Excel Spreadsheet Monte Carlo - Excel
Description
Excel Spreadsheet Monte Carlo document sample
Document Sample


Monte Carlo Simulation in Excel
Generating Random Numbers
First determine sample size and model to be generated
1 a Uniform Distribution between 0 and 1 Xi U(0,1)
2 a Uniform Distribution between 0 and 100 Xi U(0,100)
3 a Standard Normal distribution Xi N(0,1)
4 a Normal Distribution with large variance Xi N(0,100)
5 a Normal Distribution with mean of 100 Xi N(100,20)
and moderate variance
Set sample size to 100
To generate random numbers use Tools > Data Analysis > Random Number Generation
(If you do not see the Data Analysis Option, go to Tools > Add-Ins in Windows XP )
See examples on next page
Go to the Uniform Sheet to see examples
om Number Generation
ns in Windows XP )
Xi U(0,1) Xi U(0,100) Xi N(0,1) Xi N(0,100)
0.382 74.41633 -0.0556 78.10604
0.100681 36.86026 1.219316 1.786361
0.596484 44.23353 -1.63121 -50.8326
0.899106 27.39647 1.58253 -75.212
0.88461 43.85815 1.472322 -46.3133
0.958464 1.275674 -1.41278 13.06091
0.014496 44.68825 0.066182 11.82741
0.407422 9.189123 -0.42254 -55.3155
0.863247 56.2212 -0.17364 -214.386
0.138585 69.2526 -1.13914 -161.804
0.245033 90.60945 1.509511 15.03099
0.045473 26.7861 0.890191 130.176
0.03238 22.72408 0.888826 33.16745
0.164129 55.81835 0.824456 31.66781
0.219611 40.84902 0.627471 -58.2911
0.01709 41.74932 -0.61809 -20.792
0.285043 94.26252 -1.42535 -114.06
0.343089 51.50304 0.061123 91.86328
0.553636 44.19691 0.700236 -81.8666
0.357372 96.63991 -0.70837 -38.8409
0.371838 26.41072 -2.06739 -19.7379
0.355602 89.81597 -0.85968 -235.803
0.910306 49.3881 -1.5535 -22.7503
0.466018 47.43187 1.904646 -6.6027
0.42616 94.63179 -0.96525 57.78406
0.303903 64.15601 1.542094 -6.07383
0.975707 66.89657 0.269956 97.12357
0.806665 40.70559 2.292945 -163.439
0.991241 75.28001 -0.88894 -7.876
0.256264 47.26402 0.098652 46.10899
0.951689 23.0842 -0.86913 -95.6991
0.053438 13.62041 1.733133 -44.5239
0.705039 58.07062 -0.20425 -4.74847
0.816523 16.3213 -0.11173 -173.142
0.972503 97.37846 0.017021 -141.967
0.466323 44.93851 -1.15196 215.9341
0.300211 5.618458 0.511811 -80.463
0.750206 36.86941 2.323686 -77.3816
0.351482 83.07749 0.654148 -157.853
0.775658 35.08713 -1.28133 45.11583
0.074343 25.65996 -1.29271 71.08338
0.198431 8.59096 0.365249 -83.1244
0.064058 62.40425 0.435629 57.18846
0.358348 43.49803 -0.55869 -47.8345
0.487045 71.60863 0.879893 34.50407
0.511216 26.19404 -0.92989 -81.5141
0.373455 36.46046 0.120971 67.63867
0.9859 61.2537 0.595285 -53.1004
0.040712 37.03116 0.596565 68.00462
0.23072 58.40327 -0.18538 61.24515
0.004975 0.668355 1.017515 -26.5356
0.926145 47.25486 0.28315 -71.4482
0.100314 59.74914 1.672197 77.52624
0.256691 98.28486 -0.28897 48.17787
0.775689 6.360057 -1.34264 35.49633
0.679647 5.954161 -0.41812 -6.8635
0.809107 1.058992 1.317449 -50.3718
0.724326 87.94519 0.248674 -188.349
0.085055 99.12107 0.937343 196.6364
0.132267 34.82772 -0.67044 141.4653
0.756157 15.84521 -1.3222 111.4884
0.626514 70.81515 -0.29623 77.06217
0.17365 74.50484 -1.6376 213.0346
0.404798 19.70885 1.969547 -5.19276
0.552324 79.08261 -0.54098 -28.6814
0.711509 74.54451 1.566673 92.5304
0.555162 41.78289 -1.71654 0.937121
0.181158 6.079287 0.125133 26.5278
0.970275 84.44166 -0.60766 -166.207
0.686941 77.7398 1.02719 -14.8531
0.528794 36.29872 2.295074 53.78865
0.796686 24.485 -0.95156 -67.5426
0.805658 80.58412 0.430504 -116.906
0.262215 63.56395 2.210072 156.7196
0.177953 71.09897 -0.47706 88.78055
0.866756 98.15058 0.912817 82.15579
0.114841 60.77151 -0.69672 80.50529
0.059511 13.42204 -0.14536 -51.0416
0.761559 68.42555 -1.08753 80.7064
0.738395 10.96225 0.136861 -109.447
0.986297 71.41636 -1.1085 0.30218
0.925596 43.78185 -0.28124 -64.6776
0.903867 61.7481 0.564334 64.91348
0.544969 63.94848 0.683134 25.45949
0.500778 55.22324 -0.69147 115.1072
0.674978 39.28343 0.010289 47.02133
0.489822 8.893094 -0.42899 -43.7396
0.145787 98.30317 -1.42029 87.56183
0.037965 94.49446 -0.07024 51.64384
0.796258 85.28703 1.517446 63.51274
0.67156 6.970428 0.095192 219.9631
0.731681 13.19315 -0.10403 -86.8124
0.584521 70.28718 1.240337 -182.101
0.152226 52.9313 -0.35358 42.79877
0.892178 49.64141 -1.52499 -91.1077
0.377819 56.40431 1.077224 -61.0239
0.200476 2.993866 0.199797 311.6438
0.205786 39.86938 -0.95893 26.60704
0.333964 17.41386 -0.1442 17.08452
0.325144 15.92456 -1.16921 -29.9672
Descriptive Statistics
Column1 Column1 Column1 Column1 Column1
Mean 0.485457 Mean 48.81222 Mean 0.0476 Mean -0.18641
0.030924
Standard Error 2.834972
Standard Error 0.106247
Standard Error 9.928938
Standard Error
Median 0.46617 Median 47.25944 Median -0.02266 Median -2.22315
Mode #N/A Mode #N/A Mode #N/A Mode #N/A
0.309236
Standard Deviation 28.34972
Standard Deviation 1.062467
Standard Deviation 99.28938
Standard Deviation
0.095627
Sample Variance 803.7064
Sample Variance 1.128835
Sample Variance 9858.38
Sample Variance
Kurtosis -1.33092 Kurtosis -0.99496 Kurtosis -0.67826 Kurtosis 0.514209
Skewness 0.099757 Skewness 0.051839 Skewness 0.262939 Skewness 0.182492
Range 0.986267 Range 98.45271 Range 4.391077 Range 547.4467
Minimum 0.004975 Minimum 0.668355 Minimum -2.06739 Minimum -235.803
Maximum 0.991241 Maximum 99.12107 Maximum 2.323686 Maximum 311.6438
Sum 48.5457 Sum 4881.222 Sum 4.759958 Sum -18.6412
Count 100 Count 100 Count 100 Count 100
Xi N(100,20)
126.2908 See descriptive stats & frequency distributions below
146.6578
72.8002 Note that if you use the Rand fuction,
91.26724 the number changes every time everytime there is any change in the spreadsheet
112.7588
93.18843 0.113292 Change this value
106.3963 0.930901
119.7335 0.809701 1
98.47084 0.27616
102.9969 0.863059
97.9347 0.067159
94.15363 0.973131
119.6764 0.597483
140.5635 0.784563
144.3077 0.811328
94.18555 0.181177
87.46921 0.188059
121.5691 0.139721
99.16822 0.383244
103.6796 0.384395
94.06896 0.054655
91.06483 0.243516
62.52664 0.342937
119.1277 0.840126
108.1457 0.366988
77.3398 0.378112
97.43718 0.982175
57.98098 0.65119
65.66239 0.54959
89.92564 0.779303
94.48337 0.040528
90.69132
67.29466
105.7251
86.31411
80.06383
79.86924
127.4488
58.46902
81.90092
130.7517
95.58643
118.9184
94.07214
121.0376
126.9892
83.03992
121.8309
71.65687
134.4382
115.7565
88.07052
88.69719
74.96043
110.1282
99.60601
116.6833
74.50159
68.61425
99.98395
154.3354
87.39838
58.50849
72.10898
95.71646
120.4017
114.8543
89.69047
95.19364
107.6973
119.2076
91.45534
116.2304
109.9356
81.92625
107.3917
96.00407
81.46809
97.57752
73.22607
50.74832
105.0698
115.0343
132.2929
81.87327
83.20156
100.4047
94.39751
80.22658
105.4721
97.49734
98.95992
128.107
128.6044
110.8303
80.66091
89.52762
63.66787
123.2695
92.731
Column1
Mean 98.77037
2.143868
Standard Error
Median 96.72062
Mode #N/A
21.43868
Standard Deviation
459.6171
Sample Variance
Kurtosis -0.26043
Skewness 0.158325
Range 103.5871
Minimum 50.74832
Maximum 154.3354
Sum 9877.037
Count 100
e spreadsheet
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