Idaho's Nursing Workforce Supply_ Demand_ Challenges _ Opportunities

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							Idaho’s Nursing Work Force
   Aligning Idaho’s Supply and Demand

        Idaho Nursing Workforce Advisory Council
                                January 7, 2009
   Who is responsible
 for this body of work?
Governor Otter’s Nursing Workforce Advisory Council
       What was our charge?


• Advise Policymakers on Nurse
  Work force Shortage

• Develop a Strategic Plan
        What have we done…


• Set the research agenda

• Established a strategic plan

• Charted a course for the future
Let’s get started
                  A Looming Crisis
•   Idaho’s population 55 and older will increase 50 percent by 2016.

•   Idaho nurse-to-citizen ratio is 20+ percent below the national average.

•   Idaho’s nurses are aging
     – One in five is younger than 35
     – Two in five are over age 50

•   Idaho has fewer nurses per capita than any surrounding state except
    Nevada.

•   Idaho needs to position itself to deal with what many believe is a
    looming crisis.
Hospital Expansions
     •   Kootenai Medical Center, Coeur d’Alene
     •   Southwest Idaho Advanced Care Hospital
     •   Portneuf Medical Center, Pocatello
     •   Idaho Complex Care Hospital
     •   State of Idaho Corrections Mental Health
         Hospital
     •   St. Luke’s Hospital, Magic Valley
     •   Franklin Medical Center, Preston
     •   Harms Memorial, American Falls
     •   St. Benedicts, Jerome
     •   Benewah Medical & Wellness Center, Plummer
The Future - 2016


                     Highest
                     Paying
          Most
          Abundant

Fastest
Growing
The Future - 2016


             #1 HOT
              JOB


            2 out of 3
             nursing
            openings

                         Median
  450 per                 hourly
   year                   wage
                         $25.00+
On The Education Front
                 Faculty
                shortage




                                 Lack of
                                facilities
    Funding   Constraints         and
                               equipment




                Too much
               competition
                for clinical
                   sites
A Closer Look at Faculty
                          Faculty
                        Constraints

      Master’s-level                     Two full-time
    faculty earn 65%                   teachers needed
    of private sector                    for every 10
      counterparts                         students




    26% expected                            50%
   to retire by 2013                     over age 50


                           10%
                        under age 40
Nursing Education Facility Expansions

           •   Lewis-Clark State College
           •   College of Western Idaho
           •   College of Southern Idaho
           •   Northwest Nazarene University
           •   North Idaho College
           •   Boise State University
           •   Idaho State University
           •   Stevens Henagar College
           •   Apollo College
Demand for Idaho Nurses

           Net                   Growth =
      replacements                4,200
         = 2,400




                      Chronic
                     vacancies
                       = 900




                7,500
        Demand through 2016
Idaho employers are projected to hire an additional 7,500
Graduate-Level Nurses
    720 over the next decade
Registered Nurses
 5,200 over the next decade
Licensed Practical Nurses
     1,600 over the next decade
   Supply through 2013
Idaho institutions will graduate 9,400 nurses
Graduate-Level Nurses
  21.3% a year or 300 total by 2013
Registered Nurse Graduates
    7% a year or 6,700 total by 2013
     LPN Graduates
Over 1.9% a year or 2,300 total by 2013
    Gap Analysis
When will we reach equilibrium?


    Graduate
     Nurses  • ????

       RNs        • 2012

      LPNs        • 2008
                           Gap Analysis
                              Assumptions

             Projected
              growth
              2006-16                                Projected
                                                     graduates
                                                      2007-13
   LTC
 vacancy
                            Projected
   rate
                             replace-
  14.2%      Demand           ments
applied to
                             2006-16
  12% of
  nurses
                                        RN = 60%
                                                     Supply
                  IHA                                            Account
               vacancy                  LPN = 80%
                                                                 for only
                 rate                   Graduate =
                 6.4%
                                                                 funded
              applied to                   60%
                88% of
                nurses
Gap Analysis
Graduate-Level Nurses
Gap Analysis
 Registered Nurses
Gap Analysis
Licensed Practical Nurses
   Idaho Nursing Workforce Council

  What we’ve Learned…

Supply
  &                      Education                    Faculty
Demand     Demand                      Capacity                  Workload


         Vacancy Rates                Programs                  Recruitment

                                     Clinical Sites              Earnings
           Projected
          Graduations                                               &
                                                                  Wages
  Idaho Nursing Workforce Council

• What we’ve done…
     Survey of Idaho Nursing Programs,
     Spring 2008

     Survey of Idaho Nursing Programs
     Follow-up, Fall 2008

     Presentation to the Idaho State
     Board of Education

     Presentation to the University
     Presidents’ Council
   Idaho Nursing Workforce Council

• Where we’re going…




                                      Develop an
                                    online database
  Vacancy &       Refine graduate                     Expansion
                                     for collecting
turnover survey    cross-match                         survey
                                    annual program
                                          data.
 Coming soon…




Idaho Nursing      Summary of       Aligning Supply with    Governor Otter’s
   Overview         Findings &            Demand           Nursing Workforce
        –       Recommendations               –             Advisory Council
  Full Report            –               PowerPoint              Update
                Executive Summary                                   –
                                                             Talking Points
Goals and Strategies
Goal I: Retain and increase nursing faculty to meet
growing demand.

A. Increase capacity in nursing master’s and doctoral education.
     Expand nursing master’s programs at Idaho institutions.
     Implement nursing doctoral program proposed by Idaho State University.
     Enact legislation to expand opportunities for Idaho residents under compact or contractual
      agreements for nursing doctorate programs.
B. Expand access to nursing doctoral and master’s-level programs for
   educators through scholarships, loan repayment and other incentives.
C. Engage practice staff as affiliate faculty through use of incentives and
   common standards adopted statewide.
D. Increase current nursing faculty salaries over three years to be competitive
   with industry standards.
E. Create opportunities for extended contracts, year-round employment and
   other options to increase earning potential and boost retention of nursing
   faculty.
Goal II:  Continue support for increased educational capacity across
the range of nursing degree options to best meet industry and regional
demand for nurses and improve retention of graduates.

A. Prioritize investment in postgraduate programs which demonstrate the most
   severe shortages.
B. Devote resources to build the instructional and physical infrastructure based on
   regional demand and supply forecasts.
C. Explore opportunities afforded by year-round programs to increase access for
   students, expedite student completion, expand opportunities for clinical sites
   and improve efficiency.
D. Expand access to nursing education and advanced education by implementing
   scholarships, loan forgiveness, stipends and other financial aid.
E. Establish public-private partnerships to ensure nursing education has adequate
   technology, facilities and practice sites.
F. Incorporate innovative practices to enhance educational capacity.
G. Establish public-private initiatives to encourage work force retention in all
   sectors.
Goal III: Sustain the current nursing work force initiative to
ensure the availability of critical work force data for informed
planning.


A. Define the initiative as a center for long-range health care work force
   planning.
     Expand scope and membership to include additional health care disciplines.
     Extend data sharing agreements to other licensing and operating boards.
     Establish timeline and public-private funding mechanism.

B. Provide a compelling collective voice for developing and disseminating
   Idaho nursing work force policy initiatives.
     Develop timely data and share resources to promote strategically driven processes
      for nursing work force issues.
     Develop a strategic plan to implement goals and strategies.
     Provide continued monitoring of progress towards goals.
     Establish effective mechanisms to communicate critical information to
      decision-makers.
     Questions?

      Cheryl Brush
Idaho Department of Labor
     (208) 332-3570
Regional Gap Analysis
Northern Idaho - Region 1
     Graduate-Level Nurses
Northern Idaho - Region 1
       Registered Nurses
Northern Idaho - Region 1
     Licensed Practical Nurses
North Central Idaho - Region 2
        Graduate-Level Nurses
North Central Idaho - Region 2
         Registered Nurses
North Central Idaho - Region 2
       Licensed Practical Nurses
Southwestern Idaho - Region 3
        Graduate-Level Nurses
Southwestern Idaho - Region 3
         Registered Nurses
Southwestern Idaho - Region 3
       Licensed Practical Nurses
South Central Idaho - Region 4
        Graduate-Level Nurses
South Central Idaho - Region 4
         Registered Nurses
South Central Idaho - Region 4
       Licensed Practical Nurses
Southeastern Idaho - Region 5
        Graduate-Level Nurses
Southeastern Idaho - Region 5
         Registered Nurses
Southeastern Idaho - Region 5
       Licensed Practical Nurses
Eastern Idaho - Region 6
     Graduate-Level Nurses
Eastern Idaho - Region 6
      Registered Nurses
Eastern Idaho - Region 6
    Licensed Practical Nurses

						
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