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					From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008

Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008
Poll Source Survey USA Date administered October 27-28 2008 Democrat Barack Obama Barack Obama % Republican % 61% 54% 62% 54.5% 60% 64% 58% 52% Lead Margin 25 20 27 19.5 21 30 22 27

36% John McCain 34% John McCain 35% John McCain 35% John McCain 39% John McCain 34% John McCain 36% John McCain 25% John McCain 35% John McCain

Capital Survey Research October 15-21 Center 2008 Survey USA

October 8-9 2008 Barack Obama

Capital Research Center October 6-7,2008 Barack Obama Rasmussen Reports Survey USA American Research Group University of South Alabama/ Press-Register September 22, 2008 Barack Obama

September 16-17 Barack 2008 Obama September 13-16 Barack 2008 Obama September 8-15 2008 Barack Obama Barack Obama

Capital Survey Research September 3-9 Center/ 2008 Alabama Education Association

55%

20

Capital Survey Research July 29-August 4, Barack Center/ 2008 Obama Alabama Education Association Rasmussen Reports July 31, 2008 Barack Obama

34% John McCain

47%

13

38% John McCain

58%

20

This article provides a collection of statewide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the United States presidential election, 2008. Democratic nominee Barack Obama Democratic Vice Presidential nominee Joe Biden Republican nominee John McCain Republican Vice Presidential nominee Sarah Palin

Opinion polling
For an archive of older polls, please see Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008/Archive.

Alabama
9 electoral votes (Republican in 2000) (Republican in 2004)

1

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Poll Source Hays Research ** Research 2000/Daily Kos Rasmussen Reports Ivan Moore Research Research 2000/ Daily Kos Rasmussen Reports Fairleigh Dickinson University Research 2000/ Daily Kos American Research Group Rasmussen Reports Date administered November 2, 2008 October 28-30 2008 October 28, 2008 October 17-19 2008 October 14-16 2008 October 6, 2008

Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008
Democrat Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama % 45% 39% 41% 42% 38% 40% 37% 38% 39% 33% 33% Republican % John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain 48% 58% 57% 53% 57% 55% 55% 55% 55% 64% 57% 53.5% Lead Margin 3 19 16 11 19 15 18 17 16 31 24 18.6

September 17-21 Barack 2008 Obama September 15-17 Barack 2008 Obama September 9-11 2008 September 9, 2008 Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama

American Viewpoint ** September 2, 2008 Ivan Moore Research August 30September 2, 2008

34.9% John McCain 45% 42% 44% 44% 41% John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain

Hays Research Group ** Rasmussen Reports Ivan Moore Research Rasmussen Reports Research 2000/ Daily Kos

August 6-7 2008 Barack Obama July 30, 2008 July 18-22 2008 July 17, 2008 July 14-16 2008 Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama

40% 48% 47% 49% 51%

5 6 3 5 10

Alaska
3 electoral votes (Republican in 2000) (Republican in 2004)

Arkansas
6 electoral votes (Republican in 2000) (Republican in 2004)

Arizona
10 electoral votes (Republican in 2000) (Republican in 2004)

California
55 electoral votes (Democrat in 2000) (Democrat in 2004)

2

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Poll Source American Research Group Research 2000/Daily Kos NBC News/Mason Dixon CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research Northern Arizona University/ University of Washington Rasmussen Reports Arizona State University/ Cronkite/Eight Myers Research/Grove Insight/ Project New West ** Date administered October 28-30 2008 October 28-30 2008 October 27-28 2008 October 23-28 2008 October 18-27 2008

Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008
Democrat Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama % 46% 47% 44% 46% 41% Republican % John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain 50% 48% 48% 53% 49% Lead Margin 4 1 4 7 8

October 26, 2008 Barack Obama October 23-26 2008 October 23-25 2008 Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama

46% 44%

John McCain John McCain John McCain

51% 46%

5 2

40%

44%

4

Zimmerman & Associ- October 16-18 ates/ 2008 Marketing Intelligence ** Rasmussen Reports Arizona State University/ Cronkite/Eight American Research Group Walter Cronkite School/ Channel 8 (KAET) Mason-Dixon Public Policy Polling(PPP) Rasmussen Reports September 29, 2008

41.5% John McCain

43.5%

2

Barack Obama

38% 38%

John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain

59% 45%

21 7

September 25-28 Barack 2008 Obama September 11-14 Barack 2008 Obama August 20, 2008 Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama

39% 30%

56% 40%

17 10

August 13 -15 2008 July 30-31,2008 July 30, 2008

41% 40% 38%

47% 52% 57%

6 12 19

Colorado
9 electoral votes chart (Republican in 2000) (Republican in 2004)

Connecticut
7 electoral votes (Democrat in 2000) (Democrat in 2004)

3

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Poll Source American Research Group Rasmussen Reports Research 2000/Daily Kos Date administered October 28-31 2008 October 27, 2008 October 21-22 2008

Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008
Democrat Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama % Republican % 51% 54% 52% 51% 51% 53% 52% Lead Margin 7 10 11 15 9 12 13

44% John McCain 44% John McCain 41% John McCain 36% John McCain 42% John McCain 41% John McCain 39% John McCain

University of Arkansas October 1-21 2008 Barack Obama Rasmussen Reports American Research Group Rasmussen Reports September 22, 2008 September 20-22 2008 July 17 2008 Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama

Delaware
3 electoral votes (Democrat in 2000) (Democrat in 2004)

Florida
27 electoral votes chart (Republican in 2000) (Republican in 2004)

District of Columbia
3 electoral votes (Democrat in 2000) (Democrat in 2004)

Georgia
15 electoral votes (Republican in 2000) (Republican in 2004)

4

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Poll Source Survey USA Field Poll Rasmussen Reports Public Policy Institute of California Survey USA Rasmussen Reports Survey USA Survey USA Rasmussen Reports Date administered October 29-31 2008 October 18-28 2008

Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008
Democrat Barack Obama Barack Obama % Republican % 36% 33% 34% 33% 35% 40% 39% 43% 39% 39% 40% 36% 41% 39% 42% 35% 30% 32% 30% Lead Margin 24 22 27 23 24 16 16 10 17 14 10 16 13 9 10 15 24 20 28

60% John McCain 55% John McCain 61% John McCain 56% John McCain 59% John McCain 56% John McCain 55% John McCain 53% John McCain 56% John McCain 53% John McCain 50% John McCain 52% John McCain 54% John McCain 48% John McCain 52% John McCain 50% John McCain 54% John McCain 52% John McCain 58% John McCain

October 25, 2008 Barack Obama October 12-19,2008 October 15-16,2008 October 9, 2008 October 4-5,2008 September 23-24,2008 September 22, 2008 Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama

American Research Group September 18-20 Barack 2008 Obama Public Policy Institute of California Field Research Corporation Rasmussen Reports Public Policy Institute of California Rasmussen Reports Public Policy Institute of California Field Research Corporation Zogby International * Rasmussen Reports September 9-16 2008 September 5-14 2008 August 21, 2008 August 12-19 2008 July 24, 2008 July 8-22 2008 July 8-14 2008 Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama

June 11-30 2008 Barack Obama June 23, 2008 Barack Obama

Hawaii
4 electoral votes (Democrat in 2000) (Democrat in 2004)

Idaho
4 electoral votes (Republican in 2000) (Republican in 2004)

5

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Poll Source

Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008
Republican % Lead Others % Margin

Date Democrat % administered

6

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Rasmussen/Fox News American Research Group Public Policy Polling Denver Post/ Mason-Dixon Marist College November 2, 2008

Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008
Barack Obama 51% 52% 54% 49% 51% 53% John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain 47% 45% 44% 44% 45% 45% 4 7 10 5 6 8

October 28-30 Barack 2008 Obama October 28-30 Barack 2008 Obama October 28-29 Barack 2008 Obama October 27-28 Barack 2008 Obama

CNN/Time October 23-28 Barack Magazine/ 2008 Obama Opinion Research Allstate/National Journal/FD October 23-27 Barack 2008 Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama

48% 53% 50%

44% 45% 46%

4 8 4

Politico/ October 26, InsiderAdvantage 2008 Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News October 26, 2008

Associated Press/ October 22-26 Barack GfK 2008 Obama Rocky Mountain News/ CBS4 News/ Public Opinion Strategies October 21-23 Barack 2008 Obama

50% 52%

41% 40%

9 12

InsiderAdvantage/ October 20, Poll Position 2008

Barack Obama

51%

John McCain

46% 47.9% 46%

5 0.3 5

Zogby Interactive October 17-20 Barack * 2008 Obama Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News Rasmussen Reports October 19, 2008 October 16, 2008 Barack Obama Barack Obama

48.2% John McCain 51% John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain

52% 51%

45% 47%

7 4

CNN/Time October 11-14 Barack Magazine/ 2008 Obama Opinion Research Suffolk University October 10-13 Barack 2008 Obama Zogby Interactive October 9-13 * 2008 Quinnipiac October 8-12 University/ 2008 Wall Street Journal/ Washington Post Barack Obama Barack Obama

47% 47% 52%

43% 46% 43%

4 1 9

7

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Public Policy Polling October 8-10 2008

Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008
Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama 52% 51% 51% John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain 42% 45% 45% 10 6 6

InsiderAdvantage/ October 6, Poll Position 2008 Rasmussen Reports Fox News Mason Dixon/ Denver Post October 5, 2008 September 29October 1, 2008 September 28, 2008 September 23-25 2008 September 23, 2008 September 23, 2008 September 21-23 2008

44%

44%

0

Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News American Research Group Insider Advantage/ Poll Position Rasmussen Reports CNN/Time Magazine

Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama

49%

John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain

48%

1

45% 50%

48% 41%

3 9

50% 49% 44%

47% 45% 43%

3 4 1

Ciruli Associates/ September Economic Devel- 19-23 2008 opment Council of Colorado Public Policy Polling September 20-21 2008

Barack Obama Barack Obama

51% 49%

John McCain John McCain

44% 45%

7 4

Quinnipiac September University/ 14-21 2008 Wall Street Journal/ Washington Post Insider Advantage/ Poll Position Allstate/National Journal/FD Fox News/ Rasmussen Reports American Research Group September 17, 2008 September 11-15 2008 September 14, 2008 September 10-13 2008

Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama

51%

John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain

41%

10

45% 46%

44% 48%

1 2

44%

46% 47.5%

2 2

Zogby Interactive September * 9-12 2008

45.5% John McCain

8

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
InsiderAdvantage/ September Poll Position 10, 2008 Public Policy Polling Fox News/ Rasmussen Reports Tarrance Group ** September 9, 2008 September 7, 2008 September 2-3 2008

Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008
Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama 49% 47% 49% John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain 46% 46% 46% 3 1 3

45% 46%

47% 47%

2 1

CNN/Time August 24-26 Magazine/ 2008 Opinion Research Hill Research Consultants ** August 23-24 2008

43% 44% 46% 44%

40% 39% 47% 38%

3 5 1 Bob Barr 6 Ralph Nader Other 8% 2% 8%

Suffolk University August 21-24 2008 Quinnipiac University August 15-21 2008

Zogby Interactive August 15-19 * 2008

Mason Dixon Rasmussen Reports

August 13 -15 Barack 2008 Obama August 13, 2008 Barack Obama Barack Obama

46% 48% 41%

John McCain John McCain John McCain

43% 49% 44%

3 1 Bob Barr 3 Ralph Nader Other 3% 2% 2%

Rocky Mtn News/ August 11-13 CBS4 2008

Public Policy Polling FrederickPolls

August 5-7 2008 July 16-22 2008

Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama

48% 45% 44%

John McCain John McCain John McCain

44% 41% 46%

4 4 2 Other 3%

Quinnipiac July 14-22 University/ 2008 Wall Street Journal/ Washington Post Rasmussen Reports Public Policy Polling July 21, 2008

Barack Obama

50% 47%

John McCain John McCain

47% 43%

3 4

July 9-10 2008 Barack Obama

9

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Zogby International * June 11-30 2008

Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008
Barack Obama 40% John McCain 38% 2 Bob Barr Ralph Nader Other 8% 2% 4%

Poll Source Hartford Courant/ University of Connecticut Rasmussen Reports Survey USA American Research Group Rasmussen Reports Rasmussen Reports Research 2000/ Daily Kos Rasmussen Reports

Date administered October 18-22 2008 October 14, 2008 September 24-25 2008 September 17-19 2008 September 16, 2008 July 31, 2008 June 30-July 2, 2008 July 1, 2008

Democrat Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Democrat Barack Obama

%

Republican % 31%

Lead Margin 25

56% John McCain 56% John McCain 54% John McCain 54% John McCain 53% John McCain 51% John McCain 57% John McCain 52% John McCain %

39% 38% 39% 41% 36% 35% 35%

17 16 15 12 15 22 17

Poll Source Survey USA Rasmussen Reports

Date administered October 27-28 2008

Republican % 33% 41% 38% 37% 36% 40% 43%

Lead Margin 30 15 17 20 20 11 12

63% John McCain 56% John McCain 55% John McCain 57% John McCain 56% John McCain 51% John McCain 55% John McCain %

October 10, 2008 Barack Obama

West Chester University October 6-8 2008 Barack Obama Survey USA Fairleigh Dickinson University American Research Group Rasmussen Reports September 22-23 2008 September 17-21 2008 September 13-15 2008 September 13, 2008 Date administered September 11-13 2008 Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Democrat Barack Obama

Poll Source American Research Group

Republican % 13%

Lead Margin 69

82% John McCain

10

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Poll Source SurveyUSA Date administered October 31November 3, 2008 October 31November 3, 2008 November 1-2 2008 November 2, 2008 October 31November 2, 2008 October 31November 2, 2008 October 30November 2, 2008

Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008
Democrat Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama % 50% Republican % John McCain 47% Lead Margin 3

Reuters/Zogby

49.25% John McCain 47% 49% 49% John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain

48%

1.2

Datamar Inc. Rasmussen Reports Strategic Vision

48.2% 50% 47%

1.2 1 2

Public Policy Polling

50%

48%

2

Reuters/Zogby

47.5%

46.2%

1.3

Quinnipiac University October 27November 2, 2008 American Research Group Datamar Inc. Mason-Dixon October 29-31 2008 October 29-30 2008 October 29-30 2008

47%

45%

2

50% 46.7% 49% 51% 50% 45% 49% 51% 49.2% 47.2% 47%

46% 46.7% 47% 47% 43% 44% 44% 47% 44.4% 46.9% 45%

4 0 2 4 7 1 5 4 4.8 0.3 2

CNN/Time Magazine/ October 23-28 Opinion Research 2008 Los Angeles Times/ Bloomberg Allstate/National Journal/FD Suffolk University Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News Datamar Inc. Reuters/Zogby October 25-27 2008 October 23-27 2008

October 26, 2008 Barack Obama October 26, 2008 Barack Obama October 25-26 2008 October 23-26 2008 Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama

Quinnipiac University October 22-26 2008

11

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Associated Press/GfK October 22-26 2008 Politico/ InsiderAdvantage Strategic Vision

Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008
Barack Obama 45% 48% 46% 49% John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain 43% 47% 48% 42% 2 1 2 7

October 22, 2008 Barack Obama October 20-22 2008 Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama

St. Petersburg Times/ October 20-22 Bay News 9/ 2008 Miami Herald NBC/Mason-Dixon October 20-21 2008

45% 49% 48.8% 48% 48% 47% 49%

46% 44% 45.2% 49% 47% 49% 45%

1 5 3.6 1 1 2 4

Quinnipiac University October 16-21 2008 Zogby Interactive * Rasmussen Reports/ Public Policy Polling SurveyUSA Research 2000 Times-Union South Florida Sun Sentinel October 17-20 2008

October 19, 2008 Barack Obama October 16-19 2008 Barack Obama

October 16, 2008 Barack Obama October 13-15 2008 Barack Obama

CNN/Time Magazine/ October 11-14 Opinion Research 2008 InsiderAdvantage/ Poll Position Zogby Interactive * Rasmussen Reports Fox News Rasmussen Reports Strategic Vision Research 2000 NBC/Mason-Dixon Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News InsiderAdvantage/ Poll Position

Barack Obama

51% 48% 48% 51% 50% 52% 49% 48% 52% 49% 51%

John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain

46% 44% 47% 46% 47% 44% 44% 46% 45% 46% 47%

5 4 1 5 3 8 5 2 7 3 4

October 13, 2008 Barack Obama October 9-13 2008 Barack Obama

October 12, 2008 Barack Obama October 8, 2008 Barack Obama

October 6-8 2008 Barack Obama October 6-8 2008 Barack Obama October 4-6 2008 Barack Obama October 5, 2008 September 30, 2008 Barack Obama Barack Obama

CNN/Time Magazine/ September 28-30 Barack Opinion Research 2008 Obama

12

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Suffolk University/ WSVN

Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008
46% 51% 48% 49% 47% 47% 47% 45% 46% 47% 45% John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain 42% 43% 48% 46% 48% 46% 48% 48% 51% 45% 46% 4 8 0 3 1 1 1 3 5 2 1

September 27-30 Barack 2008 Obama

Quinnipiac University September 27-29 Barack 2008 Obama Rasmussen Reports/ Public Policy Polling SurveyUSA American Research Group Rasmussen Reports Strategic Vision Fox News/ Rasmussen Reports NBC/Mason Dixon September 28, 2008 Barack Obama

September 27-28 Barack 2008 Obama September 27-28 Barack 2008 Obama September 23-25 Barack 2008 Obama September 24, 2008 September 20-22, 2008 September 21, 2008 September 16-18, 2008 Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama

Florida Times-Union/ September 15-18 Barack South Florida Sun2008 Obama Sentinel/ Research 2000 SurveyUSA American Research Group September 16-17 Barack 2008 Obama September 14-17 Barack 2008 Obama

45% 46% 45%

John McCain John McCain John McCain

51% 46% 47%

6 0 2

Miami Herald/ September 14-17 Barack St. Petersberg Times/ 2008 Obama Schroth, Eldon & Associates/ The Polling Company CNN/Time Magazine/ September Opinion Research 14-16, 2008 Allstate/National Journal/FD Fox News/ Rasmussen Reports Zogby Interactive * Insider Advantage/ Poll Position September 11-15, 2008 September 14, 2008 September 9-12 2008 September 10, 2008 Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama

48% 44% 44% 41.8% 42% 43%

John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain

48% 44% 49% 52.1% 50% 50%

0 0 5 10.3 8 7

Quinnipiac University September 5-9 2008

13

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Poll Source InsiderAdvantage/ Poll Position Strategic Vision Date administered November 2, 2008 October 31November 2, 2008 October 31November 2, 2008 October 30November 2, 2008

Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008
Democrat Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama % Republican % 48% 50% Lead Margin 1 4

47% John McCain 46% John McCain 48% John McCain 45% John McCain 47% John McCain 44% John McCain 47% John McCain 47% John McCain 48% John McCain 43% John McCain 46% John McCain 45% John McCain 44% John McCain 43% John McCain 45% John McCain 43% John McCain 46% John McCain 45% John McCain 43% John McCain 43% John McCain

Public Policy Polling

50%

2

SurveyUSA/ 13WAMZ Rasmussen Reports Research 2000/Daily Kos CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research InsiderAdvantage/ Poll Position InsiderAdvantage/ Poll Position Mason-Dixon/NBC Rasmussen Reports Strategic Vision Democracy Corps/ Greenberg, Quinlan, Rosner ** Research 2000/Daily Kos CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research SurveyUSA InsiderAdvantage/ Poll Position Rasmussen Reports Strategic Vision Research 2000/Daily Kos

52%

7

October 30, 2008 Barack Obama October 28-30 2008 October 23-28 2008 Barack Obama Barack Obama

52% 47% 52% 48% 47% 49% 51% 51% 46%

5 3 5 1 1 6 5 6 2

October 27, 2008 Barack Obama October 23, 2008 Barack Obama October 22-23 2008 Barack Obama

October 22, 2008 Barack Obama October 20-22 2008 October 16-19 2008 October 14-15 2008 October 11-14 2008 Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama

49% 51% 51% 49% 54% 50% 50%

6 6 8 3 9 7 7

October 12, 2008 Barack Obama October 9, 2008 October 7, 2008 Barack Obama Barack Obama

October 5-7 2008 Barack Obama September 29October 1, 2008 Barack Obama

14

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
InsiderAdvantage/ Poll Position SurveyUSA American Research Group Rasmussen Reports InsiderAdvantage/ Poll Position SurveyUSA Public Opinion Strategies InsiderAdvantage/ Poll Position Strategic Vision Rasmussen Reports Rasmussen Reports InsiderAdvantage/ Poll Position/ Majority Opinion Research Poll Source Rasmussen Reports American Research Group Survey USA September 30, 2008

Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008
Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama 44% John McCain 44% John McCain 39% John McCain 43% John McCain 43% John McCain 41% John McCain 35% John McCain 38% John McCain 39% John McCain 44% John McCain 42% John McCain 44% John McCain 50% 52% 57% 54% 51% 57% 56% 56% 52% 53% 53% 46% 6 8 18 11 8 16 21 18 13 9 11 2

September 28-29 2008 September 18-21 2008 September 18, 2008 September 17, 2008 September 14-16 2008 September 9-11 2008 September 10, 2008 September 7-9 2008 August 14, 2008 July 17, 2008 July 2, 2008

Date administered September 23, 2008 September 7-12 2008 February 26-29 2008

Democrat Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama

%

Republican % 27% 32% 31%

Lead Margin 41 31 30

68% John McCain 63% John McCain 61% John McCain

Illinois
21 electoral votes (Democrat in 2000) (Democrat in 2004)

Iowa
7 electoral votes (Democrat in 2000) (Republican in 2004)

Indiana
11 electoral votes chart (Republican in 2000) (Republican in 2004)

Kansas
6 electoral votes (Republican in 2000) (Republican in 2004)

15

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Poll Source Harstead Strategic Research Research 2000/Daily Kos American Research Group Rasmussen Reports Greg Smith & Associates Research 2000/Daily Kos Poll Source Rasmussen Reports Research 2000 Big Ten Poll Chicago Tribune Rasmussen Reports St Louis Post-Dispatch/ Research 2000 Rasmussen Reports Big Ten Poll American Research Group Rasmussen Reports Rasmussen Reports Date administered October 19-22 2008 September 16-17 2008 September 8-10 2008

Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008
Democrat Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama % Republican % 55% 62% 68% 68% 52% 53% Lead Margin 23 29 43 39 23 16

32% John McCain 33% John McCain 25% John McCain 29% John McCain 29% John McCain 37% John McCain %

September 9, 2008 Barack Obama August 18-22 2008 Barack Obama July 28-30 2008 Barack Obama Democrat

Date administered

Republican % 38% 35% 32% 32% 39% 36%

Lead Margin 22 24 29 24 17 20

November 1, 2008 Barack Obama October 20-23 2008 October 19-22 2008 October 16-18 2008 October 13, 2008 September 15-18 2008 September 17, 2008 September 14-17 2008 September 13-16 2008 August 12, 2008 July 8, 2008 Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama

60% John McCain 59% John McCain 61% John McCain 56% John McCain 56% John McCain 56% John McCain 56% John McCain 53% John McCain 51% John McCain 55% John McCain 52% John McCain

40% 37% 45% 40% 41%

16 16 6 15 11

Kentucky
8 electoral votes (Republican in 2000) (Republican in 2004)

Louisiana
9 electoral votes (Republican in 2000) (Republican in 2004)

16

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Poll Source Reuters/Zogby Date administered October 31November 3, 2008

Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008
Democrat Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama % Republican % 50.4% Lead Margin 5.3

45.1% John McCain 49% John McCain

Public Policy Polling October 31November 2, 2008 Reuters/Zogby October 30November 2, 2008 October 28-31 2008 October 27-30 2008 October 28-29 2008 October 26-28 2008 October 24-28 2008 October 23-26 2008

48%

1

43.9% John McCain 48% 47% 46% John McCain John McCain John McCain

49.1%

5.2

American Research Group SurveyUSA/ Mike Downs Center Rasmussen Reports Indianapolis Star/ WTHR/ Selzer & Co. Research 2000/ WISH-TV Reuters/Zogby

48% 47% 49% 45.3%

0 0 3 0.6

45.9% John McCain 47% 44% 48% John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain

47% 50.2% 47%

0 6.2 1

Research 2000/ October 23-25 South Bend Tribune/ 2008 WSBT-TV Howey/Gauge Survey USA Big Ten Poll Zogby Interactive * October 23-25 2008 October 21-22 2008 October 19-22 2008 October 17-20 2008

45% 49% 51%

47% 45% 41% 52.8% 46% 48% 50% 51%

2 4 10 10.5 2 4 7 5

42.3% John McCain 48% 44% 43% 46% John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain

Public Policy Polling October 18-19 2008 Zogby Interactive * Rasmussen Reports CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research Research 2000/ WISH-TV October 9-13 2008 October 7, 2008

October 3-6 2008 Barack Obama September 29October 3, 2008 Barack Obama

46%

46%

0

17

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Research 2000 Survey USA Rasmussen Reports American Research Group Big Ten Poll Indianapolis Star/ WTHR/ Selzer & Co. CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research Howey/Gauge Rasmussen Reports Survey USA

Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008
45% 45% 47% 44% 43% 47% John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain 46% 48% 49% 47% 47% 44% 1 3 2 3 4 3

September 28-29 Barack 2008 Obama September 28-29 Barack 2008 Obama September 17-18 Barack 2008 Obama September 14-18 Barack 2008 Obama September 14-17 Barack 2008 Obama September 14-16 Barack 2008 Obama September 14-16 Barack 2008 Obama August 29-30 2008 August 19-21 2008 August 16-18 2008 Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama

45%

51%

6

43% 43% 44%

45% 49% 50%

2 6 6

18

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Poll Source Des Moines Register/ Selzer & Co. SurveyUSA Research 2000/ KCCI-TV Marist College Rasmussen Reports Mason-Dixon/NBC Quad City Times/ Research 2000 Big Ten Poll SurveyUSA Research 2000/ KCCI-TV Rasmussen Reports Marist College American Research Group SurveyUSA Quad-City Times/ Lee Enterprises Big Ten Poll Des Moines Register/ Selzer & Co. CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research Hawkeye Poll Rasmussen Reports Rasmussen Reports Date administered October 28-31 2008 October 28-29 2008 October 27-29 2008 October 23-24 2008 October 23, 2008 October 22-23 2008 October 19-22 2008 October 19-22 2008 October 8-9 2008 September 29-30 2008 September 25, 2008 September 18-21 2008 September 17-20 2008

Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008
Democrat Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama % 54% Republican % John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain 37% Lead Margin 17

55% 53% 52% 52% 51% 54% 52% 54% 55% 51% 51% 51% 54% 53% 45% 52%

40% 39% 42% 44% 40% 39% 39% 41% 39% 43% 41% 44% 43% 39% 45% 40%

15 14 10 8 11 15 13 13 16 8 10 7 11 14 0 12

September 17-18, Barack 2008 Obama September 15-17, Barack 2008 Obama September 14-17, Barack 2008 Obama September 8-10, 2008 August 31September 2, 2008 August 13, 2008 August 7, 2008 July 10, 2008 Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama

55%

40%

15

49.5% John McCain 49% 51% John McCain John McCain

43.1% 44% 41%

6.4 5 10

19

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Poll Source SurveyUSA SurveyUSA Rasmussen Reports SurveyUSA Rasmussen Reports American Research Group SurveyUSA Rasmussen Reports Rasmussen Reports Date administered October 27-28 2008 October 21-22, 2008 October 13, 2008 September 21-22 2008 September 18, 2008 September 7-10 2008

Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008
Democrat Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama % Republican % 58% 53% 54% 53% 58% 63% 58% 55% 58% Lead Margin 21 12 13 12 20 32 23 14 23

37% John McCain 41% John McCain 41% John McCain 41% John McCain 38% John McCain 31% John McCain 35% John McCain 41% John McCain 35% John McCain

August 18-20 2008 Barack Obama August 11, 2008 July 14, 2008 Barack Obama Barack Obama

Maine
4 electoral votes (Democrat in 2000) (Democrat in 2004)

Missouri
See also: Opinion polling by state for the United States presidential election, 2008 (Missouri) for earlier results 11 electoral votes chart (Republican in 2000) (Republican in 2004)

Maryland
10 electoral votes (Democrat in 2000) (Democrat in 2004)

Montana
3 electoral votes (Republican in 2000) (Republican in 2004) ‡ Ron Paul replaced Chuck Baldwin on the ballot in Montana.

Massachusetts
12 electoral votes (Democrat in 2000) (Democrat in 2004)

Michigan
17 electoral votes (Democrat in 2000) (Democrat in 2004)

Nebraska
5 electoral votes (Republican in 2000) (Republican in 2004)

Minnesota
10 electoral votes chart (Democrat in 2000) (Democrat in 2004)

Nevada
5 electoral votes chart (Republican in 2000) (Republican in 2004)

Mississippi
6 electoral votes (Republican in 2000) (Republican in 2004)

New Hampshire
4 electoral votes chart (Republican in 2000) (Democrat in 2004)

20

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Poll Source Survey USA Rasmussen Reports Louisville CourierJournal/ Mason-Dixon Research 2000/Daily Kos Rasmussen Reports Research 2000/ Lexington HeraldLeader/ WKYT-TV Survey USA Research 2000/Daily Kos Rasmussen Reports Louisville CourierJournal/ Mason-Dixon Survey USA Research 2000/Daily Kos American Research Group Survey USA Research 2000/Daily Kos Rasmussen Reports Date administered November 1, 2008 October 29, 2008 October 27-29 2008 October 27-29 2008 October 21, 2008 October 19-21 2008

Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008
Democrat Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama % Republican % 56% 51% 55% Lead Margin 16 9 12

40% John McCain 42% John McCain 43% John McCain 39% John McCain 44% John McCain 39% John McCain

56% 52% 55%

17 8 16

October 18-20 2008 October 15-16 2008 September 30, 2008 September 22-25 2008 September 21-22 2008 September 15-17 2008 September 8-12 2008 August 9-11 2008 July 28-30 2008 July 29, 2008

Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama

41% John McCain 39% John McCain 42% John McCain 41% John McCain 38% John McCain 37% John McCain 37% John McCain 37% John McCain 35% John McCain 43% John McCain

54% 53% 52% 53%

13 14 10 8

57% 55% 57% 55% 56% 52%

19 18 20 18 21 9

New Jersey
15 electoral votes (Democrat in 2000) (Democrat in 2004)

New York
31 electoral votes (Democrat in 2000) (Democrat in 2004)

New Mexico
5 electoral votes (Democrat in 2000) (Republican in 2004)

North Carolina
15 electoral votes chart (Republican in 2000) (Republican in 2004)

21

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Poll Source Loyola University/ WAFB 9News SE Louisiana University Rasmussen Reports Rasmussen Reports American Research Group Rasmussen Reports Rasmussen Reports Date administered October 24-26 2008 October 20-23 2008

Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008
Democrat Barack Obama Barack Obama % 40% Republican % John McCain 43% 50.6% 57% 55% 50% 57% 56% Lead Margin 3 12.3 16 15 7 18 19

38.3% John McCain 41% 40% 43% 39% 37% John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain

October 21, 2008 Barack Obama September 25, 2008 September 9-12 2008 August 17, 2008 July 9, 2008 Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Democrat

Poll Source Rasmussen Reports SurveyUSA Critical Insights Pan Atlantic SMS Research 2000/Daily Kos Rasmussen Reports SurveyUSA Rasmussen Reports American Research Group Research 2000/ Daily Kos Rasmussen Reports Rasmussen Reports

Date administered

%

Republican % 43% 39% 35% 39% 38% 46% 44% 46% 41% 38% 39% 41%

Lead Margin 13 15 21 12 17 5 5 4 10 14 14 8

November 1, 2008 Barack Obama October 19-20 2008 October 16-19 2008 October 13-16 2008 October 14-15 2008 October 2, 2008 September 22-23 2008 September 17, 2008 September 8-10 2008 September 8-10 2008 August 12, 2008 July 17, 2008 Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama

56% John McCain 54% John McCain 56% John McCain 51% John McCain 55% John McCain 51% John McCain 49% John McCain 50% John McCain 51% John McCain 52% John McCain 53% John McCain 49% John McCain

North Dakota
3 electoral votes (Republican in 2000) (Republican in 2004)

Ohio
20 electoral votes chart (Republican in 2000) (Republican in 2004)

22

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Poll Source Rasmussen Reports American Research Group Date administered September 20, 2008 September 17-19 2008

Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008
Democrat Barack Obama Barack Obama % Republican % 37% 39% 38% 43% Lead Margin 23 15 14 10

60% John McCain 54% John McCain 52% John McCain 53% John McCain %

Gonzales Research & August 29Barack Marketing Strategies September 5, 2008 Obama Rasmussen Reports August 18, 2008 Barack Obama Democrat Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama

Poll Source Survey USA Survey USA Rasmussen Reports Rasmussen Reports Survey USA American Research Group Rasmussen Reports Suffolk University

Date administered October 28, 2008 October 14, 2008 October 13, 2008 September 23, 2008 September 22-23 2008 September 20-22 2008 August 5, 2008 July 31-August 3, 2008

Republican % 39% 35% 34% 38% 39% 39% 38% 38%

Lead Margin 17 24 28 20 16 16 16 9

56% John McCain 59% John McCain 62% John McCain 58% John McCain 55% John McCain 55% John McCain 54% John McCain 47% John McCain

Oklahoma
7 electoral votes (Republican in 2000) (Republican in 2004)

South Carolina
8 electoral votes (Republican in 2000) (Republican in 2004)

Oregon
7 electoral votes (Democrat in 2000) (Democrat in 2004)

South Dakota
3 electoral votes (Republican in 2000) (Republican in 2004)

Pennsylvania
21 electoral votes chart (Democrat in 2000) (Democrat in 2004)

Tennessee
11 electoral votes (Republican in 2000) (Republican in 2004)

Rhode Island
4 electoral votes (Democrat in 2000) (Democrat in 2004)

Texas
34 electoral votes (Republican in 2000) (Republican in 2004)

23

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Poll Source Selzer/Detroit Free Press/WDIV Public Policy Polling Strategic Vision Rasmussen Reports Detroit News/ EPIC-MRA Big Ten Poll Detroit News/ EPIC-MRA

Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008
% Republican % 37% 42% 41% 43% 38% 36% 37% 38% Lead Others % Margin 16 13 13 10 12 22 14 16

Date Democrat administered

October 28-31 Barack Obama 53% John 2008 McCain October 28-30 Barack Obama 55% John 2008 McCain October 27-29 Barack Obama 54% John 2008 McCain October 28, 2008 Barack Obama 53% John McCain

October 26-28 Barack Obama 50% John 2008 McCain October 19-22 Barack Obama 58% John 2008 McCain October 19-22 Barack Obama 51% John 2008 McCain Barack Obama 54% John McCain

Quinnipiac October 8-12 University/ 2008 Wall Street Journal/ Washington Post Rasmussen Reports Rossman/DennoNoor/ MIRS October 8, 2008 October 1-4 2008

Barack Obama 56% John McCain Barack Obama 44% John McCain

40% 39%

16 5 Other ~4%

24

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Public Policy Polling September 29October 1, 2008 September 22-24 2008 September 22-24 2008

Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008
Barack Obama 51% John McCain 41% 10

Selzer/Detroit Free Press/ WDIV Strategic Vision

Barack Obama 51% John McCain Barack Obama 48% John McCain Barack Obama 49% John McCain Barack Obama 46% John McCain Barack Obama 48% John McCain Barack Obama 47% John McCain Barack Obama 51% John McCain Barack Obama 48% John McCain

38%

13

45% 43%

3 6

CNN/Time September Magazine/ 21-23 2008 Opinion Research NBC/MasonDixon EPIC-MRA/ Detroit News Allstate/National Journal/ FD Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News September 18-23 2008 September 20-22 2008 September 18-22 2008 September 21, 2008

46% 38% 39%

0 10 8

44%

7

Quinnipiac September University/ 14-21,2008 Wall Street Journal/ Washington Post American Research Group Marketing Resource Group of Lansing Marist College EPIC-MRA/ Detroit News Big Ten Poll September 16-19 2008 September 15-19 2008 September 16-17, 2008 September 14-17 2008 September 14-17, 2008

44%

4

Barack Obama 48% John McCain Barack Obama 43% John McCain

46% 46%

2 3

Barack Obama 52% John McCain Barack Obama 45% John McCain Barack Obama 48% John McCain Barack Obama 49% John McCain Barack Obama 51% John McCain Barack Obama 44% John McCain

43% 42% 44% 43.3% 46% 45% 42%

9 3 4 5.7 5 1 3

Zogby Interactive September * 9-12 2008 Rasmussen Reports September 10, 2008

InsiderAdantagev/ September Poll Position 10, 2008 CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Rsearch September 7-9 2008

Barack Obama 45% John McCain

25

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Public Policy Polling Strategic Vision EPIC-MRA/ Detroit News Selzer/ Detroit Free Press/ WDIV September 6-7 2008 September 5-7,2008 August 18-21 2008 August 17-20 2008[1]

Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008
Barack Obama 47% John McCain Barack Obama 45% John McCain Barack Obama 43% John McCain Barack Obama 46% John McCain 46% 44% 41% 39% 1 1 2 7

Zogby Interactive August 15-19 * 2008

Barack Obama 46% John McCain

37% 9

Bob Barr Ralph Nader Other

5% 1% 12%

Rasmussen Reports Public Policy Polling

August 7, 2008 July 23-27 2008

Barack Obama 49% John McCain Barack Obama 46% John McCain Barack Obama 46% John McCain

45% 43% 42%

4 3 4

Quinnipiac July 14-22 University/ 2008 Wall Street Journal/ Washington Post Detroit News/ EPIC-MRA Rasmussen Reports July 13-16 2008 July 10, 2008

Barack Obama 43% John McCain Barack Obama 50% John McCain

41% 42%

2 8

Utah
5 electoral votes (Republican in 2000) (Republican in 2004)

West Virginia
5 electoral votes (Republican in 2000) (Republican in 2004)

Vermont
Winner: Barack Obama 3 electoral votes (Democrat in 2000) (Democrat in 2004)

Wisconsin
10 electoral votes chart (Democrat in 2000) (Democrat in 2004)

Virginia
13 electoral votes chart (Republican in 2000) (Republican in 2004)

Wyoming
3 electoral votes (Republican in 2000) (Republican in 2004)

Washington
11 electoral votes (Democrat in 2000) (Democrat in 2004)

Notes
• * a scientific poll conducted via the Internet (not used in calculating results below).

26

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Poll Source SurveyUSA Star Tribune/Princeton Survey Research Associates International Public Policy Polling Research 2000/Daily Kos Rasmussen Reports NBC News/Mason Dixon

Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008
Democrat % Republican % 46% 42% Lead Margin 3 11

Date administered

October 30-November Barack 1, 2008 Obama October 29-31 2008 Barack Obama

49% John McCain 53% John McCain

October 28-30 2008 October 27-29 2008 October 28, 2008 October 27-28 2008

Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama

57% John McCain 53% John McCain 55% John McCain 48% John McCain 56% John McCain

41% 38% 43% 40% 37%

16 15 12 8 19

University of MinOctober 24-28 2008 nesota/ Minnesota Public Radio News Rasmussen Reports Big Ten Poll St. Cloud State University National Journal/FD SurveyUSA Star Tribune/Princeton Survey Research Associates International Research 2000/Daily Kos Quinnipiac University/ Wall Street Journal/ Washington Post Rasmussen Reports American Research Group October 22, 2008 October 19-22 2008 October 14-22 2008 October 16-20 2008 October 16-18, 2008 October 16-17 2008

Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama

56% John McCain 57% John McCain 42% John McCain 50% John McCain 50% John McCain 52% John McCain

41% 38% 37% 40% 44% 41%

15 19 5 10 6 11

October 15-16 2008 October 8-12 2008

Barack Obama Barack Obama

52% John McCain 51% John McCain

39% 40%

13 11

October 7, 2008 October 4-7 2008

Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama

52% John McCain 47% John McCain 54% John McCain

45% 46% 40%

7 1 14

Minnesota Public Ra- October 3-5 2008 dio

27

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
News/Humphrey Institute Star Tribune/ Princeton Survey Research Associates International SurveyUSA September 30October 2, 2008

Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008

Barack Obama

55% John McCain

37%

18

September 30October 1, 2008

Barack Obama Barack Obama

46% John McCain 47% John McCain

47% 43%

1 4

Minnesota Public Ra- September 29dio October 1, 2008 News/Humphrey Institute CNN/Time Magazine/ September 28-30, Opinion Research 2008 Quinnipiac University/ Wall Street Journal/ Washington Post American Research Group Rasmussen Reports Big Ten Poll Star Tribune Minnesota/ Princeton Survey Research Associates International Survey USA September 14-21 2008

Barack Obama Barack Obama

54% John McCain 47% John McCain

43% 45%

11 2

September 18-20 2008 September 18, 2008 September 14-17, 2008 September 10-12 2008

Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama

48% John McCain 52% John McCain 47% John McCain 45% John McCain

47% 44% 45% 45%

1 8 2 0

September 10-11 2008

Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama

49% John McCain 53% John McCain 48% John McCain

47% 41% 38%

2 12 10

CNN/Time Magazine/ August 31Opinion Research September 2, 2008 Minnesota Public Ra- August 7-17 2008 dio/ University of Minnesota Survey USA Rasmussen Reports Rasmussen Reports Quinnipiac University/ Wall Street Journal/ Washington Post August 13-14 2008 August 13, 2008 July 22, 2008 July 14-22 2008

Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama

47% John McCain 49% John McCain 52% John McCain 46% John McCain

45% 45% 39% 44%

2 4 13 2

28

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Rasmussen Reports July 10, 2008

Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008
Barack Obama Democrat Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama 54% John McCain % 37% 17

Poll Source Research 2000/ Daily Kos Rasmussen Reports Press-Register/ University of South Alabama Research 2000/ Daily Kos Rasmussen Reports American Research Group Research 2000/ Daily Kos Rasmussen Reports Rasmussen Reports Research 2000/ Daily Kos

Date administered October 27-29 2008 October 27, 2008 October 13-23 2008 October 14-15 2008 September 30, 2008 September 13-16 2008 September 8-10 2008 August 21, 2008 July 28, 2008 July 21-23 2008

Republican % 53% 53% 46%

Lead Margin 13 8 13

40% John McCain 45% John McCain 33% John McCain 40% John McCain 44% John McCain 39% John McCain 37% John McCain 43% John McCain 42% John McCain 42% John McCain

50% 52% 55% 55% 56% 54% 51%

10 8 16 18 13 12 9

• ** a poll commissioned by an organization affiliated with a specific candidate (not used in calculating results below).

Latest results (using latest polling when available)
This results section uses only the latest polls for each state. It is for indicative purposes only, and is highly susceptible to polling errors. The numbers in parentheses indicate the number of electoral votes awarded to each state. A total of 538 electoral votes are distributed among the states and DC. Margins of 10% or more are considered "safe"; margins of 5% to 9.9% are considered "likely" and margins of 0.1% to 4.9% are considered "leaning". Margins of multiple polls concluded the same day are averaged out. Because the list is revised after newer polls are released, it is highly volatile and should only be taken as examples.

Barack Obama − Joe Biden • • Safe states (19 states & D.C. − 233 electoral votes) • California (55) • Connecticut (7) • Delaware (3) • District of Columbia (3) • Hawaii (4) • Illinois (21) • Iowa (7) • Maine (4) • Maryland (10) • Massachusetts (12) • Michigan (17) • Nevada (5) • New Hampshire (4)

John McCain − Tied • • Missouri Sarah Palin (11) • • Safe states (13 states − 106 electoral votes) • Alabama (9) • Alaska (3) • Idaho (4) • Kansas (6) • Kentucky (8) • Mississippi (6) • Nebraska (5) • Oklahoma (7) • Tennessee (11) • Texas (34) • Utah (5)

29

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Poll Source Reuters/Zogby Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News Public Policy Polling Reuters/Zogby Survey USA American Research Group Date administered October 31November 3, 2008 November 2, 2008

Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008
Democrat Barack Obama Barack Obama % Republican % 48.8% 49% Lead Margin 0 0

48.8% John McCain 49% John McCain

October 31-November Barack 2, 2008 Obama October 30November 2, 2008 Barack Obama

49.4% John McCain 47.4% John McCain 48% 48% 47% 46% 48% John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain

48.6% 45.7% 48% 48% 50% 47% 50%

0.8 1.7 0 0 3 1 2

October 30-November Barack 2, 2008 Obama October 28-30 2008 Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama

Politico/ October 29, 2008 Insider Advantage Mason-Dixon/NBC October 28-29 2008 CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News Survey USA Reuters/Zogby October 23-28 2008

October 26, 2008

48%

47%

1

October 25-26 2008 October 23-26 2008

48%

48% 45.7% 46% 47% 48.3% 44%

0 2.5 1 1 0.3 5

48.2% John McCain 45% 48% 48% 49% John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain

Mason-Dixon/NBC October 22-23 2008 Research 2000/ Post-Dispatch Zogby Interactive * Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News Suffolk University Rasmussen Reports CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research Zogby Interactive * October 20-23 2008 October 17-20 2008 October 19, 2008

October 17-19 2008 October 15, 2008 October 11-14 2008

44% 52% 48%

45% 46% 49%

1 6 1

October 9-13 2008

50%

44%

6

30

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News Public Policy Polling SurveyUSA American Research Group Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research Survey USA St Louis Post-Dispatch/ Research 2000 St Louis Post-Dispatch/ Research 2000 American Research Group Zogby Interactive * Rasmussen Reports CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research Public Policy Polling Rasmussen Reports Survey USA Research 2000/ St. Louis Post Dispatch Rasmussen Reports Public Policy Polling October 12, 2008

Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008
Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama 50% John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain 47% 3

October 11-12 2008 October 10-12 2008 October 4-6 2008 October 5, 2008

48% 51% 46% 50%

46% 43% 49% 47%

2 8 3 3

September 28-30 2008 September 23-24 2008 September 22-24 2008 September 15-18 2008 September 11-15 2008

49%

48%

1

46% 47%

48% 48%

2 1

45%

49%

4

45%

50% 48.5% 51% 48%

5 6.1 5 4

September 9-12 2008 Barack Obama September 11, 2008 September 7-9 2008 Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama

42.4% John McCain 46% 44% John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain

August 13-17 2008 August 7, 2008 July 29-31 2008 July 7-10 2008

40% 44% 44% 48%

50% 50% 49% 43%

10 6 5 5

July 7, 2008 July 2-5 2008

42% 44%

47% 47%

5 3

• New Jersey (15) • New York (31)

• West Virginia (5)

• Oregon (7) • Rhode Island (4)

• Wyoming (3)

31

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Poll Source Public Policy Polling American Research Group Rsearch 2000/ Daily Kos Rasmussen Reports NBC/MasonDixon

Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008
Republican % John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain 47% Lead Other Margin 1 Ron Paul % 4%

Date Democrat % administered October 31November 2, 2008 Barack Obama 48%

October 28-30 Barack 2008 Obama October 28-30 Barack 2008 Obama October 29, 2008 Barack Obama

46% 44% 46% 44%

49% 48% 50% 48% 40.2% 49% 50% 52% 52% 49%

3 4 4 4 4.2 4 5 8 13 9 Bob Barr Ralph Nader 1% 1% Ron Paul‡ 4.2%

October 23-25 Barack 2008 Obama

Montana State October 16-20 Barack University 2008 Obama Research 2000/ October 15-16 Barack Daily Kos 2008 Obama American Research Group Rasmussen Reports October 6-8 2008 October 1, 2008 Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama

44.4% John McCain 45% 45% 44% 39% 40% John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain

Research 2000/ September Daily Kos 22-24 2008 CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research American Research Group Rasmussen Reports Rasmussen Reports Poll Source Rasmussen Reports American Research Group Rasmussen Reports Rasmussen Reports September 21-23 2008

September 7-9 2008 September 8, 2008 July 31, 2008

Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama

47% 42% 47%

John McCain John McCain John McCain %

49% 53% 47%

2 11 0

Date administered September 30, 2008 September 12-17 2008 July 28, 2008 June 23, 2008

Democrat Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama

Republican % 56% 60% 55% 52%

Lead Margin 19 26 19 16

37% John McCain 34% John McCain 36% John McCain 36% John McCain • Wisconsin (10)

• Vermont (3) • Washington (11)

• Likely states (4 states − 28

electoral votes)

32

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Poll Source

Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008
Republican % Lead Others % Margin

Date Democrat % administered

33

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Reuters/Zogby October 31November 3, 2008 October 31November 2, 2008 October 30November 2, 2008

Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008
Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama 53.2% John McCain 51% John McCain 42.4% 10.8

Public Policy Polling Reuters/Zogby

47%

4

50.7% John McCain 47% John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain

42.9%

7.8

Las Vegas Review-Journal/ Mason-Dixon Reno GazetteJournal/ Channel 2

October 28-29 Barack 2008 Obama October 23-28 Barack 2008 Obama

43%

4

50%

45%

5

CNN/Time October 23-28 Barack Magazine/ 2008 Obama Opinion Research Rasmussen Reports October 27, 2008 Barack Obama

52%

45%

7

50% 50%

46% 40% 44% 40% 46%

4 10 4.2 12 5

Suffolk University October 23-27 Barack 2008 Obama Reuters/Zogby October 23-26 Barack 2008 Obama

48.2% John McCain 52% 51% John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain

Associated Press/ October 22-26 Barack GfK 2008 Obama CNN/Time October 19-21 Barack Magazine/ 2008 Obama Opinion Research Politico/ October 20, InsiderAdvantage 2008 Barack Obama

47% 44% 50% 49%

47% 51.5% 45% 46% 47.1% 45%

0 7.5 5 3 0.4 2

Zogby Interactive October 17-20 Barack * 2008 Obama Rasmussen Reports October 16, 2008 Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama

InsiderAdvantage/ October 13, Poll Position 2008 Zogby Interactive October 9-13 * 2008 Las Vegas Review-Journal/ Mason-Dixon October 8-9 2008

47.5% John McCain 47% John McCain John McCain John McCain

InsiderAdvantage/ October 6, Poll Position 2008 Reno GazetteJournal/ Channel 2 News/ Research 2000 October 3-6 2008

49% 50%

47% 43%

2 7

34

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Rasmussen Reports October 2, 2008

Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008
Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama 51% 48% 51% John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain 47% 47% 47% 4 1 4

InsiderAdvantage/ September Poll Position 30, 2008 CNN/Time September Magazine/ 28-30 2008 Opinion Research American Research Group September 27-29 2008

47% 45% 47%

49% 46% 45%

2 1 2

Suffolk University September 17-21 2008 Project New West/ Myers Research/ Grove Insight ** American Research Group September 14-19 2008

September 12-14 2008

Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama

46%

John McCain

49% 50.1% 49% 46% 44%

3 7.6 3 1 5

Zogby Interactive September * 9-12 2008 Rasmussen Reports September 11, 2008

42.5% John McCain 46% 45% 49% John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain

InsiderAdvantage/ September Poll Position 10, 2008 CNN/Time August 24-26 Magazine/ 2008 Opinion Research Research 2000/ Reno GazetteJournal/KTVN August 18-20,2008

44%

43%

1

Mason-Dixon/ August Las Vegas Review 13-15,2008 Journal Zogby Interactive August 15-19 * 2008

39%

46%

7

39%

38% 1

Bob Barr Ralph Nader Other

10% 3% 10%

Rasmussen Reports Rasmussen Reports • Likely states (3 states − 39 electoral votes) • New Mexico (5) • Pennsylvania (21)

August 11, 2008 July 16, 2008

Barack Obama Barack Obama

45% 47%

John McCain John McCain

48% 45%

3 2

• Arkansas (6) • Indiana (11) • South Carolina (8)

• Virginia (13) • South • Leaning states (6 Dakota (3) states − 84 • Leaning electoral votes) states (4 • Colorado (9) states − 37 • Florida (27) electoral votes)

35

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Poll Source

Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008
Republican % Lead Others % Margin

Date Democrat % administered

36

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Rasmussen Reports SurveyUSA Univ. of New Hampshire/ WMUR American Research Group October 30, 2008 Barack Obama

Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008
51% 53% 53% John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain 44% 42% 39% 7 11 14

October 29-30 Barack 2008 Obama October 28-30 Barack 2008 Obama October 28-30 Barack 2008 Obama

56% 51%

41% 44%

15 7

Concord Monit- October 28-30 Barack or/ 2008 Obama Research 2000 Suffolk University October 27-29 Barack 2008 Obama

53% 50% 58%

40% 41% 33%

13 9 25

Strategic Vision October 27-29 Barack 2008 Obama Univ. of New Hampshire/ WMUR Univ. of New Hampshire/ WMUR Associated Press/GfK NBC/MasonDixon Rasmussen Reports Marist College University of New Hampshire/ Boston Globe Zogby Interactive * Concord Mintor/ Research 2000 Zogby Interactive * American Research Group CNN/Time Magazin/ Opinion Research October 25-27 Barack 2008 Obama October 24-26 Barack 2008 Obama October 22-26 Barack 2008 Obama October 23-25 Barack 2008 Obama October 23, 2008 Barack Obama

55%

39%

16

55% 50% 50% 50% 54%

37% 39% 46% 45% 39%

18 11 4 5 15

October 22-23 Barack 2008 Obama October 18-22 Barack 2008 Obama

October 17-20 Barack 2008 Obama October 17-19 Barack 2008 Obama October 9-13 2008 October 6-8 2008 October 3-6 2008 Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama

46.5% John McCain 50% John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain

46.2% 43%

0.3 7

48% 52% 53%

43% 43% 45%

5 9 8

37

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Survey USA Rasmussen Reports St. Anselm/ SRBI October 4-5, 2008 October 1, 2008 September 25-30 2008 Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama

Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008
53% 53% 49% 48% John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain 40% 43% 37% 44% 13 10 12 4

Concord Monit- September or/ 22-24 2008 Research 2000 Strategic Vision September 22-24 2008 Suffolk University Rasmussen Reports September 20-24 2008 September 23, 2008

46% 46% 47% 44% 51% 45% 45%

45% 45% 49% 43% 45% 47% 48% 49.1% 43%

1 1 2 1 6 2 3 6.3 5 Others 1%

Allstate/Nation- September al Journal/FD 18-22 2008 Marist College September 17-21 2008

University of September New Hampshire 14-21 2008 American Research Group Zogby Interactive * CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research Rasmussen Reports Zogby Interactive * September 13-15 2008 September 9-12 2008 September 9, 2008

42.8% John McCain 48% John McCain

August 20, 2008 August 15-19 2008

Barack Obama Barack Obama

47% 38%

John McCain John McCain

46% 42%

1 Bob Barr 4 Ralph Nader Other 11% 1% 9%

American Research Group Rasmussen Reports American Research Group

August 18-20 2008 July 23, 2008 July 19-21 2008

Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama

46% 49% 47% 46%

John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain

45% 45% 45% 43%

1 4 2 3

University of July 11-20 New Hampshire 2008 • Minnesota (10) • Montana (3)

• Arizona (10)

• North Carolina (15) • Ohio (20)

• Georgia (15)

38

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Poll Source Rasmussen Reports Monmouth University/ Gannett New Jersey SurveyUSA Fairleigh Dickinson University The Record/Research 2000 Strategic Vision Marist College Quinnipiac University Monmouth University/ Gannett New Jersey SurveyUSA Rasmussen Reports Fairleigh Dickinson University SurveyUSA Strategic Vision American Research Group Rasmussen Reports Strategic Vision Monmouth University/ Gannett New Jersey Quinnipiac University The Record/ Research 2000 Marist College Fairleigh Dickinson University Date administered November 2, 2008 October 29-31 2008 October 29-30 2008 October 23-29 2008 October 26-28 2008 October 24-26 2008 October 20-21 2008 October 16-19 2008 October 15-18 2008

Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008
Democrat Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama % Republican % 42% 34% 42% 35% 38% 38% 39% 36% 38% 40% 42% 37% 42% 39% 42% 42% 43% 41% 45% 41% 45% 41% Lead Margin 15 21 10 18 16 15 17 23 17 15 8 13 10 9 9 13 4 8 3 9 3 6

57% John McCain 55% John McCain 52% John McCain 53% John McCain 54% John McCain 53% John McCain 56% John McCain 59% John McCain 55% John McCain 55% John McCain 50% John McCain 50% John McCain 52% John McCain 48% John McCain 51% John McCain 55% John McCain 47% John McCain 49% John McCain 48% John McCain 50% John McCain 48% John McCain 47% John McCain

October 12, 2008 Barack Obama October 7, 2008 September 29October 5, 2008 September 27-28 2008 September 26-28 2008 September 19-21 2008 September 16, 2008 September 14-16 2008 September 11-14 2008 September 10-14 2008 September 9-11 2008 September 5-8 2008 September 4-7 2008 Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama

39

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Quinnipiac University Rasmussen Reports Monmouth University/ Gannett New Jersey Strategic Vision Rasmussen Reports

Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008
51% John McCain 52% John McCain 50% John McCain 47% John McCain 47% John McCain 41% 42% 36% 38% 44% 10 10 14 9 3

August 4-10 2008 Barack Obama August 4, 2008 July 17-21 2008 July 11-13 2008 July 7, 2008 Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama

• Louisiana (9) • North Dakota (3)

Maps of recent polling data
Map and totals updated at 11-3-08 11:10AM EST. Maps are based on a weighted average for the previous 10 polling results, and as such may be slow to show changes in countrywide opinion - click on the image to view its history. The second map is altered to convey the proportional amount of electoral votes of each state. The number of electoral votes of a given state is based on its population. Candidates must win at least 270 electoral votes to win the election, and the House of Representatives votes in the event no one qualifies. Totals • Obama leads: electoral votes • McCain leads: electoral votes

40

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Poll Source SurveyUSA Albuquerque Journal/ Research & Polling Public Policy Polling Rasmussen Reports Zogby Interactive * Rasmussen Reports SurveyUSA Zogby Interactive * Albuquerque Journal/ Research & Polling Rasmussen Reports SurveyUSA Public Policy Polling SurveyUSA American Research Group

Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008
Republican % John McCain John McCain 45% 43% Lead Others % Margin 7 8

Date Democrat % administered October 29-31 Barack 2008 Obama October 28-30 Barack 2008 Obama 52% 51%

October 28-30 Barack 2008 Obama October 28, 2008 Barack Obama

58% 54%

John McCain John McCain

41% 44% 45.5% 42% 45% 43% 40%

17 10 0.6 13 7 8 5 Ralph Nader 1%

October 17-20 Barack 2008 Obama October 13, 2008 Barack Obama

46.1% John McCain 55% 52% 51% 45% John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain

October 12-13 Barack 2008 Obama October 9-13 2008 September 29October 2, 2008 October 1, 2008 September 29-30 2008 September 17-19 2008 September 14-16 2008 September 14-16 2008 Barack Obama Barack Obama

Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama

49% 52% 53% 52% 51% 49%

John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain

44% 44% 42% 44% 44% 42%

5 8 11 8 7 7

Allstate/Nation- September al Journal/ 11-15 2008 FD Zogby Interactive * Rasmussen Reports CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research Rasmussen Reports September 9-12 2008 September 8, 2008 August 24-26 2008

45.6% John McCain 47% 53% John McCain John McCain

44.1% 49% 40%

1.5 2 13

August 20, 2008

Barack Obama

48%

John McCain

44%

4

41

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Zogby Interactive * August 15-19 2008 Barack Obama

Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008
46% John McCain 37% 9 Bob Barr Ralph Nader Other 5% 1% 11%

Mason-Dixon Rasmussen Reports Poll Source Survey USA Marist College Siena College

August 13-15 2008 July 24, 2008

Barack Obama Barack Obama

41% 49%

John McCain John McCain %

45% 43%

4 6

Date administered October 27-28 2008 October 21-22 2008 October 19-21 2008 October 14, 2008 October 11-12 2008 September 23-24 2008 September 14-16 2008 September 15, 2008 September 8-10 2008

Democrat Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama

Republican % 33% 29% 31% 37% 31% 38% 38% 42% 41% 39% 36% 36% 26% 37%

Lead Margin 29 36 31 20 33 19 17 13 5 8 19 21 18 13

62% John McCain 65% John McCain 62% John McCain 57% John McCain 64% John McCain 57% John McCain 55% John McCain 55% John McCain 46% John McCain 47% John McCain 55% John McCain 57% John McCain 44% John McCain 50% John McCain

Rasmussen Reports Survey USA Survey USA American Research Group Rasmussen Reports Siena College Siena College Rasmussen Reports

August 11-14 2008 Barack Obama August 4, 2008 Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama

Quinnipiac University July 31-August 4, 2008 Siena College Siena College July 17-29 2008 July 7-10 2008

42

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Poll Source American Research Group Reuters/Zogby Date administered October 31November 3, 2008 October 31November 3, 2008 November 2, 2008 October 30November 2, 2008 October 31November 2, 2008 October 30November 2, 2008 October 28-30 2008

Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008
Democrat Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama % 49% Republican % John McCain 48% Lead Margin 1

49.5% John McCain 49% 48% John McCain John McCain John McCain

49.1%

0.4

Rasmussen Reports Survey USA

50% 49%

1 1

Public Policy Polling

50%

49%

1

Reuters/Zogby

47.7% John McCain 47% 50% 48% 46% 47% 52% 47% 48% 49% John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain

49.3%

1.6

Research 2000/Daily Kos Rasmussen Reports Politico/ Insider Advantage Mason-Dixon/NBC Civitas Institute/ TelOpinion

45% 48% 48% 49% 46% 46% 43% 49% 48% 46.4% 46% 47% 50% 46.4%

2 2 0 3 1 6 4 1 1 3.3 2 0 2 2

October 29, 2008 Barack Obama October 29, 2008 Barack Obama October 28-29 2008 October 27-29 2008 Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama

CNN/Time Magazine/ October 23-28 Opinion Research 2008 Allstate/National Journal/FD Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News Public Policy Polling Reuters/Zogby October 23-27 2008

October 26, 2008 Barack Obama October 25-26 2008 October 23-26 2008 Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama

49.7% John McCain 48% 47% 48% John McCain John McCain John McCain

Associated Press/GfK October 22-26 2008 NBC/Mason-Dixon Rasmussen Reports WSOC-TV October 23-25 2008

October 23, 2008 Barack Obama October 20-21 2008 Barack Obama

48.4% John McCain

43

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
CNN/Time Magazine/ October 19-21 Opinion Research 2008 InsiderAdvantage/ Politico

Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008
Barack Obama 51% 49% 47% 48% John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain 47% 48% 47% 45% 46.5% 48% 44% 44.2% 44% 46% 46% 48% 46% 48% 43% 47.8% 49% 49% 44% 47% 49% 45% 47% 4 1 0 3 3.1 3 7 0.4 2 2 3 0 3 1 5 1.8 3 0 6 3 3 2 2

October 20, 2008 Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama

SurveyUSA/WTVD-TV October 18-20 2008 Civitas Institute/ TelOpinion Zogby Interactive * Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News Public Policy Polling October 18-20 2008 October 17-20 2008

49.6% John McCain 51% 51% John McCain John McCain

October 19, 2008 Barack Obama October 18-19 2008 Barack Obama

Winthrop University/ September 28Barack ETV October 19, 2008 Obama Research 2000/ Daily Kos InsiderAdvantage/ Poll Position Zogby Interactive * Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News Public Policy Polling Rasmussen Reports Civitas/TelOpinion WSOC-TV SurveyUSA October 14-15 2008 Barack Obama

44.6% John McCain 46% 48% 49% 48% 49% 49% 48% 46% 46% 49% 50% 50% 46% 47% 49% John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain

October 13, 2008 Barack Obama October 9-13 2008 Barack Obama

October 12, 2008 Barack Obama October 11-12 2008 October 8, 2008 Barack Obama Barack Obama

October 6-8 2008 Barack Obama October 6-7 2008 Barack Obama October 5-6 2008 Barack Obama

CNN/Time Magazine/ October 3-6 2008 Barack Opinion Research Obama Public Policy Polling Rasmussen Reports American Research Group Public Policy Polling Rasmussen Reports October 4-5, 2008 Barack Obama September 30, 2008 Barack Obama

September 27-29 Barack 2008 Obama September 27-28, Barack 2008 Obama September 23, 2008 Barack Obama

44

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008
45% 46% 47% 47% 41% John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain 45% 46% 50% 48% 52% 46.6% 55% 47% 48% 58% 49% 47% 0 0 3 1 11 1.5 17 3 4 20 3 3

Civitas Institute/ September 17-20 Barack Tel Opinion Research 2008 Obama Public Policy Polling Rasmussen Reports September 17-19, Barack 2008 Obama September 18, 2008 Barack Obama

CNN/Time Magazine/ September 14-16, Barack Opinion Research 2008 Obama American Research Group Zogby Interactive * Research 2000/ Daily Kos September 13-16 Barack 2008 Obama September 9-12 2008 September 8-10 2008 Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama

48.1% John McCain 38% 44% 44% 38% 46% 44% John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain

Civitas Institute/ September 6-10 Tel Opinion Research 2008 Public Policy Polling SurveyUSA Garin Hart Yang Democracy Corps/ Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Public Policy Polling InsiderAdvantage September 9, 2008 September 6-8 2008 September 5-7 2008 August 20-26 2008 August 23, 2008 August 19, 2008

42%

45% 44.5% 39% 46% 50% 49% 47% 47% 43% 48%

3 1.7 8 6 6 4 4 3 3 3

42.8% John McCain 47% 40% 44% 45% 43% 44% 40% 45% John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain

Zogby International * August 15-19 2008 Civitas Institute/ August 14-17 Tel Opinion Research 2008 Rasmussen Reports Survey USA Research 2000/Daily Kos Public Policy Polling August 13, 2008

August 9-11 2008 Barack Obama July 28-30 2008 July 23-27 2008 Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama

Civitas Institute/ July 14-16 2008 Tel Opinion Research Rasmussen Reports July 15, 2008

45

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Survey USA July 12-14 2008

Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008
Barack Obama Democrat Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama 45% John McCain 50% 5

Poll Source Research 2000/Daily Kos Research 2000/Daily Kos The Bismarck Tribune Minnesota State University/ Fargo Forum Research 2000/Daily Kos American Research Group Rasmussen Reports

Date administered October 28-29 2008 October 14-15 2008 October 13-14 2008 October 6-8 2008

%

Republican % 47% 45% 41% 43%

Lead Margin 1 0 3 2

46% John McCain 45% John McCain 44% John McCain 45% John McCain 40% John McCain 43% John McCain 41% John McCain 43% John McCain 42% John McCain 46% John McCain

September 16-17,2008 September 15-17,2008 September 8, 2008

53% 52% 55% 40%

13 9 14 3

North Dakota United August 23-27 2008 Barack Transportation Union/ Obama DFM Research ** Research 2000/ Daily Kos Rasmussen Reports July 21-July 23, 2008 July 8, 2008 Barack Obama Barack Obama

45% 47%

3 1

Election Day projection
FINAL UPDATE: 22:32, 4 November 2008 (UTC)

• Each state is colored according to which candidate is currently projected to win, and both the state’s total electoral votes and the winning candidate’s projected margin of victory are listed.

See also
• Nationwide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008 • Nationwide opinion polling for the Democratic Party 2008 presidential candidates • Statewide opinion polling for the Democratic Party presidential primaries, 2008 • Nationwide opinion polling for the Republican Party 2008 presidential candidates • Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primaries, 2008

• Data derived from Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight.com weighted averages and statistical polling analysis, which determines what the best guess as to what will happen on Election Day is rather than what would happen if the election were held today. (Methodology)

46

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Poll Source

Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008
Republican % Lead Others % Margin

Date Democrat % administered

47

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Reuters/Zogby October 31November 3, 2008 November 2, 2008 October 31November 2, 2008 October 31November 2, 2008 October 30November 2, 2008 October 30November 2, 2008 October 29November 2, 2008 October 27November 2, 2008

Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008
Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama 49.4% John McCain 49% 46% John McCain John McCain John McCain 47.4% 2

Rasmussen Reports Strategic Vision

49% 48%

0 2

Public Policy Polling Reuters/Zogby

50%

48%

2

50.2% John McCain 48% John McCain

43.9%

6.3

SurveyUSA

46%

2

University of Cinncinati Quinnipiac University Columbus Dispatch Mason-Dixon

51.5% John McCain 50% John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain

45.7%

5.8

43%

7

October 22-31 Barack 2008 Obama October 28-29 Barack 2008 Obama

52% 45% 51%

46% 47% 47%

6 2 4

CNN/Time October 23-28 Barack Magazine/ 2008 Obama Opinion Research SurveyUSA Los Angeles Times/ Bloomberg Allstate/National Journal/ FD Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News Marist College Reuters/Zogby Quinnipiac University October 26-27 Barack 2008 Obama October 25-27 Barack 2008 Obama October 23-27 Barack 2008 Obama October 26, 2008 Barack Obama

49% 49%

45% 40%

4 9

48%

41%

7

49%

45%

4

October 24-26 Barack 2008 Obama October 23-26 Barack 2008 Obama October 22-26 Barack 2008 Obama

48%

45% 45.1% 42%

3 4.6 9

49.7% John McCain 51% John McCain

48

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
AP/GfK Public Policy Polling Ohio University

Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008
48% 51% 57% 52% 45% 53% 49% John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain 41% 44% 41% 42% 48% 41% 46% 7 7 16 10 3 12 3

October 22-26 Barack 2008 Obama October 21-23 Barack 2008 Obama October 12-23 Barack 2008 Obama Barack Obama

Politico/ October 22, InsiderAdvantage 2008 Strategic Vision Big Ten Poll

October 20-22 Barack 2008 Obama October 19-22 Barack 2008 Obama

University of Cin- October 18-22 Barack cinnati/ 2008 Obama Ohio News Organization CNN/Time October 19-21 Barack Magazine/ 2008 Obama Opinion Research Quinnipiac University October 16-21 Barack 2008 Obama

50%

John McCain John McCain

46%

4

52%

38% 49.3% 49%

14 2.8 2

Zogby Interactive October 17-20 Barack * 2008 Obama Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News October 19, 2008 Barack Obama

46.5% John McCain 47% John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain

Suffolk University October 16-19 Barack 2008 Obama NBC/MasonDixon Rasmussen Reports SurveyUSA October 16-17 Barack 2008 Obama October 14, 2008 Barack Obama

51% 45% 49% 50% 45% 49%

42% 46% 49% 45% 49% 47%

9 1 0 5 4 2

October 12-13 Barack 2008 Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama

Zogby Interactive October 9-13 * 2008 Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News October 12, 2008

InsiderAdvantage/ October 9, PollPosition 2008 Strategic Vision Marist College October 6-8 2008 October 5-8 2008

49% 48% 49% 46%

44% 46% 45% 48%

5 2 4 2

University of Cin- October 4-8 cinnati/ 2008

49

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Ohio News Organization American Research Group October 4-7 2008

Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008

Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama

48% 50%

John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain

45% 47%

3 3

CNN/Time October 3-6 Magazine/ 2008 Opinion Research Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News Public Policy Polling ABC News/ Washington Post Columbus Dispatch October 5, 2008 October 4-5 2008 October 3-5 2008 September 24October 4, 2008 September 29-/ October 1, 2008 September 29, 2008 September 28-29 2008 September 27-29 2008 September 28, 2008 September 23, 2008

47%

48%

1

49% 51% 49%

43% 45% 42%

6 6 7

Democracy Corps/ Greenberg Quinlan Rosner ** Insider Advantage/ PollPosition SurveyUSA Quinnipiac University Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News Rasmussen Reports

Barack Obama

49%

John McCain

43%

6

Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama

47%

John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain

45%

2

48% 50% 47%

49% 42% 48%

1 8 1

46% 46% 46%

47% 46% 50%

1 0 4

InsiderAdvantage/ September Poll Position 22, 2008 Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News Big Ten Poll September 21, 2008 September 14-17 2008

46% 42%

45% 48%

1 6

University of Cin- September cinnati/ 12-16 2008 Ohio News Organization Marist College September 11-15 2008

Barack Obama

47%

John McCain

45%

2

50

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Allstate/National Journal/ FD Fox News/ Rasmussen Reports September 11-15 2008 September 14, 2008 Barack Obama Barack Obama

Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008
41% John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain 42% 1

45%

48%

3

CNN/Time September Magazine/ 13-14 2008 Opinion Research Public Policy Polling SurveyUSA American Research Group September 13-14 2008 September 12-14 2008 September 10-13 2008

Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama

49%

47%

2

44% 45% 44% 42%

48% 49% 50% 46% 49.8% 48% 48% 48% 44% 51%

4 4 6 4 5.9 1 4 4 5 7 Other 5%

Suffolk University September 10-13 2008 Zogby Interactive September * 9-12 2008 InsiderAdvantage/ September Poll Position 10, 2008 University of Cincinnati September 5-10 2008

43.9% John McCain 47% 44% 44% 49% 44% John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain

Strategic Version September 7-9 2008 Quinnipiac University Fox News/ Rasmussen Reports September 5-9 2008 September 7, 2008

CNN/Time August 31Magazine/ September 2, Opinion Research 2008 Quinnipiac University The Columbus Dispatch Rasmussen Reports August 17-24 2008 August 12-21 2008 August 20, 2008

47%

45%

2

44% 41% 43% 41%

43% 42% 48% 36%

1 1 5 Bob Barr 5 Ralph Nader Other 8% 1% 13%

Zogby Interactive August 15-19 * 2008

51

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Public Policy Polling Quinnipiac University Rasmussen Reports Public Policy Polling Poll Source SurveyUSA TVPoll.com August 12-14 2008 July 23-29 2008 July 21, 2008 July 17-20 2008

Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008
Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama 45% 46% 42% 48% John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain % 34% 45% 44% 52% 40% 0 2 10 8

Date administered October 28-29 2008 October 24-26 2008

Democrat Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama

Republican % John McCain 63% 61.8% 59% 63.0% 65.5% 64% 67.6% 65.8% 59% 61% 69.1% 63% 65.9% 65% 56%

Lead Margin 29 27 24 31.1 36.4 30 41.1 39.6 23 27 42.2 31 38 33 32

34.8% John McCain 35% John McCain

SurveyUSA/KFOR-TV October 18-19 2008 TVPoll.com TVPoll.com SurveyUSA TVPoll.com TVPoll.com October 10-12 2008 October 4-5 2008 September 28-29 2008 September 26-28 2008 September 20-22 2008

31.9% John McCain 29.1% John McCain 34% John McCain

26.5% John McCain 26.2% John McCain 36% 34% John McCain John McCain

Research 2000/Daily September Kos 16-18,2008 American Research Group TVPoll.com Rasmussen Reports TVPoll.com SurveyUSA Sooner Poll/ Tulsa World September 15-18,2008 September 14, 2008 September 11, 2008 September 7, 2008 September 5-7 2008 July 19-23 2008

26.9% John McCain 32% John McCain

27.9% John McCain 32% 24% John McCain John McCain

• Straw polls for the Republican Party 2008 presidential nomination

References
[1] "Poll: Obama Leading McCain In Mich Politics News Story - WDIV Detroit".

Clickondetroit.com. http://www.clickondetroit.com/politics/ 17263271/detail.html. Retrieved on 2008-09-05.

52

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Poll Source Rasmussen Reports SurveyUSA Public Policy Polling Research 2000/Daily Kos SurveyUSA Riley Research Research 2000/ Daily Kos Rasmussen Reports SurveyUSA Grove Insight ** Rasmussen Reports Research 2000/Daily Kos Survey USA American Research Group Rasmussen Reports Portland Tribune/ Davis, Hibbitts & Midghall Hoffman Research Group ** Rasmussen Reports Survey USA Rasmussen Reports Date administered October 30, 2008 October 29-30 2008 October 28-30 2008 October 27-29 2008 October 25-26 2008 October 10-20 2008 October 14-15 2008 October 14, 2008 October 11-12 2008 October 7-9 2008 October 9, 2008 September 22-24 2008 September 22-23 2008 September 19-22 2008 September 15, 2008 September 11-14 2008 September 8-9 2008 August 7, 2008 August 2-4 2008 July 15, 2008

Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008
Democrat Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama % Republican % 42% 38% 42% 39% 38% 34% 38% 41% 40% 39% 43% 39% 41% 41% 47% 40% Lead margin 12 19 15 16 19 14 15 13 17 13 11 14 11 11 4 10

54% John McCain 57% John McCain 57% John McCain 55% John McCain 57% John McCain 48% John McCain 53% John McCain 54% John McCain 57% John McCain 52% John McCain 54% John McCain 53% John McCain 52% John McCain 52% John McCain 51% John McCain 50% John McCain 46% John McCain 52% John McCain 48% John McCain 49% John McCain

39% 42% 45% 40%

6 10 3 9

External links
• FiveThirtyEight.com: Detailed analysis of state-by-state general election polling

• Electoral-Vote.com • Pollster.com Graphic display of aggregated polls

53

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Poll Source

Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008
Republican % Lead Others % Margin

Date Democrat % administered

54

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
SurveyUSA October 31November 3, 2008 October 31November 3, 2008 October 31November 2, 2008 October 31November 2, 2008 October 30November 2, 2008 Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama

Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008
52% John McCain 43% 9

Reuters/Zogby

51.2% John McCain 51% John McCain John McCain

41.4%

9.8

Strategic Vision

44%

7

Public Policy Polling Reuters/Zogby

53%

45%

8

53.7% John McCain 52% John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain

40%

13.7

Muhlenberg Col- October 29lege/ November 2, Morning Call 2008 Quinnipiac University Rasmussen Reports SurveyUSA American Research Group October 27November 2, 2008 November 1, 2008

46%

6

52%

42%

10

52% 51% 51% 52%

46% 44% 45% 44%

6 7 6 8

October 29-31 Barack 2008 Obama October 29-31 Barack 2008 Obama

Muhlenberg Col- October 27-31 Barack lege/ 2008 Obama Morning Call Rasmussen Reports October 30, 2008 Barack Obama

51% 53%

47% 43%

4 10

Muhlenberg Col- October 26-30 Barack lege/ 2008 Obama Morning Call Mason-Dixon/ NBC Strategic Vision October 28-29 Barack 2008 Obama October 27-29 Barack 2008 Obama

47% 49% 53%

43% 44% 40%

4 5 13

Muhlenberg Col- October 25-29 Barack lege/ 2008 Obama Morning Call NBC/MasonDixon CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research October 27-28 Barack 2008 Obama October 23-28 Barack 2008 Obama

47% 55%

43% 43%

4 12

55

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Rasmussen Reports Marist College October 27, 2008 Barack Obama

Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008
53% 55% 51% 53% 52% 53% John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain 46% 41% 42% 41% 40% 40% 7 14 9 12 12 13

October 26-27 Barack 2008 Obama Barack Obama

Politico/ October 26, InsiderAdvantage 2008 Quinnipiac University

October 22-26 Barack 2008 Obama

Associated Press/ October 22-26 Barack GfK 2008 Obama Muhlenberg Col- October 22-26 Barack lege/ 2008 Obama Morning Call Franklin & Marshall College Temple University October 21-26 Barack 2008 Obama October 20-26 Barack 2008 Obama

53% 50% 52%

40% 41% 40%

13 9 12

Muhlenberg Col- October 19-23 Barack lege/ 2008 Obama Morning Call Strategic Vision Big Ten Poll SurveyUSA Quinnipiac University October 20-22 Barack 2008 Obama October 19-22 Barack 2008 Obama October 21, 2008 Barack Obama

50% 52% 53% 53% 51% 53%

43% 41% 41% 40% 41% 41%

7 11 12 13 10 12

October 16-21 Barack 2008 Obama

National Journal/ October 16-20 Barack FD 2008 Obama Muhlenberg Col- October 15-19 Barack lege/ 2008 Obama Morning Call Susquehanna Polling and Research/ Pittsburgh Tribune-Review October 16-18 Barack 2008 Obama

48%

40%

8

Muhlenberg Col- October 11-15 Barack lege/ 2008 Obama Morning Call SurveyUSA Zogby Interactive * Marist College October 11-13 Barack 2008 Obama October 9-13 2008 October 5-8 2008 Barack Obama Barack Obama

53%

John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain

37%

16

55% 52% 53%

40% 40% 41%

15 12 12

56

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Strategic Vision October 5-7 2008 Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama

Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008
54% 50% John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain 40% 38% 14 12

Muhlenberg Col- October 3-7 lege/ 2008 Morning Call Rasmussen Reports SurveyUSA October 6, 2008 October 5-6 2008

54% 55% 49%

41% 40% 38%

13 15 11

Muhlenberg Col- October 1-5 lege/ 2008 Morning Call Muhlenberg Col- September lege/ 30Morning Call October 3, 2008 Muhlenberg Col- September lege/ 27Morning Call October 1, 2008 Quinnipiac University September 27-29 2008

51%

39%

12

Barack Obama

50%

John McCain

41%

9

Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama

54% 49%

John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain

39% 41%

15 8

Muhlenberg Col- September lege/ 25-29 2008 Morning Call Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News September 28, 2008

50%

42%

8

Muhlenberg Col- September lege/ 24-28 2008 Morning Call Franklin & Marshall Rasmussen Reports SurveyUSA September 23-28 2008 September 24, 2008 September 23-24 2008

49%

42%

7

45% 49% 50% 47%

38% 45% 44% 43%

7 4 6 4

Muhlenberg Col- September lege/ 21-24 2008 Morning Call CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research September 21-23 2008

51%

43%

8

Bob Barr Ralph Nader

1% 3%

57

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
American Research Group Strategic Vision September 20-22 2008 September 20-22 2008 Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama

Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008
50% 47% 43% 48% John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain 46% 46% 41% 45% 4 1 2 3

Allstate/National September Journal/FD 18-22 2008 Fox News/ Rasmussen Reports NBC/MasonDixon Big Ten Poll Marist College Fox News/ Rasmussen Reports Zogby Interactive * Quinnipiac University Fox News/ Rasmussen Reports Strategic Vision CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research Quinnipiac University Rasmussen Reports Zogby Interactive * September 21, 2008 September 16-18 2008 September 14-17 2008 September 11-15 2008 September 14, 2008 September 9-12 2008 September 5-9 2008 September 8, 2008 September 5-7 2008 August 24-26 2008

46% 45% 49% 47%

44% 45% 44% 47%

2 0 5 0

44.3% John McCain 48% 47% John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain

49.1% 45% 45%

4.8 3 2

47% 48%

45% 43%

2 5

August 17-24 2008 August 19, 2008 August 15-19 2008

Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama

49% 48% 46%

John McCain John McCain John McCain

42% 45% 37%

7 3 Bob Barr 9 Ralph Nader Other 5% 3% 8%

58

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Susquehanna Polling & Research Franklin & Marshall College Quinnipiac University Strategic Vision Rasmussen Reports Poll Source Rhode Island College Brown University Rasmussen Reports American Research Group Brown University August 11-14 2008 August 4-10 2008 July 23-29 2008 July 25-27 2008 July 23, 2008 Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama

Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008
46% John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain % 41% 5

46% 49% 49% 51%

41% 42% 40% 45%

5 7 9 6

Date administered September 17-24 2008 September 15-16 2008 September 13, 2008 September 11-13 2008

Democrat Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama

Republican % 34% 34% 39% 33% 30%

Lead Margin 13 13 19 26 20

47% John McCain 47% John McCain 58% John McCain 59% John McCain 50% John McCain

August 18-20 2008 Barack Obama • • • •

• Election-Projection.net 2008 state-by-state and Electoral College Vote Projections • Rasmussen Reports: Balance of Power Calculator • Real Clear Politics

Princeton Election Consortium Survey USA CNN’s Electoral Map American Research Group’s Ballot Lead Calculator

59

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Poll Source Survey USA NBC/Princeton Survey Research Rasmussen Reports Date administered October 28-29 2008 October 25-28 2008 October 20, 2008

Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008
Democrat Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama % 44% 42% Republican % John McCain John McCain John McCain 52% 53% Lead Margin 8 11

43%

54% 55.1% 55% 54% 58% 51% 59% 53% 45%

11 20.2 14 15 19 6 22 13 6

Winthrop University/ September 28ETV October 19, 2008 Survey USA October 12-13 2008

34.9% John McCain 41% 39% 39% 45% 37% 40% 39% John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain

Research 2000/Daily September 22-24 Kos 2008 Survey USA Rasmussen Reports American Research Group September 21-22 2008 September 18, 2008 September 14-17 2008

Research 2000/Daily July 22-23 2008 Kos Public Policy Polling July 9-11 2008

Poll Source Rasmussen Reports Research 2000/Daily Kos Argus Leader Media/ KELO-TV American Research Group Rasmussen Reports Rasmussen Reports

Date administered October 30, 2008 October 22-24 2008 October 13-15 2008 September 19-21 2008 September 9, 2008 July 9, 2008

Democrat Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama

%

Republican % 53% 50% 48% 55% 54% 47%

Lead Margin 9 9 7 16 17 4

44% John McCain 41% John McCain 41% John McCain 39% John McCain 37% John McCain 43% John McCain

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Poll Source Research 2000/Daily Kos Rasmussen Reports Rasmussen Reports Middle Tennessee State University Mason-Dixon

Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008
Date administered October 21-22 2008 Democrat Barack Obama % Republican % 54% 54% 58% 48% 55% 59% 60% 51% Lead Margin 16 12 19 12 16 23 25 15

38% John McCain 42% John McCain 39% John McCain 36% John McCain 39% John McCain 36% John McCain 35% John McCain 36% John McCain %

October 16, 2008 Barack Obama September 29, 2008 Barack Obama

September 15-27 Barack 2008 Obama September 22-24 Barack 2008 Obama

American Research Group September 16-19 Barack 2008 Obama Rasmussen Reports Ayres, McHenry & Associates ** Poll Source University of Texas Rasmussen Reports Research 2000/Daily Kos American Research Group Rasmussen Reports American Research Group Rasmussen Reports University of Texas Rasmussen Reports August 20, 2008 August 10-12 2008 Date administered October 15-22 2008 October 21, 2008 October 14-15 2008 October 5-8 2008 September 29, 2008 September 13-16 2008 August 21, 2008 July 18-30,2008 July 29, 2008 Barack Obama Barack Obama Democrat Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama

Republican % 51% 54% 52% 57% 52% 57% 54% 43% 52%

Lead Margin 11 10 12 19 9 19 10 10 8

40% John McCain 44% John McCain 40% John McCain 38% John McCain 43% John McCain 36% John McCain 44% John McCain 33% John McCain 44% John McCain

61

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Poll Source Date administered

Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008
Democrat Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama % Republican % 57% Lead Margin 25

Deseret News/KSL-TV October 24 -30 Dan Jones & 2008 Associates American Research Group Rasmussen Reports Deseret News/ Dan Jones & Associates Mason Dixon September 10-13 2008 September 10, 2008 September 8 -11 2008

32% John McCain 29% John McCain 32% John McCain 24% John McCain 23% John McCain %

65% 64% 62%

36 32 38

August 13 -15 2008 Barack Obama Date administered October 6, 2008 September 18-22 2008 September 14, 2008 September 13, 2008 Democrat Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama

62%

39

Poll Source Rasmussen Reports American Research Group Research 2000 Rasmussen Reports

Republican % 32% 38% 36% 36%

Lead Margin 33 18 19 24

65% John McCain 56% John McCain 55% John McCain 60% John McCain

62

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Poll Source

Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008
Republican % Lead Others % Margin

Date Democrat % administered

63

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
American Research Group Reuters/Zogby October 31November 3, 2008 October 31November 3, 2008 November 2, 2008 October 31November 2, 2008 October 30November 2, 2008 October 30November 1 2008

Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008
Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama 51% John McCain 47% 4

51.7% John McCain 51% John McCain John McCain

45.3%

6.4

Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News Public Policy Polling Reuters/Zogby

47%

4

52%

46%

6

50.7% John McCain 50% John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain

44.6%

6.1

SurveyUSA

46%

4

Mason-Dixon/ October 29-30 Barack Richmond Times- 2008 Obama Dispatch CNN/Time October 23-28 Barack Magazine/ 2008 Obama Opinion Research Marist College Allstate/National Journal/FD Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News SurveyUSA Reuters/Zogby October 26-27 Barack 2008 Obama October 23-27 Barack 2008 Obama October 26, 2008 Barack Obama

47%

44%

3

53%

44%

9

51% 48% 51%

47% 44% 47%

4 4 4

October 25-26 Barack 2008 Obama October 23-26 Barack 2008 Obama

52% 52% 49% 48% 52% 51% 51%

43% 44.8% 42% 39% 44% 43% 40%

9 7.2 7 9 8 8 11

Associated Press/ October 22-26 Barack GfK 2008 Obama Roanoke College ABC News/ Washington Post Public Policy Polling October 19-26 Barack 2008 Obama October 22-25 Barack 2008 Obama October 21-23 Barack 2008 Obama

Virginia Common- October 20-22 Barack wealth 2008 Obama University NBC/MasonDixon October 20-21 Barack 2008 Obama

47%

45%

2

64

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008
54% John McCain 44% 10

CNN/Time October 19-21 Barack Magazine/ 2008 Obama Opinion Research Zogby Interactive October 17-20 Barack * 2008 Obama SurveyUSA Winthrop University/ETV October 18-19 Barack 2008 Obama September 28October 19, 2008 October 16, 2008 Barack Obama

49.7% John McCain 51% John McCain

46.1% 45% 43.6%

3.6 6 1

44.6% John McCain

Rasmussen Reports

Barack Obama

54% 53%

John McCain John McCain

44% 43%

10 10

CNN/Time October 11-14 Barack Magazine/ 2008 Obama Opinion Research Christopher New- October 11-14 Barack port 2008 Obama University Zogby Interactive October 9-13 * 2008 Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News Public Policy Polling Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News SurveyUSA October 12, 2008 October 6-7 2008 October 5, 2008 October 4-5 2008 Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama

49.2% John McCain 52% 50% John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain

43.2%

6

44% 47%

8 3

51% 50%

43% 48%

8 2

53% 51% 45%

43% 39% 48%

10 12 3

Suffolk University October 3-5 2008 Mason-Dixon/ September Richmond Times- 28Dispatch October 1, 2008 CNN/Time September Magazine/ 28-30,2008 Opinion Research Insider Advantage/ Poll Position American Research Group Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News September 29, 2008 September 27-29 2008 September 28, 2008

Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama

53%

John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain

44%

9

51%

45%

6

46% 50%

49% 47%

3 3

65

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Rasmussen Reports NBC/MasonDixon Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News SurveyUSA ABC News/ Washington Post American Research Group Insider Advantage/ Poll Position Allstate/National Journal/FD Fox News/ Rasmussen Reports Public Policy Polling SurveyUSA September 25, 2008 September 17-22 2008 September 21, 2008 September 19-21 2008 September 18-21 2008 September 17-20 2008 September 17, 2008 September 11-15,2008 September 14, 2008 September 13-14 2008 September 12-14 2008

Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008
Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama 50% 44% 48% John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain 45% 47% 50% 5 3 2

51% 49% 46% 46%

45% 46% 48% 48%

6 3 2 2

41% 48%

48% 48%

7 0

48% 50% 39%

46% 46% 48%

2 4 9

Christopher New- September port 10-14 2008 University Zogby Interactive September * 9-12 2008 CNN/Time September 9, Magazine/ 2008 Opinion Research Fox News/ Rasmussen Reports SurveyUSA Public Policy Polling September 7, 2008 September 5-7 2008 August 20-22 2008

43.8% John McCain 43% John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain

50.3% 49%

6.5 6

47%

49%

2

47% 47% 43%

49% 45% 41%

2 2 Bob Barr 2 Ralph Nader Other 5% 1% 10%

Zogby Interactive August 15-19 * 2008

66

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
InsiderAdvantage/ August 12, Majority Opinion 2008 Research Rasmussen Reports SurveyUSA Public Policy Polling Rasmussen Reports August 12, 2008 August 8-10 2008 July 17-20 2008 July 16, 2008 Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama

Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008
42.6% John McCain 47% 47% 46% 47% John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain 43.1% 0.5

48% 48% 44% 48%

1 1 2 1

Barack Obama Barack Obama

67

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Poll Source Strategic Vision SurveyUSA Date administered

Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008
Democrat % Republican % 40% 40% 39% Lead Margin 15 16 12

October 31Barack November 2, 2008 Obama October 30Barack November 2, 2008 Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama

55% John McCain 56% John McCain 51% John McCain 56% John McCain 54% John McCain 55% John McCain 54% John McCain 55% John McCain 56% John McCain 53% John McCain 54% John McCain 50% John McCain 47% John McCain 49% John McCain 46% John McCain 49% John McCain 51% John McCain 54% John McCain 47% John McCain 48% John McCain 55% John McCain

The Washington Poll/ October 27-31 Pacific Market 2008 Research SurveyUSA Strategic Vision October 26-27 2008 October 25-26 2008

39% 42% 34%

17 12 21

The Washington Poll/ October 18-26 Pacific Market 2008 Research Rasmussen Reports Elway Poll SurveyUSA Rasmussen Reports SurveyUSA American Research Group Strategic Vision Rasmussen Reports Elway Poll SurveyUSA SurveyUSA Rasmussen Reports Elway Poll Strategic Vision SurveyUSA October 22, 2008 October 16-19 2008 October 12-13 2008 October 2, 2008 September 21-22 2008 September 16-18 2008 September 14-16 2008 September 10, 2008 September 6-8 2008 September 5-7 2008

43% 36% 40% 43% 43% 44% 42% 47% 37% 45% 44% 42% 35% 37% 39%

11 19 16 10 11 14 5 2 9 4 7 12 12 11 16

August 11-12 2008 Barack Obama August 6, 2008 July 27-31 2008 July 25-27 2008 July 13-15 2008 Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama

68

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Moore Information Rasmussen Reports July 9-10 2008 July 9, 2008

Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008
Barack Obama Barack Obama 47% John McCain 51% John McCain Republican % John McCain John McCain 53% 37% 43% 10 8

Poll Source American Research Group Public Policy Polling Reuters/Zogby Research 2000/ Daily Kos

Date Democrat % administered October 31November 3, 2008 Barack Obama 42%

Lead Other Margin 11

%

October 29-30 Barack 2008 Obama October 23-26 Barack 2008 Obama October 22-24 Barack 2008 Obama

42%

55% 50.3% 49% 49.2%

13 9.9 6 5.7

40.4% John McCain 43% John McCain

Wesleyan ColOctober 20-21 Barack lege/ 2008 Obama The State Journal CNN/Time October 19-21 Barack Magazine/ 2008 Obama Opinion Research Rasmussen Reports NBC/MasonDixon Public Policy Polling October 20, 2008 Barack Obama

43.5% John McCain 44% John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain John McCain

53%

9

43% 41% 42% 41% 47% 50%

52% 47% 50% 42% 49% 42%

9 6 8 1 2 8

October 16-17 Barack 2008 Obama October 16-17 Barack 2008 Obama

Rainmaker Media October 14-15 Barack Group 2008 Obama InsiderAdvantage/ October 13, Poll Position 2008 American Research Group Rasmussen Reports October 4-8 2008 September 24, 2008 Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama

42% 44%

50% 49%

8 5 Ralph Nader 5%

CNN/Time September Magazine/ 21-23 2008 Opinion Research American Research Group September 14-16 2008

Cynthia 1% McKinney Barack Obama Barack Obama 45% John McCain John McCain 49% 4

Mark Blankenship September Enterprises 6-7 2008

39%

44%

5

69

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Poll Source Strategic Vision SurveyUSA Research 2000/ WISC-TV UW Badger Poll Strategic Vision Rasmussen Reports Big Ten Poll Research 2000/ WISC-TV National Journal/FD SurveyUSA NBC/Mason-Dixon Wisconsin Public Radio/ St Norbert College Date administered October 31November 2, 2008 October 28-29 2008 October 27-28 2008 October 21-28 2008 October 24-26 2008 October 23, 2008 October 19-22 2008 October 20-21 2008 October 16-20 2008 October 18-19 2008 October 16-17 2008

Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008
Democrat Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama % Republican % 40% 39% 42% 42% 41% 44% 40% 41% 40% 43% 39% 38% Lead Margin 13 16 11 10 9 7 13 11 13 8 12 13

53% John McCain 55% John McCain 53% John McCain 52% John McCain 50% John McCain 51% John McCain 53% John McCain 52% John McCain 53% John McCain 51% John McCain 51% John McCain 51% John McCain 51% John McCain 54% John McCain

October 9-17 2008 Barack Obama

University of October 8-15 2008 Barack Wisconsin-Milwaukee Obama Quinnipiac University/ Wall Street Journal/ Washington Post Rasmussen Reports Research 2000 SurveyUSA October 8-12 2008 Barack Obama

36% 37%

15 17

October 6, 2008 October 5-6 2008 October 5-6 2008

Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama

54% John McCain 51% John McCain 52% John McCain 51% John McCain 49% John McCain 49% John McCain 50% John McCain

44% 41% 42% 46% 40% 43% 45%

10 10 10 5 9 6 5

CNN/Time Magazine/ October 3-6 2008 Opinion Research Strategic Vision WISC-TV/Research 2000 American Research Group September 22-26 2008 September 23-24 2008 September 18-21, 2008

70

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Quinnipiac University/ Wall Street Journal/ Washington Post Big Ten Poll September 14-21 2008

Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008
Barack Obama 49% John McCain 42% 7

September 14-17, 2008

Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama

45% John McCain 50% John McCain 48% John McCain 46% John McCain 47% John McCain 51% John McCain 44% John McCain 50% John McCain

44% 47% 46% 43% 42% 44% 38% 39%

1 3 2 3 5 7 6 11

CNN/Time Magazine/ September 14-16, Opinion Research 2008 Rasmussen Reports Strategic Vision Strategic Vision Rasmussen Reports Wisconsin Policy Research Institute Quinnipiac University/ Wall Street Journal/ Washington Post Rasmussen Reports September 15, 2008 September 5-7,2008 August 8-10 2008 August 5, 2008 August 3-4 2008 July 14-22 2008

July 8, 2008

Barack Obama Democrat Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama Barack Obama

52% John McCain %

42%

10

Poll Source Research 2000/Daily Kos SurveyUSA/Roll Call Research 2000/Daily Kos Research 2000/Daily Kos American Research Group Rasmussen Reports Mason Dixon

Date administered October 27-29 2008 October 18-19 2008 October 14-16 2008 September 22-24 2008 September 9-11 2008 September 10, 2008

Republican % 61% 58% 58% 57% 66% 58% 62%

Lead Margin 25 21 23 21 38 19 37

36% John McCain 37% John McCain 35% John McCain 36% John McCain 28% John McCain 39% John McCain 25% John McCain

August 13 -15 2008 Barack Obama

71

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008
Leans McCain over 1% (171) (39) Arizona (10) - 4.7% Georgia (15) - 4.1% Montana (3) - 2.5% Indiana (11) - 1.3% Likely McCain over 5% (132) (14) Arkansas (6) - 9.7% South Dakota (3) - 9.0% West Virginia (5) 7.9% Safe McCain over 10% (118) Oklahoma (7) - 29.3% Utah (5) 26.2% Idaho (4) 25.2% Wyoming (3) - 23.6% Alabama (9) - 23.4% Nebraska (5) - 20.7% Kansas (6) - 16.8% Alaska (3) 16.7% Tennessee (11) - 15.2% Kentucky (8) - 13.7% Texas (34) 11.9% South Carolina (8) - 11.5% Mississippi (6) - 11.0% Louisiana (9)- 10.2%

Safe Obama Likely Obama Leans Tossup Obama within 1% over 10% (243) - over 5% over 1% (291) (48) (29) (338) (47) District of Columbia (3) 69.0% Hawaii (4) 38.3% New York (31) - 29.0% Vermont (3) 27.4% Delaware (3) 23.8% Illinois (21) 22.8% California (55) - 22.7% Massachusetts (12) - 20.3% Connecticut (7) - 20.1% Maryland (10) - 18.2% Rhode Island (4) - 17.0% New Jersey (15) - 16.5% Oregon (7) 15.4% Washington (11) - 14.6% Maine (4) 14.0% Michigan (17) - 13.8% Iowa (7) 13.0% New Hampshire (4) 12.9% Minnesota (10) - 11.9% Wisconsin (10) - 11.3% New Mexico (5) - 10.1% Pennsylvania (21) - 7.4% Colorado (9) - 7.2% Nevada (5) 6.1% Virginia (13) - 5.6% Ohio (20) - 4.6% Florida (27) - 3.1% North Carolina (15) - 0.9% Obama Missouri (11) - 0.1% McCain North Dakota (3) - 0.5% McCain

Retrieved from "http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election,_2008" Categories: Polling

72

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008

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