The 2011 Import and Export Market for Glass in the Mass, Glass Cullet, and Other Waste and Scrap in China by ICONGroup

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									 The 2011 Import and Export
 Market for Glass in the Mass,
 Glass Cullet, and Other Waste
      and Scrap in China




                                         By
                         Professor Philip M. Parker, Ph. D.
                      Chaired Professor of Management Science
                    INSEAD (Singapore & Fontainebleau, France)




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                                About the Author
Dr. Philip M. Parker is the Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Innovation, Business and Society at
INSEAD where he has taught courses on multivariate statistics and global competitive strategy
since 1988. He has also taught courses at MIT, Stanford University, Harvard University, UCLA,
UCSD, and the Hong Kong University of Science and Technology. He is the author of six books
on the economic convergence of nations. These books introduce the notion of “physioeconomics”
which foresees a lack of global convergence in economic behaviors due to physiological and
physiographic forces. His latest book is "Physioeconomics: The Basis for Long-Run Economic
Growth" (MIT Press 2000). He has also published numerous articles in academic journals,
including The Rand Journal of Economics, Marketing Science, the Journal of International
Business Studies, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, International Journal of
Forecasting, the European Management Journal, the European Journal of Operational
Research, Journal of Marketing, International Journal of Research in Marketing, and Journal of
Marketing Research. He is also on the editorial boards of several academic journals.

Dr. Parker received his Ph.D. in Business Economics from the Wharton School of the University
of Pennsylvania and has Masters degrees in Finance and Banking (University of Aix-Marseille)
and Managerial Economics (Wharton). His undergraduate degrees are in mathematics, biology
and economics (minor in aeronautical engineering). He has consulted and/or taught courses in
Africa, the Middle East, Asia, Latin America, North America and Europe.



                                 About this Series
This series was created for international firms who rely on foreign export markets for a
substantial portion of their business or who might be threatened by foreign trade competition.
The estimates given in this report were created using a methodology developed by and under the
direct supervision of Professor Philip M. Parker, the Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Innovation,
Business and Society, at INSEAD. The methodology, relying on historical figures of economic
growth and trade flows, estimates the market shares of some 150 countries for over 500 industrial
or product categories. The figures should be seen as market estimates, as opposed to historical
records, as these are projected for the current year of trade.



                               Acknowledgements
Some of the methodologies and research approaches used in this report have benefited from the
R&D Committee at INSEAD, whose research support is gratefully acknowledged. Additional
editorial assistance from Tiffany LaRochelle, ICON Group International, Inc., is also
acknowledged.



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                           About ICON Group Ltd.
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                                                               Contents        v


Table of Contents
1     INTRODUCTION AND METHODOLOGY                                         6
2     CHINA AND THE WORLD MARKET                                           8
    2.1        Imports in China in 2011                                    8
    2.2        Exports from China in 2011                                  9
3     IMPORTS IN CHINA                                                    10
    3.1        Asia                                                       10
       3.1.1     China                                                    10
       3.1.2     Hong Kong                                                10
       3.1.3     Japan                                                    11
       3.1.4     Malaysia                                                 11
       3.1.5     South Korea                                              12
       3.1.6     Taiwan                                                   12
       3.1.7     Thailand                                                 12
    3.2        Europe                                                     13
       3.2.1     Czech Republic                                           13
       3.2.2     France                                                   13
       3.2.3     Germany                                                  14
    3.3        Latin America                                              14
       3.3.1     Chile                                                    14
    3.4        North America & the Caribbean                              15
       3.4.1     the United States                                        15
4     EXPORTS FROM CHINA                                                  16
    4.1        Asia                                                       16
       4.1.1      China                                                   16
       4.1.2      Hong Kong                                               16
       4.1.3      Japan                                                   17
       4.1.4      Malaysia                                                17
       4.1.5      Singapore                                               18
       4.1.6      South Korea                                             18
    4.2        Europe                                                     19
       4.2.1      Belgium                                                 19
       4.2.2      Czech Republic                                          19
       4.2.3      France                                                  20
       4.2.4      Germany                                                 21
       4.2.5      Ireland                                                 22
       4.2.6      Italy                                                   22
    4.3        North America & the Caribbean                              23
       4.3.1      Aruba                                                   23
       4.3.2      Canada                                                  23
       4.3.3      the United States                                       24
    4.4        Oceana                                                     24
       4.4.1      Australia                                               24
    4.5        the Middle East                                            25
       4.5.1      Israel                                                  25
5     DISCLAIMERS, WARRANTEES, AND USER AGREEMENT PROVISIONS              26
    5.1        Disclaimers & Safe Harbor                                  26
    5.2        ICON Group Ltd. User Agreement Provisions                  27


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                           Glass in the Mass, Glass Cullet, and Other Waste and Scrap in China     6


1      INTRODUCTION AND METHODOLOGY
On the demand side, exporters and strategic planners focusing on glass in the mass, glass cullet,
and other waste and scrap in China face a number of questions. Which countries are supplying
glass in the mass, glass cullet, and other waste and scrap to China? How important is China
compared to others in terms of the entire global and regional market? How much do the imports
of glass in the mass, glass cullet, and other waste and scrap vary from one country of origin to
another in China? On the supply side, China also exports glass in the mass, glass cullet, and
other waste and scrap. Which countries receive the most exports from China? How are these
exports concentrated across buyers? What is the value of these exports and which countries are
the largest buyers?

This report was created for strategic planners, international marketing executives and
import/export managers who are concerned with the market for glass in the mass, glass cullet, and
other waste and scrap in China. With the globalization of this market, managers can no longer be
contented with a local view. Nor can managers be contented with out-of-date statistics which
appear several years after the fact. I have developed a methodology, based on macroeconomic
and trade models, to estimate the market for glass in the mass, glass cullet, and other waste and
scrap for those countries serving China via exports, or supplying from China via imports. It does
so for the current year based on a variety of key historical indicators and econometric models.

In what follows, Chapter 2 begins by summarizing where China fits into the world market for
imported and exported glass in the mass, glass cullet, and other waste and scrap. The total level
of imports and exports on a worldwide basis, and those for China in particular, is estimated using
a model which aggregates across over 150 key country markets and projects these to the current
year. From there, each country represents a percent of the world market. This market is served
from a number of competitive countries of origin. Based on both demand- and supply-side
dynamics, market shares by country of origin are then calculated across each country market
destination. These shares lead to a volume of import and export values for each country and are
aggregated to regional and world totals. In doing so, we are able to obtain maximum likelihood
estimates of both the value of each market and the share that China is likely to receive this year.
From these figures, rankings are calculated to allow managers to prioritize China compared to
other major country markets. In this way, all the figures provided in this report are forecasts that
can be combined with internal information sources for strategic planning purposes.

After the worldwide summary in Chapter 2 of both imports and exports of glass in the mass, glass
cullet, and other waste and scrap, Chapter 3 goes into detail on imports, but for each major
country of origin serving China. A “major” market is defined as a country where China
represents a substantially large share of either imports or exports. For each major country
exporting to China, one can thus observe how important China is to that exporting country
compared to other countries of the world. Chapter 4 does the same, but for exports of glass in the
mass, glass cullet, and other waste and scrap originating from China, for each major country of
destination. In doing so, one can discover the share that China has in each major market; this


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                            Glass in the Mass, Glass Cullet, and Other Waste and Scrap in China     7

share value is often used as a measure of competitiveness for China. In all cases, the total dollar
volume and percentage share values by major trading partner are provided. Combined, Chapters
3 and 4 present a the total picture for imports and exports of glass in the mass, glass cullet, and
other waste and scrap to and from China to and from all other major countries in the world.
"Glass in the Mass, Glass Cullet, and Other Waste and Scrap" as a category is defined in this
report following the definition given by the United Nations Statistics Division Classification
Registry using the Standard International Trade Classification, Revision 3 (SITC, Rev. 3). The
SITC code that defined "glass in the mass, glass cullet, and other waste and scrap" is 66411 . For
more information on this definition, please refer to the following web site:
http://unstats.un.org/unsd/cr/registry/regcs.asp?Cl=14&Lg=1&Co=664 .

This report is updated on an annual basis. To ensure that you have the most current version,
please check the web site of ICON Group at www.icongrouponline.com.

Important Caveat. The figures should be seen as market estimates, as opposed to historical
records, as these are forecasted for the current year of trade. More importantly, in light of the fact
that unforeseeable factors might interrupt markets in achieving their reported levels, the figures
should be seen as estimates of potential. For example, "mad cow" disease, foot-and-mouth
disease, trade embargoes, military conflicts, acts of terrorism and other events will certainly
affect the actual trade flows recorded for a variety of industry or product categories. In such
cases, the difference between the numbers given in this report and the numbers actually observed
might be interpreted as the "net loss" or "net gain" due to these exogenous events affecting
regular trade flows that would have occurred had these events not have taken place.




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                             Glass in the Mass, Glass Cullet, and Other Waste and Scrap in China        8


2       CHINA AND THE WORLD MARKET
2.1         IMPORTS IN CHINA IN 2011
    Imported Glass in the Mass, Glass Cullet, and Other Waste and Scrap in China,
                                          2011
                              (Structure of Foreign Import Competition)

Country of Origin             Rank         Value (000 US$)               % Share        Cumulative %
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
China                             1                     6,824               34.38                   34.38
the United States                 2                     6,695               33.73                   68.11
Japan                             3                     2,366               11.92                   80.03
Czech Republic                    4                     1,302                6.56                   86.59
Germany                           5                     1,245                6.27                   92.86
South Korea                       6                       748                3.77                   96.63
Thailand                          7                       279                1.41                   98.04
Taiwan                            8                       184                0.93                   98.96
Chile                             9                       173                0.87                   99.83
France                           10                        21                0.11                   99.94
Hong Kong                        11                         8                0.04                   99.98
Malaysia                         12                         4                0.02                  100.00
Total                                                  19,849              100.00                  100.00
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
    Source: Philip M. PARKER, Professor, INSEAD, copyright 2011, www.icongrouponline.com




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                             Glass in the Mass, Glass Cullet, and Other Waste and Scrap in China        9


2.2         EXPORTS FROM CHINA IN 2011
  Glass in the Mass, Glass Cullet, and Other Waste and Scrap Exports from China,
                                          2011
Country of Destination        Rank         Value (000 US$)               % Share        Cumulative %
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
China                             1                     6,824               36.80                   36.80
South Korea                       2                     3,272               17.65                   54.45
the United States                 3                     1,561                8.42                   62.86
Japan                             4                     1,368                7.38                   70.24
Czech Republic                    5                     1,269                6.84                   77.09
Malaysia                          6                     1,161                6.26                   83.35
Italy                             7                       885                4.77                   88.12
Hong Kong                         8                       643                3.47                   91.59
France                            9                       581                3.13                   94.72
Germany                          10                       492                2.65                   97.37
Israel                           11                       171                0.92       
								
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