Scanning the Future of Law Enforcement: A Trend Analysis

Document Sample
Scanning the Future of Law Enforcement: A Trend Analysis Powered By Docstoc
					                             Law is
                  re of nalys
            Futu nd A
         the Tre
     ning nt: A
 can eme
S
    forc
                                               nal
                                       s ar se
  En          we apons
                       in a futuri
                                   st ’
                                                nt
                                                                                        By Eric Meade

                                  sen    tial                              ni   f ica
                          os t es                        ati   on of a sig                 To understand the potential futures
               he m                                xamin
        e of t
                                                                                        of crime and justice, one must ex-
   On                                  is — a   ne                                      plore a full range of issues, the con-
                           lys
                    nd ana                                                  nses. In
                                                                                        nection of which to law enforcement

     is the     tre                                                 al le
                                                        d anal ytic
                                                                                        may at first seem tangential at best.

                                           h de   f ine                                 Our perspectives and behaviors rela-
                     n thr oug                                                          tive to crime and justice are informed
       ph    enomeno                                                                    by larger changes taking place

                                                                  Institute for
                                                                                        around us — socially, technologically,
                                            t of the
                        , the vice presiden
                                                                                        environmentally, economically, and
        th   is article                                                                 politically. Scanning the horizon for
                                                                                        trends and developments that may
                                                                                        influence the future of crime and jus-
       Alternative Futures applies this tool to trends                                  tice informs our strategies to create
                                                                                        the future we prefer. This exercise
                                                                                        also highlights how futures methods
  affecting law e                                                                       can yield insights into the decisions
                                 nforcement in th                                       we must make today.
                                                       e decades ahea
                                                                              d.           The trend analysis below, focusing
                                                                                        specifically on the United States, pro-
                                                                                        vides a base for understanding the
                                                                                        forces that may affect law enforce-
                                                                                        ment in the future. This will enable
  © 2010 World Future Society • 7910 Woodmont Avenue, Suite 450,                        us to better forecast probable out-
  Bethesda, MD 20814, U.S.A. • All rights reserved.                                     comes — and envision preferable
                                                                                        futures for society.

                                                                                        Social and Demographic Trends
  ROBWILSON39 / DREAMSTIME.COM

                                                                                          There are several important demo-
                                                                                        graphic changes that will affect the




  22    THE FUTURIST              July-August 2010
                                                                                      Are Virtual Crimes Real?
                                         Americans have come to view use of              As technology enables new
                                         some addictive substances more as a          forms of crime, it may be dif
				
DOCUMENT INFO
Description: To understand the potential futures of crime and justice, one must explore a full range of issues, the connection of which to law enforcement may at first seem tangential at best. People's perspectives and behaviors relative to crime and justice are informed by larger changes taking place around them -- socially, technologically, environmentally, economically, and politically. Scanning the horizon for trends and developments that may influence the future of crime and justice informs their strategies to create the future they prefer. This exercise also highlights how futures methods can yield insights into the decisions one must make today. The trend analysis in this article, focusing specifically on the US, provides a base for understanding the forces that may affect law enforcement in the future. This will enable futurists to better forecast probable outcomes -- and envision preferable futures for society.
BUY THIS DOCUMENT NOW PRICE: $6.95 100% MONEY BACK GUARANTEED
PARTNER ProQuest LLC
ProQuest creates specialized information resources and technologies that propel successful research, discovery, and lifelong learning.