Letter from CEO 1999
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- 3/4/2009
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TO OUR SHAREHOLDERS 1999 For Industrivärden the conclusion of the millennium was most satisfactory. Our profit after tax in 1999 was SEK 4.3 billion - the highest yearly result since the Company's start in 1944. Our reported earnings do not show the whole picture, however, as substantial surplus value was also created in our portfolio of listed stocks. Therefore, an alternative way of describing 1999 would be to add this rise in surplus value to our reported earnings. This value amounted to a full SEK 22.2 billion, giving a total "outcome" for the year of no less than SEK 26.5 billion! This performance can be credited to own measures as well as to an extraordinarily strong year on the stock market. The Affärsvärlden General Index rose 66 percent for the year - the largest gain in a single year since 1983. Our own portfolio performed even better, and its value - adjusted for purchases and sales - rose by a full 87 percent. Choice of stocks is the most crucial factor underlying value growth in a particular stock portfolio - in terms of risk as well as reward. This obvious fact is clearly illustrated by the wide variation in price growth shown by the various sectors included in the General Index. Telecom and IT stocks were the hottest in 1999, with gains in excess of 100 percent, while bank and pharmaceutical stocks - both of which did very well in 1998 - were quoted at essentially unchanged prices. At the end of 1999 the value of our holding in Ericsson was worth SEK 26.2 billion, corresponding to 48 percent of the portfolio value and 45 percent of our total assets. Undeniably, this is a large proportion of the portfolio and a risk factor in terms of economic theory. However, when judging the balance in the portfolio you must not forget at the same time that Ericsson accounts for nearly 30 percent of total market capitalization on the Stockholm Stock Exchange. I do not see our overweight in Ericsson as any reason for alarm at the moment. On the contrary - I am highly confident about the company's future development. Granted, 1999 was a fairly flat year, but Ericsson rallied to a strong finish. Earnings for the final quarter, in which Ericsson posted its finest quarterly results ever, clearly illustrate the company's future potential. My view, therefore, is that even in the coming years Ericsson will continue to contribute to the good performance of Industrivärden's stock portfolio. Our holding in Ericsson is not the entire explanation for our strong result, however. This can be illustrated by a comparison of the performance of our portfolio and the General Index, excluding Ericsson in both cases. Even in such a comparison, our shareholdings beat the index. I see this as solid support for my previous claims about the very high quality of Industrivärden's portfolio. One important event during the year was our exit from AGA, with a capital gain of SEK 3.3 billion. This divestment was made in light of the restructuring that is currently under way in the gas industry. In the wake of recent years' refocusing efforts and investments in expansion, AGA had become an attractive target. Since the alternative options - that AGA would be the acquiring party or that AGA would continue as an independent company - would have entailed a significantly lower outcome for us as a shareholder, we made the decision to sell our holding in AGA. The sale is yet another example of my intimations in last year's shareholders letter that no holding is sacred. If the companies in which we are major owners can develop better with another owner, and if we at the same time receive a share in the buyer's coordination gains, then we are always prepared to consider a deal for the benefit of Industrivärden's shareholders. Industrivärden clearly has the lowest management costs of any holding company on the Stockholm Stock Exchange - less than 0.2 percent of managed assets. In recent years we have strengthened our research resources while maintaining our low level of costs. The search for and analysis of new investment opportunities is a continuous process alongside the monitoring of our existing holdings. An example of the result of our analysis work can be seen in our investment in Skandia. We began investing at an early stage and have therefore been able to benefit from Skandia's entire upswing. In all we have invested SEK 1.2 billion in Skandia, and by year-end 1999 the holding had grown to a stock market value of SEK 5.2 billion. As I said above, I feel that our portfolio is of very high quality. At the same time, we have financial resources for further improvement. Among potential investments we are analyzing are companies in the pharmaceutical and IT sectors. We are also studying other growth sectors. In view of our indirect IT exposure in Ericsson, the pharmaceutical sector has highest priority. Our research points to strong growth in the industry, among other things due to the current, global shift in the age pyramid. The lackluster performance of drug stocks in 1999 does not affect our positive view of the future. The result of our management has tangibly benefited our shareholders through the growth in value of Industrivärden's stock. In 1999 we delivered a total return of 76 percent, compared with 70 percent for the Total Return Index. This strong performance was no one-time occurrence. As the chart at opposite shows, regardless of what measurement period you look at, Industrivärden has given its shareholders an added return to the tune of 3 percentage points a year. History repeats itself, as the saying goes. Despite this, of course I cannot guarantee the same excess return in the years immediately ahead. But I can tell you with confidence that, as a shareholder myself, I feel very secure with my investment in Industrivärden. Clas Reuterskiöld President and CEO
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