Sonoma County Community College District
Santa Rosa Junior College Educational/Facilities Master Plan
Progress Report: November 2002
MAAS COMPANIES
Overview/Recap of Past Month
• Completed Environmental Scans (External/Internal) • Forecasted Components for Future POI • Recommended Growth Capacity for the District • Identified Future Sq. Ft. Needs
• Assessed Development Potential for all Sites
• Began Preliminary Conceptual Designs Including: Campus Circulation, Parking and Facility Interrelationships
MAAS COMPANIES
External Enviromental Scan
Immediate (Local) Area
Regional Area
Statewide
MAAS COMPANIES
Local Sources of Enrollment
Key Cities for Student Enrollment 5 Year Average (1997 - 2001)
All Other In-District 9.8% Sebastopol 6.6% Sonoma 4.2% Rohnert Park 7.3% Petaluma 12.1% Windsor 3.9% Out-of-District 7.8% Santa Rosa 44.7%
Healdsburg 3.6%
MAAS COMPANIES
Local Support Environment
Water, Sewer, Storm Drainage Electric, Gas, Telecom
Support Infrastructure
Transportation Access Seismic Stability Prospects for Growth
MAAS COMPANIES
Growth Forecast for Local Area
Key Cities Prospects for Growth
4.50% 4.00% 3.50% 3.00% 2.50% 2.00% 1.50% 1.00% 0.50% 0.00%
Annual Rate
2010 Santa Rosa Petaluma Healdsburg Windsor Sebastopol Sonoma Rohnert Park 33,612 9,579 1,455 10,632 3,244 5,024 5,749 69,295
So no m Ro a hn er tP ar k
Sa nt aR os a Pe ta lu m a He al ds bu rg
in ds or
ba st op ol
St at e
Total
W
Se
MAAS COMPANIES
Snapshot of Regional/Service Area
Area
Pop
ROG HH$
1.71% $55,318
Age
37.5
Per Cap $
$25,466
Ethnicity
White Hispanic Black Asian/PI 81.0% 18.0% 3.3% 4.1%
Santa Rosa 467,786 County
MAAS COMPANIES
Regional Economic Health
Sonoma County Relative Percentage Change in Labor Force 1996-2001
5.0% 4.0% Annual Rate of 3.0% Change 2.0% 1.0% 0.0% 1996 1997 1998 Year 1999 2000 2001
California Sonoma Solano
MAAS COMPANIES
Regional Economic Health
Sonoma County Relative Change in Unemployment Rate 1996 - 2001
8.0%
Annual Rate of Unemployment
6.0% 4.0% 2.0% 0.0% 1996 1997 1998 Year 1999 2000 2001
California Sonoma Solano
MAAS COMPANIES
Regional Economic Health
Sonoma County Employment by Industry 2001 Annual Average
Whole Trade 3.6% Finance/Ins/RE 5.3% Construction 7.1% Retail Trade 18.5% Manufacturing 16.2% Agriculture 3.6% Trans/Pub Util 3.3% Services 28.1%
Government 14.3%
MAAS COMPANIES
-8.0% 0.0% 2.0% 4.0%
Farm Mining Const ruct ion Manufact uring T ransport at ion/ P ublic Ut ilit ies Wholesale T rade Ret ail T rade
-6.0%
-4.0%
-2.0%
Regional Economic Health
Year-Over Employment Dynamics Sonoma County August 2001 to August 2002
MAAS COMPANIES
Finance/Insuranc e/Real Est at e
Services
Governement
“Growth Jobs” In the Region
OCCUPA TION
Systems Anal/Data Proc Computer Support Spec Computer Engineers Human Services Wrks Corrections Off/Jailers Speech Pathologist/Aud Bus Teachers/Post Sec Demonstrators/Promoters Sales Agent – Bus Services Hand Packers/Packagers Printing Press/Mach Oper Postal Mail Carriers Eng/Nat Sci/Math Mgrs Sales Agents/Advertising
1999
210 390 220 150 470 270 150 250 220 1,200 230 530 340 170
2006
330 610 310 210 640 360 200 330 290 1,570 300 690 440 220
# of Job s
120 220 90 60 170 90 50 80 70 370 70 160 100 50
%
57.1 56.4 40.9 40 36.2 33.3 33.3 32 31.8 308 30.4 30.2 29.4 29.4
EDUCA TION OR TRA INING
Bachelors Degree Bachelors Degree Bachelors Degree Moderate On-The-Job Training Long-term On-The-Job Training Masters Degree Doctoral Degree Moderate On-The-Job Training Moderate On-The-Job Training Short-term On-The-Job Training Moderate On-The-Job Training Short-term On-The-Job Training Wk Exp + Bachelor’s & Higher Moderate On-The-Job Training
MAAS COMPANIES
Vitality/Issues of the State
Huge Technology Slide + September 11th Growth Will Be In And Around Major Counties High Tech and Manufacturing Down – 35,500 Jobs Private Sector Construction Down/Public Sector Up Commercial Real Estate In Distress Statewide For Community Colleges (Now & Future) Preparation of Student for College Level Greater Ethnic Diversity Keeping Current With Technology Funding Creating A Trained Workforce
MAAS COMPANIES
Internal Environmental Scan
Trends of the Campuses and Educational Centers Student Characteristics Other Key Factors/Element
MAAS COMPANIES
Enrollment
Unduplicated District Enrollments
40,000 35,000 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 Non Credit Credit 1996 5,000 27,509 1997 4,979 27,586 1998 5,695 27,185 1999 5,939 27,655 2000 6,638 28,711 2001 7,595 28,576
MAAS COMPANIES
Credit Enrollment Trends By Location
Credit Enrollment By Location -Duplicated
25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000
Public Safety Santa Rosa Petaluma/TA
5,000 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001
All Other Locations
MAAS COMPANIES
Student Participation Rates
Student Particiation Rates By Geograhpic Location
100 80 60
SPR
40 20 0
2000 Central (Santa Rosa) North County South County West County 82.97 59.66 58.56 73.09
2001 83.52 58.54 57.84 71.42
MAAS COMPANIES
Student Characteristics
Gender Profile
70.0% 60.0% 50.0% 40.0% 30.0% 20.0% 10.0% 0.0% 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 Male Female Unknown
MAAS COMPANIES
Student Characteristics
Day/Evening Credit Enrollment Trend
50.0%
% En rol l e d
40.0% 30.0% 20.0% 10.0% 0.0% 1996 1997 1998 1999 Year 2000 2001 Average Day Credit Evening Credit Day/Evening Credit
MAAS COMPANIES
Student Characteristics
Enrollment By Age Distribution
40.0% 35.0% 30.0% 25.0% 20.0% 15.0% 10.0% 5.0% 0.0% 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001
<18 18-25 26-30 31-40 41-50 51+
MAAS COMPANIES
Student Characteristics
Most Dominant Race/Ethnic Distributions Trends
25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 White Hispanic/Latino Asian Black 1996 21,228 3,159 934 564 1997 21,567 3,200 1,048 560 1998 21,698 3,208 1,044 535 1999 21,680 3,435 1,090 519 2000 21,143 3,555 1,101 489 2001 21,871 3,668 1,177 436
White Hispanic/Latino Asian Black
MAAS COMPANIES
Student Characteristics
Full Time/Part Time Student Enrollment
Full Time = 12 Credits or More
70.0% 60.0% 50.0% 40.0% 30.0% 20.0% 10.0% 0.0% 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 Ave
Full Time Credit Part Time Credit Non Credit
MAAS COMPANIES
Student Characteristics
Number of Units Earned
40.0% 35.0% 30.0% 25.0% 20.0% 15.0% 10.0% 5.0% 0.0% 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 Ave
12 or more 9.0 - 11.5 6.0 - 8.5 3.5 - 5.5 0.5 - 3.0 Zero Units
MAAS COMPANIES
Student Characteristics
Five Year Profile of Degrees and Certificates
6,000 4,000 2,000 AA Degrees AS Degrees Certificates 1996-97 1997-98 1998-99 1999-00 2000-01 802 395 5,436 1,108 612 4,733 1,241 738 4,319 1,153 656 4,690 1,180 587 4,284
MAAS COMPANIES
Data Of Note
AA/AS Degree Awards By Basic Skills Origin
250 200 150 100 50 0 1995-96 1996-97 1997-98 1998-99 1999-00
1 Course 2 Courses 3+ Courses
MAAS COMPANIES
Data of Note
Educational Goals - Traditional
7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 1997 1998 19991 2000 2001 Ave Transfer to 4YR w/AA/AS Transfer to 4YR w/o AA/AS AA/AS General Education AA/AS Vocational Vocational Certificate Undecided on Goal
MAAS COMPANIES
Data of Note
Educational Goals - Less Traditional
12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 1997 1998 19991 2000 2001 Ave
Personal Interest Discover/Formulate Career Int Job Skills - New Prep Job Skills - Maintain/Advance Maintain Cert or License Improve Basic Skills HS Diploma/GED Uncollected/Unreported
MAAS COMPANIES
Data of Note
Average Age of District Employees By Category
53 52 51 50 Years of Age 49 48 47 46 45 44 Ed Admin FT Faculty Temp Faculty Class Admin Class Prof ClassSupport
1
MAAS COMPANIES
Determining Future Growth/Capacity
Enrollment Weekly Student Contact Hours (WSCH) Credit Hours Only
MAAS COMPANIES
Baseline for Determining Growth
Credit WSCH Profile for the District
240,000.0 230,000.0 WSCH Generation 220,000.0 210,000.0 200,000.0 190,000.0 1996 1997 1998 Year 1999 2000 2001
MAAS COMPANIES
WSCH/Location - Absolute Value
2001 Fall Semester WSCH Generation By Location
6,861 7,253 Santa Rosa Petaluma/TA PSTC All Other 189,945
27,359
MAAS COMPANIES
WSCH/Location Relative Value
2001 Fall Semester Credit WSCH Generation By Location
3.0% 3.1% Santa Rosa Petaluma/TA PSTC All Other 82.1%
11.8%
MAAS COMPANIES
Projection of Future WSCH
District Credit WSCH Projections
500,000 400,000
WSCH
300,000 200,000 100,000 2001 2005 2010 2015 2020
MAAS COMPANIES
Distribution of Future Credit WSCH
2010 Credit WSCH Projection By Location
2020 Credit WSCH Projection By Location
3.8% 15.5%
4.2%
4.7% 22.7%
6.9%
76.5%
65.7%
Santa Rosa Petaluma/T A PST C All Other
Santa Rosa Petaluma/T A PST C All Other
MAAS COMPANIES
Growth Projection Comparisons
Growth Comparisons
5.00% 4.00% 3.00% 2.00% 1.00% 0.00% WSCH ROG Enrollment ROG Chancellor Office - 15 Year Averages Maas Projection - 20 Year Average
MAAS COMPANIES
Achieving New Growth
Continuance of Attraction Success – SPR’s Retention of Existing Students Capitalizing on New Growth Service to the Seven Key Cities
Expanding Basic Skills Education Strong Program of Occ/Voc Ed Operational/Academic Efficiency
MAAS COMPANIES
Operational Efficiency
WSCH Per FTEF By Location and Districtwide
1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 Santa Rosa Petaluma/TA PSTC Other District
State Standard Source
MAAS COMPANIES
Snapshot of Key Markers – SR Campus
ASF
Yr.
2001
Sec
2,046
WSCH
189,945
WSCH/Sec WSCH/En 92.8 9.1
Lec
Lab
Total
69,655 146,673 216,328
2010
2020
2,314
2,671
231,046
287,209
99.8
107.5
9.1
9.6
62,909 155,081 217,909
78,158 194,283 272,440 MAAS COMPANIES
Total Space Requirements SR Campus
C LA S S
0 100 210-230 235-255 300 400 510-515 520-525 530-535 540-555 580 610-625 630-635 650-655 660-665 670-690 710-715 720-770 800 900
TYPE
Inactive Area Classroom Laboratory Laboratory Service Office/ Conference Library Armory/ Armory Service Phys E ducation (Indoor) * Instruct M edia (AV/ TV) Clinic/ Demonstration Greenhouse Assembly/ E xhibition Food Service Lounge/ Lounge Service Bookstore M eeting / Recreation Data Processing/ Comp Physical Plant Health Service Dormitories TOTAL ASF
A S 2001 A S 2020 A S +/ F F F
14,067 69,655 146,673 781 85,852 29,127 30 4,523 15,018 5,726 14,681 20,450 5,870 7,206 7,897 2,809 24,105 3,179 8,510 466,159 76,994 0 78,158 194,283 2,851 76,589 96,627 0 17,752 12,003 0 30,007 18,004 6,414 21,605 9,992 5,000 30,274 1,200 0 600,759 76,994 -14,067 8,503 47,610 2,070 -9,263 67,500 -30 13,229 -3,015 -5,726 15,326 -2,446 544 14,399 2,095 2,191 6,169 -1,979 -8,510 134,600 0
separate calculation - see below
520-525 Phys E ducation (Indoor) *
MAAS COMPANIES
Snapshot of Key Markers – Petaluma/TA
ASF
Yr.
2001 2010 2020
Sec
423 646 1,140
WSCH WSCH/Sec WSCH/En Lec
27,535 46,832 99,252 65.1 72.5 107.5 4.9 5.7 7.9
Lab
Total
13,401 11,446 24,847 13,909 28,175 29,547 59,362 42,084 88,910
MAAS COMPANIES
Total Space Requirements Petaluma
C LA S S
0 100 210-230 235-255 300 400 520-525 530-535 540-555 580 610-625 630-635 650-655 660-665 670-690 710-715 720-770 800 900
TYPE
Inactive Area Classroom Laboratory Laboratory Service Office/ Conference Library Phys E ducation (Indoor) Instruct M edia (AV/ TV) Clinic/ Demonstration Greenhouse Assembly/ E xhibition Food Service Lounge/ Lounge Service Bookstore M eeting / Recreation Data Processing/ Comp Physical Plant Health Service Dormitories TOTAL ASF
A S 2001 F
13,401 11,446 9,201 5,628 861 2,336 2,261 144 45,278
A S 2020 F
29,547 59,362 1,191 26,468 45,274 35,000 13,385 5,016 12,540 7,524 2,217 9,902 4,176 5,000 3,524 1,200 261,326
A S +/ F
16,146 47,916 1,191 17,267 39,646 35,000 12,524 5,016 12,540 5,188 2,217 7,641 4,032 5,000 3,524 1,200 216,048
MAAS COMPANIES
Snapshot of Key Markers – PSTC
ASF
Yr.
2001
Sec
71
WSCH WSCH/Sec WSCH/En Lec
6,861 96.6 4.7
Lab
Total
30,554
6,953 23,601
2010
2020
102
159
11,520
20,392
112.9
128.3
5.5
6.6
3,549 6,950
6,283 12,295 MAAS COMPANIES
10,499
18,578
Total Space Requirements - PSTC
C LA S S
0 100 210-230 235-255 300 400 510-515 520-525 530-535 540-555 580 610-625 630-635 650-655 660-665 670-690 710-715 720-770 800 900
TYPE
Inactive Area Classroom Laboratory Laboratory Service O ffice/ Conference Library Armory/ Armory Service Phys E ducation (Indoor) Instruct M edia (AV/ TV) Clinic/ Demonstration Greenhouse Assembly/ E xhibition Food Service Lounge/ Lounge Service Bookstore M eeting / Recreation Data Processing/ Comp Physical Plant Health Service Dormitories TO TAL ASF
A S 2001 F
225 6,953 23,601 0 3,238 1,525 731 480 322 0 0 0 0 200 0 0 0 2,305 0 0 39,580
A S 2020 F
0 6,283 12,295 293 5,438 3,500 1,945 1,699 850 0 0 3,087 850 455 850 1,028 450 2,166 450 0 41,639
A S +/ F
-225 -670 -11306 293 2200 1975 1214 1219 528 0 0 3087 850 255 850 1028 450 -139 450 0 2,059
MAAS COMPANIES
Snapshot of Key Markers – North County
ASF
Yr.
2001 2010 2020
Sec
0 0 32
WSCH
0 0 13,789
WSCH/Sec WSCH/En Lec 0 0 78.8 0 0 4.6 0 0
Lab
0 0
Total
0 0
3,659 12,881 16,540
MAAS COMPANIES
Space Requirements – North County
C LA S S
0 100 210-230 235-255 300 400 520-525 530-535 540-555 580 610-625 630-635 650-655 660-665 670-690 710-715 720-770 800 900
TYPE
Inactive Area Classroom Laboratory Laboratory Service Office/ Conference Library Phys E ducation (Indoor) Instruct M edia (AV/ TV) Clinic/ Demonstration Greenhouse Assembly/ E xhibition Food Service Lounge/ Lounge Service Bookstore M eeting / Recreation Data Processing/ Comp Physical Plant Health Service Dormitories TOTAL ASF
A S 2001 F
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
A S 2020 F
0 3,659 12,881 285 3,677 4,500 0 1,800 0 0 3,000 1,800 308 1,500 999 800 2,233 450 0 37,892
A S +/ F
0 3,659 12,881 285 3,677 4,500 0 1,800 0 0 3,000 1,800 308 1,500 999 800 2,233 450 0 37,892
MAAS COMPANIES
Capacity Load Ratios
District Capacity Load Ratios for Lecture Space
120% 100%
Cap Load
Cap Load
District Capactiy Load Ratios for Lab Space
120% 100% 80%
80% 60% 40% 20% 0%
03 04 05 06 07 08 09 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
Lecture Baseline
Laboratory
60% 40% 20% 0%
03 04 05 06 07 08 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 09
Baseline
MAAS COMPANIES
Growth At Varying Rates
Annual Average Rate of Growth By Location for WSCH and Enrollment
18% 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% Santa Rosa Petaluma/TA Campus Campus PSTC All Other District
WSCH Enrollment
MAAS COMPANIES
Facilities Plan Update Santa Rosa Campus
MAAS COMPANIES
Facilities Plan Update Petaluma Campus
MAAS COMPANIES
MAAS COMPANIES
Project Team
Michael Maas Ron Wigginton Ann Kennedy Ken Cereghino Joyce Black Kris Fox Hugh Brownlee
MAAS COMPANIES
November 13, 2002