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The 2011 Import and Export Market for Uncoated Carbonizing Base Paper in Rolls or Sheets in the United States

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On the demand side, exporters and strategic planners focusing on uncoated carbonizing base paper in rolls or sheets in the United States face a number of questions. Which countries are supplying uncoated carbonizing base paper in rolls or sheets to the United States? How important is the United States compared to others in terms of the entire global and regional market? How much do the imports of uncoated carbonizing base paper in rolls or sheets vary from one country of origin to another in the United States? On the supply side, the United States also exports uncoated carbonizing base paper in rolls or sheets. Which countries receive the most exports from the United States? How are these exports concentrated across buyers? What is the value of these exports and which countries are the largest buyers? This report was created for strategic planners, international marketing executives and import/export managers who are concerned with the market for uncoated carbonizing base paper in rolls or sheets in the United States. With the globalization of this market, managers can no longer be contented with a local view. Nor can managers be contented with out-of-date statistics which appear several years after the fact. I have developed a methodology, based on macroeconomic and trade models, to estimate the market for uncoated carbonizing base paper in rolls or sheets for those countries serving the United States via exports, or supplying from the United States via imports. It does so for the current year based on a variety of key historical indicators and econometric models. In what follows, Chapter 2 begins by summarizing where the United States fits into the world market for imported and exported uncoated carbonizing base paper in rolls or sheets. The total level of imports and exports on a worldwide basis, and those for the United States in particular, is estimated using a model which aggregates across over 150 key country markets and projects these to th

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									   The 2011 Import and Export
      Market for Uncoated
    Carbonizing Base Paper in
   Rolls or Sheets in the United
              States

                                         By
                         Professor Philip M. Parker, Ph. D.
                      Chaired Professor of Management Science
                    INSEAD (Singapore & Fontainebleau, France)




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                                                                                              iii


                                About the Author
Dr. Philip M. Parker is the Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Innovation, Business and Society at
INSEAD where he has taught courses on multivariate statistics and global competitive strategy
since 1988. He has also taught courses at MIT, Stanford University, Harvard University, UCLA,
UCSD, and the Hong Kong University of Science and Technology. He is the author of six books
on the economic convergence of nations. These books introduce the notion of “physioeconomics”
which foresees a lack of global convergence in economic behaviors due to physiological and
physiographic forces. His latest book is "Physioeconomics: The Basis for Long-Run Economic
Growth" (MIT Press 2000). He has also published numerous articles in academic journals,
including The Rand Journal of Economics, Marketing Science, the Journal of International
Business Studies, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, International Journal of
Forecasting, the European Management Journal, the European Journal of Operational
Research, Journal of Marketing, International Journal of Research in Marketing, and Journal of
Marketing Research. He is also on the editorial boards of several academic journals.

Dr. Parker received his Ph.D. in Business Economics from the Wharton School of the University
of Pennsylvania and has Masters degrees in Finance and Banking (University of Aix-Marseille)
and Managerial Economics (Wharton). His undergraduate degrees are in mathematics, biology
and economics (minor in aeronautical engineering). He has consulted and/or taught courses in
Africa, the Middle East, Asia, Latin America, North America and Europe.



                                 About this Series
This series was created for international firms who rely on foreign export markets for a
substantial portion of their business or who might be threatened by foreign trade competition.
The estimates given in this report were created using a methodology developed by and under the
direct supervision of Professor Philip M. Parker, the Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Innovation,
Business and Society, at INSEAD. The methodology, relying on historical figures of economic
growth and trade flows, estimates the market shares of some 150 countries for over 500 industrial
or product categories. The figures should be seen as market estimates, as opposed to historical
records, as these are projected for the current year of trade.



                               Acknowledgements
Some of the methodologies and research approaches used in this report have benefited from the
R&D Committee at INSEAD, whose research support is gratefully acknowledged. Additional
editorial assistance from Tiffany LaRochelle, ICON Group International, Inc., is also
acknowledged.



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                                                                                                   iv


                           About ICON Group Ltd.
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                                                               Contents        v


Table of Contents
1     INTRODUCTION AND METHODOLOGY                                         6
2     THE UNITED STATES AND THE WORLD MARKET                               8
    2.1        Imports in the United States in 2011                        8
    2.2        Exports from the United States in 2011                      8
3     IMPORTS IN THE UNITED STATES                                         9
    3.1        Asia                                                        9
       3.1.1     Japan                                                     9
    3.2        Europe                                                      9
       3.2.1     France                                                    9
       3.2.2     Germany                                                  10
    3.3        Latin America                                              10
       3.3.1     Brazil                                                   10
    3.4        North America & the Caribbean                              10
       3.4.1     Canada                                                   10
4     EXPORTS FROM THE UNITED STATES                                      11
    4.1        Asia                                                       11
       4.1.1      China                                                   11
       4.1.2      India                                                   11
       4.1.3      Indonesia                                               12
       4.1.4      Malaysia                                                12
       4.1.5      Philippines                                             13
       4.1.6      Singapore                                               13
       4.1.7      Thailand                                                14
    4.2        Europe                                                     14
       4.2.1      Belgium                                                 14
    4.3        Latin America                                              14
       4.3.1      Colombia                                                14
       4.3.2      Costa Rica                                              15
       4.3.3      Ecuador                                                 15
       4.3.4      Guatemala                                               15
       4.3.5      Mexico                                                  16
       4.3.6      Panama                                                  16
       4.3.7      Peru                                                    16
    4.4        North America & the Caribbean                              17
       4.4.1      Canada                                                  17
       4.4.2      Trinidad and Tobago                                     17
    4.5        the Middle East                                            17
       4.5.1      Turkey                                                  17
5     DISCLAIMERS, WARRANTEES, AND USER AGREEMENT PROVISIONS              18
    5.1        Disclaimers & Safe Harbor                                  18
    5.2        ICON Group Ltd. User Agreement Provisions                  19




www.icongrouponline.com                                    ©2011 ICON Group Ltd.
                          Uncoated Carbonizing Base Paper in Rolls or Sheets in the United States     6


1      INTRODUCTION AND METHODOLOGY
On the demand side, exporters and strategic planners focusing on uncoated carbonizing base
paper in rolls or sheets in the United States face a number of questions. Which countries are
supplying uncoated carbonizing base paper in rolls or sheets to the United States? How important
is the United States compared to others in terms of the entire global and regional market? How
much do the imports of uncoated carbonizing base paper in rolls or sheets vary from one country
of origin to another in the United States? On the supply side, the United States also exports
uncoated carbonizing base paper in rolls or sheets. Which countries receive the most exports
from the United States? How are these exports concentrated across buyers? What is the value of
these exports and which countries are the largest buyers?

This report was created for strategic planners, international marketing executives and
import/export managers who are concerned with the market for uncoated carbonizing base paper
in rolls or sheets in the United States. With the globalization of this market, managers can no
longer be contented with a local view. Nor can managers be contented with out-of-date statistics
which appear several years after the fact. I have developed a methodology, based on
macroeconomic and trade models, to estimate the market for uncoated carbonizing base paper in
rolls or sheets for those countries serving the United States via exports, or supplying from the
United States via imports. It does so for the current year based on a variety of key historical
indicators and econometric models.

In what follows, Chapter 2 begins by summarizing where the United States fits into the world
market for imported and exported uncoated carbonizing base paper in rolls or sheets. The total
level of imports and exports on a worldwide basis, and those for the United States in particular, is
estimated using a model which aggregates across over 150 key country markets and projects
these to the current year. From there, each country represents a percent of the world market.
This market is served from a number of competitive countries of origin. Based on both demand-
and supply-side dynamics, market shares by country of origin are then calculated across each
country market destination. These shares lead to a volume of import and export values for each
country and are aggregated to regional and world totals. In doing so, we are able to obtain
maximum likelihood estimates of both the value of each market and the share that the United
States is likely to receive this year. From these figures, rankings are calculated to allow managers
to prioritize the United States compared to other major country markets. In this way, all the
figures provided in this report are forecasts that can be combined with internal information
sources for strategic planning purposes.

After the worldwide summary in Chapter 2 of both imports and exports of uncoated carbonizing
base paper in rolls or sheets, Chapter 3 goes into detail on imports, but for each major country of
origin serving the United States. A “major” market is defined as a country where the United
States represents a substantially large share of either imports or exports. For each major country
exporting to the United States, one can thus observe how important the United States is to that
exporting country compared to other countries of the world. Chapter 4 does the same, but for


www.icongrouponline.com                                                            ©2011 ICON Group Ltd.
                          Uncoated Carbonizing Base Paper in Rolls or Sheets in the United States     7

exports of uncoated carbonizing base paper in rolls or sheets originating from the United States,
for each major country of destination. In doing so, one can discover the share that the United
States has in each major market; this share value is often used as a measure of competitiveness
for the United States. In all cases, the total dollar volume and percentage share values by major
trading partner are provided. Combined, Chapters 3 and 4 present a the total picture for imports
and exports of uncoated carbonizing base paper in rolls or sheets to and from the United States to
and from all other major countries in the world. "Uncoated Carbonizing Base Paper in Rolls or
Sheets" as a category is defined in this report following the definition given by the United
Nations Statistics Division Classification Registry using the Standard International Trade
Classification, Revision 3 (SITC, Rev. 3). The SITC code that defined "uncoated carbonizing
base paper in rolls or sheets" is 64123 . For more information on this definition, please refer to
the following web site:
http://unstats.un.org/unsd/cr/registry/regcs.asp?Cl=14&Lg=1&Co=641 .

This report is updated on an annual basis. To ensure that you have the most current version,
please check the web site of ICON Group at www.icongrouponline.com.

Important Caveat. The figures should be seen as market estimates, as opposed to historical
records, as these are forecasted for the current year of trade. More importantly, in light of the fact
that unforeseeable factors might interrupt markets in achieving their reported levels, the figures
should be seen as estimates of potential. For example, "mad cow" disease, foot-and-mouth
disease, trade embargoes, military conflicts, acts of terrorism and other events will certainly
affect the actual trade flows recorded for a variety of industry or product categories. In such
cases, the difference between the numbers given in this report and the numbers actually observed
might be interpreted as the "net loss" or "net gain" due to these exogenous events affecting
regular trade flows that would have occurred had these events not have taken place.




www.icongrouponline.com                                                            ©2011 ICON Group Ltd.
                          Uncoated Carbonizing Base Paper in Rolls or Sheets in the United States        8


2       THE UNITED STATES AND THE WORLD MARKET
2.1         IMPORTS IN THE UNITED STATES IN 2011
 Imported Uncoated Carbonizing Base Paper in Rolls or Sheets in the United States,
                                      2011
                              (Structure of Foreign Import Competition)

Country of Origin             Rank          Value (000 US$)              % Share        Cumulative %
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Canada                             1                       173               31.63                   31.63
Japan                              2                       136               24.86                   56.49
France                             3                        97               17.73                   74.22
Brazil                             4                        96               17.55                   91.77
Germany                            5                        45                8.23                  100.00
Total                                                      547              100.00                  100.00
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
    Source: Philip M. PARKER, Professor, INSEAD, copyright 2011, www.icongrouponline.com



2.2         EXPORTS FROM THE UNITED STATES IN 2011
Uncoated Carbonizing Base Paper in Rolls or Sheets Exports from the United States,
                                       2011
Country of Destination        Rank          Value (000 US$)              % Share        Cumulative %
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Mexico                            1                      1,632               25.55                   25.55
Belgium                           2                      1,481               23.18                   48.73
Thailand                          3                        649               10.16                   58.89
India                             4                        637                9.97                   68.86
Turkey                            5                        408                6.39                   75.25
Guatemala                         6                        315                4.93                   80.18
Canada                            7                        260                4.07                   84.25
Costa Rica                        8                        232                3.63                   87.88
Malaysia                          9                        163                2.55                   90.44
Indonesia                        10                        148                2.32                   92.75
Colombia                         11                        143                2.24                   94.99
Panama                           12                        143                2.24                   97.23
Philippines                      13                         88                1.38                   98.61
Ecuador                          14                         64                1.00                   99.61
China                            15                         18                0.28                   99.89
Trinidad and Tobago              16                          5                0.08                   99.97
Peru                             17                          1                0.02                   99.98
Singapore                        18                          1                0.02                  100.00
Total                                                    6,388              100.00                  100.00
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
    Source: Philip M. PARKER, Professor, INSEAD, copyright 2011, www.icongrouponline.com

www.icongrouponline.com                                                            ©2011 ICON Group Ltd.
                          Uncoated Carbonizing Base Paper in Rolls or Sheets in the United States        9


3       IMPORTS IN THE UNITED STATES
3.1         ASIA
3.1.1          Japan
    Uncoated Carbonizing Base Paper in Rolls or Sheets Exports from Japan, 2011
Country of Destination        Rank          Value (000 US$)              % Share        Cumulative %
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Taiwan                             1                    4,761                36.92                   36.92
Thailand       
								
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