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					About « Climate Audit                                                                                                           1/31/10 9:09 AM




  Climate Audit [http://climateaudit.org/]
  by Steve McIntyre


Tip Jar                    About                                             NOTICE
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(The Tip Jar is working    www.climateaudit.org operated by Steve
again, via a temporary     McIntyre                                          [http://climateaudit.org/ca-
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                           It is used for high traffic situation where the   Better support for Lucia's
Pages                      main server is overwhelmed.                       blog; "Recent comments"
 About                     25 Comments                                       improved. Frequent visitors
                            Brianofthecam                                    will want this.
 [http://climateaudit.org/about/] Nov 21, 2009 at 6:17 PM | Permalink
                            Posted
 Blog Rules and Road Map  [#comment-203422] | Reply [/about/?
                            The replying letter from the CRU contains        Search
                                   replytocom=203422#respond]
 [http://climateaudit.org/blog-awful lot of words in refusing the FOI
                            an                                                                Find
 rules-and-road-map/]       request when, for its part, just one would
 CA Assistant                    have done! It is so often the case when     Blog Stats
                            trying to get past officialdom. In the UK,
 [http://climateaudit.org/ca-                                                1,822,962 hits
                            we have the Anti-terrorist Act, which
 assistant/]
                                 covers just about anything from from the
 CA blog setup
                                 feeding of ducks to running in the
 [http://climateaudit.org/ca-
                            subway. Clearly, we have another and
 blog-setup/]               more worrying inconvenient truth to
 Contact Steve Mc                hand.
 [http://climateaudit.org/contact-
 steve-mc/]
 Econometric References
                                John Charles
                               Posted Nov 23, 2009 at 11:37 PM | Permalink
                          [#comment-203423] | Reply [/about/?
 [http://climateaudit.org/econometric-
                            http://iowahawk.typepad.com/
 references/]                     replytocom=203423#respond]
                            [http://iowahawk.typepad.com/]
 FAQ 2005
                            Iowahawk Geographic: The Secret Life of
 [http://climateaudit.org/faq/]
                                 Climate Researchers
                                                                             [http://2008.weblogawards.org/polls/best-
 Gridded Data                                                                science-blog//]
 [http://climateaudit.org/gridded-
                            Narrator
 data/]                     Our very planet depends on them. Yet
                               they remain nature’s most elusive
 High-Resolution Ocean Sediments
 [http://climateaudit.org/high-
                            scientific species, inhabiting some of the       [http://www.wikio.com/blogs/top/Sciences]
                            world’s most delicate and daunting
 resolution-ocean-sediments/]
 Hockey Stick Studies            academic environments. But thanks to        Recent Posts
                           new breakthroughs in high speed                   Climategate News and Links
 [http://climateaudit.org/multiproxy-
                           cameras and email files, metascientists           [http://climateaudit.org/2010/01/31/climategate-
 pdfs/]                    are finally beginning to understand their
 Proxy Data                                                                  news-and-links/]
                                 mysterious behaviors and complex social
 [http://climateaudit.org/proxy-                                             The IPCC’s Love Guru
                            interactions. Tonight on Iowahawk
 data/]                     Geographic: step inside the Secret Life of       [http://climateaudit.org/2010/01/30/return-
 Station Data                    the Climate Researchers.                    to-almora/]
 [http://climateaudit.org/station-                                           Lazarus of the Thermometers
                            French Horn Fanfare Theme                        [http://climateaudit.org/2010/01/30/lazarus-
 data/]
                            Fast-cut montage of walrus mating with           of-the-thermometers/]
 Statistics and R
                            polar bear, astronomer peering through
 [http://climateaudit.org/statistics- into neighbor’s window,                EPA Response to Comments
                            telescope
 and-r/]                                                                     [http://climateaudit.org/2010/01/30/epa-
                            cheetahs chasing penguins on the
 Subscribe to CA            Serengeti, scientists filling out NSF grant      response-to-comments/]
 [http://climateaudit.org/subscribe-
                            proposals                                        The End of CRUTEM?
 to-ca/]                    Dah dat dat DAAAH dat, dah daht duh              [http://climateaudit.org/2010/01/30/the-
 Tip Jar                    dah dee-dah dee dah-dah!                         end-of-crutem/]
 [http://climateaudit.org/tip-
                             [more]                                          Recent Comments
 jar/]                       ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~                          Robert Christopher on
                                 In the post-MSM period, ridicule is a       Climategate News and Links
Categories
 Select Category
                                 most effective technique.                   [http://climateaudit.org/2010/01/31/climategate-
                                                                             news-and-links/#comment-218732]
Articles                                                                     justbeau on
                                John Nov
                               Posted Bell 24, 2009 at 3:54 AM | Permalink   The IPCC’s Love Guru
 CCSP Workshop Nov05
                              [#comment-203424] | Reply [/about/?
                                Not sure what this email is about but it     [http://climateaudit.org/2010/01/30/return-
 [http://climateaudit.wordpress.com/files/2009/12/mcintyre-
 workshop05.pdf]                 replytocom=203424#respond]
                           doesn’t sound very good.                          to-almora/#comment-218731]
 McIntyre/McKitrick 2003                                                     David Longinotti on
                                 From: “Michael E. Mann”                     Climategate News and Links
 [http://www.climateaudit.org/pdf/mcintyre.mckitrick.2003.pdf]
                           To: Tim Osborn                                    [http://climateaudit.org/2010/01/31/climategate-
 MM05 (GRL)                      Subject: Re: reconstruction errors
 [http://climateaudit.wordpress.com/files/2009/12/mcintyre-
                           Date: Thu, 31 Jul 2003 11:18:24 -0400
                                                                             news-and-links/#comment-218730]
                                                                             jae on
 grl-2005.pdf]                                                               Climategate News and Links
 MM05(EE)
                           Tim,
                           Attached are the calibration residual             [http://climateaudit.org/2010/01/31/climategate-
 [http://climateaudit.wordpress.com/files/2009/12/mcintyre-
                           series for experiments based on available         news-and-links/#comment-218729]
 ee-2005.pdf]              networks                                          Steve McIntyre on
 NAS Panel                 back to:                                          Climategate News and Links
 [http://climateaudit.wordpress.com/files/2009/12/nas-
                           AD 1000                                           [http://climateaudit.org/2010/01/31/climategate-
 mm.pdf]                   AD 1400                                           news-and-links/#comment-218728]
 Reply to Huybers          AD 1600
                                                                             Steve McIntyre on
                           I can’t find the one for the network back
 [http://climateaudit.wordpress.com/files/2009/12/mcintyre-                  Climategate News and Links
 huybersreply.pdf]         to 1820! But basically, you’ll see that the
                                                                             [http://climateaudit.org/2010/01/31/climategate-
                           residuals are pretty red for the first 2
 Reply to von Storch
                           cases, and then not significantly red for
                                                                             news-and-links/#comment-218727]


http://climateaudit.org/about/                                                                                                      Page 1 of 10
About « Climate Audit                                                                                                                1/31/10 9:09 AM

                                 cases, and then not significantly red for
                                                                              news-and-links/#comment-218727]
 [http://www.climateaudit.org/pdf/mcintyre.vzreply.pdf]
                           the 3rd                                            Steve McIntyre on
                            case–its even a bit better for the AD             Climategate News and Links
Blogroll                                                                      [http://climateaudit.org/2010/01/31/climategate-
 Accuweather Blogs
                            1700 and 1820 cases, but I can’t seem to
                            dig them                                          news-and-links/#comment-218726]
 [http://www.accuweather.com/news-
                            up. In any case, the incremental changes          David Longinotti on
 bloggers.asp?partner=accu00458] after 1600–its pretty clear
                            are modest                                        Climategate News and Links
 Andrew Revkin              that key                                          [http://climateaudit.org/2010/01/31/climategate-
 [http://dotearth.blogs.nytimes.com/]
                            predictors drop out before AD 1600,               news-and-links/#comment-218725]
 Anthony Watts              hence the redness of the residuals, and           John From MN on
 [http://www.wattsupwiththat.com/]
                            the notably                                       The IPCC’s Love Guru
 Bob Tisdale                larger uncertainties farther back…                [http://climateaudit.org/2010/01/30/return-
                            You only
 [http://bobtisdale.blogspot.com/] want to look at the first column           to-almora/#comment-218724]
                            (year) and second column (residual) of
 Dan Hughes                                                                   Steve McIntyre on
                            the files.
 [http://danhughes.auditblogs.com/] remember what the other
                            I can’t even
                                                                              Climategate News and Links
 David Stockwell            columns are!                                      [http://climateaudit.org/2010/01/31/climategate-
 [http://landshape.org/enm] me know if that helps. Thanks,
                            Let                                               news-and-links/#comment-218723]
 Icecap                     mike                                              Steve McIntyre on
 [http://icecap.us/]        p.s. I know I probably don’t need to              Climategate News and Links
 Idsos                      mention this, but just to insure                  [http://climateaudit.org/2010/01/31/climategate-
                            absolutely clarify on
 [http://www.co2science.org/]                                                 news-and-links/#comment-218722]
 James Annan
                            this, I’m providing these for your own            Steven Mosher
                            personal use, since you’re a trusted              [http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/1450512437/ref=s9]
 [http://julesandjames.blogspot.com/]
                            colleague. So                                     on
 Jeff Id                    please don’t pass this along to others            The End of CRUTEM?
 [http://noconsensus.wordpress.com/]
                            without checking w/ me first. This is the         [http://climateaudit.org/2010/01/30/the-
 John V                     sort of
                                                                              end-of-crutem/#comment-218721]
 [http://www.opentemp.org/] “dirty laundry” one doesn’t want to fall
                                                                              Steve McIntyre on
 Josh Halpern               into the hands of those who might
                                                                              Climategate News and Links
                            potentially try
 [http://rabett.blogspot.com/]
                            to distort things…
                                                                              [http://climateaudit.org/2010/01/31/climategate-
 Lubos Motl                                                                   news-and-links/#comment-218720]
 [http://motls.blogspot.com/search/label/climate] one and will
                           Steve: Yes, I noticed that                         Steve McIntyre on
 Lucia's Blackboard              post on it specifically. So much to do…      Climategate News and Links
 [http://rankexploits.com/musings/]                                           [http://climateaudit.org/2010/01/31/climategate-
 Matt Briggs                                                                  news-and-links/#comment-218719]
 [http://wmbriggs.com/]          Antonio San
                                 Posted Nov 24, 2009 at 8:18 PM | Permalink   Steven Mosher
 NASA GISS              [#comment-203425] | Reply [/about/?
                          http://www.copenhagendiagnosis.org/ [http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/1450512437/ref=s9]
                                replytocom=203425#respond] on
 [http://www.giss.nasa.gov/data/update/gistemp/]
                          [http://www.copenhagendiagnosis.org/]
 Nature Blogs                                                                 The IPCC’s Love Guru
                           Steve the Hockey Stick is back and the
 [http://blogs.nature.com/climatefeedback/]                                   [http://climateaudit.org/2010/01/30/return-
 RealClimate                     story unapologetic…                          to-almora/#comment-218718]
 [http://www.realclimate.org/]                                                Meta
 Roger Pielke Jr             Kevin B
                            Posted Nov 25, 2009 at 3:32 AM | Permalink        Log in
 [http://rogerpielkejr.blogspot.com/]
                             [http://article48.wordpress.com]
                           [#comment-203426] | Reply [/about/?                [http://climateaudit.wordpress.com/wp-
 Roger Pielke Sr
                            Steve replytocom=203426#respond]                  login.php]
 [http://pielkeclimatesci.wordpress.com/]                                     Entries RSS
 Roman M                         This is an extract from a email sent by      [http://climateaudit.org/feed/]
 [http://statpad.wordpress.com/]
                           Phil Jones to Bejamin Santer dated Nov             Comments RSS
 Tamino                    12 2008. My apologies if you’ve already            [http://climateaudit.org/comments/feed/]
 [http://tamino.wordpress.com/]
                           seen it.
                                                                              WordPress.com
 Warwick Hughes
                                 At 03:57 12/11/2008, you wrote:              [http://wordpress.com/]
 [http://www.warwickhughes.com/blog]
 William Connolley               Dear Tom,
 [http://scienceblogs.com/stoat/] for your email regarding Steven
                           Thanks
 WordPress.com                 McIntyre’s twin requests under the
 [http://wordpress.com/]       Freedom of Information (FOI) Act.
World Climate Report           Regarding McIntyre’s request (1), no
                               “monthly time
[http://www.worldclimatereport.com/] series of output from any
                               of the 47 climate models” was “sent by
Favorite posts                 Santer and/or other coauthors of Santer
Bring the Proxies up to date   et al 2008 to NOAA employees between
                               2006 and October
[http://www.climateaudit.org/index.php? 2008″.
p=89]                          As I pointed out to Mr. McIntyre in the
                               email I transmitted to him yesterday, all
Due Diligence
                               of the
[http://www.climateaudit.org/index.php?
                               raw (gridded) model and observational
p=66]                          data used in the 2008 Santer et al.
FAQ 2005                       International Journal of Climatology
[http://www.climateaudit.org/? paper are freely available to Mr.
                               (IJoC)
page_id=1002]                  McIntyre. If Mr.McIntyre wishes to audit
                               us, and determine whether the
McKitrick: What is the Hockey Stick debate
about?                         conclusions reached in our paperare
                               sound, he has all
[http://www.climateaudit.org/index.php? the information
p=166]                         necessary to conduct such an audit.
                               Providing Mr.McIntyre with the quantities
Overview
                               that I derived from the raw model data
[http://www.climateaudit.org/index.php?
                               (spatially-averaged time series of surface
p=63]                          temperatures and synthetic Microwave
Responses to MBH               Sounding Unit [MSU] temperatures)
[http://www.climate2003.com/mann.responses.htm] of an
                               would defeat the very purpose
Some thoughts on Disclosure    audit.
                               I note that David
[http://www.climateaudit.org/index.php? Douglass and
p=66]                          colleagues have already audited our
                               calculation of
Wegman and North Reports for
Newbies
                               synthetic MSU temperatures from climate


http://climateaudit.org/about/                                                                                                           Page 2 of 10
About « Climate Audit                                                       1/31/10 9:09 AM

 Newbies
                                 model data. Douglass et al. obtained
 [http://www.climateaudit.org/? average” trends in synthetic MSU
                           “model
 p=2322]                   temperatures (published in their 2007
Links                        IJoC paper) that are virtually identical to
                             our own.
 Acronyms
                             McIntyre’s request (2) demands “any
 [http://climateaudit101.wikispot.org/Glossary_of_Acronyms]
                             correspondence concerning these
 Latex Symbols               monthly time series between Santer
 [http://amath.colorado.edu/documentation/LaTeX/Symbols.pdf]
                             and/or other coauthors of Santer et al
 MBH 98                      2008 and NOAA employees between 2006
 [ftp://holocene.evsc.virginia.edu/pub/mann/mbh98.pdf] how
                             and October 2008″. I do not know
 Steve’s Public Data Archive you intend to respond this second
                             request. You and three other NOAA co-
 [http://38.114.169.124/data/]
 WDCP
                             authors on our paper (Susan Solomon,
                             Melissa Free, and John Lanzante)
 [http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/paleo/paleo.html]
                             probably received hundreds of emails
 Wegman Reply to Stupak      that I sent to you in the course of
 [http://www.uoguelph.ca/~rmckitri/research/StupakResponse.pdf]
                             ourwork on the IJoC paper. I note that
 Wegman Report               this work began in December 2007,
 [http://www.uoguelph.ca/~rmckitri/research/WegmanReport.pdf]
                             following online publication of Douglass et
                             al. in the IJoC. I have no idea why
Weblogs and                  McIntyre’s request for email
resources                    correspondence has a “start date” of
 Ross McKitrick              2006, and thus predates publication of
 [http://www.uoguelph.ca/~rmckitri/research/trc.html]
                             Douglass et al.
 Surface Stations            My personal opinion is that both FOI
                             requests
 [http://www.surfacestations.org/] (1) and (2) are intrusive and
                             unreasonable. Steven McIntyre provides
Archives                     absolutely no scientific justification or
  Select Month               explanation for such requests. I believe
                             that McIntyre is pursuing a calculated
                             strategy
                             to divert my attention and focus away
                             from research. As the recent experiences
                             of Mike Mann and Phil Jones have shown,
                             this request is the thin edge of wedge. It
                             will be followed by further requests for
                             computer programs, additional material
                             and
                             explanations, etc., etc.
                             Quite frankly, Tom, having spent nearly
                             10 months of my life addressing the
                             serious
                             scientific flaws in the Douglass et al. IJoC
                             paper, I am unwilling to waste more of
                             my
                             time fulfilling the intrusive and frivolous
                             requests of Steven McIntyre. The
                             supreme
                             irony is that Mr. McIntyre has focused his
                             attention on our IJoC paper rather than
                             the
                             Douglass et al. IJoC paper which we
                             criticized. As you know, Douglass et al.
                             relied on a seriously flawed statistical
                             test, and reached incorrect conclusions on
                             the basis of
                             that flawed test.
                             I believe that our community should no
                             longer tolerate the behavior of Mr.
                             McIntyre and his cronies. McIntyre has no
                             interest in improving our scientific
                             understanding of the nature and causes
                             of climate change. He has no interest in
                             rational scientific
                             discourse. He deals in the currency of
                             threats and intimidation. We should be
                             able to
                             conduct our scientific research without
                             constant fear of an “audit” by Steven
                             McIntyre; without having to weigh every
                             word we write in every email we send to
                             our scientific colleagues In my opinion,
                             Steven McIntyre is the self-appointed Joe
                             McCarthy of climate science. I am
                             unwilling to submit to this McCarthy-style
                             investigation of my scientific research. As
                             you know, I have refused to send
                             McIntyre the “derived” model data he
                             requests, since all of the primary model
                             data necessary to replicate our results
                             are freely available to him. I will continue
                             to refuse such data requests in the
                             future. Nor will I provide McIntyre with
                             computer programs, email
                             correspondence, etc. I feel very strongly
                             about these issues. We should not be
                             coerced by the scientific equivalent of a



http://climateaudit.org/about/                                                  Page 3 of 10
About « Climate Audit                                                            1/31/10 9:09 AM


                                 playground bully.
                                 I will be consulting LLNL’s Legal Affairs
                                 Office in order to determine how the DOE
                                 and LLNL should respond to any FOI
                                 requests that we receive from McIntyre. I
                                 assume that such requests will be
                                 forthcoming.
                                 I am copying this email to all co-authors
                                 of our 2008 IJoC paper, to my immediate
                                 superior at PCMDI (Dave Bader), to Anjuli
                                 Bamzai at DOE headquarters, and to
                                 Professor Glenn McGregor (the editor who
                                 was in charge of our paper at IJoC).
                                 I’d be very happy to discuss these issues
                                 with you tomorrow. I’m sorry that the
                                 tone of
                                 this letter is so formal, Tom.
                                 Unfortunately, after today’s events, I
                                 must assume that
                                 any email I write to you may be subject
                                 to FOI requests, and could ultimately
                                 appear on McIntyre’s “Climate Audit”
                                 website.
                                 With best personal wishes,
                                 Ben


                               Matt
                             Posted Nov 25, 2009 at 10:02 AM | Permalink
                            [#comment-203427] | Reply [/about/?
                              Hiya,
                                    replytocom=203427#respond]
                                 without the question/request these are
                                 replies to, they are not meaningful AT
                                 ALL.

                                 It could   be “did you delete data in
                                 relation   to A” in case of the first reply.
                                 It could   be “did you delete data in
                                 relation   to B” in case of the second reply.

                                 You know that, it’s not that difficult. So
                                 unless these opposing replies address the
                                 same question, your post has no
                                 meaning. Do you mind filling the gap?
                                 Thanks.

                                 Cheers
                                 M


                                 PaulS
                                 Posted Nov 25, 2009 at 7:08 PM | Permalink
                              Steve, not sure where to post [/about/?
                            [#comment-203428] | Reply this, but I
                                    replytocom=203428#respond]
                              would like some advice please!

                                 I have been looking at several sets of
                                 data at NCDC. I have spotted a
                                 commonality in most studied so far (not
                                 many, as I have just started). The
                                 commonality appears to be data recored
                                 in early years (early 1900’s for example)
                                 have regular TMIN and TMAX information,
                                 however, the later years (1990 onwards
                                 for example) have regular info for TMAX,
                                 but not TMIN.

                                 Can anyone give a reasonable insight as
                                 to why this would be and, if it has any
                                 effect on deriving mean temperatures?

                                 Many thanks!


                                  Roger Carr
                                 Posted Nov 27, 2009 at 1:05 AM | Permalink
                            [#comment-203429] the type[/about/?
                              Would you blacken up | Reply some,
                              Steve?replytocom=203429#respond]
                                 I find it too pale to read quickly and
                                 comfortably.
                                 Your other site, and Anthony Watts’ site
                                 being black on white are much easier to
                                 work through.


                              A Mullen
                             Posted Nov 27, 2009 at 11:35 PM | Permalink
                              “I believe that our community [/about/?
                            [#comment-203430] | Reply should no
                              longer replytocom=203430#respond]
                                      tolerate the behavior of Mr.
                                 McIntyre and his cronies. McIntyre has no
                                 interest in improving our scientific
                                 understanding of the nature and causes
                                 of climate change. He has no interest in


http://climateaudit.org/about/                                                       Page 4 of 10
About « Climate Audit                                                                         1/31/10 9:09 AM


                                 rational scientific discourse. ” Benjamin
                                 Santer

                                 Everything I have seen before and
                                 following the Hadley disclosures confirms
                                 this.
                                 You, Mr. McIntyre, are an arse!


                                  Shona
                                 Posted Nov 29, 2009 at 6:21 AM | Permalink
                            [#comment-203431] | Reply [/about/?
                                  replytocom=203431#respond]




                                 The segment is number 03 and the graph
                                 is about 1min 56

                                 He cites Moberg (canny from UEA
                                 published in Nature …)


                                  Shona
                                 Posted Nov 29, 2009 at 6:25 AM | Permalink
                            [#comment-203432] | Reply [/about/?
                              He discusses tree density from about
                              3:38 replytocom=203432#respond]

                                 I take back everything I said about
                                 treemometers: they really do work as
                                 long as you look at what they really do
                                 and not “hide the decline”


                                 wa777 Dec 1, 2009 at 6:43 PM | Permalink
                                  Posted
                            [#comment-203433]hearing it[/about/?
                              I ran this down after | Reply
                                     replytocom=203433#respond]
                              referenced on the evening news. I can’t
                                 vouch for its accuracy, but it might be of
                                 some use to you. It appears to be
                                 programmer notes made while analyzing
                                 an undocumented system.

                                 The Harry_Read_Me.txt file (as of
                                 December 1, 2009)
                                 http://di2.nu/foia/HARRY_READ_ME-
                                 0.html
                                 [http://di2.nu/foia/HARRY_READ_ME-
                                 0.html]
                                      WA777 Dec 12, 2009 at 4:42 PM |
                                        Posted
                                      FOIA: The[#comment-208522] |
                                      Permalink HARRY_READ_ME.txt file
                                      has been unavailable at [/about/?
                                                       Reply
                                       replytocom=208522#respond]
                                      http://di2.nu/foia/HARRY_READ_ME-
                                      0.html
                                      [http://di2.nu/foia/HARRY_READ_ME-
                                      0.html]
                                      for the past two days.
                                      The host “di2.nu” is not available
                                      per “Ping” command.
                                      Sorry.

                                          WA777
                                        Posted Dec 12, 2009 at 4:47 PM |
                                      Permalink [#comment-208527]
                                          This site still works (but I
                                          can’t vouch |for it): [/about/?
                                                          Reply
                                      replytocom=208527#respond]
                                          NetWriter, Steve.
                                          “CLIMATEGATE: My analysis of
                                          the CRU files, starting with
                                          “documents/HARRY_READ_ME.txt.”
                                          Blog. NeuralNetWriter,
                                          November 21, 2009.
                                          http://www.neuralnetwriter.cylo42.com/node/2421
                                          [http://www.neuralnetwriter.cylo42.com/node/2421]


http://climateaudit.org/about/                                                                    Page 5 of 10
About « Climate Audit                                                                                                                    1/31/10 9:09 AM




                                 patrick Dec 2, 2009 at 5:55 PM | Permalink
                                  Posted
                              courrielche
                            [#comment-203434] | Reply [/about/?
                              [http://bit.ly/tDlNV,http://bighollywood.breitbart.com/author/pcourrielche/,http://reason.com/people/patrick-
                                    replytocom=203434#respond]
                              courrielche/all]
                                 Interview Request for Steve McIntyre.

                                 Is it okay to send you a few questions. A
                                 few links to my articles are provided in
                                 the Website. Please advise. Thanks!


                                 editions du3, 2009 at 3:51 PM | Permalink
                                  Posted Dec
                              seuil
                            [#comment-203435] | Reply [/about/?
                              I am a replytocom=203435#respond]
                                      french picture researcher. I would
                                 like to send you a reproduction
                                 authorization request for Seuil publisher
                                 in Paris. Would you be so kind as to let
                                 me know an e-mail adress where to
                                 contact you.
                                 Thank you very much in advance.


                                   B Micawber
                                 JPosted Dec 4, 2009 at 5:57 AM | Permalink
                            [#comment-203436] | Reply [/about/?
                              Here are three abstracts of our papers
                                     replytocom=203436#respond]
                              rejected by JGR, Nature and EOS all
                                 journals previously published my work.
                                 Perhaps it illustrates the closed nature of
                                 the climate community and inability to
                                 conduct fieldwork to assess problems
                                 .
                                 SST IN THREE ABSTRACTS with buckets
                                 etc

                                 Abstract 1
                                 Discrepancies between two major
                                 instrumental tropical Pacific Sea Surface
                                 Temperature (SST) datasets
                                 approximately coincided with changes in
                                 measurement methods from buckets to
                                 engine seawater intake (SWI) to satellite
                                 and buoy measurements. These data sets
                                 are important for ENSO climate trends.
                                 We report collection and analysis of
                                 hourly SST data from buckets, SWI, full
                                 meteorological data, and noon CTD
                                 profiles in central Pacific between
                                 Marquesas and Hawaiian Islands, May-
                                 June 2008. Eighteen observers simulated
                                 many archived-data observers. Related
                                 satellite, moored and drifting buoy, and
                                 Voluntary Observer Ships (VOS) data
                                 were obtained for comparison.
                                 Differences between wood, canvas and
                                 rubber bucket SSTs were insignificant for
                                 all 311 records in all conditions, day or
                                 night. No evaporative cooling was seen
                                 for canvas buckets, consistent with short
                                 sample time ~<1 minute and high
                                 humidity ~80%. SWI temperatures were
                                 0.3oC±0.2oC cooler than bucket
                                 temperatures consistent with the ~3m
                                 intake depth, confirmed by noon CTD
                                 profiles. Buoy and VOS data were too few
                                 to be conclusive but in general agreed
                                 with bucket data. There were no
                                 differences between moored or drifting
                                 buoy data. Later OSTIA datasets
                                 including satellite data were in general
                                 agreement with bucket temperatures. A
                                 surprising weak correlation of 0.24 was
                                 observed between bucket SST and dry
                                 bulb air temperature. Some archived
                                 canvas bucket data were adjusted for
                                 evaporative cooling, and archived SWI
                                 data adjusted for engine room heating
                                 ~0.3oC-0.7oC. We conclude that neither
                                 adjustment was justified. Engine room
                                 heating is physically unlikely and
                                 unproven.
                                 Our field work suggests that
                                 discrepancies in sea surface temperature
                                 data sets are likely to be found in
                                 seawater intake temperature data
                                 because bucket and satellite data were


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                                 found to be in broad general agreement.
                                 However, we have shown engine room
                                 warming cited as a possible source of
                                 seawater intake temperature data error
                                 to be negligibly small and the cause of
                                 the statistically derived bias remains
                                 unclear.

                                 Abstract 2
                                 It is reported that an abrupt temperature
                                 drop of ~0.3oC in 1945 in data sets used
                                 to monitor Earth’s climate may be due to
                                 uncorrected biases in sea the surface
                                 temperature record from engine room
                                 warming of seawater intake1. Seawater
                                 intake temperature is used in place of
                                 sea surface temperature based on a well-
                                 mixed 10m surface layer and suggested
                                 warming is based on statistical analysis
                                 of simultaneous bucket and seawater
                                 intake data 2,3,4,5,6,7. Oceanographic
                                 reports suggest engine room warming is
                                 not proven and that accuracy of
                                 measurement, depth of intake and near-
                                 surface thermocline are most important
                                 8,9,10,11,12. Seawater intake depth was
                                 not recorded until 1995 and even then by
                                 untrained, non-scientist observers 13.
                                 Engine room warming and assumption of
                                 a 10m well-mixed ocean surface has not
                                 been tested by experiment. We show
                                 from physical and engineering principles
                                 and practical experience that engine
                                 room warming is negligible and
                                 assumption of a 10m well-mixed ocean is
                                 invalid with reported near-surface
                                 thermocline gradients ~-0.01-0.3oCm-1.
                                 Near-surface thermocline and halocline
                                 data contain valuable information and
                                 may allow computations of rates of
                                 evaporation, precipitation, runoff and ice
                                 melt but are poorly studied 14. We
                                 suggest that large discontinuities in the
                                 mid-twentieth century record may be
                                 resolved by completely removing sub-sea
                                 surface observations, and that scientists
                                 should collect and analyse detailed near-
                                 surface salinity-temperature-depth data
                                 as priority ground truth for climate
                                 change assessment and modelling.

                                 Abstract 3
                                 Corrections for non-existent engine room
                                 warming of seawater intake (SWI)
                                 temperatures caused discrepancies
                                 between climate models and probably
                                 missed a major shift in sea temperatures.
                                 Multidisciplinary Eos brought the climate
                                 model problem to our attention. Vecchi et
                                 al [2008] report US models indicate more
                                 El Niño-like conditions; UK more La Niña-
                                 like. This is attributed to transition
                                 between surface seawater temperature
                                 (SST) measurement methods from
                                 buckets to SWI to modern satellite and
                                 buoys. SWI engine room warming and
                                 evaporative cooling in buckets were
                                 suggested errors. As a retired
                                 multidisciplinary experimental
                                 geophysicist and undergraduate student
                                 interested in climate change, we applied
                                 Newtonian experimental physics.
                                 Experimental data comprising 311 hourly
                                 measurements of SST by many methods
                                 with simultaneous meteorological and
                                 oceanographic data in central Pacific
                                 between Tahiti and Hawaii were
                                 analysed. There was good agreement
                                 between all buckets and modern near-
                                 simultaneous constructed satellite-buoy
                                 datasets within the limits of monthly
                                 averages over 1 degree latitude and
                                 longitude. Evaporative cooling was
                                 absent due to humidity ~80% and less
                                 than 1min sampling times. Engine room
                                 heating is impossible with ~1second time
                                 to intake thermometers and high
                                 volumes. A thermocline depth of 5m with
                                 gradient -0.1oC per meter was found.


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                                 Average correlation between SST and
                                 marine air temperature (MAT) was
                                 ~0.24. Climate models assume well-
                                 mixed ocean to 10m and substitute MAT
                                 for SST. Neither assumption was
                                 supported by field data. We suggest this
                                 arose from reliance on statistical analysis
                                 of data from non-professional observers
                                 on World Meteorological Organisation
                                 (WMO) Voluntary Observing Ships (VOS)
                                 scheme and ships’ logs, lack of ground
                                 truth and absence of communication
                                 across geophysical sciences and peer-
                                 review in narrow specialist disciplines.
                                 The depth of SWI was not recorded from
                                 1955 to 1995 so is useless as
                                 measurement of SST. Peer-review
                                 becomes crony-review in very narrow
                                 disciplines. Thus wrong assumptions can
                                 propagate and appear in text books
                                 without challenge from close colleagues.
                                 Large numbers of authors may also
                                 inhibit challenges. We believe the solution
                                 is broad training in Newtonian physics
                                 and applied mathematics coupled with
                                 multi-disciplinary study, field and
                                 laboratory work and a return to scientific
                                 method. Theory, experiment, analysis
                                 and further refinement is essential. We
                                 cite examples of multidisciplinary
                                 education and focussed well-managed
                                 cross-disciplinary research programs. If
                                 basic misconceptions arise when we know
                                 the equations, how much more difficult it
                                 will be when tackling complex earth
                                 systems problems? Climate change is too
                                 important to be left to climatologists. We
                                 need well managed and funded, tightly-
                                 focussed multidisciplinary programs using
                                 investigators from many disciplines
                                 working cooperatively in future.

                                 Reference
                                 Vecchi, G. A., A. Clement, and B. J.
                                 Soden (2008), Examining the tropical
                                 Pacific’s response to global warming,
                                 EOS, 89(9), 81, 83.


                                 Richard
                                  Posted Dec 6, 2009 at 3:21 AM | Permalink
                              Darienzo
                            [#comment-203437] | Reply [/about/?
                                     replytocom=203437#respond]
                              J B Micawber your research high lights a
                                 issue i’ve always had with climate data.
                                 Until satellites and modern measuring
                                 equipment most methods seem to be
                                 arbitrary and lacking accuracy. It also
                                 seems to me that there is little regard for
                                 determining the sample size and Lat\Long
                                 locational distribution for temperature,
                                 co2 and other global measurement. Were
                                 those types of observations part of your
                                 thought process to start your research?
                                 To me to get an accurate average earth
                                 temperature measurment one would need
                                 millions of temperate readings spread
                                 around the globe. Would you further
                                 argue that maybe all global temperature
                                 measurements before satellites are
                                 simply subject too to many
                                 inconsistencies, errors and poorly and too
                                 few in quantity to be accurate enough to
                                 make strong conclusions?

                                      George
                                 Posted Dec 9, 2009 at 5:57 PM | Permalink
                                      Spalding
                                         [#comment-207769] | Reply
                                     [http://none]             [/about/?
                                     I replytocom=207769#respond]
                                       think you are absolutely right,
                                     have wondered the same thing
                                     myself. I calculate that with spacing
                                     and number similar to the US it
                                     would take at least 60K world-
                                     wide,but satellites should even
                                     things out, esp w/comfirm from
                                     ARGOS and landside stations.But
                                     when you are talking a bout 1-2
                                     degrees C making a big diff.
                                     reliance on any global info before
                                     about 1995 has to be assumptive


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                                      about 1995 has to be assumptive
                                      and is therefore by definition
                                      subject to the character of the
                                      assumer, which appears in short
                                      supply with the AGore crowd. GS


                                      JBnID
                                         Posted Dec 27, 2009 at 5:16 PM |
                                      Permalink [#comment-212861] |
                                      All it takes for me to determine
                                                          Reply [/about/?
                                      land-based thermometers are no
                                       replytocom=212861#respond]
                                      good for ‘climate’ determination is
                                      to ride a motorcycle across the
                                      county. *Where* is a meaningful
                                      spot to put that pesky instrument?

                                      Since ground temperature (and
                                      ground water) reflects average,
                                      year-round temperature, why isn’t
                                      it used to determine long term
                                      changes? Most well logs note the
                                      temperature of the aquifer.



                                 GeorgeDec 9, 2009 at 5:20 PM | Permalink
                                  Posted
                              Spalding
                            [#comment-207760] | Reply [/about/?
                              [http://none]
                                    replytocom=207760#respond]
                                 Please look at
                                 http://www.glaciergirl.com
                                 [http://www.glaciergirl.com] for an
                                 offset site to AGores crumbling Greenland
                                 glacier. Some US p-38’s had to land in
                                 SE GL in 1942, and when Shoffner dug
                                 one up in 1992 they had to go down 262′
                                 to get it. Doesn’t seem like any warming
                                 there.


                                 Tony Dec
                                 Posted Lam15, 2009 at 5:05 AM | Permalink
                            [#comment-209286] | Reply [/about/?
                              snip – editorializing
                                     replytocom=209286#respond]

                                 shikisha
                                 Posted Dec 21, 2009 at 3:22 PM | Permalink
                              First time comment, so may [/about/?
                            [#comment-211232] | IReply be out of
                                      replytocom=211232#respond]
                              date, but I assume you would have seen
                                 this :

                                 Here is the report, obscured by jargon,
                                 but with a firm conclusion. It is from
                                 Robert H. Essenhigh Department of
                                 Mechanical Engineering, The Ohio State
                                 University, Columbus, Ohio 43210 April
                                 2009

                                 As far as I can construe it, the conclusion
                                 is that while A-bomb tests in the 50s/60s
                                 increased CO2 by 1000% above normal,
                                 it had returned to normal after 16 years.
                                 (A spokes-lady on the BBC claimed that
                                 we still have the emissions of the last
                                 200 years!)
                                 Since CO2 lasts in the atmosphere for
                                 only 4 years, and not 100, the rise in
                                 temperature caused the rise in CO2, and
                                 not man-made smoke.

                                 I assume too that you are aware that
                                 statements in Germany and the UK
                                 confirm that for the last 9-10 years
                                 global temperature has been on a
                                 plateau – no increase.


                                 Harold Jan 9, 2010 at 9:39 AM | Permalink
                                  Posted
                              I can’t find where to post this [/about/?
                            [#comment-214912] | Reply –
                                      replytocom=214912#respond]
                              HADCRUT3 and GISTEMP data for 2009
                                 has been added to the model / temp
                                 comparison chart at realclimate:

                                 http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2009/12/updates-
                                 to-model-data-comparisons/#more-
                                 1810
                                 [http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2009/12/updates-
                                 to-model-data-comparisons/#more-
                                 1810]
                                 This gives 4 years in a row below the
                                 prediction, an unlikely result if the


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                                 models were predictive. Note that the
                                 2009 data only goes through November!


                                 Ashley Kwak 2010 at 1:14 AM | Permalink
                                 Posted Jan 25,
                            [#comment-217731] | Reply [/about/?
                              Subject: The Four Major Rivers
                                    replytocom=217731#respond]
                              Restoration Project in Korea.

                                 Dear Steve McIntyre

                                 Greetings, I am a PR Manager for the
                                 Office of National River Restoration,
                                 Korea. I have known your blog for a
                                 while and very impressed about your
                                 efforts in articles and posts related in
                                 climate change. It is no doubt that
                                 climate change is one of the most urgent
                                 agenda nowadays. From this respect, I
                                 would like to introduce our governmental
                                 green growth initiative – The Four Major
                                 River Restoration Project.

                                 On 15 August 2008, at a national address
                                 on the 60th anniversary of the Republic
                                 of Korea, President Lee Myung-Bak
                                 announced a “low-carbon, green growth”
                                 strategy as a new vision to guide the
                                 nation’s long-term development. Six
                                 months later, in January 2009, the
                                 Government of the Republic of Korea
                                 responded to the deepening recession
                                 with an economic stimulus package
                                 equivalent to US$ 38.1 billion of which 80
                                 per cent (the highest ratio among
                                 comparable packages from other G20
                                 governments) was allocated to
                                 environmental themes such as fresh-
                                 water, waste, energy-efficient buildings,
                                 renewable energies, low-carbon vehicles,
                                 and the rail network.

                                 More recently, on 6 July 2009, the
                                 Republic of Korea announced a Five-Year
                                 Plan for Green Growth to serve as a
                                 medium-term plan for implementing the
                                 National Strategy for Green Growth over
                                 the period 2009-2013. With total funding
                                 of US$ 83.6 billion, representing 2 per
                                 cent of GDP, this Five-Year Plan intends
                                 to turn the strategy into concrete and
                                 operational policy initiatives towards
                                 achieving green growth.

                                 The Four Major Rivers Restoration Project
                                 is one of the major initiatives for
                                 achieving the green growth and
                                 addressing climate change. In detail, the
                                 project is intended to address such
                                 water-related problems as recurring
                                 floods and droughts caused by climate
                                 change and to create riverside cultural
                                 facilities in a bid to upgrade the quality of
                                 life of residents in adjacent regions. It
                                 has begun in January 2009 and
                                 comprised an essential part of Korea’s
                                 mid-and long-term master plan for green
                                 growth including a national strategy and
                                 a five-year plan to achieve green growth.

                                 Would it be possible if you could publish
                                 our news& information on your blog? If
                                 you are interested in knowing more about
                                 this project and/or have any questions,
                                 please do not hesitate to contact me. We
                                 will provide additional reference materials
                                 and information.

                                 I am looking forward to hearing from
                                 you.

                                 Sincerely yours,

                                 PR manager
                                 Ashley Kwak
                                 Mousedot.com Inc.


                         Post a Comment


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