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Immigration, globalization, outsourcing, and other trends affecting employment and the workplace will evolve over the next five, 10, and 20 years to change the workplace completely, and well-trained and flexible workers will be at a premium. The coming innovation leap that will sweep the health-care field will extend well beyond simply digitizing medical records. If the industry is to meet rising demands for service from an aging population and contain costs, it will become much more reliant on information technology. IBM is one of the first big companies to transition out of overseas expansion and into a more community-focused strategy. In February 2009, IBM gave 4,000 laid-off workers the opportunity to move to other countries where the company had positions open (India and Brazil, for example) through a program called Project Match. IBM's Perfect Match program showcases one of the biggest trends to affect the future of work: increased mobility and flexibility.
© 2009 World Future Society • 7910 Woodmont Avenue, Suite 450, Bethesda, MD 20814, U.S.A. • All rights reserved. Finding a Job in the 21st Century Seek training, be flexible, and get hired in the fast-moving working world of the future. By John A. Challenger JORIS VAN CASPEL / YIEN KEAT WONG / LAURENCE GOUGH / PETER CLOSE / ALEXANDER ZHUKOVSKY / ISTOCKPHOTO The current recession, expected to be the worst economic crisis since the Great De- pression, will surely put to rest those old concerns about looming labor shortages, right? Probably not. In fact, immigration, globalization, outsourcing, and other trends affecting employment and the workplace will evolve over the next five, 10, and 20 years to change the workplace completely, and well-trained and flexible workers will be at a premium. More than 5 million layoffs have been an- nounced in the United States since the be- ginning of 2008. Economists are projecting that U.S. unemployment may top out at 10.5% or over 11% by the middle of 2010. At Challenger, Gray & Christmas, we look at official THE FUTURIST September-October 2009 www.wfs.org 29 unemployment, but we also track job-cut announcements. These pro- U.S. Employment Ups and Downs, 2006-2016 vide an indication of where the job market is going in the short term. We observed in April that the rate The Five Largest Employment Increases of layoffs, while still high, was slow- Job Employees, 2006 Employees, 2016 Percentage Change ing. The global economy was not en- tering a roaring recovery, but we Network Systems and Data 262,000 402,000 53.4% were hearing faint signals that the Communications Analyst worst of the worst was over. On the Personal and Home Care Aide 767,000 1.16 million 50.6% one hand, manufacturing jobs in the United States continued to vanish. Home Health Aide 787,000 1.17 million 48.7% On the other hand, the layoff rate in Computer Software Engineer 507,000 733,000 44.6% the financial sector seemed to have stabilized. Veterinary Technologist/ 71,000 100,000 41.0% At our firm, we talk to human- Technician resources people around the country on a casual, anecdotal basis; the people we’re speaking with are tak- The Five Largest Employment Declines ing whatever measures they can to Job Employees, 2006 Employees, 2016 Percentage Change avoid making further layoffs. They don’t want to be short-staffed in the Photographic Processing 49,000 25,000 -49.8% event of a turnaround. The current Machine Operator cycle will surely go down in history File Clerk 234,000 137,000 -41.3% as the worst in most people’s mem- ory. Fortunately, the future of work Sewing Machine Operator 233,000 170,000 -27.2% looks completely different. Electrical and Electronic 213,000 156,000 -26.8% Equipment Assembler Key Piece of Advice for Job Computer Operator 130,000 98,000 -24.7% Seekers As unemployment continues to Source: “Employment Projections: 2006-2016.” U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Web site, rise, more people are seeking help to www.bls.gov. improve their employability. My key piece of advice for job seekers is to get a fast start. Don’t let your résumé weak of late. Our firm counted lay-
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