Right (and left) wing populism in the Netherlands

							Right (and left) wing
      populism
 in the Netherlands
    Jeroen Dijsselbloem
   Member of Parliament
             Elections in Holland
                 % of votes
18
16
14
12
10
8                                              Populist-right
6
4
2
0
     1989   1994   1998   2002   2003   2006
             Elections in Holland
                 % of votes
18
16
14
12
10
                                               Populist-right
8
                                               Populist-left
6
4
2
0
     1989   1994   1998   2002   2003   2006
                   Elections in Holland
                       % of votes
35

30

25

20                                                                         Populist-right
                                                                           Populist-left
15
                                                                           PvdA
10

5

0
     1977   1981   1982   1986   1989   1994   1998   2002   2003   2006
    Changes at Dutch elections:
    seats moved in one election
Until 1965   always less then 9
Until 1985   always less then 20
1994             34
1998             25
2002             46
2003             24
2006             30
             Elections in Holland
                 % of votes
25


20


15

                                               Populist total
10


5


0
     1989   1994   1998   2002   2003   2006
     Themes of populist right

Threats of migration / Islam

Euroscepsis

Decay of norms and values
     Threats of migration

If I lived in a neighbourhood with a
lot of immigrants, I would move to a
more „white‟ neighbourhood

           48 % agrees

                         TNS NIPO 2004
    Feelings towards Muslims
           (TNS NIPO 2004)



Negative   36 %

Neutral    47 %

Positive   15 %
   Attitude towards minorities
Woman wearing a burka should be
excluded from social security payments


Yes      75 %
No       20 %

                             Peil.nl 2005
   Attitude towards minorities
There should be a ban on headscarfs
for public servants

Yes     63 %
No      32 %

                         Peil.nl 2004
         Multiple nationality
Can migrants become Dutch nationals
 without giving up their original nationality?

          Total     Populist right

Yes       31 %       8%
No        69 %      92 %
                                     Peil.nl 2006
   Attitude towards minorities
Migrants must conform to the way of life
in the host country.

 Holland       England        Germany
 81,5 %        68,2 %         77,5 %

                               ESS 2004
    Attitude towards minorities
As condition for migration I find it important
that migrants speak the national language.

 Holland       England         Germany
 75,3 %        65,0 %          76,0 %

                                 ESS 2004
     Attitude towards Europe
EU-sceptic
Total average     55   %
Populist right    88   %
Populist left     72   %
PvdA              50   %
                           Peil.nl 2006
           Norms and values
Moral standards are deteriorating more and more.

                YES
1970            39 %
1980            60
1996            61
1998            69
         Norms and values
Tax fraud is unacceptable

                 1991       1998
Netherlands       45 %       61 %
Italy             74         70
UK                73         72
         Norms and values
         Tougher on law and order

Higher sentences: 90%

Tougher prisonregime: 70%
             Norms and values
   Feeling of insecurity related to islam&migration:

   Migrant-youthgangs (68%)
   Terrorist attack (53%)
   Islamic law (41%)
   Foreign languages in public (41%)
   Headscarfs in public (13%)
                                          TNS-NIPO 2004
          Norms and values

 Islam is compatible to our way of life
 No: 50%


 Muslims can contribute to Dutch culture
 Yes: 34%

                                     SCP 2005
Populist vote (left + right) 22 - 23 %

No to globalization                 24 %
EU-sceptic                          23 %
More priority for integration       23 %
Worries about norms and values      69%
Cultural „clash‟ islam              50 %

“OUR WAY OF LIFE”
         Hopes for the future
 1.   More solidarity
 2.   Safety and security
 3.   Keeping to traditional norms&values
 4.   Safeguarding the welfare state
 5.   Remaining a prosperous country

   THIS IS THE CENTRE-LEFT AGENDA!