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The Best Horse Racing Handicapping System for Picking Winners - 2008 by primusboy


									The Best Horse Racing Handicapping System for Picking Winners - 2008
Which horse racing system seems to pick the most winners? As horse racing
handicapping becomes more challenging, more and more people are turning
to sophisticated systems and software to pick winners. The past
performances that are now available are far superior to what was
available just a few years ago. Handicappers no longer have to convert
call times and add or subtract lengths to determine the expected pace of
a race.
Track models and ability times as well as speed ratings seem to have made
handicapping easier. On top of all that, there are a multitude of racing
systems now available that make use of the information. So what does this
all boil down to when it comes to picking winners? That is a good
question and how will we ever answer it? Everyone claims to have the best
system. The bare facts seem to ask the question, have these new systems
improved anything.
Statistics don't lie (only the people who twist them) and the favorites
still win at about the same rate that they always have won, somewhere
around 30%. If we have better ways of picking winners, why are there
still the same number of winning and losing favorites? The answer to that
question is that most people still do the same things they have always
done to pick winners and human nature has been the same since people
started writing about it and probably before that as well.
How did you do picking winners so far in 2008? Have you changed the way
you handicap? People still look at speed and past performances to pick
winners. Those are the major elements of handicapping. Common sense tells
us that as the whole crowd changes its methods the results will still
stay about the same. Some people will be better than others at
interpreting the data. The problem is that all the information gets
overwhelming and a factor may be more important in one race or at a
certain track than it is at another.
I think the "snowflake" theory works the best when explaining why, when
everything is changing, everything seems to stay the same. Just as no two
snowflakes are alike, no two people handicap a race exactly alike, but
many of them still arrive at the same conclusions. The same horses that
would've been the favorite if they raced 50 years ago, will be the
favorite today.
So if horse racing and picking winners really hasn't changed that much,
why bother with the latest gadgets and systems when a little common sense
will work just fine? The only thing a really complicated system will do
is to impress the user, it still won't pick more winners. So the answer
to the question is, the best system is still the simplest and the one
based on tried and true methods, like True Handicapping.
The most consistent horse racing systems have to have the basics and a
handicapper must understand the basics. I have been around horse racing
for 50 years including as an owner. Without the basics the rest is not
going to do any good. If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider
handicaps just go to Whats a Willie and get the truth.
Bill Peterson is a former horse race owner and professional handicapper.
He comes from a horse race handicapping family and as he puts it, "Horse
Racing is in my blood." To see all Bill's horse racing material go to
Bill's handicapping store.

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