Diseases of the Kidney and Urinary System DCPP(2) Chapter 36
John H. Dirks, Giuseppe Remuzzi, Susan Horton, Arrigo Schieppati, And S. Adibul Rizvi
John Dirks, M.D.
Toronto – April 20, 2006
Causes of diseases of the kidney and urinary system
Genetic Diseases
Glomerulonephritis Infections, stones and obstructive uropathy Benign prostatic hypertrophy Acute renal failure
Diabetes Hypertension
Risk Factors for Kidney Disease 1
A. Risk factors susceptible to social and educational interventions
Low Birth weight
Smoking Alcohol abuse
Illicit drug use Analgesic abuse and exposure to toxic substances such as lead Sedentary lifestyle
THE NEGLECTED EPIDEMIC OF DEATHS FROM CHRONIC DISEASES IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
2005
15000 12000
Chronic diseases Communicable diseases
Deaths (million)
9000
6000 3000
0
Low-income countries Lower-Middleincome countries High-income countries
Fuster et al., Lancet, 2005
DEATH RATE FROM CHRONIC DISEASES IS EVEN HIGHER IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES (2005)
Death rate from chronic diseases (per 100,000)
1000
800 600
400
200 0
Nigeria Tanzania India Brazil China UK Canada
Strong et al., Lancet, 2005
1,000,000 deaths
Trends in Incidence and Prevalence of ESRD
700
Number of Patients (in thousands)
600
500 400 300 200 100
0
Number of Patients Projection 95% Confidence Interval
372,407
661,330
Point Prevalence R2=99.7%
326,217 86,825
98,953
172,667
Incidence R2=99.8%
1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010
Year
US Renal Data System. USRDS 2000 Annual Report. NIH, NIDDKD; Bethesda, MD: 2000.
Number of patients worldwide treated with chronic dialysis from 1990 to 2010
2,500,000
1,490,000
426,000
1990
2000
2010
Lysaght, J Am Soc Nephrol, 2002
Mild renal dysfunction is (Albuminuria and slight decrease in GFR) is highly prevalent
Stage Description Albuminuria, normal or GFR
Albuminuria, mild GFR
Moderate GFR Severe GFR Kidney Failure
GFR
(ml/min/1/73 m2)
Est. Prevalence USA 3.3% 3.0% 4.3% 0.2% 0.2%
Est. Prevalence GRONINGEN 1.3% 3.8% 5.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 2
3 4 5
> 90 60 - 89
30 - 59 15 - 29 < 15 or RRT
Total
K/DOQI Clinical Practical Guidelines Am J Kidney Dis 2003
11.0%
10.5%
Coresh et al; Am J Kidney Dis 2004 De Zeeuw et al; Kidney Int 2005
ESTIMATED CHRONIC KIDNEY DISEASE in URUGUAY
According NANHES III distribution and the Uruguayan ESRD prevalence
Population over 20 years old : 2.386.032 NANHES III % of Population Uruguay % of Population Uruguay CKD Population
Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3 Stage 4 Stage 5 total
3,3 3,0 4,3 0,2 0,2 11,0
2,0 1,8 2,6 0,12 0,12 6,7
47.783 43.521 62.380 2.900 2.900 159.576
At risk population: NHANES III 1988-1994: National Kidney Foundation CKD guidelines
Stage 5 n=300,000
Stage 4
n=400,000
Stage 3
n=7,600,000
Stage 2
n=5,300,000
Stage 1
n=5,900,000
Clinical Practice Guidelines for CKD AJKD 2002
Projection in the 2025
High blood pressure/chronic renal disease Diabetes Need of dialysis 300 millions 30 millions 8 millions
CHINA
TYPE 2 DIABETES MELLITUS IS A PUBLIC HEALTH CONCERN
People with diabetes: (2004-2030)
30.7
33.8
52.4
42.3 18.6 80.9
16.7
71%
127%
102%
22.8 28.3
9.1 32.9
211%
255%
18.2 2000
81%
0.9 1.6
78%
2030
* In million subjects
World 2000 2030 154 m 370 m
Developed 55 m 84 m
Developing 99 m 286 m
WHO, March 2003
THE FACT 40 % of type 1 and of type 2 diabetics are at risk of overt nephropathy
PROGRESSION OF NEPHROPATHY IN TYPE 2 DIABETES
Normoalbuminuria
UAE µg/min < 20 0
Micro
20 - 200 15
Macro
> 200
ESRD
10
25
Duration of diabetes (years)
Age-and sex-adjusted deaths
150
(x 1000 person-year)
125
100
75 50 25
0
Healthy subjects
Non proteinuric Proteinuric diabetics diabetics
CHRONIC KIDNEY DISEASE PREDICTS CARDIOVASCULAR EVENTS
1,120,295 adults from the Kaiser Permanent Renal Registry of Northern California
Median follow-up: 2.84 years Age-standardized rate of cardiovascular events
40
(per 100 person-yr)
63
30
21
20
11
10
2
3
0
> 60
45-59
30-44
15-29
< 15
Estimated GFR (ml/min)
Go et al., N Engl J Med, 2004
PATIENTS WITH A DIAGNOSIS OF CKD (WITH OR WITHOUT DIABETES) ARE 5 TO 10 TIMES MORE LIKELY TO DIE FROM CVD THAN TO REACH ESRD
General Medicare enrollees (1996-2000) in U.S. Approximately 1.1. million individuals for each year assessed Follow-up: 2 years
50 Death ESRD
Percent of patients
40 30
20 10
0
No DM/ No CKD
DM/ No CKD
No DM/ CKD
DM/ CKD
Collins et al., Kidney Int, 2003
CAPTOPRIL STUDY: ACE-I IS MORE RENOPROTECTIVE CONVENTIONAL THERAPY IN DIABETIC RENAL DISEASE
Doubling of baseline creatinine (%)
0
THAN
Captopril
25
50
75
Conventional therapy
100
Baseline creatinine > 1.5 mg/dl
0
1
2
3
4
Lewis et al. N Engl J Med, 1993
Time (years)
PRIME; Early and Late intervention with Renin-angiotensin-system intervention (AIIA) are cost saving in type 2 diabetes
Cumulative costs per patient (€)
45,000 Placebo + Conventional Tx Late AIIA (Irbesartan) 25,000
35,000
15,000
Early AIIA (Irbesartan)
5,000 0
0
2
4
6
8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
Years since baseline age of 58
Palmer et al; Diabetes Care 2004
INCREASING ACE INHIBITOR USE WITH FULL MEDICARE COVERAGE EXTEND QUALITY-ADJUSTED LIFE-YEARS (QALYS)
Increased QALYs per beneficiary
0.70 0.60 0.50 0.40 0.30 0.20 0.10 0 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Overall ACE inhibitor use (%)
* Compared with current practice (no coverage) Rosen et al., Ann Int Med, 2005
Common and Novel Risk factors for Cardiovascular and Renal Disease progression Age Gender Body Weight Smoking Blood pressure Cholesterol Diabetes CRP, pro-BNP etc Hemoglobin GFR Albuminuria!
the Framingham Risk Score
Wilson PWF et al. Circulation 1998; 97: 1837-47
Novel Risk markers or FACTORS?
de Zeeuw; Oct 2004
U.S. KIDNEY FAILURE ENDING A 20-YEAR CLIMB
RATES
STABILIZE
Since 1999 average annual increase has been < 1%, compared to an average 5% in the previous decade
Incident ESRD patients* (per million population)
400
300
200
100
0
80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04
* Adjusted for age, gender, race USRDS, 2005
DECLINING INCIDENCE OF ESRD IN DENMARK 1990-2004
160 140 120 Incidence
of all ESRD (PMP)
100 80 60
Incidence
40
of DM-ESRD (PMP) 20
0 1990 1995 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
Sorensen et al, Abstract, ASN, 2005.
Cost-effectiveness of Selected Interventions for Kidney Disease
Intervention
Center Hemodialysis
Alternative
No RRT
Outcome (2000US$)
55,000 – 80.000 life/year 79,000 – 114,000/QALY 33,000 - 50,000 life/year 47,000 - 71,000/QALY
Home Hemodialysis
Kidney Transplant ACE inhibitors for all Type I diabetics with macroproteinuria Screening diabetic relatives of nephropathy patients Treat all Type II diabetics with ACE inhibitors Treat all insulin dependent
No RRT
No RRT
10,000 life/year 11,000/QALY 1,100/QALY
Screening potentially cost saving
No RRT
No screening Screening for microalbuminuria & treating positives
Screening & treating those positive for
Incremental cost effectiveness ratio is 7500/QALY
Treating all Type I’s dominates under plausible range of
2006-2015 EXPECTED DEATHS AVERTED DUE CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASE AND DIABETES
15.0 15
TO
Deaths averted (million)
10
5
3.1
0
Low-middle income countries
High income countries
Most of the benefit will be for emerging countries
Strong et al., Lancet, 2005
Guidelines for diseases of the kidney and urinary system in developing countries
1. Expanded surveillance and more epidemiological studies on prevalence, including establishment of an international kidney disease data centre 2. Promote awareness of early symptoms and knowledge of prevention measures
3. Develop kidney disease programs in context of
diabetes and hypertension with primary and secondary prevention measures to reduce ESRD
Guidelines (cont’d) 4. Develop practices for dealing with ARF for children with diarrheal disease, and when arising from major emergencies such as earthquakes 5. Use international bodies to advise regional & national health organizations on kidney and urological disease
6. Develop educational programs through existing
agencies to provide update training for all levels of health care personnel 7. Develop 10 internationally funded centres of excellence for research, education, clinical care and prevention in the developing world over the next decade
Risk Factors for Kidney Disease 2
B. Risk factors susceptible to pharmacological interventions
Hypertension Dyslipidemia
Poor glycemic control in diabetic patients Proteinuria
C. Biological Markers
Hemoglobin Insulin-resistant syndrome
Proteinuria Serum creatinine
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excretory system diseases61
nanhes us 200811
obstructive uropathy in nigeria41
urinary system diseases101