Q3. Service and market forecast for B3G

W
Shared by: kimbrozic
-
Stats
views:
34
posted:
3/13/2009
language:
English
pages:
27
Document Sample
scope of work template
							Outcome at WP8F Berlin meeting
  and future work pertaining to
Spectrum calculation methodology


 Hitoshi Yoshino, ARIB WP8F Preparation Group

             3rd CJK B3G Meeting
                July 6th, 2004
Outcome at WP8F Berlin meeting(1)
• Two working documents were developed;

1) Elements to be used for the development of IMT.ESTIMATE
   (Doc.8F/TEMP/120Rev.1), which proposes the following process;
   - Market segment analysis,
   - Radio Access Technique identification,
   - Traffic distribution among RAT,
   - Spectrum requirement estimation,

2) Working document towards Methodology for Calculation of spectrum
   requirement (Doc.8F/TEMP/123), which describes;
   - Guidelines for methodology to be developed (incl. generic flow chart),
   - Limitations of the existing Rec. M.1390 methodology,
   - (Proposed) detailed calculation methodology.
Outcome at WP8F Berlin meeting(2)
1) Elements to be used for the development of IMT.ESTIMATE
   (Doc.8F/120R1);

                                                                 Market Segments                         Access
                                      Mobile Market
                                                                                                       Techniques

   a) Considers Various market                   Public     Communication      Mobile
                                                                                                    •Pre IMT Cellular Mobile


       segments,
                                                                                         Pre IMT

                                                                                                    •Terrestrial Component
                                                                                                    •Satellite Component
                                                                                         IMT-2000   •Enhanced IMT-2000



   b) Identifies Access Techniques,                                                                 •New Mobile Access



       taking into account the                                                                      •MSS



       market segments,                                                        Nomadic
                                                                                                    •RLAN Hot Spots
                                                                                                    •New Nomadic Access /
                                                                                                     Local Area Wireless
                                                            Distribution
                                                                                                     Access capabilities


                                                FWA                                                  •Digital broadcast
                                                                                                     •BSS


                                                  Private / home environment                         •RLAN
                                                                                                     •cordless devices
                                                                                                     •short-range devices
                                                                                                     •[UWB]
                                                Non public market
Outcome at WP8F Berlin meeting(3)
 1) Elements to be used for the development of IMT.ESTIMATE
    (Doc.8F/120R1);




c) Proposes
  “only elements of mobile and nomadic communication technology
   having bi-directional capabilities shall be considered”, as for spectrum
   requirements in the context of WRC-07 A.I. 1.4,
 Outcome at WP8F Berlin meeting(4)
   1) Elements to be used for the development of IMT.ESTIMATE
      (Doc.8F/120R1);
d) Concludes that traffic volume shall
be considered for the following
systems;                                                        Market of
                                                                Mobile Communication

1) Terrestrial cellular mobile                                      Distribute Traffic amongst                   Market Segmentation

    - pre-IMT-2000 cellular,
                                                                    Market Segments                                   Features



   - Terrestrial-IMT-2000,                                            Communication                   Distribution             Others

   - Enhanced ITM-2000, and
                                                                      •Cellular Mobile
                                                                      •Nomadic
                                                                      •Mobile Satellite Systems

   - New Mobile Access capabilities,                                     Distribute Traffic

2) Terrestrial Nomadic
                                                                                                                     RAT Distinguishing
                                                                         amongst RATs                                    Features



    - R-LAN hot spots,
   - New Nomadic/Local Area              Cellular Mobile
                                         •Pre-IMT Cellular Mobile
                                                                              Short Range
                                                                              •RLAN Hot Spots
                                                                                                           Satellite
                                                                                                           •IMT-2000 Satellite Component and its evolution

       Wireless Access capabilities,     •Terrestrial IMT-2000
                                         •Enhanced IMT-2000
                                                                              •New Nomadic Access /
                                                                               Local Area Wireless
                                                                                                           •MSS

                                         •New Mobile Access

3) Satellite Applications
                                                                               Access capabilities
                                                                                                                                 Traffic Volume of RATs


    - IMT-2000 Satellite component                            Distribution of Traffic amongst RATs
      and its evolution,
   - MSS.
Outcome at WP8F Berlin meeting(5)
    1) Elements to be used for the development of IMT.ESTIMATE
       (Doc.8F/120R1);
5) Identifies IMT-relevant Radio Access Techniques (RAT), which fall into IMT-
2000 relevant segments, within ITU-R Rec. M.1645 (Framework Rec.) ;
    1) IMT-2000 terrestrial component,
    2) IMT-2000 satellite component,
    3) Enhancements of IMT-2000,
    4) Nomadic public RLAN,
    5) New Mobile Radio Access Capabilities,
    6) New Nomadic/Local Area Wireless Access Capabilities.

6) The following distinguishing feature should be considered in order to determine
which RAT is suitable or not for a specific service type or applications;
     1) Radio Frequency bands, 2) Max cell size/range, 3) Max/Min transmit power,
     4) Min sensitivity, 5) Error robustness, 6) Max user density per give spectrum,
     7) Target deployment env.(coverage), 8) mobility, 9) vertical HO support,
    10) channel char. and QoS, 11) Duplex scheme, 12) NW topology,
    13) multicast support, 14) current commercial footprint
Outcome at WP8F Berlin meeting(6)
  1) Elements to be used for the development of IMT.ESTIMATE
     (Doc.8F/120R1);


7) Prposes that IMT-relevant Radio Access Techniques (RAT), should be
considered for Spectrum Requirement Estimation;
                               Traffic Volume of RATs


                               Identify IMT relevant Traffic                        Vision on IMT-2000 and
                                          Volume                                   Systems Beyond IMT-2000




                                                                                            New Nomadic Access /
                     IMT-2000 and its Enhancements             New Mobile Access             Local Area Wireless
                       (Terrestrial and Satellite)                Capabilities               Access Capabilities



                                                                                          IMT relevant Traffic Volume


                                                                                                   IMT-2000
                               Spectrum Requirement Estimation                                  identified Bands




                        Spectrum for Future Development of IMT-2000
                                                                                                Candidate Bands
                               and Systems Beyond IMT-2000




                                          Spectrum Requirement Estimation
  Outcome at WP8F Berlin meeting(7)
2) Working document towards Methodology for Calculation of spectrum requirement
(Doc.8F/TEMP/123),
                                                       1. Definitions
                                                       a) Services,
                                                       b) Service environments,
                                                       c) Radio environments,
                                                       d) Radio Access Technique




     5.3 Generic flow chart
                                                       2. Analyze the collected
                                                            market data



                                                       3. Compute traffic demand          Determine distribution
                                                            by service environment        coefficients , which distribute
                                                            and services                  traffic to different RAT
                                                                                          according to possible


     This section was revised.
                                                                                          deployment scenarios, by
                                                       4. Distribute traffic among        using Monte-Carlo based
                                                            Radio Access                  simulations, if necessary
                                                            Techniques

                                            RAT #2                    RAT #1            RAT #3

                                                     5. Compute spectrum
                                                          requirement per RAT
                                                     a) Distribute traffic within RAT
                                                     b) Determine system capacity         Determine distribution
                                                          required to carry traffic       coefficients Rk,r,n , which
                                                                                          distribute traffic within RAT
                                                                                          according to the
                                                                                          characteristics of possible
                                                       6. Apply any additional
                                                                                          RAT group, by using Monte-
                                                            weighting factors
                                                                                          Carlo based simulations, if
                                                                                          necessary


                                                       7. Spectrum requirements for
                                                            RAT #1                                  Deterministic approach



                                                                                                     Monte-Carlo approach,
                                                      8. Aggregate spectrum                          if necessary
                                                       8.Employ
                                                           requirements
                                                       weighting factors


                                                       9.Spectrum
                                                       requirements
  Outcome at WP8F Berlin meeting(8)
2) Working document towards Methodology for Calculation of spectrum requirement
(Doc.8F/TEMP/123),

5.4 Definitions; this section was revised;
- Service category,
  - Service type
     1) Speech,
     2) Low rate Data & low multimedia,
     3) Medium multimedia,
     4) high multimedia,
     5) super high multimedia),
  - Traffic class (CBR, VBR, ABR, UBR)
- Service environment : the idea of reduction was included.
   - Service usage patterns
     1) Home, 2) Office, 3)Public area, 4) Wide area,
   - Teledensity
     1) Dense urban, 2) Urban, 3) Sub-urban, 4) Rural, 5) Remote
                  Service environments
Service environment consists of Service Usage patterns and Teledensity.
    The number of the environments can be reduced, taking into account their
    commonality.

1) Service Usage Patterns:
•   Home                                                                                Radio Environments

•   Office,
•   Public Area, and
•   Wide Area
                                                                       Macro-cell

2) Teledensity:
                                                                       Micro-cell
•   Dense urban,
•   Urban,                                                             Pico-cell                             Rural


•   Sub-urban,
                                                                                                         Sub-urban
                              Service environment

•   Rural
                              (combination of service usage pattern                                  Urban
                              and topographic area, blue plain)
                                                                       Hot spot
                                                                                                                ic
                                                                                                              ph
                                                                                               Dense urban

•   Remote                      Home              Office          Public area      Wide area              og
                                                                                                            ra
                                                                                                         p s
                    Service usage patterns
                          Service Usage Patterns                                                       To rea
                                                                                                         A
                                                 Fig. 1 Environment Space
  Outcome at WP8F Berlin meeting(9)
2) Working document towards Methodology for Calculation of spectrum requirement
(Doc.8F/TEMP/123),

5.4 Definitions (continued);

- Radio environment,
    1) Macro cell, 2) Micro cell, 3) Pico cell, 4) hot spot, 5) Local area
  cell, 6) Broadcast cell, 7) Satellite area cell,

- RATG : the idea of RAT group was included.
  - Group 1: IMT-2000 and its enhancements (incl. satellite)
  - Group 2: Systems beyond IMT-2000 RATs,
  - Group 3: pre IMT-2000,
  - Group 4: Existing local area RLAN technologies,
  - Group 5: Digital broadcasting services,
                      Radio environments
Service environments can be defined as areas exhibiting common propagation conditions.
    - According to the general principles and guidelines for spectrum calculation
    methodology, the methodology should have flexibility to handle different combinations
    of Radio Access Techniques (RATs).
    - Each service environment can be supported by multiple RATs as shown below;

•   Hotspots,               Service environments

•   Pico cell,                                 SE#1                          SE#2                         SE#3                          SE#4

•   Macro cell, and              Adu Bdu                Cdu         Au        Bu     Cu             Asu     Bsu Csu                    Ar          Br Cr

•   Micro cell                             Traffic
                            Radio Access Techniques
                                 RAT #1                                            RAT #2                                     RAT #3

                                 Adu           Au         Asu           Ar            Bdu     Bu          Bsu Br                 Cdu        Cu Csu Cr

                                           Traffic
                            Radio environments within RAT




                                                                                                                                               Pico cell
                                                                                                                                                           Micro cell
                                                                                                                 Macro cell




                                                                                                                                                           Macro cell
                                Hot spot




                                           Pico Micro           Macro                Hot    Pico      Micro                        Hot
                                           cell  cell            cell                spot    cell      cell                        spot
                                                        Traffic

                            Spectrum per RAT



                                                        Spectrum
 Outcome at WP8F Berlin meeting(10)
2) Working document towards Methodology for Calculation of spectrum requirement
(Doc.8F/TEMP/123),




5.6 Analyse the collected market data, and
5.6 Compute traffic demand by service environment and
  services;

The process on
 how to analyse the collected market data and
 how to compute traffic demand,
were included and explained by using an example scenario.
     A possible steps to get traffic demands
The following would be a process to get traffic demands;
1) Define service categories (Q2 in “service view doc.”) and produce
   categorization table (shown as table 1, later)
2) Service and Market forecast (Q3 in “service view doc.”)
    a) forecast future applications with service scenarios
    b) their functionality – what are future applications – (Q.3.1),
    c) their service environment(s),
    d) their market scale, in association with time scale   (Q.3.2)
    e) their deployment scenario,                            (Q.3.2)
    f) possible enablers and requirements (system capabilities),
    g) overall requirements,
    h) possible RAT(s) to support the capabilities,
    i) preliminary traffic forecast                          (Q.3.3)
   The above items should be provided by Answers to Q3s in service view
   document
3) Mapping the applications onto service categories (table 1)
4) Calculate traffic demands on a service env. by service env. basis,
                 Service categorization
                                 TABLE 1
                  Mapping table using service categorization
 Traffic class   CBR              VBR                               ABR             UBR
 Service types
                       Realtime     Non realtime   With minimum       Without any
                                                   rate guarantee     gurantees



Speech & SMS
(<16kbps)


Multimedia &
Low rate data
(<144kbps)


Medium
Multimedia
(<2Mbps)

High
multimedia
(<30 Mbps)

Super High
Multimedia
(30 Mbps to
100M/1G bps)
Analyzing the collected market data (1)
Possible answer example to the questionnaires in
   Service View Document.

- Take the application example (3) in “Service
   Perspective on systems beyond IMT-2000”, ITU-R
   WP8F Workshop on Services and Market Aspects,
   Oct. 2003, for an example, (the next slide)
(http://www.itu.int/ITU-R/study-groups/rsg8/rwp8f/workshop-edinburgh/index.asp)
           Analyzing the collected market data (2)

     Application examples – Service Scenario

 Mobile Town Monitoring Systems
                                                 Mobile Town Monitoring System
   (High data rate, huge number of
  terminals)
- Scene: Urban town, Individual terminal
          linking with a town monitoring
  system
- Enablers and their requirements:
   1) Embedded mobile terminal:
      Town monitor: < 1 kbps, < 1 sec.
      Video phone: < 1Mbps, 50 – 100 msec
      File transfer: (3D video file)
                       < 1 – 45 Mbps, < 2 sec.
       * Terminal density: 2 – 3 units/ 10 m 2
- Overall requirement:
    Data rate: < 45 Mbps,
    Latency:     50 msec.
Analyzing the collected market data (3)




- The following example answer may be obtained
  from the service scenario example;
                             (the next two slides)
Analyzing the collected market data (4)
        - Answer example (1/2)
 1. Example:
     Mobile Town Monitoring Systems
 2. Functionality:
    Town information monitoring (e.g. current state of restaurants or parking
    lots available), reservation (e.g. restaurant), video phone, and file transfer
 3. Service environment:
    - Usage Scenario: In Public area or wide area, individual terminal is
      linking with a town monitoring system.
    - Mobility: Low (less than 4 km/h) or HIGH (less than 100 km/h)
 4. Market scale
    This service will start at around 2010. Its deployment area rapidly increase
    within 2 to 3 years are expected, particularly urban area. Around 2015, it
    will widely be pervasive in urban city in this country.
    Expected customers are forecasted XXX users/km2 (2010), YYY users/km2
    (2015) and ZZZ users/km2 (2020) ,
    Terminal density in dense urban area: 2 – 3 units /10 m2,
Analyzing the collected market data (5)
        - Answer example (2/2)
5. Deployment scenario:
  Mainly deployed by hotspots and pico cells,
6. Possible enablers:
  Mobile video terminal embedded,
  Town monitor: < 1 kbps (bit rate), < 1 sec. (latency),
  Video phone: < 1 Mbps (bit rate), < 50-100 m sec. (latency),
  File transfer (3D video catalogue): < 1-45 Mbps (bit rate), < 2 sec.
  (latency),
7. Overall requirements:
  Data rate: <45 Mbps, Latency: 50 m sec.
8. Possible RATs:
   Nomadic/Local Area Wireless access, and New
   Mobile Access,
                                             Analyzing the collected market data (6)
  Determine potential applications and their requirements
  - Key components analysis         IMT-2000  Systems beyond IMT-2000

                                                  Major requirements of network infrastructure
 Service              Examples
categories                                      Bit rate       E-E transmission delay      Terminal
                                                                   / Connection delay       density
                        Voice                  ~ 64 Kb/s              100 ms/ < 2 s            -
                    Video phone)            64 Kb/s~1Mb/s         50ms~100ms/ < 2 s            -
                           IM, e-mail           ~1 Kb/s                                        -
 Existing
 services                  Video mail           ~1Mb/s                 < 1 s* / < 2 s          -
             Packet          mobile                           (* : Delay between server
                         broadcasting                               and end terminal)          -
                                               ~10 Mb/s
                        Intranet access                                                        -
              3-D video communication       1Mb/s~45 Mb/s             100 ms / < 2 s           -

 Reality       Ambient communication        50Mb/s~1Gb/s        50ms~100ms/ < 2 s             -
                    Hologram video            500Mb/s~
                    communication               30Gb/s          100 ms /less than 2 s         -

   Bio-       The       Peripheral nerve       1Mb/s~
                              info             100Mb/s        ≒ 50 ms                         -
informatio     five                                                 / ≒ 50 ms
     n       senses      Brain – brain         ~2Tb/s                             quasi       -
                                                                                  alwa
                   Remote control              ~10Mb/s        50 ms~/50 ms~       ys-on       -
  Virtual
 alter ego                                                   1ms~50ms
                    Tele-existence             ~10Mb/s          /10ms~50ms                ~20 / 10m2
             Control of home appliances            -                 -/-                  ~20 / 10m2
Ubiquitous                                                                                 ~1000 /
             Ubiquitous directory service          -                    -/-                       2
                                                Analyzing the collected market data (7)
          Mapping the application onto categories
                                                                                          Unit: Mbit/s/km2
 Traffic class           CBR              VBR                                   ABR                       UBR
 Service types
                               Realtime     Non realtime       With minimum       Without any
                                                               rate guarantee     gurantees


Speech & SMS     Voice                      Low data                              Low data           Low priority E-
(<16kbps)                                   transmission for                      transmission for   mail
                                            restaurant                            Town
                                            reservation in                        monitoring
                                            Town
                                            monitoring
                                            system
Multimedia &
Low rate data
(<144kbps)

Medium           Video phone
Multimedia
(<2Mbps)
High
multimedia
(<30 Mbps)
Super High                                                                        File Transfer
Multimedia
(30 Mbps to
100M/1G bps)
                                                        Analyzing the collected market data (8)

Estimate traffic (T) and Service request density (P)
          Service
          type            Traffic class     Rural          Sub Urban   Urban     Dense Urban


                          CB
                                            T1,1,1,        T1,1,2,     T1,1,3,   T1,1,4,
          Speech & SMS    R                 P1,1,1         P1,1,2      P1,1,3    P1,1,4

                          VB
                                            T1,2,1,
                          R     rtVBR       P1,2,1
                                            T1,3,1,
                                nrtVBR      P1,3,1
                                w/ min.
                          AB    rate
                                            T1,4,1,
                          R     guarantee   P1,4,1
                                w/ no
                                guarantee
                                            T1,5,1,
                                s           P1,5,1

                          UB
                                            T1,6,1,
                          R                 P1,6,1

          Multimedia &    CB
                                            T2,1,1,
          Low rate data   R                 P2,1,1
                          VB
                          R     rtVBR

                                nrtVBR

                                w/ min.
                          AB    rate
                          R     guarantee

                                w/ no
                                guarantee
                                s

                                            T       ,
Outcome at WP8F Berlin meeting(11)
2) Working document towards Methodology for Calculation of spectrum requirement
(Doc.8F/TEMP/123),




5.6.2 Time-varying traffic and regionally-varying traffic;

The detailed text is requested, which keeps consistency with other parts.
Outcome at WP8F Berlin meeting(12)
2) Working document towards Methodology for Calculation of spectrum requirement
(Doc.8F/TEMP/123),

 5.7 Distribution of traffic among RATs and within RATs, and
 6. Determine required system capacity
 7. Applying additional weighting factors,
 8. Determine required spectrum

 - The detailed algorithm, which employs “delay percentile approach” was
    included in these sections. The approach was originally proposed by
    Finland (Doc.8F/227) on behalf of CEPT. It is said by Finland that it can
    handle packet based traffic well.
 - The comment from the floor was raised during WP8F meeting, which
    requests validation check for the detailed algorithm.
 - The algorithm should be examined from the viewpoint of whether or not
    it is appropriate for Spectrum Calculation for WRC-07 A.I. 1.4.
                       Future work
The following items should be discussed in future CJK-B3G meetings and WP8F
   meetings;
• To review the following;
    - the identification of service parameters,
    - the definition of service environments,
    - the categorization of services,
• To draft preliminary application scenarios,
• To map applications onto service categories
• To determine a service requirement table to be used for application mapping
• To check proposed algorithm from the viewpoints of;
  - the technical validation,
  - the balance among complexity, technical strictness, and future market
   ambiguity,
  - the appropriateness for the ITU-R spectrum calculation in terms of
   transparency,
• To develop spread sheet based on the calculation algorithm,
• To preliminarily calculate traffic demands on a service environment by service
   environments basis, by using the spread sheet.

The above would be reviewed at Shanghai and finalized at Geneva.
         Methodology timeframe

 July,2004                                           Jan.,2005                                  Jun.,2005

   5th meeting     6th meeting           7th meeting                              8th meeting
   Jul.6th         End of Aug.           Mid-Nov.                                 Mar.17th

CJK-
B3G

                               Shanghai                        Geneva                             Quebec
                               Oct. 12-20                      Feb. 1-8                           Jun. 1-8
WP8F
                                Initial draft                   Revise the initial draft
                                of methodology                  of methodology
                                (to other SWG)
       Review the results of SWG SpeCalc of WP8F
       (Methodology issues)

                            Focus on Methodology and its related Radio Aspects.

                                                                              Start discussion on our Phase 2
                                                                              collaboration

						
Related docs