List of researchers who have predicted we are headed by tze65444


									Researchers who have predicted a long term solar minimum or ‘solar hibernation’
and/or a new climate change to a period of long lasting cold weather based upon
solar activity.

1. Dr. Habibullo I. Abdussamatov: Russian Academy of Scientists. Head of space
research at the Pulkova Observatory, St. Petersburg.
Comment: RIA Novosti, August 25, 2006: “Khabibullo Abdusamatov said he and his
colleagues had concluded that a period of global cooling similar to one seen in the late
17th century – when canals froze in the Netherlands and people had to leave their
dwellings in Greenland – could start in 2012-2105 and reach its peak in 2055-2060….He
said he believed the future climate change would have very serious consequences and
that authorities should start preparing for them today….”

2. David Archibald. Summa Development Limited. (Australia).
   From his paper: Archibald, D.C., (2006), Solar Cycles 24 and 25 and predicted
climate response, Energy and Environment, Vol.17, No.1.
   Comment from paper: “Based on a solar maxima of approximately 50 for solar cycles
24 and 25, a global temperature decline of 1.5C is predicted to 2020 equating to the
experience of the Dalton Minimum.”

3. Dr. O.G.Badalyan, and Dr.V.N. Obridko, Institute of Terrestrial Magnestism.
Russia, Dr.J.Sykora. Astronomical Institute of the Slovak Academy of Sciences,
Slovak Republic.
   From their paper: Balalyan, O.G., V.N. Obridko, and J. Sykora, (2000), Brightness of
the coronal green line and prediction for activity cycles 23 and 24, Solar Physics, 199:
Comment from paper: “ A slow increase in (intensity of coronal green line) in the current
cycle 23 permits us to forecast a low-Wolf-number (number of sunspots) cycle 24 with
the maximum W~50 at 2010-2011.” (Note: a 50 sunspot level is a Dalton class

4. Dr. B. P. Bonev, Dr. Kaloyan M. Penev, Dr. Stefano Sello.
   From their paper: Bonev, B.P., et. al., (2004), Long term solar variability and the solar
cycle in the 21st century, The Astrophysical Journal, Vol. 605, pp.L81-L84.
Comment from their paper: “…we conclude that the present epoch is at the onset of an
upcoming local minimum in long term solar variability.”

5. John L. Casey, Director, Space and Science Research Center. Orlando, Florida
   From the center‟s research report: Casey, John L. (2008), The existence of „relational
cycles‟ of solar activity on a multi-decadal to centennial scale, as significant models of
climate change on earth. SSRC Research Report 1-2008 – The RC Theory,
Comments from the research report:
“ As a result of the theory, it can be predicted that the next solar minimum may start
within the next 3-14 years, and last 2-3 solar cycles or approximately 22-33 years. …It is
estimated that there will be a global temperature drop on average between 1.0 and 1.5
degrees C, if not lower, at least on the scale of the Dalton Minimum. …This forecast next
solar minimum will likely be accompanied by the coldest period globally for the past 200
years and as such, has the potential to result in world wide, agricultural, social, and
economic disruption.”

6. Dr. Peter Harris. Engineer, retired, Queensland, Australia.
From his analysis of glacial and interglacial cycles he concludes: “…we can say there is a
probability of 94% of imminent global cooling and the beginning of the coming ice age.”

7. Victor Manuel Velasco Herrera. Researcher at the National Autonomous University
of Mexico.
His comments from his research released in August 2008: “…in two years or so, there
will be a small ice age that lasts for 60-80 years.”

8. Dr’s. Y.T.Hong, H.B. Jiang, T.S. Liu, L.P.Zhou, J.Beer, H.D. Li, X.T.Leng,
B.Hong, and X.G. Qin.
From their paper: Response of climate to solar forcing recorded in 6,000-year (isotope)
O18 time-series of Chinese peat cellulose. The Holocene 10.1 (2000) pp. 1-7.
The Chinese team of researchers observed “…a striking correspondence of climate events
to nearly all of the apparent solar activity changes.”
In showing O18 isotope measurements were high during the coldest periods they
concluded, “If the trend after AD 1950 continues…the next maximum of the peat O18
(and therefore cold maximum) would be expected between about AD 2000 and AD

9. Dr. Boris Komitov, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences, Institute of
   Astronomy, and Dr. Vladimir Kaftan: Central Research Institute of Geodesy,
   From their paper: Komitov, B., and V. Kaftan, (2004), The sunspot activity in the last
two millennia on the basis of indirect and instrumented indexes: time series models and
their extrapolations for the 21 st century, paper presented at the International Astronomical
Union Symposium No. 223.
Comment from paper: “It follows from their extrapolations for the 21 st century that a
supercenturial solar minimum will be occurring during the next few decades….It will be
similar in magnitude to the Dalton minimum, but probably longer as the last one.”

10. Dr. Theodor Landscheidt (1927- 2004), Schroeter Institiute for Research in Cycles
of Solar Activity, Canada)
Among his comments from many years of research on solar climate forcing include:
“Contrary to the IPCC‟s speculation about man made warming as high as 5.8(degrees)C
within the next hundred years, a long period of cool climate with its coldest phase around
2030 is to be expected.”
11. Dr. Ernest Njau: University of Dar es Salaam, Tanzania.
    From his paper: Njau, E., (2005), Expected halt in current global warming trend?,
Renewable Energy, Vol.30, Issue 5, pp.743-752.
Comment from paper: “… the mean „global temperature variations reaches the next peak
about 2005 after which it will expectedly be on a decreasing trend. Finally it is shown
that…Greenland is currently in an ongoing cooling trend which is expected to last up to
at least the year 2035.”

12. Dr. Tim Patterson: Dept. of Earth Sciences, Carleton Univ., Can.
From an article in the Calgary Times: May 18, 2007. Indeed, one of the more interesting,
if not alarming statements Patterson made before the Friends of Science luncheon is
satellite data shows that by the year 2020 the next solar cycle is going to be solar cycle 25
– the weakest one since the Little Ice Age (that started in the 13 th century and ended
around 1860) a time when people living in London, England, used to walk on a frozen
Thames River and food was scarcer. Patterson: “This should be a great strategic concern
in Canada because nobody is farming north of us.” In other words, Canada – the great
breadbasket of the world - just might not be able to grow grains in much of the prairies.

13.Dr’s. Ken K. Schatten and W.K.Tobiska.
From their paper presented at the 34 th Solar Physics Division meeting of the American
Astronomical Society, June 2003:
“The surprising result of these long range predictions is a rapid decline in solar activity,
starting with cycle #24. If this trend continues, we may see the Sun heading towards a
“Maunder” type of solar activity minimum – an extensive period of reduced levels of
solar activity.”

14. Dr. Oleg Sorokhtin. Merited Scientist of Russia and Fellow of the Russian Academy
of Natural Sciences and researcher at the Oceanology Institute.
From recent news articles, regarding the next climate change he has said: “Astrophysics
know two solar cycles, of 11 and 200 years. Both are caused by changes in the radius and
area of irradiating solar surface….Earth has passed the peak of its warmer period and a
fairly cold spell will set in quite soon, by 2012. real cold will come when solar activity
reaches its minimum, by 2041,and will last for 50-60 years or even longer.”

15. Dr’s. Ian Wilson, Bob Carter, and I.A. Waite.
From their paper: Does a Spin-Orbit Coupling Between the Sun and the Jovian Planets
Govern the Solar Cycle? Publications of the Astronomical Society of Australia 25(2) 85-
93 June 2008).
Dr. Wilson adds the following clarification:
“It supports the contention that the level of activity on the Sun will significantly diminish
sometime in the next decade and remain low for about 20-30 years. On each occasion that
the Sun has done this in the past the World‟s mean temperature has dropped by ~ 1-2 C.”
16. Dr’s. Lin Zhen-Shan and Sun Xian. Nanjing Normal University, China
From their paper in Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics, 95,115-121: Multi-scale
analysis of global temperature changes and trend of a drop in temperature in the next 20
“… we believe global climate changes will be in a trend of falling in the following 20

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