The 2011 Import and Export Market for Prepared Rubber Accelerators in China by ICONGroup


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									   The 2011 Import and Export
   Market for Prepared Rubber
      Accelerators in China

                         Professor Philip M. Parker, Ph. D.
                      Chaired Professor of Management Science
                    INSEAD (Singapore & Fontainebleau, France)                                      ©2011 ICON Group Ltd.

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                                About the Author
Dr. Philip M. Parker is the Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Innovation, Business and Society at
INSEAD where he has taught courses on multivariate statistics and global competitive strategy
since 1988. He has also taught courses at MIT, Stanford University, Harvard University, UCLA,
UCSD, and the Hong Kong University of Science and Technology. He is the author of six books
on the economic convergence of nations. These books introduce the notion of “physioeconomics”
which foresees a lack of global convergence in economic behaviors due to physiological and
physiographic forces. His latest book is "Physioeconomics: The Basis for Long-Run Economic
Growth" (MIT Press 2000). He has also published numerous articles in academic journals,
including The Rand Journal of Economics, Marketing Science, the Journal of International
Business Studies, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, International Journal of
Forecasting, the European Management Journal, the European Journal of Operational
Research, Journal of Marketing, International Journal of Research in Marketing, and Journal of
Marketing Research. He is also on the editorial boards of several academic journals.

Dr. Parker received his Ph.D. in Business Economics from the Wharton School of the University
of Pennsylvania and has Masters degrees in Finance and Banking (University of Aix-Marseille)
and Managerial Economics (Wharton). His undergraduate degrees are in mathematics, biology
and economics (minor in aeronautical engineering). He has consulted and/or taught courses in
Africa, the Middle East, Asia, Latin America, North America and Europe.

                                 About this Series
This series was created for international firms who rely on foreign export markets for a
substantial portion of their business or who might be threatened by foreign trade competition.
The estimates given in this report were created using a methodology developed by and under the
direct supervision of Professor Philip M. Parker, the Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Innovation,
Business and Society, at INSEAD. The methodology, relying on historical figures of economic
growth and trade flows, estimates the market shares of some 150 countries for over 500 industrial
or product categories. The figures should be seen as market estimates, as opposed to historical
records, as these are projected for the current year of trade.

Some of the methodologies and research approaches used in this report have benefited from the
R&D Committee at INSEAD, whose research support is gratefully acknowledged. Additional
editorial assistance from Tiffany LaRochelle, ICON Group International, Inc., is also
acknowledged.                                                    ©2011 ICON Group Ltd.

                           About ICON Group Ltd.
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                                                 Contents        v

Table of Contents
1     INTRODUCTION AND METHODOLOGY                           7
2     CHINA AND THE WORLD MARKET                             9
    2.1     Imports in China in 2011                         9
    2.2     Exports from China in 2011                      10
3     IMPORTS IN CHINA                                      11
    3.1      Africa                                         11
       3.1.1   South Africa                                 11
    3.2      Asia                                           12
       3.2.1   China                                        12
       3.2.2   Hong Kong                                    13
       3.2.3   India                                        13
       3.2.4   Indonesia                                    13
       3.2.5   Japan                                        14
       3.2.6   Malaysia                                     15
       3.2.7   Singapore                                    15
       3.2.8   South Korea                                  16
       3.2.9   Taiwan                                       16
       3.2.10 Thailand                                      17
    3.3      Europe                                         17
       3.3.1   Austria                                      17
       3.3.2   Belgium                                      18
       3.3.3   France                                       19
       3.3.4   Germany                                      20
       3.3.5   Ireland                                      21
       3.3.6   Italy                                        22
       3.3.7   Spain                                        23
       3.3.8   Switzerland                                  23
       3.3.9   the Netherlands                              24
       3.3.10 the United Kingdom                            25
    3.4      Latin America                                  25
       3.4.1   Argentina                                    25
       3.4.2   Mexico                                       26
    3.5      North America & the Caribbean                  26
       3.5.1   Canada                                       26
       3.5.2   the United States                            27
4     EXPORTS FROM CHINA                                    28
    4.1      Africa                                         28
       4.1.1   South Africa                                 28
    4.2      Asia                                           29
       4.2.1   China                                        29
       4.2.2   Hong Kong                                    30
       4.2.3   India                                        31
       4.2.4   Indonesia                                    32
       4.2.5   Japan                                        32
       4.2.6   Malaysia                                     33
       4.2.7   Philippines                                  33
       4.2.8   Singapore                                    34
       4.2.9   South Korea                                  34                      ©2011 ICON Group Ltd.
                                                           Contents        vi

       4.2.10 Taiwan                                                  35
       4.2.11 Thailand                                                35
    4.3      Europe                                                   36
       4.3.1    Austria                                               36
       4.3.2    Belgium                                               36
       4.3.3    Bulgaria                                              37
       4.3.4    France                                                37
       4.3.5    Germany                                               38
       4.3.6    Italy                                                 39
       4.3.7    Poland                                                40
       4.3.8    Romania                                               40
       4.3.9    Russia                                                41
       4.3.10 Slovakia                                                41
       4.3.11 Spain                                                   42
       4.3.12 the Netherlands                                         42
       4.3.13 the United Kingdom                                      43
    4.4      Latin America                                            43
       4.4.1    Brazil                                                43
       4.4.2    Colombia                                              44
       4.4.3    Costa Rica                                            44
       4.4.4    Mexico                                                45
    4.5      North America & the Caribbean                            45
       4.5.1    the United States                                     45
    4.6      Oceana                                                   46
       4.6.1    Australia                                             46
    4.7      the Middle East                                          47
       4.7.1    Iran                                                  47
       4.7.2    Israel                                                48
       4.7.3    Pakistan                                              48
       4.7.4    Turkey                                                49
    5.1    Disclaimers & Safe Harbor                                  50
    5.2    ICON Group Ltd. User Agreement Provisions                  51                                ©2011 ICON Group Ltd.
                                                     Prepared Rubber Accelerators in China       7

On the demand side, exporters and strategic planners focusing on prepared rubber accelerators in
China face a number of questions. Which countries are supplying prepared rubber accelerators to
China? How important is China compared to others in terms of the entire global and regional
market? How much do the imports of prepared rubber accelerators vary from one country of
origin to another in China? On the supply side, China also exports prepared rubber accelerators.
Which countries receive the most exports from China? How are these exports concentrated
across buyers? What is the value of these exports and which countries are the largest buyers?

This report was created for strategic planners, international marketing executives and
import/export managers who are concerned with the market for prepared rubber accelerators in
China. With the globalization of this market, managers can no longer be contented with a local
view. Nor can managers be contented with out-of-date statistics which appear several years after
the fact. I have developed a methodology, based on macroeconomic and trade models, to
estimate the market for prepared rubber accelerators for those countries serving China via
exports, or supplying from China via imports. It does so for the current year based on a variety of
key historical indicators and econometric models.

In what follows, Chapter 2 begins by summarizing where China fits into the world market for
imported and exported prepared rubber accelerators. The total level of imports and exports on a
worldwide basis, and those for China in particular, is estimated using a model which aggregates
across over 150 key country markets and projects these to the current year. From there, each
country represents a percent of the world market. This market is served from a number of
competitive countries of origin. Based on both demand- and supply-side dynamics, market shares
by country of origin are then calculated across each country market destination. These shares
lead to a volume of import and export values for each country and are aggregated to regional and
world totals. In doing so, we are able to obtain maximum likelihood estimates of both the value
of each market and the share that China is likely to receive this year. From these figures,
rankings are calculated to allow managers to prioritize China compared to other major country
markets. In this way, all the figures provided in this report are forecasts that can be combined
with internal information sources for strategic planning purposes.

After the worldwide summary in Chapter 2 of both imports and exports of prepared rubber
accelerators, Chapter 3 goes into detail on imports, but for each major country of origin serving
China. A “major” market is defined as a country where China represents a substantially large
share of either imports or exports. For each major country exporting to China, one can thus
observe how important China is to that exporting country compared to other countries of the
world. Chapter 4 does the same, but for exports of prepared rubber accelerators originating from
China, for each major country of destination. In doing so, one can discover the share that China
has in each major market; this share value is often used as a measure of competitiveness for
China. In all cases, the total dollar volume and percentage share values by major trading partner
are provided. Combined, Chapters 3 and 4 present a the total picture for imports and exports of                                                     ©2011 ICON Group Ltd.
                                                       Prepared Rubber Accelerators in China        8

prepared rubber accelerators to and from China to and from all other major countries in the world.
"Prepared Rubber Accelerators" as a category is defined in this report following the definition
given by the United Nations Statistics Division Classification Registry using the Standard
International Trade Classification, Revision 3 (SITC, Rev. 3). The SITC code that defined
"prepared rubber accelerators" is 59863 . For more information on this definition, please refer to
the following web site: .

This report is updated on an annual basis. To ensure that you have the most current version,
please check the web site of ICON Group at

Important Caveat. The figures should be seen as market estimates, as opposed to historical
records, as these are forecasted for the current year of trade. More importantly, in light of the fact
that unforeseeable factors might interrupt markets in achieving their reported levels, the figures
should be seen as estimates of potential. For example, "mad cow" disease, foot-and-mouth
disease, trade embargoes, military conflicts, acts of terrorism and other events will certainly
affect the actual trade flows recorded for a variety of industry or product categories. In such
cases, the difference between the numbers given in this report and the numbers actually observed
might be interpreted as the "net loss" or "net gain" due to these exogenous events affecting
regular trade flows that would have occurred had these events not have taken place.                                                       ©2011 ICON Group Ltd.
                                                         Prepared Rubber Accelerators in China          9

2.1         IMPORTS IN CHINA IN 2011
                 Imported Prepared Rubber Accelerators in China, 2011
                              (Structure of Foreign Import Competition)

Country of Origin             Rank         Value (000 US$)              % Share        Cumulative %
Taiwan                            1                    16,763               26.64                 26.64
Japan                             2                    11,650               18.51                 45.15
South Korea                       3                     9,869               15.68                 60.83
the United States                 4                     8,468               13.46                 74.29
Germany                           5                     5,140                8.17                 82.46
Belgium                           6                     2,459                3.91                 86.36
China                             7                     2,106                3.35                 89.71
Malaysia                          8                     1,395                2.22                 91.93
the Netherlands                   9                     1,033                1.64                 93.57
France                           10                       866                1.38                 94.94
the United Kingdom               11                       632                1.00                 95.95
Thailand                         12                       465                0.74                 96.69
Singapore                        13                       392                0.62                 97.31
Italy                            14                       323                0.51                 97.82
South Africa                     15                       239                0.38                 98.20
Argentina                        16                       238                0.38                 98.58
India                            17                       224                0.36                 98.94
Indonesia                        18                       169                0.27                 99.21
Hong Kong                        19                       108                0.17                 99.38
Mexico                           20                        90                0.14                 99.52
Ireland                          21                        83                0.13                 99.65
Canada                           22                        79                0.13                 99.78
Switzerland                      23                        64            
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