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Tropical Cyclone Vince Update - Tropical Cyclone Vince

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					                          Tropical Cyclone Vince

IDW24000
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Western Australia

TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BULLETIN
Issued at 8:44 am WST on Friday 14 January 2011
BY THE BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH

Tropical Cyclone Vince (Category 1) was located
at 8 am WST near 16.3S 112.5E, that is 650 km
north northwest of Exmouth and moving east
southeast at 17 kilometres per hour.

Tropical Cyclone Vince (Category 1) is not
expected to significantly intensify as it moves
towards the east-southeast during Friday. It is
then expected to curve around and weaken as it
moves back towards the west.

THE CYCLONE                  IS       NOT         EXPECTED                TO       AFFECT             THE   WA
COAST.




Friday, 14 January 2011                                                                  Page 1 of 3



                    Inchcape Shipping Services Pty. Ltd., ACN 084 026 120 ABN 60 084 026 120
          Level 7, Lot 6/20 Hedland Place, Karratha, WA 6414, P.O. Box 1368, Karratha, WA 6714, Australia
                  Tel: +61 8 9185 6319, Fax: +61 8 9185 2971, E-mail: dampier@ISS-Shipping.com.au
                        TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACK MAP

                                         Tropical Cyclone Vince
Issued at 8:50 am WST Friday 14 January 2011. No Tropical Cyclone Advice is current for this system.




Community Threat                                            Past Cyclone Details

 Warning Zone - Gales within 24 hours                         Past Location and Intensity Number

 Watch Zone - Gales from 24 to 48 hours                       Past Track and Movement

Current Cyclone Details                                     Forecast Cyclone Details
                                                            (at 24 and 48 hours from issue)

 Current Location and Intensity Number                        Forecast Location and Intensity Number

 Very Destructive Winds                                       Very Destructive Wind Boundary

Friday, 14 January 2011                                                                   Page 2 of 3



                     Inchcape Shipping Services Pty. Ltd., ACN 084 026 120 ABN 60 084 026 120
           Level 7, Lot 6/20 Hedland Place, Karratha, WA 6414, P.O. Box 1368, Karratha, WA 6714, Australia
                   Tel: +61 8 9185 6319, Fax: +61 8 9185 2971, E-mail: dampier@ISS-Shipping.com.au
 Destructive Winds                                              Destructive Wind Boundary

 Gale Force Winds                                               Gale Force Wind Boundary

                                                                Most Likely Future Track

                                                                Range of Likely Tracks of Cyclone Centre

The forecast path shown above is the Bureau's best estimate of the cyclone's future movement and
intensity. There is always some uncertainty associated with tropical cyclone forecasting and the grey zone
indicates the range of likely tracks of the cyclone centre.

Due to the uncertainty in the future movement, the indicated winds will almost certainly extend to regions
outside the rings on this map. The extent of the warning and watch zones reflects this.

This product is designed for land-based communities; mariners should read the coastal waters and high
seas warnings.


Remarks:

Tropical Cyclone Vince (Category 1) is not expected to significantly intensify as it moves towards the east-
southeast during Friday. It is then expected to curve around and weaken as it moves back towards the
west.

THE CYCLONE IS NOT EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE WA COAST.

Name: Tropical Cyclone Vince

Details:

                                                             Latitude            Longitude          Estimated Position
            Time (WST)          Intensity Category
                                                          (decimal deg.)       (decimal deg.)         Accuracy (km)
 0hr       8 am January 14                1                     16.3S               112.5E                     35
 +6hr      2 pm January 14                1                     16.4S               113.2E                     65
+12hr      8 pm January 14                1                     16.3S               113.8E                     95
+18hr      2 am January 15                1                     16.0S               114.0E                     130
+24hr      8 am January 15           tropical low               15.7S               114.0E                     165
+36hr      8 pm January 15           tropical low               15.4S               113.7E                     240
+48hr      8 am January 16           tropical low               15.2S               112.9E                     295



Information sourced from the Australian Bureau of Meteorology web site - www.bom.gov.au




Friday, 14 January 2011                                                                     Page 3 of 3



                       Inchcape Shipping Services Pty. Ltd., ACN 084 026 120 ABN 60 084 026 120
             Level 7, Lot 6/20 Hedland Place, Karratha, WA 6414, P.O. Box 1368, Karratha, WA 6714, Australia
                     Tel: +61 8 9185 6319, Fax: +61 8 9185 2971, E-mail: dampier@ISS-Shipping.com.au

				
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