Graduate School of Arts and Sciences
DISSERTATION ACCEPTANCE CERTIFICATE
The undersigned, appointed by the
Committee on Public Policy
have examined a dissertation entitled: "Essays in the Political
Economy of Conflict and Development"
presented by Oeindrila Dube
candidate for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy and hereby
certify that it is worthy of acceptance.
Typed name: Sandhil Mullainathan - Chair
( J - ^ L J ^
Typed name: Lawrence Katz
Typed name: Rohini
Typed name: Dani Rodrik
Date: /^fdlt ZljCO'j
Essays in the Political Economy of Conflict and
A dissertation presented
The Committee on Higher Degrees in Public Policy
in partial fulfillment of the requirements
for the degree of
Doctor of Philosophy
in the subject of
UMI Number: 3365248
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Thesis advisor Author
Professor Sendhil Mullainathan Oeindrila D u b e
Essays in the Political Economy of Conflict and Development
This dissertation analyzes the economic causes of civil conflict and political strife. My
first essay, joint with Juan Vargas, assesses how income shocks affect armed conflict.
We exploit exogenous shocks in international commodity prices and a rich dataset
on civil war in Colombia to analyze this question. We find that price shocks to
labor-intensive agricultural commodities and capital-intensive natural resources af-
fect conflict in opposite directions. A sharp