Is abacavir (ABC)-containing combination antiretroviral therapy (CART) associated with myocardial infarction (MI)? No association identified in pooled summary of 54 clinical trials
A Cutrell, J Hernandez, C Brothers, J Yeo, W Burkle, W Spreen. XVII International AIDS Conference, 3-8 August 2008, Mexico City
Cutrell A, Hernandez J, Brothers C et al. 2008
Background and Objective
• The D:A:D study group recently reported an unexpected increase in risk of MI with ABC and ddI in a large, prospective observational cohort (Lancet 2008; 371:1417-26). • To determine whether there is an increase in cardiovascular events associated with ABC containing CART as compared to non-ABC containing CART using GSK-sponsored clinical trials contained in the GSK HIV Data Repository.
Cutrell A, Hernandez J, Brothers C et al. 2008
Methods (1)
• GSK HIV Data Repository – history/purpose • GSK-sponsored clinical trials with > 24 weeks of follow up with data from 1995-2006 were analyzed.
– Data from 54 clinical trials analyzed:
• 13/54 adult trials were randomized for ABC vs control • 33/54 trials included ABC in background ART • 8/54 trials did not include ABC
• Includes data from 14683 subjects (14174 adults and 509 children) • Descriptive statistics were summarized for naïve and experienced subjects treated with and without ABC.
Cutrell A, Hernandez J, Brothers C et al. 2008
Methods (2)
• To capture events of interest (myocardial ischemia or infarction) all data were queried for events coded as “Coronary Artery Disorders” and “Ischemic Coronary Artery Disorders” using MeDRA – Specific preferred terms included: coronary artery atherosclerosis, coronary artery disease, coronary artery occlusion, acute MI, angina pectoris, angina unstable, MI and myocardial ischemia.
Cutrell A, Hernandez J, Brothers C et al. 2008
Methods (3)
• All fatal cases (any cause) in the HIV Data Repository were reviewed by an external cardiologist. • Framingham risk not calculated at baseline – not all factors routinely collected
– Smoking, hypertension, HDL levels
• Rates per 1000 person/years were calculated, and Poisson regression models were used to calculate unadjusted relative rates and 95% confidence intervals using SAS.
Cutrell A, Hernandez J, Brothers C et al. 2008
Demographic and HIV-disease Characteristics at Baseline
ADULT NAIVE ABC N=5859 Age at Screening, n Median, year (min-max) Race, n White Black Sex, n Male Viral Load (log10), n Median (Min-Max) CD4 Count, n Median (Min-Max) 5859 36 (17-78) 5728 49% 29% 5858 78% 5793 4.81 (1.287.64) 5819 273 (0-1883) No ABC N=2406 2406 35 (18-74) 2314 54% 22% 2406 79% 2397 4.67 (1.28-6.6) 2393 337 (0-1729) ADULT EXPERIENCED ABC N=3643 3639 40 (18-78) 3591 64% 21% 3643 86% 3626 4.25 (0.84-6.74) 3629 265 (0-2089) No ABC N=2266 2263 39 (18-74) 2265 73% 16% 2266 85% 2247 4.18 (1.38-7.05) 2250 295 (0-1799)
Cutrell A, Hernandez J, Brothers C et al. 2008
Baseline Lipids and Glucose (mmol/L)
n Median (Min-Max)
Cholesterol
ADULT NAIVE
ABC N=5859 5484 4.1 (1.0-10.1) 2143 2.5 (0.1-6.3) 2215 0.9 (0.05-3.1) 5482 1.4 (0.3-28.9) No ABC N=2406 2272 4.2 (1.6-10.1) 166 2.7 (0.8-6.4) 172 0.9 (0.2-2.5) 2272 1.4 (0.2-15.4)
ADULT EXPERIENCED
ABC N=3643 2249 4.8 (0.05-15.0) 39 3.2 (1.0-5.5) 48 1.0 (0.3-2.6) 2234 2.1 (0.04-38.1) No ABC N=2266 1808 4.6 (1.8-15.0) 23 3.7 (1.3-5.2) 24 1.1 (0.5-1.5) 1803 1.9 (0.4-35.3)
LDL
HDL
Triglycerides
Glucose
4999 5.0 (1.3-27.2)
2353 5.0 (0.9-24.1)
2201 5.2 (2.2-26.0)
1662 5.2 (2.1-26.2)
Cutrell A, Hernandez J, Brothers C et al. 2008
CV Outcomes - Exposure to ABC Compared with No Exposure to ABC
Exposure to ABC
Events /Patients Frequency Events /PersonYears Rate /1000 PersonYears Relative rate (95% CI)
Any Myocardial Infarction or Acute Myocardial Infarction:
None
ABC CART
7/5044
11/9639
0.139%
0.114%
11/4653
16/7845
2.36
2.04 0.863 (0.40,1.86)
Any ischemic Coronary Artery Disease or Disorder: None
ABC CART
21/5044
24/9639
0.416%
0.249%
27/4642
27/7832
5.82
3.45 0.593 (0.35 ,1.01)
Cutrell A, Hernandez J, Brothers C et al. 2008
CV Outcomes - Exposure to ABC or No ABC (12 Adult Randomized Trials)
Exposure to ABC
Events /Patients Frequency Events /PersonYears Rate /1000 PersonYears Relative rate (95% CI)
Any Myocardial Infarction or Acute Myocardial Infarction: None ABC CART 6/1692 2/1570 0.355% 0.127% 7/1706 4/1863 4.10 2.15 0.523 (0.15 – 1.79)
Any ischemic Coronary Artery Disease or Disorder: None ABC CART 13/1692 5/1570 0.768% 0.318% 13/1702 8/1860 7.64 4.30 0.563 (0.23-1.36)
Cutrell A, Hernandez J, Brothers C et al. 2008
Strengths and Limitations
• Prospective clinical trial data with large number of patients exposed to ABC, consistent data collection • Standard and real-time monitoring and follow up of all reported AEs • External expert review supportive • Post-hoc analysis • Duration of exposure on average 24-48 weeks • Studies not designed to detect CV risk specifically • Low event rate therefore less power
Cutrell A, Hernandez J, Brothers C et al. 2008
Conclusion
• Overall, among pts in the GSK HIV Data Repository:
– the incidence rate of MI and Coronary Artery Disorders was low – there was no difference in incidence of ischemic coronary artery events or myocardial infarction in subjects who received abacavir-containing vs. nonABC containing CART
• Further study is needed to fully evaluate the association of ABC and cardiovascular disease.
Cutrell A, Hernandez J, Brothers C et al. 2008
What’s Next to Further Address the Question?
Analysis of Internal Clinical Trial Data Continued vigilance of spontaneous event data and published literature In all future studies, incorporate cardiovascular risk factor and biomarker collection Mechanism research Additional cohort collaborations Analyze inflammatory markers in current and future studies
Cutrell A, Hernandez J, Brothers C et al. 2008
HEAT Biomarker Analysis: Geometric Mean (95% CI) by Study Week (ITT-E)
3 2.5
Interleukin 6 (IL-6)
3 2.5
High Sensitivity C-Reactive Protein (hsCRP)
IL-6 (pg/mL)
2 1.5 1 0.5 0 0 48 96
hsCRP (mg/L)
2 1.5 1 0.5 0 0
256 252
48
96
232 216
n (obs) Epzicom Truvada
Study Week
= 243 = 249 248 235 230 216
Study Week
251 236
Poster LBPE1138 Thursday August 7, 2008
Cutrell A, Hernandez J, Brothers C et al. 2008
Acknowledgments
The authors wish to thank… • Harry Staines, Suki Pabla, Dupe Bassey, Lee Tombs and Pinal Patel at SRG Interesource Satellite Operations for statistical support • Drs. Peter Kowey & Gary Koch for expert input • Investigators who supported the clinical trials • All of the patient volunteers.
Cutrell A, Hernandez J, Brothers C et al. 2008