Investing in Children’s Health Care Quality Improvement: Returns in Lives, Health, and Dollars—An Illustration
Denise Dougherty, Ph.D., Presented by Anne Elixhauser, Ph.D. June 24, 2006 CHSR, Seattle, WA
Overview
What would be the impact of investing in
improvements in health care quality for children? Two examples of preliminary studies:
– Child lives saved – Morbidity avoided – Dollars to Medicaid
No Needless Deaths— Investigators
Denise Dougherty, Ph.D., AHRQ Lisa Simpson, MB, BCh, MPH, FAAP,
University of South Florida Melissa Romaire, MPH, CMS (work done at AHRQ) Charles Homer, MD, NICHQ*Cambridge, MA Lisa C. White, MPH, NICHQ*-Seattle
* National Initiative for Children’s Healthcare Quality
Rationale and Methods
Rationale: draw attention to children’s healthcare
quality
– IHI 100,000 Lives Campaign on No Needless Deaths – Woolf et al. report on deaths due to disparities got a lot of attention – IOM’s To Err is Human figure of 98,000+ deaths due to medical errors received attention.
Identified leading causes of death in children 0-17 Among leading causes, identified those with
evidence that improved health care quality could reduce child deaths Estimated # of deaths nationally that could be prevented with improved healthcare quality Extrapolated life years gained using YPLL* method
* Years of Potential Life Lost
Results—Needless Deaths Prevented Through QI
Cause of Death Improvement Strategy # of Deaths Prevented Single Year ( 50-100% effectiveness)
1,329-2,658
Potential Life Years Gained with QI (100% effectiveness)
Child yrs: 47,844 Total yrs: 205,198 Child yrs: 5,491 Total yrs: 23,224 Child yrs: 40,347 Total yrs: 308,430 Child yrs: 150 Total yrs: 1,004 Child yrs: 93,832 Total yrs: 537,856
VLBW Neonatal Period
NICU improvements
SIDS mortality B-W difference
Medical errorsinpatient
―Back to sleep‖ 161-323
Patient safety 2,242-4,483
Cancer mortality Improved B-W difference cancer care Total
8-15 3,740-7,479
Other Evidence of Poor Quality of Care for Children
Topic
Asthma care: Pediatric hospitalizations (potentially avoidable) Immunizations up to date—9-35 month olds Timeliness: Care for illness or injury as soon as desired Patient-centeredness: CAHPS composite measure
Quality/Disparities Findings (Nationally)
Children higher than adults Black children 3x rate of white children 31.6% not up to date Lower among CSHCN than children w/o SHCN Lower among CSHCN than children w/o SHCN
Source: AHRQ, National Healthcare Quality Report and National Healthcare Disparities Report, 2005
Improving Neonatal Outcomes of Medicaid-Covered Infants—Investigators
Denise Dougherty, Ph.D., AHRQ Bernard Friedman, Ph.D., AHRQ
Vipul Mankad, MD, U MD (done while at CMS) With assistance of:
– Jeannette Rogowski, Ph.D. – Nikki Highsmith, MPA – Neonatal Outcomes Improvement Group
Rationale and Methods
Rationale: CMS Medicaid trying to stimulate
quality improvement and reduce costs Methods:
– Identified 4 illustrative perinatal areas with evidence of the potential for improvement – Detailed 2002 HCUP cost data on neonatal special care units from 7 States
– Calculated differences between pre- and post-QI admissions or LOS
– Extrapolated to national estimates using national totals of deliveries and incidence of conditions
Results
Average cost difference between a Medicaid NICU stay and a Medicaid regular nursery stay was $18,607
Average difference in LOS was 11-16 days
Source: AHRQ, Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project (HCUP) State Inpatient Databases (SID), 7 States, 2002 data, extrapolated to national estimates
Preliminary Results
Clinical Improvement Smoking cessation/pregnant women Antenatal corticosteroids Savings achieved by Reduced NICU admissions Reduced NICU LOS attributable to RDS Rough estimates of national gross cost savings $48,300,000
$48,727,854
Prophylactic surfactant
Infection reduction in NICU
Reduced NICU LOS
Reduced NICU LOS
$55,822,000
$72,093,193
Notes: 1) Gross mean costs of QI initiatives not included. 2) Medicaid programs may not be able to recoup all costs.
Other compelling reasons to improve perinatal care
Neonatal deaths prevented:
– 338 deaths prevented with smoking cessation
Prevention of extremely low birth weight and
very low birth weight can potentially prevent:
– Intensive care admissions and ICU days during the first year of life – Low IQ – Poor math and gross motor skills – Other poor neurodevelopmental outcomes
(cerebral palsy, vision impairments)
References available on request.
Conclusions
Conclusions:
– Needless deaths and substantial morbidity
can be prevented – Substantial child life years gained – Medicaid expenditures can potentially be reduced
Caveats and Needed Research
Caveats:
– Figures are preliminary and illustrative due to incompleteness of data sources – Cost of QI interventions not included – State Medicaid programs unlikely to recoup all savings
Research needed:
– Effectiveness of QI for other leading causes of
child deaths and morbidity – National data on children’s health care quality and costs – Research on effectiveness of interventions (to develop quality measures)
Informal Reactions from Previous Reviewers
Needless deaths pre-review
– Enthusiasm during presentations – For potential publication:
Numbers are small relative to other conditions and due to QI focus
Child life years gained not understood
Neonatal care improvements
– Some States eager to discuss
– CMS to hold stakeholder meeting – Some States say they don’t have these problems – analysis doesn’t apply to them
Questions
Is this enough to act on? If not, why not?
What research strategies should be used to create more data and frame the issues?
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