Afghanistan Opium Survey 2009 Summary Findings

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							                              Government of Afghanistan
                              Ministry of Counter Narcotics




Afghanistan Opium Survey 2009
               Summary Findings




                                                    September 2009
ABBREVIATIONS
ANP             Afghan National Police
CNPA            Counter Narcotics Police of Afghanistan
GLE             Governor-led eradication
ICMP            Illicit Crop Monitoring Programme (UNODC)
ISAF            International Security Assistance Force
MCN             Ministry of Counter-Narcotics
PEF             Poppy Eradication Force
UNODC           United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
The following organizations and individuals contributed to the implementation of the 2009
Afghanistan Opium Survey and to the preparation of this report:

Ministry of Counter-Narcotics:
Dr. Mohammad Zafar (Deputy Minister), Mohammad Ibrahim Azhar (Deputy Minister)
Dr. Mohammad Nabi Hussaini (Director General), Policy &Coordination,
Mir Abdullah (Deputy Director of Survey and Monitoring Directorate)
Survey Coordinators: Eshaq Masumi (Central Region), Abdul Mateen (Eastern Region), Abdul Latif
Ehsan (Western Region), Fida Mohammad (Northern Region), Mohammed Ishaq Anderabi (North-
Eastern Region), Hashmatullah Asek (Southern Region)
Mohammad Khyber Wardak (Data entry supervisor), Mohammad Ajmal (Data entry), Sahar (Data
entry), Mohammad Hakim Hayat (Data entry).
Remote sensing analysts: Ahmad Jawid Ghiasee and Sayed Sadat Mehdi
Eradication reporters: Ramin Sobhi and Zia Ulhaq.

United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime (Kabul)
Jean-Luc Lemahieu (Country Representative), Elisabeth Bayer (Deputy Representative), Devashish
Dhar (International Project Coordinator), Ziauddin Zaki (National Project Coordinator), Abdul
Mannan Ahmadzai (Survey Officer), Noor Mohammad Sadiq (Database Developer)

Survey Coordinators: Abdul Basir Basiret (Eastern Region), Abdul Jalil (Northern Region), Abdul
Qadir Palwal (Southern Region), Fawad Alahi (Western Region), Mohammad Rafi (North-eastern
Region), Rahimullah Omar (Central Region), Sayed Ahmad (Southern Region), Abdul Rahim Marikh
(Eastern Region), Fardin Osmani (Northern Region)

Provincial Coordinators: Fazal Mohammad Fazli (Southern Region), Mohammad Alam Ghalib
(Eastern Region), Altaf Hussain Joya (Western Region), Mohammed Alem Yaqubi (North-eastern
Region), Lutfurhaman Lutfi (Northern Region)

United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime (Vienna)
Sandeep Chawla (Chief, Policy Analysis and Research Branch), Angela Me (Chief, Statistics and
Surveys Section-SASS), Shirish Ravan (Programme Officer), Martin Raithelhuber (Programme
Officer), Patrick Seramy (Database management), Javier Teran (Statistician), Coen Bussink (GIS
Expert) (all SASS/ICMP), Kristina Kuttnig (Public Information Assistant, Studies and Threat Analysis
Section), Andrea Mancini (Project Coordinator, Technical Cooperation Section 2)

The implementation of the survey would not have been possible without the dedicated work of the
field surveyors, who often faced difficult security conditions.
The UNODC Illicit Crop Monitoring activities in Afghanistan were made possible by financial
contributions from the Governments of Germany, Norway, the United Kingdom and the United States
of America.
Afghanistan Opium Survey 2009


       Summary Findings




          September 2009
            COMMENTARY BY THE EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR

The bottom is starting to fall out of the Afghan opium market. For the second year in a
row, cultivation, production, work-force, prices, revenues, exports and its GDP share are
all down, while the number of poppy-free provinces and drug seizures continue to rise.

Yet, Afghan drugs still have catastrophic consequences. They fund criminals, insurgents,
and terrorists in Afghanistan and abroad. Collusion with corrupt government officials
keeps undermining public trust, security, and the law. The taint of money-laundering is
harming the reputation of banks in the Gulf, and farther afield.

The vulnerable are most at risk: drug use in Afghanistan is a growing problem,
particularly among refugees. Drug addiction and HIV are spreading death and misery
along opiate trafficking routes, particularly in Central Asia and Russia. Around the world,
but especially in Europe, once again tens of thousands will die this year from heroin
overdoses.

It is therefore essential to use this time of political change in Afghanistan to analyze the
forces that are shrinking the opium market, and those needed to push further this process
which is vulnerable to relapse.

The opium market plummets

In 2009, opium cultivation in Afghanistan decreased by 22%, from 157,000 hectares (ha)
in 2008 to 123,000 ha today. In Helmand alone, cultivation declined by a third, to less
than 70,000 ha. Indeed, the major drop in Helmand corresponds to the entire national
decline this year: -34,000 ha. The dramatic turn-around in Helmand can be attributed to
an effective mix of sticks and carrots: governor leadership; a more aggressive counter-
narcotics offensive; terms of trade more favourable to legal crops; and the (related)
successful introduction of food zones to promote licit farming.

Around the country, the number of poppy-free provinces has increased from 18 to 20.
Opium cultivation in four other provinces (Kabul at 132 ha, Kunar at 164 ha, Laghman at
135 ha and Nangarhar at 294 ha) is marginal. In three others (Badakhshan, Hirat and
Nimroz) poppy-free status is within reach in the next farming season. At that point, more
than two-thirds of the country would be poppy-free. Today, about a third is.

Production has dropped less dramatically because farmers have extracted more opium per
bulb. Whereas in the Golden Triangle, poppies yield about 10 kg of opium per hectare,
this year Afghan poppies (grown in the most fertile and best irrigated part of the country)
yielded a record 56 kg/ha – a 15% increase over last year’s already high figure of 49 kg.
As a result, while cultivation decreased by 22%, in 2009 opium production was down by
10% to 6,900 tons. Still, to put this in perspective, the expected 800 ton decline is
equivalent to roughly twice the amount currently supplied by the Golden Triangle, with a
retail value of around $8 billion in consuming nations.
Over-supply at the source and lower market penetration (in Europe) are pushing opium
prices down. Wholesale (farm gate) prices in Afghanistan have fallen by a third in the
past year: from $70/kg to $48/kg for fresh opium; from $95/kg to $64/kg for the dry
variety. In Afghanistan, opium values (in nominal terms) have not been this low since the
late 1990s, when the Taliban were in power, and the opium harvest was half the size of
today.

This year opium farmers saw their (gross) earnings per hectare shrink by one quarter, to
$3,562/ha down from $4,662/ha in 2008. Falling prices and lower cultivation this year
caused a 40% collapse in the total farm-gate value of opium production in Afghanistan,
for a total of $438 million. This is equivalent to 4% of the country’s (licit) GDP, down
from 12% in 2007, and an unprecedented 27% in 2002. The fact that 800,000 fewer
people are involved in opium production, compared to 2008, is another indication that the
drug industry is becoming less attractive.

Afghan and NATO forces are compounding the pressure caused by market forces. After
some reticence, the link between drugs and insurgency is now under attack, literally. In
the first half of 2009, military operations destroyed over 90 tons of precursor chemicals,
450t of seeds, 50t of opium, 7t of morphine, 1.5t of heroin, 19t of cannabis resin and 27
labs. While this has knocked out only a fraction of the Afghan drug economy, it has
increased the risks of drug trafficking, and created a deterrent for the future. Indeed, our
Survey shows that farmers are increasingly wary of retaliation, trading has become more
discreet, and stocks are now buried underground. The impunity enjoyed thus far by the
Afghan drug economy is under threat. The risks/rewards balance is starting to tilt against
drugs.

The birth of Afghan narco-cartels

Despite the progress, opium remains a major source of income in one of the world’s
poorest and most unstable countries. Farmers may grow it to stave off poverty.
Criminals, insurgents and corrupt officials surely engage in its trade in the common
pursuit of greed and power.

There is growing evidence – from tougher counter-narcotics and improved intelligence –
that some anti-government elements in Afghanistan are turning into narco-cartels. It has
happened elsewhere in the world. In Colombia, for example, drug trafficking (by FARC
and ELN) started as a means to a political end – a way of funding an ideologically
motivated guerrilla movement. Yet, the world over, drug money eventually trumps
ideology, and becomes as addictive as the dope itself. Afghanistan is approaching this
point. After years of collusion with criminal gangs and corrupt officials, some insurgents
are now opportunistically moving up the value chain: not just taxing supply, but getting
involved in producing, processing, stocking and exporting drugs. The impact this has on
the stability of Afghanistan, and the ways and means to oppose it, require attention.
Avoiding a relapse

Progress in Afghanistan should not be measured only by the rising number of opium free
provinces or by the declining size of poppy fields. Counter-narcotics must be a growing
part of national efforts to improve living standards and governance and, therefore, should
be a higher priority in international assistance programmes.

Eradicate poverty, not just poppies. The world over, development is the most powerful
means to contain the twin threats of drugs and insurgency. In Afghanistan, many farmers
grow opium because they depend on loans provided by traders as a down payment for the
subsequent drug harvest. Historically this has trapped farmers in debt bondage. Micro-
credits can free farmers from their drug masters. Infrastructures, storage facilities and
access to markets can help them market their (licit) crops. This has happened, but in an
inadequate and fragmented way. In post-election Afghanistan, the rural development
push must be as robust as the current military offensive – to feed and employ farmers, not
just to search and destroy their drugs. There is no need to bribe farmers to stay away
from drugs: market forces are already doing this. The new terms of trade caused by an
over-supply of drugs and an under-supply of food are already convincing farmers that it
pays not to grow poppies – especially if/once the climate of impunity starts fading. Two
corollaries follow. (i) Just as the military are preparing for a surge, an assistance leap in
the countryside is needed. Aid has been generous, but is choked by high costs of
intermediation. (ii) Just as the military are reducing their operational caveats,
development assistance needs fewer restrictions. The combination of individual foreign-
sponsored projects around each PRT (understandably, to protect the fighting boys), does
not amount to a coherent assistance program for Afghanistan. In short, what is needed to
consolidate recent gains, and to push the process forward are more assistance, greater
coherence, and fewer bottlenecks at delivery.

Target rich criminals, not poor farmers. In the past the focus was on eradication, rather
than interdiction. It didn’t work. Over the past two years, only 10,000 hectares of opium
were eradicated: less than 4% of the amount planted, with an enormous human and
economic cost. Interdiction, not a priority, suffered. As a result, although 90% of the
world’s opium comes from Afghanistan, less than 2% is seized there (more than 20% of
global cocaine supply is seized by its main producer, Colombia). Afghan and NATO
forces have started to disrupt the drug trade by dismantling high value assets. More is
needed, for example going after the handful of drug kingpins who control the bulk of the
trade. Security Council Resolution 1735 of December 2007 called for them to be listed,
their travels banned, their assets seized. So far no names have been submitted to the
Council. Major traffickers should be reported to the Security Council and brought to
justice – not executed in violation of international law or pardoned for political
expediency.

Missing stocks a threat. Annual world demand for illicit opium has never exceeded 5,000
tons. Yet, over the past few years, including in 2009, Afghan supply has well-exceeded
this amount. Illicit drug stockpiles may have now reached 10,000 tons – enough to
satisfy two years of world (heroin) addiction, or three years of medical (morphine)
prescription. At a time of declining prices, commercial traders would not hold on to
devaluing assets. So the opium stocks are probably in the hands of people who are not
motivated solely by commercial interests. After all, opium ages well; it is a means of
payment easily transported, with a world-wide market. Intelligence agencies should
defuse the ticking-bomb of opium stock-piles, before these become the source of
potential sinister scenarios.

A truly regional approach. In southern Afghanistan, for years insurgents and drug
traffickers alike have taken advantage of the strategic depth in Pakistan to regroup and
strike again, moving opium, equipment, arms and foot soldiers back and forth, in reaction
to law enforcement pressure. At present, under combined NATO/Afghan pressure the
business is being pushed south and east. Yet, although a quarter of all Afghan narcotics is
smuggled through Pakistan, there are no seizures in Pakistan’s Federally Administered
Tribal (border) Areas. The recent Af/Pak focus is welcome, yet too narrow. Yearly, as
much as half of Afghanistan’s opium is exported through Iran, threatening border
security and spreading addiction. This is why UNODC has brokered a Trilateral Platform
among Afghanistan, Iran and Pakistan to share counter-narcotics intelligence and run
joint operations. It is working, with results operationally small but symbolically big. The
northern axis is also crucial. Drugs moving north (along the Silk Road) through Central
Asia into Russia and China are spreading addiction, HIV and insurgency. Expectations
are high regarding the impact the UNODC-brokered Central Asia Intelligence Centre
(CARICC) will have.

An historical error

Controlling drugs in Afghanistan will not solve all of the country’s problems, but the
country’s problems can not be solved without controlling drugs. A second consecutive
year of much lower opium cultivation and production is welcome news. The major
decrease in Helmand demonstrates that progress is possible, even under the toughest
conditions.

Does this biennium represent a market correction, or a downward trend? It is too early to
tell, but progress very much depends on improved security. Like never before, the fates
of counter-narcotics and counter-insurgency are inextricably linked.

So much has been invested to contain the drug economy in Afghanistan, that it would be
an historical error to allow this undeniable progress to be undermined not in the opium
fields of poor farmers, but in the killing fields of suicide bombers.




                                 Antonio Maria Costa
                                  Executive Director
                       United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime
                                 Fact Sheet Afghanistan Opium Survey 2009
                                                                       Change on
                                                          2008                                        2009
                                                                           2008
Net opium cultivation (after eradication)              157,000 ha         -22%                     123,000 ha
                                 1
          in % of agricultural land                         2.1%                                     1.6%
          in % of cultivation in major opium
                                                             82%                                      NA
cultivating countries
Number of poppy free provinces2                               18              +2 provinces             20
Number of provinces affected by opium
                                                              16              -2 provinces             14
cultivation
Eradication                                                5,480 ha               -2%                5,351
Weighted average opium yield                              48.8 kg/ha             +15%              56.1 kg/ha
Potential production of opium                             7,700 mt               -10%               6,900 mt
         in % of production in major opium
                                                             94%                                      NA
producing countries
No. of household involved in opium cultivation3            366,500                                  245,200

No. of persons involved in opium cultivation3            2.4 million                               1.6 million

         in % of total population3                          9.8%                                     6.4%
Average farm-gate price (weighted by production)
                                                         US$ 70/kg               -31%              US$ 48/kg
of fresh opium at harvest time4
Average farm-gate price (weighted by production)
                                                         US$ 95/kg               -34%              US$ 64/kg
of dry opium at harvest time4
Current GDP5                                           US$ 10.2 billion           +5%           US$ 10.7 billion
Total farm gate value of opium production              US$ 730 million           -40%           US$ 438 million
         in % of GDP                                         7%                                       4%
Potential export value of opium, morphine and
                                                       US$ 3.4 billion                                NA
heroin (border areas of neighbouring countries)
Average yearly gross income from opium of
                                                         US$ 1,997               -10%              US$ 1,786
opium growing households
Current GDP per capita5                                   US$ 415                 +3%               US$ 426
Gross income from opium per ha                           US$ 4,662               -24%              US$ 3,562
Gross income from wheat per ha                           US$ 1,625               -32%              US$ 1,101


   1
     The area available for agriculture was updated from 76,235 km2 in 2008 to 77,217 km2 in 2009.
   2
     Poppy free provinces are those which are estimated to have less than 100 ha of opium cultivation.
   3
     Due to a change in methodology and new information available on village population size, the figures
   from 2008 and 2009 are not directly comparable. Estimates are based on a population of 25.5 million and
   an average household size of 6.5 persons for 2009 (Afghan year 1387) and a population of 24.5 million for
   2008 (Afghan year 1386). Source: Government of Afghanistan, Central Statistical Office.
   4
     In 2008, the fresh and dry opium prices at harvest time were based on farmers responses collected through
   the Annual Opium Survey, which was conducted slightly before the opium harvest. In 2009, prices at
   harvest time were derived from the opium price monitoring system and refer to the month when opium
   harvest actually took place in the different regions of the country.
   5
     Source: Government of Afghanistan, Central Statistical Office.
SUMMARY FINDINGS
The total opium poppy cultivation estimated for Afghanistan in 2009 was 123,000
hectares (ha), a 22% reduction compared to the level in 2008. Ninety nine per cent of the
total cultivation took place in seven provinces in the Southern and Western regions 6 ,
including the most insecure provinces in the country. This further substantiates the link
between insecurity and opium cultivation observed since 2007.
Total opium production in 2009 was estimated at 6,900 metric tons (mt), a 10% decrease
from 2008. Virtually all the production (99%) took place in the same provinces where
cultivation is concentrated. The other provinces produced only 1% of the country’s total
opium in 2009.
The seven main opium cultivating and producing provinces were Hilmand, Kandahar,
Uruzgan, Day Kundi, Zabul, Farah and Badghis. The province of Nimroz is not on this
list because its main opium cultivating area, located in Khash Rod district, was
administratively re-defined as part of Farah province. The Northern region was poppy
free for the first time in a decade.
Among the 34 provinces in the country, 20 were poppy free in 2009, compared to 18 in
2008. With the exception of Nangarhar, all provinces that were poppy free in 2008
remained so in 2009. The new poppy free provinces are Kapisa, Baghlan and Faryab.
The total estimated farm-gate income of opium growing farmers amounted to US$ 438
million. This is a significant decrease from 2008, when farm-gate income for opium was
estimated at US$ 730 million.
Figure 1: Opium cultivation in Afghanistan (ha), 1994-2009
               200,000


               175,000


               150,000


               125,000
    Hectares




               100,000


                75,000


                50,000


                25,000


                       0
                              1994       1
                                        1 95    1996     1997     1998     1999     2000     2001    2002     2003     2004     2005      2006      2007      2008      2009

               Cultivatio n   71,000   54,000   57,000   58,000   64,000   91,000   82,000   8,000   74,000   80,000    31
                                                                                                                       1 ,000   104,000   165,000   193,000   157,000   123,000




6
    Regions as designated by UNODC for analytical purposes. Please refer to Table 1 for a full list.


                                                                                        1
Table 1: Opium cultivation (2005-2009) and eradication (2008-2009) in Afghanistan

                                                                                                       Change
                       Cultivation   Cultivation   Cultivation   Cultivation Cultivation Change 2008-           Eradication Eradication in
    PROVINCE                                                                                          2008-2009
                        2005 (ha)     2006 (ha)     2007 (ha)     2008 (ha) 2009 (ha)     2009 (ha)             in 2008 (ha)  2009 (ha)
                                                                                                         (%)
Kabul                  Poppy free        80           500           310          132        -178       -57%         20           1.35
Khost                  Poppy free       133        Poppy free    Poppy free   Poppy free    NA          NA           0            0
Logar                  Poppy free    Poppy free    Poppy free    Poppy free   Poppy free    NA          NA           0            0
Paktya                 Poppy free Poppy free       Poppy free    Poppy free   Poppy free    NA          NA           0            0
Panjshir               Poppy free  Poppy free      Poppy free    Poppy free   Poppy free    NA          NA           0            0
Parwan                 Poppy free       124        Poppy free    Poppy free   Poppy free    NA          NA           0            0
Wardak                    106        Poppy free    Poppy free    Poppy free   Poppy free    NA          NA           0            0
Ghazni                 Poppy free    Poppy free    Poppy free    Poppy free   Poppy free    NA          NA           0            0
Paktika                Poppy free    Poppy free    Poppy free    Poppy free   Poppy free     NA         NA           0            0
Central Region            106           337           500           310          132        -178       -57%         20           1.35
Kapisa                    115           282           835           436       Poppy free     NA         NA          59            31
Kunar                    1,059          932           446           290          164        -126       -43%         103           11
Laghman                   274           710           561           425          135        -290       -68%         26            0
Nangarhar                1,093         4,872         18,739      Poppy free      294        NA          NA          26           226
Nuristan                 1,554          1,516      Poppy free    Poppy free   Poppy free     NA         NA           3            0
Eastern Region           4,095          8,312       20,581         1,151         593        -558       -48%         217         269.05
Badakhshan               7,370         13,056        3,642          200          557         357       179%         774          420
Takhar                   1,364         2,178         1,211       Poppy free   Poppy free    NA          NA           0            0
Kunduz                    275            102       Poppy free    Poppy free   Poppy free    NA          NA           0            0
North-eastern Region     9,009         15,336        4,853          200          557        357        179%         774         420.36
Baghlan                  2,563          2,742         671           475       Poppy free    NA          NA          85            0
Balkh                    10,837        7,232       Poppy free    Poppy free   Poppy free    NA          NA           0            0
Bamyan                    126            17        Poppy free    Poppy free   Poppy free    NA          NA           0            0
Faryab                   2,665         3,040         2,866          291       Poppy free    NA          NA           0           261
Jawzjan                  1,748         2,024         1,085       Poppy free   Poppy free    NA          NA           0            0
Samangan                 3,874         1,960       Poppy free    Poppy free   Poppy free    NA          NA           0            0
Sari Pul                 3,227          2,252         260        Poppy free   Poppy free     NA         NA           0            0
Northern Region          25,040        19,267        4,882          766       Poppy free     NA         NA          85          261.24
Hilmand                  26,500        69,324       102,770       103,590       69,833     -33,757     -33%        2,537         4119
Kandahar                 12,989        12,619        16,615        14,623      19,811      5,188        35%        1,222          69
Uruzgan                  2,024         9,703         9,204         9,939        9,224       -715        -7%         113           74
Zabul                    2,053         3,210         1,611         2,335        1,144      -1,191      -51%          0            0
Day Kundi                2,581         7,044         3,346         2,273        3,002        729        32%          0           27
Southern Region          46,147       101,900       133,546       132,760      103,014     -29,746     -22%        3,872       4289.06
Badghis                  2,967         3,205         4,219          587         5,411       4,824      822%          0            0
Farah                    10,240        7,694         14,865        15,010      12,405*     -2,605*     (-17%)        9            43
Ghor                     2,689         4,679         1,503       Poppy free   Poppy free    NA          NA          38            0
Hirat                    1,924         2,287         1,525          266          556        290        109%         352           67
Nimroz                   1,690          1,955        6,507         6,203         428*      -5,775*     (-93%)       113           0
Western Region           19,510        19,820        28,619        22,066       18,800      -3,266      -15%        511         109.86
Total (rounded)         104,000       165,000       193,000       157,000      123,000     -34,000     -22%        5,480        5,351

* Due to administrative boundary changes, the 2009 estimates for Farah and Nimroz were calculated
considering parts of Khash Rod district, the main opium cultivating district in Nimroz, as being in Farah
province. The 2008 figures include all of Khash Rod district in Nimroz province.
A province is defined as poppy free when it is estimated to have less then 100 ha of opium cultivation.




                                                                     2
Opium cultivation decreases by 22% in 2009

The area under opium cultivation in Afghanistan decreased by 22% in 2009, from
157,000 ha in 2008 to 123,000 ha, 99% of which was concentrated in the Southern and
Western regions. Opium poppy cultivation decreased in all regions except the North-
eastern region, where in any case very little cultivation remained.
The regional divide of opium cultivation between the south and rest of the country
continued to deepen in 2009. Most of the opium cultivation is confined to the south and
west, which are dominated by insurgency and organized criminal networks. This mirrors
the sharper polarization of the security situation between the lawless south and relatively
stable north of the country.
The major differences between opium cultivation patterns in 2009 compared to 2008
were a drastic decrease in cultivation in Hilmand province, which contributed the bulk of
the overall decrease; a significant increase in opium cultivation in Badghis and Kandahar
provinces; and mixed signals from the Eastern region, where Kapisa became poppy free
for the first time. Nangarhar, however, could not retain the poppy free status it had
achieved in 2008, but the level of opium cultivation remained low.

Number of poppy free provinces increases to 20 in 2009

The number of poppy free provinces7 increased to 20 in 2009, compared to 18 in 2008
and 13 in 2007. Kapisa (Eastern region), Baghlan and Faryab (both Northern region)
provinces became poppy free for the first time.
Table 2: Provinces with poppy free status in 2009 (<100 ha poppy cultivation)
         Region                                             Province
   Central region           Ghazni, Khost, Logar, Paktika, Paktya, Panjshir, Parwan, Wardak, Kapisa*
   Northern region          Balkh, Bamyan, Jawzjan, Samangan, Sari Pul, Faryab*, Baghlan*
   North-Eastern region     Kunduz, Takhar
   Eastern region           Nuristan
   Western region           Ghor
* Provinces which were not poppy free in 2008 but became poppy free in 2009.


Almost all provinces free of poppy in 2008 remained poppy free in 2009, with exception
of Nangarhar. Campaigns against poppy cultivation and effective law enforcement by the
Government contributed to maintaining the provinces’ poppy free status. Efforts were
made in the remaining poppy cultivating provinces in the Eastern (Kunar, Laghman,
Nangarhar), Central (Kabul) and Northern regions (Badakhshan) to considerably reduce
cultivation, but despite the low levels remaining in 2009, they did not drop under the 100
ha poppy free threshold.




7
    A province is defined as poppy free when it is estimated to have less then 100 ha of opium cultivation.


                                                        3
    Opium cultivation in Afghanistan, 2007-2009
                                                                               65°E                                                                                  70°E                                                                  75°E

                                                                                                                UZBEKISTAN                                                                                       TAJIKISTAN




                                                                                                                                                                                         557
                                         TURKMENISTAN
                                                                                                                                                                               Badakhshan
                                                                                       Jawzjan                                                  Kunduz
                                                                                                                       Balkh                                 Takhar


                                                                                                                           Samangan
                                                                           Faryab          Sari Pul                                             Baghlan
                                                                                                                                                             Panjshir
                                                                                                                                                                               Nuristan




                                                                  5,411
                                                                                                                                                                                               164
                                                        Badghis                                                        Bamyan




      35°N
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          35°N




                                                                                                                                                                         135
                                                                                                                                                Parwan     Kapisa     Kunar
                                                                                                                                                     Kabul    Laghman




                                                                                                                                                               132




                                   556
                                                                                                                                                                                                            Cultivation Year
                                                                                                                                           Wardak                                  294
                                                                            Ghor                                                                                         Nangarhar
                           Hirat                                                                                                                     Logar                                                       2007




4
                                                                                                               3,002
                                                                                         Day Kundi                                                        Paktya
                                                                                                                                                                                                                 2008
                                                                                                                                                               Khost
                                                                                                                                       Ghazni                                                                    2009




                                                                                                       9,224
                                                                                         Uruzgan                                                                                                                 Provincial boundary




                                               12,405
                                                                                                                               1,144
                                     Farah                                                                                                      Paktika                                                          International boundary
                                                                                                                  Zabul

                                                                                                                                                                      PAKISTAN




                                                                                              19,811




                                         428
             IRAN                                                                     Kandahar
                              Nimroz




                                                                  69,833
                                                                                                                                                                     0         50 100                200




      30°N
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          30°N




                                                          Hilmand
                                                                                                                                                                                                       km
                                                                                                                                                                     Geographic projection: WGS 84

                                                                               65°E                                                                                  70°E                                                                  75°E

    Source: Government of Afghanistan - National monitoring system implemented by UNODC
    Note: The boundaries and names shown and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations.
    Opium Cultivation in Afghanistan, 2009 (at province level)
                                                                            65°E                                                                            70°E                                                  75°E

                                                                                                     UZBEKISTAN
                                                                                                                                                                                             TAJIKISTAN


                                                                                                                                                                        Fayzabad
                                TURKMENISTAN
                                                                                                                                                                   Badakhshan
                                                                                       Jawzjan                 Mazari Sharif
                                                                                                                                 Kunduz
                                                                                                                                                 Takhar
                                                                                                           Balkh

                                                                    Faryab
                                                                                                                Samangan               Baghlan
                                                                                         Sari Pul

                                                                                                                                           Panjshir Nuristan
                                                   Badghis
                                                                                                                                    Parwan Kapisa




      35°N
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    35°N




                                                                                                             Bamyan                             Laghman Kunar
                                                                                                                                                                     Jalalabad
                                   Hirat                                                                                                      Kabul                                       Legend
                                                                                                                               Wardak
                            Hirat                                                                                                                             Nangarhar
                                                                                                                                          Logar                                           Opium cultivation (ha)
                                                                  Ghor




5
                                                                                          Day Kundi                                                                                            Poppy free
                                                                                                                                            Paktya
                                                                                                                        Ghazni                    Khost                                        Less than 1000

                                           Farah                                         Uruzgan                                                                                               1000 - 10000 ha
                                  Farah                                                                                           Paktika                                                      10000 - 20000 ha
                                                                                                        Zabul
                                                                                                                                                                                               More than 20000 ha

                                                                                         Kandahar                                                                                              Provincial boundary
                                                                                                                                                               PAKISTAN                        International boundary
                                                        Hilmand                    Kandahar
             IRAN                Nimroz




      30°N
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    30°N




                                                                                                                                                        0     50 100               200
                                                                                                                                                                                     km
                                                                                                                                                        Geographic projection: WGS 84

                                                                            65°E                                                                            70°E                                                  75°E

    Source: Government of Afghanistan - National monitoring system implemented by UNODC
    Note: The boundaries and names shown and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations.
All provinces of the Northern region are poppy free for the first time in almost a
decade

The Northern region consists of Baghlan, Balkh, Bamyan, Faryab, Jawzjan, Samangan
and Sari Pul provinces. In 2009, for the first time in almost a decade, all the provinces in
this region were poppy free. Most of these provinces sustained moderate levels of opium
cultivation in the past except Balkh. This province emerged as a major opium cultivating
province in 2005 and 2006 (10,837 ha and 7,232 ha respectively), whereas the rest of the
provinces contributed in the range of 2,000 to 3,000 ha each. The decline in opium
cultivation in the Northern region started with strict law enforcement and counter-
narcotic initiatives. In 2008, poppy cultivation in these provinces was already negligible
and Balkh has remained poppy free since 2007.
Figure 2: Opium poppy cultivation in Badakhshan province (ha), 2004-2009
                        18,000

                        16,000

                        14,000

                        12,000
          Hectares




                        10,000

                         8,000

                         6,000

                         4,000

                         2,000

                             0
                                  2004     2005    2006     2007    2008   2009
                     Badakhshan   15,607   7,370   13,056   3,642   200    557


In the North-eastern region, Kunduz has been poppy free since 2007 and Takhar since
2008. In 2009, Badakhshan remained the only opium cultivating province in this region.
However, despite a large proportional increase of 179%, poppy cultivation remained
comparatively low at 557 ha, all of which happened in rain-fed areas. The increase
happened in spite of 420 ha being eradicated.

Nangarhar maintains low level of cultivation

Nangarhar province became poppy free for the first time in 2008. In 2009, however, 294
ha of opium poppy were detected, despite 226 ha being eradicated. Nangarhar,
traditionally a large opium growing province, was the only province that lost its poppy
free status in 2009.




                                                    6
Figure 3: Opium cultivation in Nangarhar province (ha), 2004-2009

                   30,000


                   25,000
        Hectares




                   20,000


                   15,000


                   10,000


                    5,000


                        0
                            2004     2005    2006       2007          2008       2009
             Nangarhar      28,213   1,093   4,872     18,739       Poppy free    294



In the last six years, the level of opium cultivation in Nangarhar has been erratic. In 2004,
cultivation was at 28,213 ha, the following year it dropped drastically to 1,093 ha and
was confined to remote parts of the province. In 2006, it increased to 4,872 ha and in
2007 again increased to 18,739, before becoming poppy free in 2008.
In 2009, Laghman and Kunar provinces of the Eastern region were virtually poppy free
with negligible amounts of cultivation (135 ha and 164 ha respectively).

Badghis emerges as major opium cultivating province

Opium cultivation level in Badghis province has been rising steadily since 2004. In 2008,
cultivation was expected to be high, but the total failure of rain-fed crops contributed to
the drop in opium cultivation. In 2009, good rainfall resulted in extensive cultivation in
rain-fed areas of this province, enabling farmers to grow more poppy. This contributed to
a strong increase in opium cultivation from only 587 ha in 2008 to 5,411 ha in 2009, most
of which was in areas that are difficult to access. With the exception of the drought year
2008, Badghis has experienced a continuous increase in the area under opium cultivation
since 2004. In 2009, it emerged as one of the major opium cultivating provinces.




                                              7
Figure 4: Opium cultivation in Badghis province (ha), 2004-2009
                         6,000



                         5,000


                         4,000
             Hectares




                         3,000


                         2,000



                         1,000


                             0
                                  2004   2005    2006    2007     2008   2009

                        Badghis   614    2,967   3,205   4,219    587    5,411



Opium cultivation in Hilmand decreases by 33%

In 2009, opium cultivation in Hilmand went down by 33,757 ha (33%) compared to
2008. Despite this considerable reduction, Hilmand remained the largest opium
cultivating province with 69,833 ha (57% of total cultivation in Afghanistan). The overall
22% reduction in opium cultivation in Afghanistan in 2009 was mainly due to reductions
in Hilmand.
Independent figures from a study done by Cranfield University (UK) showed that opium
cultivation in the so-called “food zone” in Hilmand decreased by 37%, and was mainly
replaced by cereal crops. Outside the food zone, however, poppy cultivation increased by
8%. The food zone programme comprised anti-poppy awareness raising campaigns, the
distribution of wheat seed and fertilizer to farmers, and law enforcement activities
including eradication. It covered the districts of Lashkar Gah, Nad Ali, Gereshk, Garm
Seir, Sangin Qala and Musa Qala in Hilmand. The programme was implemented by
Hilmand’s Governor with financial and technical support from the UK and USA.




                                                   8
Hilmand food zone, 2009
                  63° E                                     64° E                                                           65° E




               33° N
                                                                                                         Baghran




                                                                                                                                          33° N
                                                                                                   ala
                                                                                            Musa Q
                                                                                                                  Kajaki
                                                                          Nowzad




                                                         Washer                                               Sangin Qala

                                                                                               j
                                                                                            ara
                                                                                e   r-i-S
                                                                             Nah

                                          Nad Ali

                                                                                Lashkargah
               31° N




                                                                                                                                          31° N
                                                                             Nawa-i-Barukzai




                                                  Garm Ser




                                                                                                          Legend
                                                                                                                    Food Zone
                                                     Reg-i-Khan Nishin
                                                                                                                    Agricultural Area
               30° N




                                                                                                                                          30° N
                                                                                                                    River
                          Dishu
                                                                                                                    District boundary
                                                                                                                    Provincial boundary

                                                                                      Afghanistan




                                  0      25         50                100
                                                                                                           d
                                                                                                         Hilman




                                                                        km
                                      Geographic projection: WGS 84

                  63° E                                     64° E                                                           65° E



The boundaries and names shown and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement
or acceptance by the United Nations.



99% of opium cultivation is concentrated in the Southern and Western regions

In 2009, 84% of opium cultivation was concentrated in the Southern region. Kandahar
was the only province in this region that showed a significant increase in opium
cultivation, from 14,623 ha in 2008 to 19,811 ha in 2009 (35%). In 2009, Kandahar was
the second largest opium cultivating province after Hilmand, which, in spite of a strong
decrease over 2008, still had over three times more area under opium cultivation than
Kandahar.




                                                                      9
Figure 5: Opium cultivation in Hilmand and Kandahar provinces (ha), 2004-2009

                     120,000


                     100,000


                            80,000
          Hectares




                            60,000


                            40,000


                            20,000


                                0
                                      2004     2005     2006      2007      2008       2009

                     Hilmand          29,353   26,500   69,324   102,770   103,590    69,833
                     Kandahar         4,959    12,989   12,619   16,615    14,623     19,811


In 2009, Nimroz province in the Western region ceased to be a major opium cultivating
province as parts of its main opium cultivating district, Khash Rod, were shifted into the
neighbouring Farah province. Khash Rod district had contributed over 95% of opium
cultivation in Nimroz province in the past. Despite this shift, opium cultivation in Farah
decreased from 15,010 ha in 2008 to 12,405 ha in 2009. In absolute terms, both provinces
have shown a significant reduction in opium cultivation.
Security has been a major problem in the Southern and Western regions. Because the lack
of security compromises the rule of law from the legitimate Government, counter-
narcotic interventions are limited and these regions consistently show very high opium
cultivation levels.
Figure 6: Opium cultivation in Farah and Nimroz provinces (ha), 2004-2009

                            16,000

                            14,000

                            12,000

                            10,000
                 Hectares




                             8,000

                             6,000

                             4,000

                             2,000

                                 0
                                      2004     2005     2006     2007      2008      2009

                             Farah    2,288    10,240   7,694    14,865    15,010    12,405
                             Nimroz    115     1,690    1,955    6,507     6,203      428




                                                         10
Table 3: Regional distribution of opium cultivation, 2008-2009

                                                                          Change        2009 (ha) as
             Region                  2008 (ha)      2009 (ha)
                                                                         2008-2009       % of total
             Southern                 132,760           103,014            -22%            84%
             Western                   22,066           18,800             -15%            15%
             Eastern                   1,151             593               -48%            0.5%
             North-eastern              200              557               179%            0.5%
             Central                    310              132               -82%            0.1%
             Northern                   766         Poppy free              NA              NA
             Rounded Total            157,000           123,000            -22%            100%



Table 4: Main opium cultivating provinces in Afghanistan (ha), 2009
                                                                                          Change
             Province                       2007             2008            2009
                                                                                         2008-2009
             Hilmand                       102,770           103,590         69,833         -33%
             Kandahar                         16,615           14,623        19,811         35%
             Farah*                           14,865           15,010        12,405        (-17%)
             Uruzgan                            9,204            9,939        9,224         -7%
             Badghis                            4,219             587         5,411        822%
             Day Kundi                          3,346            2,273        3,002         32%
             Nimroz*                            6,507            6,203            428      (-93%)
             Rest of the country              43,020             7,888        2,982         -62%
             Total                          193,000      157,000      123,000        -22%
    * Due to administrative boundary changes, the 2009 estimates for Farah and Nimroz were calculated
    considering parts of Khash Rod district, the main opium cultivating district in Nimroz, as part of Farah
    province. The 2008 figures include all of Khash Rod district in Nimroz province.




                                                        11
Figure 7: Airborne collection of ground reference information over Hilmand, 2009




                   False colour satellite image of the same area acquired on 11 April 2009
                   showing poppy and wheat fields in different shades of red.




                                              12
Potential opium production in Afghanistan declines to 6,900 mt in 2009

The average yield (weighted by production) for Afghanistan in 2009 was 56.1 kg/ha,
compared to 48.8 kg/ha in 2008. Overall, weather conditions were favorable for
agricultural crops in 2009 and there were no reports of damages caused by unfavorable
weather, diseases or pests. As a consequence, potential opium production decreased by
only 10% to 6,900 mt, despite opium cultivation dropping by 22%.
In the last two years, unusually high opium yields have been estimated for Afghanistan.
This is the result of many different factors, among which are good climatic conditions,
low levels of plant diseases and pests, and the shift of the opium cultivation to the fertile
southern lowlands where irrigation and improved farming techniques are more
widespread than in other parts of the country. Opium yield is estimated using a
correlation between poppy capsule sizes (volumes) and numbers on the one hand and the
harvested opium gum on the other. This correlation was established in scientific harvest
trials in Thailand, Pakistan and Afghanistan in the 1990s and early 2000s. However, the
capsule sizes and numbers observed in recent years in Afghanistan, mainly in the
Southern region, are much higher than those observed during these trials and exceed the
range of values for which the correlation was established. It is uncertain how opium yield
and capsule size and numbers correlate when these numbers are as high as those observed
in Afghanistan during the last two years. Further research into opium yield is therefore
necessary. The findings of this research may well lead to a revision of opium yield
estimates in Afghanistan.
Table 5: Average opium yield by region in Afghanistan, 2008-2009

                                                 2008 Average yield       2009 Average yield
                    Region                                                                       Change
                                                      (kg/ha)                  (kg/ha)
 Central (Parwan, Paktya, Wardak, Khost,
                                                         36.2                     NA*             NA
 Kabul, Logar, Ghazni, Paktika, Panjshir)
 Eastern (Nangarhar, Kunar, Laghman,
                                                         39.3                     36.2            -8%
 Nuristan, Kapisa)
 North-east (Badakhshan, Takhar, Kunduz)                 31.4                     34.3            9%

 Northern (Bamyan, Jawzjan, Sari Pul,
                                                         54.6                     NA*             NA
 Baghlan, Faryab, Balkh, Samangan)
 Southern (Hilmand, Uruzgan, Kandahar,
                                                         52.1                     58.5            12%
 Zabul, Day Kundi)
 Western (Ghor, Hirat, Farah, Nimroz,
                                                         29.7                     43.9            48%
 Badghis)

         Weighted national average                       48.8                     56.1            15%


* For the Central region, no regional yield figure was calculated due to a low number of yield
measurements in this region. The Northern region was poppy free.




                                                    13
      Opium production in Afghanistan by province (mt), 2009
                                                                            65°E                                                                            70°E                                                      75°E



                                                                                                      UZBEKISTAN
                                                                                                                                                                                           TAJIKISTAN
                            TURKMENISTAN

                                                                                                                                                                      Fayzabad

                                                                                                                                                                          19
                                                                                        Jawzjan                 Mazari Sharif       Kunduz
                                                                                                                                                      Takhar        Badakhshan
                                                                                                            Balkh

                                                                                                                                         Baghlan
                                                                                                                   Samangan

                                                                          Faryab         Sari Pul                                                                                              Legend
                                                    Badghis
                                                                                                                                                Panjshir Nuristan
                                                                                                                                         ParwanKapisa                              Kunar        1,000 Opium production




       35°N
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             35°N




                                                                                                                                                      Laghman                                         (metric ton)
                                                         238                                                Bamyan                                                             6
                                                                                                                                              Kabul
                                                                                                                                                      Kabul    5    Jalalabad
                                     Hirat
                                                                                                                                Wardak           N/A                 11                              Main city
                                          Hirat                                           Day Kundi                                                            Nangarhar
                                 24                                Ghor                                                                      Logar                                                   Provincial boundary
                                                                                                                                                 Paktya                                              International boundary




14
                                                                                              176                                                         Khost
                                                                                                                       Ghazni
                                                                                                 Uruzgan
                                                                                            540
                                     545 Farah                                                             Zabul                    Paktika
                             Farah
                                                                 Hilmand
                                                                                                              67
                                                                                          Kandahar

                                                                                        Kandahar
                                      Nimroz               4,085
              IRAN                                                                    1,159
                                                                                                                                          PAKISTAN
                                     19




       30°N
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             30°N




                                                                                                                                                      0     50 100                 200
                                                                                                                                                                                     km
                                                                                                                                                      Geographic projection: WGS 84


                                                                            65°E                                                                            70°E                                                      75°E

     Source: Government of Afghanistan - National monitoring system implemented by UNODC
     Note: The boundaries and names shown and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations.
     Regional opium cultivation and production in Afghanistan, 2009
     60°E                                                                           65°E                                                                          70°E                                                             75°E




                                                                                                                  UZBEKISTAN
                                                                                                                                                                                                TAJIKISTAN




                                                                                                                                                                 557
                                                                                                                                                                               19
                                            TURKMENISTAN


                                                                                                                                                                       North-eastern




                                                                                                                  0
                                                                                                                                 0
                                                                                                                           Northern

                                                                                                                                                                                           21
      35°N                                                                                                                                                                                                                         35°N




                                                                                                                                                                         593
                                                                                                                                                                                                        North Eastern
                                                                                                                                                                                                    Legend
                                                                                                                                                                       Eastern                                             INDIA
                                                                                                                                      Central                                                            Cultivation (ha)




                                                        825
                                                                Western




15
                                                                                                                                            132




                                             18,800
                                                                                                                                                                                                                   20581




                                                                                                     6,026
                                                                                                                                                                                                        Production (mt)

                                                                                                                                                                                                         Eastern

                                                                                                             Southern
                                                                                                                                                                       PAKISTAN




                                                                                           103,014
                                                                                                                                                                                                             Provincial boundary

                                                                                                                                                                                                             International boundary

             IRAN

                                                                                                                                                             0   50 100             200
                                                                                                                                                                                      Km
      30°N                                                                                                                                               Geographic projection, Datum WGS 84                                       30°N




     60°E                                                                           65°E                                                                          70°E                                                             75°E
     Source: Government of Afghanistan - National monitoring system implemented by UNODC
     Note: The boundaries and names shown and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations.
Figure 8: Potential opium production in Afghanistan (mt), 1994-2009

                8,000


                7,000


                6,000
 Metric tons




                5,000


                4,000


                3,000


                2,000


                1,000


                    0
                        1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

           Production 3,416 2,335 2,248 2,804 2,693 4,565 3,278 185 3,400 3,600 4,200 4,100 6,100 8,200 7,700 6,900



About 87% of total opium production took place in the Southern region (6,026 mt) and
12% took place in the Western region (825 mt) in 2009.
Table 6: Potential opium production by region (mt), 2008-2009

                                                                                       Change         Change
                                     Production 2008          Production 2009
                 PROVINCE                                                             2008-2009      2008-2009
                                          (mt)                     (mt)
                                                                                         (mt)           (%)
               Central Region*                        11            NA*                      NA          NA
    Eastern Region                              45                        21           -24       -53%
    North-eastern Region                         6                        19            13      204%
    Northern Region                             42                         0           -42      -100%
    Southern Region                         6,917                      6,026          -890       -13%
    Western Region                            655                        825           170       26%
    Total (rounded)                  7,700                    6,900               -800          -10%
* For the Central region, no specific regional production figure was calculated due to a low number of yield
measurements in this region.
Opium production in Hilmand (4,085 mt) dropped by 24% compared to 2008 but was
still close to Afghanistan’s total production in 2005 (4,100 mt). The highest increase in
production was estimated in Badghis province with 238 mt (14 times more than in 2008).
Opium production in Kandahar (1,159 mt) almost doubled due to the increase in opium
cultivation. The province remained the second largest producer of opium in Afghanistan



                                                            16
in 2009. Other provinces that contributed significantly to production were Farah (545
mt), Uruzgan (540 mt) and Day Kundi (176 mt) and Zabul (67 mt).
Table 7: Potential opium production in main opium producing provinces (mt), 2008-2009

                                                                             Change        Change
                               Production 2008          Production 2009
          PROVINCE                                                          2008-2009     2008-2009
                                    (mt)                     (mt)
                                                                              (mt)           (%)
        Hilmand                               5,397                4,085       -1,312       -24%
        Kandahar                                762                1,159          397       52%
        Farah                                   446                  545           99       22%
        Uruzgan                                 518                  540           22        4%
        Badghis                                  17                  238          220      1263%
        Day Kundi                               118                  176           57       48%
        Zabul                                   122                   67          -55       -45%


Eradication remains at low level of 2008
A total of 5,351 ha of eradicated poppy fields were verified by MCN/UNODC including
Governor-led eradication (GLE) (2,687 ha) and eradication executed by the Poppy
Eradication Force (PEF) (2,663 ha). GLE was carried out in 12 provinces whereas PEF
conducted eradication only in Hilmand and Badakhshan provinces. The final figures of
eradication in Hilmand and Badakhshan provinces were adjusted after verification using
satellite images since cases of over-reporting were observed in the preliminary reports
received from these provinces.
Table 8: Eradication and cultivation in Afghanistan (ha) 2005-2009
  Year                                2005             2006        2007          2008          2009
  GLE (ha)                            4,000           13,050      15,898         4,306         2,687
  PEF (ha)                             210             2,250       3,149         1,174         2,663
  Total (ha)                          4,210           15,300      19,510         5,480         5,351
  Opium cultivation (ha)*           104,000           165,000     193,000       157,000       123,000
  Eradication as % of opium
                                       4%               9%         10%            3%            4%
  cultivation
* Net opium cultivation after eradication
Points of note regarding eradication carried out in 2009 were:
    o Total eradication was around 4% of the total opium cultivation.
    o Eradication was insignificant in major opium growing provinces like Kandahar,
      Farah and Uruzgan.
    o Timely eradication could have made Kunar, Laghman, Kabul, Badakhshan,
      Nangarhar, Hirat and Nimroz province poppy free considering the low level of
      cultivation in these provinces.
    o Eradication took place in 12 provinces in 2009 compared to 17 in 2008. Unlike
      last year, eradication did not take place in Ghor, Baghlan, Jawzjan and Nuristan
      because of negligible opium cultivation in these provinces. However, eradication



                                                       17
       did not take place in Laghman, Nimroz and Zabul due to lack of planning and will
       to eradicate.
   o The security situation continued to be unfavorable for eradication campaigns in
     2009, since most of the opium cultivation was confined to the Southern and
     Western provinces, which are affected by insurgency and organized crime groups.
   o In 2009, there were 21 deaths related to eradication compared to 78 deaths in
     2008. GLE and PEF teams were attacked 34 times during eradication in
     Badakhshan, Faryab, Hilmand, Kandahar, Kunar, Hirat, Nangarhar, Uruzgan and
     Zabul provinces.
   o Most of the security related incidents were reported in Hilmand province. In 2008,
     most incidents took place in Nangarhar and Nimroz provinces.
   o In 2009, resistance by farmers to eradication was far less than in 2008.
Table 9: Security incidents during GLE and PEF eradication, 2008-2009

                                             2008            2009           % change
                 Persons injured             >100              52          -48% or more
                 Fatalities                    78              21              -73%

                              As reported by eradication verification surveyors.

Table 10: Governor-led eradication by province (ha), 2009
                                                            No. of         No. of villages
                                       Eradication        eradicated            with
                     Province
                                       verified (ha)         fields         eradication
                                                           reported          reported
             Badakhshan                     401              1598               158
             Day Kundi                       27               113                  24
             Farah                           43                75                  8
             Faryab                         261               236                  10
             Hilmand                       1,475             2,275                 54
             Hirat                           67               247                  31
             Kabul                            1                9                   3
             Kandahar                        69               154                  28
             Kapisa                          31               224                  25
             Kunar                           11               152                  12
             Nangarhar                      226               808                  33
             Uruzgan                         74               371                  26
             Total                         2,687             6,262                 412




                                                     18
     Afghanistan: Verified GLE and PEF eradication in 2009 (by province)
                                                                                      65°E                                                                                      70°E                                                 75°E

                                                                                                                    UZBEKISTAN
                                                                                                                                                                                                         TAJIKISTAN


                                            TURKMENISTAN                                             Jawzjan                                                               Takhar
                                                                                                                                                                                          Badakhshan
                                                                                                                          Balkh                           Kunduz



                                                                                                           Sari Pul                    Samangan
                                                                                 Faryab                                                                     Baghlan

                                                                                                                                                                          Panjshir        Nuristan
                                                                                                                                                                          Kapisa
                                                             Badghis                                                            Bamyan                  Parwan




       35°N
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     35°N




                                                                                                                                                                                     Laghman Kunar
                                                                                                                                                                       Kabul                           Legend
                                                                                                                                                  Wardak
                                                                                     Ghor                                                                                              Nangarhar
                                                                                                                                                                  Logar                                Eradication (ha)
                                   Hirat




19
                                                                                                         Day Kundi                                                                                          No eradication   INDIA
                                                                                                                                          Ghazni                  Paktya
                                                                                                                                                                               Khost                        Negligible
                                                                                                                                                                                                            11 - 100
                                                                                                      Uruzgan
                                                 Farah                                                                                                    Paktika                                           101 - 500
                                                                                                                             Zabul                                                                          501 - 4119

                                                                                                                                                                                PAKISTAN                    Province boundary
                                                                                                                                                                                                            International boundary


               IRAN                                                                           Kandahar
                                                                 Hilmand
                                  Nimroz
                                                                                                                                                   0           75         150                300
                                                                                                                                                                                               km




       30°N
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     30°N




                                                                                                                                                       Geographic Projection Datum: WGS 84



                                                                                      65°E                                                                                      70°E                                                 75°E

     Source: G overnment o f Afghan istan - Na tion al mo nito ring syste m implemen ted by UNO DC
     Note: The bo undar ies an d n ames shown and th e d esignations used on this ma p do not imply official endo rse me nt or acce pta nce b y th e United Nations.
     Afghanistan: Verified GLE and PEF eradication in 2009 (by district)
       60°E                                                                                                       65°E                                                                                                                70°E                                                                                                                75°E


                                                                                                                                             UZBEKISTAN
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     ShikiDarwaz-i Payin (mamay)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Darwaz-i- Bala (nesay)

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Khwahan
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Kuf Ab                            TAJIKISTAN
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Raghistan Shighnan
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Yaw an
                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Darqad Chahab               Kohistan
                                                                                                                                 Khamyab Qarqin                                                                                Yangi Qala Shahri Buzurg
                                                                                                                                                           ShorTepa Shahrak-i-Hairatan                                       DashtiQala           Yaftal-i-SuflaArghanj Khwah
                                                                                                               Khani ChaharBagh                                                 Kaldar                Hazrati Imam Sahib               Rustaq
                                                                                                                                         Mingajik         Dowlat abad                                                                                 Argo Baharak Shuhada                                                   Wakhan
                                                TURKMENISTAN                                                  Qurghan
                                                                                                                           Khwajah DuKoh          MardyanChahar Bolak                                              Dashti-i-ArchiKhwaja Ghar                  Khash
                                                                                                                                                                                                 Qala-i-Z al                                           Darayim              Eshkashim
                                                                                                               Qaram QulAndkhoy              Khanaqa         BalkhNahr-i-Shahi Khulm                   Taloqan (Provincial Center)Kalafgan Kishim Tashkan Jurm Wardooj
                                                                                                             Sheberghan (Provincial Center)      Faizabad                                           Chahar Darah
                                                                                                                                                                 DehdadiMarmul                                      Khanabad BangiChal
                                                                                                               Dowlat abad                              Chimtal                                               Ali Abad                    Farkhar Tagab         Yamgan      Zaybak
                                                                                                                                                                    Chahar KentFayroz Nakhcheer
                                                                                                                                                                                   Hazrat-i-Sultan Baghlan-i-Jadeed        EshkamishNamak Ab
                                                                                                         Shirin Tagab          Sari Pul (Provincial Center) Sholgarah
                                                                                                                                                                                         Aybak (Provincial Center) Burka Khwajah Hijran (Jalgah)
                                                                                                                    Qush TepahSayyad                                Darah-i-Suf-i-Payin
                                                                                         Khwajah Sabz Poshi Wali                                                                                                             Gozargah-i-NoorWarsaj
                                                                                                                        Sar-i-Pol           Sozma Qala        Kishindeh          Khuram wa Sar Bagh               Nahreen
                                                                                               Almar     Maimanah                                                                                                                                        Kiran wa Munjan
                                                                                                                          Bil Chiragh          Sangcharak Zari                                                                 Khost wa Firing                                                   Eradication (ha)
                                                                                                          Pashtun Kot                                                                            Dahana-i- Ghuri                                                      Barg-i-Matal
                                                                                Ghormach                                                             Gosfandi                                                             Deh Salah
                                                                                                                                                               Darah-i-Soof-i-Bala Roi-Do-Ab
                                                                                               Qaisar                Gurziwan                                                                                          Andarab              Paryan Nuristan Paroon (Provincial Center)
                                                                                                                                                                                                        Dushi                    Pul-i-Hisar
                                                                                                                                  Kohistanat            Balkhab                                                                                                            Kamdesh                               No eradication
                                                                        Bala Murghab                                                                                                                               Khinjan Hissa-i-Awal(Khinj)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Mandol
                                                                                                              Kohistan                                                             Kahmard
                                                                                                                                                                                                Talah wa Barfak       Salang Shutul Darah                                        Nari
                                  Gulran                            Muqur                                                                                                                                                     Unaba                   Du Ab Wama Waygal
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Ghazi Abad
                                                                                                               Chahar Sadah                                                     Saighan Syahgird (Ghorband)Shinwari
                                          Kushk (Rabat-i-Sangi)                                 Jawand
                                                                                                                                                            Yakawlang
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    NijrabAlaSai Noor Gram Dara-i-PechShigal wa Sheltan                          Negligible
                                                                                                                                                                                          ShebarShaykh Ali           Bagram Dowlat Shah                       Chapa Dara Watahpoor




      35°N
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 35°N




                                               Kusk-i-Kohnah Ab Kamari
                                               Qala-i-Now (Provincial Center) Qadis                                                                                    Bamyan (Provincial Center)Surkh-i-Parsa                               Alisheng Alingar Chowkey
                                                                                                        Chaghcharan (Provincial Center)                                                                                  Koh-i-Safi Tagab                                 Sar Kani
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Noor gal                                            12-100
                        Kohsan                                                                                                              Lal wa Sarjangal                                                  Paghman DehSabz                      Kuzkunar
                                                                                                                                  Dowlatyar                                      Hisah-i-Awal BehsudJalrez                                                       Khas Kunar
                                                         Karrukh                                                                                                                                                       Kabul        Surubi Qarghayee Kama
                                                Enjil                             Chiisht-i-Sharif                                                              Panjab                                                                                  Behsud Goshta
                                                                        Obe                                                                                                  Markaz-i- Behsud                          Khak-i-Jabar
                                    Zendah JanHirat                                                                                                                                                          Nerkh                   Hesarak                        Lalpoor                                      101-200
                       Ghoryan                         Pashtun Zarghun                                                               Sang-i-Takht                                              Daimirdad                                       Khugyani Rodat Shinwar Mohmand Dara
                                                                                                                Do Lainah                                       Waras                            Chak-i-Wardak                       Azra Sherzad        Kot
                                                                                               Shahrak                                                                                                                                                       AchinDur Baba
                                      Niizam-i-Shahid (Guzarah)                    Tulak                                                        Ishtarlay                                                                     Khoshi Jaji         Deh Bala
                                                                                                                                                                                                     SayyidabadPul-i-Alam                                          Nazyan
                                                                                                                                   Khedir                                                                                                                                                                        201-300
                                                                         Fersi                                                                                                                    Jaghatu
                                                                                                                         Nili (Provincial Center)               MirAmor            Nawur                        Charkh AhmadabadSamkani
                                     Adraskan                                                                                                      Shahristan                                Rashidan          Kharwar Sayyid Karam
                                                                                                                                                              Bahram-e Shahid (Jaghatu)                                                    Jaji Maidan




20
                                                                               Saghar                             Pasaband          Kiti                                                            Zanakhan
                                                                                                   Taywara                                                         Ajristan                                                   Sabari (Yaqubi) Bak                                                                301-1000
                                                                                                                                                    Gizab                                     Waghaz Deh Yak Zurmat Woza Jadran NadirShah Kot
                                                                                                                                                                       Malistan                      Andar Mata Khan                                  Terayzai (Ali Sher)
                                                     Shindand                                                                   Kajran                                                  Qara Bagh
                                                                               Pur Chaman                                                                                   Jaghuri                  Yosuf Khel
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Ziruk SperaTanay Gurbuz
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 1001-2569
                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Sar Rowza
                      Anar Darah                                                                                Baghran                                                                            Giro                 UrgunGiyan
                                                                                                                          Shahidi Hasas      Chorah Khas Uruzgan                    Muqur
                                                                                                                                                               Kakar Kak-e Afghan           Ab Band            Omna
                                           Khak-i-Safed Bala Buluk                                                                   Tirin Kot (Provincial Center)                Gelan                           Surubi Barmal                                                                                   International boundary
                                                                                   Gulistan                                Dihrawud                                                                  Jani Khel
                                                                                                                                                        Daychopan
                                                                                                         Musa Qala                                                                  Dilah wa Khwoshamand
                                            PushtRod                                            Nowzad                                                        Arghandab Shah Joi                                                                                                                                  Provincial boundary
                           Qala-i-Kah                                                                              Kajaki                                                                                       Gomal
                                                                                                                                   Nesh        Miya Neshin
                                                                                                                                                                                        Nawa
                                    Farah (Provincial Center)Bakwah                                                                                                          Naw Bahar         Wazahkhwah
                                                                                                                                                       Mizan                                                                                                                                                      District boundary
                          Shib Koh                                                     Washer                Sangin Qala              Shah Wali Kot          Qalat (Provincial Center)
                                                                       Delaram                                      Ghorak Khakrez
                                                                                                                                                  Tarnak wa Jaldak Shinkai                       Turwo Wor Mamay                                                                                                   Kiran wa Munjan
                                                                                                    Naher-i-Saraj                                                                 Shemel zai                                                                                   Hissa-i-Awal(Khinj)                                                    Kamdesh
                       Lash-i-Juwayn                                                                                           Arghandab                                    Atghar                                                                                                                               Nuristan Paroon (Provincial Center)
                                                            Khash Rod               Nad Ali                                 Zhire                                                                                                                                   Eastern Region                   Mandol
                                                                                                                Maiwand
                                                                               Lashkargah (Provincial Center)       Kandahar (Provinclal Center)Arghistan                                                                                                                 Rukhah      Darah                                                Waygal Ghazi Abad Nari
                                                                                                                                                                        Maruf                                                                                                                                   Du Ab
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Wama
                                          Kang                                                Nawa-i-Barukzai
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Koh Band                                                                     Bar Kunar (Asmar)
                                                      Asl-i-Chakhansur                                                                                                                                                                                                          Nijrab        Dowlat Shah     Noor Gram                      Shigal wa Sheltan
                                                                                                                Panjwayee
                                                                                                                                         Spin Boldak                                                                                                                                                                      Chapa DaraDara-i-PechWatahpoorDangam
                                  Zaranj (Provincial Center)                                                                                                                                                                                                                           AlaSai
              IRAN                                                                         Garm Ser                             Daman                                                                                                                                   Bagram                                     Asad Abad (Provincial C enter) Mara warah
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Alisheng       Alingar          Narang wa Badil
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Tagab
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Koh-i-Safi                                                  Chowkey Sar Kani
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Darah-i- Noor Noor gal

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        DehSabz        Mehtar Lam (Provincial Center)                Khas Kunar
                                       Chahar Burjak                                Reg-i-Khan Nishin                                    Shorabak                                                                                                                                                                       Kuzkunar
                                                                                                                       Reg                                                                                                                                                        Surubi          Qarghayee
                                                                                                                                                                   PAKISTAN                                                                                              Bagrami
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Behsud Kama Goshta




      30°N
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 30°N




                                                                     Dishu
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Khak-i-Jabar                    Surkh Rud Jalalabad
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Hesarak                                               Lalpoor
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Chaparhar Rodat Bati Kot
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Khugyani
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Sherzad                             Shinwar Mohmand Dara
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Azra                                      Kot                           INDIA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Pachir wagamDeh Bala                 Dur Baba
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Achin Nazyan
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Jaji

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Laja Ahmad Khel
       60°E                                                                                                       65°E                                                                                                                70°E                                  Samkani Dand Patan                                                            75°E
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Jaji Maidan

     Source: Government of Afghanistan - National monitoring system implemented by UNODC
     Note: The boundaries and names shown and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations.
     Afghanistan: Eradication locations - GLE and PEF, 2009
                                                                                                        65°E                                                                                                             70°E                                                                                      75°E


                                                                                                                                                UZBEKISTAN                                                                           ShikiDarwaz-i Payin (mamay)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Darwaz-i- Bala (nesay)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Kuf Ab
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Khwahan                                     TAJIKISTAN
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Raghistan Shighnan
                                                                                                                                                                                                            Yangi Qala            Yaw an
                                                                                                                                                                                                               Darqad Chahab              Kohistan
                                                                                                                     Khamyab Qarqin                                                                                       Shahri Buzurg
                                                                                                                                              ShorTepa Shahrak-i-Hairatan                                    DashtiQala          Yaftal-i-SuflaArghanj Khwah
                                                                                                   Khani ChaharBagh Mingajik                                     Kaldar               Hazrati Imam Sahib
                                                                                                                                             Dowlat abad                                                             Rustaq
                                               TURKMENISTAN                                       Qurghan                                                                         Qala-i-Z al       Dashti-i-Archi
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Argo Baharak Shuhada
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Badakhshan
                                                                                                    Khwajah DuKoh       Jawzjan          Mardyan Chahar Bolak                                                                                  Khash                               Wakhan
                                                                                                                                                                                                           BaharakKalafgan           Darayim             Eshkashim
                                                                                                  Qaram Qul Andkhoy Khanaqa                    BalkhNahr-i-Shahi Khulm                Kunduz                                   KishimTashkan Jurm Wardooj
                                                                                                Sheberghan (Provincial Center)Faizabad                       Marmul               Chahar Darah               Takhar
                                                                                                                                                 Balkh                                              Khanabad
                                                                                                  Dowlat abad                            Chimtal                                                               Bangi
                                                                                                                                                      Chahar Kent Fayroz Nakhcheer             Ali Abad                   Farkhar Tagab Yamgan           Zaybak
                                                                                                                                                                                                            EshkamishNamak Ab
                                                                                              Shirin Tagab        Sari Pul (Provincial Center) Sholgarah           Hazrat-i-SultanBaghlan-i-Jadeed
                                                                                                                                                                                                        Burka Khwajah Hijran (Jalgah)
                                                                                                             Sar-i-Pol Sayyad                 Darah-i-Suf-i-Payin Khuram wa Sar Bagh
                                                                                              Faryab        Qush Tepah         Sozma Qala                                                                                      Warsaj
                                                                                    Almar                                                        Kishindeh                                         Nahreen
                                                                                                              Bil Chiragh         Sangcharak Zari            Samangan                                             Khost wa Firing Kiran wa Munjan
                                                                                              Pashtun Kot                              Gosfandi                             Dahana-i- Ghuri                                                         Barg-i-Matal
                                                                      Ghormach                                                                                                                Baghlan
                                                                                    Qaisar                Gurziwan                              Darah-i-Soof-i-Bala Roi-Do-Ab
                                                                                                                                                                                                      Andarab               Paryan Nuristan Paroon (Provincial Center)
                                                                                                                            Sari Pul                                                     Dushi
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Kamdesh
                                                                                                                       Kohistanat          Balkhab                                                  Khinjan                       Mandol
                                                              Bala Murghab                       Kohistan                                                           Kahmard                                   Panjshir
                                                                                                                                                                                 Talah wa Barfak Salang
                                                                                                                                                                                    Nuristan                          Darah                          Waygal Nari
                          Gulran                          Muqur                                     Chahar Sadah                                                                                    Shinwari Nijrab                                          Ghazi Abad
                                                                   Badghis                                                                 Yakawlang             Saighan                                                             Du Ab
                                 Kushk (Rabat-i-Sangi)                                                                                                                                                                                                       Shigal wa Sheltan
      35°N                                                                              Jawand                                                                             Shebar
                                                                                                                                                                    Parwan Kapisa         Kunar                                      Alingar                                                                      35°N
                                     Kusk-i-Kohnah Ab Kamari                                                                                           Bamyan                                                                                                Dangam
                                                                    Qadis                                                                                                     Shaykh Ali                           Tagab                       Chapa Dara Mara warah
                                    Qala-i-Now (Provincial Center)                         Chaghcharan (Provincial Center)                        Bamyan (Provincial Center)         Surkh-i-Parsa Koh-i-Safi
                                                                                                                                                                                Laghman                                                          Noor gal Sar Kani
                 Kohsan                                                                                                        Lal wa Sarjangal
                                                 Karrukh                                                             Dowlatyar                                    Hisah-i-Awal Behsud Jalrez Kabul
                                                                                                                                                                        Kabul                                        Surubi Qarghayee Behsud           Khas Kunar
                                       Enjil                           Chiisht-i-Sharif                                                           Panjab                                                                                        Goshta
                            Zendah Jan  Hirat                 Obe                                                                                             Wardak                          Nerkh    Khak-i-Jabar                                  Lalpoor
                                                                                                                                                       Markaz-i- Behsud                                              Hesarak                                         Legend                              INDIA
                Ghoryan                       Pashtun Zarghun                       Shahrak          Do Lainah            Sang-i-Takht             Waras
                                                                                                                                                                                  Nangarhar
                                                                                                                                                                                Daimirdad
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Azra
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Mohmand Dara
                                   Hirat                                 Tulak
                                                                                                                                   Ishtarlay                          Chak-i-Wardak                                           Khugyani AchinDur Baba
                                                                                                                                                                       Logar           Sayyidabad                    Jaji




21
                             Niizam-i-Shahid (Guzarah)                                     Ghor                                                                                                                                  Deh Bala        Nazyan
                                                                                                                        Khedir                                                                     Pul-i-Alam Khoshi
                                                               Fersi                                                                                 MirAmor                       Jaghatu                                                                                       Poppy eradication force (PEF)
                                                                                                      Nili (Provincial Center)  Day kundi                            Nawur                                            Samkani
                             Adraskan                                                                                                                                        Rashidan Kharwar                                   Jaji Maidan                                      Governor-led eradication (GLE)
                                                                     Saghar                           Pasaband                        Shahristan                                                     Paktiya                   Bak
                                                                                      Taywara                            Kiti                        Ajristan                 Waghaz Deh Yak
                                                                                                                                                                                                     Zurmat  Shwak                                                               District boundary
                                                                                                                                       Gizab             Malistan                                                                  Terayzai (Ali Sher)
                                                                                                                                                                                     Andar Mata Khan         Nika
                                                                                                                                                                                                            Khost
                                           Shindand                                                                  Kajran
                                                                                                                                                                   Ghazni                                 Ziruk
                                                                    Pur Chaman                                                                                                                                  Spera TanayGurbuz                                                Provincial boundary
                                                                                                                                                              Jaghuri Qara BaghGiro               Sar Rowza
               Anar Darah                                                                           Baghran Shahidi Hasas         Chorah Khas Uruzgan
                                                                                                                                                                                                         UrgunGiyan
                                                                                                                                                                      Muqur
                                                                                                                                                Kakar Kak-e Afghan                             Omna
                                                                                                                                                                           Ab Band
                                 Khak-i-Safed Bala Buluk                                                             Uruzgan                                        Gelan                          Surubi Barmal
                                                                        Gulistan                                                                                                     Jani Khel
                                                                                             Musa Qala         Dihrawud                    Daychopan
                              PushtRod    Farah                                      Nowzad            Kajaki                                   ArghandabShah Joi
                   Qala-i-Kah                                                                                           Nesh      Miya Neshin                                         Paktika
                           Farah (Provincial Center)                                                                                                                      Nawa                       Gomal
                                                     Bakw ah                                                                                                   Naw Bahar      Wazahkhwah
                   Shib Koh                                                  Washer              Sangin Qala              Shah Wali Kot
                                                                                                                                          Mizan     Zabul      Qalat (Provincial Center)
                                                             Delaram                                    Ghorak Khakrez                                 Shinkai
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          PAKISTAN
                                                                                                                                     Tarnak wa Jaldak                             Turwo Wor Mamay
                                                                                        Naher-i-Saraj                                                              Shemel zai
                Lash-i-Juwayn                                                                                       Arghandab                                Atghar
                                                   Khash Rod              Nad Ali                               Zhire
                                                                                                     Maiwand
                                                                   Lashkargah (Provincial Center) Kandahar (Provinclal Center)          Arghistan
                                                                                                                                                          Maruf
                                 Kang                                              Nawa-i-Barukzai
                                                                                                           Panjwayee              Spin Boldak
                                             Asl-i-Chakhansur
                                                                             Hilmand                         Kandahar
      IRAN                Zaranj (Provincial Center)
                                                                                   Garm Ser                           Daman
                                          Nimroz                                                                                                                                                                    0      50 100                200
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Km
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        GCS_WGS_84
                                Chahar Burjak                                                                                 Shorabak
                                                                             Reg-i-Khan Nishin                Reg
      30°N                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        30°N
                                                              Dishu



                                                                                                        65°E                                                                                                             70°E                                                                                      75°E

     Source: MCN - UNO DC Afghani stan Erad ica tion Su rve y 200 9
     Note: The bo undari es and na me s shown and th e d esi gnations u se d o n this ma p d o n ot imply o ffici al e ndorsement or accep tan ce by the United Na tio ns.
     Afghanistan: Security incidents during eradication, 2009
         60°E                                                                             65°E                                                                               70°E                                                          75°E



                                                                                                                       UZBEKISTAN
                                                                                                                                                                                                                TAJIKISTAN
                                                                                                                                                                                    Badakhshan
                                                                                                                                                                              Yaftal-i-Sufla

                                                 TURKMENISTAN                                                                                                                     Argo
                                                                                                                                                 Kunduz                          Darayim
                                                                                                      Jawzjan               Balkh                                Takhar       Kish imTashkan




                                                                                     Faryab                                     Samangan
                                                                  Ghorm ach                                                                           Baghlan
                                                                                                         Sari Pul                                           Panjsher
                                                                                                                                                              Nijrab
                                                                                                                                                                      Nuristan
                                                                 Badghis
      35°N                          Kushk (Rabat-i-Sang i)                                                                                           Parwan Kapisa                 Shig al wa Sheltan                                         35°N
                                                                                                                                                                           Kunar
                                                                                                                          Bamyan                                   Laghman Noor galDangam
                                                                                                                                                        Kabul Suru bi     Khas Kunar              Legend
                                                                                                                                              Wardak                      Khugyani         Lalpoor                                    INDIA
                                         Hirat                                                                                                            Logar      Sherzad
                                                                                                                                                                               Nangarhar
                                                                                Ghor                                                                                                  AchinNazyan
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Attack
                                                                                                           Daykundi




22
                                    Adraskan                                                                                                                   Paktya                                                  Demonstration
                                                                                                                                     Ghazni                        Khost
                                             Shin dand                                                                                                                                                                 Mine explosion + Attack
                                                   Bala Bu luk

                                                                                                Dihrawud Tirin Kot (Pr ovincial Center)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       No incidence
                                                                                                                                                 Paktika                        Province             No of incidents   Injured   Dead   Eradication
                                     Farah                                                                                 Zabul                                                                                                           (Ha)
                                                                                                   Uruzgan
                                                                                                                                                                                Badakhshan                 3             5                 420
                                                                                Naher-i-Saraj    Arghandab                                                                      Day Kundi                  0                                27
                                                                      Nad Ali                   Zhire                                                                           Farah                      0                                43
                                                                                             Kandahar (Provinclal Center)
                                                                           Nawa-i-Barukzai                                                                                      Faryab                     2             1        1        261
                                                                                                           Spin Boldak                                                          Hilmand                    16            25       9       4,119
                                                                    Hilmand              Panjwayee
                 IRAN                                                                                                                                                           Hirat                      1             1        1         67
                                             Nimroz                                                                                          PAKISTAN                           Kabul                      0                                 1
                                                                                                                                                                                Kandahar                   6             8        7         69
                                                                                         Kandahar                                                                               Kapisa                     0                                31
                                                                                                                                                                                Kunar                      1                                11
      30°N                                                                                                                                                                      Nangarhar                  3             5        1          30°N
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           226
                                                                                                                                                                                Uruzgan                    1             3                  74
                                                                                                                 0    50 100              200                                   Zabul                      1             4        2          0
                                                                                                                                            Km
                                                                                                                     GCS_WGS_84
         60°E                                                                             65°E                                                                               70°E                                                          75°E

     Source: MCN - UNO DC Afghani stan Erad ica tion Su rve y 200 9
     Note: The bo undari es and na me s shown and th e d esi gnations u se d o n this ma p d o n ot imply o ffici al e ndorsement or accep tan ce by the United Na tio ns.
Although the highest eradication of 4,119 ha was reported from Hilmand (1,475 ha GLE
and 2,644 PEF eradication), this amount is very low (6%) considering the amount of
opium cultivation in this province (69,833 ha). Eradication in Kandahar (69 ha) was
negligible in comparison to the total cultivation of 19,811 ha in this province. Eradication
in Badakhshan and Nangarhar, however, were 50% and 43% respectively of the total area
under opium cultivation in these provinces.
Figure 9: Distribution of GLE and PEF total eradication by province, 2009

       Hilmand                        55.1%                                                               99%

    Badakhshan           15.0%   1%
         Faryab         9.8%

     Nangarhar      8.5%
       Uruzgan           2.8%
      Kandahar           2.6%
           Hirat         2.5%
          Farah         1.6%

        Kapisa          1.2%
      Day Kundi     1.0%
         Kunar      0.4%

          Kabul     0.1%

                   0%                                       50%                                        100%

                                                         GLE      PEF

PEF eradication activities started already in January 2009. The main part of the GLE
eradication was carried out in the month of March and efforts continued until June 2009.
Manual eradication using sticks was carried out during late flowering to capsule stage in
Nangarhar and Badakhshan provinces.

Opium prices continue to fall in 2009

In 2009, the average farm-gate price of dry opium at harvest time (weighted by
production) was US$ 64/kg; 34% lower than in 2008. For the same period, farm-gate
prices of fresh opium fell by 31% to US$ 48/kg (weighted price) at harvest time.8 These
were the lowest prices recorded since 2001.
MCN/UNODC has monitored opium prices on a monthly basis in various provinces of
Afghanistan since 1994. Monthly prices have shown a decreasing trend since 2005 in all
regions. Since mid-2007, opium prices at the trading level in the Western and Eastern


8
  In 2008, the fresh and dry opium prices at harvest time were based on farmers responses collected through
the Annual Opium Survey, which was conducted slightly before the opium harvest. In 2009, prices at
harvest time were derived from the opium price monitoring system and refer to the month when opium
harvest actually took place in the different regions of the country.


                                                    23
regions tend to be higher than prices in other regions. Since 2005, opium prices have
been converging across the different regions of Afghanistan.
Figure 10: Afghanistan, dry opium prices reported by traders, by region (US$/kg), January 2005
to July 2009




           300




           200
  US$/kg




           100




             0
                           Apr-05




                                                                Apr-06




                                                                                                     Apr-07




                                                                                                                                          Apr-08




                                                                                                                                                                               Apr-09
                 Jan-05



                                    Jul-05

                                             Oct-05

                                                       Jan-06



                                                                         Jul-06

                                                                                  Oct-06

                                                                                            Jan-07



                                                                                                              Jul-07

                                                                                                                       Oct-07

                                                                                                                                 Jan-08



                                                                                                                                                   Jul-08

                                                                                                                                                            Oct-08

                                                                                                                                                                     Jan-09



                                                                                                                                                                                        Jul-09
             Eastern                                  Southern                             Western                              North-eastern                                 Northern


Table 11: Regional farm-gate prices of dry opium at harvest time (US$/kg), 2008-2009

                                                                           Average Dry                         Average Dry
                                         Region                            Opium Price                         Opium Price                         Change
                                                                          (US$/kg) 2008                       (US$/kg) 2009
                          Central                                                   171                                160*                          -6%
                          Eastern                                                   105                                90                           -14%
                          North-eastern                                               85                               75                           -12%
                          Northern                                                    97                               64                           -34%
                          Southern                                                    70                               62                           -11%
                Western                       103                72             -30%
                National average
                price weighted by              95                64             -33%
                production**
* Prices for the Central region were taken from the annual village survey as there is no monthly opium
price monitoring in the Central region.
** In 2008, the dry opium prices at harvest time were based on farmers responses collected through the
Annual Opium Survey, which was conducted slightly before the opium harvest. In 2009, prices at harvest
time were derived from the opium price monitoring system and refer to the month when opium harvest
actually took place in the different regions of the country.



                                                                                            24
Lower opium prices in Afghanistan reflect the continuing high levels of opium
production, which is thought to exceed global demand for opium and its derivatives in the
illicit market. Lower prices were also one of the reasons why some farmers stopped
cultivating opium in 2009. Thus, the decrease in opium cultivation in 2009 can be
interpreted as a market correction. A 33% drop in the national average opium price is in
fact a drastic fall, which makes opium poppy a much less lucrative crop compared to the
previous years.

Total farm-gate value of opium drops by 40% to US$ 438 million

Based on potential opium production and reported opium prices, the farm-gate value of
the 2009 opium harvest amounted to US$ 438 million. The farm-gate value of opium as a
proportion of GDP decreased in 2009 to 4% compared to 7% in 2008 and 13% in 2007.

Gross income from opium decreases by 24% to US$ 3,562 per ha

Due to the low price of opium in 2009, the gross income for farmers per hectare
decreased by 24% to US$ 3,562. This was the lowest per hectare income from opium
since 2004. At the same time, the per hectare income of wheat was at a relatively high
level, albeit lower than in 2008, when wheat prices reached record levels worldwide.
Over the last years, the discrepancy between (illicit) gross income from opium and (licit)
income from wheat has shrunk considerably, driven by decreasing farm-gate prices for
opium and, more recently, by higher wheat prices.
Table 12: Gross income from opium and wheat (US$/ha), 2003-2009

                                         Income in US$/ha               Ratio
                         Year                                       opium/wheat
                                        Opium           Wheat          income
                         2003           12,700           470             27:1
                         2004            4,600           390             12:1
                         2005            5,400           550             10:1
                         2006            4,600           530              9:1
                         2007            5,200           546             10:1
                         2008            4,662          1,625             3:1
                           2009            3,562            1,101            3:1
 In prices of the reporting year, not adjusted for inflation. Income from poppy stalks and seeds and from
                              wheat straw is not considered in this calculation.




                                                   25
Figure 11: Reasons for stopping opium cultivation in or before 2009 (n=1,877 farmers)

            It was banned by government                                                33%
                  Low sale price of opium                                       18%
                         It is against Islam                              16%
                          Not enough yield                      6%
                        Lack of experience                 4%
    Land/climate conditions not suitable                   4%
               Elders and shura decision                   4%
                       High price of wheat                3%
                     No response/No data                  3%
           It is harmful for human beings                 2%
                              Lack of water               2%
                       Fear of government             2%
                        Fear of eradication          1%
                                      Other          1%
High cost of inputs (fertilizer, labours etc)        1%
                        It is not the custom     0.1%

                                                0%                               20%         40%



Reasons for cultivating and/or stopping cultivation

In 2009, farmers who stopped cultivating opium in 2009 or before were asked about their
major reason for doing so. The Government ban on opium cultivation was mentioned by
about 33% of the respondents, making it the most frequently cited reason for stopping.
Low sale prices of opium were the second main reason. In previous years, low opium
prices were mentioned by only a very small percentage of farmers. This provides some
evidence for the argument that reduction in opium cultivation is partly a response to
market changes.
The high sale price was the most important reason cited by farmers (61%) for cultivating
opium poppy in 2009. Provision of basic food and shelter for the family, high demand for
opium and the fact that it was an easy way to earn money were other important reasons
given.




                                                                     26
Figure 12: Reasons for cultivating opium in 2009 (n=508 farmers in 2009)

                      High sale price of opium                                    61%

  Poverty (provision of basic food and shelter)                     11%

                       High demand for opium                       8%

                Easy way to earn more money                    7%

                   High income from little land               5%

                      Possibility of getting loan        2%

                                           Other         2%

                                  It is a custom         2%

                    To improve living condition          1%

                         No response/No data             1%

                   Climate conditions suitable       1%

   Low cost of inputs (seeds, fertilizer, labour)    1%

                                                    0%                    35%           70%



Strong correlation between lack of security and opium cultivation

Eighty four per cent of the opium cultivated in 2009 was concentrated in Hilmand,
Kandahar, Uruzgan, Day Kundi, and Zabul provinces of the Southern region. These are
the most insecure provinces where security conditions are classified as high or extreme
risk by the United Nations Department of Safety and Security (UNDSS). Most of the
districts in this region were not accessible to the UN and NGOs.
Farah, Nimroz and Badghis, which are insecure province in the Western region,
contributed to 15% of cultivation, thus 99% of the total opium cultivation came from the
Southern and Western regions. Anti-government elements (AGE) as well as drug traders
are very active in the Western region. Provinces in the south are the strongholds of
AGEs, while provinces in the west (Farah, Badghis and Nimroz) are known to have
organized criminal networks. The link between lack of security and opium cultivation
was also evident in Nangarhar province (Eastern region), where cultivation was located
in districts classified as having high or extreme security risk.
Security incidents in Afghanistan have been on the rise every year since 2003, especially
in the south and south-western provinces. The number of security incidents increased
sharply in 2006, in parallel with the increase of opium cultivation. 2009 shows further
sharp increase in the security incidents.




                                                                   27
    Security level (as of 16 July 2009) and opium cultivation in Nangarhar, 2009
70° E                                   70° E                                               71° E                                                         71° E

           Kapisa
Parwan                                                                                                                                        Kunar
                                                                                                    Darah-i- Noor


                                                  Laghman


                                                                                                          Kuzkunar
35° N




                                                                                                                                                                                                    35° N
          Kabul

                                                                                            Behsud               Kama                        Goshta
                                                                                    Jalalabad
                                                               Surkh Rud


                                                                                                                                                            Lalpoor
                      Hesarak
                                                                        Chaparhar                     Rodat                   Bati Kot
                                                                               Nangarhar
                                                   Khugyani
                                                                                                                                                          Mohmand Dara
                                       Sherzad                                                                                            Shinwar
                                                                                                           Kot

          Logar
                                                         Pachir wagam           Deh Bala                                                              Dur Baba

                                                                                                                                         Nazyan
                                                                                                                    Achin
34° N




                                                                                                                                                                                                    34° N
                                                                                                                                                                      Legend
                                                                                                                                                                      Cultivation
                                                                                                                                                                           Opium poppy field locations

            Paktiya                                                                                                                                                        Agricultural area
                                                                                                                                                                      Security
                                                                                                                 PAKISTAN
                                                                                                                                                                           Extreme Risk
                                                                           0          10         20                         40
                                                                                                                              km                                           High Risk
                                                                               Geographic projection: WGS 84
                                                                                                                                                                           Medium Risk
                                       Khost
70° E                                   70° E                                               71° E                                                         71° E            Low Risk


    The boundaries and names shown and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement
    or acceptance by the United Nations. Source security map: United Nations Department of Safety and
    Security.
    Figure 13: Number of security incidents by month, January 2003 to June 2009



         1200


         1000
                                                                                                                                                                                    2003
          800                                                                                                                                                                       2004
                                                                                                                                                                                    2005
          600                                                                                                                                                                       2006
                                                                                                                                                                                    2007
          400                                                                                                                                                                       2008
                                                                                                                                                                                    2009
          200


            0
                      Jan       Feb     Mar      Apr          May          Jun             Jul           Aug                Sep           Oct         Nov         Dec

                                      Source: United Nations Department of Safety and Security




                                                                                       28
     Security map (as of 16 July 2009) and opium cultivation in Afghanistan by province, 2009
              60°E                                                                      65°E                                                                     70°E                                                                75°E



                                                                                                                UZBEKISTAN
                                                                                                                                                                                                 TAJIKISTAN

                                          TURKMENISTAN
                                                                                                                                                                                                                Badakhshan
                                                                                                                      Balkh                                                   557
                                                                                                 Jawzjan                                   Kunduz         Takhar




                                                                                    Faryab                                   Samangan
                                                                                                                                              Baghlan
                                                                                                     Sari Pul                                                                                       Security
                                                                  5,411                                                                                   Panjshir
                                                                                                                                                                         Nuristan
                                                                                                                                                                                                              Extreme Risk
                                                                                                                                              Parwan Kapisa                         164                       High Risk




       35°N
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            35°N




                                                                          Badghis                                    Bamyan
                                                                                                                                                                   135         Kunar
                                                                                                                                                  Kabul          Laghman                                      Medium Risk
                                                                                                                                                          132                                                 Low Risk
                                          556                                                                                           Wardak
                                                                                                                                                                             294
                                                                                                    Day Kundi                                                           Nangarhar
                                                                              Ghor                                                                Logar
                                            Hirat                                                                                                                                                              Opium cultivation
                                                                                                                                                                                                     10,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                               (ha) by province




29
                                                                                                                              Ghazni                 Paktya
                                                                                                      3,002                                                   Khost
                                                                                                                                                                                                            District boundary
                                                                                                                                                                                                            Provincial boundary
                                                          Farah                                Uruzgan 9,224                                                                                                International boundary
                                              12,405                                                                                       Paktika
                                                                                                                    1,144                                                                      Panjshir
                                                                            Hilmand                                                                                                                             Nuristan
                                                                                                                                                                               Parwan
                                                                                                                     Zabul                                                                     Kapisa
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Kunar
                                                                                               Kandahar                                                                                                                        164
                                                                                                                                                                                                          Laghman
                                                                     69,833                                                                                                         Kabul                      135
                                                 Nimroz                                                                                                                                     132
                                                                                                19,811
                         IRAN                                                                                                                                           Wardak                            Nangarhar
                                                428                                                                            PAKISTAN                                                                               294
                                                                                                                                                                                       Logar




       30°N
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            30°N




                                                                                                                                                                                       Paktiya
                                                                                                                0       45       90                    180              Ghazni
                                                                                                                                                                                                     Khost
                                                                                                                                                         km
                                                                                                                     Geographic projection: WGS 84
              60°E                                                                      65°E                                                                     70°E          Paktika                                               75°E

     Source security map: UNDSS
     Source cultivation :Government of Afghanistan - National monitoring system implemented by UNODC
     Note: The boundries and names shown and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations
Role of counter-narcotic activities

The last few months have seen a rise in the number of counter-narcotics activities
conducted by national authorities and ISAF. The survey was not specifically designed to
estimate the impact of counter-narcotics activities on opium cultivation. It is nonetheless
interesting to note that although relatively few of the farmers interviewed had reportedly
heard of counter-narcotics activities in their village area, most of those who had were
farmers who had stopped growing poppy. Almost none of the poppy farmers, on the other
hand, reported they knew of counter-narcotics activities in their area.
Interviews with key informants revealed that it seems to be a rather common occurrence
for drug traders to lose a shipment due to counter-narcotics activities. Over half of the
informants interviewed had themselves lost a shipment in the last 12 months, and an even
higher proportion knew of others who had. Many knew about clandestine laboratories
having been destroyed, and often they could recall several instances when laboratories
were destroyed by NATO/ISAF and/or ANP. While some thought that the risk of losing a
shipment had remained the same in the past 12 months, a large majority of the informants
thought it had indeed increased.
In October 2008, based on the request of the Afghan Government, consistent with UN
Security Council Resolutions and under ISAF's existing operational plan, NATO Defence
Ministers agreed that ISAF could act in concert with Afghan police and army against
narcotics facilities and facilitators who support the insurgency. Narcotics
facilities/facilitators were defined as all facilities associated with the narcotics industry
and those individuals involved in the processing, storing and transporting of illegal
narcotics or precursor chemicals that directly support the insurgency.
Figure 14: Results of counter-narcotics operations as reported by NATO/ISAF and CNPA
    500
                        459



    400

                                                                      338

                                                                                                                    295
    300




    200

                                                                                                              134

                                                                                  98
    100                                                                                             74
                                                                                       61
            50
                 36                                                                           27
                                                                 19
                                      2    5       7     2
      0
           Opium (wet Poppy seeds Heroin (mt)     Morphine      Cannabis        Precursors    Labs (no.)      Guns (no.)
          and dry) (mt)   (mt)                      (mt)        resin (mt)         (mt)

                              NATO/ISAF (January - July 2009)                CNPA (April 2008 - March 2009)


              Source: Statistics compiled by ISAF Headquarters, CNPA Annual Report 2008.



                                                        30
      Against this background, over the period from April 2008 to July 2009, ISAF/NATO, the
      Counter Narcotics Police of Afghanistan (CNPA) and other Afghan forces together
      seized considerable volumes of opiates, poppy seeds, cannabis, precursors and labs (see
      Figure 14 and Table 13).
      Table 13: Results of counter-narcotics operations as reported by ISAF/NATO, January to July
      2009
                                                                                                    Other
                                      Mor-                   Canna-      Canna-        Acetic      precur-
              Poppy       Opium                   Heroin
  Province                            phine                  bis seed    bis resin    Anhyd-        sors/     Labs
             Seed (mt)    (mt)*                    (mt)
                                       (mt)                    (mt)        (mt)       ride (lt)    chemi-
                                                                                                  cals (mt)
Badakhshan                    0.03
Farah             0.60        2.27                                                                    0.02       1
Hilmand         456.28      42.81          0.46         0.59                  10.95       4,180      91.10      17
Hirat                        0.14
Kandahar          2.03       1.28                       0.85        3.99       8.23         900        1.40      1
Nangarhar         0.13       2.67          6.81         0.12                   0.18         400        1.41      8
Uruzgan                      0.76
Total              459          50            7             2          4         19       5,480         94      27
                      * 80% of the total weight of the seized amount was wet and 20% dry opium.
                               Source: Statistics compiled by ISAF Headquarters.

      Combined ISAF/NATO and Afghan forces conducted counter narcotics operations in 7
      provinces (namely Badakhshan, Farah, Hilmand, Hirat, Kandahar, Nangarhar, and
      Uruzgan), mainly focusing on Hilmand and Nangarhar (especially the district of Achin).
      They destroyed a total of 27 labs, 17 of them in Hilmand and 8 in Nangarhar,
      corroborating the assumption that a large proportion of the morphine/heroin
      manufacturing is taking place within Afghanistan.
      Twelve laboratories were seized in Sangin district of Hilmand alone, suggesting that this
      district is crucial for drug traffickers. In addition, large opium seizures at the border of
      Hilmand with Pakistan indicate high volumes of opium trafficking in this area. The
      location of laboratories in the most insecure areas of Afghanistan further substantiates the
      link between insurgency and opiates trade.
      Despite this recent success, seizure levels in Afghanistan in terms of proportion of opium
      production are still very low. Between 2002 and 2007, the proportion of opiates seized in
      Afghanistan, expressed in opium equivalents and measured as a proportion of annual
      production in Afghanistan, was usually in the range of 1% or 2 % and never higher than
      4%. Preliminary figures for 2008 show a similar picture. The steep increase in opium
      production in 2006 and 2007 did not lead to correspondingly higher seizures in
      Afghanistan and Pakistan but did in the I. R. of Iran.




                                                      31
Figure 15: Opiates seizures in Afghanistan, I. R. of Iran and Pakistan as proportion of Afghan
annual opium production, 2002-2007

                                             25%                                                                                       9,000
   As % of opium production in Afghanistan




                                                                                                                                       8,000
                                             20%                                                                                       7,000




                                                                                                                                               Opium production (mt)
                                                                                                                                       6,000
                                             15%
                                                                                                                                       5,000

                                                                                                                                       4,000
                                             10%
                                                                                                                                       3,000

                                             5%                                                                                        2,000

                                                                                                                                       1,000

                                             0%                                                                                        0
                                                     2002         2003          2004            2005        2006          2007
                                               Afghanistan opium production                       Pakistan seizures (as % of production)
                                               Afghanistan seizures (as % of production)          Iran seizures (as % of production)
                                               Combined seizures (as % of production)
                            Opium, morphine and heroin seizures of unknown purity of opium equivalents. Conversion of
                            morphine/heroin to opium equivalents 1:10.

                                                                   Source: UNODC, World Drug Report 2009.




                                                                                           32

						
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