Assessment of the competitive situation in the market for

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							               PLC Workshop, 16 October 2003




               Assessment of the competitive
           situation in the market for broadband
                           access


                        Leo Koolen
                    DG Information Society
                    European Commission


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                      Context

             A “competitive and dynamic
            knowledge-based economy”
                      requires
            “an inexpensive, world-class
           communications infrastructure”

                 Lisbon European Council
                       March 2000


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                Broadband Access


           Implementation of a widely available
           broadband infrastructure is probably the
           key challenge for the Information Society
           and telecommunications in Europe, over
           the next 5-10 years.

           e-Europe 2005 Action Plan



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                 EU liberalisation policy

           Member States to ensure competition in the
           provision of networks and services
           EU Framework Directive for Electronic Communications
           Networks and Services


           Member States shall not grant or maintain in
           force exclusive rights; and take all measures
           necessary to ensure that any undertaking is
           entitled to provide electronic communications
           services or to establish, extend or provide
           electronic communication networks
           Commission Directive on competition in the markets for
           electronic communications networks and services
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           Trend in the percentage of broadband
              lines provided by the incumbent


                                             EU
                 64%

                 63%
                       63.20%
                 62%

                 61%                               60.13%
                 60%

                 59%                                             58.83%
                 58%               58.78%

                 57%

                 56%
                         July 02   Oct. 02        Jan. 03   July 03




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           The level of infrastructure competition in
                      broadband supply*


             100%

              90%

              80%
                                                   Entrant using own
                                                  infrastructure
              70%

              60%                                  Entrant using ULLs

              50%
                                                  Entrant retailing
              40%
                                                  incumbent's DSL
              30%
                                                   Incumbent retailing
              20%                                 its own DSL

              10%

               0%




           *Source: ECTA 2002

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           The level of infrastructure competition in
                      broadband supply*


                                                  DSL market

                          UK
                   Sweden
                       Spain
                  Portugal
               Netherlands
                Luxembour
                        Italy
                     Ireland
                    Greece
                  Germany
                    France
                    Finland
                  Denmark
                   Belgium
                    Austria
                                0%        20%         40%        60%          80%       100%

                                     Retailed by incumbent   Retailed by indep. ISP   LLU


               Source: ECTA Sept 2003


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                         Penetration rates in EU

                                             Broadband penetration rate in the EU (% of population)


             12%


                                                                                                                                             10.44%
                                                                                                                                    10.19%
                                                                                                                           10.03%
             10%
                                                                                                                   9.36%




             8%

                                                                                                   6.62%   6.64%



             6%

                                                                                   4.65%   4.72%
                                                                   4.43%   4.47%
                                                           4.09%

             4%

                                           2.82%   2.87%

                                   2.33%


             2%


                           0.25%
                   0.02%
             0%

                    EL     IRL       L       I      P       F       E       UK      EU      D       A      FIN      NL       S        B       DK


           Source: European Commission
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               Infrastructure-based competition and
                        broadband take up*

                                                           10.0
                                                                                                  B   S
                   Broadband services per 100 population    9.0
                                                                                                          DK                    NL
                                                            8.0
                                                                                                                 US
                                                            7.0
                                                                                                                          Jap
                                                                                                                      A
                                                            6.0
                                                                                          SF
                                                            5.0
                                                                         D
                                                            4.0                   E
                                                                          F
                                                                                                                 UK             P
                                                            3.0

                                                            2.0               I
                                                                    L
                                                            1.0

                                                            0.0
                                                               0%       10%       20%   30%     40%       50%     60%      70%       80%
                                                                                        % market non incumbent
           *Source: OVUM




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                  Where are we now?

             Broadband market development is
              encouraging but concerns about
              competitive conditions
             New clamors that access network is a
              „natural monopoly‟
             New clamors for safety and security and
              QoS, to restore special rights?
             Marketplace approaching new status
              quo where local loop remains bottleneck


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               What do we need? (1)

       A healthy market structure for genuine
       effective and sustainable competition in the
       long-run
             Facilities-based competition
             Policy that attracts powerful parties with key
              strategic interests (customer ownership)
             A changing mentality that competitive
              dynamics at the network level is good for all




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                What do we need? (2)

       Competitive dynamics in the supply of
       broadband networks
             Facility based competition between alternative
              infrastructure of strong players with strategic interests
              superior to services based competition
             Stimulates investment in network technologies,
              product and services innovation and pricing packages
              which do not exist with services based competition
             Creates incentives for cost saving innovations, to
              become more cost efficient at network level, important
              in environment with rapid technological improvements
             Create environment that enables talent, gives room to
              innovation, ensures rapid technology dissemination of
              R&D and reap dynamic efficiencies

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                What do we need? (3)

       Legal certainty about regulatory treatment of
       technologies and systems
             Stable and predictable regime and its enforcement
              should encourage investment
             Risks for market players to be reduced to normal
              business risks




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                         Some statistics*


                375M people in EU (+100M from 2004)
                150M households (with central Europe 190M)
                About 20M SMEs
             Powerline grid in Europe is the best in the world
             Powerline grid is ubiquitous

             Number of powerlines comparable with number
              of household and SMEs
            *Dec 2002

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            How can PLC help to achieve
                  Lisbon goals?

             PLC may help to introduce facilities-based
              competition in the access network
             PLC IP platform may help to keep
              development of the market horizontal
             PLC may enable the individual to participate
              in eEurope
             PLC can help enhance regional development
              (local municipalities can become TO)




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                Who needs to do what?

            • Market challenge is for market players
              (business case/model; partnerships..)
            • Government and regulators:
               • to create a regulatory level playing field
                 for all technologies and remove
                 regulatory uncertainties
               • to protect the legitimate use of radio
                 spectrum against harmful interference
               • to encourage facility-based competition to
                 create a dynamic and competitive growth
                 environment which is sustainable in the
                 long term
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