Lake • Snell • Perry
Associates, Inc
THE POLL
May 1-3, 2000 / N=1000 “Likely”Voters nationwide / ±3.1% M.O.E.
A Presentation Of National Voter Attitudes
for the
#8263
Lake • Snell • Perry
Associates, Inc
THE POLL
May 1-3, 2000 / N=1000 “Likely”Voters nationwide / ±3.1% M.O.E.
Do you feel things in this country are going in the right direction or do you feel things have gotten off on the wrong track?
50%
49% 49% 44% 39% 40% 43%
40% 30% 20% 10% 0%
11%
13%
13%
Right direction
January 2000 March 2000
Unsure
May 2000
Wrong Track
Lake • Snell • Perry
Associates, Inc
THE POLL
May 1-3, 2000 / N=1000 “Likely”Voters nationwide / ±3.1% M.O.E.
Please tell me which one issue you think is most important for Congress to deal with.
Restoring moral values Education Social Security/ Medicare Health Care Crime & Drugs Gun control Reducing taxes Government spending Economy Environment Combination Unsure
1% 3% 3% 13% 6% 6% 7% 7% 10% 10% 15% 18%
0%
10%
20%
Q2
Lake • Snell • Perry
Associates, Inc
THE POLL
May 1-3, 2000 / N=1000 “Likely”Voters nationwide / ±3.1% M.O.E.
Please tell me which one issue you think is most important for Congress to deal with.
Restoring moral values Education Taxes/ Gov't spending Social Security/ Medicare Health Care Crime & Drugs Gun control Economy Environment Combination Unsure
1% 3% 3% 13% 7% 7% 10% 10% 12% 15% 18%
0%
10%
20%
Q2
Lake • Snell • Perry
Associates, Inc
THE POLL
May 1-3, 2000 / N=1000 “Likely”Voters nationwide / ±3.1% M.O.E.
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bill Clinton is handling his job as President?
70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0%
3%
Approve
January 2000 March 2000
59%
61%
57%
38%
35%
38%
4%
Unsure
4%
Disapprove
May 2000
Lake • Snell • Perry
Associates, Inc
THE POLL
May 1-3, 2000 / N=1000 “Likely”Voters nationwide / ±3.1% M.O.E.
Whether you approve or disapprove of the way Clinton is handling his job, what is your impression of Bill Clinton as a person?
70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0%
8%
Approve
January 2000
66% 61%
62%
27%
30% 29%
9%
Unsure
9%
Disapprove
March 2000
May 2000
Lake • Snell • Perry
Associates, Inc
THE POLL
May 1-3, 2000 / N=1000 “Likely”Voters nationwide / ±3.1% M.O.E.
Please tell me what kind of impression you have of George W. Bush.
70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0%
Favorable
January 2000
62%
58%
56%
29%
35% 35%
9%
Unfavorable
March 2000 May 2000
7%
9%
No opinion
Lake • Snell • Perry
Associates, Inc
THE POLL
May 1-3, 2000 / N=1000 “Likely”Voters nationwide / ±3.1% M.O.E.
Please tell me what kind of impression you have of Al Gore.
60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0%
Favorable
January 2000
52% 47%
50%
43% 40% 42%
9%
Unfavorable
March 2000 May 2000
7%
8%
No opinion
Lake • Snell • Perry
Associates, Inc
THE POLL
May 1-3, 2000 / N=1000 “Likely”Voters nationwide / ±3.1% M.O.E.
If the election for President were being held today, and you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote?
50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0%
44% 43% 44% 37% 43% 41%
19%
14% 15%
Republican
January-00
Democrat
March-00 May-00
Undecided
Lake • Snell • Perry
Associates, Inc
THE POLL
May 1-3, 2000 / N=1000 “Likely”Voters nationwide / ±3.1% M.O.E.
If the election for President were being held today, and you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote?
60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0%
George W. Bush
January-00
51%
48% 48% 38%
44% 42%
11%
Al Gore
March-00 May-00
9%
10%
Undecided
Lake • Snell • Perry
Associates, Inc
THE POLL
May 1-3, 2000 / N=1000 “Likely”Voters nationwide / ±3.1% M.O.E.
If the election for President were being held today, and you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote?
Buchanan 3% Nader 3%
Gore 39%
Bush 45%
Undecided 11%
Q13
Lake • Snell • Perry
Associates, Inc
THE POLL
May 1-3, 2000 / N=1000 “Likely”Voters nationwide / ±3.1% M.O.E.
Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republicans in Congress are handling their job of dealing with important issues facing the country?
50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0%
Approve
49% 39%
12%
Unsure Disapprove
Q7
Lake • Snell • Perry
Associates, Inc
THE POLL
May 1-3, 2000 / N=1000 “Likely”Voters nationwide / ±3.1% M.O.E.
Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Democrats in Congress are handling their job of dealing with important issues facing the country?
50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0%
Approve
45%
43%
12%
Unsure Disapprove
Q8
Lake • Snell • Perry
Associates, Inc
THE POLL
May 1-3, 2000 / N=1000 “Likely”Voters nationwide / ±3.1% M.O.E.
Do you approve or disapprove of the way your member of Congress is handling his or her job of dealing with important issues facing the country?
70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0%
Approve
63%
23% 15%
Unsure Disapprove
Q9
Lake • Snell • Perry
Associates, Inc
THE POLL
May 1-3, 2000 / N=1000 “Likely”Voters nationwide / ±3.1% M.O.E.
Do you think your member of Congress has performed his or her job as U.S. Congressman well enough to deserve re-election, or do you think it’s time to give a new person a chance?
50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0%
Deserves reelection
46% 40%
13%
Unsure New person a chance
Q10
Lake • Snell • Perry
Associates, Inc
THE POLL
May 1-3, 2000 / N=1000 “Likely”Voters nationwide / ±3.1% M.O.E.
If the election for Congress were being held today, and you had to make a choice, would you vote to re-elect your Congressman no matter who ran against him/her?
Yes 35%
No 43%
Unsure 21%
Q15
Lake • Snell • Perry
Associates, Inc
THE POLL
May 1-3, 2000 / N=1000 “Likely”Voters nationwide / ±3.1% M.O.E.
If the election for Congress were being held today, and you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote?
50% 40%
39% 41% 41% 42% 41%
30% 20% 10% 0%
37%
24% 18% 19%
Republican
January-00
Democrat
March-00 May-00
Undecided
Lake • Snell • Perry
Associates, Inc
THE POLL
May 1-3, 2000 / N=1000 “Likely”Voters nationwide / ±3.1% M.O.E.
GENDER GAP
President
MAY
4 10 4 12
MARCH
Congress
MAY
4 5 12 11
NET GORE/DEMOCRATS NET BUSH/REPUBLICANS
MARCH
MEN
WOMEN
Lake • Snell • Perry
Associates, Inc
THE POLL
May 1-3, 2000 / N=1000 “Likely”Voters nationwide / ±3.1% M.O.E.
Please tell me, for each one, whether you have more confidence in the Democrats in Congress or the Republicans in Congress, to deal with the issue.
Fighting crime and drugs Improving economy Improving education Strengthening medicare Improving the health care system
0% GOP DEM Both
40% 40% 35% 29% 28%
10% 20% 30% Unsure 40%
32% 39% 42% 51% 51%
50% 60% 70%
8% 8%
13%
6% 4% 10% 8% 6% 10% 4% 3% 13% 3%6% 12%
80% 90% 100%
Neither
Q17-21
Lake • Snell • Perry
Associates, Inc
THE POLL
May 1-3, 2000 / N=1000 “Likely”Voters nationwide / ±3.1% M.O.E.
Please tell me, for each one, whether you have more confidence in the Democrats in Congress or the Republicans in Congress, to deal with the issue.
Holding the line on taxes Sharing your values Keeping America prosperous Dealing with the gun issue Strengthening social security
48% 42% 41% 34% 30%
10% 20% 30%
Unsure
33% 35% 37% 40% 48%
40% 50% 60% 70%
3%5% 12% 4% 8% 12%
8% 4% 11% 3% 8% 15%
4%5% 12%
80% 90% 100%
Q 22-26
0%
GOP DEM Both
Neither
Lake • Snell • Perry
Associates, Inc
THE POLL
May 1-3, 2000 / N=1000 “Likely”Voters nationwide / ±3.1% M.O.E.
Please tell me, for each one, whether you think the Democrats in Congress or the Republicans in Congress, better represent this value.
Personal responsibility Strengthening our families Ethics & Honesty Giving children the right start Bringing about change Standing up to special interests
45% 41% 40% 32% 32% 28%
10%
Both
25% 32% 22% 40% 41% 37%
30% 40% 50% 60%
6% 10% 6% 9% 5% 20% 8% 8% 7% 7% 6%
70%
14% 11% 13% 13% 13% 14%
90% 100%
15%
80%
0%
GOP DEM
20%
Neither
Unsure
Q 27-32
Lake • Snell • Perry
Associates, Inc
THE POLL
May 1-3, 2000 / N=1000 “Likely”Voters nationwide / ±3.1% M.O.E.
ISSUES ADVANTAGES
Please tell me, for each issue, whether you have more confidence in the Democrats in Congress or the Republicans in Congress to deal with this issue.
HOLDING THE LINE ON TAXES FIGHTING CRIME & DRUGS SHARING YOUR VALUES IMPROVING THE ECONOMY KEEPING AMERICA PROSPEROUS IMPROVING EDUCATION STRENGTHENING SOCIAL SECURITY STRENGTHENING MEDICARE IMPROVING THE HEALTH CARE SYSTEM
-37
-28
-14 -18 -16 -22 -23
-7
2 1 2 0 4
7 7
8
15 16
May January
NET DEMOCRAT ADVANTAGE
NET REPUBLICAN ADVANTAGE
*Voters gave Democrats a 6 point advantage on “dealing with the gun issue,” which was only asked in May.
Lake • Snell • Perry
Associates, Inc
THE POLL
May 1-3, 2000 / N=1000 “Likely”Voters nationwide / ±3.1% M.O.E.
VALUES ADVANTAGES
Please tell me, for each value, whether you think Democrats in Congress or Republicans in Congress better represent this value.
PERSONAL RESPONSIBILITY ETHICS & HONESTY STRENGTHENING OUR FAMILIES GIVING CHILDREN THE RIGHT START BRINGING ABOUT CHANGE STANDING UP TO SPECIAL INTERESTS May January
14 17 16 10 -8 -9 -9 14
20
-4 1 -5
NET REPUBLICAN ADVANTAGE
NET DEMOCRAT ADVANTAGE
Lake • Snell • Perry
Associates, Inc
THE POLL
May 1-3, 2000 / N=1000 “Likely”Voters nationwide / ±3.1% M.O.E.
Which view comes closest to your own? [Congressional & Presidential Party control]
50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0%
6%
Same Party Different parties No preference
43%
46%
4%
Unsure
Q16
Lake • Snell • Perry
Associates, Inc
THE POLL
May 1-3, 2000 / N=1000 “Likely”Voters nationwide / ±3.1% M.O.E.
In thinking about the economy today, and how it will be six months from now, do you feel the economy will be better, worse or about the same in six months?
80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0%
12%
Better
70%
14%
Worse About the same
4%
Unsure
Q33