Instant Runoff Voting (Ranked Choice Voting)

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							       Instant Runoff Voting
      (Ranked Choice Voting)

           Presented By:
    Rob Richie, Executive Director
 The Center for Voting and Democracy

(The Center is a non-profit, non-partisan organization in
   Maryland. Its chairman is former Congressman John
    Anderson, who lives and votes in Fort Lauderdale)

                Website: www.fairvote.org/irv
      Summary of Presentation
1. History of Instant Runoff Voting (IRV)

2.IRV: What, How, Why (from presentation by
   Vermont Secretary of State to N.A.S.S.)

3. Addressing Concerns

4. Contrasting Runoffs and IRV in Florida

5. Recommendations for Legislative Action
 Brief History of Instant Runoff Voting
• An American invention in 1870
• Early use, including in Florida

• International: Australia, Ireland, London

• Non-governmental organizations and
  Robert’s Rules of Order

• Rising interest in the United States: San
  Francisco, Utah, Louisiana
        Plurality Rules



 But majority
 prefer A over B

         Winner

                                              Winner



Secretary of the State of Vermont: Deborah L. Markowitz
Second-Election Runoffs
If no candidate receives a majority, all candidates
but the top two are eliminated. A second “runoff”
election is conducted between the finalists.

Advantages
• Assures majority winner in second election
Problems
• Added taxpayer expense for second election
• Added candidate expense for runoff
• Often lower voter turnout for runoff
• Can be difficult to administer
• Potential compromise candidate could be
  eliminated after first round in big field
 What Is Instant Runoff
 Voting (IRV)?
• Method of voting that requires a
  majority to elect a candidate

• Determines a majority winner through
  instant runoffs using voter preferences
  until one candidate has a majority

• Cheaper and more efficient than second
  elections because voters go to the polls
  only once
   How IRV Works
Voters Vote Their                                               Declare a
Preferences                                                     winner

                                                       Yes
                Tally All Ballots         Is there a
                                          majority
                                          winner?
                                                       No

  Retally
  Ballots                                                    No
                                                             majority
                       Eliminate lowest
                       candidate
 IRV - Typical Ballot
The voter is presented with a list of all
candidates and given option of specifying
his or her order of choice for candidates.

The voter may indicate just one choice, or
more than one choice.
  Ballot for Office
  IRV- Proposed
  Vermont Ballot
This ballot has been
tentatively approved by
my elections office for
use if Vermont passes its
pending IRV bill.
      IRV vs. Runoffs: Step #1
    Delayed Runoff              Instant Runoff

Voters go to the polls     Voters go to the polls
and mark their favorite    and mark their favorite
candidate on the ballot.   candidate as their #1
                           choice. They also can
                           indicate runoff choices
                           by ranking candidates.
      IRV vs. Runoffs: Step #2
    Delayed Runoff              Instant Runoff

If no candidate receives   If no candidate receives
 a majority, a second       a majority, the instant
 election is called.        runoff ballot count
                            takes place.
      IRV vs. Runoffs: Step #3
Delayed Runoff            Instant Runoff

Candidates resume         Skip step 3.
raising money and
campaigning. New
ballots are printed and
polling stations set up
again. Voter turnout
usually drops.
        IRV vs. Runoffs: Step #4
       Delayed Runoff                   Instant Runoff

If your favorite candidate       If your favorite candidate
advances to runoff, you           advances to runoff
mark a new ballot for this        count, your ballot counts for
candidate. If your favorite is    this candidate again. If your
eliminated, you mark a            favorite eliminated, ballot
ballot for your next choice       counts for next choice
among runoff candidates.          among runoff candidates.
      IRV vs. Runoffs: Step #5
    Delayed Runoff               Instant Runoff

The candidate with the      The candidate with the
majority of the votes (of   majority of the votes
those voting in runoff      wins.
election) wins.
     IRV vs. Runoffs: Summary
    Delayed Runoff               Instant Runoff

• Requires tax dollars      • Saves tax dollars

• Extends campaign          • One election, not two

• Inconvenient for          • More convenient for
  voters / administrators     voters / administrators

• Lower turnout in          • Maximizes turnout in
  decisive elections          decisive election
    Addressing Concerns: Voters and
    Administrators Can Handle IRV
• Low voter error rate where IRV used

• Voter education timely with 2004 elections

• Voting equipment vendors are telling
  jurisdictions they can support IRV

• One-time costs for transition to IRV still
  less expensive than one year of runoffs
 Runoffs in Florida: A Few Facts
• Winners in multi-candidate state primaries are
  very likely to win the general election

• Multi-candidate primaries are not unusual

• With runoffs, frontrunning candidates after the
  first primary will sometimes lose

• Voter turnout almost always drops significantly in
  down-ballot races that go to runoffs
         Runoff Election Winners in the Florida
         Legislative General Election 1998-2002*

            25                 22
            20                           17

Number of 15                                       Gen Election Wins
 Results 10         7
                                               6
             5          2                          General Election
                                    0              Defeats
             0
                  1998       2000       2002
                             Year


* In 2002, non-majority winners in primaries
       Contested Primary Races for Florida
     Legislature Requiring Runoffs 1998-2002*
                                                                  (30%)
          30%
                                              22%
          25%
Percent of 20%             14%
Contested 15%
Primaries 10%
           5%
           0%
                      1998                2000                2002
                                          Year


                   Number of Races that went to a Runoff:
                     1998 – 9    2000 – 22    2002 – 23*
          * In 2002, indicates number of plurality winners in primary
           Contested Florida Federal and Statewide
            Primaries Requiring Runoffs 1982-2000
                                                   44.40%
          45.00%             38.40%
          40.00%
   % of   35.00%                          28.50%
          30.00%  27.30%
Contested               22.20%      21.40%
          25.00%
Primaries
          20.00%
Requiring                                              11.10%
          15.00%
 Runoff
          10.00%
           5.00%
           0.00%
                 1982    1986     1990     1994      1998
                                    Year
        Average Turnout Decline in Federal and
             Statewide Runoffs 1982-2000
                                                             61%
       70%
                                                             (1)
       60%                          47%
                                     (2)         43%
       50%                                       (5)
                              34%
Percent 40%                   (5)
                   24%                     25%         26%         25%
Turnout        21%
                   (1) 18%                 (6)         (4)         (1)
Decline 30%    (6)     (4)
       20%
       10%
        0%
              1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000
                                     Year
      Average Voter Turnout Decline in National
         Federal Runoff Elections 1994-2002
                                           48%
                                           (8)
       50.00%             36%
                                  32%
       40.00%     27%     (31)
                                  (12)
                  (19)                            23%
Percent 30.00%                                    (13)
Turnout
Decline 20.00%
       10.00%

        0.00%
                 1994    1996    1998    2000    2002
                                 Year
      Multi-Candidate Primaries for
     Individual Florida Voters: 2000
   Democratic Primary               Republican Primary
US Senate / Sen. 33 / Rep. 22   US House 8 / Rep. 25
          / Rep. 8              US House 8 / Rep 34
          / Rep. 9              US House 8 / Rep. 40
          / Rep. 10             Sen. 13 / Rep 54
          / Rep. 39             Sen. 13 / Rep 60
          / Rep. 84             Sen. 13 / Rep 69
          / Rep. 87             Sen. 27 / Rep 74
          / Rep. 88             Sen. 27 / Rep 82
          / Rep. 89             Sen. 27 / Rep 83
          / Rep. 94             Sen. 39 / Rep. 117
          / Rep. 106
                                   ____________________
          / Rep. 109
                                     ____ = Decided in Runoff
          / Rep. 118
    Suggestions for Legislative Action
• Adopt instant runoff voting for 2004 primaries
• Adopt instant runoff voting for 2004 federal primaries
• Adopt instant runoff voting for special elections to fill
  vacancies that otherwise require two voting rounds
• Establish study commission to evaluate instant runoff
  voting for 2006 primaries
• Adopt legislation, if needed, to facilitate counties using
  instant runoff voting
• Adopt legislation to implement instant runoff voting for
  overseas voters in federal, state or local runoffs
     For More Information


The Center for Voting and Democracy
   6930 Carroll Avenue, Suite 610
      Takoma Park, MD 20912
(301) 270-4161 www.fairvote.org/irv