Distribution Trends in Soft Drinks: On-Premise vs Off-Premise Dynamics & Forecasts to 2015 Russia

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Distribution Trends in Soft Drinks: On-Premise vs Off-Premise Dynamics & Forecasts to 2015 Russia
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Distribution Trends in Soft Drinks Russia







Contents

Distribution Trends in Soft Drinks: On-Premise vs Off-Premise Dynamics & Forecasts to

2015 .................................................................................................................................................. 2

Distribution Trends ........................................................................................................................................... 2

Market Valuation/Pricing .................................................................................................................................. 2

Soft Drinks On-Premise vs Off-Premise – Volume, 2006-2010F (% Growth) ............................................. 3

Soft Drinks On-Premise vs Off-Premise – Value, 2006-2010F (% Growth) ................................................ 3

Soft Drinks on-Premise vs Off-Premise – Volume & Value, 2006-2010F (M Litres/Local Currency) ......... 4

Soft Drinks On-Premise vs Off-Premise by Category, 2009 vs 2010F (% Growth) .................................... 4

Soft Drinks On-Premise vs Off-Premise, 2009-2015F (% Growth) ............................................................. 5

Soft Drinks On-Premise vs Off-Premise, 2009, 2010F & 2015F (% Share) ................................................ 5

Soft Drinks On-Premise vs Off-Premise Average Price Per Litre by Category, 2010F (Local Currency) ... 6

Soft Drinks Product Definitions ..................................................................................................... 7

Glossary ......................................................................................................................................... 14

Forecast Methodology.................................................................................................................. 16









Soft Drinks Service/Dec-2010 1

Russia Distribution Trends in Soft Drinks





Distribution Trends in Soft Drinks: On-Premise vs Off-Premise

Dynamics & Forecasts to 2015





Distribution Trends



Off-premise distribution predominant



Off-premise accounts for 86% of total soft drinks volume. Within off-premise there has been a significant

transfer in recent years from traditional retail outlets to the large modern retail sector, which now accounts for

33% of total soft drinks volume (compared to 21% in 2004). This recent expansion mainly reflects the continuing

growth of retail chains in the regions.



Independent retailers form buying groups to counter growing power of the multiples



Recently in large cities, where competition between large modern and traditional retail outlets has been fierce,

traditional retail outlets have been clubbing together to form purchasing unions or co-operatives to increase their

price competiveness and improve their bargaining position in negotiations with major suppliers. This practice

has enabled small independent retail outlets to compete quite effectively with the leading supermarket chains.



Nevertheless, in general price levels in large modern retail outlets for all commercial beverages are somewhat

lower than in traditional retail stores.



Workforce cuts hit institutional volume



On-premise consumption of soft drinks was negatively affected by the economic crisis, with workplace catering

particularly affected due to staff layoffs by export oriented enterprises (down 22% in 2009). Overall on-premise

volume declined by 15% in 2009. Lower tourist numbers (down by 20%) were a contributory factor here as well

as general economising by the local population. Quick service restaurants fared somewhat better than other

types of on-premise outlet since these outlets mainly target more affluent consumers who were least affected by

the economic crisis.





Market Valuation/Pricing



Average r

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