Time window of the Fibonacci
Window of time is the cycle of an application method, periodic use of
different theories and different technical analysis tools has a
different way to use the application of wave theory of the cycle is
based on the Fibonacci case, and Gann theory inside, and application
of the division cycle have his unique definition. We often say that
the window of time within the actual wave theory is commonly used in
cases of Fibonacci numbers, Fibonacci number of cases is one of the
most simple number 123 for the basic series, the number of cases of
this simple two digits after the continue to add 1 +2 = 3 2 +3 = 5 3
+5 = 8 5 +8 = 13 8 +13 = 21 13 +21 = 34 21 +34 = 55 34 = 89 55 +89 +55
= 144 to Fibonacci number of cases can be drawn
3,5,8,13,21,34,55,89,144 ... ... ad infinitum.
????The number of cases that what use it? Our analysis of price
movements, they all want to discover trends early turning point, which
is the top and bottom, while the real war, a number of important time
for the top of the top and bottom of the end of the time, knocking on
the bottom of the time, at the end of the top Most of time the number
of cases in the figures, such as we often see a corresponding price
movements in front of the top is often a high point 34 days 55 days or
13 weeks 21 weeks and so on, or start from the lowest point of a
trend, In 13 weeks, 21 weeks, 34 weeks or 55 weeks of the end of the
local trend. Therefore, during the operation of a trend, we will pay
close attention to those who may be the turning point of time, usually
turning point took place where those prone to call time window, the
window of time to become essentially the number of cases of Fibonacci
????Window of time is not difficult to understand the basic theory,
but its practical application there are certain skills.
First, the time window of cycle analysis which is subordinate to a
method of wave theory, wave theory, the three elements of form,
proportion, and cycle analysis in conjunction with the periodic wave
form view, when prices hit a window of time near, we must first
observe whether the trend shape top and bottom shape, if the wave
shape on top and bottom of the can, and that if another time period
with the tops and bottoms that the probability of very large, but if
there is no obvious top form the end of morphological characteristics,
the light has a window of time there, can not determine the top and
bottom as standard, as the wave theory of form, proportion of cycles
in order of decreasing importance.
Second, the time window of the cycle theory is not mandatory for the
trend at that time inside the class, that is, large on line, small to
5 minute chart, we can apply the Fibonacci number of cases to find the
top and bottom , then we shall prevail in the end to which it, in
general, the size of cycles to be used in conjunction with, because
the big cycle will cover a small cycle, which is not contradictory,
such as the 21-day cycle, that is just five weeks of the cycle, only
However, the first day of the fifth week is the 21 top and bottom of
the sky may appear larger Bale. Therefore, the application, we should
first study the shape and great big period of time, then use small
periodic price trend may be reversed to find a specific time. For
example, this month is a high point from the previous 13 months,
prices are now rising, that may occur this month, a top, if prices
fall, it appears the bottom may be relatively large, such as our great
shape and from the This month saw a large period may appear on a top
line, that particular week is that we will use it weekly projections,
can be calculated from the previous high point down, if pushed to that
a week is 55 weeks, This week appears more likely to be high, or that
from the 13-month high before a subsequent occurrence of the lowest
projected to see a week of this month which is an important time
period, the week is to find two large concrete the intersection cycle,
and then find online from the day to see the day this week in the
short term and the trend of the previous point is the level of the
corresponding periodic point, so that you can basically judge them on
that day may be a turning point.
Third, the use of time window, be careful not to advance, the best
lag, such as this week is an important window of time, and the price
could be the turning point on the form, but if we go to the top or on
Monday to find the end of admission, What if the top end of the week
on Friday there, you think, five days, the price change will be how
much change, we can not afford the price of so much error, early in
June this year that the high pound against the yen point, we would
have derived from it corresponds to the highest price of the 21 weeks
preceding the time, but we in the week to do the empty one, the result
was that fiddle around with a few days, but Friday's policy which I
also wrote about, and then get through the day today, the British air
alone all right, can be precisely on Friday night under the British at
the news, instant hit more than 205 high point, and we stop to knock
down the rapid decline, the results that we have missed a wave of
market Great segment. So, with the projected time period may be a
place top and bottom, it is best to wait for the basic trend can be
confirmed after the emergence Kong Huangpan top and bottom there, but
if no Konghuang Pan, it would have to be careful, because any one
large top and bottom are not very gentle appearance, in advance of
Konghuang Pan does not appear to do a single, most likely in Konghuang
Pan appears, is dropping the stop. If an important window of time
after the entry appeared on the top end of operation, it will not stop
dropping back again the problem can also occur in the top and bottom
have to do stop, the relative difficulty of the operation to reduce
Fourth, the Fibonacci numbers can also help us to judge cases of a
partial adjustment form of the end of time (because of large-scale
trends can be formed to adjust itself to a), such as adjustments in
local prices, which in the end that long to adjust it, adjustment in
the form of judgments, we can use time-sharing plans to the number of
time periods, such as 21 hours, 34 hours, and so, if an adjustment
form just in time-sharing plans placement of a small time window, we
can also put the convergence of form and time as the entry point. In
addition, sometimes the price adjustment is to complete the
consolidation, that consolidation in the form of how long to break
through to it? This can also be a small window of time to project,
such as daily and often small-scale consolidation with consolidation 5
days, 8 days or 13 days. Middle of the adjustment time is about 21
days or so, have helped us to find good timing.
????In addition to Fibonacci numbers aside, we also understand the
financial analysis conducted Lucas series.
19th century French mathematician Lucas (E. Lucas) in the study the
distribution of prime number theory problems and found some
relationship between Fibonacci numbers, but he discovered a new
series: 1,3,4,7, 11,18,29,47,76,123,199,322,521 and so on. This series
and the Fibonacci series has the same nature, the second after the
item is in front of two and composition. Mathematicians call this
number as the Lucas series. Fibonacci and Lucas series solution with
the golden ratio are closely related.
????Lucas and the Fibonacci series, the relationship between
Fibonacci numbers Fn: 0,1,1,2,3,5,8,13,21,34,55,89,144,233 ... ...
????Lucas series Ln: 1,3,4,7,11,18,29,47,76,123,199,322 ... ... ..
????Lucas in 1876, when a quadratic equation of two important
inferences drawn result, known as the golden ratio.
By the golden ratio by 0.382 (¡Ó square one) and rate of decline
calculated by the square, by the arcs of the connection, the golden
Helix is the basic form of the universe was constructed, the stock
market is the basic form of time series of ups and downs, but its
essence is the argument that golden ratio (¡Ó) 1.618.
Compared with the Lucas series Feibonaci series, the ratio of two
adjacent numbers to take the limit n tends to infinity, the ratio
tends golden ratio (¡Ó) 1.618
????Therefore, the conclusion is that the nature of the two series is
consistent with the golden ratio has a close relationship.
????Studied Jialu Lan knows spiral calendar, spiral calendar, the two
conclusions based on Jialu Lan above:
1, the market is a place of human trading, investors tend to be
emotional and psychological cycle of celestial bodies, including the
Moon most affected;
2, when the lunar cycle (ie E = 29.5306) is the Fibonacci numbers in
multiples of evolution, the market sentiment may be reversed, while
changes in the market offer.
????How the Lucas numbers for the stock market? We Jialu Lan learning.
To follow his train of thought may be harvested.
????Jia Lulan found in the stock market crash of 87 well-known spiral
calendar. His inspiration may be derived from wave theory, he will
form with the fee's rate ¡Ó combination. Jia Lulan I think of that will
¡Ó for time.
????The first problem he encountered - Fibonacci numbers 11 after the
change in increasingly large numbers as the difference between two
adjacent too, so many of the key points are ignored. Jia Lulan slow
pace of change with the square root of the.
????The second problem he encountered - Fee's too small a root change.
Top 10 almost stick together, for the calculation is not meaningful.
Take the square root before Jialu Lan Xiangdao a constant.
????The third problem he encountered - with which values for this
constant. In a lot of comparison, calculations, summarized later. Jia
Lulan lucky lunar month period and found the relationship between the
stock market. This can only be interpreted as a fortune on him, he
????The magic formula Bn = E ¡Á ¡Ì Fn. That period the number of days
(Bn) is the lunar cycle from one circle to the lack of the product
with the Fibonacci root. E is the lunar month is 29.5306 days period.
Jia Lulan with so much ink to explain the thinking, is the Lucas
numbers follow suit, and imitation another spiral calendar - Lucas
????As Jialu Lan spiral calendar with the lunar month is the lunar
cycle, change is slow, the time span. Therefore, changes in inventory
even though the forecast included in the inventory of the collection
of all the changes, but still there are many variables are missing
inventory. According to Jia Lulan defects spiral calendar, people Mr.
Wang Jugong proposed and proved, with the Lucas sequence prediction
method of inventory of the stock market changes. The sun with a solar
calendar that is half the month cycle (twenty-four solar terms
"section" to "in the" distance) 15.21875 days, and
the square root of the product of Lucas numbers. (Ie: when the sun is
a multiple of half the month cycle is the number of prescription
Lucas, the market may be changing disk.)
Hn = square root (Ln) ¡Á 15.21875
Lucas series predictors inventory system advantages:
1, the method is simple compared to Jialu Lan spiral calendar;
2 set out the changes in inventory of all the changes that count.
Disadvantages: can not independently confirmed the accuracy of
1, spiral calendar system, the time window
Fibonacci time window for the variable plate, a plate change the date
after the date of 5,8,13,21,34,55,89,144,233 this ... ... day changes
may also occur disk, calculated Starting at day back projections.
2, Lucas time window of natural law
Lucas number determines the time window is a fixed date, similar to
the first day in lunar calendar, fifteen, twenty-four solar terms of
the day, may become set.
????The calculated time window Lucas laws of nature:
(5) (12) (17) (21) (73) (81) (110) (120) (145) (162) (184) (188) (203)
(213) (255) (277) (292 ) (295) (316) (342) (353)
If the plot at the Lucas converted into spiral calendar 2001:
2001/1/5, 2001/1/17, 2001/1/21, 2001/3/14, 2001/3/22, 2001/4/20,
2001/4/30, 2001/5/25, 2001 / 6 / 11, 2001/7/3, 2001/7/7, 2001/7/22,
2001/8/1, 2001/9/12, 2001/10/4, 2001/10/19, 2001/10 / 22,2001 / 11/12,
The above date and the trend has occurred in the control, we can find
a number of important turning point in 2001, the date appears in the
collection (defined as a turning point in the spiral calendar day
2001/1/5 to 2125.30 points, 2001/1/21 to 1909.33 points, 2001/4/20
(the actual number of bad days, 2001/4/17 to 2176.68 points),
2001/6/11 (both the actual number of poor days, 2001/6/13 to 2242.42
points), 2001/10/22 to 1520.67 points, 2001/12/7 (the actual number of
bad days, 2001/12/4's 1769.68 points)
Through the above discussion, we draw three conclusions:
1, the spiral effect of calendar time window, the market has long
argument has been confirmed.
????2, Lucas recruited natural law variable time window inventory,
covering all important variable inventory.
????3, and spiral, like the calendar, Lucas inventory forecasting
method will measure changes in drift.
Therefore, the use of two systems (Lucas and the Fibonacci spiral
calendar) predictors of inventory, the two must be balanced and
mutually proof screening. Calculated before and after the date of the
draw for three days, should be observed as a key date, well prepared
in advance is always good.
????Points of concern:
Starting point for additional follow-up to predict the date of the
Fibonacci number generator, may have changed inventory;
????Starting point for additional follow-up to predict the date of the
Fibonacci and Lucas have overlapping spiral calendar dates, the
changes may have a greater inventory.
???Financial market time and price are subject to the Fibonacci and
Lucas series, the accuracy rate is sometimes
Alarming proportions. Fibonacci and Lucas series in the financial
markets almost everywhere. With the Fibonacci series, two series of
Lu's "magic series" of mutual authentication, so that some
of you can go "alone" from the "minority", the
predicted success rate, significantly reduced the error point.