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							PSC 272/272W: Theories of International Relations

• Prof. Randall Stone 336 Harkness Hall randall.stone@rochester.edu • TAs: Deniz Aksoy, skoy@mail Arnd Plagge, aplagge@mail

Objectives
• Apply a theoretical perspective to international relations • Introduction to game theory

This course satisfies the Political Science requirement in formal theory

Prerequisites
• None. However…
• A previous course in IR or diplomatic history is useful to ground theoretical/abstract concepts
– PSC 106, 270, 271, or 274

• Some math is required
– Game theory homework and exams require algebra and logic. No calculus.

PSC 272 Requirements
– Midterm exam—20% – Final exam—40% – Two game theory problem sets—10% each – 4-page paper—10% – Required weekly discussion sections— 10% Completing all of the written work is required to successfully complete the course.

PSC 272W Requirements
– Additional term paper – 15-20 pages – Primary sources or data – Talk to me about a topic next week – Find an empirical puzzle – Test a hypothesis – Draft due March 14 – Final version due April 28

PSC 274W Requirements

If you’re not sure you want to commit to this, I’ll transfer you to PSC 272 now

Sectioning form
• Your name & email address • All times, 9 am-9pm, M-F, when you have
– Class conflicts (C) – Work conflicts (W) – Extracurricular conflicts (E)

• Label each type of conflict • We will try to accommodate conflicts • More weight will be given to schedules that list fewer conflicts • You will receive an email tomorrow assigning you to a section time

Readings
• This is a reading-intensive course. It is essential to do all the reading. • Each reading is assigned to a discussion section.

Internet
• Course web page:
www.rochester.edu/stone/PSC272 – Lecture notes – Problem sets and answers – Practice problems

• Listserv
– Watch for announcements – On-line crisis simulation (begins after the midterm)

Simulation: Dangerous Parallel
• Six fictional countries • You are a cabinet minister • Simulation takes place in real time, online, outside the classroom • The simulation is the basis for the short paper

PSC 272
Theories of International Relations

The Case for Theories of IR
• Every decision maker relies on theoretical notions • Bad theories lead to bad decisions • Modern social science offers tools to help distinguish bad theories from good ones

IR Theory: A Contested Field
• Normative vs. positive theory • Role of political science
– Positivist vs. interpretivist

• Scope of Inquiry
– Micro vs. macro

• Behavioral assumptions
– Rationalist vs. psychological

Positivism --- Interpretivism (epistemology)

Marxism, systems theorists

Scientific Rational choice

Anthropology of IR Constructivism

Historians Psychological approaches
Positivism --- Interpretivism (epistemology)

Standards for Scientific Theories
1. Define the variables
y = f (x1, x2, x3) + 

2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7.

State assumptions (may be heuristic) State the causal argument (mechanism) Define the conditions (domain) State the microfoundations Derive falsifiable hypotheses Parsimony

Controversial claim
• If IR theory must be vague, unscientific
It can safely be ignored

• If IR theory can be scientific and precise
It will have policy implications It will be essential to understanding history

I hope to convince you that political science adds value to the study of international relations

Course Outline
• Waltz, Theory of International Politics • Mearsheimer, The Tragedy of Great Power Politics • Baldwin, ed., Neorealism and Neoliberalism • Game theory (lectures) • Midterm

Course Outline
• Schelling, The Strategy of Conflict • Bueno de Mesquita and Lalman, War and Reason • Russett, Grasping the Democratic Peace • Final (cumulative)