U.S. Navy Leases

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							NEWSLETTI                        JEWISH INSTITUTE FOR NATIONAL SECURITY AFFAIRS
                                                          1411 K Street NW, Suite 1002, Washington, D.C. 20005
                                                                                                                                                                                           I

                                                                                                (202) 347-5425

Vol. 111, No. 31                                                                                                                                                                                        September 1984




NEWSBRIEFS                                                                                                U.S. Navy Leases Israeli
NEW RADAR FOR SOVIETS: Air
Force Magazine reported that the Soviet
Union has developed a new radar
                                           arms sales to Iran, which has not receiv-
                                           ed any substantial hardware in the past
                                           two years.
                                                                                                               KFIR Aircraft
system that can detect and track
                                           IRANIAN JUDGES ATTACK AT UN:
submerged submarines from space. The
                                           A Swedish judge was physically
system is based in the Soviet Salyut
                                           assaulted by two Iranian judges at the
manned space station. The Department
                                           international tribunal at The Hague that
of Defense said that it has no knowledge
                                           is arbitrating financial claims between
that the Soviets have actually made this
                                           the US and Iran. The US proclaimed its
technological breakthrough; however, if
                                           outrage over the incident to Teheran.
such a system does become operational,
it could threaten the United States'
                                           MUBARAK REJECTS QADDAFI OF-
superiority in nuclear missile sub-        FER: President Hosni Mubarak of
marines.                                   Egypt has rejected an offer from
CBO REPORTS ON MERCHANT                    Libya's leader, Col. Muammar Qad-
MARINE: The Congressional Budget           dafi, of $5 billion in return for Egypt's
Office has found that the US merchant      denunciation of the Camp David peace
fleet would be unable to provide ade-      treaty with Israel and the return of a Li-
quate sealift capability in time of war;   byan pilot who defected to Egypt. Presi-
by 1988, the fleet will be 10-257o short   dent Mubarak refused even to receive
of what would be needed to supply          Qaddafi's envoy.
troops in case of a conflict with the
                                           PRESSURE ON LANGE: The ruling
Soviet Union. In addition, US shipyards
                                           Labor Party of New Zealand recently
would fall about 30%o below the level
                                           passed non-binding resolutions calling
needed in 1988. CBO estimated that
                                           on Prime Minister David Lange to pull
Congress will have to allocate sup-
                                           out of the ANZUS defense alliance,
plementary subsidies of up to $4 billion
                                           which includes Australia, the US and
a year in order to correct deficiencies.                                                The Israeli Kfir will enter service to the IJS Navy in 1985.
                                           New Zealand, and to shut down a US
GREEN BERETS REINSTATED: For               Air Force base on New Zealand ter-                       Shoshana Brycn                    arrangement provides a concrete exam-           The Navy is presently conducting a
the first time in a decade, the Army has   ritory.   However,      party    pundits                                                   plec of still-fairly-nebulous US-Israel      competition to buy 24 supersonic planes
reactivated a 776-man Green Beret unit     predicted that these resolutions will not                                                  strategic cooperation, set into motion       to fill adversary roles in training,
                                                                                           "The US Navy has reached an agree-
at Fort Lewis, Washington. The special     become part of Langc's government                                                          early in the year.                           however, those planes will not be
                                                                                        ment with the Government of Israel for
operations unit, which was disbanded       policy.                                                                                        The Kfirs will be used in the Navy's     available until       1987.   The Navy
                                                                                        use of twelve Kfir aircraft in its fleet
after the Vietnam War, specializes in                                                                                                 Adversary Aircraft Program, which is         spokesman said, "This competition is
                                           OTA      SAYS      MORE       MIDEAST        adversary training program." With that
unconventional warfare, such as com-                                                                                                  an outgrowth of combat experience in         totally separate from the unsolicited of-
                                           TRADE: The Office of Technology              statement, U.S. Secretary of the Navy
batting guerrillas.                                                                                                                   Vietnam. Using US aircraft to simulate       fer for the immediate transfer of used
                                           Assessment recommended that the US           John F. Lehman, Jr., tapped Israel to
IRAQ AHEAD: According to a study           adopt a more "coherent" technology           be the first foreign country to supply                                                     Kfirs at no cost from the Government of
by the Senate Foreign Relations Com-       transfer policy, one that is based more      combat aircraft to the United States                                                       Israel to help the Navy alleviate an im-
mittee, Iraq has gained a slight edge in   on economics than on politics. Because       armed forces.                                    "No other aircraft with                   mediate shortfall. The Navy has receiv-
its war with Iran. Iraq has received aid   Middle East oil revenues will decline in        The planes will not arrive at their base      the desired performance                   ed other unsolicited proposals from
from both the US and the Soviet Union      the next decade, the US share of exports     in Oceana Va., until the spring of 1985,                                                   time to time, but after thorough evalua-
                                                                                                                                         can be obtained im-                       tion, it was determined that these pro-
through massive weapons sales and in-      to the region will diminish unless           but prior to that, Navy pilots will be
directly through the US-led embargo of                       ((Conlinued on page 61     training on Kfirs in Israel. The leasing         mediately. "                              osals for various reasons could not meet
                                                                                                                                                                                   Navy requirements."
                                                                                                                                                                                      Aside from ready availability, the
                                                                                                                                      the conditions and tactics of enemy          Navy benefits from the conditions of
                                                                                                                                      planes as closely as possible was found      the lease, which runs from September
                                                                                                                                      to vastly increase pilot performance in      1984 - October 1987; namely, the lease
                                                                                                                                      combat. Since the days of Vietnam, the       is no-cost. The Navy pays nothing for
                                                                                                                                      caliber of planes presumed to pose a         their use.
                                                                                                                                      threat to US pilots has increased, and          The Navy is, however, obligated to
                               The Board of Advisors                                                                                  thus the need for sophisticated training     maintain the planes to Israeli Air Force
                                                                                                                                      planes has increased. Specifically, there    standards, which entails a maintenance
                                      and the                                                                                         is a need to supplement the supersonic       contract with Israel Aircraft Industries
                                                                                                                                                                                   for the fixed price of $68 million. This
                                                                                                                                      planes available to the Navy.
                                Board of Directors                                                                                       The Kfir is a Mach 2 + , single seat,
                                                                                                                                      tactical fighter. Its delta wing design is
                                                                                                                                                                                   may not sound like a bargain, except for
                                                                                                                                                                                   two things: I) any plane, US or foreign,
                                                                                                                                                                                   will have to be maintained at a price,
                                     of JINSA                                                                                         derived from the French Mirage, and is
                                                                                                                                      similar to the USAF F-102 and F-106 of       and a fixed contract protects the in-
                                                                                                                                      the 1950s. The Kfir is capable of            terests of the Navy; and 2) IAI has told
                           with our members and friends                                                                               simulating several types of planes, in-      the Navy it will hire qualified Americans
                                                                                                                                      cluding some types of MiGs, which will       to service the planes at their US base,
                          a happy, healthy and prosperous                                                                             be its primary function in the US. Navy
                                                                                                                                      spokesmen commented that, "while
                                                                                                                                                                                   with IAI engineers serving as con-
                                                                                                                                                                                   sultants.
                                    New Year.                                                                                         several US and foreign technology air-
                                                                                                                                      craft are potentially capable of perform-
                                                                                                                                                                                      Asked to speculate on why the Israeli
                                                                                                                                                                                   government had offered the Kfirs, the
                                                                                                                                      ing the adversary training mission, the      spokesman said, "The US Navy cannot
                                                                                                                                      US has accepted Israel's no-cost offer of    speak for the government of Israel.
                                                                                                                                      the Kfirs because no other aircraft with     However, there has long been a close
                                                                                                                                      the desired performance can be obtain-       relationship    between our govern-
                                                                                                                                      ed immediately."                             ments."
September 1984                                                                                                                                                       Page 2



EDITORIALS                                                                                                                                NEWSLETTER
                                                                                                                                       The Jewish Institute is committed
                                                                                                                                       to explaining the link between U.S.
                                                                                                                                       national security and Israel's
                                                                       One of the key elements in these successes has been the         security, and assessing what we can
       Strategic Cooperation                                        confidential nature of the cooperation talks. Away from the
                                                                                                                                       and must do to strengthen both.

                                                                    glare of publicity, professional officers have been allowed to
             is Working                                             pursue the congruence of their countries' needs and abilities.
                                                                                                                                       Board of Advisors
                                                                                                                                       Senator Rudy Boschwitz
                                                                    Left undisturbed, in the growing atmosphere of trust and           Lt. Gen. Devol Brett (Ret.)
   The announcement late last year of closer US-Israel              confidence, the US military establishment may look upon
                                                                                                                                       Dr. Lawrence Goldmuntz
                                                                                                                                       The Honorable Jack Kermp
strategic cooperation was greeted with some skepticism by           Israel as a full partner in defense of Western interests, and      I.L. Kenen
those who remembered the failure of the public 1981 agree-          Israel may have greater assurance of her role in Western           Professor Walter laqucur
                                                                                                                                       Max M. Kampelman
ment; by those who consider it a ruse for Israel to drain US        security. Such an outcome would serve us all, and seems more       Ivan Novick
resources; and by those who simply couldn't imagine the Pen-        plausible now than ever in the past.                               Professor Eugene V. Rostow
                                                                                                                                       Edward Sanders
tagon and the Israel Defense Forces cooperating at all. This                                                                           Lt. Cien. Eugene Tighe (Ret.)
autumn, the skeptics are quiet, as cooperation proceeds                                                                                Jacques Torezyner
apace.                                                                                                                                 General John Vogt (Ret.)
                                                                                                                                       Gordon Zacks
   The lease by the US Navy of 12 Israeli Kfir aircraft (see ac-                                                                       Admiral Elmo Zumwalt (Ret.)
companying article) is but the latest in a series of ar-
rangements proving that both sides have much to gain by
                                                                      Waste, Fraud & Defense                                           Board of Directors
quiet talks. In closely guarded privacy, Israeli and American         Dollars: Caveat Emptor?                                          Saul I. Stern, President
                                                                                                                                       Herbert A. Fierst, Chairman
defense and security professionals have wrestled with the                                                                                of the Board
definition and tested elements of strategic cooperation. Now,          There are discrete areas of discussion in deciding how US       Elliot H. Cole, Vice President
                                                                                                                                       Nathan Golden, Vice President
close ties between the US and Israel have resulted in each          defense dollars can best be allocated. Some issues raised in       Lyle Ryter, Vice President
country being able to offer specific solutions to each other's      these areas are spurious, put forward by those who would           Seymour S. Abensohn, Treasurer
                                                                                                                                       Stephen Rosen, Secretary
and mutual problems. The Kfir lease, for example, was the           simply abhor the military, but some merit serious attention
result of an unsolicited offer by Israel to offset a known shor-    and definition. These are of three different types. First, there   Stanford Adelstein
                                                                                                                                       Rabbi Leon Adler
tage of supersonic aircraft in the Navy's adversary training        is an overall policy discussion-the merits of a 600 ship Navy      Morris J. Amitay
program.                                                            based around carrier task groups vs. a larger number of            Phillip Aronoff
   Earlier this year, a new Memorandum of Agreement cover-          smaller, less expensive ships; existing B-i bombers vs. future     Herschel Auerbach
                                                                                                                                       Stanley Baruch
ing military trade was signed. Heavy emphasis was placed on         horizon Stealth bombers, etc.                                      Stanley Bcrenzweig
providing opportunities for Israel to produce items for US             Second is the issue of waste. There is no excuse for several-   Diane Blumberg
                                                                                                                                       I lerschel Blumberg
military use, and on agreement by the US to facilitate Israel's     hundred-dollar flashlights or several-thousand-dollar lad-         Marvin Blumberg
entry into competition for military procurements.                   ders. However, contracts can be renegotiated, refunds col-         William Bryen
                                                                                                                                       Clement Caditz
   During the summer, joint medical exercises were held.            lected and life set right again. The Navy, in particular, has a    Alvin S. Cohen
Despite carping from some who would have preferred more             solid record of finding exhorbitant charges and obtaining          Melvin S. Cohen
prestigious-sounding military exercises, the medical agree-         refunds. The same is true of tightening work schedules,            S. Robert Cohen
                                                                                                                                       Brant Coopersmtith
ment has important ramifications for the US. It breaks an old       limiting cost overruns and introducing competitive bidding.        Jerome .1. Dick
American inhibition against advance planning for the use of            Third is a most serious issue: that of shoddy work and im-      Howard I. Friedman
                                                                                                                                       Norman I. Gelman
medical facilities offered to us by other countries. In previous    proper or insufficient testing. This affects US military           Leon Genet
Pentagon plans, casualties sustained in the Persian Gulf            readiness and effectiveness, and the very lives of American        Dr. Leon Gerber
                                                                                                                                       Douglas Giant
would have been sent to US facilities at Diego Garcia (2000         service personnel. There can be no compromise on the issue         Robert Goldmnann
miles away), and we refused a French offer to formulate a           of quality control, and we commend the Pentagon for taking         Carl Henry
                                                                                                                                       Harlan Hockenberg
contingency plan for the use of French hospitals during a war       a tough position. Several months ago, the Navy stopped ac-         Matthew Jordan
in Europe. The US-Israel agreement paves the way for us to          cepting Phoenix missiles from the Hughes Aircraft Corp.,           1. Samuel Kaminsky
look at other friendly offers of medical assistance, perhaps        and the Air Force stopped accepting Maverick missiles from         Jerome Katzin
                                                                                                                                       Galen Kelly
saving American lives in the future. Following the most re-         Hughes in August. The Department of Defense is now con-            Marvin Klemow
cent attack against Americans in Lebanon, there was im-             sidering whether Texas Instruments is criminally or civilly        Leo Kramer
                                                                                                                                       Michael l.edeen
mediate contact between the US and Israel, to determine the         liable for shipping improperly tested microchips to manufac-       Rabbi Shmuel Lefkowitz
American need and Israel's ability to help. Four Americans          turers of weapon systems.                                          Nathan L.ewin
                                                                                                                                       Bryan Littlefield
were treated at Tel Aviv.                                              Consider this-thus far, the parameters of the Texas In-         David Medin
   The US Sixth Fleet now routinely calls at Haifa, and the         strument "suspect chip" problem include 1700-4700 different        Robert Meyersburg
                                                                    types of chips sold to up to 300 companies, including IBM,         Myron Milder
USO has built a facility there. Israel benefits economically                                                                            Dr. Herbert Paper
and by the deterrent power of the Fleet.                            General Dynamics, Northrop and Lockheed, and all the               Rabbi Stanley Rabinowitz
   The most recent example of cooperation, the Kfir lease,          paperwork isn't in yet. Even if the chips are found not to be       Leon Reiskin
                                                                                                                                        Robert Reisman
marks the first time the US armed forces have utilized a            defective, the money spent by DoD to clarify the issue will be     Susan Rolnick
foreign-built combat plane. The Kfirs will be used for train-       astounding.                                                         Betty Sachs
                                                                                                                                        Marvin Selig
ing, not for combat. Israeli Remotely Piloted Vehicles                 While contractors need some protection against baseless in-      Jack Serber
(drones) are entering the US military inventory as well.            vestigations by the Pentagon, the responsibility for careful        Cecile Shure
                                                                                                                                        Professor Seymour Siegel
   In each case, there was a need to be filled, and Israel filled   production and proper testing belongs to the contractor.            Rabbi Matthew Simon
it in a manner which benefitted both countries. This is the         Should contractors be proven negligent, the cost and liability      Robert Slavilt
essence of cooperation between allies.                              should be theirs as well. Quite properly, DoD is holding the        Samuel Stroum
                                                                                                                                        Dr. George 'l ievsky
   These examples obviate at least two major concerns of            threat of decertification for defense work over the heads of        Dr. Bruno Weinschel
those who had been skeptical. First, it cannot be said that         contractors whose work is substandard. Too many lives are at        Bernard S. White
                                                                                                                                        Robert 1. Widder
cooperation with Israel is solely a drain on US resources-the       stake to do otherwise.                                              Matthew Wittenstein
investment of US military aid has paid dividends for US                                                                                 Leonard A. Zax
                                                                                                                                        Harriet Zimmermran
security. Second, for those who were concerned about the
possible effect of US-Israel cooperation on US-Arab rela-                                                                               Staff
tions, it is now clear that none of the proposals implemented                           We solicit                                     Shoshana Brycn, Executive
thus far poses any threat to Arab countries. In fact,                                                                                    Director, Managing Editor
"moderate, pro-Western" Arabs benefit insofar as the                                  your comments.                                   Frank Hoeber, Contributing
                                                                                                                                         Editor
overall US position and ability to operate effectively in the                                                                          Leon Sloss, Contributing
                                                                                                                                         Editor
region have been enhanced.
September 1984                                                                                                                                                                                                                Page 3



                                                                                                                                                                                           or Spain) or to the westward-leaning
    Major Issues In National                                                                                                                                                               Arab states of the Persian Gulf. Japan
                                                                                                                                                                                           could take on a major role in helping in

       Security: Part II                                                                                                                                                                   the defense and economic development
                                                                                                                                                                                           of China. Japan could play a major role
                                                                                                                                                                                           in reducing western dependence on Per-
                                An interview with                                                                                                                                          sian Gulf oil by developing alternate
                                                                                                                                                                                            fossil fuel sources such as shale and tar
                               Leonard Sullivan, Jr.                                                                                                                                       sands (together with Canada perhaps);
                                                                                                                                                                                           and possibly by developing permanent
Editor's Note: The Honorable Leonard              equally      frustrating     to     Soviet                                                                                               repositories for disposing of nuclear
Sullivan, Jr., has been involved in US            political/economic ambitions.                                                                                                            energy waste material.
national security matters for over 35               This second view interprets the Soviet                                                                                                     A greater role in Third World
years. He was a weapon designer in the            military build-ups as a capital invest-                                                                                                  economic assistance might also lower
defense industry Jbr 15 years, followed           mrent in intimlidation, not an expense ac-                                                                                               the requirements for rapid deployment
by 12 years in the Department of                  count for ravaging their wealthy                                                                                                         military forces around the world, and
Defense. From 1973 to 1976, he served             neighbors. It senses a rational accom-                                                                                                   even in our own hemisphere. A total
as Assistant Secretary of Dejense for             modation between the conflicting ex-                                                                                                     Japanese commitment of two or three
Program Analysis and Evaluation.                  pansionist interests held by the Soviet                                                                                                  percent of their GNP across these areas
 Since then he has been an independent            State and by its Commlunist Party. In                                                                                                    on a continuing basis could make a very
consultant, and has worked with such              general, this view believes that the Party                                                                                               substantial impact on the long-term
organizations as the Atlantic Council of          gets to exercise its demonstrably unsuc-                                                                                                 security of the West. It could also
the United States, the Committee on the           cessful ideological proselytizing only                                                                                                   enhance Japan's image as a full fledged
Present Danger, the Republican Na-                where important State interests are not                                                                                                  and responsible member of the Western
tional Committee, and the Heritage                at stake. It assumes that the Soviets                                                                                                    coalition.
Foundation. Mr. Sullivan went on the              realize a communist Western Europe is                                                                                                    BRYEN: Well, sir, there doesn't seem
second JINSA tour to Israel, and agreed           beyond the pale; that the Soviets would                                                                                                  to be any lack of ideas for improving
 to this interview with .IINSA 's Ex-                                                                                                                                                      our overall Western security posture.
ecutive Director, Shoshana Brven.                                                               Leonard Sullivan, Jr.                                                                      Do you think any of these notions of
   Part I appeared in the August                                                                                                                                                           yours will be accepted?
 Newsletter, but we will begin hyv                   "The reformists are                       rescue? Instead of facing these pro-          BRYEN: Let's leave the NA TO war-             SULLIVAN: I have no illusions about
 repeating Mr. Sullivan's thoughts on the            really proposing a sort                   blems, the military, aided by high-           fighting issues and look at the Pacific       these suggestions being accepted as ex-
future of NA TO.                                                                               technology enthusiasts, is busy figuring      ,fora mtinute. Is there any solution to the   pressed, but they are probably along the
                                                     of un-A inerican
                                                                                               out how to offset a massive numerical         Japanese unwillingness to increase their      right track. Very little is likely to be
                                                     peacetime solution:                       inferiority with sophisticated, precision     defense spending?                             done, however, unless the West comes
                                                     establishing a standard                   guided munitions which cannot attack          SUI..IVAN: There are a lot of poten-          to realize collectively that the "correla-
SULLIVAN: I see several fundamental                  of fighting well below                    targets they cannot see. There is             tial solutions, but most of theim arc pro-    tion of forces" is still shifting slowly but
issues crying for serious attention.                                                           material here that would have delighted       bably not practical. We could try to          steadily in the wrong direction. There is
Nobody really backs off and asks what
                                                     our standard of living."                  Gilbert & Sullivan-or Freud.                  establish import and export duties to         no way that the US can stop that shift
we would like NATO to look like, say,                                                          BRYFEN: Speaking of high tech/nology,         recoup some of the funds we are spen-         by itself. I doubt it can, or should, be
ten or fifteen years hence. Instead, we                                                        there seems to he a growing rnovemrent        ding on their belalf. We could arbitrari-     stopped with military forces alone. In
keep arguing for the near-term status             never go to war to reunify the two Ger-      for military ''reJormt ". )on't these peo-    ly reduce our forces in the Northwest         many cases, the required changes will
quo, despite the staggering changes in            manies; and that a war-ravaged,              pie think that our military equipment i.      Pacific and force them to take up the         disturb the equanimity of some of our
the overall superpower balance over the           disgruntled EEC cannot appear half as        already too comnplicated?                     slack. We could try to exclude both           current institutions. I cannot imagine
past two decades. The longer we put off           attractive to the Soviets as the one they    SULLIVAN: The reformists are a                Canada and Japan from membership in           that the Defense Department or
the necessary restructuring, the more             now do business with. I suspect that the     peculiar      combination      of     well-   the economic summit on the basis of            NATO-or the Statle Departmint for
anachronistic and counter-productive              Europeans-including their military--         intentioned people and one-purpose en-        security non-compliance. Most of these        that matter-would take the lead in rais-
the whole situation becomes.                      lean towards the latter view, while ac-      thusiasts pushing for specific lower cost     threats won't work as long as                 ing these issues.
BRYEN: Would Israel have a largerrole             cusing the American "cowboys" of cl-         weapon systems which they believe             Americans base their leadership of the            There has to be some broader forum,
to play in your version of a properly             inging to the hopelessly simplistic bar-     would perform more effectively under          West on popularity rather than respect.       possibly coupled directly to the political
balanced W'estern          securit'     con-      barian view. But if it keeps the US in       realistic wartime conditions. They are         In any event, many countries around the      or legislative leadership of the Western
glomerate?                                        place and involved, they wink: so be it,     mostly civilian analysts incidentally,        Pacific aren't crazy about a far larger       countries, that develops some longer
SULLIVAN: They certainly would.                   just ignore it, and act reluctant.           which doesn't make them wrong, but            Japanese        military    establishment.     range blueprint for the future security
And so would several other countries              BKYEN: And you think the current             does make their military judgment              Besides, I see some less antagonistic        of the West. It is only within that
who have demonstrated their desire to             ,miilitarv posture in NA IO supports this    somewhat suspect. If we actually went         alternatives    which     would operate       broader context that some of these
accept the overall values and respon-             rather clnical view?                         to war and undertook a big industrial         positively on the overall "currelalion of      issues can be usefully addressed, and the
sibilities of the Western way of life. We         SULLIVAN: Yes M'am, I do. There is           mobilization like in World War 11, 1           forces".                                      necessary changes willingly made.
need to develop a whole new structure             an inescapable aura of charade about         suspect a lot of our hastily-produced            Western security could also be              Meanwhile, we must continue to sup-
of strategic cooperation with the up-             the whole posture. How otherwise can         equipment would satisfy the reformlists.      substantially improved by pressing             port strong alliances and strong US
and-coming democracies. Our "club of              you       explain    our    military-and     The question, of course, is whether a         Japan to accept a very major role in           defense budgets.
allies"    needs new and younger                  political-acquiescence to a "sus-            primarily deterrent 'orce would be            military assistance to our less wealthy           Thank you for letting me ventilate in
members. We have been static too long.            tainability" posture so inadequate that      enhanced by having this equipment in-         NATO allies (such as Turkey, Greece,           views, Mrs. Bryen.
I certainly share JINSA's interests in            NATO's          Supreme      Commander       stead of what we have. In general, those
improving US/Israeli strategic coopera-           repeatedly promises to escalate rapidly      who advocate simpler equipment also
tion. And that same approach can apply
elsewhere.
                                                  to nuclear weapons because his forces
                                                  will run out of basic ammunition in the
                                                                                               imply the need for more of it. That
                                                                                               means larger standing forces, and thus                               PENTAGON
BRYEN: Well. assuming you can't                   first few days of war? How else can you      higher peacetime operating costs. It's a
remake the whole world, let'.s get back
to some of the lesser improvements
                                                  explain keeping hundreds, if not
                                                  thousands, of expensive allied aircraft
                                                                                               no-win situation. Their ideas would not
                                                                                               really noticeably reduce defense spen-
                                                                                                                                                                     FLY-IN VI
needed in NA TO. Explain why you                  on airfields within Soviet rocket and        ding. They stop well short of the real
think the European NA TO leadership               sapper attack range without shelters?        warfighter's advocacy for preponderant                              31 October-1 November
doesn't think it needs to be preparedfor          How can you then explain a reinforce-        inventory advantage.
a war.                                            ment plan that involves rapidly sending          The reformists are really proposing a
SULLIVAN: I see two differing views               more US aircraft to those same fields        sort of un-American peacetime solu-
                                                                                                                                                 * The subject is the readiness of US
of the goals of the Soviet empire. The            before the war begins, and usurping the      tion: establishing a standard of fighting         forces
barbarian view holds that the Soviets,            few shelters that could be used by our       well below our standard of living. It also
given half a chance, would overrun                allies? Why else would sixteen nations       inescapably appears motivated not by              * Meet the men and women in charge and
 Western Europe, reduce it to ashes and           plan on a war in which they cannot           greater force effectiveness, but by lower
enslave its people. In this view, only the        always communicate reliably, identify        defense spending. They seem to lean to            discuss the implications for the US and
 NATO forces have deterred such ag-               each other as friend or foe, or even swap    the common view among Democrats
                                                                                                that all expensive weapons arc bad, and
                                                                                                                                                 our allies
gression. The more sophisticated view             basic ammunition?
 holds that the Soviets are still sinister, if'      How do you explain masses of              that all expensive strategies are wrong.
 not evil, but that they plan to frighten         forward-stored US equipment (for our          In sum, I think the reformists are pro-
                                                                                                                                                 * Visit the National Military Command
 the Europeans into political subser-             Army reinforcements) that can't be used      bably a useful adjunct to the defense             Center
 vience. Then they could reap the                 or maintained by our allies themselves?      debate, as long as their views influence
 rewards of the West European                     How do you explain a several hundred          future military designs without distor-          * Visit the Israeli Embassy
 economies and eliminate Western                  mile vulnerable land border with the         ting our near-term posture. We do need
 threats both to the Soviets and to the           enemy without a single Western barrier        some counterweight to our cultural               There are only a few spaces left for this unique
 stability of their increasingly antsy East       in place against an invasion by heavy ar-     tendency towards over-sophistication.
                                                                                                                                                 seminar
 European allies. This view holds that            mored vehicles? How do you explain            Nevertheless,       our     technological
 the major NATO contribution has been             large numbers of European reservists          superiority complex probably does tend           Cost: $200
 to deter the disintegration of Western           with no military equipment to fight           to exacerbate the Soviet technological
 European will and cooperation: not an            with, while we maintain fully equipped        inferiority complex. This is where the           Call to register: (202) 347-5425
 insignificant     accomplishment,        and     reserve units in the US to go to their         "arms race" really resides.
September 1984                                                                                                                                                                                                              Page 4




           The Iran-Iraq War: Options                                                                                                         ceed the mullahs-i.e., the regular
                                                                                                                                              military forces (as opposed to the
                                                                                                                                               Revolutionary Guards) and the middle
                                                                                                                                                                                          army and air force and strengthen their
                                                                                                                                                                                          position versus the Revolutionary
                                                                                                                                                                                          Guards; it would also be seen as a
                                                                                                                                              class. There are clear indications that     positive signal of U.S. intentions with

              for the United States                                                                                                           many members of these groups would
                                                                                                                                              eagerly restore Iran to the Western
                                                                                                                                              camp if the United States were to make
                                                                                                                                                                                          significant potential benefits.
                                                                                                                                                                                             Compared to these benefits, the costs
                                                                                                                                                                                          of such policy would be minimal.
                                                                                                                                              it possible for them to do so.              Essentially they would amount to loud
                                                  Raphael Danziger and Phil Baum                                                                  Viewed from this perspective, the       protests and threats by Iraq and the
                                                                                                                                              pronounced and well-publicized U.S.         Gulf Arab oil producers. In view of the
                                                                                                                                              tilt toward Iraq and its Gulf Arab allies   oil glut and the desperate dependence on
Ld. Note. Mr. DLanciger and Mr. Buuin          urges the Administration to restrain             stated that "certain Zionist elements"        may well be miscalculated. Nothing has      U.S. security cooperation displayed by
are memberd' of the Conmmiission on In-        Iraq directly and through its Arab               were behind this charge (Le Monde,            united the Iranian population behind        Saudi Arabia, these would not need to
ternational Affairs of the A merican           financial backers rather than merely             Paris, March 8); two months later,            the mullahs as has the war with Iraq,       be taken too seriously.
Jewish Congress. The following is ex-          threaten Iran. In particular, Iraq should        President Hussein himself indicated he       and no Iranian can contemplate even
cerpted hy permission.                         be warned that further attacks on Iran's         was not interested in an early resump-       clandestine overtures toward the United
                                               oil terminal at Kharg Island would not           tion of diplomatic relations with            States as long as it openly supports Iraq
   In what was perhaps the most candid,        be tolerated.                                    Washington and said he believed the          and its allies. A public U.S. detachment
concise, and perspicacious statement              With the tanker war out of the way,           United States was attempting to use the       from Iraq and from its allies in their         Perhaps the most effec-
coming out of the Administration with          the U.S. position would markedly im-             Persian Gulf war to further its own aims     capacity as adversaries of Iran and the         tive thing... would be
regard to the Iran-Iraq war, Assistant         prove. The specter of direct U.S.                and those of Israel under the pressure of    resumption of strict neutrality would
Secretary of State for Near Eastern and        military involvement would fade. The             "Zionist influence" (Washington Post,        greatly facilitate the arduous task of the
                                                                                                                                                                                             (for the US) to end its
South Asian Affairs Richard W. Mur-            panicky requests for emergency U.S.              May 13).                                     pro-American elements in Iran without           one-sided blockade of
phy recently told Congress that "a vic-        arms shipments to the wobbly Gulf                   Further, Iraq's abominable human          risking an Iraqi defeat.                        arms sales to Iran.
tory by either side is neither militarily      Arab regimes would cease. And the                rights record raises some moral ques-             Perhaps the most effective thing the
achievable nor strategically desirable"        unhealthy nervousness in the interna-            tions as to the U.S. tilt toward that         United States could do for the potential-
(New York Times, June 12).                     tional oil market would dissipate.               country. In its Countrv Report on            ly pro-U.S. Iranian elements without
                                                                                                Human Rights Practices for 1983, the         compromising       its neutral position
                                                                                                State Department says that Amnesty In-       would be to end its one-sided blockade                        Conclusion
    Iran is by far the most important state in the Middle                                       ternational has submitted to the Iraqi       of arms sales to Iran. This may be con-          To conclude: Despite the apparent
                                                                                               authorities the names of 114 people who       sidered a risk, but at present, with U.S.    differences, there is a substantial
   East. It is the only country... which borders both on                                        have disappeared since they were             blessing, Iraq is awash with advanced        overlap between the American and
   the Soviet Union and the Persian Gulf, and it has a                                          reported arrested between 1979 and           European and Soviet arms while Iran is        Israeli interests in the Iran-Iraq war.
   long border with Soviet-controlled Afghanistan...(it) is                                     1982 (p. 1271). The State I)epartment        starved for arms, ammunition, and            Both would suffer from an Iraqi vic-
   the only butfer between the USSR and the West's                                             also states that "both physical and           spare parts due to the heavy U.S.            tory; both are interested in the
                                                                                               psychological torture are extensively us-     pressures on its allies to stop all arms     maintenance of a viable Iranian state;
   principal source of oil.                                                                    ed by Iraqi authorities" (p. 1271)-a          shipments to Iran: While the Iranians        and both would benefit immensely from
                                                                                               particularly frightening feature since        have been able to purchase "nonlethal"       the replacement of the Khomeini regime
                                                                                               over 13,000 political prisoners are           hardware fronm govermntent-licensed          by a pro-Western government. These
    Indeed, neither Iraq nor Iran seem         Gulf shipping." Mr. Johansen rightly            detailed in one Iraqi jail alone (p. 1271).   Western manufacturers and light armns        common interests should provide a solid
able to win the war. Against Iran's ad-            While working out ways for ending           And finally, the State Department             from international dealers, modern ma-       basis for broadening the recently con-
 vantages in population, religious zeal,        tile tanker war, the Administration            report says "over 30,000 Iranians and         jor weapons         systems have been        cluded U.S.-Israeli strategic coopera-
and oil income, Iraq has the edge in            could simultaneously reconsider its             Iraqis of known or alleged descent were      unavailable from either source. This has     tion agreement to include coordination
military hardware and heavily fortified         broader strategy toward Iran and Iraq.         summarily expelled to Iran in April 1980      not only created a gaping military im-       of the two nations' policies toward the
defenses. While another Iraqi invasion          Even the most cursory glance at the map        and tens of thousands more reportedly         balance between the two nations; it has      Iran-Iraq war.
of Iran is inconceivable, the repeated          reveals that in geopolitical terms, Iran is    expelled subsequently" (p. 1273).             also increased the relative strength of          Unquestionably, the Iran-Iraq war
delays in the promised Iranian offenisive       by far the most important state in the             This, of course, is not to say that the   the Revolutionary Guards in Iran's arm-      poses a dilemma and a challenge for
have diminished the chances of its suc-         Middle East. It is the only country in the     United States should now start wooing         ed forces at the expense of the regular      Israel, the United States, and indeed all
cess. If the Iranian offensive is ever          area which borders both on the Soviet           Iran; anti-Americanism is intrinsic to       army, air force, and navy to the extent      the nations of the West. It demands
mounted-\which is far from cer-                 Union and on the Persian Gulf and it           the Khomeini regime. Nor, for reasons         that a takeover by the Guards after          carefully calibrated statesmanship and
tain-the outcome is likely to be as in-         has a long border with Soviet-controlled       expounded earlier, would it be desirable      Khomeini's death becomes a real              sensitivity to the current state of
conclusive as was that of the previous          Afghanistan as well. In other words,           for the United States to do anything that     possibility. At a time when Iraq has         diplomatic, and especially military,
 Iranian offensives. Iraq's failure to cut      Iran is the only buffer between the            might lead to an Iranian victory. A           nearly 2,500 tanks versus Iran's 400 and     balance. The course recommended in
off Iranian oil exports through attacks         USSR and the West's principal source           careful calibration of U.S. policy is call-   330 functioning warplanes against 35-40      this paper admittedly is not without
on oil tankers has dashed its hope of br-       of oil. Iraq, by contrast, has no border       ed for. Well short of a drastic policy        (Washington Post, February 24; New           risk. There are no sure things in interna-
inging Iran to its knees economically,          at all with the Soviet Union, and              reversal, the Administration could do          York Times, July 21) and when fresh         tional relations. But on the basis of all
while Iraq's own economy has rebound-           whereas Iran borders on the entire             much to improve its position vis-a-vis        Soviet and French arms shipments have        we currently know and can reasonably
ed from Iran's protracted war of attri-         length of the Persian Gulf, Iraq has only      Iran, keeping in mind the possibility         tipped the balance even further in Iraq's    predict, modification of present U.S.
tion. The two adversaries are thus com-        a toehold on its northern shore. Fur-           that the mullahs' regime will rnot long       favor, the supply by Western nations of      policy would seem best calculated to
pletely stalemated.                            thermore, Iran's territory is nearly four       endure beyond Khomeini. The primary           a small number of tanks and warplanes        prevent the war in the Persian Gulf
    It is equally true that a victory by       times larger than Iraq's and its popula-        U.S. objective would be to strengthen         could not lead to an Iranian victory. It     from yielding a permanent, and even
either Iran or Iraq would haril                tion three times larger; Iran has larger        those groups in Iran most likely to suc-      could greatly improve the morale of the      more costly and dangerous, legacy.
American interests. An Iranian victory         proven oil reserves than does Iraq; Iran
would most likely cause the violent            has had historical continuity as a
replacement of the Gulf Arab conser-           distinct, independent state with a
vative regimes by Islamic fundamen-            cohesive population whereas Iraq was
talists implacably hostile to the West.        for hundreds of years a backwater of
An Iraqi triumph would place these             the Ottoman Empire, deeply divided
                                                                                               r----------------------------------------
regimes at the mercy of a greatly              between Sunnis and Shiites; and while
strengthened Iraq which is still closely       Iraq has closely cooperated with the                     Subscribe                                                                                                                  I
tied to tile Soviet Union. For starters,       Soviet Union since tile 1950's, Iran has
 Iraq would probably revive its 1961           never worked with the Soviets and was
                                                                                                        (or send a gift to someone who needs to be informed)                                                                       I
claim to sovereignty over Kuwait.              allied with the United States until 1979.
    The U.S. tilt toward Iraq was largely      Even under Khomeini, the Iranians are                       An annual subscription to the JINSA Newsletter is $30.00. It is a small price to
designed to help prevent an Iranian vic-       fully aware of tile Soviet threat. Thus,                 pay to better understand American defense and security needs and how a firm
tory. If, as Mr. Murphy stated, such vic-      the monthly publication The Middle
tory is no longer achievable nor is an         East quotes Iranian analysts as saying                   strategic relationship between the US and Israel can benefit both countries.                                               I
Iraqi victory desirable, the tilt has clear-   that next year the Soviet Union will need                  JINSA is the only Jewish organization solely devoted to explaining the link bet-
ly lost its raison d'etre. The calm at-        to begin importing oil and will "spread
mosphere produced by the Iranian-Iraqi         its tentacles into the oil regions of the                ween US national security and Israel's security, and assessing what we can and
stalemate and the OPEC oil glut should         world" (July 1984, p. 17).                               must do to strengthen both.
 facilitate the careful consideration of an                    Iran vs. Iraq
alternative Gulf strategy.                         For all these reasons, it is evident that            Name
          Stopping the Tanker War              the United States simply cannot afford
    Clearly, America's first priority is to    giving up on Iran: Iraq is clearly not in
 stop the attacks on oil tankers in the        the same league and its pro-Soviet                       Address
 Gulf. As indicated earlier, Iraq has in-      record does not bode well for any U.S.          I                                                                                                                                   I
 itiated these attacks and Iran has only       attempt to win it from tlhe Soviets. Even
 retaliated on a much smaller scale. As        during the height of the U.S. tilt toward
 Robert C. Johansen points out in a New        Iraq, the Iraqi defense minister Adnan                    Make checks payable to JINSA and send to 1411 K Street, NW, Suite 1002,                                                   1
 York Times Op-Ed (June 26), "Iraqi at-        Khairallah (who is also President Hus-
 tacks were encouraged...by the Ad-            sein's brother-in-law) called the State
                                                                                                         Washington, D.C. 20005. JINSA is a non-profit, tax-exempt educational organization.
 ministration's promise to use force           Department's charge that Iraq had used
 against any Iranian attempt to block          poison gas "political hypocrisy" and
September 1984
                                                       September
                                                            1984                                                                                                                                                         Pare 5~~~~~~~~~~~~
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Paoe S




                Libya and Morocco: a Treaty of                                                                                           by an article that prohibits conflicting
                                                                                                                                         treaties with third nations.
                                                                                                                                            More specifically, any hopes that the          "(We are) aware of
                 Convenience or Catastrophe?                                                                                             US has placed on Hassan as peacemaker
                                                                                                                                         in the Arab-Israeli conflict have been            the dangers con-
                                                                                                                                         dashed. The treaty states that the two           fronting the Arab
                                                       by Marlene Korenstein                                                             nations are:
                                                                                                                                         ...aware of the dangers conlronting the           nation... and
    Col. Muammar Qaddafi, ruler of            Arab world is most useful". During the          The economic advantages that may
 libya, is a man who, since his               visit, Papandreou and Qaddafi signed a       accrue to Morocco are also substantial
                                                                                                                                         A rub nation and the Moslem world in
                                                                                                                                         general and Palestine and Jerusalem in
                                                                                                                                                                                           Palestine and
ascendence to power in a coup 15 years
ago, has been fanatically pursuing his
                                              $1 billion agreement. According to
                                              which Libya will sell oil to Greece for
                                                                                           and will outweigh any reduction or            particular, as a result of the policy of          Jerusalem in par-
                                                                                           cutoff of American aid, which totalled        violence and aggressions carried out by
goal of a single socialist Arab nation,       three years at preferential prices. The      $140 million this year. lhe treaty pro-       Zionists... [and believe] it is necessarrto
                                                                                                                                                                                           ticular, as a result
united under his leadership. Always on        agreement reportedly includes Greek          vides the Union with both a functioning
the fringes of the international com-         arms sales to Libya. The warming of          and a developmental budget, and it is
                                                                                                                                         achieve an identity of views, and                 of the policy of
                                                                                                                                         mobilize efforts with a view to driving
munity, he has been a pariah even             Greek-.ibyan relations is most signifi-      clear that Libya, with its oil revenues,      back aggression and assuring the tri-             violence and ag-
among most of the Arab nations.               cant, since Mr. Papandreou's govern-         will contribute the lion's share. Moroc-
Universally recognized as a sponsor of        meint has pledged to withdraw Greece         co has been plagued with food and other
                                                                                                                                         umph of jrustice, the saJfegruarding of          gressions carried
                                                                                                                                         Arab and Moslemni interesl.s and the
international     terrorism, his recent
military exploits include involvement in
                                              from both NATO and the European
                                              Fconomiic Commtunity, a promise that
                                                                                           shortages, and widespread riots have
                                                                                                                                         defense of their right to existence and           out by
                                                                                           threatened Hassan's regime in recent          dignity.
the Chadian civil war, support for the        has weakened relations between Greece        months.
                                                                                                                                             Hassan, the most moderate and
                                                                                                                                                                                          Zionists... (and
Polisario guerrillas in the Western           and the U.S. A final indication of Qad-         Finally, Hassan has been ostracized
Sahara, and frequent clashes or near          dafi's improved position vis a vis           by much of the Arab world because of           stalwart Arab ally of the US, addressed         believe) it is
                                                                                                                                          the Palestinian issue several days after
clashes with the US in the Mediterra-         Europe is the reinstatement of a Iibyan      his moderate stance toward Israel, his
                                                                                                                                          the treaty was signed:
                                                                                                                                                                                          necessary to... drive
nean. King Hassan II of Morocco, on           diplomat in Iondon.                          friendship with the US, and particularly
tire other hand, has long been regarded                                                    because of his sponsorship of an inter-           lie    will say      to    thenm    the      back aggression
by the US as a moderate Arab                                                                                                              Palestinian.s: H'e can onl/v help rou, but
ruler-perhaps the key to a settlement
                                                                                           national Jewish conference in Rabat,
                                                                                                                                          liberating your countries is your job.
                                                                                                                                                                                          and assure the
                                                 Although the treaty                       which was attended by Israeli delegates.
of the Arab-Israeli conflict. On August
                                                 proclaims respect for                     If nothing else, a federation with l.ibya      deciding howr the Palestinianentity can         triumph of
 13, in Oujda, Morocco, these two                                                          will remove the stigma of being "pro-         arise and becomle a .slate i.s the concern
leaders signed a treaty establishing the         each nation's sovereign-                  Zionist" and will strengthen his position      of the Palestinians. We can only go wilh        justice."
Arab-African Union of States. The trea-          ty, Hassan will be con-                   amnong the Arab nations.                       themi in alny direction they chose i/ they
ty has since been ratified through                                                                                                        want lo regain the usurped and occupied
referenda in both countries.
                                                 strained by an article                            Implications for US Policy
                                                                                                                                          land. If it is by war, they know that
                                                 that prohibits conflicting                    Negotiations toward the unity pact
    The treaty provides for a joint chair-                                                                                               Morocco has fulfilled its promises; and
                                                                                            began last year when Qaddafi went to
manship which will oversee councils              treaties with third na-                    Rabat and agreed to stop his activity in
                                                                                                                                         I know that Colonel Qaddafi will fulfill      a year ago, the Moroccan army has not
covering various areas of cooperation:                                                                                                   his promise. If/ itis by negotiations, we     yet been able to quell the revolt, despite
                                                 tions.                                    the Sahara. Apparently, State Depart-
                                                                                                                                         are ready.
political,   military,    economic and                                                                                                                                                 recent Moroccan claims that the
                                                                                           menlt officials discounted all warnings
cultural/technical. The stated strategic                                                                                                     Despite his proclamations that lie can    withdrawal of I.ibyan support has
                                                                                           of a treaty between him and Hassan,
goal of the Union of States is to provide              Advantages to Morocco                                                             "tame" Qaddafi and remain friendly to         diminished the guerrillas, number and
                                                                                           and were caught unawares on August
a foundation upon which the entire               King Hassan has much to gain from a                                                     the US, Hassan's apparent willingness         strength.
                                                                                            13, perhaps in the hope that his friend-
Arab nation will be built. The unstated       federation with Libya. Of most in-                                                         to join the radical Arab states in their         Since the Libyan-Moroccan union
                                                                                           ship with the King would fall by the
tactical goal is to counter a similar trea-                                                                                              policies toward Israel belies the US          stipulates that aggression toward one
                                              mediate concern to him is the war being      wayside. Qaddafi's previous failed
ty established in 1983 between Algeria,       waged in the Western Sahara by the                                                         perception that the, or any other             constitutes aggression toward both, the
                                                                                           alliances with various Arab and African
Mauritania and I unisia. Ihese three na-      Polisario guerrillas, who have declared                                                    "moderate" Arab ruler, may be able or         potential exists for a full-blown con-
                                                                                           nations have included those with Egypt,
tions plus Morocco and Iibya constitute       an independent state--the Saharan                                                          willing to negotiate with Israel in the       frontation between the two axes, if the
                                                                                           with whom Libya has border clashes;
what is loosely referred to as the            Democratic Arab Republic-in the                                                            near future.                                  Polisario continue to enter Morocco via
                                                                                           Chad, with whom Libya is fighting;
"Greater Arab Maghreb", and all five          region. The Polisario are backed not on-                                                       The Union of States poses a problem       Algeria and Mauritania. However,
                                                                                           Algeria and Tunisia.
pay lip service to its unity.                 ly by the Algerian-led Maghreb axis, but                                                   for the NATO Alliance as well. Moroc-         Hassan is content thus far to consider
                                                                                               Congress is likely to respond quickly
              Libya's Motives                 also by the Organization of African                                                        co and Spain are separated only by the        the Saharan conflict as an internal mat-
                                                                                           to Hassan's actions by cutting off
   In fact, I.ibya applied to join the        Unity, and until last year, were receiving   military sales and financial assistance. If   len-mnile wide Strait of Gibraltar, and       ter, rather than as Algerian subversion.
Algeria-Mauritania-Tunisia axis, but          substantial military supporl         from    so, what may happen to American               Morocco lays claim to several Spanish            Even if Hassan succeeds in crushing
was rejected. Qaddafi was nearly top-         Libya. Although Libya is now claiming        strategic interests in the Mediterranean      enclaves on her Mediterranean coast.          the rebellion, it is doubtful whether the
pled from power in a May coup at-             neutrality in the conflict, Hassan must      and north Africa?                             The addition of Iibya as a wild card          rest of the Maghreb will accept this as a
tempt, whch closely followed the fiasco       hope that thie union will bring more            American basing and port rights, and       could upset the fragile status quo bet-       permanent solution to the problem.
at the Libyan People's Bureau in Lon-         political pressure to bear on the            treaties secured from Rabat may be            ween Spain and Morocco. This may              Thus the unification of the Greater
dont. This diplomatic coup may repair         Polisario and its supporters. With           revoked-under        the new libyan-          prompt Spanish Prime Minister Felipe          Arab Maghreb currently seems to be at
his relations with the African nations,       Libya's assistance, Hassan may be able       Moroccan defense and political coun-          Gonzales to intensify his efforts to bring    a stalemate.
greatly strained by his involvement in        to bring the issue before the Arab           cils, Qaddafi will gain veto power over       Spain into NATO's integrated military
                                                                                                                                                                                                       Conclusion
Chad, and should consolidate his power        League, where he enjoys more support         any overtures that the King may make          command. This, however, would only
                                                                                                                                                                                          The Union of States has at least tem-
internally.                                   than in the OAU, thereby avoiding the        to Washington. Although the treaty            be a peripheral advantage to the West in
                                                                                                                                                                                        porarily resolved foreign and domestic
   In addition, lihewill advance his own      public referendum he has promised but        proclaims respect for each nation's           what could prove to be a destabilizing
                                                                                                                                                                                       problems for both Col. Qaddafi and
agenda by drawing Morocco into the            postponed.                                   soicrcignly, Hassan will be restrained        political reality.
                                                                                                                                                                                        King Hassan. Iibya has gained a part-
circle of radical Arab states, which in-                                                                                                          Reaction of the Maghreh               ner and some legitimacy in African,
cludes Syria. President Hafez Assad,                                                                                                        The greatest obstacle facing the new       Arab and European circles, and Hassan
during a visit to Libya following the                                                                                                    Union of States is the opposition of the      has gained economic reprieve and
signing of the Oujda treaty, reaffirmed                                                                                                  Algerian axis. Qaddafi's goal is to unite     perhaps military stability in the Sahara.
his 'brotherhood"       with the Libyan                                                                                                  the Union with the Algerian axis, under       However, the US is now faced with a
ruler. Qaddafi has invited all Arabs to                                                                                                  his leadership. The Tunisian foreign          federation between a military dictator-
join the union and to "march towards                                                                                                     minister reported that, following the         ship and a constitutional monarchy,
Palestine and Jerusalem" and "destroy                                                                                                    Oujda treaty, Qaddafi again applied to        once America's strongest friend in the
the so-called state of Israel."                                                                                                          join the Algerian "fraternity and accord      Arab world.
   He is also succeeding in estranging the                                                                                               agreement", and that his request is now          Libya's national agenda has always
US from its closest Arab ally, Morocco.                                                                                                  under consideration. Although King            been diametrically opposed to that of
The US has been seeking to isolate fur-                                                                                                  Hassan stated that "the Moroccan-             the United States. Until August 13, King
ther Qaddafi's regime in the interna-                                                                                                    Libya initiative reinforces and coml-         Hassan's agenda seemed to converge
tional community, particularly among                                                                                                     pletes tithat of Algeria, Tunisia and         with the US at certain points. Whether
the     western     European      nations.                                                                                               Mauritania... [and that] what is impor-       or not this marriage of convenience will
However, by aligning himlself with a                                                                                                     tant...is the establishment of the struc-     last, and what impact it will have on
moderate of Hassan's reputation, Qad-                                                                                                    ture of the Maghreb", he has not ap-          Western interests in the Mediterranean
dafi has regained some measure of                                                                                                        plied to join the Algerian federation.        and the Middle East remains to be seen.
legitimacy. He and French Foreign                                                                                                           Despite Qaddafi's maneuvering, it          In the interim, however, Hassan must
Minister Claude Cheysson recently con-                                                                                                   appears unlikely that the "Greater Arab       be discouraged from joining in
cluded an agreement to withdraw their                                                                                                    Maghreb" will be united until the             Qaddafi's adventurism, and this may
respective forces from the Chadian civil                                                                                                 Western Saharan problem is resolved.          have to be accomplished by reducing or
war. And Greek Prime Minister An-                                                                                                        The OAU and the Algerian axis have            stopping American economic aid. In ad-
dreas Papandreou visited Iibya during                                                                                                    unequivocally expressed their support         dition, sales of military hardware
the last week in September, following                                                                                                    for Sarahan self-deternmination as an in-     should be cut off to prevent equipment
Greece's mediation efforts in the Libya-                                                                                                 legral part of the "decolonization pro-       from being used by Libya to promote
French negotiations. The visit was ap-                                                                                                   cess" of northern Africa, while Hassan        her terrorist activities around the world.
proved by the Greek opposition party                                                                                                     has never wavered from his claim to the       And the lesson must be learned that
leader, Constantine Mitsotakis, who                                                                                                      area, which is rich in exportable             even our most "reliable" Arab friends
said that "any initiative aimed at the                                                                                                   minerals. Although Qaddafi revoked his        do not share our priorities in settling
development of closer relations with the                                      Muammar Qaddafi                                            support for the Polisario guerrillas over     any conflict in the Middle East.
September 19X4                                                                                                                                                                                                                Page 6



NEWSBRIEFS                                   LIBERAL         CONFERENCE           IN

(Conlinuedlfir/om page I)
                                             ISRAEL: The annual Congress of the
                                             Liberal International met in Tel Aviv
                                                                                                Auerbach to be JINSA Liaison in Israel;
foreign policy
lessened.
                  exports   controls   are   earlier this month, with over 300
                                             delegates from 25 countries. Half of the           Krohn Named Director of Development
ISRAEL BOYCOTT OFFICE AC-                    attendees were members of Liberal par-
TIVE: The Israel Boycott Office of the       ty government coalitions from around                Herschel Aucrbach of Chicago, a
United Arab Emirates has blacklisted         the world. Even two countries who do             member of the JINSA Board of Direc-
181 Arab and other foreign companies         not have diplomatic relations with               tors, will be making aliyah in November
for "infringement of the laws of the         Israel,   India    and Spain,      were          and will become the organization's chief
Arab boycott of Israel." They included       represented at the Congress.                     liaison in Israel. Among his respon-
Mitsubishi jeeps; an Egyptian travel         SWAZI DELEGATION TO ISRAEL:                      sibilities will be arrangements for the
agency; an Alexandrian hotel; the films      A five man delegation from Swaziland             .IINSA missions to Israel, which are
of Omar Sharif, Paul Newman, Richard         visited Israel for a week in early               hosted by the Israel Defense Forces. He
Burton and even one film of Vanessa          September. They representated the                will also be reporting in our Newsletter
Redgrave. On the other hand, 117 com-        Queen Regent, who had received the in-           periodically about events in Israel.
panies were reinstated into good favor       vitation. The delegation, which flew on              A veteran of the US Army, Auerbach
for complying with the boycott.              Maof Airlines, included a member of              was the first intelligence officer with the
                                             the Supreme Council of State, the                US Army War Crimes Branch to par-
JORDANIAN COMPANY GETS PRC
                                             Minister for Foreign Affairs and the             ticipate in setting utip the organization
NUCLEAR DEAL: The Amman-based
                                             Defense Minister. As a result of the trip,       and procedure in the investigation of
United Trading Company (UTC) has
                                             Israel will aid Swaziland with its tourist       war crimies and the interrogation of war
announced that it will act as managing
                                             industry and infrastructure.                     criminals in Germany. He personally
contractor for four nuclear power sta-
                                                                                              directed investigations in a number of
tions in China, on which Western in-         HUSSEIN TO MOSCOW: King Hus-                     concentration camps and prisoner of
terest has focused for a decade. UTC,        sein will pay an official visit to Moscow        war camps, among them, Nordhausen,
whose main activities, until now, have       in early October. The Jordanian                  Buchenwald and Dachau.                                              Lt. Col. Charles A. Krohn, USA Ret.
included trading, insurance and travel       monarch, who "welcomed the Soviet in-                Upon his return from the service,
business, and has no experience in           itiative" on the Middle East, will discuss       Auerbach became the director of the
nuclear power. UTC will seek European        with Soviet leaders their call for an in-        Veterans' Department of the Zionist             Lt. Col. Charles Krohn (USA Ret.)            and Germany. His awards include the
contractors to supply the technical ex-      ternational conference to include all            Organization of America. During his              The Board of Directors and the Board        Silver Star, Bronze Star, Meritorious
pertise.                                     parties concerned. Hussein will also             many years of involveiient with the           of Advisors of JINSA are pleased to an-        Service Medals, Joint Service Comimen-
                                             discuss military relations with the              ZOA, he has served as National Direc-         nounce the appointment of Lt. Col.             dation Medal, Army Commendation
NEW SALVADOR BASE: Some of the
                                             USSR, and will try to conclude a                 tor of Membership, National Honorary          Charles Krohn to the position of Direc-        Medal with Device for Valor, Combat
$70 million in emergency aid for El
                                             weapons deal including advanced equip-           Vice President and President of the           tor of Development. Krohn comes to             Infantry Badge and Parachute Badge.
Salvador that was recently approved by
Congress will be used to build a             ment.                                            Zionist Organization of Chicago. IHe is       JINSA upon his retirement from the Ar-            His responsibilities in JINSA will in-
helicopter base in San Miguel, 60 miles      SWEDISH-SOVIET TIES: On August                   also a Member of the Board of Direc-          my, following 25 years of active duty.         volve meeting with members across the
east of San Salvador. Currently, the         9, Sweden detected a Soviet military air-        tors of the American-Israel Chamber of        His most recent duties in the Pentagon         country and planning meeting, seminars
Salvadoran government has only one           craft flying in Swedish airspace and over        Commrnerce of the Midwest, a Member           included being a speechwriter and              and trips in various regions. Hie will
military air base, which is located in San   Swedish territory. In September, the             of the Board of Governors of the              public affairs advisor to senior Defense       work with members of the Board of
Salvador. The second base will provide       Soviets announced that it could not con-         Greater Chicago Committee for the             Department officials and Army leaders,         Directors and Board of Advisors to
government forces with more mobility         firm the overflight, thereby straining           State of Israel Bonds; and a Member of        including the Deputy Under Secretary           translate JINSA goals and policy into
and the range to strike against the rebels   even further the diplomatic relations             the National Council of the American         of Defense for Policy.                         programs of interest and information
located in northeastern El Salvador.         between the two countries. Sweden's               Israel Public Affairs Committee.                Krohn has served oversees in Vietnam        for our members.
The base will house ten US-supplied          probable response to the Soviet denial
Huey helicopters, and a new field            will be to release videotapes of the radar
hospital.                                    images.




                                                                                                                             WHAT THEY ARE SAYING
                                                                 e U.-           CuZ
                                                                                              YASSER ARAFAT (Chairman of the                three conditions or issues are met, Egypt      therefore I would not have any direct
                                                                 5 _s  D-        wj'
                                                                                         >?
                                                                                         U
                                                                                              PLO, as reported by Kuwait KUNA):             will unhesitatingly appoint a new am-          responsibility for foreign affairs. But I
                                                                            =
                                                                 I    ?          I            "The PLO Chairman accused the                 bassador to Israel." (31 August)               can tell you that I have the pleasure of,
                                                                 O ® e
                                                                     r                        United States of hatching a new pro-                                                         most of all, being the first official state
                                                                                                                                            GEN. ANTOINE LAHD (Commander                   visitor from the Republic of Ireland for
                                                                                              posal for settling Palestinians in Latin
                                                                                                                                            of the Army of South Lebanon): "I will         10 years and perhaps even longer; and
                                                                                              America in a bid to undermine their
                                                                                                                                            not allow the Lebanese Army to enter           secondly, that I am in a position to ex-
                                                                                              struggle for national rights. He said
                                                                                                                                            south Lebanon as long as the Lebanese          tend a formal official invitation to
                                                                 Is         -    -w           Secretary of State George Shultz had
                                                                                                                                            Government has not reached agreement           President Herzog who was born in
                                                                                              personally been canvassing the idea,
                                                                                 en                                                         with the Israeli Government and there is
                                                                                              which proposed that hundreds of                                                              Ireland... to come and visit the Republic
                                                                                                                                            very little chance of it doing so as it is a   of Ireland in 1985. The question of
                                                                                              thousands of Palestinians would be
                                                                                                                                            [puppet] of the Syrians. I am helping the      diplomatic relations between the two
                                                                                              moved." (11 Sept.)
                                                                                                                                            Lebanese state because I look after its        countries, and the extension of them is
                                                                                 5'           MUSTAFA TALAS (Syrian Minister of             institutions in south Lebanon and I am         something that I know is on the agenda,
                                                                                 >
                                                                                 _
                                                                                 Up           Defense): "We are convinced that Israel       ready to take in Lebanese Army soldiers        and there is clear commitment from
                                                                                              has nuclear weapons. The Americans            who want to join my army after resign-         both sides to improve them." (31
                                                                                              have made the Israelis' access to them        ing." (7 Sept.)                                August)
                                                                                              easy. They are cooperating very closely
                                                                                              with Israel in nuclear technology. If         SHIMON PERES (Prime Minister of                KENNETH L. ADELMAN, (director
                                                                                                                                            Israel): "Israel was so lucky in finding       of the Arms Control and Disarmament
                                                                                              Israel uses nuclear weapons, it alone will
                                                                                                                                            in the United States so much sympathy.         Agency): "It is remarkable to recall that
                                                                                              be responsible. For such an event, the
                                                                                                                                            Israel is probably the only country on         in each year from 1975 to 1980, armies
                                                                                              Soviet Union has given us a guarantee
                                                                                                                                            the earth where, despite the fact that the     largely supplied by Moscow or Soviet
                                                                                              that it will let us have nuclear weapons
                                                                                                                                            United States has helped us, we have re-       forces invaded or seized control of a dif-
                                                                                              with which we can reply to such a
                                                                                                                                            mained pro-US." (16 Sept.)                     ferent country: South Vietnam in 1975,
                                                                                              destructive strike...We, not the Rus-
                                                                                              sians, will repulse the Israelis. We would    FELIPE GONZALEZ (Prime Minister                Angola in 1975-76, Ethiopia in 1977,
                                                                                              even risk our lives to gain possession of     of Spain): "Our aim to establish               Cambodia in 1978 and Afghanistan in
                                                                                              some nuclear weapons with which we            diplomatic relations with Israel is clear      1979.
                                                                                              could reach Israel." (10 Sept.)               and unequivocal. We will do this in the           Nothing on the scale of these crises
                                                                                                                                            not-too-distant future even if to date we      has happened over the past three years.
                                                                                              DR. BUTRUS CHALI (Egyptian                    have not fixed the exact timing. Our           This is all to the good, not only for
                                                                                              Minister of State for Foreign Affairs):       position is that we want normalization         those around the globe spared the im-
                                                                                              "We have some demands from [sic]                                                             position of totalitarianism, but also
                                                                                                                                            and, among other things, this means
                                                                      g
                                                                      -,
                                                                                  _.^
                                                                                 tO
                                                                                              Israel: that it pulls out its forces from
                                                                                              Lebanon and that it adopts measures to
                                                                                                                                            complete diplomatic relations. Let me
                                                                                                                                            remind you that the government which I
                                                                                                                                                                                           because greater       regional stability
                                                                                                                                                                                           diminishes the chances of US-Soviet
                                                                                              build a bridge of understanding in the                                                       conflict.
                                                                                                                                            head is the first Spanish Government to
                                                                                              West Bank and the Gaza Strip, making                                                            The Soviets have, since 1981, en-
                                                                       o
                                                                      cQ             o                                                      treat this subject seriously."         (31
                                                                                              the Palestinian people feel that their        August)                                        countered resistance. This is the in-
                                                                                (5C           situation has slightly improved after so                                                     evitable product of their own actions.
                                                                                              many years of occupation. We also de-         RAUIRI QUINN (Irish Minister of                At the same time, American strength
                                                                                              mand that negotiations begin on the           Labor): "...1 am the minister of labor         and leadership have been restored."
                                                                                              question of the Tabah area. If these          and employment in my own country,              (Sept)

						
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