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2006 DEPT. OF MATHEMATICS & APPLIED MATHEMATICS MAM 502 W - FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS & RISK MANAGEMENT Exercise Sheet 2 ——————————————————————————————– 1. Consider a forward contract on dividend-paying asset S. (a) The contract is entered into at time t and initially has a value of zero. At time T (maturity) the holder must buy the asset for an amount F (the forward price). Suppose that it is known at time t that a dividend of D will be paid at time td (i.e. D is a known amount to be paid at a known time). Determine the forward price by means of an arbitrage argument. You may assume that the risk free interest rate is constant r. (b) The contract is the same as in (a) except that the dividend paid at the time td is a known fraction of the share price, i.e. the dividend payment is DStd , for some D ∈ [0, 1]. In this case the exact payment cannot be known at time t < td since Std is not known at that time. Determine the forward price by an arbitrage argument. [Hint: you may take the view of the writer of the contract and re- invest the dividend by purchasing the asset at the instant it is paid you - you may assume that you can purchase fractions of shares]. 2. Consider the following table of $/ exchange rates: Maturity forward $/ rate US interest rate (days) (quarterly compounded) 0 (spot) 0.008213 N/A 90 0.008301 2.5% 180 0.008524 2.6% 360 0.008947 2.75% Calculate the theoretical continuously compounded rates in Japan. 3. The S&P500 was at 827.55 on 27 February 2003. Assume that its dividend yield was 3.1% per annum compounded continuously and assume that the 90-day c.c. rate was 3.0%. (a) What was the 90-day forward price on 27 February 2003? (b) Suppose that the next day the S&P500 was at 835.23. What was the value of that forward contract (entered into on 27 Feb), given that the 89-day c.c. rate was 3.0%. (c) Suppose instead that the 89-day c.c. rate was 2.9% (while the S&P500 was at 835.23). Without doing any calculations, was the value of the forward contract greater or less than your answer in (b)? Conﬁrm your answer with a calculation. 1 4. A bank oﬀers a corporate client a choice between borrowing cash at 11% p.a. and borrowing gold at 2% p.a. The interest rate on the gold must be repaid in gold, i.e. if the client borrows 100 ounces, he must repay 102 ounces in one years time. Suppose the risk-free rate is 9.25% p.a. and that the storage cost for gold is 0.5% p.a. Which is the better deal? Explain. You may assume that the interest rates of 11%, 9.25% and 0.5% are compounded continuously. 5. A US-based exporter knows that she will receive 1 million Swiss Francs in 3 months time. She decides to hedge her exposure to forex risk by using forex futures on the euro. (a) Should she go long or short on futures? (b) Suppose the dollar/franc and dollar/euro futures rates are 0.8 and 1.25, respec- tively, that their volatilities are 25% and 31%, respectively, and that the correla- tion between the Swiss franc and the euro is 0.9. If each future is on a nominal of 10 000 euro, how many futures contracts should she have a position on for an optimal hedge. 6. A door handle manufacturer wants to hedge an anticipated purchase of one ton of brass in one years time. She chooses to use copper futures. The spot price of brass is currently $5 000 per ton and the futures price of copper is $6 000.00 per ton. The volatilities of the spot price of brass and the copper futures price are 30% and 33%, respectively. Suppose that the manufacturer uses h futures on copper to hedge the purchase of one ton of brass. Use Excel to draw graphs of the variance of the portfolio, which is long in copper futures and short in brass, as a function of h for the cases when the correlation is 0.8, 1.0, -1.0 and 0. In each case, determine whether the minimum of your graph corresponds to the theoretical optimal hedge ratio. For which value of the correlation is copper futures hedging impossible for brass. ———————————– ﬁn ———————————– 2