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Forecast of China Shipbuilding Market Trends

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					Forecast of China Shipbuilding Market Trends
2008-2009 Prediction of China's shipbuilding market and investment
strategy report
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CONTENTS
I. Introduction 1 industry
(A) the definition and scope of the definition of a trade
1, Industry Definition and Classification 1
2, shipbuilding process 2
3, features three shipbuilding industry
(B) Review the history of 4
Second, the macro Environment 5
(A) policy and legal analysis of 5
1, "the development of shipbuilding industry and long-term
planning" 5
2 "shipping manufacturing production conditions the basic requirements
and evaluation methods" 6
3, China abolished export tax rebates ship section 6
(B) Economic Analysis 7
1, economic growth 7
2, urban households disposable income and Engel's Coefficient 10
3, deposit and loan interest rate changes 11
4, income and expenditure 12
5, 14, the RMB exchange rate change
(C) Technical Analysis 14
(D) of the Economic Operation of China's shipbuilding industry 15
1,2006 in the quality of China's shipbuilding industry was significantly
increased by 15 runs
2, the main features of the current economic operation 18
3, the current economic operation of ships in the 19 main problems
Third, market analysis 21
(A) market size 21
1, the international shipping industry market size 21
2, the domestic shipping industry market size 24
3, the market prospects of 26
(B) Import and Export of China's shipbuilding 26
(C) the price movements of 29 ships
(D) of the product structure 31
(E) the three main segments of supply and demand analysis of 32 ship
1, bulk carrier market: Transport pattern mutation, 33 adequate future demand
2, oil tanker market: demand for support orders and update the ship, high 38
3, container ship market: lack of new demand, the outlook is not optimistic 42
(E) Regional Market Structure 45
1, Shanghai: Government push 46
2, Jiangsu: government, market and jointly promote the type 47
3, Zhejiang: Market spontaneous formation of type 49
4 Summary of shipbuilding industry in Yangtze River Delta 50
5, Liaoning Province 51
6, 52 in Guangdong Province
(F) Market Characteristics 52
Fourth, market competition of 54
(A) concentration of 54
1, the international shipbuilding market concentration of 54
2, the market share of domestic shipbuilding enterprises of 55
(B) Value Chain Analysis 57
(C) of the industry life cycle analysis of 59
(D) international shipping market competition 60
(E) the international competitiveness of China's shipbuilding industry
analysis of 63
1, the competitiveness of products 63
2, the price competitiveness of 65
3, the competitiveness of capital 67
4, 67 technological competitiveness
5, to improve the international competitiveness of China's shipbuilding
industry means 69
6 SWOT analysis of China's shipbuilding industry, 70
(F) the international shipping market share 71 major manufacturers
Five major manufacturers of China's shipbuilding industry, 73
1, China State Shipbuilding Corporation (CSSC, CSSC) 73
2, 78 China State Shipbuilding Co., Ltd.
3, China Shipbuilding Industry Corporation (China Shipbuilding Heavy Industry,
CSIC) 84
4, Dalian Shipbuilding Industry Group Co., Ltd. 86
6, analysis of industry trends 88
(A) of the 88 industry trends
1, Product Development 88
2, technology trends 89
3, price trends 90
4, 90 trends in market competition
(B) Industry Forecast 91
7, the industry development strategy and recommendations 95
8, 96 industry experts
List of Figures
Figure 1 ratio of 2 ship construction work hours
Figure 2, 3, ship construction process
Figure 3 2002-2008 and the first half of China's GDP growth 7
Figure 4 8 world economic growth in recent years
Figure 5 In recent years, BDI Baltic dry index change of 9
Figure 6 the first half of 1990 to 2008, index of changes in ocean klaxon 9
Figure 7 2002-2008 in the first half of Chinese urban residents per capita disposable
income and the Engel coefficient of 10
Figure 8 the first half of 1997-2008 changes in deposit interest rates of 11
Figure 9 the first half of 1997-2008 changes in lending rates of 12
Figure 10 the first half of 2001-2008 fiscal balance of payments 12
Figure 11 the first half of 2001-2008 revenue and expenditure growth and fiscal
revenue share of GDP, 13
Figure 12 the first half of 2001-2008 fiscal revenue and expenditure structure of 13
Figure 10 new ships first half of 2008 the world hit a record high trading volume
(million dwt) 21
Figure 11, steady growth in world shipbuilding production (million dwt) 22
Figure 12 shipyards in the world armed with orders to new high (10,000 dwt) 22
Figure 13 Distribution of orders for new ships (by National Statistics) 23
Figure 14 Distribution of orders for new ships (by vessel type and Statistics) 23
Figure 15 in the first half of 2008 and the share of China's three major
indicators of share of world shipbuilding 25
Figure 16 China's ship exports continue to escalate (number) 27
Figure 17 China's ship exports continue to escalate (amount) 27
Figure 18 China's shipbuilding import (number) 28
Figure 19 China's shipbuilding import (amount) 28
Figure 20 The average price movements of 29 new ships
Figure 21 Structure of the world's existing fleet (early 2007 by dwt terms)
31
Figure 22, the ship size (fleet) 31 changes
Figure 23, the ship size (fleet) growth rate of 32
Figure 24 The delivery of the ship hull volume growth 32 years
Figure 25 shipbuilding market and the shipping market relationship diagram (supply
and demand analysis of logic) 33
Figure 26 bdi index and the shipping price of 33
Figure 27 bulk carriers for each year of new orders (Contracting) 34
Figure 28 new orders each month (Contracting) 34 Trends
Figure 29 Global dry bulk cargo shipping volume of the structure 36
Figure 30 accounts for the global seaborne iron ore imports in China more than 65%
compared with 36
Figure 31 China's coal imports surged in recent years (unit: million tons)
37
Figure 32 China Soybean grain imports are also increasing (Unit: million tons) 37
Figure 33 tanker market since the first half of 2008, tariffs and shipping prices, 38
Figure 34 the first half of 2008, new orders (Contracting): effect due to CSR, a new
high of 39
Figure 35 the first half of 2004-2008, the monthly new orders (Contracting) 39
Figure 36 tanker market cycle 40
Figure 37 of the container ship shipbuilding shipping market prices (new and used
boats boats, thousands of U.S. dollars) 42
Figure 38 container ships each year of new orders (1000 teu) 43
Figure 39 container ships each month of new orders (Contracting) 43 Trends
Figure 40 Age structure of the global container ship fleet 44
Figure 41 cargo shipping container volume growth: In recent years, declining 44
Figure 42 Order / fleet size: 44 maintained at about 50%
Figure 43 orders for the country accounting for hand-held (early in 2007, according to
dwt terms) 54
Figure 44 national proportion of new orders (2006, by dwt terms) 54
Figure 45 Delivery quantity of the country accounting for (06 years total by dwt) 55
Figure 47 57 shipbuilding industry chain
Shipping costs constitute 58 Figure 48
Figure 49 shipbuilding related industries in the percentage of input 58
Figure 50 Ship Industry Life Cycle 59
Figure 51 countries worldwide shipbuilding market share volume delivery of the ship
61 Evolution of graph
Figure 52 years hand-held order (Order) 61
Figure 53 years of new orders (Contracting) 62
Figure 54 Delivery quantity over the years (Deliveries) 62
Figure 55 handheld orders / volume indicators 63
Figure 56 handheld order order (cgt / dwt) 63
Figure 57 new orders contracting (cgt / dwt) 64
Figure 58 Delivery volume of deliveries (cgt / dwt) 64
Figure 59 in the first half of 2008, the three indexes of 66 Japanese and Korean
shipbuilding
Figure 60 units of weight tonnage of the ship 67
Figure 61 subsidiary companies in the Group of 74 boats
Figure 62 Figure 78 China Ship Ownership Structure
Figure 63 constitute the main business income of China Shipping (by business) 78
Figure 64 constitute the main business income of China Shipping (by business) 79
Figure 65 China's major production ship 81 ship prices
Figure 66, the profitability of China's ship to sail 82
Figure 67 subsidiary companies in the Shipbuilding Industry Structure 85
Figure 68 in the world shipbuilding capacity and the total global merchandise trade
Scatter 91
Figure 69 in the world shipbuilding capacity and global GDP, plot 92
Figure 70 -2,012 2008 World shipbuilding completions predicted value (million
dwt,%) 93
Figure 71 2008 -2,012 shipbuilding capacity in China predictive value (million dwt,%)
93
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Table catalog
Table 1 China's shipbuilding past 10 years, making machine in the world
market share and ranking of 4 compared
Table 2 China's financial operating conditions of metal shipbuilding
industry (100 million yuan, times / year) 16
Table 3 China Marine Equipment operating conditions in manufacturing industry (100
million yuan, times / year) 16
Table 4 China's ship repair and ship-breaking industry financial operating
conditions (100 million yuan, times / year) 17
Table 5 completions of new vessels (10,000 dwt) 24
Table 6 China's shipbuilding industry in 2003-2008 in the first half three
indicators (million dwt,%) 25
Table 7 Evolution of the price of new vessels (10,000 U.S. dollars) 30
Table 8, the world's current age structure of bulk shipping fleet (early 2007,
one million dwt) 35
Table 9 bulk carrier order / fleet (million dwt) 35
Table 10 Bulk order / deliveries (million dwt) 35
Table 11, the age structure of existing tankers (early in 2007, millions of dwt) 41
Table 12 tanker order / fleet million dwt) 41
Table 13 tanker order / deliveries (million dwt) 41
Table 14 in the first half of 2008 over the scale of China's shipbuilding
industry 46 regional distribution companies
Table 15, the backbone of the Yangtze River Delta Shipbuilding Company ship in the
world shipbuilding market, the main advantage of more than 50
Table 16 in the first half of 2008 ships and floating equipment manufacturer sales top
ten 55
Table 17 ship product characteristics of the industry life cycle stage 59
Table 18 Japan and South Korea in the shipbuilding industry cost-competitive price
index of 66
Table 19 in recent years in Japan and Korea Shipbuilding Enterprise Performance
Comparison 67
Table 20 in Japan and Korea Shipbuilding compared 68 competitive factors
Table 21 in the first half of 2008 the Group completed the world's
shipbuilding capacity 71 top ten list
Table 22 in the first half of 2008 completed the world's shipbuilding
capacity 71 top ten list
Table 23 in the first half of 2008 received the world's shipbuilding orders
new group of 72 top ten list
Table 24 in the first half of 2008 the world's shipbuilding companies
received new orders of 72 top ten list
Table 25 in the first half of 2008 the world's shipbuilding orders in the
Group holding 72 of the top ten list
Table 26 in the first half of 2008 the world's shipbuilding orders top ten list
of 73 hand-held
Table 27 Chinese production situation of main business ships 80
Table 28 ,2008-2011, according to the order will be delivered each of the 80 orders
ship
Table 29 China Ship quarterly financial indicators before and after the reorganization
of 82
Table 30 China Waigaoqiao ship existing base and may be injected into the
Changxing base, base Longxuedao comparative table of 84
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