The Polish Defense Sector - Market Opportunities and Entry Strategies, Analyses and Forecasts to 2015 by ICDResearch

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Synopsis
• Top level overview of the Polish defense industry
• A breakdown of the Polish defense industry by spend pattern valued from 2004 through 2009 and forecasted from 2010 through 2015
• A breakdown of the markets by segment valued from 2004 through 2009 and forecasted from 2010 through 2015
•Details of top companies active across the Polish defense industry
•Emerging trends and opportunities in the Polish defense industry in the last 12 months


Summary
This report offers insights into the market opportunities and entry strategies adopted by foreign OEMs
(original equipment manufacturers) to gain a market share in the Polish defense industry. In
particular, it offers in-depth analysis of the following:

• Market opportunity and attractiveness: detailed analysis of the current industry size and
growth expectations during 2010–2015, including highlights of the key growth stimulators. It also
benchmarks the industry against key global markets and provides detailed understanding of
emerging opportunities in specific areas.
• Procurement dynamics: trend analysis of imports and exports, together with its implications and impact on the Polish defense industry.
• Industry structure: five forces analysis to identify various power centers in the industry and how these are likely to develop in the future.
• Market entry strategy: analysis of possible ways to enter the market, together with detailed descriptions of how existing players have entered the market, including key contracts, alliances, and strategic initiatives.
• Competitive landscape and strategic insights: analysis of competitive landscape of the defense industry in Poland. It provides an overview of key defense companies (both domestic and foreign), together with insights such as key alliances, strategic initiatives, and a brief financial analysis.
• Business environment and country risk: a range of drivers at country level, assessing business environment and country risk. It covers h

More Info
									The Polish Defense Sector - Market
Opportunities and Entry Strategies,
Analyses and Forecasts to 2015
Market Intelligence Report

Reference code: ICDDF0009MR10
Published: JULY 2010

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© ICD Research. This report is a licensed product and is not to be photocopied
TABLE OF CONTENTS


LIST OF TABLES................................................................................................................................ 8
LIST OF FIGURES .............................................................................................................................. 9
1 Introduction................................................................................................................................ 11
1.1       About this Report......................................................................................................................11
1.2       Definitions..................................................................................................................................11
1.3       Methodology..............................................................................................................................13
1.3.1 Secondary research ....................................................................................................................... 13
1.3.2 Primary researc h ........................................................................................................................... 13
1.3.3 Conventions .................................................................................................................................. 14
1.4       ICD Research Terrorism Index ................................................................................................14
1.5       About ICD Research Defense Intelligence Center ................................................................14
2      Executive Summary ................................................................................................................. 15
3      Market Attractiveness and Emerging Opportunities ...................................................... 17
3.1       Defense Market Size and Forecast .........................................................................................17
3.1.1 Polish defens e expenditure expected to grow at a CAGR of 8. 48% during the forecast period ............ 17
3.1.2 Modernization initiatives, tensions with Russia, strong economic growth and peacek eeping missions to
      fuel defense expenditure ................................................................................................................ 18
3.2       Analysis of Defense Budget Allocation .................................................................................19
3.2.1 Share of capital expenditure expected to increase during the forecast period ..................................... 19
3.2.2 Investment in military intelligence services and crisis response operations expected to increase ......... 20
3.2.3 Polish army defense expenditure to grow at a CAGR of 8.48% during the forecast period .................. 21
3.2.4 Naval expenditure estimated to grow at a CAGR of 7.63% over the forecast period ........................... 22
3.2.5 Poland expected to invest US$2.9 billion in air force modernization during the forecast period ............ 23
3.2.6 Combined categories of army support, crisis response operations, and c ommand and control of armed
      forces expected to continue to constitute majority of defense budget ................................................. 24
3.2.7 Polish defens e budget positively correlates to country’s economic growth ......................................... 25
3.2.8 Defense expenditure, as a percentage of GDP, expected to increase over the forecast period ............ 26
3.3       Homeland Security Market Size and Forecast ......................................................................27
3.3.1 Polish homel and security market worth US $160.2 million in 2009 ..................................................... 27
3.3.2 Homeland security expenditure to be fueled by the country’s efforts to c ounter organized crime ......... 27
3.3.3 Poland faces no known threat from terrorist organizations ................................................................ 29
3.4       Benchmarking with Key Global Markets................................................................................31
3.4.1 Poland emerges as one of the countries with the largest military expenditure in Central Europe .......... 31
3.4.2 Poland faces no known threat from foreign terrorist organizations ..................................................... 34
3.5       Market Opportunities: Key Trends and Growth Stimulators ...............................................37
3.5.1 Polish air force expected to procure advanced trainer jets and helicopters ......................................... 37
3.5.2 Demand for communication systems expected to increas e ............................................................... 38
3.5.3 Modernization of naval defense forces will drive maritime equipment demand ................................... 38
3.5.4 Surveillance and detection system expenditure expected to increase ................................................ 38


The Polish Defense Sector - Market Opportunities and Entry Strategies, Analyses and Forecasts to 2015                                Published July 2010
© ICD Research. This report is a licensed product and is not to be photocopied                                                                    Page 2
TABLE OF CONTENTS


4      Defense Procurement Market Dynamics ........................................................................... 39
4.1       Import Market Dynamics ..........................................................................................................39
4.1.1 Defense imports registered a decline in 2009 .................................................................................. 39
4.1.2 Poland plans to diversify arms imports ............................................................................................ 40
4.1.3 Aircraft and missiles are the largest import ed military hardware ........................................................ 41
4.2       Export Market Dynamics ..........................................................................................................42
4.2.1 Polish defens e exports grow at a moderat e pace ............................................................................. 42
4.2.2 Poland exports the majority of its defense goods to Asia .................................................................. 43
4.2.3 Armored vehicles and missile defense systems constitute the majority of Polish defense exports ........ 44
5      Industry Dynamics ................................................................................................................... 45
5.1       Five Forces Analysis ................................................................................................................45
5.1.1 Bargaining power of supplier: low ................................................................................................... 46
5.1.2 Bargaining power of buyer: high...................................................................................................... 46
5.1.3 Barrier to ent ry: medium ................................................................................................................. 46
5.1.4 Intensity of rivalry: high................................................................................................................... 46
5.1.5 Threat of substitution: high ............................................................................................................. 46
6      Market Ent
								
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