San Diego County Estate Sales - PDF

Document Sample
San Diego County Estate Sales - PDF Powered By Docstoc
					   Burnham-Moores Center
       for Real Estate
San Diego Residential Real Estate
         Forecast 2008
       By Dr. Joan Anderson’s
            MBA Students
  School of Business Administration
             Thanks To:
  DataQuick Information Systems
for providing the data for this project
San Diego County Forecast

              By
        Michael Jacobsen
San Diego County
               Detached Housing San Diego County
                  Historic Price and Sales Data
               700000                                                    4000

               600000                                                    3500

               500000                                                    3000
Median Price




               400000                                                    2500




                                                                                Sales
               300000                                                    2000

               200000                                                    1500

               100000                                                    1000

                   0                                                     500
                        90   92   94    96     98   00   02    04   06

                                       SALES        MEDPRICE
Detached Housing San Diego County
     2007 Forecast Evaluation
                   Actual and Forecast for Sales for San Diego County
                                   Detached Housing



  2,500
  2,000
  1,500
  1,000
   500
     0
            6




          07




          07
          07


           7
          06




           7

           7
           7
    M 7




           7




           7
         -0




         -0




         -0

         -0
         -0
         -0




        l-0




        -0
       n-




       n-
       b-




                                                                         Forcast
       c-
      ov




     ug

     ep
      ay
      ar

      pr




      ct
     Ju
    Ja




    Ju
    Fe
     e




    M




    O
    A
    N

    D




    A

    S
                                                                         Sales




           Actual and Forecast of Median Price for San Diego County
                              Detached Housing



  $580,000
  $560,000
  $540,000
  $520,000
  $500,000
  $480,000
  $460,000
               6




                          7



                                   7




                                                              7
                                            7




                                                     7
              0




                                 -0




                                                            -0
                                          -0
                         0




                                                  l-0




                                                                   Forcast
            v-



                       n-




                                                          ep
                                        ay
                               ar




                                                Ju
           o



                     Ja



                              M
          N




                                       M




                                                         S




                                                                   Median Price
Detached Housing San Diego County
      Median Price Forecast
    580,000

    570,000

D   560,000
O
    550,000
L
L   540,000

A   530,000
R
    520,000
S
    510,000

    500,000

    490,000
          06M01   06M07   07M01   07M 07   08M01   08M07



                                   Forecasted by: Michael Jacobsen
    Detached Housing San Diego County
              Sales Forecast
U
     2,000
N
I
     1,800
T
S    1,600

P    1,400
E
     1,200
R

     1,000
M
O     800
N
      600
T
H
      400
        06M01   06M07   07M01   07M07   08M01   08M07


                           Forecasted by: Michael Jacobsen
San Diego Urban Core
      Forecast
             By
  Jin Luo and Steve Schinko
San Diego Urban Core
Zip Codes: 92101, 92102, 92103, 92104, 92105, 92106,
92107, 92108, 92109, 92110,92113, 92114, 92116, 92117,
92118, 92134, 92140, and 92133
Detached Housing San Diego Urban Core
     Historic Price and Sales Data
                800000                                                    400

                700000                                                    350

                600000                                                    300
 Median Price




                500000                                                    250




                                                                                Sales
                400000                                                    200

                300000                                                    150

                200000                                                    100

                100000                                                    50

                     0                                                    0
                         90   92   94    96     98   00   02    04   06

                                        SALES        MEDPRICE
Detached Housing San Diego Urban Core
       2007 Forecast Evaluation
                                Actual and Forecast for Sales for San Diego Urban Core
                                                  Detached Housing
  Number of Houses



                        250
                        200
                        150
                        100
                         50
                          0
                                 11

                                 12

                                 01

                                 02

                                 03

                                 04

                                 05

                                 06

                                 07

                                 08

                                 09

                                 10
                                M

                                M

                                M

                                M

                                M

                                M

                                M

                                M

                                M

                                M

                                M

                                M
                          06

                             06

                             07

                             07

                             07

                             07

                             07

                             07

                             07

                             07

                             07

                             07
                        20

                           20

                           20

                           20

                           20

                           20

                           20

                           20

                           20

                           20

                           20

                           20
                                                                                    Sales
                                                        Time
                                                                                    Forecasts


                               Actual and Forecast of Median Price for San Diego Urban
                                               Core Detached Housing

                         600000
         Median Price




                         550000
                         500000
                         450000
                         400000
                           20 11

                           20 12

                           20 01

                           20 02

                           20 03

                           20 04

                           20 05

                           20 06

                           20 07

                           20 08

                           20 09

                                 10
                                M

                                M

                                M

                                M

                                M

                                M

                                M

                                M

                                M

                                M

                                M

                                M
                              06

                              06

                              07

                              07

                              07

                              07

                              07

                              07

                              07

                              07

                              07

                              07
                           20




                                                                                 Forecasts
                                                        Time
                                                                                 Median Price
    Detached Housing Price Forecast
                        Urban Core
    600000

    580000
D
O   560000
L
L
    540000
A
R
S
    520000

    500000

    480000
        06M01   06M07   07M01   07M07   08M01   08M07

                                         Forecasted by: Jin Luo
      Detached Housing Sales Forecast
                    Urban Core
U   280
N
I
T   240
S


P
    200
E
R
    160
M
O
    120
N
T
H    80
      06M01 06M07 07M01 07M07 08M01 08M07

                              Forecasted by: Jin Luo
        Condos Urban Core
    Historic Price and Sales Data
450,000                                                    320

400,000                                                    280

350,000                                                    240

300,000                                                    200

250,000                                                    160

200,000                                                    120

150,000                                                    80

100,000                                                    40

 50,000                                                    0
          90   92   94   96      98   00   02    04   06

                         SALES        MEDPRICE
                       Condos Urban Core
                     2007 Forecast Evaluation
                                     Actual and Forecasted Price for Condos in Urban Core

500000

450000

400000

350000

300000
                                                                                                          Actual
250000
                                                                                                          Forecasted
200000

150000

100000

50000

      0
            Nov.     Dec.     Jan.     Feb.    Mar.    April    May    June   July   Aug.   Sep.   Oct.
            2006     2006     2007     2007    2007    2007     2007   2007   2007   2007   2007   2007




                                     Actual and Forecasted Sale for Condos in Urban Core

180

160

140

120

100                                                                                                       Actual
80                                                                                                        Forecasted

60

40

20

 0
          Nov.     Dec.     Jan.     Feb.     Mar.    April    May     June   July   Aug.   Sep.   Oct.
          2006     2006     2007     2007     2007    2007     2007    2007   2007   2007   2007   2007
               Condos Urban Core
              Median Price Forecast
    440,000

    430,000

    420,000
D
O   410,000

L   400,000
L
    390,000
A
R   380,000
S
    370,000

    360,000

    350,000
         06M01   06M07   07M01   07M07   08M01   08M07



                                            Forecasted by: Steve Schinko
               Condos Urban Core
                 Sales Forecast
U   180
N
I
    160
T
S

    140
P
E
R   120


M
O
    100

N
T
     80
H      06M01   06M07   07M01   07M07    08M01   08M07



                                       Forecasted by: Steven Schinko
San Diego SDSU University
      Area Forecast
             By
        Sandra Bolton
        SDSU College Area
Zip Codes: 91941, 91942, 92115, 92119, and 92120
Detached Housing SDSU College Area
    Historic Price and Sales Data

   600,000                                                    200


   500,000                                                    160


   400,000                                                    120


   300,000                                                    80


   200,000                                                    40


   100,000                                                    0
             90   92   94    96     98   00   02    04   06

                            SALES        MEDPRICE
Detached Housing SDSU College Area
      2007 Forecast Evaluation
                                                         Actual and Forecast for Sales for SDSU Detached Housing

                             160
 Number of Houses


                             140
                             120
                             100
                              80
                              60
                              40
                              20
                               0




                                                                                                          May-07
                                   N ov-06




                                                                                  Mar-07


                                                                                              Apr-07




                                                                                                                                                 Aug-07
                                                           Jan-07


                                                                      Feb-07




                                                                                                                                    Jul-07




                                                                                                                                                                             Oct-07
                                                                                                                       Jun-07




                                                                                                                                                               Sep-07
                                              D ec-06




                                                                                                                                                                             Forecast
                                                                                                                                                                             Actual

                                              Actual and Forecast for Median Price for SDSU Detached Housing
                            $580
 Median Price (Thousands)




                            $560
                            $540
                            $520
                            $500
                            $480
                            $460
                            $440
                            $420
                            $400
                                                                                                              May-07
                                     Nov-06




                                                                                     Mar-07


                                                                                                 Apr-07




                                                                                                                                                      Aug-07
                                                Dec-06




                                                                         Feb-07




                                                                                                                                                                    Sep-07


                                                                                                                                                                                  Oct-07
                                                             Jan-07




                                                                                                                           Jun-07


                                                                                                                                        Jul-07




                                                                                                                                                                             Forecast
                                                                                                                                                                             Actual
         Detached Housing SDSU Area
            Median Price Forecast
    560,000


    540,000

D
    520,000
O
L
    500,000
L
A
    480,000
R
S   460,000


    440,000


    420,000
          06M01   06M07   07M01   07M07   08M01   08M07




                                   Forecasted by: Sandra Bolton
    Detached Housing SDSU College Area
              Sales Forecast
U       130
N
        120
I
T       110
S
        100

P       90
E
R       80

        70
M
O       60
N
        50
T         06M01   06M07   07M01   07M07   08M01   08M07
H




                            Forecasted by: Sandra Bolton
Metro North-I15 Corridor
     Area Forecast

           By
        Jing Ling
Metro North
 Detached Housing Metro North
  Historic Price and Sales Data
700000                                                   600

600000                                                   500

500000                                                   400




                                                               Sales
400000                                                   300

300000                                                   200

200000                                                   100

100000                                                   0
         90   92   94    96     98   00   02   04   06

                        SALES        MDEPRICE
              Detached Housing: Metro North
                 2007 Forecast Evaluation
                      Actual vs. Forecast Median Price
800,000
700,000
600,000
500,000
                                                                          Forecast
400,000
                                                                          actual
300,000
200,000
100,000
          0
                  1       2   3    4   5   6   7   8   9   10   11   12




                                  Actual vs. Forecast Sales
 350

 300

 250

 200                                                                      Actual
 150                                                                      Forceasted

 100

     50

 -
              1       2       3   4    5   6   7   8   9   10   11   12
    Detached Housing Metro North
             Median Price Forecast
    660000

    640000
D
O
    620000
L
L
A
    600000
R
S   580000

    560000

    540000
             2007M01   2007M07   2008M01   2008M07



                                           Forecasted by: Jing LING
          Detached Housing Metro North
                    Sales Forecast
    280
U
N
I
    240
T
S
    200
P
E
R   160

M
    120
O
N
T
     80
H
          2007M01   2007M07   2008M01   2008M07


                                        Forecasted by: Jing LING
San Diego North Coastal
       Forecast
      Craig Choisser
North Coastal
Detached Housing North County Coastal
     Historic Price and Sales Data
                 800,000                                                700

                 700,000                                                600

                 600,000                                                500
  Median Price




                 500,000                                                400




                                                                              Price
                 400,000                                                300

                 300,000                                                200

                 200,000                                                100

                 100,000                                                0
                           90   92   94   96   98   00   02   04   06
Detached Housing North County Coastal
       2007 Forecast Evaluation
                                  Sales Forecast Evaluation

     500
     450
     400
     350
     300                                                                Forecast
     250
     200                                                                Actual
     150
     100
      50
       0
          6




                                                                    7
                   07



                              7




                                                           7
                                        7



                                                  7
        -0




                            -0




                                                                  -0
                                                         -0
                                      -0



                                               l-0
                 n-
      ov




                                                                ov
                                                       ep
                          ar



                                    ay



                                             Ju
               Ja



                         M
     N




                                                               N
                                   M




                                                      S
                         Median Price Forecast Evaluation

    800000
    750000
    700000
                                                                        Forecast
    650000
                                                                        Actual
    600000
    550000
    500000
           6




                                                                    7
                    07



                               7




                                                           7
                                         7



                                                  7
         -0




                             -0




                                                                  -0
                                                         -0
                                       -0



                                               l-0
                  n-
       ov




                                                                ov
                                                       ep
                           ar



                                     ay



                                             Ju
                Ja



                          M
      N




                                                               N
                                    M




                                                      S
Detached Housing North County Coastal
      2008 Median Price Forecast
    780,000

    760,000

    740,000
D
O   720,000
L
L   700,000
A
    680,000
R
S   660,000

    640,000

    620,000
          06M01   06M07   07M01   07M07   08M01   08M07



                                   Forecasted by: Craig Choisser
    Detached Housing North County Coastal
               Sales Forecast
U       360

N
I       320
T
S       280

P
        240
E
R
        200

M
O       160
N
T       120
H          06M01   06M07   07M01   07M07   08M01   08M07




                              Forecasted by: Craig Choisser
San Diego North County
       Forecast
        Ruu-Jen
North County
Detached Housing North Inland County
     Historic Price and Sales Data
Detached Housing—North Inland County
         Median Price Forecast



D
O
L
L
A
R
S




                   Forecasted by: Ruu-Jen
    Detached Housing—San Diego County
              Sales Forecast
U
N        600
I
         550
T
S        500

         450
P
         400
E
R
         350

         300
M
         250
O
         200
N
           05M01 05M07 06M01 06M07 07M01 07M07
T
H




                         Forecasted by: Ruu-Jen
San Diego Inland Central
       Forecast
        Justin Yin
Inland Central
Zip Codes: 91901, 91905, 91916, 91945, 91962, 91948,
92019, 92020, 92021, 92040, 92071
Detached Housing—San Diego Inland Central
       Historic Price and Sales Data
     520,000                                                400

     480,000                                                360

     440,000                                                320

     400,000                                                280

     360,000                                                240

     320,000                                                200

     280,000                                                160

     240,000                                                120

     200,000                                                80

     160,000                                                40

     120,000                                                0
               90   92   94   96   98   00   02   04   06

                              SALES     MEDPR
Detached Housing—San Diego Inland Central
         2007 Forecast Evaluation
                                         Actual & Forecast for Sales for San Diego Inland Central
                                                           Detached Housing
     number of houses




                        200
                        150
                        100
                         50
                          0
                                 Dec.             Feb.           Apr.            Jun.        Aug.            Oct.
                                  06               07             07              07          07              07
                                                                                                                      Sales
                                                                         time                                         Forecast


                                        Actual & Forecast for Median Price for San Diego Inland Central
                                                              Detached Housing

                        500000
                        480000
        median price




                        460000
                        440000
                        420000
                        400000
                        380000
                                  Dec.     Jan.    Feb.   Mar.    Apr.   May.    Jun. Jul. 07 Aug.   Sept.   Oct.
                                   06       07      07     07      07     07      07           07     07     07
                                                                                                                    Median Price
                                                                          time
                                                                                                                    Forecast
Detached Housing—San Diego Inland Central
          Median Price Forecast
       520,000


       500,000


   D   480,000
   O
   L   460,000
   L
   A
       440,000
   R
   S
       420,000


       400,000
            06M01   06M07   07M01   07M07   08M01    08M07



                                                    Forecasted by: Justin K. Yin
Detached Housing—San Diego Inland Central
              Sales Forecast
    U   200
    N
    I   180
    T
    S   160

        140
    P
    E   120
    R
        100
    M
    O   80

    N
        60
    T
          06M01   06M07   07M01   07M07   08M01   08M07
    H



                                                          Forecasted by: Justin K. Yin
San Diego Inland South
       Forecast
     Francisco Aldecoa
Inland South
               Detached Housing San Diego Inland South
                     Historic Price and Sales Data

               600000                                                    200


               500000                                                    160
 edian Price




               400000                                                    120




                                                                               Sales
               300000                                                    80
M




               200000                                                    40


               100000                                                    0
                        90   92   94    96     98   00   02    04   06

                                       SALES        MEDPRICE
Detached Housing San Diego Inland South
        2007 Forecast Evaluation
                                               A c u ta l v s . F o rc a s ts  S a les  fo r In la n d  S o u th

   80


   70


   60


   50


   40


   30


   20


   10


    0
           Nov‐06        D ec ‐06          J an‐07             F eb‐07           Mar‐07            A pr‐07          May ‐07      J un‐07      J ul‐07




                                                                         F orec a s t         A c tual




                                               A c tu al v s . F o rec as ted  Med ian  P ric e fo r In la n d  S o u th


   $600,000.00


   $500,000.00


   $400,000.00


   $300,000.00


   $200,000.00


   $100,000.00


          $‐
                    Nov‐06          D ec ‐06         J an‐07         F eb‐07              Mar‐07          A pr‐07      May ‐07      J un‐07     J ul‐07

                                                                            F orec as t        A c tual
Detached Housing—San Diego Inland South
          Median Price Forecast



   D
   O
   L
   L
   A
   R
   S




                           Forecasted by: Francisco Aldecoa
Detached Housing San Diego Inland South
            Sales Forecast
   U   80
   N
   I   70
   T
   S
       60

       50
   P
   E
       40
   R

       30
   M
   O   20
   N
   T   10
   H    06M01   06M07   07M01   07M07   08M01     08M07


                                         Forecasted by: Francisco Aldecoa
Burnham-Moores Center
    for Real Estate

				
DOCUMENT INFO
Description: San Diego County Estate Sales document sample