Africa                                   34
    4.2      Asia                                             35
       4.2.1   China                                          35
       4.2.2   Hong Kong                                      36
       4.2.3   India                                          37
       4.2.4   Indonesia                                      38
       4.2.5   Japan                                          39
       4.2.6   Malaysia                                       40
       4.2.7   Mongolia                                       41
       4.2.8   Philippines                                    42
       4.2.9   Singapore                                      43
       4.2.10 South Korea                                     44


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                                                           Contents        vi

       4.2.11 Taiwan                                                  45
       4.2.12 Thailand                                                46
    4.3      Europe                                                   47
       4.3.1    Austria                                               47
       4.3.2    Belgium                                               48
       4.3.3    Croatia                                               49
       4.3.4    Cyprus                                                50
       4.3.5    Denmark                                               51
       4.3.6    Estonia                                               52
       4.3.7    Finland                                               53
       4.3.8    France                                                54
       4.3.9    Germany                                               55
       4.3.10 Greece                                                  56
       4.3.11 Hungary                                                 57
       4.3.12 Ireland                                                 58
       4.3.13 Italy                                                   59
       4.3.14 Latvia                                                  60
       4.3.15 Norway                                                  61
       4.3.16 Poland                                                  62
       4.3.17 Romania                                                 63
       4.3.18 Russia                                                  64
       4.3.19 Slovakia                                                65
       4.3.20 Slovenia                                                66
       4.3.21 Spain                                                   67
       4.3.22 Sweden                                                  68
       4.3.23 Switzerland                                             69
       4.3.24 the Netherlands                                         70
       4.3.25 the United Kingdom                                      71
       4.3.26 Ukraine                                                 72
    4.4      Latin America                                            73
       4.4.1    Brazil                                                73
       4.4.2    Mexico                                                74
    4.5      North America & the Caribbean                            75
       4.5.1    Canada                                                75
       4.5.2    the United States                                     76
       4.5.3    Trinidad and Tobago                                   77
    4.6      Oceana                                                   78
       4.6.1    Australia                                             78
       4.6.2    New Zealand                                           79
    4.7      the Middle East                                          80
       4.7.1    Azerbaijan                                            80
       4.7.2    Iran                                                  80
       4.7.3    Israel                                                81
       4.7.4    Kyrgyzstan                                            82
       4.7.5    Saudi Arabia                                          83
       4.7.6    Turkey                                                84
       4.7.7    Yemen                                                 85
5     DISCLAIMERS, WARRANTEES, AND USER AGREEMENT PROVISIONS          86
    5.1    Disclaimers & Safe Harbor                                  86
    5.2    ICON Group Ltd. User Agreement Provisions                  87




www.icongrouponline.com                                ©2011 ICON Group Ltd.
                  Vegetable and Fruit Juices Excluding Those Made from Citrus Fruits in China     7


1      INTRODUCTION AND METHODOLOGY
On the demand side, exporters and strategic planners focusing on vegetable and fruit juices
excluding those made from citrus fruits in China face a number of questions. Which countries are
supplying vegetable and fruit juices excluding those made from citrus fruits to China? How
important is China compared to others in terms of the entire global and regional market? How
much do the imports of vegetable and fruit juices excluding those made from citrus fruits vary
from one country of origin to another in China? On the supply side, China also exports vegetable
and fruit juices excluding those made from citrus fruits. Which countries receive the most
exports from China? How are these exports concentrated across buyers? What is the value of
these exports and which countries are the largest buyers?

This report was created for strategic planners, international marketing executives and
import/export managers who are concerned with the market for vegetable and fruit juices
excluding those made from citrus fruits in China. With the globalization of this market, managers
can no longer be contented with a local view. Nor can managers be contented with out-of-date
statistics which appear several years after the fact. I have developed a methodology, based on
macroeconomic and trade models, to estimate the market for vegetable and fruit juices excluding
those made from citrus fruits for those countries serving China via exports, or supplying from
China via imports. It does so for the current year based on a variety of key historical indicators
and econometric models.

In what follows, Chapter 2 begins by summarizing where China fits into the world market for
imported and exported vegetable and fruit juices excluding those made from citrus fruits. The
total level of imports and exports on a worldwide basis, and those for China in particular, is
estimated using a model which aggregates across over 150 key country markets and projects
these to the current year. From there, each country represents a percent of the world market.
This market is served from a number of competitive countries of origin. Based on both demand-
and supply-side dynamics, market shares by country of origin are then calculated across each
country market destination. These shares lead to a volume of import and export values for each
country and are aggregated to regional and world totals. In doing so, we are able to obtain
maximum likelihood estimates of both the value of each market and the share that China is likely
to receive this year. From these figures, rankings are calculated to allow managers to prioritize
China compared to other major country markets. In this way, all the figures provided in this
report are forecasts that can be combined with internal information sources for strategic planning
purposes.

After the worldwide summary in Chapter 2 of both imports and exports of vegetable and fruit
juices excluding those made from citrus fruits, Chapter 3 goes into detail on imports, but for each
major country of origin serving China. A “major” market is defined as a country where China
represents a substantially large share of either imports or exports. For each major country
exporting to China, one can thus observe how important China is to that exporting country
compared to other countries of the world. Chapter 4 does the same, but for exports of vegetable


www.icongrouponline.com                                                        ©2011 ICON Group Ltd.
                   Vegetable and Fruit Juices Excluding Those Made from Citrus Fruits in China      8

and fruit juices excluding those made from citrus fruits originating from China, for each major
country of destination. In doing so, one can discover the share that China has in each major
market; this share value is often used as a measure of competitiveness for China. In all cases, the
total dollar volume and percentage share values by major trading partner are provided.
Combined, Chapters 3 and 4 present a the total picture for imports and exports of vegetable and
fruit juices excluding those made from citrus fruits to and from China to and from all other major
countries in the world. "Vegetable and Fruit Juices Excluding Those Made from Citrus Fruits" as
a category is defined in this report following the definition given by the United Nations Statistics
Division Classification Registry using the Standard International Trade Classification, Revision 3
(SITC, Rev. 3). The SITC code that defined "vegetable and fruit juices excluding those made
from citrus fruits" is 0599 . For more information on this definition, please refer to the following
web site:
http://unstats.un.org/unsd/cr/registry/regcs.asp?Cl=14&Lg=1&Co=059 .

This report is updated on an annual basis. To ensure that you have the most current version,
please check the web site of ICON Group at www.icongrouponline.com.

Important Caveat. The figures should be seen as market estimates, as opposed to historical
records, as these are forecasted for the current year of trade. More importantly, in light of the fact
that unforeseeable factors might interrupt markets in achieving their reported levels, the figures
should be seen as estimates of potential. For example, "mad cow" disease, foot-and-mouth
disease, trade embargoes, military conflicts, acts of terrorism and other events will certainly
affect the actual trade flows recorded for a variety of industry or product categories. In such
cases, the difference between the numbers given in this report and the numbers actually observed
might be interpreted as the "net loss" or "net gain" due to these exogenous events affecting
regular trade flows that would have occurred had these events not have taken place.




www.icongrouponline.com                                                         ©2011 ICON Group Ltd.
                   Vegetable and Fruit Juices Excluding Those Made from Citrus Fruits in China          9


2       CHINA AND THE WORLD MARKET
2.1         IMPORTS IN CHINA IN 2011
 Imported Vegetable and Fruit Juices Excluding Those Made from Citrus Fruits in
                                    China, 2011
                              (Structure of Foreign Import Competition)

Country of Origin             Rank         Value (000 US$)              % Share        Cumulative %
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
the United States                 1                     3,329               26.32                 26.32
Spain                             2                     1,957               15.47                 41.79
Canada                            3                     1,123                8.88                 50.67
Indonesia                         4                       918                7.26                 57.93
Thailand                          5                       876                6.93                 64.86
Australia                         6                       815                6.44                 71.30
Italy                             7                       660                5.22                 76.52
New Zealand                       8                       331                2.62                 79.14
Austria                           9                       328                2.59                 81.73
Chile                            10                       238                1.88                 83.61
South Africa                     11                       198                1.57                 85.18
Japan                            12                       192                1.52                 86.69
Taiwan                           13                       171                1.35                 88.05
Vietnam                          14                       167                1.32                 89.37
Argentina                        15                       144                1.14                 90.50
Belgium                          16                       140                1.11                 91.61
Denmark                          17                       131                1.04                 92.65
the United Kingdom               18                       124                0.98                 93.63
Israel                           19                       123                0.97                 94.60
South Korea                      20                       118                0.93                 95.53
China                            21                       115                0.91                 96.44
Philippines                      22                       110                0.87                 97.31
Germany               
								
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