The 2011 Import and Export Market for New Pneumatic Rubber Tires for Cars, Station Wagons, and Racing Cars in China by ICONGroup

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									  The 2011 Import and Export
  Market for New Pneumatic
 Rubber Tires for Cars, Station
  Wagons, and Racing Cars in
            China




                                         By
                         Professor Philip M. Parker, Ph. D.
                      Chaired Professor of Management Science
                    INSEAD (Singapore & Fontainebleau, France)


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                                About the Author
Dr. Philip M. Parker is the Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Innovation, Business and Society at
INSEAD where he has taught courses on multivariate statistics and global competitive strategy
since 1988. He has also taught courses at MIT, Stanford University, Harvard University, UCLA,
UCSD, and the Hong Kong University of Science and Technology. He is the author of six books
on the economic convergence of nations. These books introduce the notion of “physioeconomics”
which foresees a lack of global convergence in economic behaviors due to physiological and
physiographic forces. His latest book is "Physioeconomics: The Basis for Long-Run Economic
Growth" (MIT Press 2000). He has also published numerous articles in academic journals,
including The Rand Journal of Economics, Marketing Science, the Journal of International
Business Studies, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, International Journal of
Forecasting, the European Management Journal, the European Journal of Operational
Research, Journal of Marketing, International Journal of Research in Marketing, and Journal of
Marketing Research. He is also on the editorial boards of several academic journals.

Dr. Parker received his Ph.D. in Business Economics from the Wharton School of the University
of Pennsylvania and has Masters degrees in Finance and Banking (University of Aix-Marseille)
and Managerial Economics (Wharton). His undergraduate degrees are in mathematics, biology
and economics (minor in aeronautical engineering). He has consulted and/or taught courses in
Africa, the Middle East, Asia, Latin America, North America and Europe.



                                 About this Series
This series was created for international firms who rely on foreign export markets for a
substantial portion of their business or who might be threatened by foreign trade competition.
The estimates given in this report were created using a methodology developed by and under the
direct supervision of Professor Philip M. Parker, the Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Innovation,
Business and Society, at INSEAD. The methodology, relying on historical figures of economic
growth and trade flows, estimates the market shares of some 150 countries for over 500 industrial
or product categories. The figures should be seen as market estimates, as opposed to historical
records, as these are projected for the current year of trade.



                               Acknowledgements
Some of the methodologies and research approaches used in this report have benefited from the
R&D Committee at INSEAD, whose research support is gratefully acknowledged. Additional
editorial assistance from Tiffany LaRochelle, ICON Group International, Inc., is also
acknowledged.



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                           About ICON Group Ltd.
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                                                   Contents        v


Table of Contents
1     INTRODUCTION AND METHODOLOGY                             8
2     CHINA AND THE WORLD MARKET                              10
    2.1        Imports in China in 2011                       10
    2.2        Exports from China in 2011                     11
3     IMPORTS IN CHINA                                        12
    3.1        Asia                                           12
       3.1.1     Japan                                        12
       3.1.2     Malaysia                                     13
       3.1.3     South Korea                                  14
       3.1.4     Taiwan                                       15
       3.1.5     Thailand                                     16
    3.2        Europe                                         17
       3.2.1     Belgium                                      17
       3.2.2     Czech Republic                               18
       3.2.3     France                                       19
       3.2.4     Germany                                      20
       3.2.5     Italy                                        21
       3.2.6     Portugal                                     22
       3.2.7     Romania                                      23
       3.2.8     Spain                                        24
    3.3        Latin America                                  25
       3.3.1     Brazil                                       25
    3.4        North America & the Caribbean                  26
       3.4.1     Canada                                       26
       3.4.2     the United States                            27
4     EXPORTS FROM CHINA                                      28
    4.1      Africa                                           28
       4.1.1   Botswana                                       28
       4.1.2   Cape Verde                                     28
       4.1.3   Cote d'Ivoire                                  29
       4.1.4   Egypt                                          30
       4.1.5   Ethiopia                                       31
       4.1.6   Kenya                                          32
       4.1.7   Madagascar                                     33
       4.1.8   Malawi                                         34
       4.1.9   Mauritius                                      35
       4.1.10 Senegal                                         36
       4.1.11 South Africa                                    37
       4.1.12 Togo                                            38
       4.1.13 Tunisia                                         38
       4.1.14 Uganda                                          39
       4.1.15 Zambia                                          40
    4.2      Asia                                             41
       4.2.1   China                                          41
       4.2.2   Hong Kong                                      42
       4.2.3   Indonesia                                      43
       4.2.4   Japan                                          44
       4.2.5   Malaysia                                       45


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     4.2.6   Mongolia                                     46
     4.2.7   Seychelles                                   46
     4.2.8   Singapore                                    47
     4.2.9   South Korea                                  48
     4.2.10 Thailand                                      49
  4.3      Europe                                         50
     4.3.1   Austria                                      50
     4.3.2   Belarus                                      51
     4.3.3   Belgium                                      52
     4.3.4   Bosnia and Herzegovina                       53
     4.3.5   Croatia                                      54
     4.3.6   Cyprus                                       55
     4.3.7   Czech Republic                               56
     4.3.8   Denmark                                      57
     4.3.9   Estonia                                      58
     4.3.10 Finland                                       59
     4.3.11 France                                        60
     4.3.12 Georgia                                       61
     4.3.13 Germany                                       62
     4.3.14 Greece                                        63
     4.3.15 Iceland                                       64
     4.3.16 Ireland                                       65
     4.3.17 Italy                                         66
     4.3.18 Latvia                                        67
     4.3.19 Lithuania                                     68
     4.3.20 Luxembourg                                    69
     4.3.21 Macedonia                                     70
     4.3.22 Malta                                         71
     4.3.23 Moldova                                       72
     4.3.24 Norway                                        73
     4.3.25 Romania                                       74
     4.3.26 Russia                                        75
     4.3.27 Slovakia                                      76
     4.3.28 Slovenia                                      77
     4.3.29 Sweden                                        78
     4.3.30 the Netherlands                               79
  4.4      Latin America                                  80
     4.4.1   Argentina                                    80
     4.4.2   Belize                                       81
     4.4.3   Bolivia                                      81
     4.4.4   Brazil                                       82
     4.4.5   Colombia                                     83
     4.4.6   Ecuador                                      84
     4.4.7   El Salvador                                  85
     4.4.8   Guatemala                                    86
     4.4.9   Honduras                                     87
     4.4.10 Mexico                                        88
     4.4.11 Panama                                        89
     4.4.12 Peru                                          90
     4.4.13 Uruguay                                       91
  4.5      North America & the Caribbean                  92
     4.5.1   Barbados                                     92
     4.5.2   Canada                                       93


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       4.5.3    Dominica                                                94
       4.5.4    Jamaica                                                 94
       4.5.5    St. Lucia                                               95
       4.5.6    the United States                                       96
    4.6      Oceana                                                     97
       4.6.1    Australia                                               97
       4.6.2    Fiji                                                    98
       4.6.3    New Caledonia                                           99
       4.6.4    New Zealand                                            100
    4.7      the Middle East                                           101
       4.7.1    Armenia                                                101
       4.7.2    Azerbaijan                                             102
       4.7.3    Bahrain                                                103
       4.7.4    Israel                                                 104
       4.7.5    Jordan                                                 105
       4.7.6    Kyrgyzstan                                             106
       4.7.7    Pakistan                                               107
       4.7.8    Saudi Arabia                                           108
       4.7.9    Yemen                                                  109
5     DISCLAIMERS, WARRANTEES, AND USER AGREEMENT PROVISIONS 110
    5.1     Disclaimers & Safe Harbor                                  110
    5.2     ICON Group Ltd. User Agreement Provisions                  111




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               New Pneumatic Rubber Tires for Cars, Station Wagons, and Racing Cars in China      8


1      INTRODUCTION AND METHODOLOGY
On the demand side, exporters and strategic planners focusing on new pneumatic rubber tires for
cars, station wagons, and racing cars in China face a number of questions. Which countries are
supplying new pneumatic rubber tires for cars, station wagons, and racing cars to China? How
important is China compared to others in terms of the entire global and regional market? How
much do the imports of new pneumatic rubber tires for cars, station wagons, and racing cars vary
from one country of origin to another in China? On the supply side, China also exports new
pneumatic rubber tires for cars, station wagons, and racing cars. Which countries receive the
most exports from China? How are these exports concentrated across buyers? What is the value
of these exports and which countries are the largest buyers?

This report was created for strategic planners, international marketing executives and
import/export managers who are concerned with the market for new pneumatic rubber tires for
cars, station wagons, and racing cars in China. With the globalization of this market, managers
can no longer be contented with a local view. Nor can managers be contented with out-of-date
statistics which appear several years after the fact. I have developed a methodology, based on
macroeconomic and trade models, to estimate the market for new pneumatic rubber tires for cars,
station wagons, and racing cars for those countries serving China via exports, or supplying from
China via imports. It does so for the current year based on a variety of key historical indicators
and econometric models.

In what follows, Chapter 2 begins by summarizing where China fits into the world market for
imported and exported new pneumatic rubber tires for cars, station wagons, and racing cars. The
total level of imports and exports on a worldwide basis, and those for China in particular, is
estimated using a model which aggregates across over 150 key country markets and projects
these to the current year. From there, each country represents a percent of the world market.
This market is served from a number of competitive countries of origin. Based on both demand-
and supply-side dynamics, market shares by country of origin are then calculated across each
country market destination. These shares lead to a volume of import and export values for each
country and are aggregated to regional and world totals. In doing so, we are able to obtain
maximum likelihood estimates of both the value of each market and the share that China is likely
to receive this year. From these figures, rankings are calculated to allow managers to prioritize
China compared to other major country markets. In this way, all the figures provided in this
report are forecasts that can be combined with internal information sources for strategic planning
purposes.

After the worldwide summary in Chapter 2 of both imports and exports of new pneumatic rubber
tires for cars, station wagons, and racing cars, Chapter 3 goes into detail on imports, but for each
major country of origin serving China. A “major” market is defined as a country where China
represents a substantially large share of either imports or exports. For each major country
exporting to China, one can thus observe how important China is to that exporting country
compared to other countries of the world. Chapter 4 does the same, but for exports of new


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               New Pneumatic Rubber Tires for Cars, Station Wagons, and Racing Cars in China        9

pneumatic rubber tires for cars, station wagons, and racing cars originating from China, for each
major country of destination. In doing so, one can discover the share that China has in each
major market; this share value is often used as a measure of competitiveness for China. In all
cases, the total dollar volume and percentage share values by major trading partner are provided.
Combined, Chapters 3 and 4 present a the total picture for imports and exports of new pneumatic
rubber tires for cars, station wagons, and racing cars to and from China to and from all other
major countries in the world. "New Pneumatic Rubber Tires for Cars, Station Wagons, and
Racing Cars" as a category is defined in this report following the definition given by the United
Nations Statistics Division Classification Registry using the Standard International Trade
Classification, Revision 3 (SITC, Rev. 3). The SITC code that defined "new pneumatic rubber
tires for cars, station wagons, and racing cars" is 6251 . For more information on this definition,
please refer to the following web site:
http://unstats.un.org/unsd/cr/registry/regcs.asp?Cl=14&Lg=1&Co=625 .

This report is updated on an annual basis. To ensure that you have the most current version,
please check the web site of ICON Group at www.icongrouponline.com.

Important Caveat. The figures should be seen as market estimates, as opposed to historical
records, as these are forecasted for the current year of trade. More importantly, in light of the fact
that unforeseeable factors might interrupt markets in achieving their reported levels, the figures
should be seen as estimates of potential. For example, "mad cow" disease, foot-and-mouth
disease, trade embargoes, military conflicts, acts of terrorism and other events will certainly
affect the actual trade flows recorded for a variety of industry or product categories. In such
cases, the difference between the numbers given in this report and the numbers actually observed
might be interpreted as the "net loss" or "net gain" due to these exogenous events affecting
regular trade flows that would have occurred had these events not have taken place.




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                New Pneumatic Rubber Tires for Cars, Station Wagons, and Racing Cars in China         10


2       CHINA AND THE WORLD MARKET
2.1         IMPORTS IN CHINA IN 2011
Imported New Pneumatic Rubber Tires for Cars, Station Wagons, and Racing Cars
                               in China, 2011
                              (Structure of Foreign Import Competition)

Country of Origin             Rank         Value (000 US$)              % Share        Cumulative %
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Japan                             1                   39,703                27.34                 27.34
Germany                           2                   25,401                17.49                 44.83
France                            3                   20,064                13.82                 58.64
Thailand                          4                   16,684                11.49                 70.13
South Korea                       5                    9,851                 6.78                 76.91
Spain                             6                    7,445                 5.13                 82.04
Czech Republic                    7                    7,433                 5.12                 87.16
the United States                 8                    6,078                 4.19                 91.34
Italy                             9                    3,135              
								
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