The 2011 Import and Export
Market for New Pneumatic
Rubber Tires for Cars, Station
Wagons, and Racing Cars in
China
By
Professor Philip M. Parker, Ph. D.
Chaired Professor of Management Science
INSEAD (Singapore & Fontainebleau, France)
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About the Author
Dr. Philip M. Parker is the Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Innovation, Business and Society at
INSEAD where he has taught courses on multivariate statistics and global competitive strategy
since 1988. He has also taught courses at MIT, Stanford University, Harvard University, UCLA,
UCSD, and the Hong Kong University of Science and Technology. He is the author of six books
on the economic convergence of nations. These books introduce the notion of “physioeconomics”
which foresees a lack of global convergence in economic behaviors due to physiological and
physiographic forces. His latest book is "Physioeconomics: The Basis for Long-Run Economic
Growth" (MIT Press 2000). He has also published numerous articles in academic journals,
including The Rand Journal of Economics, Marketing Science, the Journal of International
Business Studies, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, International Journal of
Forecasting, the European Management Journal, the European Journal of Operational
Research, Journal of Marketing, International Journal of Research in Marketing, and Journal of
Marketing Research. He is also on the editorial boards of several academic journals.
Dr. Parker received his Ph.D. in Business Economics from the Wharton School of the University
of Pennsylvania and has Masters degrees in Finance and Banking (University of Aix-Marseille)
and Managerial Economics (Wharton). His undergraduate degrees are in mathematics, biology
and economics (minor in aeronautical engineering). He has consulted and/or taught courses in
Africa, the Middle East, Asia, Latin America, North America and Europe.
About this Series
This series was created for international firms who rely on foreign export markets for a
substantial portion of their business or who might be threatened by foreign trade competition.
The estimates given in this report were created using a methodology developed by and under the
direct supervision of Professor Philip M. Parker, the Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Innovation,
Business and Society, at INSEAD. The methodology, relying on historical figures of economic
growth and trade flows, estimates the market shares of some 150 countries for over 500 industrial
or product categories. The figures should be seen as market estimates, as opposed to historical
records, as these are projected for the current year of trade.
Acknowledgements
Some of the methodologies and research approaches used in this report have benefited from the
R&D Committee at INSEAD, whose research support is gratefully acknowledged. Additional
editorial assistance from Tiffany LaRochelle, ICON Group International, Inc., is also
acknowledged.
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Contents v
Table of Contents
1 INTRODUCTION AND METHODOLOGY 8
2 CHINA AND THE WORLD MARKET 10
2.1 Imports in China in 2011 10
2.2 Exports from China in 2011 11
3 IMPORTS IN CHINA 12
3.1 Asia 12
3.1.1 Japan 12
3.1.2 Malaysia 13
3.1.3 South Korea 14
3.1.4 Taiwan 15
3.1.5 Thailand 16
3.2 Europe 17
3.2.1 Belgium 17
3.2.2 Czech Republic 18
3.2.3 France 19
3.2.4 Germany 20
3.2.5 Italy 21
3.2.6 Portugal 22
3.2.7 Romania 23
3.2.8 Spain 24
3.3 Latin America 25
3.3.1 Brazil 25
3.4 North America & the Caribbean 26
3.4.1 Canada 26
3.4.2 the United States 27
4 EXPORTS FROM CHINA 28
4.1 Africa 28
4.1.1 Botswana 28
4.1.2 Cape Verde 28
4.1.3 Cote d'Ivoire 29
4.1.4 Egypt 30
4.1.5 Ethiopia 31
4.1.6 Kenya 32
4.1.7 Madagascar 33
4.1.8 Malawi 34
4.1.9 Mauritius 35
4.1.10 Senegal 36
4.1.11 South Africa 37
4.1.12 Togo 38
4.1.13 Tunisia 38
4.1.14 Uganda 39
4.1.15 Zambia 40
4.2 Asia 41
4.2.1 China 41
4.2.2 Hong Kong 42
4.2.3 Indonesia 43
4.2.4 Japan 44
4.2.5 Malaysia 45
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Contents vi
4.2.6 Mongolia 46
4.2.7 Seychelles 46
4.2.8 Singapore 47
4.2.9 South Korea 48
4.2.10 Thailand 49
4.3 Europe 50
4.3.1 Austria 50
4.3.2 Belarus 51
4.3.3 Belgium 52
4.3.4 Bosnia and Herzegovina 53
4.3.5 Croatia 54
4.3.6 Cyprus 55
4.3.7 Czech Republic 56
4.3.8 Denmark 57
4.3.9 Estonia 58
4.3.10 Finland 59
4.3.11 France 60
4.3.12 Georgia 61
4.3.13 Germany 62
4.3.14 Greece 63
4.3.15 Iceland 64
4.3.16 Ireland 65
4.3.17 Italy 66
4.3.18 Latvia 67
4.3.19 Lithuania 68
4.3.20 Luxembourg 69
4.3.21 Macedonia 70
4.3.22 Malta 71
4.3.23 Moldova 72
4.3.24 Norway 73
4.3.25 Romania 74
4.3.26 Russia 75
4.3.27 Slovakia 76
4.3.28 Slovenia 77
4.3.29 Sweden 78
4.3.30 the Netherlands 79
4.4 Latin America 80
4.4.1 Argentina 80
4.4.2 Belize 81
4.4.3 Bolivia 81
4.4.4 Brazil 82
4.4.5 Colombia 83
4.4.6 Ecuador 84
4.4.7 El Salvador 85
4.4.8 Guatemala 86
4.4.9 Honduras 87
4.4.10 Mexico 88
4.4.11 Panama 89
4.4.12 Peru 90
4.4.13 Uruguay 91
4.5 North America & the Caribbean 92
4.5.1 Barbados 92
4.5.2 Canada 93
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Contents vii
4.5.3 Dominica 94
4.5.4 Jamaica 94
4.5.5 St. Lucia 95
4.5.6 the United States 96
4.6 Oceana 97
4.6.1 Australia 97
4.6.2 Fiji 98
4.6.3 New Caledonia 99
4.6.4 New Zealand 100
4.7 the Middle East 101
4.7.1 Armenia 101
4.7.2 Azerbaijan 102
4.7.3 Bahrain 103
4.7.4 Israel 104
4.7.5 Jordan 105
4.7.6 Kyrgyzstan 106
4.7.7 Pakistan 107
4.7.8 Saudi Arabia 108
4.7.9 Yemen 109
5 DISCLAIMERS, WARRANTEES, AND USER AGREEMENT PROVISIONS 110
5.1 Disclaimers & Safe Harbor 110
5.2 ICON Group Ltd. User Agreement Provisions 111
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New Pneumatic Rubber Tires for Cars, Station Wagons, and Racing Cars in China 8
1 INTRODUCTION AND METHODOLOGY
On the demand side, exporters and strategic planners focusing on new pneumatic rubber tires for
cars, station wagons, and racing cars in China face a number of questions. Which countries are
supplying new pneumatic rubber tires for cars, station wagons, and racing cars to China? How
important is China compared to others in terms of the entire global and regional market? How
much do the imports of new pneumatic rubber tires for cars, station wagons, and racing cars vary
from one country of origin to another in China? On the supply side, China also exports new
pneumatic rubber tires for cars, station wagons, and racing cars. Which countries receive the
most exports from China? How are these exports concentrated across buyers? What is the value
of these exports and which countries are the largest buyers?
This report was created for strategic planners, international marketing executives and
import/export managers who are concerned with the market for new pneumatic rubber tires for
cars, station wagons, and racing cars in China. With the globalization of this market, managers
can no longer be contented with a local view. Nor can managers be contented with out-of-date
statistics which appear several years after the fact. I have developed a methodology, based on
macroeconomic and trade models, to estimate the market for new pneumatic rubber tires for cars,
station wagons, and racing cars for those countries serving China via exports, or supplying from
China via imports. It does so for the current year based on a variety of key historical indicators
and econometric models.
In what follows, Chapter 2 begins by summarizing where China fits into the world market for
imported and exported new pneumatic rubber tires for cars, station wagons, and racing cars. The
total level of imports and exports on a worldwide basis, and those for China in particular, is
estimated using a model which aggregates across over 150 key country markets and projects
these to the current year. From there, each country represents a percent of the world market.
This market is served from a number of competitive countries of origin. Based on both demand-
and supply-side dynamics, market shares by country of origin are then calculated across each
country market destination. These shares lead to a volume of import and export values for each
country and are aggregated to regional and world totals. In doing so, we are able to obtain
maximum likelihood estimates of both the value of each market and the share that China is likely
to receive this year. From these figures, rankings are calculated to allow managers to prioritize
China compared to other major country markets. In this way, all the figures provided in this
report are forecasts that can be combined with internal information sources for strategic planning
purposes.
After the worldwide summary in Chapter 2 of both imports and exports of new pneumatic rubber
tires for cars, station wagons, and racing cars, Chapter 3 goes into detail on imports, but for each
major country of origin serving China. A “major” market is defined as a country where China
represents a substantially large share of either imports or exports. For each major country
exporting to China, one can thus observe how important China is to that exporting country
compared to other countries of the world. Chapter 4 does the same, but for exports of new
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New Pneumatic Rubber Tires for Cars, Station Wagons, and Racing Cars in China 9
pneumatic rubber tires for cars, station wagons, and racing cars originating from China, for each
major country of destination. In doing so, one can discover the share that China has in each
major market; this share value is often used as a measure of competitiveness for China. In all
cases, the total dollar volume and percentage share values by major trading partner are provided.
Combined, Chapters 3 and 4 present a the total picture for imports and exports of new pneumatic
rubber tires for cars, station wagons, and racing cars to and from China to and from all other
major countries in the world. "New Pneumatic Rubber Tires for Cars, Station Wagons, and
Racing Cars" as a category is defined in this report following the definition given by the United
Nations Statistics Division Classification Registry using the Standard International Trade
Classification, Revision 3 (SITC, Rev. 3). The SITC code that defined "new pneumatic rubber
tires for cars, station wagons, and racing cars" is 6251 . For more information on this definition,
please refer to the following web site:
http://unstats.un.org/unsd/cr/registry/regcs.asp?Cl=14&Lg=1&Co=625 .
This report is updated on an annual basis. To ensure that you have the most current version,
please check the web site of ICON Group at www.icongrouponline.com.
Important Caveat. The figures should be seen as market estimates, as opposed to historical
records, as these are forecasted for the current year of trade. More importantly, in light of the fact
that unforeseeable factors might interrupt markets in achieving their reported levels, the figures
should be seen as estimates of potential. For example, "mad cow" disease, foot-and-mouth
disease, trade embargoes, military conflicts, acts of terrorism and other events will certainly
affect the actual trade flows recorded for a variety of industry or product categories. In such
cases, the difference between the numbers given in this report and the numbers actually observed
might be interpreted as the "net loss" or "net gain" due to these exogenous events affecting
regular trade flows that would have occurred had these events not have taken place.
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New Pneumatic Rubber Tires for Cars, Station Wagons, and Racing Cars in China 10
2 CHINA AND THE WORLD MARKET
2.1 IMPORTS IN CHINA IN 2011
Imported New Pneumatic Rubber Tires for Cars, Station Wagons, and Racing Cars
in China, 2011
(Structure of Foreign Import Competition)
Country of Origin Rank Value (000 US$) % Share Cumulative %
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Japan 1 39,703 27.34 27.34
Germany 2 25,401 17.49 44.83
France 3 20,064 13.82 58.64
Thailand 4 16,684 11.49 70.13
South Korea 5 9,851 6.78 76.91
Spain 6 7,445 5.13 82.04
Czech Republic 7 7,433 5.12 87.16
the United States 8 6,078 4.19 91.34
Italy 9 3,135