IFPRI
Food Security and Nutrition in the Developing World
Trends, Policies, and Strategies
IFPRI
INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE
Objectives
IFPRI
Overview of food security in the developing world Overview of nutritional status in the developing world Overview of micronutrient malnutrition Causes of food insecurity and malnutrition What needs to be done to reduce malnutrition?
Page 2
Poverty, Food Security, and Nutrition
IFPRI
School Achievement
Cognitive ability
Productivity Work Capacity Nutrition
Poverty Health Food Insecurity
Page 3
Source: Rafael Flores, IFPRI 2001
Food Insecurity in the Developing World
IFPRI
402 081 751 461 051 002 052
001
35 33 05
0 ai sA r eh tO aci r fA h t roN ci ficaP dna ra eN dna t saE CA L ASS anihC aidnI
snoilliM
Page 4
Source: FAO State of Food Insecurity in the World, 1999
Food Insecurity in the Developing World
IFPRI
OAP 20%
India 25%
LAC 7% NENA 4% SSA 23% China 21%
Page 5
Source: FAO State of Food Insecurity in the World, 1999
Summary
IFPRI
People who live on less than US$1 a day: 1.2 billion
People to feed in developing countries: 4.5 billion People who are food insecure: 800 million
Page 6
The Vast Majority of Malnutrition is in Asia
IFPRI
Newborns with low birth-weight at term
52
0.647
0.597 0.962
%
02 51 01 5 0
acirfA nretse W acirfA elddiM aisA lartneC htuoS aisA ES
8.062
millions
Page 7
Source: UN-ACC-SCN-IFPRI-4 Report on World Nutrition Situation
Prevalence and Numbers of Stunted Preschool Children, 2000
IFPRI
60 50 40 30 20 10 0
%
numbers
Eastern Africa Central America
Western Africa South America
Northern Africa South-East Asia
South Central Asia LAC
Page 8
Source: UN-ACC-SCN-IFPRI-4 Report on World Nutrition Situation
Prevalence and Numbers of Underweight Preschool Children, 2000
IFPRI
50
numbers
40 30 20 10 0
Eastern Africa Central America Western Africa South America
Northern Africa South-East Asia South Central Asia LAC
Page 9
%
Source: UN-ACC-SCN-IFPRI-4 Report on World Nutrition Situation
Prevalence and Numbers of Wasted Preschool Children, 2000
IFPRI
18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0
numbers
%
Eastern Africa Central America
Western Africa South America
Northern Africa South-East Asia
South Central Asia LAC
Page 10
Source: UN-ACC-SCN-IFPRI-4 Report on World Nutrition Situation
Double Burden: Proportion of Households with Both Underweight and Overweight Members
IFPRI
16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0
14.7
9.8 8.1
3.1
Vietnam
China
Indonesia
Kyrgyz Republic
Source: Popkin, Horton and Kim 2000
Page 11
Summary of Nutritional Status in Developing Countries
IFPRI
11 % of children are born with low birth weight
20%
in SC Asia
165 million children under 5 are stunted
72
million in SC Asia
138 million children under 5 are underweight
73
million in SC Asia
50 million children under 5 are wasted
37
million in SC Asia
Double burden of malnutrition is increasing in Asia
Page 12
Micronutrient Malnutrition: Anemia in Pregnant Women
IFPRI
08 07
%
06 05 04 03 02 01 0
acirfA tsaE acirfA tse W aisA lartneC htuoS eporuE nretsaE ainaecO
Page 13
Source: UN-ACC-SCN-IFPRI-4 Report on World Nutrition Situation
Micronutrient Malnutrition: Iodine Deficiency Disorders
IFPRI
53 03
130
124
%
52 02 51 01 5 0
152
172
acirfA aisA tsaE htuoS naenarretideM nretsaE eporuE
millions
Page 14
Source: UN-ACC-SCN-IFPRI-4 Report on World Nutrition Situation
Micronutrient Malnutrition: Calcium Deficiency in Bangladesh
IFPRI
Page 15
Extent Micronutrient Malnutrition
IFPRI
2 billion suffer from anemia; 50% of pregnant women in Asia 2 billion suffer from zinc deficiency
2 billion suffer from iron deficiency
250 million children are vitamin A deficient
Page 16
Consequences of Micronutrient Malnutrition
IFPRI
Consequences
• • • • • Higher mortality Higher morbidity Lower cognitive ability Lower work productivity Impaired reproduction
Page 17
Child Malnutrition Rates by Region:
Percent of Underweight Children Under-five Years Old
IFPRI
Region
1970
1995
Total Change -23 -4 -17 -6 -11 -15
South Asia Sub-Saharan Africa East Asia Near East/North Africa Latin Am/Caribbean All regions
72 35 40 21 21 46
49 31 23 15 10 31
Page 18
Change in % of Underweight Children Under Five Years Old (1970-95)
IFPRI
50 45 40 35 30 25
1970 1975 1980 1985 -15 percentage points 1990 1995
Page 19
What are the Causes of Malnutrition?
IFPRI
Two Views
Economists
•Slow GDP growth •Low incomes
Nutritionists
enough calories or protein • Poor nutrition knowledge • Micronutrient deficiencies • Infections
Page 20
•Not
UNICEF Conceptual Framework
IFPRI
Women’s Education & Status
Food Security Dietary Intakes Care for Mothers and Children Health Status Health Environment & Services
Child Nutritional Status
Page 21
Net Per Capita Agricultural Production
IFPRI
Index (1989 –91 = 100)
120 110 100 90 80 70
Sub-Saharan Africa
Low-income countries
South Asia
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
Page 22
1995
Inorganic Fertilizer Application Rates
IFPRI
Fertilizer Application Rate (kg NPK / ha)
120
100
80
60
40
20
0 1961
Tropical LAC
1966
1971
1976
1981
1986
1991
1996
Tropical SSA
Tropical SA
Tropical SEAsia
Page 23
Dietary Quality and Micronutrients
IFPRI
Micronutrient malnutrition is a major public health problem. What food policies and programs can be implemented to ensure improved dietary quality?
Can staple food crops be developed that are high in micronutrient content?
Page 24
Real Prices of Coarse Rice, Bangladesh 1977-98
IFPRI
25
20
1998 Tk/kg
15
10 5
1979/80 1991/92 1995/96 1976/77 1977/78 1978/79 1980/81 1981/82 1982/83 1983/84 1984/85 1985/86 1986/87 1988/89 1989/90 1990/91 1992/93 1993/94 1994/95 1996/97 1997/98
0
Real Rice Price (CPI defl.)
1987/88
Real Rice Price (non-food CPI def.)
Page 25
Source:Ahmed et al, Out of the Shadow of Famine, Johns Hopkins Press, 2000
Indices of Real Prices of Selected Foods for Bangladesh
IFPRI
Year
Rice Paddy
1.00 0.75 0.74 0.76 0.72 0.71 0.60 0.59
Wheat
1.00 0.63 0.60 0.69 0.60 0.61 0.55 0.57
Sorghum
1.00 0.63 0.60 0.58 0.60 0.58 0.55 0.61
Page 26
1973-75 1976-78 1979-81 1982-84 1985-87 1988-90 1991-93 1994-96
Indices of Real Prices of Selected Foods for Bangladesh
IFPRI
Year
Spinach Tomatoes Pumpkin Onions
1.00 1.04 0.81 0.67 0.94 1.30 1.10 1.23 1.00 1.02 1.20 1.23 1.82 3.13 2.18 2.68 1.00 0.90 0.81 1.23 1.12 1.51 1.71 1.96 1.00 0.87 1.36 0.95 1.13 1.25 1.46 1.32
1973-75 1976-78 1979-81 1982-84 1985-87 1988-90 1991-93 1994-96
Page 27
Indices of Real Prices of Selected Foods for Bangladesh
IFPRI
Year
Ruhi Fish
1.00 1.33 1.41 1.44 1.86 1.93 2.21 2.27
Hilsa Fish
1.00 1.35 1.39 1.15 1.38 1.41 1.54 1.60
1973-75 1976-78 1979-81 1982-84 1985-87 1988-90 1991-93 1994-96
Page 28
Estimated Contribution of Major Determinants to Reductions in Child Malnutrition, 1970–95
IFPRI
Health environment 19.3%
Food availability
26.1%
Women's status
11.6%
Women's education 43.0%
Source: Smith and Haddad (1999) Note: Malnourished children refers to underweight children
Page 29
Women with more education have:
IFPRI
Greater capacity to process information Greater capacity to acquire skills More stimulating interactions with children
Greater knowledge of nutrition … all of which are important to the quality
of child care and food security
Page 30
Direct actions to reduce malnutrition
IFPRI
Better nutrition for pregnant women
Targeted nutrition program (school feeding programs) Preventing and treating micronutrient deficiency diseases
Preventing diet related chronic diseases
Page 31
Indirect actions to reduce malnutrition
IFPRI
Improving women status (girls education) Focus agricultural research on dietary quality Improving water, sanitation and health service delivery Improving technology and legislation for micronutrient fortification
Food price policy for increasing the quality and quantity of food
Page 32
Conclusions
IFPRI
Good nutrition is both a development and ethical imperative Human capital is the most precious asset in a rapidly globalizing world
Reducing food insecurity and malnutrition is the first and most important step towards increasing quality of human capital
Page 33
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