Distribution Trends in Soft Drinks: On-Premise vs Off-Premise Dynamics & Forecasts to 2015 USA

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Distribution Trends in Soft Drinks: On-Premise vs Off-Premise Dynamics & Forecasts to 2015 USA
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Distribution Trends in Soft Drinks USA







Contents

Distribution Trends in Soft Drinks: On-Premise vs Off-Premise Dynamics & Forecasts to

2015 .................................................................................................................................................. 2

Distribution Trends .................................................................................................................................... 2

Market Valuation/Pricing ............................................................................................................................ 2

Soft Drinks On-Premise vs Off-Premise – Volume, 2006-2010F (% Growth) ........................................... 3

Soft Drinks On-Premise vs Off-Premise – Value, 2006-2010F (% Growth) .............................................. 3

Soft Drinks on-Premise vs Off-Premise – Volume & Value, 2006-2010F (M Litres/Local Currency) ........ 4

Soft Drinks On-Premise vs Off-Premise by Category, 2009 vs 2010F (% Growth).................................. 4

Soft Drinks On-Premise vs Off-Premise, 2009-2015F (% Growth) .......................................................... 5

Soft Drinks On-Premise vs Off-Premise, 2009, 2010F & 2015F (% Share) ............................................. 5

Soft Drinks On-Premise vs Off-Premise Average Price Per Litre by Category, 2010F (Local Currency) .. 6

Soft Drinks Product Definitions ..................................................................................................... 7

Glossary ..........................................................................................................................................14

Forecast Methodology...................................................................................................................16









Soft Drinks Service/Dec-2010 1

USA Distribution Trends in Soft Drinks





Distribution Trends in Soft Drinks: On-Premise vs Off-Premise

Dynamics & Forecasts to 2015





Distribution Trends



On-premise hit hardest by economic downturn



On-premise channels (particularly vending) were the hardest hit by the recession, with almost all channels

registering volume losses.



Discount stores were the only winners within off-premise channels. They registered minor growth. Convenience

stores were particularly badly affected as impulse sales contracted.



Almost all major carbonates brands lost volume in off-premise channels; however Crush (DPSG) benefitted

enormously from the move into the PepsiCo distribution system, with increased shelf space in major retailers

including Wal-Mart and Target.







Market Valuation/Pricing



Promotional pricing helped curb further declines in volume



Overall average prices in off-premise channels remained stable as any increases were almost entirely off-set by

price promotions, Private Label growth and increased multi-pack sales. In some cases well executed

promotions were successful to the point of curbing decreases in volume.



On-premise channels, QSRs in particular, were reluctant to increase beverage price as the competition for

consumers heated up in 2009. As a result, prices remained largely at the same levels as in 2008.









Soft Drinks Service/Dec-2010

2

Distribution Trends in Soft Drinks USA





Soft Drinks On-Premise vs Off-Premise – Volume, 2006-2010F (% Growth)





3.0



2.0



1.0



0.0

06-07 07-08 08-09 09-10F Off-Premise

-1.0

On-Premise

-2.0



-3.0



-4.0



-5.0





Source : Canadean







Soft Drinks On-Premise vs Off-Pr

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