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M AY 2 0 , 2 0 0 6 • P I M L I C O • B A LT I M O R E
      Wager on the Preakness Stakes with
                      Online updates begin May 17 www.xpressbet.com 1-866-88XPRESS
         Fellow Racing Fan,


         Welcome to the first edition of the Preakness Wagering Guide!

         XpressBet and HorseRacing TV are pleased to offer this free Preakness Wagering Guide.
         We hope the information contained in these pages helps you enjoy a successful day at
         the races. Inside you will find everything you need to watch and wager on the Preakness
         Stakes—second leg of the prestigious Triple Crown. We invite you to open an XpressBet
         account today online at www.xpressbet.com or by phone at 1-866-88XPRESS.


         Preakness is one of the world’s most important racing events and XpressBet wants
         horseplayers to be armed with the best information available. That’s why we’ve recruited
         top handicappers, writers and broadcasters to examine the Preakness in detail—Analysis,
         Main Contenders, Value Plays and Wagering Strategies.


         We’ve also included an Exotic Wagering Chart that will help you make the most of
         your wagers. Even after the Preakness, you’ll want to keep the chart handy.


         Make certain to visit www.xpressbet.com for free online Preakness Wagering Guide
         updates and selections based on scratches, post positions, weather, etc. Updates will be
         posted daily beginning May 17.


         XpressBet hopes your 2006 Preakness experience is fruitful and we look forward to being
         your account wagering provider for the big day and throughout the year.



         Sincerely,


         Ron Luniewski
         President
         XpressBet




                                            PREAKNESS STAKES WAGERING GUIDE UPDATES
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                               Preakness Day
                                Post-Times
                                 (times approximate)
                                                              Pimlico Primer
                             First Post 10:30 am EDT                  By Frank Carulli, Maryland Jockey Club
                             Preakness 6:05 pm EDT                        analyst and morning-line maker



Bettors can be fooled once, as the recent              (1996) is the only wire-to-wire winner. Louis Quatorze posted
history of the Kentucky Derby tells us,                fractions of :46-1/5 and 1:09-4/5, which rank among the three
but when it comes time for the Preakness               fastest half-mile and six-furlong splits in the last 20 years. “It’s not
Stakes, they don’t get fooled again.                   like it used to be,” said Ryan Fogelsonger, one of the top riders in
                                                       Maryland. “Horses have just as good of a chance winning from off
So dramatic is the turnaround from the                 the pace as on the pace in routes here. That’s not to say racing on
first to third Saturday in May, the same core           the inside isn’t an advantage. You want to save ground.”
group of three-year-olds that make the
Derby one of the most unpredictable Grade              Post Position Blues
1 races in America make the Preakness one
of the most predictable.                               Horses breaking from outside posts must be good to win. Since
                                                       1980, Preakness starters breaking from post 8 and beyond have
Since 1980, the Derby has produced two                 compiled an 85: 6-8-9 record. More importantly, all of those
winning favorites and a dozen winners                  winners good enough to overcome the outside posts were horses
at double-digit odds; the Preakness has                who won two legs of the Triple Crown – Pleasant Colony, Real
produced eight winning favorites and only              Quiet, Point Given, War Emblem, Funny Cide and Afleet Alex.
Deputed Testamony ($31 in 1983) as a
winner at 10-1 odds or higher. This year’s             New Faces
Derby winner will try to join Smarty Jones,
                                                       New shooters do not bring a lot of ammunition. Red Bullet (2000)
Funny Cide and War Emblem as repeat
                                                       was the only Preakness winner in the last 20 years to skip the
winners in the first two legs of the Triple
                                                       Kentucky Derby.
Crown in the last five years alone.

There are many reasons why the Preakness               Public is Right On
has held true to form – smaller fields,
fewer questions about which horses can                 The betting public must be respected. Of the last 14 Preakness
handle the distance and a clearer view of              winners, 11 went off at 7-2 odds or less, a remarkable trend
the key and not-so-key prep races. Several             considering there were 10 or more horses entered every year but
other trends are worth noting as the 131st             one. Five winners during that period – Pine Bluff, Prairie Bayou,
Preakness takes center stage on Saturday,              Timber Country, Point Given and Afleet Alex – were dismissed at
May 20 in Baltimore:                                   lower odds in the Preakness than the Kentucky Derby winner in
                                                       the same race.
Speed Bias Fallacy
                                                       The Preakness is the final leg of an all-stakes pick four that carries a
Speed horses do not dominate in the                    guaranteed $1 million pool.
Preakness. When Aloma’s Ruler upset
Linkage in the 1982 Preakness, the racing              That’s a good bet in anyone’s book.
strip was dubbed a “super highway” and
biased toward front-runners by the local
media. Since then, however, Louis Quatorze




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         SELECTIONS AND WAGERS
          ARE DIFFERENT GAMES
                       by Randy Moss
                 ESPN and ABC Sports analyst

ANALYSIS: Barbaro was the most dominating Kentucky Derby                 STATS & TRENDS:
winner since Spend A Buck, and appears to have no real weaknesses.       31 Kentucky Derby winners have also won
He has a high cruising speed that can be used to outrun potential        the Preakness Stakes.
trouble spots (i.e., first turn of Florida Derby), and now we know that
rating several lengths off the lead between horses is no problem.         Six of the last nine Kentucky Derby winners
                                                                         also have won the Preakness Stakes.
Barbaro seems clearly best in the Preakness, but that doesn’t make
him unbeatable. Brother Derek showed determination in the Derby          PREAKNESS BETTING FACTS:
by digging in through the lane and passing horses after a wide trip
that took him completely out of his comfort zone. If the tables are      WIN-PLACE-SHOW (Last 10 years)
turned in the Preakness and Barbaro has the disadvantageous trip,
                                                                         Average Win Odds: 3.97-to-1
Brother Derek may be good enough to capitalize.
                                                                         High Win Odds: 8.50-to-1 (Louis Quatorze,
                                                                         1996)
MAIN CONTENDERS: Barbaro and Brother Derek.                              Low Win Odds: .70-to-1 (Smarty Jones, 2004)
Sweetnorthernsaint’s Derby effort was a throwout - he was 18th            Notable: Only 1 Preakness winner was below
after a furlong due to a rough start, and then made a premature          9-to-5 this decade.
backstretch move. Bernardini has a blue-blooded pedigree and
is rapidly improving, although he takes a major class hike in the        Average Place Odds: 10.61-to-1
Preakness. Like Now could make the pace, and has proven to be            High Place Odds: 45.70-to-1 (Magic Weisner,
dogged on the front end. If either Baffert possible makes the race,       2002)
it is hard to make a case that Point Determined can under any            Low Place Odds: .30-to-1 (Fusaichi Pegasus,
circumstances outrun Brother Derek, much less Barbaro, and Bob           2000)
and John had a rough Derby trip but doesn’t seem good enough.            Notable: Preakness favorites ran 2nd in 1998,
                                                                         1999 and 2000.
VALUE PLAYS: Should the betting public plunge on Barbaro to
the tune of 3-to-5 or so, the aforementioned main contenders would       Average Show Odds: 13.23-to-1
all be decent value plays. In this opinion, a proper value line would    High Show Odds: 58.00-to-1 (Badge, 1999)
be about 4-to-5 on Barbaro, 5-to-2 on Brother Derek, 6-to-1 on           Low Show Odds: 2.10-to-1 (Captain Bodgit,
Sweetnorthernsaint, 10-to-1 on Bernardini and Point Determined/          1997)
Bob and John, and 12-to-1 on Like Now. Barbaro is certainly the          Notable: 4 of the last 8 Preakness show
most likely winner, and on a percentage basis is perhaps 70-30 to        horses were 10-to-1 or more.
take the race. But selections are one thing, and wagering strategy
another. Brother Derek could play the spoiler if luck is on his side.    KNOW THIS:
                                                                         Since 1931, the Preakness has been run on
WAGERING STRATEGY ($100):                                                Saturday afternoon, although this was not
• $1 Trifecta: BROTHER DEREK with BARBARO with ALL (as many              always so. The Preakness has been staged
  times as you can for $100)                                             on every day except Sunday. The classic has
                                                                         been run on Tuesday, 14 times; Friday, 13;
                                                                         Monday, 6; Wednesday, 5; and Thursday, 4.


SELECTIONS:
1. BARBARO                            2. BROTHER DEREK
3. SWEETNORTHERNSAINT                    4. BERNARDINI
Late Breaking Updates Online Starting May 17                             www.xpressbet.com 1-866-88XPRESS
        Exotic Wagering                                                                                                 Preakness Day can produce some
                                                                                                                          juicy exotic payoffs. Use this

             Chart                                                                                                       Exotic Wagering Chart to plan
                                                                                                                                  your attack.



EXACTA BOX: ($2 Wager)                                                 TRIFECTA KEYS: ($1 Wager)
      2 horse box . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $4          1 Horse with 3 others . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $6
      3 horse box . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $12           (Example: 1/ 2, 3, 4/ 2, 3, 4)
      4 horse box . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $24           1 Horse with 4 others . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $12
      5 horse box . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $40           (Example: 1/ 2, 3, 4, 5/ 2, 3, 4, 5)
      6 horse box . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $60           1 Horse with 5 others . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $20
      7 horse box . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $84           (Example: 1/ 2, 3, 4, 5, 6/ 2, 3, 4, 5, 6)
      8 horse box . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $112            1 Horse with 6 others . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $30
                                                                              (Example: 1/ 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7/ 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7)
EXACTA WHEEL: ($2 Wager)                                                      1 Horse with 7 others . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $42
One Horse with All                                                            (Example: 1/ 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8/ 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8)
   6 horse field . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $10
   7 horse field . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $12          SUPERFECTA BOX: ($1 Wager)
   8 horse field . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $14                 4 Horse Box . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $24
   9 horse field . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $16                 5 Horse Box . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $120
   10 horse field . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $18                6 Horse Box . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $360

TRIFECTA BOX: ($1 Wager)                                               SUPERFECTA WHEELS: ($1 Wager)
      3 Horse Box . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $6     One Horse with All with All with All
      4 Horse Box . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $24       7 Horse Field. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $120
      5 Horse Box . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $60       8 Horse Field. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $210
      6 Horse Box . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $120        9 Horse Field. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $336
      7 Horse Box . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $210        10 Horse Field . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $504
      8 Horse Box . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $336        (Example: 1/All/All/All or All/1/All/All or All/All/1/All or All/ All/ All/1)

TRIFECTA WHEELS: ($1 Wager)                                            One Horse with Two Horses with All with All
One Horse with All with All                                               7 Horse Field. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $40
   (Example: 1/all/all or all/1/all or all/all/1)                         8 Horse Field. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $60
   7 Horse Field. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $30           9 Horse Field. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $84
   8 Horse Field. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $42           10 Horse Field . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $112
   9 Horse Field. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $56           (Example: 1/ 2/ All/ All or 2/ 1/ All/ All or 1/ All/ All/ 2 or 2/ All/ All/ 1
   10 Horse Field . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $72             or All/ All/ 1/ 2 or All/ All/ 2/ 1)

One Horse with Two Horses with All                                     SUPERFECTA KEYS: ($1 Wager)
   (Example: 1/2/all or 2/1/all or 1/all/2 or 2/all/1                         1 Horse with 3 others . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $6
   or all/1/2 or all/2/1)                                                     (Example: 1/2, 3, 4/2, 3, 4/2, 3, 4/2, 3, 4)
   7 Horse Field. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $10               1 Horse with 4 others . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $24
   8 Horse Field. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $12               (Example: 1/2, 3, 4, 5/2, 3, 4, 5/2, 3, 4, 5)
   9 Horse Field. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $14               1 Horse with 5 others . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $60
   10 Horse Field . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $16                 (Example: 1/2, 3, 4, 5, 6/2, 3, 4, 5, 6/2, 3, 4, 5, 6)
                                                                              1 Horse with 6 others . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $120
                                                                              (Example: 1/2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7/2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7/2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7)
                                                                              1 Horse with 7 others . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $210
                                                                              (Example: 1/2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8/2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8/2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8)




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                 IN MATZ WE TRUST
                            by Jeff Siegel
                            HRTV analyst

ANALYSIS: Taking his previous form at face value, Barbaro                  STATS & TRENDS:
should not have been expected to demolish 19 Kentucky Derby                In the past 50 years only nine horses who
rivals by the largest margin of victory (6-1/2 lengths) in 60 years.       did not race in the Kentucky Derby have
Although undefeated in five starts, Barbaro wasn’t even deemed              won the Preakness Stakes. In the past 23
worthy of Derby favoritism. His credentials were considered suspect        years only one horse who didn’t start in the
by many experts who were intimidated by his five-week layoff prior           Kentucky Derby won the Preakness Stakes
to the Derby, supposed suspect competition this winter in South            (2000 Red Bullet).
Florida and Beyer Speed Figures that fell short of spectacular. Yet, his
breathtaking performance on the first Saturday in May might have            PREAKNESS BETTING FACTS:
been anticipated had one placed trust in superb trainer Michael
Matz. It was Matz who orchestrated a racing and training schedule          EXACTA (Last 10 years)
devised to have Barbaro peak during the Triple Crown – not in prep
                                                                           Average $2 Exacta Payoff: $91.96
races leading up to it. As his 111 Kentucky Derby Beyer Speed Figure
                                                                           High $2 Exacta Payoff: $327.00 (War
attests, Barbaro is a much better colt than the one who was fully
                                                                           Emblem-Magic Weisner, 2002)
extended to win the Holy Bull and Florida Derby this winter.
                                                                           Low $2 Exacta Payoff: $22.40 (Silver Charm-
                                                                           Free House, 1997)
MAIN CONTENDERS: Nobody beats Barbaro if he reproduces                     Value: The Preakness exacta has averaged a
his Derby performance, but connections of Brother Derek,                   16-percent overlay from its fair-odds payoff
Sweetnorthernsaint and newcomer Bernardini have a right to be              the past decade, when looking at the win-
hopeful, if not optimistic. In the Derby, Brother Derek was farther        place prices of the runners compared to the
back early than he prefers and was extremely wide throughout, yet          exacta payoff.
managed to produce enough late punch to earn a dead-heat for               Notable: 3 of the last 4 Preakness exactas
fourth. Sweetnorthernsaint was out of his comfort zone 50 yards            paid $120.60-plus.
from the gate and spent the next mile making up for it. Bernardini
earned a 104 Beyer in winning the one-turn mile Withers at                 KNOW THIS:
Aqueduct in late April in just his third career start, and that’s better   On 11 occasions, the Preakness was
than anything Barbaro was able to earn prior to the Kentucky Derby.        run prior to the Derby, and twice, 1917
                                                                           and 1922, on the same day. In 1890, the
VALUE PLAYS: Assuming Barbaro wins – and we are – the                      Preakness and Belmont Stakes were run
wagering value must come by isolating the second-place finisher.            on the same card at Morris Park. On 11
And that could be the fresh face, Bernardini, a colt by A. P. Indy         different occasions, the Belmont was run
who never has been tried around two turns, but who gives every             prior to the Preakness. Since 1931, the
indication that he’ll improve as the distances increase. And he’s          current order of Kentucky Derby-Preakness
pretty good already.                                                       Stakes-Belmont Stakes has remained in
                                                                           place. In a challenging test of endurance,
WAGERING STRATEGY ($100):                                                  in 1919, Sir Barton, the first Triple Crown
• $90 Exacta: BARBARO over BERNARDINI                                      winner, captured the Kentucky Derby on
• $10 Win: BERNARDINI                                                      May 10 and the Preakness four days later on
                                                                           May 14.


SELECTIONS:
1. BARBARO                              2. BERNARDINI
3. SWEETNORTHERNSAINT                    4. BROTHER DEREK
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           BARBARO HAS JUST ONE
              HORSE TO FEAR
                        by Bob Neumeier
                        NBC Sports analyst

ANALYSIS: With all of the Triple Crown talk humming around               STATS & TRENDS:
Barbaro (remember Fusaichi Pegasus?), the Derby winner should            Since 1974, 15 local, Maryland-based horses
go to post at 3-to-5 or 4-to-5 odds, a far cry from the juicy 6-to-1     have finished as part of the Preakness
that we took out at Churchill Downs. Tactically, jockey Edgar Prado      superfecta—including two longshot
figures to stalk the likely speedballs – Like Now and Brother Derek,      runner-ups in the past four years, Scrappy T
who I believe will be sent along early by Alex Solis. If Barbaro         (2005) and Magic Weisner (2002).
doesn’t “bounce” or regress off his big Derby number, he will have
just one horse to fear – the lightly-raced Bernardini. Despite a blue-   Maryland-based Preakness winners since
chip pedigree, this newcomer has never been around two turns in a        1974 are Deputed Testamony (1983) and
brief career, and may suffer his own case of the “bounces” following      Spectacular Bid (1979).
a big figure in the Withers Stakes at Aqueduct.
                                                                         PREAKNESS BETTING FACTS:
MAIN CONTENDERS: After Barbaro and Bernardini, Brother                   TRIFECTA (Last 10 years)
Derek deserves a peek in the Preakness. Hung wide from the 18
post in the Derby, Solis will have a far easier time at Pimlico. But     Average $1 Trifecta Payoff: $361.90
is he good enough? It would appear that Like Now’s best chance           High $1 Trifecta Payoff: $1,155.50 (War
is a theft attempt on the front end, unlikely with other early lick      Emblem-Magic Weisner-Proud Citizen,
signed on. Sweetnorthernsaint may be over the top, and should be         2002)
avoided in this spot. In a classic bit of understatement, Barbaro is     Low $1 Trifecta Payoff: $19.10 (Silver Charm-
the horse to beat in the Preakness. Duh!                                 Free House-Captain Bodgit, 1997)
                                                                         Value: Over the last 4 years, the average
                                                                         $1 Preakness trifecta payoffs have been
VALUE PLAYS: Slim and none. If Bernardini slips into the fourth          more than seven times greater than the
or fifth choice, than he is worth a play on the Barbaro-bounce
                                                                         corresponding $1 exacta payoffs.
theory. But, my instincts tell me that this Tom Albertrani charge
                                                                         Notable: 6 of the last 10 Preakness trifectas
may go off in the 3-to-1 or 7-to-2 range….too low given his limited
                                                                         paid over $100 for $1.
experience. Who then will be second choice? Brother Derek?
Sweetnorthernsaint? Or Bernardini?
                                                                         KNOW THIS:
                                                                         Robert Wyndham Walden, of Bowling Brook
WAGERING STRATEGY ($100):                                                Farm in Middleburg, Md., was perhaps the
Keep Sweetnorthernsaint off any gimmicks.
                                                                         most celebrated trainer of his day. During
• $60 Exacta: BARBARO over BERNARDINI (hope for $25 dollar
                                                                         the final quarter of the 19th century, he
  return)
                                                                         saddled seven Preakness winners, including
• $20 Exacta Box: BERNARDINI and BROTHER DEREK
                                                                         five straight from 1878 to 1882. George
That leaves just one combo that will beat you….the logical
                                                                         Lorillard owned all five. D. Wayne Lukas and
BARBARO over BROTHER DEREK cold Exacta.
                                                                         Thomas J. Healey are tied for second on
                                                                         the all-time Preakness trainer’s win list with
                                                                         five victories, while Bob Baffert has tasted
                                                                         victory in four of the last nine runnings.


SELECTIONS:
1. BARBARO                             2. BERNARDINI
3. BROTHER DEREK                         4. LIKE NOW
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     Our on-air
     analysts know                                                                  ...literally.
     the business                                                                   When you’ve breezed a two-year-old, saddled a
                                                                                           stakes winner, or spent thousands of
                                                                                                   hours on the backside, you have
     from the                                                                                       a different perspective on things.
                                                                                                    Tune in to HRTV™ to hear expert

     ground up...                                                                                  race analysis from people who’ve
                                                                                                  been there.

                                                                                                  HRTV will broadcast in-depth
                                                                                                   coverage of the Preakness Stakes
                                                                                                   each day leading up to the big event.
                                                                                                  Catch workouts, interviews, feature
                                                                                                 stories and a whole lot more as our
                                                                                              knowledgeable crew goes behind-the-
                                                                                              scenes to bring you everything you need
                                                                                             to know about the 131st running of the
                                                                                             second leg of the Triple Crown. Of course,
                                                                                             HRTV will show all the races leading up
                                                                                            to the big event, all week long. On-site
                                                                                           coverage of the Preakness Stakes from
                                                                                      Pimlico Race Course in Baltimore, Maryland
                                                                                    begins Preakness week on HRTV.


                                                                                               Photos:
                                                                                               Facing Page - Becky Witzman leads HalfBridled
                                                                                               This Page (top to bottom) - Peter Lurie in Winners’
                                                                                               Circle; Jon White interviewing Woody Stephens;
                                                                                               Scott Hazelton as a child at races with parents;
                                                                                               Millie Ball, jockey in England.



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      BROTHER, THERE’S A CHANCE
           FOR THE UPSET
                      by Jon White
            HRTV and Santa Anita television host

ANALYSIS: When trying to come up with the Preakness winner,             STATS & TRENDS:
it’s always best to start by looking at those who ran in the Kentucky   In the last 24 years only two Preakness
Derby. That’s because only two Preakness winners in more than two       winners led throughout the entire race:
decades did not compete in the Derby (Deputed Testamony in 1983         Aloma’s Ruler (1982) and Louis Quatorze
and Red Bullet in 2000). Barbaro won the “Run for the Roses” by         (1996), who was in front at every call except
6-1/2 lengths, more than the winning Derby margins of Secretariat,      for the start.
Seattle Slew and Affirmed combined (5-3/4 lengths). On the basis of
Barbaro’s smashing Derby victory and perfect record, he deserves        PREAKNESS BETTING FACTS:
the utmost respect. Perhaps Barbaro will win the Preakness and
go on to sweep the Triple Crown. But is he a sure thing in the          SUPERFECTA (Last 10 years)
Preakness? No. Keep in mind that such other impressive Derby
                                                                        Average Superfecta Payoff: $4,341.50
winners as Monarchos, Fusaichi Pegasus, Thunder Gulch, Unbridled,
                                                                        High $1 Superfecta Payoff: $18,887.60
Ferdinand, Swale, Bold Forbes, Foolish Pleasure and Riva Ridge were
                                                                        (Charismatic-Menifee-Badge-Stephen Got
unsuccessful in the Preakness.
                                                                        Even, 1999)
                                                                        Low $1 Superfecta Payoff: $230.70 (Smarty
MAIN CONTENDERS: Barbaro earned a career-best 111                       Jones-Rock Hard Ten-Eddington-Lion Heart,
Beyer Speed Figure in the Derby. That’s a higher Derby figure than       2004)
Giacomo (100), Smarty Jones (107), Funny Cide (109), Fusaichi           Average Odds of Fourth-place finishers:
Pegasus (108), Charismatic (108), Real Quiet (107), Thunder Gulch       9.59-to-1
(108), Sea Hero (105), Lil E. Tee (107) and Sunday Silence (102).       Value: The three $6,000-plus payoffs for a
Who might stop Barbaro in the Preakness? Brother Derek and              $1 Preakness superfecta in the past decade
Sweetnorthernsaint seem to have the best chances. Brother               have been keyed by winners averaging just
Derek had a very wide trip and reportedly lost a shoe in the            4.83-to-1, including two post-time favorites.
Derby, while Sweetnorthernsaint made an eye-catching move               Notable: Since debuting in ’96 with a pool
on the backstretch after some early adversity. Brother Derek and        of $401,980, the Preakness superfecta has
Sweetnorthernsaint each averaged a 105 Beyer Speed Figure this          topped $5.3 million in wagers each of the past
year before the Derby. Barbaro’s average dirt figure going into the      two years.
Derby was 99.
                                                                        KNOW THIS:
VALUE PLAYS: Bernardini has a beautiful pedigree. His victory           The Preakness has been staged at seven
in the Withers makes him dangerous. But he would be the exception       different distances since its start in 1873:
to the rule if he were to win the Preakness without having run in the   1-1/2 miles—1873 to 1888 & 1890
Derby.                                                                  1-1/4 miles—1889
                                                                        1-1/16 miles—1894 to 1900 & 1908
WAGERING STRATEGY ($100):                                               1 mile, 70 yards—1901 to 1907
• $80 Win: BROTHER DEREK                                                1 mile—1909 and 1910
• $10 Exacta Box: BROTHER DEREK and SWEETNORTHERNSAINT                  1-1/8 miles—1911 to 1924
                                                                        1-3/16 miles—1925 to present



SELECTIONS:
1. BROTHER DEREK                      2. SWEETNORTHERNSAINT
3. BARBARO                               4. BERNARDINI
Late Breaking Updates Online Starting May 17                            www.xpressbet.com 1-866-88XPRESS
SOFTER PACE CHANGES PREAKNESS
    COMPLEXION SOMEWHAT
                        by Dick Jerardi
               Philadelphia Daily News columnist

ANALYSIS: Barbaro was nearly as fast as the best speed horses              STATS & TRENDS:
in the Derby and finished like the race just started in the stretch.        Since 1970, ten horses who finished fifth
Expect a somewhat softer pace, which should give two horses who            or worse in the Kentucky Derby have
got a bad trip (Brother Derek) and a bad ride (Sweetnothernsaint)          rebounded to win the Preakness. They
an opportunity to be much more forwardly placed and more in their          include: Point Given (2001), Louis Quatorze
comfort zone. Whichever of these three gets first run on the far turn       (1996), Tabasco Cat (1994), Hansel (1991)
may be critical as the gap between Barbaro and the other two in the        and Snow Chief (1986).
Derby is really not as large as the Derby margin.
                                                                           PREAKNESS BETTING FACTS:
Withers winner Bernardini should contribute to the pace, but, with
just three lifetime races and no Derby experience, it is hard to see       2005 PREAKNESS HANDLE TOTALS
him being around at the finish.                                             Win-Place-Show: $22 million
If this field comes out of the first turn the same way the Derby field        Exacta: $13.5 million
did, with say Bernardini and Like Now battling for the lead and            Trifecta: $16 million
Barbaro sitting third, well clear of the rest, the race is over. Brother   Superfecta: $5.3 million
Derek and Sweetnorthernsaint must hang with Barbaro early to               Pick Four: $1.7 million
have any chance to beat him late.                                          Pimlico Special/Preakness Double: $598,830

                                                                           KNOW THIS:
MAIN CONTENDERS: Barbaro was awesome in the Derby,                         Calumet Farm, the leading Preakness owner
tracking a fast pace and exploding in the stretch. Even more               with seven wins, was one of the great
impressive, he kept rolling after the wire in the gallop out. By the       dynasties in Thoroughbred history. Founded
time he got around the first turn, the big colt was 20 lengths ahead        by Warren Wright, Calumet Baking Powder
of the second horse. When horses are supposed to be getting tired,         tycoon, and successfully carried on by his
Barbaro wanted more to do.                                                 widow Lucille and her husband Admiral Gene
Brother Derek had no chance in the Derby from the 18 post. He was          Markey, Calumet Farm turned out champion
five-wide on the first turn and eight-wide on the second turn. With          after champion from its Lexington, KY farm.
a smaller field, he should be much closer to the pace, not nearly as        Calumet’s owned and bred Preakness winners
wide and able to show his best stuff. Sweetnorthernsaint made a             were Whirlaway (1941), Pensive (1944),
huge middle move in the Derby, but it was very premature and cost          Faultless (1947), Citation (1948), Fabius (1956),
him late. With a better-timed ride, he is dangerous.                       Tim Tam (1958) and Forward Pass (1968). The
                                                                           victory by Forward Pass enabled the Kentucky
VALUE PLAYS: Brother Derek will be evaluated off the Derby                  farm to break a longstanding tie with Harry
instead of all those dominating wins in California. That may be a          Payne Whitney as the leading breeder in
mistake.                                                                   Preakness history with six wins each.
                                                                           Calumet Farm topped the nation’s list of
WAGERING STRATEGY ($100):                                                  leading money-winning owners 12 times
• $100 Exacta: BARBARO over BROTHER DEREK                                  from 1941-1961. Calumet was sold by auction
                                                                           to Henry DeKwiatkowski for $17 million on
                                                                           March 26, 1992.
SELECTIONS:
1. BARBARO                              2. BROTHER DEREK
3. SWEETNORTHERNSAINT                    4. HIGH FINANCE
Late Breaking Updates Online Starting May 17                               www.xpressbet.com 1-866-88XPRESS
    CAN BARBARO POSSIBLY LOSE?
                         by Johnny D.
                  XpressBet and HRTV analyst

ANALYSIS: There’s no way Barbaro can lose the Preakness.                 STATS & TRENDS:
Right? Wrong, backstretch-breath. You can bet Dan Hendricks,             War Emblem (2002), Charismatic (1999),
trainer of Brother Derek, and Michael Trombetta, conditioner of          Little Current (1974), Royal Orbit (1959) and
Sweetnorthernsaint, can envision more than a few scenarios in            Bold Venture (1936) are the only horses who
which the Derby winner meets with defeat for the first time in his        closed at odds of 20-to-1 or more in the
sparkling career. What are those scenarios? Well, let’s begin with a     Kentucky Derby and returned to win the
less-crowded field in the Preakness than raced in the Derby. That         Preakness.
means Bro D. and ‘Saint will position the favorite squarely in their
cross-hairs right out of the gate. That way they can attack him in       PREAKNESS BETTING FACTS:
waves, forcing jockey Edgar Prado to move earlier than he wants
to. Even though it probably will be a short field, the post-position      HIGHEST-PRICED PREAKNESS
draw for the Preakness will be important. Check back for Preakness       RUNNERS IN SUPERFECTA
Wagering Guide updates beginning May 17.                                 (Last 10 years)
                                                                         58.00-to-1         Badge (1999, 3rd)
MAIN CONTENDERS: Lately, the wagering public has been                    45.70-to-1         Magic Weisner (2002, 2nd)
omniscient in this race—the favorite has won the Preakness in the        25.20-to-1         Hot Wells (1998, 4th)
last five years. Odds-on Preakness favorites have won 63% of the          21.10-to-1         Sun King (2005, 4th)
time (17 for 27). Barbaro will be the favorite and should be odds-on.    20.00-to-1         Midway Road (2003, 2nd)
Again, how can Barbaro possibly lose this race? Here are two more
ways: First, coming back in two weeks off a tremendous race might         HEAVIEST PREAKNESS FAVORITES
be too much for him to handle. Second, a better trip for Brother         (Last 10 years)
Derek than the brutally-wide one he had in the Derby will make
                                                                            .30-to-1        Fusachi Pegasus (2000, 2nd)
things much more interesting.
                                                                            .70-to-1        Smarty Jones (2004, 1st)
                                                                           1.70-to-1        Cavonnier (1996, 4th)
VALUE PLAYS: It’s hard to imagine anyone but Barbaro or                    1.90-to-1        Funny Cide (2003, 1st)
Brother Derek winning this race. Sweetnorthernsaint certainly has          2.00-to-1        Menifee (1999, 2nd)
a shot, but will get some serious play based on his local connections,     2.00-to-1        Victory Gallop (1998, 2nd)
so there’s no value there. Like Now should get cooked up front,
so toss him from contention. Nick Zito will try the promising
Hemingway’s Key in the Preakness in order to prepare him for the
                                                                         KNOW THIS:
                                                                         Nellie Morse was the last filly to win the
Belmont. Bernardini is undefeated and won the Withers in his last
                                                                         Preakness in 1924. Kentucky Derby-winning
start. A good performance from him at a decent price is not out of
                                                                         filly Genuine Risk finished second to Codex
the question.
                                                                         after a controversial incident as they turned
                                                                         for home in 1980. The most recent filly to
WAGERING STRATEGY ($100):                                                run in the Preakness was Excellent Meeting
• $1 Superfecta: BROTHER DEREK with BARBARO and                          in 1999.
  SWEETNORTHERNSAINT with ALL with ALL ($60)
• $40 Exacta: BROTHER DEREK over BARBARO                                 Stats & Trends and Preakness Betting Facts provided by
                                                                         Jeremy Plonk, NBC Sports Triple Crown researcher and
                                                                         editor of The Horseplayer Magazine.

SELECTIONS:
1. BROTHER DEREK                      2. BARBARO
3. SWEETNORTHERNSAINT                    4. HEMINGWAY’S KEY
Late Breaking Updates Online Starting May 17                             www.xpressbet.com 1-866-88XPRESS

								
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