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About This Document: In 2008, both Barack Obama and John McCain repeatedly talked about "reform" and "change" on the campaign trail, presumably believing that voters would respond to a president who could challenge the established way of doing business. The authors gauge the significance of "reform" politics in 2008 through two analyses. First, they estimate a two-dimensional issue space, paying particular attention to the possibility of a reform/establishment dimension. Second, they consider whether voters (1) preferred reform candidates, and (2) saw Obama or McCain as credible reform candidates. The data indicate the existence of a reform-establishment dimension. However, neither Obama nor McCain effectively convinced voters that they were reformers. [PUBLICATION ABSTRACT]

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Insiders, Outsiders, and Voters in the 2008 U.S. Presidential Election

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Insiders, Outsiders, and Voters in the 2008 U.S. Presidential Election

Insiders, Outsiders, and Voters in the 2008 U.S. Presidential Election

Melvin J Hinich; Daron R Shaw; Taofang Hu

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