The terms SPI and schedule variance in EVMS is
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- 2/11/2009
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The terms "SPI" and "schedule variance" in EVMS is a misnomer. They do not measure efficiency variance in the program schedule. What they do measure is a "spend rate"- they measure the rate at which a program is spending money on a program to accomplish work against the rate it was planned to spend money at, both using dollars as a basis. This relates to schedule in that it assumes the baseline schedule is resource loaded and so there is some causal correlation between the rate at which the program is spending and progress in the program, which is generally true, that's not a one-for-one correlation. Although there's ways to manipulate the numbers and approximate a variance in terms of time, you cannot take the "SPI" and "schedule variance" and calculate accurately how much the program has slipped as you can when you look at an IMS and/or SRA. And this is where I think this measure falls short. Although spend rate analysis is important, it is not something that your average program manger understands, uses or cares about. What he does care about (and has to brief) is whether his program is on target in terms of cost and schedule and redefining the schedule portion of EVMS is a way to do that. The traditional calculations and metrics used in EVMS would still apply, except that the schedule pieces would be calculated in terms of days ( or weeks or months) instead of dollars. For example, the SPI (Budgeted cost of Work Performed/Budgeted cost of Work Scheduled) would become Budgeted Days of Work Performed/Budgeted Days of Work Scheduled) which is another way of saying "how efficient has the Contractor been at meeting his schedule?" The same sort of thing applies to Percent Complete, EAC and VAC calculations and so would show the user how a program is doing in terms of dollars AND time. Making the switch from dollars to days for schedule items supports critical chain scheduling as the program would have both a cost and budget account which would relate to each WBS. This would allow the WBS elements to be scheduled at the 50% probability level and the risk of the schedule to be included in a program level schedule buffer, which would then function like management reserve does for the cost risk in the traditional EVMS system. With respect to the programs critical path, EVMS does not track it nor incorporate it in any of the traditional metrics, principally because EVMS has always focused on dollars and scheduling and critical path analysis is focused on time. The twain have never met, but updating the EVMS concepts to include days would allow them to. Because the days used in the schedule pieces of EVMS would be the same as those used in the program IMS, EVMS would highlight the program's schedule performance and problem areas and traditional schedule analysis and critical path analysis would provide the tools to analyze the problems, delays and slippage of the program. So basically, making changes to the schedule portion of EVMS would allow an integration of EVMS and scheduling data, provide better and more useful status to the users and more opportunities for in depth analysis. Jim
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