POLL
April 25-29, 2008 N = 1,065 Registered Voters = 956 Democratic Primary Voters = 402 Republican Primary Voters = 239
All trends are from New York Times/CBS News polls unless otherwise noted. An asterisk indicates registered respondents only. “DPV*” indicates Democratic Primary Voters and “RPV*” indicates Republican Primary Voters.
1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President?
DisApprove approve DK/NA 2/10-12/01 CBS 53 21 26 3/8-12/01 60 22 18 4/4-5/01 CBS 53 35 12 5/10-12/01 CBS 57 30 13 6/14-18/01 53 34 13 8/28-31/01 CBS 50 38 12 9/11-12/01 CBS 72 15 13 9/13-14/01 84 9 8 9/20-23/01 89 7 5 10/25-28/01 87 8 5 12/7-10/01 86 9 4 1/5-6/02 CBS 84 10 6 1/15-17/02 CBS 82 11 7 1/21-24/02 82 12 6 2/24-26/02 CBS 78 14 8 4/1-2/02 CBS 77 17 6 4/28-5/1/02 73 18 9 5/13-14/02 CBS 77 16 7 5/19-20/02 CBS 71 18 11 6/18-20/02 CBS 70 20 10 7/8-9/02 CBS 74 19 6 7/13-16/02 70 20 9 7/22-23/02 CBS 65 27 8 8/6-7/02 CBS 66 25 9 9/2-5/02 63 28 9 9/22-23/02 CBS 66 27 7 10/3-6/02 63 29 8 10/27-31/02 62 28 10 11/20-24/02 65 27 9 1/4-6/03 CBS 64 28 8 1/19-22/03 59 35 6 2/5-6/03 CBS 63 28 9 2/10-12/03 54 38 8 2/24-25/03 CBS 56 35 9 3/4-5/03 CBS 58 32 10 3/7-9/03 56 37 6 3/15-16/03 CBS 59 34 7 3/17/03 CBS 64 31 5 3/20/03 PANEL 67 31 2 3/20-21/03 67 26 7 3/22/03 68 26 6 3/23/03 71 23 6 3/24/03 70 26 5 3/20-24/03 69 25 6 3/26-27/03 CBS 68 26 6 4/2-3/03 CBS 67 26 7 4/11-13/03 73 21 6 4/26-27/03 CBS 67 24 9 5/9-12/03 67 26 7 7/13-27/03 54 41 5 8/26-28/03 CBS 55 37 8 9/15-16/03 CBS 52 39 9 9/28-10/1/03 51 42 7 10/20-21/03 CBS 54 36 10 11/10-12/03 CBS 50 42 8 12/14-15/03 58 33 9 1/12-15/04 50 45 5 2/12-15/04 CBS 50 42 8 2/24-27/04 CBS 47 44 9 3/10-14/04 51 42 6 3/30-4/1/04 CBS 49 44 7 4/23-27/04 46 47 8 5/20-23/04 CBS 41 52 7 DisApprove approve 42 51 45 48 46 45 50 42 48 44 47 43 44 48 49 44 51 44 49 46 49 44 46 45 44 51 46 48 42 51 45 50 45 46 41 51 42 52 41 53 37 58 35 57 40 53 41 52 42 51 34 59 34 57 37 56 33 58 31 63 33 60 36 55 36 57 36 57 37 56 34 60 34 58 34 61 31 63 30 63 28 64 32 59 29 61 34 58 30 64 31 61 32 61 30 63 27 65 29 64 30 62 29 65 30 64 30 61 28 65 29 62 27 65 30 64 29 64 28 64 28 65 DK/NA 7 7 9 8 8 10 8 7 5 5 7 10 5 6 7 5 9 8 6 6 5 8 7 7 7 7 9 7 2 6 7 9 7 7 7 5 7 5 6 7 8 9 10 8 6 8 7 7 8 8 8 6 6 9 8 8 8 6 7 8 8
6/23-27/04 7/11-15/04 8/15-18/04 CBS 9/12-16/04 9/20-22/04 CBS 10/1-3/04 10/14-17/04 10/28-30/04 11/18-21/04 1/14-18/05 2/24-28/05 3/9-14/05 NYT 4/13-16/05 CBS 5/20-24/05 CBS 6/10-15/05 7/13-14/05 CBS 7/29-8/2/05 CBS 8/29-31/05 CBS 9/6-7/05 CBS 9/9-13/05 10/3-5/05 CBS 10/30-11/1/05 CBS 12/2-6/05 1/5-8/06 CBS 1/20-25/06 2/22-26/06 CBS 3/9-12/06 CBS 4/6-9/06 CBS 4/28-30/06 CBS 5/4-8/06 6/10-11/06 CBS 7/21-25/06 8/11-13/06 CBS 8/17-21/06 9/15-19/06 10/5-8/06 10/27-31/06 11/12-13/06 CBS 12/8-10/06 CBS 1/1-3/07 CBS 1/18-21/07 CBS 2/8-11/07 CBS 2/23-27/07 3/7-11/07 3/26-27/07 CBS 4/9-12/07 CBS 4/20-24/07 5/18-23/07 6/26-28/07 CBS 7/9-17/07 7/20-22/07 8/8-12/07 CBS 9/4-8/07 10/12-16/07 CBS 12/5-9/07 1/9-12/08 1/30-2/2/08 CBS 2/20-24/08 3/15-18/08 CBS 3/28-4/2/08 4/25-4/29/08
2
2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling the economy? Approve 3/8-12/01 4/4-5/01 CBS 4/23-25/01 CBS 5/10-12/01 CBS 6/14-18/01 10/25-28/01 12/7-10/01 1/5-6/02 CBS 1/15-17/02 CBS 1/21-24/02 2/24-26/02 CBS 5/13-14/02 CBS 6/18-20/02 CBS 7/8-9/02 CBS 7/13-16/02 7/22-23/02 CBS 8/6-7/02 CBS 9/2-5/02 9/22-23/02 CBS 10/3-6/02 10/27-31/02 11/20-24/02 1/4-6/03 CBS 1/19-22/03 2/5-6/03 CBS 2/10-12/03 2/24-25/03 CBS 3/4-5/03 CBS 3/7-9/03 3/20-21/03 3/22/03 3/23/03 3/24/03 3/20-24/03 4/11-13/03 4/26-27/03 CBS 5/9-12/03 7/13-27/03 8/11-12/03 CBS 8/26-28/03 CBS 9/15-16/03 CBS 9/28-10/1/03 12/10-13/03 12/14-15/03 1/12-15/04 2/12-15/04 CBS 2/24-27/04 CBS 3/10-14/04 3/30-4/1/04 CBS 4/23-27/04 5/20-23/04 CBS 6/23-27/04 7/11-15/04 55 47 44 46 50 64 61 59 57 56 54 52 56 56 52 44 45 47 49 41 46 45 42 44 44 38 40 41 40 48 46 53 51 50 46 42 43 40 36 39 41 37 44 49 44 44 37 38 37 39 36 40 42 Disapprove DK/NA 28 40 39 37 38 25 26 29 31 33 37 38 36 35 37 45 44 42 41 46 43 45 46 49 49 53 50 49 52 40 45 38 37 40 41 45 48 52 52 53 52 56 51 43 51 50 56 54 56 54 57 52 51 17 13 17 17 12 11 13 12 12 11 9 10 8 9 11 11 11 11 10 13 12 10 12 7 7 10 10 10 8 12 9 9 12 10 13 13 9 8 12 8 7 7 5 8 5 6 7 9 7 7 7 8 6 8/15-18/04 CBS 9/12-16/04 10/1-3/04 10/9-11/04 CBS 10/14-17/04 10/28-30/04 11/18-21/04 1/14-18/05 2/24-28/05 4/13-16/05 CBS 5/20-24/05 CBS 6/10-15/05 7/29-8/2/05 CBS 8/29-31/05 CBS 9/9-13/05 10/3-5/05 CBS 10/30-11/1/05 CBS 12/2-6/05 1/5-8/06 CBS 1/20-25/06 2/22-26/06 CBS 3/9-12/06 CBS 4/6-9/06 CBS 4/28-30/06 CBS 5/4-8/06 6/10-11/06 CBS 7/21-25/06 8/11-13/06 CBS 8/17-21/06 9/15-19/06 10/5-8/06 10/27-31/06 12/8-10/06 CBS 1/1-3/07 CBS 1/18-21/07 CBS 2/8-11/07 CBS 2/23-27/07 3/7-11/07 3/26-27/07 CBS 4/9-12/07 CBS 4/20-24/07 5/18-23/07 7/9-17/07 8/8-12/07 CBS 9/4-8/07 9/14-16/07 CBS 12/5-9/07 1/30-2/2/08 CBS 2/20-24/08 3/15-18/08 CBS 3/28-4/2/08 4/25-29/08 Approve 37 43 45 40 42 43 42 42 38 34 38 39 42 37 35 32 34 38 39 39 32 35 36 31 28 33 33 30 35 37 34 38 36 41 37 38 35 38 38 36 35 36 37 34 32 31 26 27 27 25 21 21 Disapprove 54 50 49 52 53 51 51 52 54 57 56 56 52 56 59 61 55 54 52 54 60 57 57 58 66 59 59 62 58 56 57 54 52 51 55 55 56 53 53 57 56 56 55 55 60 61 64 62 63 68 71 74 DK/NA 9 7 6 8 5 6 7 7 9 9 6 6 6 7 6 7 11 7 9 7 7 8 7 11 6 8 9 7 7 7 9 8 12 8 8 7 9 9 9 7 9 8 9 11 7 8 10 11 11 7 8 5
3
3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling the situation with Iraq? 2/10-12/03 2/24-25/03 CBS 3/4-5/03 CBS 3/7-9/03 3/15-16/03 CBS 5 3/17/03 CBS 3/20/03 PANEL 3/20-21/03 3/22/03 3/23/03 3/24/03 3/20-24/03 3/26-27/03 CBS 4/2-3/03 CBS 4/11-13/03 4/26-27/03 CBS 5/9-12/03 5/27-28/03 CBS 7/8-9/03 CBS 8/11-12/03 CBS 9/15-16/03 CBS 9/28-10/1/03 10/20-21/03 CBS 11/10-12/03 CBS 12/10-13/03 12/14-15/03 1/12-15/04 2/12-15/04 CBS 2/24-27/04 CBS 3/10-14/04 3/30-4/1/04 CBS 4/23-27/04 5/20-23/04 CBS 6/23-27/04 7/11-15/04 8/15-18/04 CBS 10/1-3/04 10/9-11/04 CBS 10/14-17/04 10/28-30/04 11/18-21/04 1/14-18/05 2/24-28/05 4/13-16/04 CBS App Disapp DK/NA 53 42 5 52 44 4 54 39 7 51 42 6 3 44 3 63 32 5 70 27 3 69 25 6 72 23 5 75 22 3 71 24 4 72 24 4 69 27 4 67 26 7 79 17 4 75 19 6 74 21 5 72 20 8 58 32 10 57 33 10 46 47 7 47 48 6 49 45 6 48 48 4 45 48 6 59 35 6 48 46 6 49 45 6 46 47 7 49 43 8 44 49 7 41 52 7 36 57 7 36 58 6 37 58 5 40 54 6 45 51 4 42 54 4 42 54 3 45 50 5 40 55 5 40 55 5 45 50 4 39 56 6 5/20-24/05 CBS 6/10-15/05 7/28-8/2/05 CBS 8/29-31/05 CBS 9/6-7/05 CBS 9/9-13/05 10/3-5/05 CBS 10/30-11/1/05 CBS 12/2-6/05 1/5-8/06 CBS 1/20-25/06 2/22-26/06 3/9-12/06 4/6-9/06 4/28-30/06 CBS 5/4-8/06 6/10-11/06 CBS 7/21-25/06 8/11-13/06 CBS 8/17-21/06 9/15-19/06 10/5-8/06 10/27-31/06 12/8-10/06 CBS 1/1-3/07 CBS 1/18-21/07 CBS 2/8-11/07 CBS 2/23-27/07 3/7-11/07 3/26-27/07 CBS 4/9-12/07 CBS 4/20-24/07 5/18-23/07 6/26-28/07 CBS 7/9-17/07 7/20-22/07 8/8-12/07 CBS 9/4-8/07 10/12-16/07 CBS 12/5-9/07 2/20-24/08 3/15-18/08 CBS 4/25-29/08 App Disapp DK/NA 38 57 5 37 59 5 41 55 4 38 57 5 35 60 5 36 59 5 32 64 4 32 62 6 36 59 4 37 58 5 37 59 4 30 65 5 31 63 6 33 61 6 30 64 6 29 67 4 33 61 6 32 62 5 30 66 4 30 65 5 36 59 5 30 66 4 29 64 7 21 75 4 23 72 5 24 72 4 27 68 5 23 71 6 28 66 6 28 66 6 30 66 4 24 71 5 23 72 5 23 70 7 25 70 5 25 69 5 26 69 6 26 71 3 26 67 7 26 69 5 31 65 5 30 65 5 29 64 6
4
4. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Congress is handling its job? 7/19-25/77 10/23-26/77 1/8-12/78 4/3-7/78 6/19-23/78 9/25-29/78 8/2-7/80 10/23-28/82 1/13-15/90 8/16-19/90 10/8-10/90 10/28-31/90 1/27-28/91 3/4-6/91 8/18-22/91 10/5-7/91 10/15-18/91 1/22-25/92 2/26-3/1/92 3/26-29/92 7/8-11/92 3/28-31/93 5/27-29/93 6/1-3/93 8/2-3/93 CBS 9/16-19/93 11/11-14/93 12/5-7/93 CBS 1/15-17/94 8/16-17/94 9/8-11/94 10/29-11/1/94 1/10-20/95 CBS 2/22-25/95 3/12-14/95 4/1-4/95 5/4-6/95 CBS 8/5-9/95 10/22-25/95 12/9-11/95 1/18-20/96 CBS 2/22-24/96 3/10-11/96 CBS 3/31-4/2/96 5/31-6/3/96 6/20-23/96 NYT 7/11-13/96 8/3-5/96 9/2-4/96 1/14-17/97 4/2-5/97 5/6-8/97 CBS 7/13-14/97 CBS 11/2-3/97 CBS 12/6-8/97 1/10-12/98 1/18-21/98 CBS 1/24-25/98 2/19-21/98 5/19-21/98 CBS 7/19-21/98 9/8-10/98 CBS 9/12-15/98 CBS 9/22-23/98 10/3-4/98 CBS 10/7-8/98 CBS 10/12-13/98 10/26-28/98 10/31-11/1/98 CBS 12/13-17/98 12/19-20/98 1/3-4/99 CBS 1/10-13/99 CBS App 31 31 29 31 30 29 32 33 42 40 27 23 49 39 30 27 29 17 21 17 20 35 27 27 21 23 25 27 30 22 25 20 35 36 31 30 33 31 32 26 31 22 26 23 19 29 27 32 32 45 32 42 34 36 34 44 42 47 50 41 40 49 55 48 47 46 43 41 41 44 42 41 43 Disapp 49 50 50 50 53 51 51 50 47 44 60 69 41 47 57 57 57 71 67 75 71 52 61 60 68 64 63 60 58 67 63 73 44 51 54 60 55 56 55 64 60 70 64 66 71 61 58 52 55 45 59 44 55 53 52 40 41 43 30 42 42 38 34 41 38 44 48 49 48 49 53 51 46 DK/NA 20 19 21 19 17 20 18 17 11 16 13 8 10 14 13 16 14 11 12 7 9 13 12 13 11 13 12 13 13 11 12 7 21 13 15 10 12 13 13 10 9 8 10 11 10 9 15 16 13 10 9 14 11 11 14 16 17 10 20 17 18 13 12 10 15 10 9 10 11 6 5 8 11 1/30-2/1/99 2/12/99 CBS 3/24/99 CBS 3/28/99 CBS 4/5-6/99 6/5-6/99 CBS 7/13-14/99 CBS 8/1-3/99 CBS 8/15/99 CBS 10/3-4/99 CBS 10/25-30/99 CBS 11/4-7/99 2/12-14/00 5/10-13/00 7/20-23/00 9/27-10/1/00 2/10-12/01 CBS 3/8-12/01 4/23-25/01 CBS 5/10-12/01 CBS 6/14-18/01 10/25-28/01 12/07-10/01 1/21-24/02 2/24-26/02 CBS 6/18-20/02 CBS 7/13-16/02 9/22-23/02 CBS 10/3-6/02 10/27-31/02 5/9-12/03 7/13-27/03 9/28-10/1/03 1/12-15/04 10/14-17/04 1/14-18/05 2/24-28/05 3/21-22/05 CBS 4/13-16/05 CBS 5/20-23/05 CBS 6/10-15/05 7/13-14/05 CBS 9/9-13/05 10/3-5/05 CBS 10/30-11/1/05 CBS 12/2-6/05 1/5-8/06 CBS 1/20-25/06 2/22-26/06 CBS 3/9-12/06 CBS 4/6-9/06 CBS 5/4-8/06 6/10-11/06 CBS 7/21-25/06 8/17-21/06 9/15-19/06 10/5-8/06 10/27-31/06 1/18-21/07 CBS 2/8-11/07 CBS 2/23-27/07 3/7-11/07 4/9-12/07 CBS 5/18-23/07 6/26-28/07 CBS 7/9-17/07 7/20-22/07 8/8-12/07 CBS 9/4-8/07 10/12-16/07 CBS 12/5-9/07 4/25-29/08 App 45 46 43 41 43 41 41 43 42 38 36 37 39 38 45 49 48 50 44 45 45 67 57 47 50 43 49 48 42 45 35 39 37 45 38 44 41 34 35 29 33 33 34 31 34 33 27 29 28 32 27 23 26 28 29 25 27 29 33 32 33 31 34 35 27 29 26 25 23 27 21 21 Disapp 46 46 47 47 45 46 41 41 44 48 52 50 47 45 41 38 31 33 37 36 39 24 31 37 34 40 38 36 45 40 48 46 47 42 46 39 44 49 51 55 53 50 54 57 53 53 57 61 61 54 61 64 60 58 60 61 64 56 49 52 50 53 54 52 60 59 61 63 66 59 64 68 DK/NA 9 8 10 12 12 13 18 16 14 14 12 13 13 18 14 13 21 17 19 19 16 9 12 15 16 17 14 16 13 15 16 15 16 13 16 17 15 17 14 16 14 17 12 12 13 14 16 11 11 14 12 13 14 14 11 14 9 15 18 16 17 16 12 13 13 12 13 12 11 14 15 11
5
5. How would you rate the condition of the national economy these days? Is it very good, fairly good, fairly bad or very bad? Very Fairly Good good 1/92A 17 1/92B 1 20 2/92A 1 16 2/92B 1 16 3/92 1 18 4/92 1 23 7/92 21 8/92A 1 20 9/92A 1 19 10/92A 1 18 10/92C 2 21 10/92D 2 21 10/92E 1 22 12/92 1 31 1/93 1 34 2/93 2 33 3/93 1 33 6/93A 1 29 6/93B 1 33 8/93 3 28 9/93 1 31 11/93 2 40 12/93 1 43 12/93 1 43 1/94 2 45 1/94 1 49 2/94 2 50 4/94 3 51 6/94 3 51 7/94 3 50 9/94 2 51 9/94 3 50 11/94 2 53 1/95 3 57 2/95 5 53 3/95 3 52 7/95 3 58 10/95 3 54 12/95 4 54 1/96 2 49 2/96 3 50 6/96 2 53 6/96B 4 56 7/96 5 56 8/96 5 58 9/96 5 64 10/96 6 66 10/96C 6 61 11/96 6 64 12/96 6 61 1/97 7 64 4/97 6 62 7/97 11 62 11/97 14 63 12/97 17 63 1/98 16 67 2/98 21 67 8/11-13/98 21 66 8/19-20/98 25 61 10/98A 16 65 10/98B 16 68 2/00 28 60 5/00 29 58 9/00D* 26 64 10/00 25 60 11/00 26 63 12/00 CBS 21 65 1/01 CBS 14 70 3/8-12/01 6 68 4/01B CBS 3 58 5/01 CBS 4 64 6/14-18/01 3 67 9/20-23/01 3 50 Fairly Very bad bad DK/NA 47 35 1 46 32 1 38 42 2 40 41 1 39 40 1 40 34 1 41 37 1 40 38 1 37 39 3 42 37 2 40 37 1 40 36 2 39 36 2 39 28 2 41 22 2 36 26 3 41 22 2 43 25 2 40 23 2 45 23 1 44 23 1 38 18 2 39 15 2 39 15 2 38 14 1 34 14 1 34 12 2 33 11 2 32 11 3 35 11 1 33 13 2 34 11 2 33 10 1 28 11 1 29 12 2 29 13 3 26 11 2 32 10 1 27 13 2 33 14 2 30 15 3 32 11 2 30 9 1 27 10 23 10 3 23 7 1 19 6 2 21 10 3 21 6 2 22 8 3 23 5 1 24 7 1 18 8 1 16 5 2 15 4 2 13 3 1 9 3 1 8 3 2 9 3 2 15 3 2 11 3 2 8 3 1 7 4 2 7 2 1 9 4 3 7 3 2 10 3 1 11 4 1 19 5 29 7 3 23 7 2 22 6 2 33 11 2 Very good 10/25-28/01 3 12/07-10/01 3 1/5-6/02 CBS 3 1/15-17/02 CBS 2 1/21-24/02 2 2/24-26/02 CBS 1 5/13-14/02 CBS 4 6/18-20/02 CBS 3 7/13-16/02 2 7/22-23/02 CBS 3 8/6-7/02 CBS 2 9/2-5/02 3 10/3-6/02 4 10/27-31/02 1 11/20-24/02 2 1/4-6/03 CBS 1 1/19-22/03 1 2/10-12/03 2 3/20-24/03 3 4/11-13/03 2 5/9-12/03 2 9/28-10/1/03 4 10/20-21/03 CBS 3 12/10-13/03 4 12/14-15/03 5 1/12-15/04 3 3/10-14/04 2 4/23-27/04 4 5/20-23/04 CBS 5 6/23-27/04 4 8/15-18/04 CBS 5 9/12-16/04 3 10/1-3/04 6 10/14-17/04 3 11/18-21/04 4 2/24-28/05 4 6/10-15/05 4 7/29-8/2/05 CBS 7 9/9-13/05 4 10/30-11/1/05 CBS 3 12/2-6/05 6 1/5-8/06 CBS 6 1/20-25/06 6 2/22-26/06 CBS 5 3/9-12/06 CBS 4 4/6-9/06 CBS 7 4/28-30/06 CBS 8 5/4-8/06 6 7/21-25/06 5 8/17-21/06 5 9/15-19/06 5 10/5-8/06 7 10/27-31/06 9 12/8-10/06 CBS 8 1/1-3/07 CBS 8 1/18-21/07 CBS 7 2/8-11/07 CBS 8 2/23-27/07 7 3/7-11/07 8 4/9-12/07 CBS 8 5/18-23/07 7 7/9-17/07 9 8/8-12/07 CBS 7 9/4-8/07 4 10/12-16/07 CBS 5 12/5-9/07 3 1/9-12/08 3 1/30-2/2/08 CBS 2 2/20-24/08 2 3/15-18/08 CBS 1 3/28-4/2/08 1 4/25-29/08 Fairly good 53 52 49 49 50 52 62 56 47 42 45 47 39 44 46 40 42 37 47 48 42 39 42 52 50 51 47 51 47 54 47 51 49 49 50 53 50 50 45 44 49 48 51 45 51 45 49 47 46 47 51 53 50 50 50 51 52 55 47 51 48 46 45 51 45 39 35 26 27 24 20 22 Fairly bad 33 35 36 36 36 38 27 30 36 39 38 36 42 38 37 43 43 42 33 36 41 37 36 30 28 34 34 30 31 30 32 31 29 32 30 29 32 31 33 35 29 32 29 33 29 30 27 31 34 32 30 28 26 26 26 31 27 25 33 28 29 30 32 30 33 39 42 44 45 42 48 41 Very bad DK/NA 9 2 8 2 8 4 11 2 10 1 7 2 7 9 2 13 2 14 2 13 2 14 1 14 2 15 1 13 2 14 2 12 1 18 2 15 2 10 3 14 1 19 1 18 1 13 1 13 4 11 1 15 2 15 1 16 1 11 1 15 1 12 2 16 1 13 2 14 1 13 1 13 1 11 1 17 1 16 2 14 1 13 1 13 1 15 2 14 2 17 1 14 2 15 1 13 1 15 1 13 1 11 1 13 3 13 3 14 2 10 1 12 1 10 3 11 1 11 2 14 1 13 2 14 2 15 1 16 1 18 1 19 2 27 1 25 1 34 30 1 36 1
6
6. Do you think the economy is getting better, getting worse, or staying about the same? 9/76 10/76A 10/76B 1/77 4/77 7/77 1/78 4/78 6/78 9/78 1/79 6/79 11/79 4/80 10/80A 11/80 1/81 3/82 1/83 10/86* 10/87A 10/87BNYT 11/87 1/88 5/88 9/88* 10/88A* 10/88A* 11/88B 1/90 8/90 10/90 10/90B 1/91 CBS 2/91 CBS 3/91 4/91 6/91 10/91D 11/91 1/92A 1/92B 2/92B 3/92 4/92 7/92 8/92A 9/92A 10/92A 10/92C 10/92D 10/92E 12/92 1/93 2/93 3/93 6/93A 8/93 CBS 9/93 11/93 1/94 4/94 7/94 9/94 11/94 1/95 CBS 2/95 3/95 8/95 10/95 2/95 1/96 2/96 4/96 Better 25 18 22 16 18 22 17 12 9 9 7 3 5 2 14 8 4 16 21 19 12 11 11 12 21 15 17 17 14 8 4 2 3 7 8 19 18 23 14 8 8 9 13 20 18 12 10 10 9 12 17 17 29 26 32 21 13 12 14 19 31 24 22 23 20 24 27 18 14 13 16 13 14 14 Worse 30 36 35 27 31 22 34 48 58 55 59 72 70 81 46 58 58 48 39 27 37 39 41 35 34 27 27 27 25 36 55 69 67 46 41 32 33 29 40 44 47 45 38 26 31 33 36 33 38 37 33 32 17 18 15 19 26 30 26 24 17 25 21 27 26 22 20 27 27 27 26 31 29 32 Same 41 44 39 54 48 52 45 38 31 34 31 22 24 16 37 33 35 34 39 52 47 46 46 51 42 56 53 53 58 53 40 28 28 45 45 47 47 47 44 46 44 44 48 53 50 54 53 55 51 49 48 49 51 55 51 58 60 56 58 57 57 50 56 50 53 53 53 53 58 57 56 54 55 53 DK/NA 4 2 3 3 4 4 4 2 2 2 3 3 1 1 4 2 3 2 1 1 3 4 3 2 3 2 3 2 2 2 1 2 1 2 6 2 2 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 2 2 2 3 1 2 2 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 Better 7/96 16 8/96C 17 10/96 26 11/96 24 12/96 19 1/97 24 4/97 16 11/97 CBS 23 12/97 29 1/98 32 10/98A 20 10/98B 23 2/00 30 1/01 CBS 11 2/01 CBS 8 3/8-12/01 7 4/01 CBS 9 5/01 CBS 10 6/14-18/01 9 9/20-23/01 8 10/25-28/01 14 12/07-10/01 19 1/5-6/02 CBS 26 1/21-24/02 18 5/13-14/02 CBS 31 7/13-16/02 14 10/3-5/02 13 10/27-31/02 17 11/20-24/02 19 1/19-22/03 17 4/11-13/03 17 5/9-12/03 22 7/13-27/03 22 8/26-28/03 CBS 25 9/28-10/1/03 24 12/10-13/03 34 12/14-15/03 39 1/12-15/04 34 2/12-15/04 CBS 33 3/10-14/04 28 4/23-27/04 30 5/20-23/04 CBS 23 6/23-27/04 28 9/12-16/04 26 9/12-16/04 26 10/14-17/04 24 11/18-21/04 26 1/14-18/05 25 2/24-28/05 23 6/10-15/05 18 7/29-8/2/05 CBS 20 9/9-13/05 13 10/30-11/1/05 CBS 16 12/2-6/05 19 1/5-8/06 CBS 20 1/20-25/06 17 3/9-12/06 13 5/4-8/06 14 7/21-25/06 12 9/15-19/06 17 10/5-8/06 19 10/27-31/06 16 2/8-11/07 CBS 15 2/23-27/07 11 4/9-12/07 CBS 11 5/18-23/07 11 7/9-17/07 12 9/4-8/07 8 10/12-16/07 CBS 9 12/5-9/07 5 1/9-12/08 4 1/30-2/2/08 CBS 6 2/20-24/08 3 3/15-18/08 CBS 2 Worse Same 27 55 23 57 19 53 19 55 21 57 19 56 25 57 19 55 18 51 13 55 26 53 21 53 15 52 39 49 46 44 41 49 48 41 44 44 40 50 55 35 37 46 34 45 27 44 33 48 18 51 41 44 39 46 34 48 30 50 39 44 31 49 28 49 31 46 31 43 29 46 24 41 19 39 26 39 27 39 27 43 26 44 32 43 23 47 27 45 27 45 33 42 29 44 29 45 30 46 36 45 32 47 47 38 40 44 35 45 37 43 38 44 39 47 47 39 47 41 36 46 31 49 38 44 34 49 35 51 44 44 43 44 41 45 49 43 45 44 53 40 62 33 67 26 63 32 75 21 DK/NA 2 3 2 2 2 1 1 3 2 1 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 3 1 2 2 1 2 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 2 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 2 2 1 2 2 1 1 1 2
6/96 6/96 NYT 9/96
13 18 23
29 22 21
57 58 54
1 1 2
3/28-4/2/08 4/25-29/08
4 4
70 70
25 24
1 1
7
7. 13. In general, is your opinion of the Republican party favorable or not favorable?
QUESTIONS 7 & 8 WERE ROTATED.
12/85 NYT 11/88B 1/90 4/90 6/91 5/92 CBS 6/92 7/92* 8/92* 1/94 9/94 11/94 11/94 CBS 1/95 CBS 2/95 4/95 8/95 4/96* 8/96* 8/96B* CBS 8/96C* 8/96D* CBS 9/96* 1/97 12/98 12/17/98 12/19/98 12/20/98 1/99 CBS 1/99 2/99 CBS 6/99 CBS 9/99 CBS 11/99 2/00 5/00*
Fav 58 57 63 58 62 46 49 46 47 52 52 54 59 53 54 54 54 43 46 47 52 48 48 50 42 33 36 36 38 41 40 41 43 48 49 53
Not fav 29 34 28 34 28 45 43 47 48 36 36 39 33 38 37 40 37 51 47 43 42 43 44 41 51 57 59 58 55 52 49 47 45 43 41 40
DK/NA 14 10 9 8 10 9 8 7 5 12 10 7 8 9 8 6 9 7 7 10 6 9 7 9 8 10 5 6 7 8 11 12 12 9 10 8
7/00B* 9/00D* 11/00L 3/8-12/01 6/14-18/01 1/21-24/02 7/13-16/02 10/3-5/02 10/27-31/02 11/20-24/02 1/19-22/03 5/9-12/03 7/13-27/03 9/28-10/1/03 12/10-13/03 12/14-16/03 1/12-15/04 3/10-14/04 7/11-15/04 10/14-17/04 11/18-21/04 1/14-18/05 12/2-6/05 1/20-25/06 3/9-12/06 CBS 4/6-9/06 CBS 5/4-8/06 7/21-25/06 9/15-19/06 10/5-8/06 10/27-31/06 2/23-27/07 3/7-11/07 5/18-23/07 7/9-17/07 12/5-9/07 4/25-29/08
Fav 54 49 49 54 46 58 53 53 57 51 50 53 46 51 47 53 48 49 47 47 49 49 42 44 36 40 37 43 41 39 36 34 34 38 38 33 33
Not fav 41 44 44 39 47 33 38 39 35 39 41 40 45 43 44 39 43 43 47 46 46 44 50 51 58 53 57 51 52 54 56 56 58 56 56 59 58
DK/NA 5 7 7 7 8 9 9 8 8 10 9 7 9 5 9 9 8 8 5 7 5 7 8 5 6 7 6 6 8 7 7 10 8 5 5 7 9
8
8. In general, is your opinion of the Democratic party favorable or not favorable?
QUESTIONS 7 & 8 WERE ROTATED.
12/85 NYT 11/88B 1/90 4/90 6/91 5/92 CBS 6/92 7/92* 8/92* 1/94 9/94 11/94 11/94 CBS 1/95 CBS 2/95 4/95 8/95 4/96* 8/96* 8/96B* CBS 8/96C* 8/96D* CBS 9/96* 1/97 12/98 12/17/98 12/19/98 12/20/98 1/99 CBS 1/99 2/99 6/99 9/99 11/99 2/00 5/00*
Fav 59 54 58 54 52 46 49 49 57 49 48 44 40 47 47 48 47 46 55 52 53 57 56 55 56 56 65 60 61 56 57 51 53 52 61 54
Not fav 27 36 32 35 34 43 40 43 37 40 44 48 52 47 45 45 45 47 39 39 40 36 39 39 36 35 31 34 32 37 32 36 37 39 31 40
DK/NA 14 10 10 11 13 10 11 8 6 12 8 8 8 6 8 7 8 6 6 9 6 7 5 7 8 8 5 5 7 6 11 13 10 9 9 6
7/00B* 9/00D* 11/00L 3/8-12/01 6/14-18/01 1/21-24/02 7/13-16/02 10/3-5/02 10/27-31/02* 11/20-24/02 1/19-22/03 5/9-12/03 7/13-27/03 9/28-10/1/03 12/10-13/03 12/14-16/03 1/12-15/04 3/10-14/04 7/11-15/04 10/14-17/04 11/18-21/04 1/14-18/05 12/2-6/05 1/20-25/06 3/9-12/06 CBS 4/6-9/06 CBS 5/4-8/06 7/21-25/06 9/15-16/06 10/5-8/06 10/27-31/06 2/23-27/07 3/7-11/07 5/18-23/07 7/9-17/07 12/5-9/07 4/25-29/08
Fav 56 58 56 55 56 58 53 53 55 45 52 46 49 53 55 51 54 51 55 52 54 51 46 53 47 48 55 52 52 52 49 48 47 53 52 48 52
Not fav 39 36 37 38 36 34 36 39 38 44 39 45 42 39 36 39 36 41 38 40 39 41 43 40 46 43 37 41 40 40 40 41 43 42 41 44 41
DK/NA 5 6 7 7 9 8 11 8 7 11 9 9 9 7 9 10 10 9 7 8 6 8 10 7 7 9 8 7 8 8 10 11 9 5 7 8 8
Some people are registered to vote and others are not. Are you registered to vote in the precinct or election district where you now live, or aren't you? Yes 84 No 16
4/25-29/08
9
9. How much attention have you been able to pay to the 2008 presidential campaign — a lot, some, not much, or no attention so far? A lot 26 23 21 23 20 25 22 19 19 22 30 33 36 47 52 60 55 Some 42 50 51 48 46 46 46 44 42 48 42 44 44 35 35 30 37 Not much 22 20 21 22 23 23 22 27 28 21 21 19 12 15 10 6 6 None at all 10 7 8 7 11 6 10 9 10 9 7 4 4 3 2 4 2 DK/NA 1 -
2/8-11/07 CBS 3/7-11/07 3/26-27/07 CBS 4/9-12/07 CBS 5/18-23/07 6/26-28/07* CBS 7/9-17/07 8/8-12/07 CBS 9/4-9/07 10/12-16/07 CBS 12/5-9/07 1/9-12/08 1/30-2/2/08* CBS 2/20-24/08* 3/15-18/08* CBS 3/28-4/2/08* 4/25-29/08*
-
Have you already voted in or do you plan to vote in a Democratic primary or caucus this year, OR in a Republican Primary or caucus, or are you not voting in a primary or caucus at all this year? Democratic primary 42 Republican primary 25
4/25-29/08*
Not voting 26
Never vote(vol.) 1
DK/NA 6
10. Who would you like to see the Democratic party nominate as its presidential candidate in 2008 — Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama? CANDIDATE NAMES ROTATED.
12/5-9/07 1 DPV* 44 27 11 2 2 2 1 1/9-12/08 DPV*2 42 27 1/30-2/2/08 DPV* CBS 41 41 11 4 2 6 3 13 2 4 13 1 1 6 1 3 6 2 3 7 2 2 11 4 2/20-24/08 DPV* 38 54 3/15-18/08 DPV* CBS 43 46 3/28-4/2/08 DPV* 43 46 4/25-29/08 DPV* 38 46
Clinton Obama Edwards Biden Kucinich Richardson Dodd Gravel Gore (vol.) Someone else/ None (vol) Undecided DK/NA
1 2
QUESTION INCLUDED JOHN EDWARDS, BILL RICHARDSON, DENNIS KUCINICH, JOE BIDEN, CHRISTOPHER DODD AND MIKE GRAVEL. QUESTION INCLUDED JOHN EDWARDS, DENNIS KUCINICH AND MIKE GRAVEL. BILL RICHARDSON WAS DELETED FROM QUESTION ON 1/10.
3/15-18/08 CBS* Clinton 43 Obama 46 Someone else/None 3 Undecided 6 DK/NA 2
3/28-4/2/08* 4/25-29/08* 34 38 41 36 10 11 9 8 6 7
10
11. Would you describe your support for CANDIDATE NAME as strongly favoring CANDIDATE NAME, or do you like him/her but with reservations, or do you support him/her because you dislike the other candidates? BASED ON THOSE WITH PREFERENCE IN QUESTION 10. Strongly favor 12/5-9/07 DPV* 53 1/9-12/08 DPV* 65 2/20-24/08 DPV* 68 3/28-4/2/08 DPV* 64 Clinton supporters 59 Obama supporters 68 4/25-29/08 DPV* 68 Clinton supporters 67 Obama supporters 69 Like with reservations 39 29 26 26 28 24 23 22 23 Dislike others 5 5 4 9 12 7 9 12 8 DK/NA 3 2 1 1 1 -
12. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you expect to finally win the Democratic nomination for President in 2008 — Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama? Clinton 4/9-12/07 CBS1 35 1/9-12/08 DPV*1 48 1/30-2/2/08 CBS DPV* 45 2/20-24/08 DPV* 23 3/15-18/08 CBS* 31 3/28-4/2/08* 19 3/28-4/2/08 DPV* 21 4/25-29/08* 35 4/25-29/08 DPV* 34
1
Obama 22 33 36 68 53 67 69 47 51
Edwards 16 3
Someone else 12 1 6 1 1 1 -
DK/NA 15 15 13 9 15 13 10 16 14
QUESTION INCLUDED JOHN EDWARDS AND “OR SOMEONE ELSE?”
11
13. Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven't you heard enough about Hillary Clinton yet to have an opinion? QUESTIONS 13-15 WERE ROTATED. Fav 31 29 33 31 32 38 44 35 37 34 45 36 40 41 45 44 36 34 33 32 35 38 33 37 39 34 31 38 33 36 33 30 38 35 38 38 36 37 47 39 Not Fav 17 14 15 19 18 10 16 16 14 21 21 22 20 18 21 28 22 23 26 29 27 26 28 38 33 36 29 42 41 35 36 40 39 37 36 34 25 35 30 33 Und 19 21 20 25 20 24 19 22 23 23 21 22 20 24 21 16 22 25 22 20 22 19 22 20 21 22 23 16 19 20 23 22 17 19 18 19 25 17 17 19 DK engh 31 35 32 26 28 28 19 27 25 21 13 29 19 17 12 11 19 17 18 17 13 16 15 6 8 16 3 7 6 7 8 4 7 6 8 12 10 5 8 Ref 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 3 1 2 5 1 1 2 1 1 3 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 1 1 Fav 1/98B 45 2/98 50 4/98 49 5/98 CBS 39 7/98 CBS 50 8/11-13 41 8/19-20 50 10/99 CBS 40 10/99 CBS 43 11/99 41 2/00 42 7/13-17/00 36 6/12-13/03 CBS 24 5/20-24/05 CBS 36 1/20-25/06 37 5/4-8/06 34 7/21-25/06 32 9/15-18/06 32 1/1-3/07 CBS 43 1/18-21/07* CBS 36 3/7-11/07 35 3/26-27/07 CBS 33 4/9-12/07* CBS 37 5/18-23/07* 38 6/26-28/07* CBS 45 7/9-17/07 41 7/9-17/07* 40 8/8-12/07* CBS 41 9/4-9/07* 36 DPV* 63 10/12-16/07 CBS DPV*72 12/5-9/07 DPV* 68 1/9-12/08 DPV* 64 1/30-2/2/08 CBS DPV*65 2/20-24/08* 35 DPV* 61 3/15-18/08* CBS 39 3/28-4/2/08* 38 DPV* 58 4/25-29/08* 36 DPV* 56 Not Fav 27 25 29 27 26 21 25 36 37 36 31 40 32 31 35 35 39 36 38 36 43 42 46 42 40 38 40 39 40 14 15 14 19 18 43 27 41 39 20 42 26 Und 21 16 16 20 15 20 17 20 16 17 18 18 22 19 21 23 21 20 16 25 19 17 15 19 12 19 18 19 21 21 12 17 15 15 18 9 15 18 17 15 13 DK engh Ref 8 7 1 5 1 12 2 7 2 16 2 7 1 4 3 6 1 8 1 5 1 19 3 13 1 7 9 8 11 1 3 4 3 8 3 2 2 2 1 2 2 1 2 2 1 2 3 1 2 1 4 1 4 1 4 1 5 1 5
3/92*1 7/92*1 8/92A*2 8/92D*2 10/92A*2 1/932 2/932 3/932 5/93A2 CBS 5/93B2 CBS 6/93B2 8/932 CBS 9/932 10/932 CBS 11/932 1/94 CBS 1/94 2/94 CBS 3/94 4/94 6/94 CBS 7/94 9/94 11/94A 1/95 CBS 4/95 8/95 1/96* 4/96* 6/96* 6/96* NYT 7/96* 8/96* 8/96C* 8/96D* CBS 9/96* 1/97 4/97 11/97 CBS 12/97
1 QUESTION READ: “… HILLARY CLINTON, BILL CLINTON'S WIFE,..." NOTE: PRIOR TO JULY 2007, QUESTION INCLUDED “RODHAM”
12
14. Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven't you heard enough about Barack Obama yet to have an opinion? QUESTIONS 13-15 WERE ROTATED. Not Fav 10 9 18 17 18 21 22 20 21 20 21 13 13 14 16 11 23 8 28 24 14 34 20 Haven’t heard enough 47 41 23 30 21 20 15 19 18 17 14 12 9 10 8 9 9 8 8 8 8 5 5
1/1-3/07 CBS 1/18-21/07* CBS 3/7-11/07 3/26-27/07 CBS 4/9-12/07* CBS 5/18-23/07* 6/26-28/07* CBS 7/9-17/07 7/9-17/07* 8/8-12/07* CBS 9/4-9/07* DPV* 10/12-16/07 CBS 12/5-9/07 DPV* 1/9-12/08 DPV* 1/30-2/2/08 CBS 2/20-24/08* DPV* 3/15-18/08* CBS 3/28-4/2/08* DPV* 4/25-29/08* DPV*
Favorable 28 29 39 31 36 34 40 36 37 36 35 52 DPV* 56 54 55 DPV* 63 45 69 44 43 62 39 57
Undecided 14 20 20 21 25 25 22 25 24 27 29 23 21 22 20 17 23 14 20 25 17 21 17
Refused 1 1
1 1 1 1
13
15. Is your opinion of John McCain favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven’t you heard enough about John McCain yet to have an opinion? QUESTIONS 13-15 WERE ROTATED. Not Favorable 6 7 8 11 11 14 26 14 12 9 12 15 13 14 20 20 21 29 30 29 30 33 31 28 28 22 32 13 21 32 12 31 29 11 34 11 Don’t know enough 69 66 62 57 45 26 15 22 28 22 29 28 29 28 13 21 29 16 20 19 17 14 17 16 12 14 8 9 10 9 8 10 11 5 12 3
Favorable 4/99 11 6/99* CBS 11 10/99*CBS 13 11/99* 16 12/99*CBS 22 2/00* 36 3/00* CBS 38 5/00* 46 6/14-18/01 36 5/20-23/03 CBS 46 1/20-25/06 34 5/4-8/06 31 7/21-25/06 28 9/15-18/06 28 1/1-3/07 CBS 39 2/8-11/07* CBS 31 3/7-11/07 24 4/9-12/07* CBS 28 5/18-23/07* 23 6/26-28/07* CBS 27 7/9-17/07 28 7/9-17/07* 29 8/8-12/07* CBS 26 9/4-9/07* 26 RPV* 38 10/12-16/07 CBS RPV*37 12/5-9/07 RPV* 37 1/9-12/08 RPV* 57 1/30-2/2/08 CBS RPV*56 2/20-24/08* 36 RPV* 57 3/15-18/08* CBS 38 3/28-4/2/08* 35 RPV* 67 4/25-29/08* 33 RPV* 65
Undecided 14 15 16 16 22 24 19 17 23 22 24 25 29 28 28 28 26 27 26 25 24 24 25 29 23 27 22 20 12 22 23 21 24 17 20 21
Refused 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1
1 1
16. If the 2008 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Barack Obama, the Democrat, and John McCain, the Republican, would you vote for Barack Obama or John McCain? CANDIDATE NAMES WERE ROTATED; QUESTIONS 16 & 17 WERE ROTATED. Obama 50 47 45 McCain 38 42 45 Other (vol.) 1 1 1 Won't vote (vol.) 2 3 3 Depends (vol.) 2 2 1 DK/NA 7 5 4
2/20-24/08* 3/28-4/2/08* 4/25-29/08*
17. If the 2008 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, and John McCain, the Republican, would you vote for Hillary Clinton or John McCain? CANDIDATE NAMES WERE ROTATED; QUESTIONS 16 & 17 WERE ROTATED. Clinton 46 48 48 McCain 46 43 43 Other (vol.) 1 1 1 Won't vote (vol.) 2 3 3 Depends (vol.) 1 2 1 DK/NA 4 3 3
2/20-24/08* 3/28-4/2/08* 4/25-29/08*
14
18. If the 2008 election for U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate in your district? Rep. 32 Dem. 50 Other(vol.) Won’t vote(vol.) Depends(vol.) 7 DK/NA 10
4/25-29/08*
HISTORICAL DATA: IF THE 1994/1998/2002/2006 ELECTION FOR U.S. HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES WERE BEING HELD TODAY, WOULD YOU VOTE FOR THE REPUBLICAN CANDIDATE OR THE DEMOCRATIC CANDIDATE IN YOUR DISTRICT? OTHER WON'T VOTE DEPENDS REP. DEM. (VOL.) (VOL.) (VOL.) DK/NA 9/8-11/94* 37 39 1 1 9 14 10/94* CBS 41 42 6 11 10/29/11/1/94* 46 41 1 1 5 7 7/19-21/98 9/22-23/98* 10/12-13/98* 1/21-24/02* 7/13-16/02 9/2-5/02 10/3-5/02 LIKELY VTRS 10/27-31/02 LIKELY VTRS 12/2-6/05 12/2-6/05* 1/20-25/06* 5/4-8/06* 7/21-25/06* 8/17-21/06* 34 39 37 37 36 35 43 47 32 33 34 33 35 32 38 44 45 39 40 39 46 40 41 42 43 44 45 47 3 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 2 1 1 1 24 10 11 12 13 15 5 7 10 8 7 8 6 8
6 3 10 8 8 5 4 14 15 14 13 13 12
15
19. Which one issue would you most like to hear the candidates for president discuss during the 2008 presidential campaign? 10/12-16/07* CBS
Economy War Health Care Medicare/Medicaid Immigration Heating oil/Gas Crisis Education Taxes Social Security Moral values Defense Foreign Policy Jobs Abortion Terrorism Environment Other DK/NA 1 2 2 12 8 15 10 2 2 2 3 11 26 25 6
3/15-18/08 CBS
29 20 12 5 4 3
4/25-29/08*
41 17 8 3 7 1 1 2 1 3 1 9 6
20. From what you have seen or heard, do you think any of the candidates for president are talking about that issue? IF YES, ASK: Which candidate is talking about it more Barack Obama or John McCain or Hillary Clinton? BASED ON THOSE WHO CITED AN ISSUE IN QUESTION 19. Clinton 18 Obama 13 McCain 12 Combination (vol.) 14 No, none 34 DK/NA 9
4/25-29/08*
16
21. Regardless of how you intend to vote for President in 2008, who do you expect to finally win the 2008 Presidential election — a Democrat or a Republican? Republican 26 32 Democrat 61 56 DK/NA 13 12
3/7-11/07* 4/25-29/08*
22. If Hillary Clinton wins the Democratic nomination, would you like to see her pick Barack Obama as her vice presidential running mate, or not? QUESTIONS 22-23 WERE ROTATED. Yes 65 No 30 DK/NA 5
4/25-29/08 DPV*
23. If Barack Obama wins the Democratic nomination, would you like to see him pick Hillary Clinton as his vice presidential running mate, or not? QUESTIONS 22-23 WERE ROTATED. Yes 59 No 37 DK/NA 4
4/25-29/08 DPV*
24. How would you feel if Hillary Clinton wins the Democratic nomination for president — would you feel very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied? QUESTIONS 24 & 25 WERE ROTATED. Very Satisfied 40 37 Somewhat satisfied 29 41 Somewhat dissatisfied 20 11 Very dissatisfied 11 10
2/20-24/08 DPV* 4/25-29/08 DPV*
DK/NA 1 -
25. How would you feel if Barack Obama wins the Democratic nomination for president — would you feel very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied? QUESTIONS 24 & 25 WERE ROTATED. Very Satisfied 46 43 Somewhat satisfied 33 33 Somewhat dissatisfied 11 12 Very dissatisfied 8 11
2/20-24/08 DPV* 4/25-29/08 DPV*
DK/NA 1 2
26. Do you think either Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama have attacked the other unfairly in their campaigns? Yes 60 58 No 35 37 DK/NA 5 5
3/15-18/08 DPV* CBS 4/25-29/08 DPV*
27. Do you think Hillary Clinton has attacked Barack Obama unfairly, do you think Barack Obama has attacked Hillary Clinton unfairly, or have both of them attacked the other unfairly? BASED ON THOSE WHO ANSWERED “YES” TO QUESTION 26. Only Clinton 39 32 Only Obama 2 5 Both 59 63 DK/NA -
3/15-18/08 DPV* CBS 4/25-29/08 DPV*
17
28. Do you think it will be clear who the Democratic nominee is before the party's national convention takes place in August, or do you think the Democratic nominee will not be decided until the convention? Before the convention 22 25 At the convention 67 68 DK/NA 11 6
3/15-18/08 DPV* CBS 4/25-29/08 DPV*
29. Suppose the race for the Democratic nomination continues through the summer. Some people say that this would help the eventual nominee's chances in November because the nominee would have been tested and better prepared for the general election. Other people say that this would hurt the eventual nominee's chances in November because the Democratic candidates will have made critical statements about each other that will weaken the nominee in the general election. What do you think — if the race continues through the summer will that help the Democratic nominee's chances in November, hurt the Democratic nominee's chances in November, or will it have no effect? Help 27 22 Hurt 44 43 No effect 24 28 DK/NA 5 7
3/15-18/08 DPV* CBS 4/25-29/08 DPV*
30. In order to keep the race from going on into the summer, do you think party leaders should step in soon and chose one of the candidates as the nominee, or do you think the race should continue until one of the candidates has enough delegates? BASED ON THOSE WHO
ANSWERED “HURT” TO QUESTION 29.
4/25-29/08 DPV*
Step in now 13
Go until wins 27
DK/NA 2
31. Compared to past presidential campaigns, do you think the Democratic nomination campaign this year has been more positive, more negative, or about the same as past campaigns? More positive More negative About the same DK/NA 3/28-4/2/08 DPV* 34 24 41 1 4/25-29/08 DPV* 32 16 48 4
32. In general, do you think the candidates for the Democratic party's nomination have been mostly talking about things that matter to you, or mostly talking about things that do not matter to you? Matter 64 Don’t matter 30 DK/NA 5
4/25-29/08 DPV*
33. Who do you think has the best chance of beating John McCain in the general election in November — Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama? Clinton 28 28 32 39 37 Obama 59 57 56 44 48 Both equally (vol.) 6 5 6 4 5 Neither (vol.) 1 3 1 4 2 DK/NA 5 7 4 9 7
2/20-24/08 DPV* 3/28-4/2/08* DPV* 4/25-29/08* DPV*
18
34. From what you have seen or heard, do you think the 2008 campaign has focused too much on the candidates’ personal attributes like race and gender, not enough, or about the right amount on the candidates’ race and gender? Too much 63 63 Not enough 4 3 About right 28 31 DK/NA 6 3
4/25-29/08* DPV*
ROTATE QUESTIONS 35-41 AND 42-48 AND 49-55. 35. From what you know, do you think Hillary Clinton has the right temperament to be a good president, or not? Yes 58 70 No 36 27 DK/NA 5 3
4/25-29/08* DPV*
36. How much do you think Hillary Clinton cares about the needs and problems of people like yourself — a lot, some, not much, or not at all? A lot 8/8-12/07* CBS 31 1/9-12/08 DPV* 49 1/30-2/2/08 CBS DPV* 38 2/20-24/08 DPV* 46 3/28-4/2/08* 32 DPV* 50 4/25-29/08* 31 DPV* 48 Some 33 40 46 35 36 37 39 39 Not much 17 6 10 10 14 9 17 8 Not at all 16 4 5 8 16 4 11 3 DK/NA 3 1 1 1 1 2 2
37. Do you think Hillary Clinton shares the values most Americans try to live by, or doesn't she? Yes No DK/NA 7/9-17/07 59 31 9 3/28-4/2/08* 60 34 6 DPV* 80 15 5 4/25-29/08* 58 37 6 DPV* 78 15 6
38. Do you think Hillary Clinton has more honesty and integrity than most people in public life? (If No, ask:) Do you think Hillary Clinton has less honesty and integrity than most people in public life or about the same honesty and integrity as most people in public life? Yes, more 6/12-13/03 CBS 39 2/22-26/06 CBS 38 1/18-21/07 CBS 36 10/12-16/07 DPV* CBS 54 4/25-29/08* 28 DPV* 39 Less 17 20 16 6 28 17 Same 30 28 33 30 37 40 DK/NA 14 14 15 10 6 4
NOTE: PRIOR TO OCTOBER 2007, QUESTION INCLUDED “RODHAM.”
19
39. Would you consider Hillary Clinton very patriotic, somewhat patriotic, or not very patriotic? Very patriotic 40 55 Somewhat 47 38 Not very 11 5 DK/NA 2 1
4/25-29/08* DPV*
40. How much influence do you think special interests have on Hillary Clinton — a lot, some, not much or none at all? A lot 46 38 Some 40 47 Not much 6 8 None at all 2 2 DK/NA 5 4
4/25-29/08* DPV*
41. Do you have confidence in Hillary Clinton’s ability international crisis, or are you uneasy about her approach? Confidence 43 44 39 59 46 59 Uneasy 51 49 56 39 49 37 DK/NA 6 7 5 3 4 4
to
deal
wisely
with
an
7/9-17/07 8/8-12/07* CBS 2/20-24/08* DPV* 4/25-29/08* DPV*
42. From what you know, do you think Barack Obama has the right temperament to be a good president, or not? Yes 64 76 No 26 18 DK/NA 10 6
4/25-29/08* DPV*
43. How much do you think Barack Obama cares about the needs and problems of people like yourself — a lot, some, not much, or not at all? A lot 31 48 49 63 36 57 34 50 Some 38 38 42 28 42 33 38 32 Not much 11 5 5 5 11 5 15 8 Not at all 6 5 3 2 9 4 10 7 DK/NA 14 3 1 3 3 1 3 3
8/8-12/07* CBS 1/9-12/08 DPV* 1/30-2/2/08 CBS DPV* 2/20-24/08 DPV* 3/28-4/2/08* DPV* 4/25-29/08* DPV*
44. Do you think Barack Obama shares the values most Americans try to live by, or doesn't he? Yes No DK/NA 7/9-17/07 64 12 24 3/28-4/2/08* 70 21 10 DPV* 81 10 9 4/25-29/08* 64 26 9 DPV* 78 14 8
20
45. Do you think Barack Obama has more honesty and integrity than most people in public life? (If No, ask:) Do you think Barack Obama has less honesty and integrity than most people in public life or about the same honesty and integrity as most people in public life? Yes, more 41 56 45 57 Less 2 4 14 8 Same 15 18 33 28 DK/NA 42 22 8 7
1/18-21/07 CBS 10/12-16/07 DPV* CBS 4/25-29/08* DPV*
46. Would you consider Barack Obama very patriotic, somewhat patriotic, or not very patriotic? Very patriotic 29 39 Somewhat 46 44 Not very 22 15 DK/NA 3 2
4/25-29/08* DPV*
47. How much influence do you think special interests have on Barack Obama — a lot, some, not much or none at all? A lot 31 31 Some 46 43 Not much 14 16 None at all 3 4 DK/NA 6 5
4/25-29/08* DPV*
48. Do you have confidence in Barack Obama’s ability to deal wisely with an international crisis, or are you uneasy about his approach? Confidence 33 47 62 39 56 Uneasy 49 47 32 55 38 DK/NA 18 6 6 6 6
8/8-12/07* CBS 2/20-24/08* DPV* 4/25-29/08* DPV*
49. From what you know, do you think John McCain has the right temperament to be a good president, or not? Yes 55 83 No 34 11 DK/NA 10 6
4/25-29/08* RPV*
50. How much do you think John McCain cares about the needs and problems of people like yourself — a lot, some, not much, or not at all? A lot 17 40 26 49 Some 46 51 38 40 Not much 18 5 17 9 Not at all 16 3 14 3 DK/NA 3 4 -
3/28-4/2/08* RPV* 4/25-29/08* RPV*
21
51. Do you think John McCain shares the values most Americans try to live by, or doesn't he? Yes No DK/NA 3/28-4/2/08* 66 27 7 RPV* 87 8 5 4/25-29/08* 67 26 7 RPV* 91 7 2
52. Do you think John McCain has more honesty and integrity than most people in public life? (If No, ask:) Do you think John McCain has less honesty and integrity than most people in public life or about the same honesty and integrity as most people in public life? Yes, more 41 47 69 Less 5 12 3 Same 19 31 21 DK/NA 35 10 7
2/22-26/06 CBS 4/25-29/08* RPV*
53. Would you consider John McCain very patriotic, somewhat patriotic, or not very patriotic? Very patriotic 70 89 Somewhat 22 7 Not very 5 3 DK/NA 3 1
4/25-29/08* RPV*
54. How much influence do you think special interests have on John McCain — a lot, some, not much or none at all? A lot 30 24 Some 45 50 Not much 10 14 None at all 6 5 DK/NA 9 7
4/25-29/08* RPV*
55. Do you have confidence in John McCain's ability to deal wisely with an international crisis, or are you uneasy about his approach? Confidence 21 53 56 83 53 87 Uneasy 32 31 39 14 43 12 DK/NA 47 16 5 3 4 1
10/28-30/99 3/7-11/07 RPV* 2/20-24/08* RPV* 4/25-29/08* RPV*
56. Thinking about the current system of presidential primaries and caucuses, do you think this method of nominating presidential candidates has generally — not just this year — produced the best candidates for president, or not? Best candidates 44 36 39 38 Not best 45 57 55 57 DK/NA 10 7 6 5
7/13-17/00* 4/25-29/08* DPV* RPV*
22
57. Thinking about your vote for president, how important is it that a candidate attends religious services regularly — is it very important, somewhat important, not very important, or not at all important? Very 34 Somewhat 30 Not very 18 Not at all 17 DK/NA 1
4/25-29/08*
61. Is your opinion of Bill Clinton favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven't you heard enough about Bill Clinton yet to have an opinion? QUESTIONS 61-63 WERE ROTATED. Fav 3 7 11 24 20 26 24 15 16 20 30 36 36 31 28 36 32 34 38 46 35 34 38 35 44 43 39 40 43 44 47 50 50 48 47 40 43 42 42 42 46 47 49 46 51 44 57 57 44 Not fav 4 5 6 26 31 40 37 40 40 31 24 24 24 29 34 28 29 35 18 19 30 29 43 40 45 39 39 39 35 37 39 34 38 33 32 31 34 36 36 34 33 36 34 37 26 32 28 29 33 Und DK engh 10 81 8 80 14 69 30 19 30 18 28 6 30 8 32 14 33 11 35 13 34 11 31 9 32 7 32 7 32 6 29 6 32 7 25 5 27 15 23 10 25 10 23 13 15 3 15 10 9 1 15 2 19 3 17 2 17 4 17 1 13 1 14 2 11 1 15 3 15 5 24 2 20 2 19 2 18 2 21 2 18 2 14 2 15 1 15 1 16 5 17 6 10 5 12 2 16 4 Ref 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 3 Fav 3/98B 44 4/98 45 4/98 CBS 42 5/98A CBS 44 5/98B CBS 45 6/98 45 7/98 CBS 43 8/11-13/98 50 8/18/98 46 8/19-20/98 48 9/98 CBS 43 9/98C 45 10/98 CBS 39 10/98 CBS 40 10/98A 42 3/92* 24 10/98A 44 11/98 CBS 50 12/98 44 12/19/98 52 12/20/98 51 1/99 CBS 48 1/99 CBS 47 1/99 45 2/99 CBS 44 3/99 CBS 44 4/99 CBS 44 6/99 CBS 46 7/99 CBS 42 8/99 CBS 42 10/99 CBS 42 10/99 CBS 46 11/99 45 12/00 43 5/00 44 7/00B 43 1/15-17/01 CBS 57 2/10-12/01 CBS 58 3/8-12/01 38 7/11-15/04 50 10/28-30/04* 48 3/7-11/07 48 6/26-28/07 CBS 51 7/9-17/07 51 1/30-2/2/08*CBS 46 2/20-24/08 DPV* 70 4/25-29/08* 50 DPV* 71 Not 35 33 33 31 32 37 35 33 37 40 41 38 40 40 42 41 36 37 42 37 41 38 39 42 40 35 41 41 44 43 44 43 40 39 41 40 35 39 51 39 38 38 32 36 39 18 36 19 Und 17 18 19 17 16 13 17 15 14 10 15 11 15 14 13 27 15 10 11 10 7 11 12 11 12 18 13 10 11 12 12 11 13 11 12 13 6 9 9 10 10 11 12 10 12 11 11 8 DK engh Ref 3 1 4 1 5 1 5 1 5 2 4 2 4 1 2 2 1 1 1 3 3 4 2 4 2 2 2 9 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 2 1 2 3 1 1 2 2 2 1 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 4 3 2 1 2 1 1 1 2 2 2 1 3 1 2 1 4 1 3 2 1 1 1 2 1 1 1
5/87 10/91D* 1/92* 2/92A* 2/92B* 4/92* 5/92A* 5/92* CBS 6/92* 7/92* 7/92* CBS 7/92B* 8/92A* 8/92B* CBS 8/92D* 8/92E* 9/92A* 10/92A* 12/92 1/93* 6/93 1/94 11/94 12/94 11/00* 2/95 4/95 8/95 10/95 12/95 2/96* 3/96* CBS 4/96* 6/96* 6/96* NYT 7/96* 8/96* 8/96B* CBS 8/96C* 8/96D* CBS 9/96* 10/96* 10/96C* 11/96* 2/98A CBS 2/98B CBS 2/98C CBS 2/98D 3/98A
23
62. Is your opinion of Michelle Obama favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven't you heard enough about Michelle Obama yet to have an opinion? QUESTIONS 61-63 WERE ROTATED. Not Fav 6 19 10 Haven’t heard enough 48 46 41
2/20-24/08 DPV* 4/25-29/08* 4/25-29/08 DPV*
Favorable 32 22 34
Undecided 13 12 14
Refused 1 1 1
63. Is your opinion of Cindy McCain favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven't you heard enough about Cindy McCain yet to have an opinion? QUESTIONS 61-63 WERE ROTATED. Not Fav 7 1 Haven’t heard enough 61 45
4/25-29/08* 4/25-29/08 RPV*
Favorable 18 39
Undecided 14 14
Refused 1 1
64. Compared to the way the news media have treated other candidates, have the news media been harder on Hillary Clinton, easier on Hillary Clinton, or have they treated her the same as other candidates? QUESTIONS 64-66 WERE ROTATED.
1/9-12/08 DPV* 1/30-2/2/08 CBS DPV* 2/20-24/08 DPV* 4/25-29/08* DPV*
Harder 51 46 48 34 43
Easier 5 7 8 8 7
Same 40 44 43 55 49
DK/NA 4 3 1 3 2
65. Compared to the way the news media have treated other candidates, have the news media been harder on Barack Obama, easier on Barack Obama, or have they treated him the same as other candidates? QUESTIONS 64-66 WERE ROTATED. Harder 12 17 14 22 31 Easier 25 21 33 24 21 Same 60 61 52 51 46 DK/NA 3 1 1 2 2
1/9-12/08 DPV* 1/30-2/2/08 CBS DPV* 2/20-24/08 DPV* 4/25-29/08* DPV*
66. Compared to the way the news media have treated other candidates, have the news media been harder on John McCain, easier on John McCain, or have they treated him the same as other candidates? QUESTIONS 64-66 WERE ROTATED. Harder 8 11 Easier 28 18 Same 59 67 DK/NA 5 4
4/25-29/08* RPV*
67. Regardless of how you intend to vote, would you prefer the next President do about the war in Iraq – would you prefer the next President try to end the Iraq war within the next year or two, no matter what, or continue to fight the Iraq war as long as they felt it was necessary? End war 62 84 28 Continue fighting 34 12 68 DK/NA 4 3 4
4/25-29/08* DPV* RPV*
24
68. Which is more important to you in a presidential nominee — someone who commits to staying in Iraq until the U.S. succeeds, or someone who is flexible about when to withdraw U.S. troops from Iraq? Commits to winning 39 19 6 38 Flexible 58 77 93 55 DK/NA 2 4 1 8
3/7-11/07 RPV* 4/25-29/08* DPV* RPV*
69. If he is elected President, would you rather see John McCain generally continue George W. Bush's policies, change to more conservative policies, or change to less conservative policies? Continue Bush policies 28 Change to more conservative 44 Change to less conservative 19
4/25-29/08 RPV*
DK/NA 9
RELATED TREND — WOULD YOU RATHER SEE THE NEXT REPUBLICAN PRESIDENTIAL NOMINEE GENERALLY CONTINUE GEORGE W. BUSH'S POLICIES, CHANGE TO MORE CONSERVATIVE POLICIES, OR CHANGE TO LESS CONSERVATIVE POLICIES? CONTINUE CHANGE TO CHANGE TO BUSH'S POLICIES MORE CONSERVATIVE LESS CONSERVATIVE 39 39 19
3/7-11/07 RPV*
DK/NA 4
70. What do you think John McCain WILL do if he is elected President, do you think he will generally continue George W. Bush's policies, change to more conservative policies, or change to less conservative policies? Continue Bush policies 48 29 Change to more conservative 19 25 Change to less conservative 25 39
4/25-29/08* RPV*
DK/NA 8 8
71. Regardless of how you usually vote, Do you think the Republican party or the Democratic party comes closer to sharing your moral values? 7/13-27/031 7/11-15/04 12/2-6/05 3/9-12/06 CBS 5/4-8/06 10/5-8/06 3/7-11/07 4/25-29/08
1
Republican 39 44 41 41 37 38 41 34
Democratic 42 45 43 45 50 47 46 50
Both(vol.) 2 2 3 1 1 2 2 1
Neither(vol.) 6 3 5 6 5 6 4 7
DK/NA 10 6 9 7 7 7 7 7
QUESTION DID NOT INCLUDE “REGARDLESS OF HOW YOU USUALLY VOTE” INTRODUCTION.
25
72. Regardless of how you usually vote, do you think the Republican Democratic party is more likely to improve the health care system? 6/91 11/93 1/94 10/98B 1/99 11/99 7/00B* 9/00D* 1/21-24/02 7/13-16/02 10/3-5/02 5/9-12/03 5/4-8/06 2/23-27/07 4/25-29/08 Republican 22 22 20 24 25 28 28 27 28 22 22 29 19 19 19 Democratic 51 47 59 57 59 54 52 53 51 58 62 51 62 62 63 Both(vol.) 7 12 2 3 2 3 7 3 5 4 4 3 2 1 1 Neither(vol.) 4 4 7 3 5 5 4 5 4 4 4 6 6 8 9
party DK/NA 17 14 12 13 9 10 9 12 11 11 9 11 10 9 8
or
the
73. Regardless of how you usually vote, do you think the Republican party or the Democratic party is more likely to make the right decisions when it comes to dealing with immigration issues? Republican 32 31 29 32 38 Democratic 38 43 45 44 42 Both (vol.) 4 4 4 1 2 Neither (vol.) 9 8 5 7 6 DK/NA 17 14 16 15 11
12/2-6/05 4/6-9/06 CBS 5/4-8/06 5/18-23/07 4/25-29/08
74. Regardless of how you usually vote, do you think the Republican party Democratic party is more likely to make sure U.S. military defenses are strong? Republican 9/30-10/4/84* 63 12/14-18/85 NYT 64 5/9-12/88* 53 3/4-6/91 61 6/3-6/91 61 11/4-7/99 57 7/20-23/00 56 1/21-24/02 67 7/13-16/02 64 10/3-5/02 64 10/27-31/02* 66 3/22/03 60 3/23/03 63 3/24/03 58 3/22-24/03 60 5/9-12/03 66 4/6-9/06 CBS 57 5/4-8/06 55 4/25-29/08 60 Democratic 19 15 24 14 19 27 23 18 20 23 18 14 17 17 16 19 24 29 27 Both(vol.) 6 8 8 9 2 4 10 8 7 4 7 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 6 Neither(vol.) 1 2 2 2 7 2 1 1 2 2 1 2 1 3 2 2 DK/NA 12 11 13 14 12 10 10 7 9 9 8 17 12 19 15 7 9 7 6
or
the
26
75. Regardless of how you usually vote, do you think the Republican party or Democratic party is more likely to make the right decisions about the war in Iraq? Republican 7/11-15/04 41 12/2-6/05 35 1/5-8/06 CBS 36 3/9-12/06 CBS 35 4/6-9/06 CBS 33 5/4-8/06 30 7/21-25/06 36 8/11-13/06 CBS 35 9/15-19/06 37 10/5-8/06 34 3/7-11/07 32 5/18-23/07 33 9/4-8/07 32 12/5-9/07 30 4/25-29/08 34 Democratic 45 40 39 41 44 48 42 38 42 45 45 51 42 45 50 Both(vol.) 2 2 2 2 3 1 2 2 2 1 2 1 2 3 Neither(vol.) 4 8 9 8 8 5 7 12 5 6 9 4 9 9 4 DK/NA 9 15 14 14 13 15 14 13 14 13 13 9 16 14 8
the
76. Regardless of how you usually vote, do you think the Republican party or the Democratic party is more likely to ensure a strong economy? Republican 1/14-21/84* 46 9/30-10/4/84*1 52 10/8-10/88*2 51 3/4-6/91* 42 8/3-5/96* 46 8/12-14/96* CBS 43 8/16-18/96* 48 8/26-28/96* CBS 43 9/2-4/96* 39 11/4-7/99 39 7/20/23/00* 43 8/18-20/00* 37 3/22/03 35 3/23/03 37 3/24/03 37 3/22-24/03 36 5/9-12/03 42 11/10-12/03* CBS 35 12/10-13/03 34 12/14-16/03 40 12/2-6/05 37 3/9-12/06 CBS 34 4/6-9/06 CBS 36 7/21-25/06 36 8/11-13/06 CBS 36 9/15-19/06 35 10/5-8/06 36 12/5-9/07 31 4/25-29/08 28
1 2
Democratic 39 28 31 27 38 36 38 41 43 43 39 45 41 40 39 40 41 47 43 38 45 48 46 48 49 50 51 49 56
Both(vol.) 2 2 2 5 3 1 2 1 1 2 6 4 2 2 2 2 1 3 2 2 2 1 2 1 1 3 1 2 2
Neither(vol.) 2 4 3 8 3 5 3 5 5 4 3 4 5 5 3 4 6 5 6 4 6 4 5 4 5 3 3 6 5
DK/NA 11 14 13 18 10 15 8 10 13 12 9 10 18 16 20 18 10 10 15 16 11 13 11 10 9 9 8 12 9
QUESTION READ: REGARDLESS OF HOW YOU INTEND TO VOTE, DO... QUESTION READ: REGARDLESS OF WHICH PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE YOU INTEND TO VOTE FOR NEXT MONTH, DO...
27
77. Would you describe the Republican party today as united or divided?
ROTATED.
QUESTIONS 77-78 WERE
3/7-11/07 RPV* 4/25-29/08 RPV*
United 38 47 60
Divided 59 46 35
DK/NA 3 7 5
78.
Would you describe the Democratic party today as united or divided? United 31 42 Divided 64 56 DK/NA 5 2
QUESTIONS 77-78 WERE
ROTATED.
4/25-29/08 DPV*
28
79. Looking back, do you think the United States did the right thing in taking military action against Iraq, or should the U.S. have stayed out?
12/10-13/03 12/14-16/03 2/12-15/04 CBS 2/24-27/04 CBS 3/10-14/04 4/23-27/04 5/20-23/04 CBS 6/23-27/04 7/11-15/04 8/15-18/04 CBS 9/12-16/04 10/1-3/04 10/9-11/04 CBS 10/14-17/04 10/28-30/04 11/18-21/04 1/14-18/05 2/24-28/05 4/13-16/05 CBS 5/20-24/05 CBS 6/10-15/05 7/13-14/05 CBS 7/29-8/2/05 CBS 8/29-31/05 CBS 9/9-13/05 10/3-5/05 CBS 10/30-11/1/05 CBS 12/2-6/05 1/5-8/06 CBS 1/20-25/06 2/22-26/06 CBS 3/8-12/06 CBS 4/6-9/06 CBS 4/28-30/06 CBS 5/4-8/06 7/21-25/06 8/11-13/06 CBS 8/17-21/06 9/15-19/06 10/5-8/06 10/27-31/06 11/12-13/06 CBS 12/8-10/06 CBS 1/1-3/07 CBS 1/18-21/07 CBS 2/23-27/07 3/7-11/07 4/9-12/07 CBS 5/18-23/07 7/20-22/07 8/8-12/07 CBS 9/4-8/07 9/14-16/07 CBS 10/12-16/07 CBS 12/5-9/07 1/9-12/08 2/20-24/08 3/15-18/CBS 3/28-4/2/08 4/25-29/08 Right thing 64 63 58 54 58 47 49 48 45 49 54 49 49 49 53 46 45 46 47 47 45 48 48 45 44 41 42 48 47 47 41 41 43 44 39 47 41 43 44 40 44 40 39 38 39 38 39 44 35 42 43 41 39 45 41 36 38 36 34 37 Stay out 28 31 37 39 37 46 46 46 51 44 39 46 46 46 42 48 49 50 48 49 51 47 46 49 50 55 50 48 49 50 54 54 53 51 56 48 53 53 51 55 51 56 55 58 56 55 56 51 61 51 51 54 53 51 54 58 58 59 62 57 DK/NA 8 6 5 7 6 7 5 6 4 7 7 5 5 5 4 5 6 4 5 4 5 5 6 6 6 4 8 4 4 4 5 5 4 5 5 5 6 4 4 4 5 4 6 4 5 7 5 5 4 7 6 5 8 4 5 6 5 5 4 5
29
80. How would you say things are going for the U.S. in its order to Iraq? Would you say things are going very well, or very badly? Very Somewhat Somewhat well well badly 5/27-28/03 CBS 11 61 19 7/8-9/03 CBS 6 54 25 8/11-12/03 CBS 6 47 28 8/26-28/03 CBS 5 46 31 9/15-16/03 CBS 5 44 29 10/20-21/03 CBS 5 49 31 11/10-12/03 CBS 5 42 28 12/10-13/03 6 41 33 12/14-15/03 9 55 21 12/21-22/03 CBS 8 57 24 4/8/04 CBS 4 35 33 4/23-27/04 4 34 31 5/20-23/04 CBS 3 34 38 6/23-27/04 2 38 31 7/11-15/04 4 39 28 8/15-18/04 5 41 32 9/12-16/04 4 42 26 10/14-17/04 5 38 27 10/28-30/04 7 39 26 11/18-21/04 5 40 26 1/14-18/05 5 36 28 2/24-28/05 10 43 29 4/13-16/05 CBS 7 41 32 5/20-24/05 CBS 5 36 31 6/10-15/05 7 33 34 7/13-14/05 CBS 5 39 31 7/29-8/2/05 CBS 7 41 29 8/29-31/05 CBS 5 35 29 10/3-5/05 CBS 4 39 27 10/30-11/1/05 CBS 4 36 31 12/2-6/05 6 40 28 1/5-8/06 CBS 8 41 28 1/20-25/06 8 37 30 2/22-26/06 CBS 5 31 32 3/9-12/06 CBS 4 36 28 4/6-9/06 CBS 5 36 27 4/28-30/06 CBS 5 36 29 5/4-8/06 5 34 33 7/21-25/06 4 37 30 8/11-13/06 CBS 5 37 31 8/17-21/06 5 32 33 9/15-19/06 4 34 28 10/5-8/06 3 28 30 10/27-31/06 2 28 32 12/8-10/06 CBS 2 23 32 1/1-3/07 CBS 3 25 33 1/18-21/07 CBS 1 22 34 2/8-11/07 CBS 1 24 32 2/24-27/07 3 20 31 3/7-11/07 4 25 30 4/9-12/07 CBS 2 29 30 5/18-23/07 2 21 29 6/26-28/07 CBS 1 21 30 7/9-17/07 2 23 29 7/20-22/07 3 29 31 8/8-12/07 CBS 3 26 29 9/4-8/07 4 29 32 9/14-16/07 CBS 3 31 29 10/12-16/07 CBS 2 32 30 12/5-9/07 6 31 31 1/9-12/08 4 34 29 1/30-2/2/08 CBS 7 31 27 2/20-24/08 6 37 30 4/25-29/08 5 35 31
efforts to bring stability and somewhat well, somewhat badly, Very badly 5 11 13 16 18 12 22 18 10 9 26 29 22 26 28 19 25 27 26 27 29 18 18 26 26 23 21 28 28 26 24 21 24 30 29 31 26 27 27 25 29 33 36 35 39 38 41 40 43 39 36 47 47 45 35 38 32 34 33 28 30 32 24 26 DK/NA 4 4 6 2 4 3 3 3 5 2 2 2 3 3 1 3 3 3 2 2 2 1 2 2 1 2 2 3 2 3 2 2 1 2 3 1 4 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 4 1 2 3 3 2 3 2 1 1 2 4 2 3 3 4 3 3 3 3
30
90. Think about your household income, would say that it is more than enough so that you can save and buy some extras, just enough to meet your bills and obligations, or it is not enough to meet your bills and obligations?
Can save and buy extras 27 24 33 35 34 36 38 37 41 35 CBS 33 38 27 Just enough to pay bills and obligations 55 57 48 52 51 46 44 49 48 51 46 46 48 Not enough to pay bills etc. 16 19 17 12 15 17 17 13 11 13 21 13 23 DK/NA 2 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 1
3/31-4/2/96 5/31-6/3/96 1/14-18/05 7/21-25/06 9/15-19/06 10/5-8/06 10/27-31/06 2/24-27/07 4/20-24/07 12/5-9/07 1/30-2/2/08 2/20-24/08 4/25-29/08
91. Do you or does any other member of your household own a handgun, rifle, shotgun, or any other kind of firearm? Yes 41 No 58 DK/NA 2
4/25-29/08
94. Do you personally have a close friend or relative who has served or is currently serving in the armed forces in Iraq? Yes 55 No 45 DK/NA -
4/25-29/08
Did you vote in the 2004 presidential election, did something prevent you from voting, or did you choose not to vote? IF VOTED, ASK: Did you vote for John Kerry, George W. Bush, or Ralph Nader? Voted, won’t Kerry Bush Nader say whom(vol.) Didn't vote DK/NA 4/25-29/08 29 37 2 2 27 2
Would you say you attend religious services every week, almost every week, once or twice a month, a few times a year, or never? Every week 25 Almost every week 9 Once/twice a month 18 Few times a year 25 Never 21 DK/NA 1
4/25-29/08
Some people think of themselves as evangelical or born again Christians. think of yourself in either of these ways? Yes 28 No 71 DK/NA 1
Do you ever
4/25-29/08
What is your religious preference today? Protestant 52 Catholic 24 Jewish 2 Other 7 None 14 DK/NA 2
4/25-29/08
31
Are you now married, widowed, divorced, separated, or have you never been married? Never married 24
4/25-29/08
Married 57
Widowed 5
Divorced 11
Separated 3
DK/NA 1
32
Generally speaking, do you usually consider yourself a Republican, a Democrat, an Independent, or what? Rep 29 28 32 30 30 30 30 33 29 26 28 27 28 28 29 29 28 28 28 30 28 26 29 29 31 26 29 30 28 30 32 27 28 31 31 30 30 30 28 31 32 27 29 30 31 27 26 31 32 30 29 28 28 28 28 29 29 27 26 31 28 28 28 26 26 27 24 Dem 35 32 37 33 38 38 33 33 34 38 33 32 35 34 35 36 37 38 39 36 36 37 34 34 37 36 38 30 33 34 32 35 36 34 32 33 30 35 33 35 35 33 35 35 36 39 37 34 41 34 36 40 37 38 39 32 36 34 35 32 31 32 35 37 35 35 37 Ind 31 35 27 32 27 27 31 29 32 28 33 33 29 33 31 31 31 29 28 28 30 30 29 32 27 32 29 34 32 29 30 31 34 29 29 32 34 29 30 27 26 33 31 31 28 29 32 29 24 28 29 25 27 28 24 33 26 30 31 30 33 30 30 29 31 32 32 DK/NA 5 5 4 5 5 5 6 5 5 8 5 8 8 5 5 5 4 5 5 6 6 7 8 5 5 6 4 6 7 7 6 6 3 6 7 5 6 6 9 7 6 7 5 4 5 5 5 6 3 8 6 7 7 7 9 6 8 8 7 8 8 10 7 8 7 6 7 Rep 27 27 25 30 28 28 31 29 31 31 28 29 27 31 31 27 32 30 28 33 28 29 27 31 29 29 28 29 31 27 31 27 28 28 31 29 29 29 33 29 30 30 29 31 29 28 26 28 29 25 31 30 30 30 28 25 27 24 29 28 24 31 26 28 27 26 27 Dem 39 37 37 34 37 37 34 33 36 33 37 35 36 34 35 36 37 32 34 37 34 35 38 34 32 32 34 32 30 32 35 33 31 32 30 35 35 37 31 34 34 35 36 34 36 34 36 32 34 37 33 35 32 35 35 35 35 34 37 34 32 32 35 40 38 41 37 Ind 28 30 33 28 30 28 27 29 26 27 27 30 29 28 29 30 23 30 31 23 33 26 28 28 31 33 31 30 32 34 30 35 35 33 32 29 29 30 29 28 29 30 30 28 29 31 28 33 33 34 30 27 32 30 31 33 33 36 32 34 36 33 31 27 29 27 31 DK/NA 6 6 5 7 5 6 7 9 7 9 8 7 9 7 5 7 8 8 7 8 5 10 7 7 8 6 6 9 6 7 4 6 6 8 7 7 7 4 7 10 7 6 5 8 6 6 9 7 4 4 5 8 5 6 7 6 6 6 3 4 9 5 8 5 6 6 5
1/92A 1/92B 2/92A 2/92B 3/92 4/92 5/92A 6/92 7/92 7/92B 8/92A 8/92D 8/92E 9/92A 10/92A 10/92C 10/92D 10/92E 12/92 1/93 2/93 3/93 5/93A 6/93A 6/93B 9/93 11/93 1/94 2/94 3/94 4/94 7/94 9/94 11/94 12/94 2/95 4/95 8/95 9/95 10/95 12/95 12/95 1/96 2/96 4/96 6/96 6/96 NYT 7/96 8/96 8/96C 9/96 10/96 10/96C 11/96 12/96 1/97 4/97 1/98 1/98B 2/98 4/98 6/98 7/98 8/98 9/98B 9/98C 10/98A
10/98B 12/98 1/99 4/99 11/99 2/00 5/00 7/00 7/00B 9/00A 9/00D 10/00 11/00 11/00L 3/8-12/01 6/14-18/01 10/25-28/01 12/7-10/01 1/21-24/02 4/28-5/1/02 7/13-16/02 9/2-5/02 10/3-5/02 10/27-31/02 11/20-24/02 1/19-22/03 2/10-12/03 3/7-9/03 4/11-13/03 7/13-27/03 9/28-10/1/03 12/10-13/03 12/14-15/03 1/12-15/04 3/10-14/04 4/23-27/04 6/23-27/04 7/11-15/04 9/12-16/04 10/1-3/04 10/14-17/04 10/28-30/04 11/18-21/04 1/14-18/05 2/24-28/05 6/10-15/05 9/9-13/05 12/2-6/05 1/20-25/06 5/4-8/06 7/21-25/06 8/17-21/06 9/15-19/06 10/5-8/06 10/27-31/06 2/24-27/07 3/7-11/07 4/20-24/07 5/18-23/07 7/9-17/07 7/20-22/07 9/4-8/07 12/5-9/07 1/9-12/08 2/20-24/08 3/28-4/2/08 4/25-29/08
33
How would you describe your views on most political matters? Generally, do you think of yourself as liberal, moderate, or conservative?
1/92A 1/92B 2/92A 2/92B 3/92 4/92 5/92A 6/92 7/92 7/92B 8/92A 8/92D 9/92A 10/92C 10/92D 10/92E 2/92 1/93 2/93 3/93 5/93A 6/93A 6/93B 9/93 11/93 1/94 2/94 3/94 4/94 9/94 11/94 12/94 2/95 4/95 8/95 9/95 12/95 12/95 10/95 12/95 12/95 1/96 2/96 4/96 6/96 6/96 7/96 8/96 8/96C 9/96 10/96 10/96C 11/96 12/96 1/97 4/97 12/97 1/98 2/98 4/98 6/98 7/98 8/98
Lib 19 21 19 20 20 18 21 23 20 21 20 22 19 22 21 21 20 18 23 22 21 19 19 19 21 17 18 21 19 20 20 18 19 19 19 20 32 27 16 17 15 20 17 18 19 16 20 17 18 16 16 18 15 17 17 19 21 19 21 18 20 20 21
Mod 41 43 39 43 47 44 40 39 42 41 45 44 46 39 39 40 41 45 41 39 41 43 44 43 41 44 41 38 42 42 41 40 39 42 40 39 35 33 44 46 46 42 45 47 46 48 42 47 43 44 47 45 48 40 46 42 42 40 42 42 39 42 43
Con 34 30 36 31 30 33 34 32 32 30 30 27 31 34 33 33 34 32 31 34 33 32 31 34 33 34 34 35 33 35 35 36 37 34 35 33 26 33 34 33 34 35 34 31 29 32 34 30 33 34 31 32 32 35 33 34 33 33 33 35 34 33 31
DK/NA 6 5 6 6 4 4 4 6 6 8 6 7 4 5 6 6 5 6 5 5 5 6 6 4 5 6 7 5 6 4 4 6 4 5 5 8 6 7 5 4 5 4 4 4 6 4 3 6 6 6 7 6 6 8 4 5 5 7 4 5 7 5 5
9/98 9/98C 10/98B 12/98 1/99 4/99 11/99 2/00 5/00 7/00 7/00B 9/00A 9/00D 12/7-10/01 1/21-24/02 4/28-5/1/02 7/13-16/02 9/2-5/02 10/3-5/02 10/27-31/02 11/20-24/02 1/19-22/03 2/10-12/03 3/7-9/03 4/11-13/03 7/13-27/03 9/28-10/1/03 12/10-13/03 12/14-15/03 1/12-15/04 3/10-14/04 4/23-27/04 6/23-27/04 7/11-15/04 9/12-16/04 10/1-3/04 10/14-17/04 10/28-30/04 11/18-21/04 1/14-18/05 2/24-28/05 6/10-15/05 9/9-13/05 12/2-6/05 1/20-25/06 5/4-8/06 7/21-25/06 8/17-21/06 9/15-19/06 10/5-8/06 10/27-31/06 2/24-27/07 3/7-11/07 4/20-24/07 5/18-23/07
7/9-17/07 7/20-22/07 9/4-8/07 12/5-9/07
Lib 21 21 20 20 20 19 22 21 21 22 22 20 20 23 22 22 21 20 18 20 20 19 21 18 19 22 19 20 19 20 21 22 21 22 20 24 19 17 22 20 23 20 18 18 21 25 21 24 17 23 20 20 20 21 20
19 15 22 22
Mod 41 41 41 41 45 46 43 44 41 38 43 42 42 39 44 38 44 39 45 38 44 45 41 45 45 40 42 45 39 43 40 42 42 41 40 36 42 42 41 41 38 43 43 45 45 37 39 38 43 39 45 42 40 42 43
44 48 42 43
Con 34 31 33 34 30 29 31 31 34 33 30 32 32 33 29 35 32 36 34 37 30 32 35 35 33 34 34 31 37 31 34 30 32 34 36 35 33 35 33 33 35 33 34 32 30 34 36 33 35 34 30 33 36 33 32
33 31 32 31
DK/NA 5 6 5 5 4 6 5 4 4 7 5 6 5 4 5 6 4 5 3 5 6 3 3 3 3 5 5 4 5 5 5 6 5 3 4 6 6 5 4 6 5 4 5 5 4 4 4 5 4 3 5 6 4 5 5
4 5 4 4
1/9-12/08 2/20-24/08 3/28-4/2/08 4/25-29/08
25 23 21 22
39 41 39 41
32 29 34 33
4 6 5 4
34
How old are you? 18-29 22 30-44 29 45-64 33 Over 64 16
4/25-29/08
What was the last grade in school you completed? Not a H.S. grad 8 Some college 30 College grad 18
4/25-29/08
H.S. grad 34
Post Grad 10
Refused -
Are you of Hispanic origin or descent, or not? 4/25-29/08 Hispanic 9 Not Hispanic 91 DK/NA -
Are you white, black, Asian or some other race? 4/25-29/08 White 81 Black 11 Asian 1 Other 6 Refused -
Was your total family income in 2005 UNDER or OVER $50,000? IF UNDER, ASK: Was it under $15,000, between $15,000 and $30,000, or between $30,000 and $50,000? IF OVER, ASK: Was it between $50,000 and $75,000 or between $75,000 and $100,000 or was it over $100,000? Under $15,000 8 $15,000$29,999 18 $30,000$49,999 21 $50,000$74,999 21 $75,000$100,000 12 Over $100,000 15
4/25-29/08
Refused 6
4/25-29/08
Male 48
Female 52
35