The Next Wave – Emerging Technologies For Energy Efficiency
U.S. EPA Climate Technology Initiative Conference
Jonathan Livingston
Wednesday, October 10, 2007
Making a World of Difference
Making a world of difference
Ecos delivers proven results for clients looking to reduce their energy use, shrink their carbon footprint and make their operations more sustainable. Climate Solutions
Become more competitive, efficient and cost effective while helping to solve the climatechange crisis.
Sustainability Solutions
Find common ground between business goals and environmental stewardship.
Energy Efficiency Solutions
Discover the smartest, most cost-effective solution available for improving the bottom line while increasing the livability of the planet.
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The world is facing a “perfect storm”
• Urgent need for global warming solutions • Geopolitics of oil driving economic instability • Infrastructure “stabilization wedges” require long lead time and put investors at risk • Entrenched practices and discontinued programs hamper reliability of a key remedy — customer end-use efficiency
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30 years of energy-efficiency success
Per Capita Electricity Consumption
14,000 12,000 10,000 KWh 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 1960 1965 1970 US
Source: California Energy Commission
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
California
Western Europe
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Utility regulation as driver – PG&E’s energy efficiency goals
1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0
MW
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1261 1125
2006 2007 2008
677
223 258 132 102
179 195
GWh
Therms (x100,000)
Current cost of GHG abatement with near-term technologies
550 ppm
450 ppm
Vattenfall
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The stage is set for innovation …
Individual states have committed $35+ billion for energy efficiency and alternative energy over the next ten years. Venture investors have targeted $5 billion for clean tech in 2007 alone. “A global response to climate change will spur a business revolution bigger than the internet. This is a much larger opportunity. “It's profitable to be more efficient; it has a negative cost and a competitive disadvantage if you don't do it."
- Bill Joy at the Frankfurt Cleantech investor conference, May 15, 2007
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Emerging Technologies initiatives accelerate market penetration
Large corp. R&D CalPERS & CalSTRS Cal CEF Angels Venture Capital Large Corporations
Commercial Sales
Funding Funding
DOE
PIER
Universities & Labs
Stage of Development
Basic Research
Proof of Concept Prototype
ET Program
Net Cash Flow
Product Definition Product Prototype and Business Plan Βeta Unit and Revised Business Plan Early adopters Utility pilot programs
Product Introduction
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The Emerging Technologies network
Identify Opportunities
Entrepreneurs Consulting Companies Universities PIER Technology Providers Utilities Venture Investors Labs
Assess Technologies & Markets
Accelerate Customer Implementation
Utilities & Government Agencies Industry and NGO Partners
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The Emerging Technologies network aligns national innovation leaders
Technical Knowledge
E Source NYSERDA NEEP ETCC NEEA PIER ACEEE NRDC CalCEF CEE
ET Network
Systems Thinking
Influence
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Recent ET successes in California — PG&E deployments (June 2007)
Average Annual Demand Savings (MW)
18
Data size = ET program project cost ($)
16
14
Data Center Airflow Management
VAV Controls
Ceramic Metal Halide
12
80 PLUS
10
Supermarket LED
Computer Power Save Software Electronics Opportunity Study
8
6
Bi-Level Stairwell Lighting
4
Refrigerant Charge & Airflow
2
Data Center Economizer
0
Hotel Technologies
2004
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2005
2006
2007
2008
Year of Funding Onset
Targeting energy efficiency in data centers
• Key partnerships moving projects from concept to market First-ever incentives for energy-efficient servers, virtualization projects, and data storage technologies Spearheading a national coalition of utilities on energy efficiency in data centers
•
•
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Bi-level stairwell lighting
• Stairwell light fixtures operate at two illumination levels Replaces standard lighting, which wastes energy illuminating unoccupied areas University of California & Cal State Universities procured more than 1,000 fixtures; expected energy savings >245 MWh/yr
•
•
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Future ET successes in California — assessments under way (June 2007)
Average Annual Demand Savings (MW)
Fume Hood Auto Closure Hot Dry AC (actual MWh = 54) LED High Wattage Data size = ET program project cost ($)
40
Electrodialysis Wiineries Pumps & Fans Evaporative Cooling Ceramic Metal Halide
30
Electrodialysis Mobile Wiineries
20
Integrated Classroom Lighting
Bi-Level Stairwell Ltg
10
Food Services Kitchen Vent
Solar Bee HID Elec. Ballast LED Low Wattage Green Plug Charger
Dairies Milk Pump Daylight Tracking Demand Based Bldg Controls
CFL Downlights
0
Cold Cathode Lighting
2006
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2007
2008
2009
Market-Ready Year
Wireless building automation
• Monitor and control HVAC and lighting for energy efficiency and demand response • Greatly reduces installation and cost
Courtesy of Federspiel Controls.
Can reduce energy use by 30% and demand by 10% in medium and small commercial buildings with increased occupant comfort
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Future gas ET successes in California — assessments under way (June 2007)
40
Average Annual Energy Savings (Therms)
Circle size = ET program project cost ($)
35
Mechanical Vapor Recompression actual savings Residential = 45 Therms Water Heating
30
Screening
25
Assessment
Thermosorber Hospitals
20
Deployment
Fume Hood Auto Closure
Ozone Laundries BEST Greenhouse Fume Hood New Tech Comm. Hot Water Heating RCX BEST Dairies
Demand Response
15
Food Services Storage Water Htg
10
5
Food Services StorageTankless
0
Solar Wall EEM
2007
2006
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Market-ready Year
2008
2009
Potential ET contributions to MW goals
September 2006-08
280 260
258 MW 223 MW
Demand Savings (MW)
240 220 200 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0
Savings Realization Rate
100% 90%
132 MW
60% 30%
Actual Savings 11.69 MW
2006 PG&E Goal
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2007 PG&E Goal
2008 PG&E Goal
Utility Program Year
The next wave …
• • • • • • • • • • Highly efficient consumer electronics HVAC controls — wireless & VAV low-flow Laboratory fume hoods Oil field pumping controls Mechanical vapor recompression Wastewater treatment O2 injection Hybrid rooftop air conditioning Advanced water-heating systems Solid state lighting Lighting controls — wireless, daylighting, demand response
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Interested? Consider leveraging the Emerging Technologies opportunities
• • Partnerships drive successful innovation and deployment The goal: Identify and deliver solutions faster and at a lower cost
Maintain a broad and diversified network of contributors Get more-efficient access to new solutions Leverage synergies among our partners Use multiple channels to reach the customers and deploy our solutions
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Jonathan Livingston Tel: (415) 399.9399 x201 e-mail: JLivingston@ecosconsulting.com
Making a World of Difference