Renewable energy – alternative to fossil fuels

Renewable energy – alternative to fossil fuels? Stefan Liebing Shell International www.brdo-co2nference.net Slide 1 RENEWABLE ENERGY – ALTERNATIVE TO FOSSIL FUELS ? Stefan Liebing Shell International November 16, 2007 Slide 2 Growth Energy Demand RISING GLOBAL ENERGY DEMAND 100= Global primary energy demand 2000 300 HIGH CHANGING ENERGY MIX Million barrels oil equivalent per day 400 350 300 200 LOW 250 200 100 150 100 50 0 2000 REST OF THE WORLD OECD * Shell estimates 0 2025* 2050* COAL OIL GAS 2000 NUCLEAR LARGE SCALE HYDRO ALTERNATIVE ENERGIES 2025* Slide 3 The Energy Challenge - ‘Trilemma’ ENERGY DEMAND • Could more than double by 2050, as population rises and developing countries expand economies Hydrocarbons will continue to provide the foundation of world energy supply for at least the rest of this century As a result, management of the CO2 footprint is a priority • • Slide 4 Renewables: Pursuing a Competitive Business BIOFUELS SHELL WIND ENERGY SHELL HYDROGEN SHELL SOLAR Leading in future biofuels A leading wind operator World’s largest public transport JV (NL) • Demonstration projects in US, Europe and China New generation thin film technology (CIS) • Improved efficiency • 20 MW facility under construction Second-generation • Iogen • Choren 416 MW installed capacity ( (Shell share) NoordZee Wind (50% Shell) • 108 MW • World’s 3rd largest offshore project Slide 5 Global Wind Energy Resource SHELL WIND ENERGY Source: Emerging Energy Research  Leading wind operator  412 MW installed capacity (Shell share)  NoordZee Wind (50% Shell), 108 MW  FID Mount Storm, West Virginia  Offshore permit London Array Slide 6 Source: Wired, 2005 Wind Energy: Developer, Owner & Operator White Deer, Texas 80MW Harburg, Germany 3.6MW Cabazon Pass, California 41MW Whitewater Hill, California 61.5 MW Rock River, Wyoming 50MW Brazos, Texas 160MW La Muela, Spain 99MW Mount Storm, West Virginia under construction 160MW • • Total capacity* 845 MW (Shell share: 412MW) Colorado Green 162MW Top of Iowa 80MW NoordzeeWind, Netherlands 108MW Slide 7 RENEWABLE ENERGY – ALTERNATIVE TO FOSSIL FUELS ? Stefan Liebing Shell International November 16, 2007 Slide 8 Leading in Current and Future Biofuels TECHNOLOGIES FOR TOMORROW Sunflower Rapeseed Soya Food crops Bio-esters Diesel CHOREN Residues Conversion Biomass to Liquids Diesel + 2nd generation Wheat Sweet corn Sugar cane Residues IOGEN Enzymatic hydrolysis Cellulose, ethanol Mogas + 2nd generation Food crops Ethanol Mogas Slide 9 Noordzeewind • • • • • • • 3rd largest offshore windpark in the world. Largest windpark (on and offshore) in The Netherlands Developed by Shell and Nuon 36 turbines, 108 MW , 11-18 km offshore Clean power for over 100,000 homes E.g. of good collaboration between Government & industry On time, on budget and to exacting safety standards Over € 200 million 330,000 – 360,000 MWh/yr or 0.3% of total Dutch electricity consumption Total construction costs Energy production CO2 emissions reduction Number of person-years for construction Number of lost-time accidents Project design life Over 140 million kg/yr 240 (NZW + BCE + subcontractors) 0 20 years Slide 10 Shell Hydrogen Phase Early Commercial Lighthouse projects Isolated Demo • World’s largest public transport JV (NL) • Demonstration projects in US, Europe and China H2 Manufacturing 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 * Industry expectation Isolated demonstrations: • Learning & Awareness • Operations & Safety Lighthouse projects: • Proof of concepts • Basis for expansion Refining SMR Excess H2 Streams LNG Coal E&P Biomass Solar Wind Reforming/Gasification Electrolysis Early commercial: • Commercial roll-out • Public-Private Partnerships Slide 11 CO2 capture and sequestration Shell Solar: New Generation CIS  JV with Saint-Gobain in November ‘06  New generation thin film technology (CIS) o Improved efficiency o 20 MW facility under construction Why CIS? • Highest efficiency of all thin-films: - Shell module has world record efficiency of 13.5 % • Superior energy yield • Better reliability • Low direct materials cost • Uniform appearance / aesthetics Why thin-film? • • • • Lower consumption of materials ½ the number of process steps Simplified materials handling Significantly streamlined assembly Slide 12 Leadership in CO2 Management MANAGING OUR OWN CO2 EMISSIONS BASELINE EMISSIONS ADDRESSING CO2 INTENSITY • • Increasing gas and LNG supply CO2 storage / EOR Improving efficiency Reducing flaring Leading designs CO2 for enhanced oil recovery CO2 storage Renewables offsets CO2 allowance trading • • • Clean coal technologies Biofuels Renewables & Hydrogen EXAMPLES Pernis CO2 ZeroGen REDUCED NET EMISSIONS Slide 13