FEIS Volume 4 - 4.7 Cumulative Effects

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							4.7 Cumulative Effects

4.7.1 Introduction


    4.7.1.1 Approach
                                                                         Cumulative Effects
     Cumulative effects result from the
                                                               These effects constitute the impact on the
incremental impact of the proposed action and                  environment that results from the
alternatives when added to other past, present,                incremental impact of the action under
and reasonably foreseeable future actions,                     consideration when added to other past,
regardless of what government agency or private                present, and reasonably foreseeable future
entity undertakes such actions. Cumulative                     actions, regardless of what agency (federal
effects can result from individually minor impacts             or nonfederal) or person undertakes such
                                                               other actions (40 CFR 1508.7).
that when viewed collectively over space and
time can produce significant impacts.

     For clarity in presenting the issues related to      action and cumulative impacts, including the
TAPS operation under renewal, the proposed                alternatives.
action has been carefully defined. This was done
to focus attention on the conditions under which               For this EIS, the relationship between the
the TAPS might continue to operate.                       proposed action (30-year renewal) and the less-
Nevertheless, there are a number of other                 than-30-year renewal alternative is primarily one
actions, significant in geographic extent and             of time dependency. Because the other actions
economic scope, that directly or indirectly               evaluated for cumulative impacts with the
depend on or take advantage of the operations             proposed action could also all occur within the
of the TAPS. These actions include, but are not           next 10 to 15 years, they were included in
limited to, petroleum development and                     assessing cumulative impacts with the less-
production, petroleum refining, and petroleum             than-30-year alternative. The less-than-30-year
transportation beyond the boundaries of the               alternative differs somewhat from the proposed
TAPS. For this EIS, such actions are assessed             action in that, for a short renewal period,
and included in this section on cumulative                uncertainities associated with future renewals
impacts, together with other actions that may             might result in some reductions in investments in
have similar impacts to continued TAPS                    future North Slope oil exploration and
operations. This approach was used to allow the           development. For the cumulative analysis, this
decision maker to view the overall environmental          time-dependent effect is considered highly
impacts of all actions in the cases where TAPS            speculative and could vary widely under different
operations continued and in the case of the no-           economic conditions, including projected future
action alternative.                                       demand for petroleum products. The cumulative
                                                          impact analysis assumes that, for the life of
     The approach used in this cumulative impact          TAPS renewal, North Slope activities would
assessment is to first evaluate the cumulative            remain within the upper and lower bounds
impacts of all actions, including the proposed            necessary to sustatin the range of TAPS oil
action and other reasonably foreseeable future            transport assessed elsewhere in this EIS for the
actions. Then the degree to which the proposed            proposed action. For the cumulative analysis it
action contributes to those impacts is presented.         was also assumed that at the end of a less-than-
Finally, the cumulative impacts of the                    30-year renewal period, either an additional
alternatives (less-than-30-year renewal and no            renewal period would be granted or the TAPS
action), together with other reasonably                   operation would be terminated and pipeline
foreseeable actions, are discussed.                       facilities removed.
Comparisons are then made between
cumulative impacts including the proposed



                                                       4.7-1
ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES                            4.7-2



     For this EIS, the relationship of the proposed           cumulative impact analysis is defined by the
action to the no action alternative is reversed               specific resource or receptor of concern and the
from the usual situation found in NEPA analyses               spatial extent of the interacting (cumulative)
of proposed actions for new facilities or new                 impact generators. The temporal extent of the
plans. For this EIS, the proposed action is                   cumulative analysis extends from the past
reauthorization, and the potential impacts would              history of impacts to each receptor through the
be largely related to forecasts of future                     anticipated life of the project, including additional
continuing operations of an existing system. At               time necessary for decommissioning and
the time of grant expiration, this system will have           restoration, if appropriate. In many cases, the
been in operation for 30 years following 3 years              past history of impacts of human activities are
of construction, and its impacts have received                reflected in the description of the existing
continuous study. For this EIS, the no-action                 environment in Chapter 3.
alternative (the alternative in which the
responsible agency takes no action on the                         Cumulative impact analysis, by definition,
proposal to reauthorize continued operations)                 incorporates an extensive range of potential
could trigger a new action, which is to cease                 stressors and thus provides a decision maker
operating and remove the existing system. The                 and the public with an overview of the condition
no-action alternative has not received detailed               (past, present, future) of a receptor or resource
engineering and environmental study, and its                  within a regional or landscape context. A broader
description is less well developed than the                   overview of the set of potential impacts to a
proposed action description. Nevertheless, the                resource allows the decision maker to place the
major steps triggered by the no-action                        direct and indirect impacts of the proposed
alternative are known and can be analyzed                     action within the context of other potential
sufficiently to provide a comparison with the                 stressors.
proposed action. The no-action alternative
involves many major activities, including                         The Council on Environmental Quality
construction-like activities; removal of facilities           discussed the assessment of cumulative effects
would require a large workforce and generate                  in detail in its report entitled Considering
large amounts of wastes. In addition, other                   Cumulative Effects under the National
actions, including industries that depend upon                Environmental Policy Act (CEQ 1997). Although
the TAPS operation, would be affected. The                    it is not formal guidance, the handbook provides
assessment of the no-action alternative in                    assistance in developing an analysis. The
Section 4.6 concludes that in most cases, the                 handbook identifies 10 steps for assessing
environmental impacts of the no-action                        cumulative impacts prior to implementation of a
alternative would result in a greater change in               proposal. These steps are listed here and in
impacts to the existing environment than the                  Figure 4.7-1.
impacts of the proposed action. Where this
                                                                  1. Identify the significant cumulative
cumulative impact assessment (Section 4.7)
                                                                     effects issues associated with the
differs from the earlier impact sections, is that
                                                                     proposed action and define the
the resultant effect of no action on other
                                                                     assessment goals.
reasonably foreseeable future actions is also
considered in the impact assessment. The                          2. Establish the geographic scope for
operation of the TAPS supports and is a                              the analysis.
requirement for other ongoing activities, and is
an integral part of the Alaskan economy.                          3. Establish the time frame for the
                                                                     analysis.

    4.7.1.2 Method                                                4. Identify other actions affecting the
                                                                     resources, ecosystems, and human
    The analysis of cumulative impacts focuses                       communities of concern.
on specific human resources or environmental
receptors that can be affected by the incremental                 5. Characterize the resources, eco-
impacts. Generally, the geographic area for a                        systems, and human communities
                                                4.7-3        ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES



                                       Define Goals: CEQ Step 1
                                     (Sections 4.7.1.1 and 4.7.1.2)



                 Establish Region of Interest and Time Frame: CEQ Steps 2 and 3
                                    (Sections 4.7.2 and 4.7.3)



                                Identify Other Actions: CEQ Step 4
                                           (Section 4.7.4)



              Characterize Resources and Baseline Conditions: CEQ Steps 5 and 7
                                 (Chapter 3 and Section 4.1)



                     Identify Stresses, Cause, and Effect: CEQ Steps 6 and 8
                                  (Sections 4.7.5, 3, and 4.1 – 4.6)




                   Impacts of
                Proposed Action                                         Impacts of
                and Alternatives                                       Other Actions
              (Sections 4.3 – 4.6)




                                 Determine Cumulative Effects;
                     Need to Modify, Avoid, and Mitigate: CEQ Steps 9 and 10
                                     (Sections 4.7.6 – 4.7.8)
                                                                                 JKA50204



             FIGURE 4.7-1 Cumulative Assessment Approach for
             This EIS


   identified during scoping in terms of                    8. Identify the important cause-and-
   their response to change and                                effect relationships between human
   capacity to withstand stresses.                             activities and resources,
                                                               ecosystems, and human
6. Characterize the stresses affecting                         communities.
   these resources, ecosystems, and
   human communities and their                              9. Determine the magnitude and
   relation to regulatory thresholds.                          significance of cumulative effects.

7. Define baseline conditions for the                       10. Modify or add alternatives to avoid,
   resources, ecosystems, and human                             minimize, or mitigate significant
   communities.                                                 cumulative effects.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES                            4.7-4



     The approach used for the cumulative                     defined. This region should not be limited to just
impact assessment discussed in this EIS                       the location of the proposed action but should
includes the 10 steps identified in the CEQ                   also take into account the distance that effects
approach (Figure 4.7-1). Cumulative effect                    may travel and the regional characteristics of the
issues were initially identified during scoping               affected resources.
and in consultations with Alaska Native groups
(Step 1), as discussed in Chapters 1 and 2.                        The cumulative impact analysis in this EIS
Additional issues and actions were added later                considers past, present, and future actions that
as they were identified. Next in the analysis, the            previously occurred, occur now, or are expected
region of interest (Step 2) and the time frame                to occur near the TAPS or within the areas
(Step 3) were established. Then other actions                 affected by the TAPS. Table 4.7-1 summarizes
that previously had, now have, or would have                  the regions of interest examined for cumulative
similar impacts to those of the proposed action               effects for different subjects. For the purposes of
were identified (Step 4). The affected                        the physical and ecological environment
environment described in Chapter 3 was used to                analyses in this EIS, these areas include the
characterize the resources, ecosystems, and                   (1) Beaufort Sea, (2) North Slope, (3) Interior
human communities of concern (Step 5);                        Alaska, and (4) Prince William Sound, and
characterize the past and present stresses                    (5) the Gulf of Alaska and Pacific Ocean tanker
affecting these elements (Step 6); and establish              routes to west coast and Asian ports (Volume 7,
baseline conditions (Step 7). Both the proposed               Map 4.7-1).
action and other actions would generate similar
factors that could cause impacts to the physical,                 Actions and impacts in the Beaufort Sea and
ecological, human, and/or economic                            North Slope are described for an area extending
environment. These individual contributions                   from Barrow in the west to the U.S./Canadian
were evaluated (Step 8) and aggregated, and it                border (east of the Arctic National Wildlife
is this aggregate (the total contributions from all           Refuge [ANWR]) in the east and from the
actions to the impacting factor) that was used to             Beaufort Sea in the north to the crest of the
assess the cumulative effect (Step 9).                        Brooks Range in the south. This area includes
                                                              the ranges of migratory mammal species that
     Cumulative impacts can be additive, less                 could be impacted by the TAPS and by North
than additive, or more than additive (synergistic).           Slope petroleum development activities, and it
In cases where the contributions of individual                also includes communities that would be
actions to an impacting factor were uncertain or              affected by impacts to these important
not well known, a qualitative evaluation of                   subsistence resources and by employment
cumulative impacts was necessary. A qualitative               impacts (Map 4.7-2).
evaluation of cumulative effects covered the
locations of actions, times they would occur,                      Interior Alaska includes areas adjacent to
degrees to which the impacted resource is at                  the TAPS, from the crest of the Brooks Range in
risk, and potential for long-term and/or                      the north to Thompson Pass near Valdez in the
synergistic effects. Recommendations for future               south. It also includes nearby portions of the
modifications to the alternatives and the means               Yukon River drainage west of the TAPS and the
for future monitoring or mitigation of effects were           Copper River drainage east of the TAPS
identified if needed (Step 10). A further                     because they might be affected by a petroleum
discussion of the approach used for cumulative                spill (Map 4.7-3).
effects analysis is found in Appendix A,
                                                                   With regard to Prince William Sound and
Section A.16.
                                                              Copper River delta and adjacent lands, this area
                                                              is affected by activities at the end of the TAPS,
                                                              including activities associated with the Valdez
4.7.2 Regions of Interest
                                                              Marine Terminal and tanker transport of oil
     In order to determine which actions should               through the sound. Tanker routes through the
be included in a cumulative effects analysis in               Gulf of Alaska to the U.S. West Coast and to the
this EIS, the region of interest must first be                Eastern Pacific are included for the purpose of
                                                              addressing the potential impacts of oil
                                                     4.7-5        ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES


TABLE 4.7-1 Regions of Interest for the Cumulative Assessment

                                          Beaufort Sea/
                                          Alaska North    Interior/ Prince William   Gulf of Alaska/   State of
                                             Slope      TAPS ROW Sound/Valdez        Pacific Ocean     Alaska

 Soils and permafrost                          X              X
 Sand, gravel, and quarry resources            X              X
 Paleontology                                  X              X             X
 Surface water resources                       X              X             X
 Groundwater resources                         X              X             X
 Physical marine environment                                                X              X
 Air quality                                   X              X             X
 Noise                                         X              X             X
 Transportation                                X              X
 Wastes                                        X              X             X
 Human health and safety                       X              X             X
 Terrestrial vegetation and wetlands           X              X             X
 Fish                                          X              X             X
 Birds and mammals                             X              X             X              X
 Threatened and endangered species             X              X             X              X
 Subsistence                                   X              X             X              X
 Sociocultural systems                         X              X             X
 Economics                                                                                                X
 Cultural resources                            X              X             X
 Land use and coastal zone management          X              X             X
 Recreation, wilderness, and aesthetics        X              X             X
 Environmental justice                         X              X             X              X



transportation on marine and coastal resources               4.7.3 Time Frames of Actions
(Map 4.7-4).

     For the purposes of the economic analysis                    4.7.3.1 Reasonably
in this EIS, the region of interest for cumulative
                                                                          Foreseeable Future
impact analysis is considered to be the entire
State of Alaska. This is because the economic
                                                                          Actions
implications of the TAPS and North Slope                          A cumulative impact analysis should
petroleum development are statewide. In                      incorporate the sum of the effects of past,
addition, a natural gas transportation pipeline              present, and future actions, because the past
would also have impacts on the state’s economy               influences the future, and impacts may
through employment, expenditures, and fees.                  accumulate or develop over time. The future
ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES                          4.7-6



actions specifically and generally described in             United States. The proposal for a natural gas
this cumulative analysis are those that are                 pipeline from the North Slope oil fields into the
“reasonably foreseeable.” As a general rule, time           Mackenzie Delta would not be permitted under
frames for these actions fall within a planning             existing Alaska regulations dealing with rights-
horizon of less than the proposed action. These             of-way through state lands. Neither of these
actions have either already occurred, are                   proposals is considered in this cumulative
ongoing, are currently being implemented, are               effects analysis.
funded for future implementation, or are included
in firm near-term plans. They are discussed                     One proposal, which would otherwise have
further in Section 4.7.4. Types of proposals with           been included in this cumulative effect analysis
firm near-term plans include these:                         because environmental analysis has been
                                                            completed, is also considered uncertain and
   1. Proposals for which NEPA                              speculative at this time. This is the Liberty
      documents are in preparation or                       Project, designed to develop offshore oil
      finalized;                                            reserves in the Beaufort Sea. It no longer has
                                                            the support of its proponent.
   2. Proposals in a detailed design
      phase;                                                    Another speculative proposal by the State of
                                                            Alaska for a permanent road west of Prudhoe
   3. Proposals listed in formal Notices of                 Bay to the Village of Nuisqut on the Coville River
      Intent published in the Federal                       has been talked about, but does not now have
      Register or state publications;                       legislative or administrative approval or funding.
                                                            This action is also considered uncertain and
   4. Proposals that are funded;                            speculative and it is not included in the
                                                            cumulative analysis.
   5. Proposals for which enabling
      legislation has been passed; and

   6. Proposals that have been submitted                    4.7.4 Types of Actions
      to federal and state regulators to
                                                                Table 4.7-2 lists the potential cumulative
      begin the permitting process.
                                                            actions considered in this TAPS EIS. These
                                                            actions include those of various federal and state
   4.7.3.2 Proposals Considered                             agencies, communities, and individuals. The
                                                            actions listed in the table include past, present,
           but Excluded                                     and future actions in the region of interest. Both
    Proposals that are in early stages of                   actions related to the TAPS and actions
development and potential projects described in             unrelated to TAPS are described. Uncertain or
long-range planning documents are considered                speculative actions are not required to be
uncertain and speculative. These include the                included. Cumulative effects are not limited to
high-visibility and controversial proposal                  the actions of one agency, one type of
currently being discussed in Alaska and                     organization, or individuals. Because several
throughout North America for oil and gas                    agencies or individuals can create a similar type
production in the ANWR. The proposal to                     of environmental effect, all agencies and
develop oil and gas production in ANWR, while it            individuals having the same effect are included.
has strong proponents, is currently not feasible
                                                                 The actions listed in Table 4.7-2 are listed by
under existing regulations and laws. This
                                                            region. Because actions in the Beaufort Sea, on
proposal has not reached a state of development
                                                            the coast, or in upland North Slope areas might
where legislative approval, regulatory review,
                                                            affect more than one of these areas, they are
funding, or permitting has begun. Another such
                                                            listed together. Actions related to petroleum
proposal is for the construction and operation of
                                                            transportation through the Gulf of Alaska and on
a natural gas pipeline along a northern route
                                                            to destination ports are also listed together.
through the Beaufort Sea into the Mackenzie
                                                            However, when appropriate, certain cumulative
Delta and from there to southern Canada and the
                                                            impact analyses may consider impacts in the
TABLE 4.7-2 Potential Contributions to Cumulative Effects in the Beaufort Sea, North Slope, Interior Alaska, and
Prince William Sound

                                                                                                                                    Prince William Sound;
                                                                                                                                        Pacific Region
     Type of Action                                  Beaufort Sea/North Slope                                     Interior          Transportation Routes

 Oil and gas exploration, • Locations (producing                                                        • Locations (undeveloped)   • None
 development, and           and undeveloped)                                                              - Copper River
 production                 - Alpine                   -   Hemi Springs         -   Sagavanirktok River   - Mid-Tanana
                            - Badami                   -   Kavik                -   Sandpiper
                            - Burger                   -   Kalubik              -   Schrader Bluff
                            - Cascade                  -   Kuvlum               -   Sikulik
                            - Colville Delta-North     -   Kuparuk River        -   Simpson
                              (Nanuq)                  -   Lisburne             -   South Barrow
                            - Colville Delta-          -   Meade                -   Sourdough
                              South (fiord)            -   Mikkelson            -   Square Lake
                            - East Barrow              -   Midnight Sun         -   Stinson
                            - East Kurupa              -   Milne Point          -   Tabasco




                                                                                                                                                            4.7-7
                            - East Umiat               -   Niakuk               -   Tarn
                            - Eider                    -   North Prudhoe Bay    -   Thetis Island
                            - Endicott                 -   Northstar            -   Ugnu
                            - Fish Creek               -   Prudhoe Bay          -   Umiat




                                                                                                                                                            ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES
                            - Flaxman                  -   Pt. McIntyre         -   Walakpa
                            - Gubik                    -   Pt. Thomson          -   West Beach
                            - Gwydyr Bay               -   Sag Delta            -   West Sak
                            - Hammerhead               -   Sag Delta North      -   Wolf Creek

                          • Facilities and infrastructure
                            - Central production facilities (CPFs)
                            - Gas processing plants
                            - Seawater treatment plants
                            - Carrier pipelines
                            - Power plants
                            - Service industries at Deadhorse
                            - Gravel sources
                            - Roads
                            - Landing strips
                            - Waste treatment
                                                                                                                                     ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES
TABLE 4.7-2 (Cont.)

                                                                                                             Prince William Sound;
                                                                                                                 Pacific Region
      Type of Action                                 Beaufort Sea/North Slope              Interior          Transportation Routes

 Oil refining              • Prudhoe Bay                                        • Williams Alaska Petroleum • Petro Star (Valdez)
                           • Kuparuk                                              (North Pole)
                                                                                • Petro Star (North Pole)
 Oil and refined product   •   TAPS pump stations                               • Williams Terminal         • Valdez Marine
 storage                   •   Prudhoe Bay                                        (Fairbanks International    Terminal
                           •   Kuparuk                                            Airport)                  • Communities
                           •   Communities                                      • TAPS Pump Stations
                                                                                • Communities

 Oil and gas               •   TAPS                                             • TAPS                      • TAPS
 transportation            •   Natural gas pipeline                             • Natural gas pipeline      • Interconnection of
                           •   Carrier pipelines                                • Interconnections of the     the TAPS to Petro
                           •   Fuel transfer from barges and other vessels        TAPS to Williams and        Star Refinery




                                                                                                                                     4.7-8
                                                                                  Petro Star Refineries     • Valdez Marine
 Methane hydrates                                                                 (North Pole)                Terminal
                           • Prudhoe Bay
 research                                                                                                   • Oil tanker
                           • Kuparuk
                                                                                                              operations
                                                                                                            • Natural gas pipeline

 Human habitation and      • Towns and villages                                 • Cities, towns, villages   • Cities, towns,
 development                 - Anaktuvuk Pass                                     - Arctic Village            villages
                             - Atqasuk                                            - Beaver                    - Chenega Bay
                             - Barrow                                             - Chalkyitsik               - Cordova
                             - Deadhorse                                            Chicken                   - Eyak
                             - Kaktovik                                           - Chistochina               - Tatitlek
                             - Nuiqsut                                            - Chitina                   - Tonsina
                                                                                  - Coldfoot and Wiseman      - Valdez
                           • North Slope Borough                                  - Copper Center             - Whittier
                                                                                  - Delta Junction
                                                                                  - Eagle                   • Kenai Peninsula
                                                                                  - Evansville/Bettles        - Borough
                                                                                  - Fort Yukon
                                                                                  - Gakona
TABLE 4.7-2 (Cont.)

                                                                                                       Prince William Sound;
                                                                                                           Pacific Region
     Type of Action                            Beaufort Sea/North Slope                 Interior       Transportation Routes

 Human habitation and                                                         -   Glennallen
 development (Cont.)                                                          -   Gulkana
                                                                              -   Livengood
                                                                              -   Manley Hot Springs
                                                                              -   McCarthy
                                                                              -   Paxson
                                                                              -   Rampart
                                                                              -   Slana
                                                                              -   Stevens Village
                                                                              -   Tanana
                                                                              -   Venetie

                                                                          • Fairbanks-North Star




                                                                                                                                 4.7-9
                                                                            Borough

 Transportation         • Air fields and strips                           •   Air fields and strips    • Air fields and strips
                        • Dalton Highway                                  •   Railroads                • Railroads




                                                                                                                                 ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES
                        • Private and commercial watercraft               •   Alaska Highway           • Roads
                                                                          •   Dalton Highway           • Marine Terminals
                                                                          •   Richardson Highway       • Alaska Marine
                                                                          •   Other roads                Highway
                                                                          •   Private and commercial   • Personal and
                                                                              watercraft                 commercial
                                                                                                         - Watercraft
                                                                                                         - Fishing vessels
                                                                                                         - Tour boats
                                                                                                         - Container and
                                                                                                           bulk carriers
                                                                                                                                         ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES
TABLE 4.7-2 (Cont.)

                                                                                                                 Prince William Sound;
                                                                                                                     Pacific Region
     Type of Action                             Beaufort Sea/North Slope                      Interior           Transportation Routes

 Legislative actions   •   Alaska Native Claims Settlement Act                      • Alaska Native Claims       • Alaska Native
 related to land use   •   Alaska National Interest Lands Conservation Act            Settlement Act               Claims Settlement
                       •   Federal Coastal Zone Management Act                      • Alaska National Interest     Act
                       •   Alaska Coastal Zone Management Act                         Lands Conservation Act     • Alaska National
                                                                                                                   Interest Lands
                                                                                                                   Conservation Act
                                                                                                                 • Federal Coastal
                                                                                                                   Zone Management
                                                                                                                   Act
                                                                                                                 • Alaska Coastal Zone
                                                                                                                   Management Act
                                                                                                                 • Prince William
                                                                                                                   Sound Regional
                                                                                                                   Advisory Board




                                                                                                                                         4.7-10
 Land management       • U.S. Department of the Interior                            • U.S. Department of the     • U.S. Department of
                       • North Slope Borough (Coastal Zone Management Program and     Interior                     the Interior
                         Comprehensive Plan)                                        • U.S. Department of         • U.S. Department of
                       • Native corporations                                          Agriculture                  Agriculture
                                                                                    • Alaska Department of       • Alaska Department
                                                                                      Natural Resources            of Natural
                                                                                    • Dalton Highway Advisory      Resources
                                                                                      Board                      • Military
                                                                                    • Military                   • City of Valdez
                                                                                      - Ft. Greely (Delta        • Native corporations
                                                                                        Junction)
                                                                                      - Ft. Wainwright
                                                                                        (Fairbanks)
                                                                                      - Eielson Air Force Base
                                                                                        (near Fairbanks)
                                                                                    • North Star Borough
                                                                                    • Native corporations
TABLE 4.7-2 (Cont.)

                                                                                                        Prince William Sound;
                                                                                                            Pacific Region
     Type of Action                            Beaufort Sea/North Slope             Interior            Transportation Routes

 Natural resource use   • Subsistence                                     • Subsistence                 • Subsistence
                        • Recreational development                        • Recreational                • Recreational
                          - Tourism                                         development                   development
                          - Hunting and fishing                             - Tourism                     - Tourism
                        • Mining (gravel)                                   - Hunting, fishing            - Hunting, fishing
                                                                            - Pipeline viewing areas      - Pipeline viewing
                                                                            - Campgrounds                   areas
                                                                            - Boat launches               - Campgrounds
                                                                            - Visitor centers             - Boat launches,
                                                                          • Commercial development          harbors
                                                                          • Commercial fishing            - Visitor centers
                                                                          • Mining (minerals, gravel)   • Commercial
                                                                                                          development




                                                                                                                                4.7-11
                                                                          • Logging
                                                                                                        • Commercial fishing
                                                                                                        • Mining (minerals)
                                                                                                        • Logging




                                                                                                                                ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES
 Petroleum spills       • Production and exploration                      • Transportation              • Transportation
                        • Transportation
ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES                           4.7-12



Beaufort Sea and the North Slope separately,              plants, carrier pipelines, power plants, gravel
depending on the distribution of the affected             sources, roads, landing strips, and service
resources. Similar actions have been grouped              industries. Oil development and production sites
together and listed by type in Table 4.7-2.               on the North Slope and in the Beaufort Sea use
Included are various actions associated with the          different technologies as a function of the time
petroleum industry, human habitation (these               they were constructed and their remoteness from
actions include various human and industrial              existing logistics sites. However, a generalized
activities), transportation, legislation affecting        diagram is presented in Figure 4.7-2. Over the
land control and use, land management                     35-year interval since the first wells were drilled
activities and plans, natural resource use, and           at Prudhoe Bay, the technology and operating
petroleum spills.                                         practices have changed considerably, resulting
                                                          in a reduction in the size of the sites (details can
                                                          be found in the web site presentation, “Arctic
    4.7.4.1 Oil and Gas Explora-                          Energy”) (BP 2002a). Facilities enabled in
            tion, Development, and                        remote locations, such as offshore, vary in
            Production                                    configuration from those closer to principal
                                                          infrastructure centers.

      4.7.4.1.1 Resources. Oil and gas                        Future producing sites would be connected
exploration, development, and production have             via a pipeline to the oil transfer network linked
been ongoing for a number of years on the North           with the TAPS. The fields in the Prudhoe Bay
Slope (see Map 4.7-5). The state of Alaska                area are serviced via the road network in that
currently estimates that the North Slope oil              area. Nearshore operations, such as Endicott,
reserves contain 12.8 billion bbl (ADNR 2000a).           are connected to the road network via
The federal government estimates that an                  causeways. Offshore operations, such as North
additional 22.5 billion bbl of oil and                    Star, and potential new fields in the Beaufort Sea
22.5 trillion ft3 of natural gas are contained in the     are or would be connected to shore only by air
Arctic Outer Continental Shelf. An estimated              and marine transport. The newer onshore fields
2.1 billion bbl of oil and 8.5 trillion ft3 of gas are    outside the existing road network, such as
contained in NPR-A, and between 5.7 and                   Alpine, are not connected to other oil fields by a
16 billion bbl of oil are contained in structures         permanent gravel road; instead, winter ice roads
under the coastal plain of ANWR. While                    are used to move heavy equipment and
development within ANWR cannot be assumed,                materials. Aircraft and marine transport, where
it is likely that oil and gas exploration,                practical, are used to transport changing crews
development, and production will continue on the          and lighter cargo items.
North Slope, including NPR-A and offshore.
                                                               Well pads are gravel pads containing the
     Current and projected oil and gas                    wellheads and the equipment and personnel
exploration, development and production are               required to get oil out of the ground into
summarized in Table 4.7-3 (National Energy                gathering lines, to processing facilities, then into
Policy Development Group 2001). In addition to            carrier pipelines. Drill sites (or production
the areas listed in the table, the Mid-Tanana and         stations) are both individually smaller and fewer
Copper River Basins in the Interior Alaska are            in number to produce a given deposit. Well
being studied to determine their oil and gas              spacing is tighter, both because drilling
potential, and lease sales are planned. Research          technology has improved and because earlier
is also ongoing on the North Slope to                     concerns about potential well damage caused by
characterize methane hydrate deposits.                    permafrost melting have been resolved. A wider
                                                          subsurface area can now be reached from a
                                                          smaller, single surface location through
    4.7.4.1.2 Facilities and                              directional drilling, and multilateral and
Infrastructure. Petroleum production                      horizontal drilling techniques expand the oil
involves a number of ancillary facilities and             reservoir that can be reached by a single well.
supporting infrastructures, including well pads,          Theoretically, a single drill site of 8 acres which
gas processing plants, seawater treatment
TABLE 4.7-3 Oil Fields Located in Alaska and the Arctic Outer Continental Shelf

                                                                                                                                      Projected
                                                                                                                             Began      End of
      Field                 Unit            Product       Status                            Operator                       Production Production

 Alpine           Colville River            Oil       Producing     Phillips Alaska, Inc.                                    2000
 Badami           Badami                    Oil and   Producing     BP Exploration (Alaska), Inc.                            1998       2008
                                             gas
 Burger           Outer Continental Shelf   Oil and   Undeveloped   Shell
                                             gas
 Cascade          Milne Point               Oil       Producing     BP Exploration (Alaska), Inc.                            1996
 Colville Delta   Colville                  Oil       Undeveloped   Phillips Alaska, Inc.
 East Barrow                                Gas       Producing     North Slope Borough                                      1981
 East Kurupa                                Gas       Undeveloped
 East Umiat                                 Gas       Shut          UMC Petroleum
 Eider            Duck Island               Oil       Producing     BP Exploration (Alaska), Inc.                            1998
 Endicott         Duck Island               Oil       Producing     BP Exploration (Alaska), Inc.                            1987




                                                                                                                                                   4.7-13
 Fiord            Colville River            Oil       Undeveloped   Phillips Alaska, Inc.
 Fish Creek       NPR-A                     Oil       Undeveloped
 Flaxman          Point Thomson             Oil       Undeveloped   ExxonMobil
 Gubik                                      Gas       Undeveloped
 Gwydyr Bay                                 Oil       Undeveloped   BP Exploration (Alaska), Inc.




                                                                                                                                                   ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES
 Hammerhead       Outer Continental Shelf   Oil       Undeveloped   Chevron
 Hemi Springs                               Oil       Undeveloped
 Kalubik                                    Oil       Undeveloped   Phillips Alaska, Inc.
 Kavik                                      Gas       Undeveloped   Phillips Alaska, Inc.
 Kuparuk River    Kuparuk River (Greater    Oil and   Producing     Phillips Alaska, Inc.                                    1981
                   Kurak Area) Kura          gas
 Kuukpik          Kuukpik                   Oil and   Exploration   Phillips Alaska, Inc.
                                             gas
 Kuvlum           Outer Continental Shelf   Oil       Undeveloped   Chevron
 Liberty          Outer Continental Shelf   Oil       Undeveloped   BP Exploration (Alaska), Inc.
 Lisburne         Prudhoe Bay               Oil and   Producing     BP Exploration (Alaska), Inc.; Phillips Alaska, Inc.     1986
                                             gas
 Meade            NPR-A                     Gas       Undeveloped
 Midnight Sun     Prudhoe Bay               Oil       Producing     BP Exploration (Alaska), Inc.; Phillips Alaska, Inc.
 Mikkelson                                  Oil       Undeveloped   ExxonMobil; Phillips Alaska, Inc.
TABLE 4.7-3 (Cont.)




                                                                                                                                                   ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES
                                                                                                                                      Projected
                                                                                                                             Began      End of
        Field               Unit            Product      Status                             Operator                       Production Production

 Milne Point      Milne Point               Oil and   Producing     BP Exploration (Alaska), Inc;                            1985
                                             gas
 Niakuk        Prudhoe Bay                  Oil       Producing     BP Exploration (Alaska), Inc.; Phillips Alaska, Inc.     1994
 North Prudhoe Prudhoe Bay                  Oil and   Producing     BP Exploration (Alaska), Inc.; Phillips Alaska, Inc.     1993       2006
  Bay                                        gas
 Northstar     Northstar                    Oil and   Producing     BP Exploration (Alaska), Inc;                            2001       2015
                                             gas
 Point McIntyre   Prudhoe Bay               Oil and   Producing     BP Exploration (Alaska), Inc.; Phillips Alaska, Inc.     1993
                                             gas
 Point Thomson                              Oil and   Undeveloped   ExxonMobil
                                             gas
 Prudhoe Bay      Prudhoe Bay               Oil       Producing     BP Exploration (Alaska), Inc.; Phillips Alaska, Inc.     1977
 Sag Delta        Duck Island               Oil       Producing     BP Exploration (Alaska), Inc.                            1989
  North




                                                                                                                                                   4.7-14
 Sagavanirktok    Milne Point               Oil       Producing     BP Exploration (Alaska), Inc.                            1994
  River
 Sandpiper        Outer Continental Shelf   Oil       Undeveloped   Murphy
 Schrader Bluff   Milne Point               Oil and   Producing     BP Exploration (Alaska), Inc.                            1991
                                             gas
 Sikulik                                    Gas       Undeveloped   North Slope Borough
 Simpson          NPR-A                     Oil       Undeveloped
 Sourdough        Point Thomson             Oil       Undeveloped   BP Exploration (Alaska), Inc.
 South Barrow                               Gas       Producing     North Slope Borough
 Square Lake      NPR-A                     Gas       Undeveloped
 Stinson                                    Oil       Undeveloped   Phillips Alaska, Inc.
 Tabasco          Kaparuk River (Greater    Oil and   Producing     Phillips Alaska, Inc.                                    1999
                   Kurak Area) Kura          gas
 Tarn             Kaparuk River (Greater    Oil and   Producing     Phillips Alaska, Inc.                                    1999
                   Kurak Area) Kura          gas
 Thetis Island                              Oil       Undeveloped   Anardarko
 Ugnu             Kaparuk River (Greater    Oil       Undeveloped   Phillips Alaska, Inc.
                   Kurak Area) Kura
TABLE 4.7-3 (Cont.)

                                                                                                                                   Projected
                                                                                                                          Began      End of
      Field              Unit            Product      Status                             Operator                       Production Production

 Umiat                                   Oil       Producing     U.S. Department of the Interior
 Walakpa                                 Oil       Producing     North Slope Borough                                      1992
 West Beach     Prudhoe Bay              Oil and   Producing     BP Exploration (Alaska), Inc.; Phillips Alaska, Inc.     1994       2016
                                         gas
 West Sak       Kuparuk River (Greater   Oil       Producing     Phillips Alaska, Inc.                                    1998
                 Kurak Area) Kura
 Wolf Creek     NPR-A                    Gas       Undeveloped

Source: ADNR (2000a).




                                                                                                                                                4.7-15
                                                                                                                                                ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES
 Prudhoe Bay
                                                                                                Central
               Seawater                                            Seawater                   Gas Facility                                 Central
            Treatment Plant                                     Injection Plant                                                        Compressor Plant                 Valdez
                                                                              Miscible Gas
                                                                              for Injection
                                                                                                                                                          Gas Injection Wells
                                                                                                                        Gas Return


                                                                                                                             Gas
                                            Seawater                                          NGL                                                                                Pump Station
                                                                                                                                                                                   (one of nine)
                                                                     Produced Water
 Beaufort Sea
                                                                                                                                                                      Trans-Alaska
                                                                                                                                                                        Pipeline
                                                                                                         Flow Station
       Drillsite                                               Manifold Building                                                     Pump Station No.1



                                                                                                                        Approx. 1800' Permafrost
                                                                                                                                                               How we get the oil from the
                                        Produced Water (EOR)
                   Miscible Gas (EOR)



                                                     & Water




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 4.7-16
                               E O R)




                                                                                                                                                               ground to the Trans-Alaska pipeline.
                    Seawater (




                                                                                                                                                               Crude oil at Prudhoe Bay is located in the Sadlerochit
                                            Gas, Oil




                                                                                                                                                               zone, a sandstone formation at approximately 9,000 feet
                                                                                                                                                               below the earth's surface. Pressure from the formation,
                                                                                                                                                               pushes the crude up a well to the surface where a
                                                                                                                                                               wellhead controls the flow of crude. Wellheads are
                                                                                                                                                               located on gravel drillsites and are covered by a well
                                                                                         Gas Cap                                                               house for worker and equipment protection against the
                                                                                                                                                               harsh arctic environment. From here the crude flows
                                                                                                                                                               through the manifold building, also located on the drill
                                                                                                                             Oil deposits Approx.
                                                                                                                                                               site, where oil/gas/water ratio is determined. Crude then
                                                                                               Oil                           9,000' below surface
                                                                                                                                                               travels to a processing center and is separated into oil,
                                                                                                                                                               gas and water. Natural gas is sent to the gas handling
                                                                                                                                                               facilities for reinjection back into the field. Produced
                Water                                                                                                                   Water                  water is sent back to the drillsites and reinjected into
                                                                                                                                                               the formation to help in the oil recovery. Oil continues
                                                                                                                                                               its journey to Alyeska's Pump Station 1 to begin its
                                                                                                                                                               800 mile trip to Valdez.




                                                                                                                                                                                                                      JKA50205


FIGURE 4.7-2 Generalized Schematic of Prudhoe Bay Oil Production (Source: BP 2002b)
                                                        4.7-17    ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES



is large even by Prudhoe Bay standards could                 separated from the oil. Each oil-gas-water
cover a subsurface area that is 8 mi in diameter             separation facility is equipped with gas
(more than 32,000 acres) (BP 2002a).                         detection, fire, and trouble alarm systems;
                                                             several fire suppression systems; and fire water
    Site-specific conditions and available                   storage tanks. Each facility can also flare natural
technology dictate the facilities’ requirements              gas when the need arises to rapidly shut down a
and the size of the site footprint. Small fields with        facility (BLM 1998).
a single production pad and airstrip could have a
footprint of approximately 50 acres. Larger fields               The maintenance of existing oil fields and
with multiple pads and service roads could have              the development of new fields require continued
footprints of up 200 acres. The newer production             support activities, including the extraction of
sites have well spacings of 10 to 20 ft on a pad             gravel from borrow areas and the use of local
(well spacings for older sites were 120 to 160 ft).          water supplies, except where salt water can be
Some of these wells are needed for reinjecting               used. To maintain existing facilities, these
gas, water, or other fluids into the oil reservoir to        resources would likely be used at the current
improve oil recovery or for disposal of produced             rate. The pace of new development would
water into other authorized formations. The                  determine if additional personnel and logistics
number of wellheads per production pad is                    support beyond the current levels would be
determined by the economics and geology                      needed on the North Slope. However, new
associated with developing the oil reservoir.                development would require the transport of
                                                             additional equipment and materials to, and
     The number of pads needed depends on the                within, the North Slope and Beaufort Sea areas.
methods of drilling and the depth to the oil
reservoir. Conventional, vertically drilled wells                  It is possible that sources of gravel for the
have a horizontal distance (reach)-to-depth ratio            development of new fields in the NPR-A may be
of 1:1. Thus, for a reservoir at a depth of 8,000 ft,        limited to existing sources, although gravel
the reach for each pad would be 8,000 ft, so the             requirements for NPR-A development have not
production pads would be separated by roughly                been established. Gravel might have to be
16,000 ft. Currently, the greatest reach-to-depth            transported from borrow pits used by the existing
ratio on the North Slope is 2:1. It occurs at a well         oil fields, roadways, and the TAPS. However, the
in the Niakuk field (ratio of 18,098-ft reach to an          gravel need within the NPR-A has not been
oil reservoir depth of 9,445 ft) (BLM 1998).                 quantified, and the possibility exists that locally
                                                             generated crushed rock and other materials
     A central production center (CPF) (also                 could substitute for gravel (BLM 1998). In the
known as a flow station [Prudhoe Bay] or                     vicinity of Prudhoe Bay and along the TAPS,
fathering center [western operating area])                   numerous material sites provide gravel. Gravel
manages well production and produces sales-                  sources include state-permitted deposits near
quality crude oil by separating oil, water, and              the rivers and stream that parallel the TAPS
gas. In addition to oil production equipment, the            (e.g., Sagavanirktok River, Atigun River, and
CPF or nearby areas commonly include living                  Kuparuk River.
quarters, eating and recreational areas,
administrative areas, maintenance shops,                         The reservoirs tapped by the North Slope
vehicle parking, fuel and water storage tanks,               wells are under pressure. To increase the oil
power generators, wastewater management                      recovered, other wells are drilled to inject water
facilities, and a communications center. The                 or gas into the field to maintain the pressure
types of services provided at a CPF, its crew                within the reservoirs. Gas is produced from the
size, and the size of its facilities depend on the           well with the oil and is reinjected into the
size of the operations and the CPF’s proximity to            reservoir. Water is obtained from the water
existing logistical support. Buildings are                   extracted with the oil and from water wells and
supported on pilings to mitigate ground settling             surface sources. Seawater may be used as a
or frost heaving. Production equipment includes              water source for sites where it is practical to
oil, gas, and water separators and other                     construct a seawater intake, treatment plant, and
equipment that condition and transport the oil               insulated pipeline delivery system. A Prudhoe
and that manage the water and gas that have                  Bay pressure maintenance program that
ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES                            4.7-18



included seawater injection into the reservoir             Carrier pipelines from offshore production
was initiated in 1984. The scope of the $2 billion         facilities are on the sea floor. Elevated pipelines
program includes a distribution system,                    are relatively easy to maintain and are visually
seawater treatment plant, and pumping systems.             inspected for leaks. Because they can restrict
Today, produced water has increased in volume              the movements of caribou and other wildlife,
and has largely replaced seawater as a                     both TAPS and North Slope producers have
secondary recovery fluid.                                  implemented resources to allow for safe
                                                           passage of caribou and other large mammals.
    The need for water for new development and             Buried pipelines are feasible in the Arctic
production would be met from local freshwater              provided that the integrity of the frozen soils is
supplies or seawater. The water supplies                   maintained. Such pipeline configurations have
currently used by the existing oil fields and              been used in the Milne Point area. Buried pipe is
TAPS would not be affected. However,                       more difficult to monitor and maintain and must
wastewater would likely be placed in existing              be insulated and operated so that the oil
EPA-approved injection wells that are used by              temperature will ensure that thaw settlement will
the existing oil fields and TAPS facilities.               be within tolerable limits. According to State of
                                                           Alaska regulations, pipelines must be located to
    Similarly, solid waste management facilities           enable the containment and cleanup of spills,
used by existing oil fields and TAPS would likely          avoid significant changes in the migration
be used in new development and production                  patterns of herd animals, and allow fish passage
(BLM 1998). Waste generation rates would likely            (ADNR 1999).
be similar to the rates of existing facilities.
Today, for existing fields as well as new                       Power is supplied to the oil fields by natural-
development, grinding and subsurface injection             gas-fueled turbines. Natural gas is obtained from
are used to dispose of drilling muds and cuttings          the oil production wells. Diesel fuel is also used
after sand and gravel have been reclaimed for              for some purposes and is supplied either by
reuse (BLM 1998). This practice reduces the                small refineries at the oil fields or by truck from
amount of oil field waste. The total quantities of         Fairbanks.
wastes generated from new oil fields cannot
currently be predicted because the extent of the                Exploration is now generally limited to winter
new development and production cannot be                   in order to minimize the impact of moving
predicted.                                                 equipment over exposed tundra to avoid
                                                           interference with animals, and avoid the need to
     BP operates a Central Compression Plant               build permanent roads. Ice roads and drilling
and Central Gas Facility on the North Slope.               pads spread the weight of the equipment over
This facility is devoted primarily to processing           the ground surface and minimize the contact of
and handling the enormous quantities of natural            the equipment with the soil surface. Their
gas produced by oil wells in Prudhoe Bay. This             locations are almost undetectable when they
gas is then reinjected into the reservoir. In              melt. Production areas remote from permanent
addition, this facility provides compressed                roads may be built and maintained by using only
natural gas (CNG) for fueling trucks and other             ice roads in the winter and access by air strip or
vehicles. The facility is designed to fuel                 water during the summer.
20 vehicles per hour. A total of 70 CNG vehicles
have already been added to BP’s Prudhoe Bay                     Major aviation facilities are located at
fleet, and plans are to convert the entire                 Barrow, Deadhorse, and Kuparuk. In addition,
450-vehicle fleet from diesel fuel to CNG over             there is a gravel airstrip at Nuiqsut. Smaller
the next 3 years (BP 2000b).                               airstrips link remote oil sites with the larger
                                                           aviation facilities. These airstrips are typically
    Carrier pipelines are used to transfer oil from        made of gravel, measure 150 to 200 ft wide and
the production stations at the oil fields to the           5,000 to 6,000 ft long, and are built to serve the
TAPS. Elevated pipelines are typically used in             needs of the site and not the local area.
the North Slope oil fields to prevent heat transfer
from the hot oil in the pipeline to frozen soils,             Deadhorse was established to support oil
since heat would degrade the permafrost.                   development at Prudhoe Bay and is not a
                                                       4.7-19    ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES



community in the traditional sense. It is not                    These refineries obtain oil acquired by spur
controlled or managed by the North Slope                    pipelines from the TAPS. Each extracts the
producers. The private support companies are                lighter fractions from the crude oil to produce an
located on state-leased land. Services include              array of refined products. The heavier fractions
three hotels that offer meals, a general store that         are returned to the TAPS via pipeline.
doubles as a post office, and two gas stations.
Tire and vehicle repair facilities are also
available, as are an auto parts store and                       4.7.4.3 Oil Storage
hardware store. The North Slope Borough
operates a solid waste facility at Deadhorse.                    Williams Energy operates a 20,000-bbl jet-
                                                            fuel terminal at Fairbanks International Airport
    Public access is restricted beyond                      (Williams Energy 2002). Commercial fuel sales
Deadhorse. Areas to the north, including the                in Alaska increased from 1,507 million gal in
Arctic Ocean, can only be accessed via                      1995 to 1,788 million gal in 1999. Most of this
commercial tours, which operate from the hotels             increase was due to the increase in sales of jet
(Morris Communications Corporation 2001).                   fuel, which account for more than half of the total
                                                            fuel sales in the state (900 million gal in 1999)
                                                            (ADNR 2000a). Other storage facilities exist at
    4.7.4.2 Oil Refining                                    the TAPS pump stations at Kuparuk and
                                                            Prudhoe Bay and in communities throughout the
     Alaska has four merchant refineries and two            region of interest.
smaller crude oil tapping plants in North Slope
fields dedicated to producing oil for field use.
Three of the merchant refineries are in the                     4.7.4.4 Oil and Natural Gas
region of interest: two are at North Pole (near                         Transportation
Fairbanks), and one is at Valdez. Most of the
petroleum products produced by these refineries                 In addition to the major systems described
are used within Alaska. Williams Alaska                     below, refined products are shipped by truck
Petroleum, Inc., owns and operates one of the               from the three refineries to various end points.
petroleum refineries at North Pole. The refinery
produces approximately 62,000 bbl/d of various
petroleum products, including motor gasoline,                    4.7.4.4.1 Trans-Alaska Pipeline
naphtha, jet fuel, heating fuels, diesel fuels, gas,        System. The TAPS has been described in
oil, and asphalt for both local supply and export.          detail in the earlier sections of this DEIS. It is
Approximately 60% of the refinery’s product is              listed here for completeness. The TAPS system
jet fuel, which is supplied to various domestic             assessed here includes the pipeline, pump
and international airlines as well as to the                stations, access roads, and the Valdez Marine
U.S. military (Williams Energy 2002).                       Terminal.

     Petro Star operates the other refinery at
North Pole. It produces 3,750 bbl/d of product,                  4.7.4.4.2 Alaska North Slope
including kerosene, diesel fuel, and jet fuel for           Natural Gas Commercialization. This
use in interior and northern Alaska (Petro Star             DEIS assumes that it is reasonably foreseeable
2002a). Petro Star also operates a refinery at              that sometime in the next 30 years natural gas
Valdez that produces 10,000 bbl/d of refined                will be transported from the North Slope to
product (ADNR 2000a). The refinery produces                 market in Canada and the United States. At this
jet fuel, marine diesel and heating fuel for use in         time, it is premature to guess which proposal
south-central and south coastal Alaska. The                 would ultimately be selected and implemented.
majority of the products are shipped out of the             There is a large quantity of natural gas within the
Valdez Petroleum Terminal, located                          Prudhoe Bay reservoir. In addition, there are
approximately 6 mi from the refinery. The                   undeveloped discoveries of natural gas in the
products are shipped to Anchorage, Kodiak,                  area with projections for the discovery of
Dutch Harbor, and coastal Alaska by a leased                substantially more gas if it were marketable.
barge (Petro Star 2002b).                                   Since the discovery of the Prudhoe Bay field in
ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES                           4.7-20



1968, planning for the commercialization of               stations along the route, and (4) a possible
these gas deposits has been under way. A                  natural gas liquid (NGL) recovery plant.
number of projects to market the gas have been
proposed or conceptualized. These include                      The gas treatment facility would remove acid
several pipeline routes from the North Slope to           gases (CO2, H2S) and compress and chill the
the lower 48 states through Canada, a liquefied           gas to make it ready for transport. The pipeline
natural gas (LNG) project at Valdez, and a gas-           would be 48 in. in diameter and constructed of
to-liquids project on the North Slope. Although           high-strength steel. Compressor stations, valve
each of these projects has been studied, some             stations, and intermediate pigging facilities
extensively, none has been financed or built,             would maintain gas pressure (about 2,500 psi),
principally because long-term natural gas prices          allow maintenance and pigging of the line, and
in the target markets have not justified the cost         provide safety features. Because the gas would
and risk of the project. While it is not entirely         contain ethane, propane, and other gas liquids, a
clear that this gas will be commercialized, two           NGL recovery plant might be needed to remove
possible gas commercialization projects are               the heavier hydrocarbons (C2+) for sale.
described in some detail below for purposes of
this analysis to be the surrogate for whatever                 Construction of a natural gas pipeline could
project might eventually be built.                        involve about 600 mi of buried pipeline in
                                                          Alaska. The total project cost could be
     A “southern” pipeline has been proposed to           approximately $10 billion, of which $1 billion
carry natural gas into Canada. One possible               could be for the gas treatment facility and
proposed route would parallel the TAPS until it           $2.5 billion could be for actual pipeline
reaches the Delta vicinity southeast of                   construction. Construction of the gas treatment
Fairbanks, then it would run roughly parallel to          facility could require about 3,000 person-years of
the Alaska Highway through the Yukon Territory            labor, while construction of the pipeline could
and British Columbia into Alberta (Map 4.7-6).            require about 7,500 person-years of labor. It is
This proposal has been the subject of detailed            anticipated that the main construction effort
study by the TAPS Owners, and legislation has             could occur over a period of 3 to 5 years. The
been proposed for development of this proposal.           facilities could be labor-efficient and capital-
Another proposal is for a northern route from             efficient to operate, and could create direct
Prudhoe Bay through the Beaufort Sea to the               employment of 300 to 400 permanent jobs
MacKenzie Delta then south through Canada. As             (Goldsmith 2001; McGraw 2002).
already discussed, this proposal was not
considered reasonably foreseeable. A third                    Alternatively, conditioned natural gas could
proposal is for a pipeline parallel to the TAPS           be transported by pipeline from the North Slope
into Valdez, where the natural gas would be               to Valdez, where the gas would be liquefied by a
liquefied for shipment. Although it is not clear          cryogenic process. The LNG would then be
which proposal might eventually be developed, it          transported to various countries in specially
was considered reasonably foreseeable that                designed cryogenic LNG tankers. Likely markets
sometime in the next 30 years a natural gas               would include Japan, Korea, Taiwan, and
pipeline might be constructed. For the sake of            possibly Mainland China (TAPS Owners 2001a).
analysis a hypothetical description of such a
                                                              This proposal could involve the construction
system follows.
                                                          of an 800-mi-long, 36- to 42-in. diameter, chilled
     A natural gas pipeline could consist of a            pipeline, which could be buried adjacent to the
large-diameter, 735-mi-long buried pipeline. It           TAPS. A 300-acre gas-conditioning facility could
would run parallel to the TAPS from Prudhoe               be built on the North Slope, and 10 main line
Bay to the vicinity of Fairbanks near Delta               compressor stations could be constructed along
Junction, and from there, it would turn east, and         the pipeline route to maintain required operating
of the TAPS region of interest. Key elements of           pressures. The gas could be liquefied for
such a project would be (1) a large CO2                   shipment at an LNG plant that could be
treatment plant on the North Slope, (2) the               constructed at Anderson Bay, 3.5 mi west of the
pipeline itself, (3) valve stations and compressor        Valdez Marine Terminal. Additional construction
                                                          at Anderson Bay could include storage tanks for
                                                    4.7-21    ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES



the LNG and a marine terminal with two berths                Tankers approach the Valdez Marine
and loading facilities to accommodate LNG                Terminal from the Gulf of Alaska via
tankers with a capacity of 165,000 m3.                   Hinchinbrook Entrance, and they follow
                                                         dedicated traffic lanes to Valdez Arm and Valdez
    It is projected that the gas volume would be         Narrows. The Prince William Sound Vessel
about 2 billion ft3/d for both the LNG and the           Traffic System (VTS) controls the movement of
pipeline export project. The capacity of the             tanker traffic into and out of the area. VTS closes
liquefaction facilities could be compatible, at          Valdez to tanker traffic if conditions are
14 million tons/yr (29.3 m3/yr). Fifteen tankers,        hazardous.
each with a capacity of 125,000 m3, would make
about 275 loaded voyages per year to the Pacific              Currently, the fleet serving the Valdez
Rim.                                                     Marine Terminal consists of 26 tankers,
                                                         including three with double hulls and 13 with
     It is estimated that construction of this           double sides. However, the composition of the
system would cost $4 billion for the pipeline and        fleet will change to comply with the Oil Pollution
$8−10 billion for the other elements, including          Act of 1990, which requires that all tankers
the tanker fleet. The estimated construction             calling on U.S. ports have double hulls (double
period would be 10 years. Public revenue,                bottoms and sides) by the year 2015. According
including property taxes, severance taxes, and           to the planned phaseout schedule for Prince
royalties, would amount to about $377 million            William Sound tankers, the fleet will consist
annually, depending on future energy prices.             exclusively of double-hulled tankers beginning in
The economic life of the project is estimated to         2014. The number of tankers will be reduced to
be 30 years.                                             8 to 10 by 2020 (TAPS Owners 2001a).

                                                              APSC’s SERVS is responsible for the safe
      4.7.4.4.3 Valdez Container                         transit of oil tankers from the Valdez Marine
Terminal Dock. The Valdez Container                      Terminal to international waters. Nine SERVS
Terminal Dock is a 700-ft concrete floating dock,        vessels have escort, docking, and response
extending to 1,200 ft. The container dock is tied        duties. At least two escort vessels are required
to a 21-acre marshalling yard by two 200-ft              for each laden tanker exiting Prince William
ramps. The dock is designed as a multipurpose            Sound, and an additional escort may be added in
berth to handle containerized, roll-on/roll-off and      inclement weather (TAPS Owners 2001a).
lift-on/lift-off operations. The marshalling yard
contains a total area of 21 acres of land. A grain           Map 4.7-7 shows the probable route that
terminal consisting of nine concrete silos that are      tankers bound from Valdez to the Far East would
112 ft tall and 33 ft in diameter and have a total       travel. They could carry up to 1.8 million bbl
capacity of 522,000 bushels is also located on           each; however, such estimates are highly
the container terminal grounds (Valdez 2002).            speculative, because they depend on
                                                         opportunities for short-term contracts
                                                         (MMS 2002). The routing shown in Map 4.7-7
    4.7.4.4.4 Oil Tanker Operations. Oil                 would bring the tankers more than 200 mi
tankers with cargo capacities ranging from               offshore of the Aleutian Islands. At a distance of
660,000 to 2,000,000 bbl are loaded with North           200 mi, oil spills are unlikely to significantly
Slope crude oil at the Valdez Marine Terminal            affect the Aleutian Islands.
which is controlled by the U.S. Coast Guard.
North Slope crude oil is transported primarily to             Potential crude oil (and possibly liquefied
the west coast of the United States, with other          natural gas tankerage from Valdez to the Far
shipments to Kenai, Alaska; the Hawaiian                 East will join existing liquefied natural gas tanker
Islands; and the Asia Pacific market (TAPS               traffic from the liquefied natural gas plant in
Owners 2001a). In 1999, an average of                    Nikiski, Alaska. Every 10 days, the Nikiski plant
37 tankers per month were loaded at the Valdez           loads a tanker with 80,000 m3 of liquefied
Marine Terminal.                                         natural gas for a round trip to Tokyo, which it has
                                                         been doing since 1968 without significant
                                                         spillage. Because liquefied gas would boil off
ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES                           4.7-22



and disperse quickly when exposed to normal air           southeast of Fairbanks. The city developed
temperatures and winds in the North Pacific, it is        along the east bank of the Delta River, south of
not a major environmental threat along the                its junction with the Tanana River. Big Delta is
tanker route (MMS 2002).                                  located on the Richardson Highway at the
                                                          junction of the Delta and Tanana Rivers. Delta
                                                          Junction and Big Delta businesses provide
    4.7.4.5 Habitation and                                services to traffic along the Richardson Highway.
            Development                                   Fort Greely is located nearby. The surrounding
                                                          area supports agriculture. The populations of
                                                          Delta Junction and Big Delta in 2000 were 880
     4.7.4.5.1 Beaufort Sea and North                     and 749, respectively.
Slope. The North Slope Borough is the largest
borough in Alaska, making up more than 15% of                 Fairbanks North Star Borough. The
the state’s total land area. It consists primarily of     Fairbanks North Star Borough is located in
the north and northeastern coast of Alaska,               central Alaska and includes the cities of
including the Brooks Range, north of the Arctic           Fairbanks and North Pole. According to the
Circle. Communities or areas of development               2000 census, the Borough’s population was
located within the Borough within the region of           82,840. The main campus of the University of
interest include Anaktuvuk Pass, Atqasuk,                 Alaska is located at College in Fairbanks.
Deadhorse/Prudhoe Bay, Kaktovik, and Nuiqsut              Currently the Fort Knox and True North Gold
(Map 4.7-2). With the exception of Deadhorse/             Mines are expanding operations. The
Prudhoe Bay, these communities are composed               International Air Cargo landings at the Fairbanks
of primarily Alaska Natives or part Natives, and          International Airport have also expanded. The
most inhabitants maintain lifestyles that rely            Fairbanks area serves as a regional service and
heavily on subsistence activities. The oil and gas        supply center. The Alaska Railroad provides
industry is also an important source of                   service to Fairbanks from Anchorage and
employment. The populations within these                  Seward in the south and Eielson AFB in the east.
communities range from 200 to 500 people. The             The Borough is developing a plan for future
Borough population is about 4,600.                        growth and for an increase in population to
                                                          98,000 by 2018. Eielson AFB and Fort
     Deadhorse at Prudhoe Bay is a town                   Wainwright are located nearby.
dedicated to supporting the oil industry. Although
it has only six permanent residents, more than                Glennallen/Copper Center. The
5,000 oil petroleum industry workers pass                 communities of Glennallen and Copper Center
through Deadhorse on rotating work shifts.                are along the Richardson Highway, 189 mi (by
Development in Deadhorse is almost entirely               road) east of Anchorage. The visitor’s center and
related to the petroleum industry.                        park headquarters for Wrangell-St. Elias NPP is
See Section 4.7.4.1.2 for more information on             located in Copper Center. Glennallen is the
Deadhorse.                                                business hub of the Copper River region. Local
                                                          businesses serve area communities and
                                                          highway traffic, providing gasoline, supplies and
    4.7.4.5.2 Interior. Interior Alaska has a             services, schools, and medical care. State
number of communities that could contribute to            highway maintenance and federal offices are in
cumulative impacts (Map 4.7-3). However, with             Glennallen. The Wrangell-St. Elias Visitor
the exception of Delta Junction/Big Delta,                Center and National Park Headquarters were
Fairbanks, and Glennallen/Copper Center, these            recently completed (ADCED 2001).
communities are small, with populations of fewer
than 200 people and no major industrial or
commercial activities.                                         4.7.4.5.3 Prince William Sound.
                                                          Most of the communities bordering Prince
    Delta Junction and Big Delta                          William Sound are small (fewer than
(no organized borough). Delta Junction is                 200 people), with limited commercial and
located at the convergence of the Richardson              industrial activities (Map 4.7-4). In general,
and Alaska Highways, approximately 95 mi                  people in these communities have lifestyles that
                                                    4.7-23    ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES



rely on subsistence or commercial fishing.                    4.7.4.6.2 Railroads. The state-owned
Cordova, Kenai Pennisula Borough, and Valdez             Alaska Railroad and ferry system transports
are larger areas of human habitation and thus            passengers and freight between Anchorage,
have the potential to make a greater contribution        Seward, and Whittier and Interior Alaska. Future
to cumulative impacts.                                   expansion will be made to link the existing lines
                                                         to the Ted Stevens Anchorage International
     Cordova is located on the southeastern end          Airport. The Alaska Railroad is also constructing
of Prince William Sound and is readily                   a new depot and passenger facilities in
accessible to other communities only by air and          Fairbanks and Whittier; realigning its track in the
water routes. Cordova serves as a fishing port           Fairbanks and North Pole area to minimize the
and a tourist and recreational sports center. The        number of railroad crossings; repairing bridges
population of Cordova in 2001 was about 2,500,           in the Kenai Peninsula; and repairing
including Eyak, a federally recognized Native            maintenance facilities in Seward and Whittier.
village within the City of Cordova.                      The railroad operations employ nearly
                                                         700 people (Alaska Railroad 2002).
    The Kenai Peninsula Borough lies directly
south of Anchorage and is bordered by the Gulf
of Alaska and Prince William Sound on the south               4.7.4.6.3 Marine Terminals. Marine
and east. Cook Inlet divides the borough into            shipments to the North Slope are limited to the
two land masses. Cities within the Kenai                 ice-free period between late July and early
Peninsula Borough include Homer, Kachemak,               September. Dock facilities for unloading barges
Kenai, Seldovia, Seward, and Soldotna. All               are located at Prudhoe Bay and Oliktok Point.
communities are expanding in population and              One dock head, which is no longer used, is at
development. The population in 2000 was about            East Dock of Prudhoe Bay. Two others are
41,000.                                                  located at West Dock, with drafts ranging from
                                                         4 to 10 ft. The dock at Oliktok Point extends
     Valdez is located on the north shore of             750 ft from shore, with a depth of about 10 ft at
Prince William Sound. In addition to being the           the dock face. Because of the lack of deep-water
southern terminus of the TAPS and Valdez                 ports, cargo is usually off-loaded to shallow- or
Marine Terminal, the city is host to commercial          medium-draft ships for transport to shore or for
fishing and shipping operations and is a port for        transport upriver to communities such as
commercial shipping, cruise ships, tour boat             Nuiqsut.
operations, and fishing. Valdez serves as a
tourist and recreational sports center.                      No port facilities exist in Barrow. Cargo is
Richardson Highway connects Valdez to                    transported to the area by barges and cargo
Anchorage, Fairbanks, and Canada. The                    ships and off-loaded to smaller vessels for
population in 2002 was estimated to be about             transport to the shore north of Barrow.
4,500 (Valdez 2002).
                                                             On Prince William Sound, oil is shipped from
                                                         the Valdez Marine Terminal at Port Valdez.
    4.7.4.6 Transportation                               Deep-water cargo ports are located at Valdez,
                                                         Seward, and Whittier. Rail links exist at Seward
                                                         and Whittier.
    4.7.4.6.1 Highways and Public
Airstrips. In the areas traversed by the TAPS,
the Richardson Highway connects Valdez with                   4.7.4.6.4 Alaska Marine Highway.
Fairbanks and the Dalton Highway connects                The state-owned Alaska Railroad and ferry
Fairbanks with the North Slope. The Dalton               system is constructing two docks in Whittier to
Highway was formerly known as the “Haul Road”            accommodate the unloading of barges. Seward
and was originally built and maintained by the           and Valdez serve as cargo and cruise ship ports.
TAPS Owners; it was closed to the public. It is          The Alaska Railroad is also constructing a new
now a state highway, is open to the public, and is       freight dock and overhauling an existing dock to
maintained by Alaska’s Department of                     serve passengers in Seward (Alaska Railroad
Transportation and Public Facilities.                    2002). The Alaska Marine Highway System
ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES                         4.7-24



connects the communities of Chenega Cordova,            eligibility for federal programs serving Native
Tatitlek Valdez, and Whittier along the Prince          Americans.
William Sound with ferry services.

                                                            4.7.4.7.2 Alaska National Interest
    4.7.4.6.5 Personal and                              Lands Conservation Act. The Alaska
Commercial Watercraft (fishing                          National Interest Lands Conservation Act
vessels, tour boats). Commercial fishing                (ANILCA) (PL 96-487; 16 USC 3101) was
vessels use ports at Valdez and Cordova.                passed in 1980 to provide for the designation
Private and charter vessels also use the ports for      and conservation of certain public lands in the
recreational boating, which includes wildlife and       State of Alaska. ANILCA establishes more than
sightseeing cruises and sport fishing excursions.       100 million acres of federal land in Alaska as
Alaska state ferries stop at Valdez, Cordova,           conservation system units (CSUs) in order to
Seward, and Whittier. Cruise ships use ports at         preserve these lands and their resources for the
Valdez and Seward (Morris Communications                national interest. The CSUs include National
Corporation 2001). Section 4.7.4.9.2 on tourism         Parks, Preserves, Monuments, Wildlife Refuges,
and Section 4.7.4.9.4 on commercial fishing             Wilderness Areas, and Wild and Scenic Rivers
have more details.                                      and are managed by federal agencies. Thirty-
                                                        four CSUs are within a few miles of the TAPS
                                                        ROW. Title VIII of ANILCA established the rural
    4.7.4.7 Legislative Actions                         subsistence priority and in Section 810 required
            Related to Land Use                         an analysis of impacts on subsistence due to
                                                        federal land use decisions.

     4.7.4.7.1 Alaska Native Claims
Settlement Act. Shortly after its purchase of               4.7.4.7.3 Federal and Alaska
the territory of Alaska, the U.S. Congress              Coastal Zone Management Acts. The
abandoned its policy of establishing treaties with      Federal Coastal Zone Management Act (CZMA)
Native Americans (Alaska Commission on Rural            was enacted in 1972 and last amended in 2001.
Governance and Empowerment 1999). The                   The Alaska Coastal Management Act (ACMA)
Organic Act of 1884 and the Alaska Statehood            was enacted in 1977 as Alaska’s version of
Act of 1958 acknowledged, but postponed to              coastal zone management as envisioned in the
future action by Congress, any settlement of            national CZMA, and it was last amended in
Alaska Native aboriginal title to land. As a result,    1994. Both statutes guide land use in coastal
Alaska Native land claims were never resolved           zones to provide a balance between
until the Alaska Native Claims Settlement Act           development and protection of coastal resources
(ANCSA) (PL 92-203; 43 USC 1601) was passed             (BLM 1998; State of Alaska 2001).
in 1971. The act extinguished all prior aboriginal
land claims and conveyed 44 million acres and                ACMP, approved in 1979, was developed to
nearly $1 billion in compensation funds to the          implement the ACMA. The ACMP encourages
12 regional corporations established under the          coastal districts to develop and adopt district
act.                                                    coastal management programs (CMPs) that
                                                        become part of the ACMP once they are fully
    The passage of ANCSA cleared land titles            approved. CMPs include enforceable policies,
and facilitated granting of the TAPS ROW. It also       and all activities that occur within a coastal zone
established, through the for-profit regional            or that may affect coastal resources must be
corporations, the contemporary structure for            consistent with an approved CMP. The Alaska
Alaska Native economic and political affairs            Department of Governmental Coordination and
(Alaska Commission on Rural Governance and              State of Alaska resource agencies conduct
Empowerment 1999). ANCSA did not affect                 consistency reviews on proposed and existing
Alaska Native governments nor terminate                 projects within coastal zones (BLM 1998; State
                                                        of Alaska 2001).
                                                      4.7-25    ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES



     4.7.4.7.4 Prince William Sound                        Visitors are allowed in the refuge. Arctic Village
Regional Citizens’ Advisory Council.                        an Alaska Native community  is located on
The Prince William Sound Regional Citizens’                the south side of the refuge (Alaska Internet
Advisory Council is an independent, nonprofit              Travel Guide 2000a; Patterson 2001).
corporation dedicated to the environmentally
safe operation of the Valdez Marine Terminal                    Chugach National Forest. The
and oil tankers within Prince William Sound. The           5.5-million-acre Chugach NF occurs as
council reviews and comments on APSC’s                     two noncontiguous components. A portion of the
operations, oil spill response and prevention              forest is located south/southwest of the Valdez
plans and capabilities, and the design of                  Marine Terminal and comes within 1/4 mi of the
mitigation measures. The advisory council helps            Valdez Marine Terminal at its closest point.
monitor and assess the environmental impacts               Another portion is located on the Kenai
of terminal and tanker operations of oil-related           Peninsula. The area near the Valdez Marine
accidents (Prince William Sound Regional                   Terminal is used primarily for recreation and for
Citizens’ Advisory Council 2002).                          subsistence hunting, fishing, and logging. Some
                                                           commercial logging occurs on the Kenai. The
     The council also works to increase the                Chugach NF is the northernmost national forest
public’s awareness of the actual and potential             in the United States and is administered by the
environmental impacts from terminal and tanker             USDA Forest Service (Behrends 2002; USFS
operations and of the APSC’s environmental                 2002).
protection capabilities, which include oil spill
prevention and response. Citizens organized the                 Gates of the Arctic National Park
council after the Exxon Valdez oil spill in 1989 to        and Preserve. Gates of the Arctic NPP is
increase public involvement in decision making             located in the Brooks Range west of the TAPS
in the Prince William Sound, Gulf of Alaska, and           and comes within 2 to 3 mi of the pipeline at the
Lower Cook Inlet regions of Alaska. The Oil                closest point. It is composed primarily of federal
Pollution Act of 1990 later required citizen               lands and encompasses a 7.2-million-acre
oversight councils for Prince William Sound and            federally designated Wilderness Area  the
Cook Inlet. Although APSC funds the advisory               third largest in the United States. The park is
council, it has no control over its operation              accessible by air and is open year round. There
(Prince William Sound Regional Citizens’                   are no roads to or within the park, and it contains
Advisory Council 2002).                                    no established trails or facilities. Gates of the
                                                           Arctic NPP receives about 4,000 visitors per
                                                           year. A park ranger station is located in Coldfoot.
    4.7.4.8 Land Management                                No major construction is planned in the park
                                                           (Uhler 2001; Ulvi 2001).

    4.7.4.8.1 National Parks,                                   Kanuti National Wildlife Refuge.
              Preserves, Monuments,                        The 1.6-million-acre Kanuti NWR is located
              and Other Land Units                         about 150 mi northwest of Fairbanks. It is about
                                                           8 mi west of the TAPS at its closest point, but
    Arctic National Wildlife Refuge                        most of the refuge is more than 24 mi away. The
(ANWR). This refuge ranges from south of the               refuge is undeveloped but contains no federally
Brooks Range to the Beaufort Sea. A small                  designated or proposed wilderness. Kanuti
portion of the refuge comes within 1/4 mi of the           receives few visitors, and most visits are made
TAPS, but the vast majority lies 60 mi or more             by subsistence hunters and fisherman. Some
east of TAPS. The ANWR encompasses more                    river floating and hiking are done in the park
than 19 million acres and is the northernmost              (Alaska Internet Travel Guide 2000b; Schultz
refuge in the United States. It contains the               2001).
8-million-acre federally designated Mollie Beattie
Wilderness, which is the second largest                        White Mountains National
Wilderness Area in the United States. The                  Recreation Area (NRA). This NRA is
refuge contains part of the migration routes and           administered by the BLM and is located about
calving grounds of the Porcupine caribou herds.            30 mi north of Fairbanks between Elliott and
ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES                          4.7-26



Steese Highways. It encompasses about                    Fairbanks is a quarter of a million acres in size
1 million acres and is the largest NRA in the            and draws more than 150,000 visitors a year.
United States. The recreation area offers an             The park has limited facilities, and most of the
abundance of year-round recreation                       area is closed to vehicles. The Chena River
opportunities (Great Outdoor Recreation Pages            State Recreation Site is within the city of
2002).                                                   Fairbanks on the banks of the Chena River and
                                                         is a popular recreation spot (ADNR 2001b).
    Wrangell-St. Elias National Park
and Preserve. The headquarters of Wrangell-                  Prince William Sound. There are
St. Elias National Park and Preserve is situated         several state marine parks in the Prince William
near Copper Center, Alaska. Wrangell-St. Elias           Sound and Resurrection Bay area. Most of these
National Park is the largest park in the national        parks can be accessed only by floatplane or
park system, and Wrangell-St. Elias National             boat, except for Shoup Bay, which can be
Preserve is the second largest preserve in the           entered by a foot trail. Seven parks are near
system. The 9.6-million-acre Wrangell-St. Elias          Whittier, six are near Seward, three are near
Wilderness represents nearly 10% of the entire           Valdez, and three are near Cordova. These
National Wilderness Preservation System. The             parks are undeveloped but contain no state-
park and preserve complex is within a mile of the        designated wilderness (ADNR 2001c).
TAPS at its closest point. Ahina Corporation
(Regional Native Corporation) owns about
1 million acres of land within the authorized                4.7.4.8.3 Military
boundary. The park and preserve complex is
open year-round, and visitation averages about                Fort Greely. Fort Greely, near Delta
30,000 people a year. A majority of visits are in        Junction, is currently being closed and
the summer season (Uhler 2002; Ulvi 2001). No            transferred to other uses by the Department of
major construction is planned for Wrangell-              the Army under Base Realignment and Closure
St. Elias National Park and Preserve.                    (BRAC). However, Fort Greely is the preferred
                                                         alternative for the deployment of the ground-
     Yukon Flats National Wildlife                       based interceptors and for deployment of the
Refuge. This 8.6-million-acre NWR is located             battle management, command, and control
east of the Dalton Highway and about 100 mi              system of the National Defense Missile System.
north of Fairbanks and is bisected by the Yukon          The former are guided missiles designed to
River. The refuge is about 2 mi east of the TAPS         intercept and destroy intercontinental ballistic
at its closest point, but most of it is more than        missiles. The latter is the control and control
6 mi away. Yukon Flats is undeveloped but                system for the interceptors (U.S. Army Space
contains no federally designated wilderness. A           and Missile Defense Command 2000).
portion of the refuge has been proposed as a
federal wilderness area. The refuge is visited                Fort Wainwright. Fort Wainwright,
primarily by subsistence hunters and fishermen.          located near Fairbanks, has nearly
Summer use is mainly confined to the major               4,600 soldiers and 6,100 family members. Its
waterways (Alaska Internet Travel Guide 2000c;           mission is to provide the services, facilities, and
Huer 2001).                                              infrastructure needed to support the rapid
                                                         deployment of the 172nd Separate Infantry
                                                         Brigade and elements of the Arctic Support
    4.7.4.8.2 Alaska Department of                       Brigade. These include field training exercises in
              Natural Resources                          Alaska, which involve the use of aviation, all-
                                                         terrain, and winter vehicles and thus require
     Alaska Interior. Several small parks and            facilities for refueling operations.
recreation areas are in the Delta Junction and
Fairbanks area. These parks provide access to                 Eielson Air Force Base. This Air Force
lakes, rivers, and streams; camping; and limited         installation is located south of Fairbanks. The
facilities. No state-designated wilderness exists        base mission includes support of combat
within 100 mi of the TAPS (ADNR 2001a). The              aircraft, mid-air refueling, logistics support, and
Chena River State Recreation Area east of                arctic survival training (Eielson AFB 2002).
                                                      4.7-27    ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES



     Army Proposed Projects in the                         is one of the most important subsistence uses of
Region of Interest. Projects currently under               wild resources. Other subsistence uses include
construction at Fort Wainwright include central            clothing, fuel, transportation (food for dogs),
vehicle wash facilities, barracks renewals,                construction, home goods, sharing, customary
central heat and power plant repairs, an                   trade, ceremony, and arts and crafts. In rural
ammunition surveillance facility, and a collective         Alaska, about 75−98% of sampled rural
training facility for military operations in urban         households harvest fish and 48−70% harvest
terrain. Other Army projects that were recently            wildlife; actual use is probably higher, since
built at Fort Wainwright include barracks                  harvested resources are often shared. Items
upgrades, several phases of housing projects, a            harvested by weight included fish (60%), land
new ski chalet, a coal car preheat facility, and a         mammals (20%), marine mammals (14%), birds
missile test facility. A munitions storage facility        (2%), shellfish (2%), and plants (2%). Although
was recently built at Fort Greely. The Alaska              wild food harvests are high (up to 613 lb per
District Corps of Engineers solicited requests for         person in the rural interior in the region of
proposals in October 2001 for a new hospital to            interest), subsistence harvest represents only
replace the existing Bassett Army Community                2% of the fish and game harvested annually in
Hospital at Fort Wainwright. The proposed                  Alaska. Commercial fisheries harvest about
project is a 259,000-ft2, 32-bed facility.                 97%, while the sport harvest is only about 1%. In
                                                           the region of interest, wild food harvests in the
     Air Force Proposed Projects in the                    late 1980s through the 1990s were estimated at
Region of Interest. Eielson AFB (354th                     about 16 lb per person in the Fairbanks-Delta
Wing) projects include a repair runway, a                  Area, 153 lb per person in the rural south central,
parking ramp, a weapons and release systems                516 lb per person in the Arctic, and 613 lb per
facility, consolidated munitions, and an                   person in the rural Interior Alaska (ADF&G
A-10 squad/ops facility. Projects in design for            2002c).
fiscal year 2000 at Eielson AFB included a
hazardous materials storage facility, dormitory,
joint mobility complex, and utility upgrade                      4.7.4.9.2 Tourism. Tourism is Alaska’s
Phase I and II (USACE 2001).                               second largest industry in terms of employment.
                                                           The basis for much of Alaska’s tourism industry
                                                           is its natural resources. In 1999, more than
    4.7.4.9 Natural Resource Use                           1.4 million people traveled to Alaska, and they
                                                           spent about $1 billion in the state. Natural-
                                                           resource-based tourism includes visits to
     4.7.4.9.1 Subsistence. Subsistence                    national and state parks, viewing wildlife and
means the customary and traditional uses by                scenery, back country travel, rafting and boating,
rural Alaskans of wild, renewable resources for            skiing and winter sports, ship cruises,
personal or family consumption. A person living            photography, fishing, and hunting. In addition,
in a rural area (as defined by the Federal                 Alaska’s cultural diversity and history help make
Subsistence Board) is eligible for a priority for          it a major tourist attraction. In 1999, 53% of
subsistence hunting and fishing on federal lands           visitors to Alaska came by air, 31% came by
under federal law. In 1999, about 123,000 (20%)            cruise ship, and the balance came by highway,
of Alaskans lived in rural areas. Since 1989               Alaska Marine Highway or international air
under the Alaska Constitution, all Alaskan                 (Alaska Travel Industry Association undated).
residents are legally entitled to share in fish and
game on state and private lands, providing all
the right to pursue subsistence. Therefore, under              4.7.4.9.3 Hunting, Fishing, and
state law there is no rural priority. To help avoid        Trapping. Hunting occurs for both subsistence
confusion, this document has consistently                  and sport, while fishing and trapping occur for
employed the federal definition of subsistence.            subsistence, sport, and commerce. In 2001,
Although both Alaska Natives and non-Natives               more than 565,000 sport fishing (178,251
may subsistence hunt and fish, only Alaska                 resident; 274,968 nonresident), hunting
Natives may hunt marine mammals, such as                   (86,115 resident; 13,343 nonresident), and
seals, whales, polar bears, and sea otters. Food           trapping (26,257 resident; 28 nonresident)
ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES                             4.7-28



licenses were sold. Of these, 51% were issued               controls are placed on the days and hours
to nonresidents (ADF&G 2002c). Hunting,                     fished, fishing locations, and methods.
fishing, and trapping occur throughout the region
of interest. Hunting seasons vary according to
the region, species, sex of the animal, and                     4.7.4.9.5 Mining. Mining for gold and
classification of the hunter as resident or                 other minerals has been an important industry in
nonresident. In some cases, the issuance of a               Alaska, and this activity would continue
permit to hunt is based on a lottery. The situation         throughout the period of TAPS operation.
for trapping is similar. The season and limits are          Mineral exploration, development, and
adjusted by the ADF&G. In general, sport fishing            production occur in a number of mining districts
is allowed year round in the Prince William                 throughout the area traversed by the TAPS. In
Sound area and on the Tanana River, Yukon                   1998, mining (except for oil and gas) was valued
River drainage, and North Slope. Catch limits               at about $900 million, with an annual
are placed on most species and typically do not             employment of 3,452 (Szumigala and
exceed 10 per day. The season and limits are                Swainbank 1999). The major new exploration
adjusted by the ADF&G. These regulations also               activity was in the interior near Goodpasture and
apply on federal lands. However, the federal                the Pogo Prospect, and exploration continued in
government controls fishing and hunting on                  the Fairbanks mining district. Exploration
federal lands.                                              activities also concentrated on the north flank of
                                                            the Alaska Range. During 1998, up to 12,000
     Since 1990, the Federal Subsistence Board              new claims totaling 480,000 acres were staked
has managed subsistence harvests by rural                   on state land, while 5,800 claims were
Alaskans on federal lands. Seasons and harvest              abandoned. The number of active claims on
limits are regulated to ensure a rural subsistence          state land in 1998 was 41,157 on
priority. In most cases, hunting and fishing by             1.65 million acres. Coal, copper, gemstones,
Alaskans, under state regulations, is also                  gold, lead, sand and gravel, silver, stone, zinc,
permitted on federal lands. However, federal                and other minerals were mined. The State of
lands can be closed to such uses, if necessary,             Alaska and several federal agencies regulate the
to ensure the rural subsistence priority.                   mineral industry with regard to safety and
                                                            environmental protection.

     4.7.4.9.4 Commercial Fishing. In the                       On the North Slope, mining of sand and
Prince William Sound area, commercial fishing               gravel from river floodplains and stone from the
is mainly composed of sole operators. In Prince             Brooks Range support road construction and
William Sound and the Copper River District, the            maintenance, river training, pipeline
salmon season runs from mid-May to mid-                     maintenance, and oil exploration and
October, and during this time, specific dates are           development. The Red Dog Mine (zinc, lead,
set for each species and method of fishing.                 and silver) in the Kotzebue area is several
Herring season is in January for seine nets and             hundred miles from the TAPS and outside the
from April into May for other methods. Shellfish            region of interest for this cumulative
season runs from April through December, with               assessment.
the specific dates set for each species and
method of fishing. Groundfish, pollock, and cod                 In Interior Alaska, coal is mined, and lode
fisheries operate year round. Six hatcheries                and placer are mined for gold and other metals
operate in the area (ADF&G 2002d).                          and coal. In the Brooks Range, the Middle Fork
Commercial fishing operations for salmon                    Koyukuk River near Wiseman and Coldfoot was
involve the use of purse seines, drift gillnets, and        an important gold mining area, and mining still
set gillnets. During the 1999 season, 523 drift             occurs there today. Numerous placer gold
gillnet permit holders, 21 set gillnet permit               mining operations (i.e., the removal of gold from
holders, and 139 seine permit holders                       stream-bed gravel deposits) occur throughout
participated in the fishery. However, three of the          the region around Fairbanks, and exploration is
four seasons for herring and the fall season for            ongoing. The Fort Knox Mine, an open pit mine
food/bait fish were cancelled. Commercial                   about 25 mi northeast of Fairbanks, is the largest
fishing is a highly regulated industry; strict              operating gold mine in the state. The mine
                                                      4.7-29    ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES



employs 260 people and produces 1,000 oz of                Alaskan forests. In the vicinity of the TAPS, most
gold per day. Probable reserves are estimated at           commercial logging occurs on state lands;
3,686,000 oz. In addition, gold-bearing sand and           minimal logging occurs on federal lands.
gravel are taken from the True North Mine, which           Logging on state lands is regulated by the
is about 8 mi from the Fort Knox Mine and being            Alaska Division of Forestry, and logging on
developed. At the projected rate of production,            federal lands is regulated by the agency
this mine will be in operation for at least nine           administering the land where the timber sale
more years. The Teck-Sumitomo Pogo gold                    occurs. Both state and federal land management
mine site is being developed northeast of Delta            agencies develop forest/land management plans
Junction. Once in production, it is estimated that         that (1) identify areas suitable for harvesting,
the mine will operate for 12 years. Three                  (2) determine appropriate harvest levels, and
medium-sized placer mines and about                        (3) ensure that commercial operations comply
50 smaller operations operate in the 10 interior           with harvest management practices that protect
mining districts. Small placer gold operations             resources, such as soils and surface water.
occur between Fairbanks and the North Slope
and between Fairbanks and Valdez. These                        Commercial logging occurs throughout state
operations are widely scattered, and sites tend            lands near the TAPS. However, most logging
to shift depending on the potential for new                occurs in Tanana Valley State Forest, which lies
discoveries of gold and the price of gold                  north, northeast, and southeast of Delta Junction
(Szumigala and Swainbank 1999).                            in several separate parcels. Logging on federal
                                                           lands occurs in the Chugach National Forest and
     In addition to gold mines, several small              in BLM lands in the Copper River Basin.
mining pits produce peat for local use in the
Fairbanks and Palmer-Anchorage area. Several                    Harvesting for personal use occurs
sand and gravel pits are located in the Fairbanks          throughout forests on public lands in the vicinity
area, to the east of Delta Junction, in the Palmer         of the TAPS. Wood is harvested for both fuel and
area, and in the Kenai area. These materials are           housing.
primarily used for roadwork. About 100 mi south
of Fairbanks, the Usibella Coal Mine in Healy
produces about 1.5 million tons of coal per year.              4.7.4.10 Petroleum and
Coal mining operations are also expected to                             Hazardous Materials
begin at a location just north of the existing mine                     Spills
site. A portion of the coal removed at the mine is
exported out of Alaska. A portion was also used                 For the purposes of this EIS, petroleum
in the Healy Clean Coal Project; it was enough             spills are identified as an “action,” although they
to potentially generate 50 MW of baseload                  do not occur independently of other actions.
electric power (Szumigala et al. 2000).                    Petroleum spills can occur during any action
                                                           involving petroleum and its products, including
    In the early 1900s, copper was mined near              exploration and development, transportation,
McCarthy and transported by railroad along the             and refining. These actions can be the
Chitina and Copper Rivers to ships at Cordova.             responsibility of any industry, agency, or
During that period, gold was also extracted from           individual that is carrying them out. Petroleum
the area. Today, mining still occurs on private            spills may be large, such as those resulting from
lands within the region.                                   a pipeline or tanker accident, or they may be
                                                           very small, such as a diesel fuel or oil spill
    Mineral exploration and mining occurred                during refueling or equipment maintenance.
historically in the Prince William Sound area.             Because of the nature of the proposed action
Mineral resources in the Prince William Sound              addressed in this EIS, this cumulative impact
area include placer and lode gold deposits,                analysis emphasizes petroleum spills resulting
chromium, copper, oil, and coal.                           from the exploration, development, and
                                                           transportation of North Slope oil resources. The
                                                           following text emphasizes spills on the North
    4.7.4.9.6 Logging. Both commercial                     Slope and in Prince William Sound. Petroleum
logging and harvesting for personal use occur in
ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES                           4.7-30



spills related to TAP operations are described                 4.7.4.10.2 Catastrophic Events
elsewhere in this EIS, as part of the assessment          Considered in the North Slope Spill
of the proposed action and no-action alternative.         Analysis. Two spill scenarios (a spill of crude
                                                          oil due to a well blowout; a rupture of a pipeline
                                                          over open water) have the potential to release
     4.7.4.10.1 North Slope Petroleum                     catastrophic amounts of hazardous materials on
Spill Scenarios. Twelve crude oil, diesel fuel,           the North Slope.
and saltwater spill scenarios were developed for
the North Slope (Table 4.7-4). The first seven                 The first catastrophic scenario (Scenario 11;
spills would be similar to spills that have               crude oil from a well blowout) was previously
occurred historically over the 25 years of TAPS           assessed as a “reasonable worst-case” spill at
operations, as logged in the TAPS ROW                     Alpine Pad 1 (Alpine 1997). It is assumed that
Renewal Oil Spill Database (TAPS Owners                   the plume fallout and oil would spread from the
2001a). More than 1,500 North Slope crude oil             wellhead and drill pad, flow over snow and ice
spills, about 2,300 diesel fuel spills, and more          surfaces that are breaking up, and deposit on
than 70 saltwater spills are cataloged in the             them. Oil flowing from the drill pad would initially
database. The “moderate” spill of saltwater               spread downslope following the terrain, then flow
(Scenario 6) occurred on March 17, 1997, at               into adjacent lakes, the Sakoonang Channel,
Arco’s Drill Site 4 in East Prudhoe Bay. The              and eventually Harrison Bay. The frequency of
cause of the spill is unknown. Between 750,000            this postulated spill scenario was estimated by
and 1,000,000 gal of seawater were released               using information from BLM (1998), which
from six to nine wellheads, each at 10 to                 indicates that one well blowout occurred in the
20 bbl/min (ADEC 1997). Information on                    9-year period from 1987 to 1996, a time when
saltwater spills on the North Slope is limited.           2,933 wells were drilled. Ice breakup generally
Information is available from ADEC for the                occurs on 10 to 21 days per year.
period from July 1995 to June 2001 (6 years).
The largest recorded saltwater spill volume (on                The last event in Table 4.7-4 (Scenario 12)
the order of 1 million gal) is used as a surrogate        is a crude oil pipeline rupture over Kuparuk River
for the maximum spill that could be encountered           to open water. The rupture occurs where the
during 30 years of TAPS operations in the North           Kuparuk 24-in. pipeline crosses the Kuparuk
Slope.                                                    River. It instantaneously releases more than
                                                          10,000 bbl of crude oil into open water. The
      The next three spills (Scenarios 8, 9, and 10)      spilled oil moves downstream under the
were taken from environmental assessments                 influence of the current and impacts the
associated with the Alpine crude oil pipeline and         shoreline.
the Northstar well field. The Alpine crude oil field
is located in the western Colville River Delta,
about 34 mi west of the Kuparuk River oil field.               4.7.4.10.3 Transportation Spill
The Alpine field is connected to the Kuparuk              Scenarios. Cumulative impacts associated
River delta via three 34-mi crude oil, diesel, and        with transportation accidents involving spills of
water transport pipelines. At the Colville River          hazardous material were evaluated for truck
crossing, the depth of the pipeline is about              shipments from the North Pole Refinery to the
100 ft. The Alpine pipeline spill (Scenario 8) is         North Slope (Deadhorse) and for rail shipments
an “extreme worst-case” scenario involving a              from the North Pole Refinery to Stevens
rupture of the pipeline transporting crude oil. A         International Airport. Three scenarios were
fracture of the 14-in. Alpine pipeline is assumed         assessed; frequencies and spill volumes are
to occur approximately 300 ft from the Colville           summarized in Table 4.7-5. The frequencies of
River, causing crude oil to spill on the ground           all three scenarios would be considered likely,
and then migrate into the river. The next two             except for Scenario 2b (a fire variant of 2a),
spills in the Northstar Field (Scenarios 9 and 10)        which would be considered unlikely. All
would result from a leak on the drilling well             scenarios, including the variant, involve the
platform and in the pipeline that transports crude        shipment of refined petroleum products, except
oil from the Beaufort Sea to shore terminal.              for Scenario 3, which involves of a shipment of
                                                          hydrochloric acid (HCl). Acid stimulation is one
TABLE 4.7-4 Spill Scenarios for the North Slope

                                                                              Frequency Range

                                                                                                    Very                                           Does
                                                                                 Likely Unlikely Unlikely    Spill                                  Spill
                                         Spill      Frequency       Anticipated (0.03 to (10-3 to (10-6 to Volume         Release     Release      Reach
 No.       Description/Locationa        Material      (1/yr)         (> 0.5/yr) 0.5/yr) 0.03/yr) 10-3/yr) Range (bbl)     Duration     Point       Water?

                                                               -1
  1    Small spill in the North Slope   Crude oil   5.0 × 10            X                                 ∼0 to 500     Short        Land           No
        (NLS)

                                                               -1
  2    Small spill in the North Slope   Diesel      5.0 × 10            X                                 ∼0 to 170     Short        Land           No
        (NLS)

                                                               -1
  3    Small spill in the North Slope   Saltwate    5.0 × 10            X                                 ∼0 to 500     Short        Land           No
        (NLS)b                          r                                                                                             (65−80%
                                                                                                                                      of crude




                                                                                                                                                            4.7-31
                                                                                                                                      oil spills
                                                                                                                                      on pad)

                                                               -2
  4    Moderate spill in the North      Crude oil   3.0 × 10                      X                       501 to 925    Short        Land           No
        Slope (NLS)                                                                                                                   (65−80%




                                                                                                                                                            ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES
                                                                                                                                      of crude
                                                                                                                                      oil spills
                                                                                                                                      on pad)

                                                               -2
  5    Moderate spill in the North      Diesel      3.0 × 10                      X                       171 to 450    Short        Land           No
        Slope (NLS)

                                                               -2
  6    Moderate spill in the North      Saltwate    3.0 × 10                      X                       501 to        Short        Land           No
        Slope (NLS)b                    r                                                                  23,810

                                                               -1
  7    Rupture of aboveground water- Saltwate       2.0 × 10                      X                       2,400 to      Prolonged    Land           No
        flood pipeline (saltwater    r                                                                      82,000
        spill)b
                                                                                                                                                                 ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES
TABLE 4.7-4 (Cont.)

                                                                                     Frequency Range

                                                                                                           Very                                        Does
                                                                                        Likely Unlikely Unlikely    Spill                               Spill
                                           Spill      Frequency            Anticipated (0.03 to (10-3 to (10-6 to Volume         Release     Release   Reach
    No.       Description/Locationa       Material      (1/yr)              (> 0.5/yr) 0.5/yr) 0.03/yr) 10-3/yr) Range (bbl)     Duration     Point    Water?

                                                                 -3
    8     Rupture of alpine pipeline near Crude oil   1.4 × 10                                    X              50 to 2,800 Prolonged      Land,       Yes
           the Colville River                                                                                                                water

                                                                      -2
    9     Platform spill in the Beaufort  Crude oil 2.3−2.7 × 10                                  X              1,500         Instantaneous Water      Yes
            Sea (proposed Northstar field
            as a surrogate)

                                                                      -2
    10 Pipeline spill in the Beaufort  Crude oil 2.3−2.7 × 10                                     X              4,600         Instantaneous Water      Yes
         Sea (proposed Northstar field




                                                                                                                                                                 4.7-32
         as a surrogate)

                                                                      -3
    11 Well blowout at Phillips      Crude oil 1.8−3.8 × 10                                       X              3,000 to      Prolonged    Land,       Yes
        Alaska’s Alpine Pad 1 during                                                                               34,000                   water
        breakup

                                                                 -3
    12 Rupture of Kuparuk pipeline        Crude oil   1.0 × 10                                    X              10,516        Instantaneous Land,      Yes
        over Kuparuk River to open                                                                                                            water
        water

a    NLS = scenario is not location-specific.
b    Because ADEC information covers only the period from July 1, 1995, to June 29, 2001 (6 years), extrapolation to a 30-year return period was necessary.
     The largest recorded saltwater spill volume (on the order of 1 million gal) is used as a surrogate for the maximum spill that would be encountered during
     30 years of operations in the North Slope.
TABLE 4.7-5 Transportation Spill Scenariosa

                                                                                             Frequency Range

                                                                                                                               Spill Volume
                                                                                                                      Very         (bbl)
                                                                                               Likely    Unlikely   Unlikely
                                                                               Anticipated    (0.03 to   (10-3 to   (10-6 to                     Release
    No.          Description/Location          Spill Material Frequency (1/yr) (> 0.5/yr)      0.5/yr)   0.03/yr)   10-3/yr)   Low    High       Duration

    1     Rollover of tanker truck on the     HCl (37%)         1.7 × 10-1                       X                              17     17     Short
           Dalton Highway

    2a Overturn of fuel truck between         Arctic grade   2.2 to 3.9 × 10-2                   X                             119    190     Instantaneous
        North Pole Refinery and                diesel
        Deadhorse (Prudhoe Bay)

    2b Overturn of fuel truck with            Arctic grade   2.4 to 4.3 × 10-3                              X                  119    190     Instantaneous
        subsequent fire between North          diesel
        Pole Refinery and Deadhorse




                                                                                                                                                              4.7-33
        (Prudhoe Bay)

    3     Derailment of freight train between Aviation jet   1.3 to 1.6 × 10-1                   X                             195    488     Short (hours)
           North Pole Refinery and Stevens     fuel A
           International Airport




                                                                                                                                                              ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES
a    All release points are aboveground, on land.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES                            4.7-34



of the primary methods for improving productivity              (based on frequencies taken from USFS and
of oil, gas, injection, and disposal wells in the              WEFSEC [1998]). The spill magnitude was
North Slope. The HCl acid is pumped down the                   estimated on the basis of 30,000-gal railcar spill
well and into the producing fields to increase oil             size scenario (AIChE 1989), adjusted for
flow.                                                          frequency data based on railcar tanker
                                                               capacities of 20,000 to 25,000 gal and Alaska
     Scenario 1. In this event, a tanker truck                 railroad accident statistics that indicate that two
that is transporting an HCl solution (37%                      hazardous material (HAZMAT) railcars are
concentration of HCl) overturns on the Dalton                  damaged for each train derailment over a 5-year
Highway while en-route to Prudhoe Bay                          period (ADEC 2001b).
(Deadhorse). The tanker’s liquid cargo tank
(MC 312/412)1 contains approximately 4,500 gal
of HCl. The incident occurs near MP 280 on the                      4.7.4.10.4 Prince William Sound
Dalton Highway. The TAPS pipeline is located                                   and North Slope Spill
less than 1/2 mi from the accident site. It is                                 Scenarios.
estimated that the accident would result in a spill
of approximately 700 gal of HCl, released over a                    Prince William Sound Spill
period of about 30 min.                                        Scenarios. A total of 33 crude oil and diesel
                                                               fuel spill scenarios were developed for the
     This event is considered likely, with an                  Prince William Sound (Table 4.7-6). They rely
occurrence frequency of once in every 6 years                  primarily on data from previous risk
(0.17/yr). The accident frequency is based on a                assessments prepared in support of crude oil
single event that occurred near Fairbanks on                   spill emergency response planning in the sound
December 6, 1995, when 90 gal of 35%-HCl                       (Det Norske Veritas et al. 1996; Merrick et al.
solution (muriatic acid) spilled when a drum fell              2000). It is expected that most pollution incidents
off a truck and split because of the cold                      in Prince William Sound would be minor,
temperature (ADEC 2001a).                                      involving spills of diesel oil, lubricating oil, crude
                                                               oil, and waste bilge oil. The probability of a
     Scenarios 2a and 2b. A fuel truck                         hazardous substance discharge is low.
carrying arctic-grade diesel from the Williams
North Pole Refinery to Deadhorse leaves the                         The first four spill scenarios listed in
highway and overturns on Dalton Highway. A                     Table 4.7-6 represent small to moderate spills
large spill of diesel fuel (between 5,000 and                  that are anticipated or likely to occur in Prince
8,000 gal) (USFS and WEFSEC 1998) without a                    William Sound during the TAPS renewal period.
fire would be considered a likely event, occurring             The scenarios cover spills of North-Slope-
at a frequency of about 2.2 to 3.9 × 10-2/yr. A                produced crude oil and diesel fuel as a crude oil
variant of this scenario would involve a fire in               refined petroleum product. The scenarios were
addition to the spill and would have a probability             developed by considering more than
of occurring about 2.4 to 4.3 × 10-3/yr, based on              180 documented crude oil spills into the Prince
adjustments to national HAZMAT transportation                  William Sound during the first 25 years of
statistics (Brown et al. 2000).                                operation of the pipeline (TAPS Owners 2001b).
                                                               In addition, 70 diesel fuel spills are also
     Scenario 3. A freight train towing an                     documented in the database for Prince William
average of 50 loaded petroleum tank cars filled                Sound for a similar period. Spill initiators or
with aviation jet fuel A (turbine jet fuel) partially          causes ranged from small fuel line ruptures to
derails. Up to two railcars are damaged and leak               very large storage tank failures. The spill
aviation jet fuel at a rate of 2 to 3 gal/min. A large         volumes for these scenarios ranged from less
railcar spill ranging from about 200 to 500 bbl of             than 1 gal to 60 bbl of crude oil and 12 bbl of
jet fuel would be considered a likely event, with a            diesel fuel. All of these spills were of short
frequency of occurrence of once in 6 to 8 years                duration (a few hours to about a day).

____________________________
1   MC (motor carrier) 312 or 412 cargo tanks are cylindrical tanks designed to carry high-density corrosive
    liquids and are typically constructed of stainless steel or aluminum and lined with material to resist
    degradation or reaction with its contents.
TABLE 4.7-6 Spill Scenarios for Tanker Accidents in the Prince William Sounda

                                                                                                      Frequency Range

                                                                                                                               Very
                                                                 Frequency (1/yr)                       Likely    Unlikely   Unlikely    Spill Volume (bbl)
                                    Material                                            Anticipated    (0.03 to   (10-3 to   (10-6 to                           Release
 No.           Spill Scenario       Spilled       Location      Low              High    (> 0.5/yr)     0.5/yr)   0.03/yr)   10-6/yr)    Low            High    Duration


1      Small spill                 Crude oil   NLSb                   5 × 10-1              X                                             ~0       10          Short
2      Moderate spill              Crude oil   NLS                    3 × 10-2                            X                               11       60          Short
3      Small spill                 Diesel      NLS                    5 × 10-1              X                                             ~0       1           Short
4      Moderate spill              Diesel      NLS                    3 × 10-2                            X                                2       12          Short
 5     Collision                   Crude oil   Arm             4 × 10-4     8 × 10-3                                 X                  110,000    170,000     Prolonged
 6     Drift grounding             Crude oil   Arm             2 × 10-5     1 × 10-3                                 X                  50,000     190,000     Prolonged
 7     Fire and explosion          Crude oil   Arm             2 × 10-5     1 × 10-4                                            X       270,000    320,000     Prolonged
 8     Powered grounding           Crude oil   Arm             1 × 10-4     9 × 10-4                                 X                  80,000     200,000     Prolonged
                                                               3 × 10-5     2 × 10-4




                                                                                                                                                                           4.7-35
 9     Structural and foundering   Crude oil   Arm                                                                   X                  100,000    260,000     Prolonged
 10    Collision                   Crude oil   Central Sound   4 × 10-4     3 × 10-3                                 X                  110,000    180,000     Prolonged
 11    Drift grounding             Crude oil   Central Sound   6 × 10-6     6 × 10-4                                 X                     0       190,000     Prolonged
 12    Fire and explosion          Crude oil   Central Sound   4 × 10-5     2 × 10-4                                 X                  250,000    300,000     Prolonged
 13    Powered grounding           Crude oil   Central Sound   1 × 10-8     7 × 10-4                                 X                     0       190,000     Prolonged




                                                                                                                                                                           ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES
 14    Structural and foundering   Crude oil   Central Sound   5 × 10-5     4 × 10-4                                 X                  130,000    210,000     Prolonged
 15    Collision                   Crude oil   Gulf            6 × 10-5     5 × 10-4                                 X                  170,000    190,000     Prolonged
 16    Drift grounding             Crude oil   Gulf            2 × 10-5     6 × 10-4                                 X                  150,000    320,000     Prolonged
 17    Fire and explosion          Crude oil   Gulf            2 × 10-5     1 × 10-4                                            X       230,000    280,000     Prolonged
 18    Structural and foundering   Crude oil   Gulf            4 × 10-5     2 × 10-4                                 X                  100,000    210,000     Prolonged
 19    Collision                   Crude oil   Hinchinbrook    1 × 10-4     1 × 10-3                                 X                  100,000    270,000     Prolonged
 20    Drift grounding             Crude oil   Hinchinbrook    3 × 10-4     3 × 10-3                                 X                  150,000    180,000     Prolonged
 21    Fire and explosion          Crude oil   Hinchinbrook    2 × 10-5     1 × 10-4                                            X       280,000    330,000     Prolonged
 22    Powered grounding           Crude oil   Hinchinbrook    1 × 10-4     1 × 10-3                                 X                  190,000    160,000     Prolonged
 23    Structural and foundering   Crude oil   Hinchinbrook    3 × 10-5     2 × 10-4                                 X                  130,000    200,000     Prolonged
 24    Collision                   Crude oil   Narrows         3 × 10-4     8 × 10-3                                 X                  120,000    80,000      Prolonged
 25    Drift grounding             Crude oil   Narrows         1 × 10-8     2 × 10-6                                                       0       0           Prolonged
 26    Fire and explosion          Crude oil   Narrows         1 × 10-5     6 × 10-5                                            X       290,000    340,000     Prolonged
 27    Powered grounding           Crude oil   Narrows         2 × 10-4     2 × 10-3                                 X                  70,000     180,000     Prolonged
                                                                                                                                                                                       ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES
TABLE 4.7-6 (Cont.)

                                                                                                                   Frequency Range

                                                                                                                                            Very
                                                                                Frequency (1/yr)                     Likely    Unlikely   Unlikely    Spill Volume (bbl)
                                           Material                                                  Anticipated    (0.03 to   (10-3 to   (10-6 to                          Release
 No.             Spill Scenario            Spilled        Location             Low          High      (> 0.5/yr)     0.5/yr)   0.03/yr)   10-6/yr)    Low          High     Duration


28       Structural and foundering        Crude oil    Narrows                1 × 10-5    8 × 10-5                                           X       110,000    280,000    Prolonged
29       Collision                        Crude oil    Port                   6 × 10-4    9 × 10-3                                X                  110,000    90,000     Prolonged
30       Drift grounding                  Crude oil    Port                   9 × 10-5    7 × 10-4                                X                  70,000     180,000    Prolonged
31       Fire and explosion               Crude oil    Port                   1 × 10-5    7 × 10-5                                           X       250,000    300,000    Prolonged
32       Powered grounding                Crude oil    Port                   1 × 10-8    7 × 10-4                                X                     0       190,000    Prolonged
33       Structural and foundering        Crude oil    Port                   2 × 10-5    2 × 10-4                                           X       100,000    240,000    Prolonged

a      All release points are on the water, and all spills reach the water.




                                                                                                                                                                                       4.7-36
b      NLS = scenario is not location specific; it could occur anywhere in Prince William Sound.
                                                       4.7-37               AFFECTED ENVIRONMENT



     The tanker Exxon Valdez went aground on                    Information from Table 4.7-7 was used in the
Bligh Reef, Prince William Sound, on March 24,              Liberty FEIS to estimate the size and location (in
1999, spilling 257,143 barrels of North Slope               port or at sea) of the potential future spills
crude oil. Numerous improvements have been                  associated with movement of TAPS tankers.
made since that spill (on the basis of lessons
learned as a result of the spill, new legislation,               The Liberty FEIS assumed very
new regulations, and numerous technology                    conservatively that nine tanker spills greater
advances) that will reduce the likelihood of a              than or equal to 1,000 bbl could potentially occur
major marine transportation accident and/or the             during the 15- to 20-year life of the Liberty
expected outflow given such an accident. The                project. This approach does not take into
report Prince William Sound, Alaska Risk                    account various measures such as the creation
Assessment Study by Det Norske Veritas et al.               of SERVS and the increasing use of double-
(1996), which did not consider future benefits of           hulled tankers that are intended to decrease both
double-hulled tankers, estimated that the risks of          the frequency and the magnitude of large tanker
a large oil spill were reduced by 75% with the              spills. It also does not take into account the
creation of SERVS and related measures. These               decreasing production of North Slope crude oil
measures have been reflected in the frequency               with time, which would decrease the number of
and spill volumes of the postulated spill                   tanker calls at the Valdez Marine Terminal and
scenarios in Table 4.7-6.                                   thus the frequency of a potential large tanker
                                                            spill.

                                                                Table 4.7-8 lists the estimated sizes of the
           Controlling Tankers in
                                                            nine spills that were postulated to occur during
           Prince William Sound
                                                            Liberty production.
   The Oil Pollution Act of 1990, as well as
   Alaska regulations, have established                         The Liberty FEIS estimated six spills  four
   numerous controls on tanker traffic as part              in port and two at sea  with an average size of
   of Prince William Sound spill contingency                4,000 bbl; two spills at sea with an average size
   planning. These include a Coast Guard                    of 13,000 bbl; and one spill at sea with a size
   escort for ladened tankers, maneuvering
   support by SERVS, established tanker
                                                            ranging from 200,000 to 260,000 bbl. For
   lanes, minimal weather limitations, and                  purposes of analysis, a value of 250,000 bbl was
   maximum tanker speed.                                    assumed for the size category of greater than
                                                            200,000 bbl. The maximum spill volume of
                                                            250,000 bbl assumed in the Liberty FEIS is
                                                            consistent with that assumed in the TAPS
     Gulf of Alaska/Pacific Ocean Spill
                                                            Renewal EIS.
Scenarios. The cumulative analysis in the
Liberty FEIS (MMS 2002) considered future                        Information on the estimated frequency of a
potential spills along the TAPS tanker route. For           large tanker spill was not explicitly provided in
purposes of quantitative analysis of oil spills, the        the Liberty FEIS. A value of 3% was quoted for
document focused on the past, present, and                  the probability of one or more spills occurring
reasonably foreseeable activities, such as crude            and contacting land along the U.S. coast
oil production. This information is current                 adjacent to the TAPS tanker route, based on
through 2001.                                               previous studies. However, it can be reasonably
                                                            assumed from Table 4.7-8 that the Liberty FEIS
     Table 4.7-7 lists the actual tanker spills
                                                            estimated one catastrophic tanker spill per
greater than or equal to 1,000 bbl that have
                                                            15- to 20-year life of the Liberty project, for a
occurred along the TAPS tanker route; a total of
                                                            frequency of 0.05 to 0.067 per year. This
11 such spills occurred from 1977 to 1998. The
                                                            frequency is orders of magnitude greater than
most significant (in terms of spill volume) was
                                                            that estimated in the TAPS Renewal EIS for
the Exxon Valdez oil spill (240,500 bbl). This
                                                            tanker transport in the Prince William Sound.
information is current through 2001.
                                                            This apparent discrepancy may be attributed to
                                                            the fact that the TAPS Renewal EIS takes into
                                                            account factors such as the increasing use of
ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES                             4.7-38



  TABLE 4.7-7 Trans-Alaska Pipeline System Tanker Spills Greater than or Equal
  to 1,000 Barrels: 1977 through 1998

                                                                                                         Spill Amount
      Date              Vessel                        Location                       Destination              (bbl)
                                                                             Perth Amboy, New
  8/29/1978     Overseas Joyce          Balboa Channel                       Jersey                         1,816
  6/7/1980      Texaco Connecticut      Panama Canal Zone                    Port Neches, Texas             4,047
  12/12/1981    Stuyvesant              Gulf of Tehuantepec                  Panama                         3,600
  12/21/1985    ARCO Anchorage          Puget Sound                          Cherry Point, Washington       5,690
  1/9/1987      Stuyvesant              Gulf of Alaska, British Columbia     Puerto Armuelles,              15,000
                                                                             Panama
  7/2/1987      Glacier Bay             Cook Inlet, Alaska                   Nikiski, Alaska                4,900
  10/4/1987     Stuyvesant              Gulf of Alaska, British Columbia     Puerto Armuelles,              14,286
                                                                             Panama
  1/3/1989      Thompson Pass           Port of Valdez                       Panama                         1,700
  3/24/1989     Exxon Valdez            Prince William Sound, Alaska         Long Beach, California        240,500
  2/7/1990      American Trader         Huntington Beach, California         Long Beach, California         9,929
  2/22/1991     Exxon San Francisco     Fidalgo Bay, Washington              Anacortes, Washington          5,000



                     TABLE 4.7-8 Sizes of Tanker Spills Assumed in the
                     Cumulative Analysis for the Liberty FEIS

                        Size Category
                             (bbl)         Number      Average Size (bbl)    Total Volume (bbl)

                      ≤6,000                  6              4,000                 24,000
                      >6,001-≤15,000          2             13,000                 26,000
                      >200,000                1             250,000               250,000
                      Total                   9                −                  294,000

                    Source: MMS (2002).



double-hulled tankers, decreasing North Slope                    accident types or initiators. The Prince William
crude oil production, development of the                         Sound subareas, identified in a risk assessment
SERVS, and other measures that would                             study by Merrick et al. (2000), are as follows:2
decrease the frequency of a catastrophic tanker
spill within the Prince William Sound.                           •    Port of Valdez,

                                                           • Valdez Narrows,
    4.7.4.10.5 Catastrophic Events
Considered in the Prince William                           • Valdez Arm,
Sound Spill Analysis. The source of a
                                                           • Central Sound,
medium or major oil spill would most likely be a
tank vessel laden with crude oil. An incident              • Anchorage,
involving a tank vessel has the most potential to
be catastrophic (ARRT 1999). The last                      • Hinchinbrook Entrance, and
29 scenarios (5 through 33) represent unlikely or
very unlikely spill events. The analysis considers         • Gulf of Alaska.
possible occurrences in seven different locations
____________________________
in Prince William Sound (or designated
2 This Prince William Sound risk assessment study had three primary objectives: to (1) identify and evaluate the
subareas) caused by five different tanker vessel
   risks of oil transportation in Prince William Sound; (2) identify, evaluate, and rank proposed risk reduction
   measures; and (3) develop a risk management plan and tools that could be used to support a risk
   management program.
                                                        4.7-39               AFFECTED ENVIRONMENT



     The five types of tanker accidents                      were classified as diminished ability; hazardous
considered are: (1) collision, (2) drift grounding,          shipboard environment; lack of knowledge, skills
(3) fire and explosion, (4) powered grounding,               or experience; poor management practices; or
and (5) structural and foundering. The potential             faulty perceptions or understanding.
for a catastrophic release of crude oil is
identified with regard to the spill scenario                      The volume of crude oil spilled for a given
initiators as follows (Det Norske Veritas et al.             scenario identified in Table 4.7-6 was estimated
1996):                                                       on the basis of the methodology in Det Norske
                                                             Veritas et al. (1996) and by taking into account
•   Collision occurs when an underway tanker                 the decreasing number of crude oil tanker
    and another underway vessel collide into                 shipments due to depletion of North Slope crude
    each other or strike each other as a result of           oil and the mandatory phase-out of single hull
    human error or mechanical failure and lack               tankers on or before 2015 (FR 1998).
    of vigilance (intervessel collision) or when a
    floating object is struck by an underway
    tanker (e.g., ice collision).                            4.7.5 Impacting Factors of
                                                                   Reasonably Foreseeable
•   Drift grounding occurs when a drifting tanker
    contacts the shore or bottom because it is
                                                                   Actions
    not under control as the result of a                          Section 4.7.4 describes past, present, and
    propulsion or steering failure.                          reasonably foreseeable actions for each of the
                                                             regions of interest (Beaufort Sea and the North
•   Fire and explosion occurs either when there
                                                             Slope, Interior Alaska, Prince William Sound and
    is a fire in the machinery, hotel, navigational,
                                                             Pacific transportation routes) that are the focus
    or cargo space of a tanker or when there is
                                                             of the cumulative analysis (see Table 4.7-2).
    an explosion in the machinery or cargo
                                                             Table 4.7-9 translates these major actions in
    spaces.
                                                             each region of interest into sets of activities
•   Powered grounding occurs when an                         relevant to each environmental attribute
    underway tanker contacts the shore or                    considered in the cumulative impact analysis.
    bottom because of navigational error or                  For example, surface water resources (an
    steering failure and lack of vigilance.                  environmental attribute) could be affected by oil
                                                             development (an action) through permitted
•   Structural failure and foundering occurs                 discharges, construction, land disturbance,
    when a structural failure due to the hull or             water use, or spills (the activities). The
    frame cracking or erosion is serious enough              activities, in turn, can be further translated into
    to affect the structural integrity of the tanker.        impacting factors (e.g., chemical pollutants,
    It is then assumed that the tanker will                  sedimentation, reduced flow) that can be used to
    founder or sink as a result of water ingress             evaluate the impacts of the action on the
    or loss of stability.                                    environmental attribute. The sum of these
                                                             effects, then, represents the cumulative impacts
    As Garrick (1984) notes, an accident is not a            on the specific environmental attribute in the
single event, but the culmination of a series of             region. Thus, impacting factors constitute the
events. A triggering incident is defined to be the           mechanism by which cumulative effects are
immediate precursor of an accident. In the                   analyzed and presented. While each activity in
Prince William Sound Risk Assessment (Det                    Table 4.7-9 has one or more corresponding
Norske Veritas et al. 1996), triggering incidents            impacting factors, each impacting factor can also
were separated into mechanical failures and                  be a component of more than one activity. For
human errors. The mechanical failures that were              example, sedimentation can be an impacting
considered to be triggering incidents were                   factor for surface water resources for both
propulsion failures, steering failures, electrical           construction and land disturbance.
power failures, and hull failures. Human errors
                                                                                                                                                       ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES
TABLE 4.7-9 Activities and Impacting Factors Associated with the Reasonably Foreseeable Actions
That Would Contribute to a Cumulative Effect

Key to actions: A = Oil and gas exploration, development, and production; B = Oil refining; C = Oil and refined product storage; D = Oil and
gas transportation; E = Human habitation and development; F = Transportation (other than oil and gas); G = Legislative actions; H = Land
management; I= Natural resource use; and J = Petroleum spills.


                                                                                        Major Contributing Actions, by Regiona

                                                                                                                                     Gulf of Alaska/
                                                                                                                                         Pacific
     Environmental Attribute                                           Beaufort Sea                                 Prince William   Transportation
    and Associated Activities             Impacting Factor            and North Slope        Interior Alaska            Sound           Routes

  PHYSICAL
  Soils and Permafrost
   Construction                 Disturbance                           A, D              A, D, E, F, I          E, F, I
   Spill/site cleanup           Disturbance                           J                 J                      J




                                                                                                                                                       4.7-40
   Vehicular traffic            Dusts                                 A, D              A, D, E, F, I          --

  Sand, Gravel, and Stone
   Construction           Resource use                                A, D, E           A, D, E, F             --

  Paleontology
   Excavation                   Disturbance                           --                --                     --
   Collecting                   Removal                               E                 E                      E

  Surface Water
  Resources
   Permitted discharges         Pollutants                            A                 A, B, E                B, D, E
   Construction                 Sedimentation                         A, D, E, F        A, D, E, F             D, E, F
   Land disturbance             Sedimentation                         --                E, I                   E, I
   Bank/shore modification      Sedimentation; channel/flow changes   A, D, F           D, E, F, I             D, E, I
   Water use                    Reduced flow                          A                 A, E, I                A, E, I
   Site remediation             Sedimentation; elimination or         J                 I, J                   I, J
                                 reduction of pollution source
   Petroleum spills             Pollutants                            A, D, F           A, B, C, D, E, F, I    B, C, D, E, F, I, J   D
TABLE 4.7-9 (Cont.)

                                                                                        Major Contributing Actions, by Regiona

                                                                                                                                     Gulf of Alaska/
                                                                                                                                         Pacific
       Environmental Attribute                                         Beaufort Sea                              Prince William      Transportation
      and Associated Activities             Impacting Factor          and North Slope        Interior Alaska         Sound              Routes

 Groundwater Resources
  Permitted discharges              Pollutants                        A                 --                     --
  Site remediation                  Elimination or reduction of       J                 I, J                   I, J
                                      source pollution
  Petroleum spills                  Pollutants                        A, D, F           A, B, C, D, E, F, I    B, C, D, E, F, I, J

 Marine Environment
  Noise                                                               --                --                     E, F, I, J
  Oil/fuel spills                                                     --                --                     E, F, I, J            D




                                                                                                                                                       4.7-41
 Air Quality
  Facility and equipment operations Emissions from fuel combustion    A, D, E           A, B, D, E, I          B, C, D, E
                                    Fugitive emissions                A, C, F           A, C, F                C, F
  Construction                      Exhaust emissions                 A, D, E           A, D, E, I             D, E, I
                                    Fugitive dust                     A, D, E           A, D, E, I             D, E, I




                                                                                                                                                       ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES
  Vehicles                          Exhaust emissions                 D, F              D, F                   D, F
                                    Fugitive dust                     D, F              D, F                   D, F
  Accidental spills                 Evaporative emissions from        J                 J                      J
                                     crude oil, petroleum products,
                                     hazardous chemicals

 Noise
  Construction activities           Equipment, blasting               A, D, E, F        A, D, E, F, I          D, E, F, I
  Operations                        Equipment, blasting               A, D, E, F        A, D, E, F, I          D, E, F, I

 Transportation
  Marine railway                    Materials, equipment, supplies    A, D              A, D, E, I             E, I
  Dalton/Alaska highways            Materials, equipment, supplies    A, D              A, B, D, E, H, I       B, D, E, I
                                    Workers                           --                A, D, E, H, I          B, C, D, E, H, I
                                    Residents                         --                E                      E
                                    Tourists                          E, H, I           E, H, I                E, H, I
                                                                                                                                                     ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES
TABLE 4.7-9 (Cont.)

                                                                                       Major Contributing Actions, by Regiona

                                                                                                                                   Gulf of Alaska/
                                                                                                                                       Pacific
      Environmental Attribute                                       Beaufort Sea                                  Prince William   Transportation
     and Associated Activities           Impacting Factor          and North Slope       Interior Alaska              Sound           Routes

  Airports/airstrips             Workers, supplies                 A, H                E, H, I               E, H, I
                                 Residents                         E                   E                     E
                                 Tourists                          E, H, I             E, H, I               E, H, I
  Permanent/seasonal roads       Materials, equipment, supplies,   A                   A, D, E, H, I         E, H, I
                                 workers
  Ice/winter roads               Materials, equipment, supplies    A                   A, D, E, H, I         --

 Human Health and Safety
  Exploration                    Occupational hazards              A                   A                     --
  Construction                   Occupational hazards              A, D, E, I,         D, E, I               E




                                                                                                                                                     4.7-42
  Operations                     Occupational hazards              A, D, H, J          B, C, D, E, H, I      B, C, D, E, H, I
                                 Toxic releases                    A, D                B, C, D, E, I         B, C, D, E, I
  Transportation                 Vehicle emissions                 F                   F                     F
                                 Accidents                         F                   F                     F
  Persistent environmental       Persistent organic pollutants     A, D, E, F, H, I,   B, C, D, E, F H, I,   B, C, D, E, F H, I,
  contaminants                   (POPs)                            global sources      global sources        global sources
                                 Heavy metals                      A, E, F, J,         E, F, I, natural      E, F, I, natural
                                                                   natural sources     sources               sources
                                 Radionuclides                     A, natural          B, E, I, natural      B, E, I, natural
                                                                   sources             sources               sources

 BIOLOGICAL
 Vegetation and Wetlands
  Construction                   Disturbance                       A, D, E             D, E, F, I            E, I
                                 Dusts                             A, D, F             D, E, F, I            E, I
                                 Erosion                           A, D, E             D, E, F, I            E, I
  Transportation                 Dusts                             A, D, F             B, C, D, E, F, I      C, E, F, H, I
  Restoration                    Disturbance                       A, D                B, C, D, I            B, C, D, I
                                 Nonnative species                 A, D                B, C, D, I            B, C, D, I
  Petroleum spills               Spills                            A, D, F             B, C, D, E, F, I      B, C, D, E, F, I      D
  Permafrost changes             Habitat loss/alteration           F                   F                     -.-
TABLE 4.7-9 (Cont.)

                                                                                      Major Contributing Actions, by Regiona

                                                                                                                                  Gulf of Alaska/
                                                                                                                                      Pacific
       Environmental Attribute                                       Beaufort Sea                             Prince William      Transportation
      and Associated Activities           Impacting Factor          and North Slope     Interior Alaska           Sound              Routes

 Fish
  Construction                    Habitat loss/alternation          A, D, E           D, E, F, I            E, I
                                  Obstruction                       A, D, F           D, F                  I
  Transportation                  Harvest                           A, D, F           D, E, F, H, I         D, E, F, H, I
  Petroleum spills                Habitat loss/alteration           A, D, E           B, C, D, E, F, I      B, C, D, E, I         D

 Birds and Mammals
  Construction                    Habitat loss/alteration           A, D, E           D, E, F, I            E, I
                                  Displacement                      A, D, E           D, E, F, I            E, I
  Operations                      Obstruction                       A, D              D, E, F, I            I




                                                                                                                                                    4.7-43
                                  Disturbance                       A, D, E           D, E, F, H, I         B, C, D, E, I
  Petroleum spills                Habitat loss/alteration           A, D, E           B, C, D, E, F, I      B, C, D, E, F, I
                                  Mortality                         A, D, E           B, C, D, E, F, I      B, C, D, E, F, I      D
  Transportation                  Mortality                         A, D, F           B, C, D, E, F, I      B, C, D, E, I




                                                                                                                                                    ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES
 HUMAN
 Subsistence
  Construction/operation          Employment                        A, D, E, H        B, C, D, E, F, H, I   B, C, D, E, F, H, I
                                  Permanent Fund Dividend           A, D              D                     D
                                  Effects on resources              A, D, E, H, I     B, C, D, E, F, H, I   B, C, D, E, F, H, I   D
                                  Nonsubsistence use                H, I              E, H, I               E, H, I
  Petroleum spills                Effects on resources              A, D, F           J                     J

 Sociocultural Systems
  Taxes and revenues              Public services and education     All actions       All actions           All actions
                                  Roads, airports, infrastructure   All actions       All actions           All actions
  Employment                      Cash economy                      A, D, E, H, I     B, C, D, E, F, H, I   B, C, D, E, F, H, I
                                  Acculturation                     A, D, E, H, I     B, C, D, E, F, H, I   B, C, D, E, F, H, I
                                  Fragmentation                     A, D, E, H, I     B, C, D, E, F, H, I   B, C, D, E, F, H, I
                                                                                                                                                  ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES
TABLE 4.7-9 (Cont.)

                                                                                    Major Contributing Actions, by Regiona

                                                                                                                                Gulf of Alaska/
                                                                                                                                    Pacific
      Environmental Attribute                                 Beaufort Sea                                                      Transportation
     and Associated Activities            Impacting Factor   and North Slope        Interior Alaska     Prince William Sound       Routes

 Economics
  Construction/operations           Expenditures             A, D, E, H, I     B, C, D, E, F, H, I     B, C, D, E, F, H, I
                                    Employment               A, D, E, H, I     B, C, D, E, F, H, I     B, C, D, E, F, H, I
                                    Taxes/revenues           A, D, E, H, I     B, C, D, E, F, H, I     B, C, D, E, F, H, I

  Petroleum spills                  Expenditures             A, D, F           B, C, D, E, F, I        B, C, D, E, F, I         D
                                    Employment               A, D, F           B, C, D, E, F, I        B, C, D, E, F, I         D

 Land Use
  Construction/operations           Use conflicts            A, D, G, H        D, G, H                 G, H
  Petroleum spills                  Fire                     A, D              B, C, D                 B, C, D                  D




                                                                                                                                                  4.7-44
 Coastal Zone Management
  Construction/operations Visual changes                     A, D              --                      B, C, D
                          Use conflicts                      A, D, G, H        --                      B, C, D, E, F, G, H, I
                          Subsistence impacts                A, D, G, H        --                      B, C, D, E, F, G, H, I
  Petroleum spills                                           D                                         D                        D

 Recreation
  Construction/operations           Increased demand         --                D, E, I                 --
                                    Conflict with use        --                E, I                    --
  Petroleum spills                                                             D                       D                        D

 Aesthetics
  Construction/operations           Visible effects          A, D              B, C, D, E, F, I        B, C, D, E, F, I
                                    Noise                    A, D              B, C, D, E, F, I        B, C, D, E, F, I
  Petroleum spills                  Fire                     A, D              B, C, D                 B, C, D                  D

 a See Table 4.7-2 for further details.
 b A hyphen indicates not applicable.
                                                      4.7-45    ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES



4.7.6 Physical Environment                                 cumulative impacts on soil disturbance from oil
                                                           exploration and development on the North Slope
                                                           would decline as these activities declined,
    4.7.6.1 Soils and Permafrost                           pending development of an alternative means of
                                                           oil transportation. However, the combined effects
    Activities associated with oil and gas                 of shutting down TAPS operations, removing
exploration, development, and production and               facilities, and construction of a natural gas
the construction of a natural gas pipeline could           pipeline would have cumulative effects greater
disturb vegetative cover and affect soils and              than those for the proposed action. This is
permafrost in the North Slope and Beaufort Sea             because the activities involve extensive
areas and Interior Alaska. These activities could          excavation and movement of heavy equipment.
include constructing roads, drilling pads, and             In summary, the cumulative impact on soil and
pipeline; delivering heavy equipment; logging;             permafrost caused by physical disturbance on
and building support facilities. As the vegetative         the ground surface would be smaller under the
cover would be disturbed, the permafrost below             proposed action than under the no-action
the ground surface could be degraded, causing              alternative.
changes in the local hydrology, slope stability
problems, and surface subsidence (see                           Permafrost is affected by road dust
Section 4.3.2 on soils and permafrost). The                generated by traffic on unpaved roads; snow
current warming trend in Alaska would contribute           melt due to dust deposition can lead to flooding,
to continued thawing in the vicinity of all actions        ponding, and hydrological changes in soil
in permafrost areas.                                       (see Section 3.3.2.2 on permafrost degradation
                                                           and aggradation). Where roads on the North
    The impacts would vary by location, since              Slope and in Interior Alaska are not paved, all
they would depend on the local geology,                    activities that generate vehicle traffic on
hydrology, and permafrost conditions. The                  roadways generate dust. (The Dalton Highway is
impacts on the soil and permafrost would                   currently being improved to reduce generation of
primarily occur in the local areas where the               dust.) Thus, continuing oil and gas exploration,
activities occurred. Therefore, since other                development, and production; construction of a
activities in the Beaufort Sea and North Slope             natural gas pipeline; the operation of the TAPS;
areas would affect local areas, there would be a           and other activities requiring road travel would
negligible cumulative impact with any similar              add cumulatively to the volume of road dust
localized impacts of TAPS operations.                      generated. The quantitative increase in the
                                                           settled dust layer, as well as increases in the
     Construction of a gas pipeline from the North         frequency of dusting may increase effects on
Slope either to Delta Junction in Interior Alaska          vegetation and snow cover, thus ultimately
or on to Valdez would require excavation in the            affecting soils and permafrost.
vicinity of the TAPS ROW. Activities associated
with TAPS and natural gas pipeline construction                The road dust generated from TAPS
and operation would therefore act cumulatively             activities alone in the long term would be about
to disturb vegetative cover and affect soils and           the same or larger under the proposed action
permafrost. The disturbance caused by                      than under the no-action alternative because
construction of the natural gas pipeline would be          expected traffic volumes would be less under no
substantially larger than that caused by                   action (Section 4.6.2.11). Under the no-action
maintaining the TAPS; the contribution of the              cumulative case, the amount of traffic due to oil
TAPS to cumulative impacts of soil disturbance             exploration, development, and production would
in the region is expected to be small.                     also decline after the initial phase of TAPS
                                                           renewal. Depending on the balance of the other
     Under the less-than-30 year renewal                   transportation changes, the cumulative impact of
alternative, cumulative impacts would be as                road dust on soil and permafrost could be
stated above for the proposed action, but of               smaller, the same, or larger in the proposed
shorter duration for the TAPS renewal period.              action case than in the no-action case, while the
TAPS contributions to cumulative effects would             contribution of the gas line construction to the
be small. For the no-action alternative, the
ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES                           4.7-46



total impact caused by the road dust in both              and with other industrial and community
alternatives would be the same.                           development, additional quantities of sands,
                                                          gravels, and quarry stones would be needed.
     If oil and gas exploration, development, and         Other actions in Interior Alaska, such as mineral
production in the North Slope and Beaufort Sea            development, logging, and urban development,
areas were expanded, or a gas pipeline parallel           would require roads and other facilities, which, in
to the TAPS is constructed, the amount of road            turn, would require sand and gravel. The sand
traffic caused by these activities would increase         and gravel requirements for the natural gas
greatly over the traffic caused by regular                pipeline on the North Slope and in the Interior
maintenance operations for the TAPS. The                  Alaska are not known, but these resources might
cumulative impact of road dust on soil and                be required along the ROWs and access points.
permafrost would be smaller in the proposed               Rip rap might be needed at river crossings. The
action case than in the no-action case. Similarly,        majority of these materials would be mined and
the cumulative impact on soil and permafrost              impact areas would be outside the areas where
caused by physical disturbance on the ground              the TAPS is located. However, some of the
surface would be smaller under the proposed               materials could be extracted in areas near the
action than under the no-action alternative. In           TAPS or from the same quarries or gravel pits as
the years following completion of dismantlement           those used by the TAPS. The latter actions
of the pipeline, impacts from all activities could        would contribute to a cumulative impact.
be less than, the same, or greater than the               However, taken as a whole, sand, gravel, and
annual impacts under the proposed action,                 stone resources are abundant, and all
depending on the level of activity in any area. No        requirements are unlikely to deplete these
synergistic impacts were found.                           resources.

      In summary, if oil and gas exploration,                  The requirement designed to protect the
development, and production in the North Slope            tundra environment  to use ice roads in winter
and Beaufort Sea areas continued and if the               and ice pads in exploratory drilling pads 
natural gas pipeline were constructed, the                reduces the quantity of gravel that would
amount of road traffic caused by these activities         otherwise be used for roads to reach remote
could be greater than the traffic caused by               areas. However, ice roads or ice pads might not
regular maintenance operations for the TAPS. It           be used in places where continued access
is likely that the TAPS contribution to the total         during summer (for maintenance) or operational
dust load would be smaller than that from the             access is required. Sands and gravels would be
other activities in the North Slope area.                 required at remote locations for pad
                                                          construction, production facilities, and
                                                          associated infrastructure. On the North Slope,
     4.7.6.2 Sand, Gravel, and                            the source for rock for rip rap and river framing is
             Quarry Resources                             limited to quarries in the Brooks Range. The
                                                          contribution of the TAPS to the total impact
      Sand, gravel, and quarry stones are needed          would likely be much smaller than that of the
to build the access roads, air strips, workpads,          other continuing and new activities in the North
drilling pads, and gravel islands needed for oil          Slope area. No synergistic impacts were found.
and gas exploration, development, and
production. These materials are mined in                       Under the less-than-30-year renewal
quarries in the Brooks Range and in floodplains           alternative, cumulative impacts would be as
throughout the region.                                    stated above for the proposed action but of
                                                          shorter duration. If at the end of this period a
    To reduce construction costs, most of the             further request for renewal was granted,
mining sites, to the maximum extent possible,             cumulative impacts would continue as stated for
would be located near areas where the materials           the proposed action. If a further request for
would be needed. With continuing oil and gas              renewal was not granted, cumulative impacts
exploration, development and production in the            would continue as stated for no action, below.
Beaufort Sea, North Slope, and Interior Alaska,
and with development of the natural gas pipeline
                                                      4.7-47    ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES



    Under the no-action alternative, sand,                      4.7.6.4 Surface Water
gravel, and quarry stone requirements might                             Resources
increase while TAPS facilities were dismantled
and removed. However, sand, gravel, and quarry                  A number of foreseeable actions have been
stones would no longer be needed for the TAPS              identified (Section 4.7.3) that could produce
after early phases of the termination activities           impacts to surface water resources in three
were completed, and requirements for oil                   regions associated with the TAPS ROW: the
exploration, development, and production would             North Slope, Interior Alaska (along the TAPS
decline. However, the natural gas pipeline would           ROW), and Prince William Sound. These actions
require sand, gravel, and quarry stone                     could interact cumulatively with impacts from the
resources. The cumulative impact of all activities         proposed action and the no-action alternative.
on these resources would be smaller under the              Impacting factors related to these foreseeable
no-action alternative than under either the                activities include permitted discharges; erosion;
30-year proposed action or the less-than-30-year           sedimentation; bank, channel, and shore
renewal alternatives.                                      modifications; water use; site remediation; and
                                                           spills. Potential impacts of these factors on
                                                           surface water resources include reduced
    4.7.6.3 Paleontology                                   quantities of water and degraded water quality.
    Any action that involves ground disturbance,                Oil and gas exploration, development, and
either from routine operations or from cleanup             production require the use of large quantities of
after accidents, creates a potential for impacts to        water. Maximum bounding estimates for one
paleontological resources existing in the affected         project are that construction of 1 mi of ice road
area. Synergistic effects are unlikely.                    requires about 1 million gal of water; an ice pad
Paleontological resources may also be impacted             that is square and 600 ft on a side requires about
by collecting and disturbance by the presence of           21 million gal of water; and construction of an ice
people associated with these actions. However,             airstrip requires about 8 million gal of water
given the variability of the scientific importance         (BP Exploration 2000). For the same project, drill
of paleontological resources, there is the                 rig use would require about 9 million gal of water
potential for significant adverse cumulative               annually, rig-camp use for 120 people would be
impacts when all other actions are considered              about 2 million gal of water annually; mobile
together. Mitigating this cumulative impact would          camp water use for 60 people would be about
require addressing protection of paleontological           0.5 million gal of water per year; and ice pad,
resources for these other actions on a case-by-            road, and airstrip maintenance would use
case basis. Impacts to paleontological resources           another 9 million gal of water per year. For the
from continuing operations of the TAPS will be             North Slope as a whole, the typical annual water
avoided according to provisions in the Federal             use for oil exploration is about 27 billion gal
Grant that address paleontological materials,              (ADNR 2001e). This value represents about
and continued operation of TAPS would not add              0.27% of the total water available on the North
to any significant impact on paleontological               Slope in any given year.
resources.
                                                                Water requirements on the North Slope in
    Under the no-action alternative and the less-          summer would be met by using water from lakes,
than-30-year renewal alternative, the cumulative           river pools, and flooded gravel mine sites. Water
impacts would be similar to cumulative impacts             from taliks (unfrozen layers of ground located on
under the proposed action. Construction of a               top, underneath, or within masses of permafrost,
natural gas pipeline would be a major ground               often occurring beneath deep pools below the
disturbing activity of a few years’ duration. These        surface of rivers and lakes) would be used in
impacts would be offset by declining oil and gas           winter when the surface water was frozen (BLM
development activities on the North Slope. In              1983c). Water withdrawals from taliks could be
summary, any ground disturbing activity involves           limited by permit to no more than 15% of the
the potential for impacts to paleontological               available water (ADNR 2001e). For the town of
resources requiring mitigation on a case-by-case           Barrow, the Barrow Utilidor System, which is
basis.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES                             4.7-48



owned and operated by the North Slope                       the foreseeable actions could be small in
Borough, provides about 200,000 gal/d of water              magnitude and local. Impacts from continued
from the Isatkoak Reservoir (AWWA 2001).                    operation of the TAPS would be similarly small
                                                            in magnitude and local on the North Slope.
     Impacts to the quantity of surface water from          However, the effects on water quality if a large
foreseeable activities would be cumulative if the           spill was released directly to surface water could
water withdrawals occurred in the same                      be large and extensive, and the magnitude of the
watershed. These impacts potentially could act              effects would depend on the speed of cleanup
synergistically on aquatic life due to the action of        response teams and the local conditions
biological processes if the withdrawals used a              affecting oil dispersion. The probability of this
large portion of the available water. However,              type of spill occurring is very small. Impacts from
because the total water use for the North Slope             anticipated or likely small spills would produce
is about 0.27% of the available water, and                  small and local impacts on surface water quality.
because withdrawal from any one source is                   By following guidelines established for
limited, impacts from the foreseeable actions               appropriate Alaska discharge permits, limits on
could be small in magnitude and local, and                  the volume of water that can be withdrawn under
synergistic effects are not expected. Impacts               ice cover, meeting restrictions on the storage of
from continued operation of the TAPS would be               toxic construction and operations materials, and
cumulative with other activities on the North               meeting requirements for cleanup of all toxic
Slope only if the same source area was used.                materials as part of construction and normal
Some major water users, such as oil and gas                 operations, cumulative impacts on water quality
development, are not located along the TAPS                 could be minimized.
ROW. However, water for construction of a
natural gas pipeline may affect surface waters in                In Interior Alaska (i.e., along the TAPS
the TAPS ROW, however, these effects would                  ROW), quantity and quality of surface water
be small in magnitude and local. By following the           could be cumulatively affected by oil and gas
guidelines on the permissible levels of water               exploration, development, and production; oil
withdrawal specified in Alaska water-use                    and gas transportation; oil refining; and human
permits, impacts of surface water use on the                habitation and development. Surface water
quantity of surface water could be minimized.               would be used for activities such as drilling, oil
                                                            refining, construction (including a natural gas
     The quality of surface water resources                 pipeline), dust control, and human consumption.
(dissolved constituents and sediment) could also            Water requirements would be met by using water
be affected by water withdrawals and oil and gas            from lakes, river pools, taliks (during the winter;
exploration, development, and production; oil               BLM 1983c), and groundwater wells (see
and gas transportation; and human habitation                Section 4.7.6.5). Large construction projects,
and development in the North Slope and                      such as the natural gas pipeline, would probably
Beaufort Sea area. Since water would be                     obtain water from nearby rivers and streams.
withdrawn from taliks during winter, oxygen                 Impacts of these activities on surface water
demand by sediments and water could reduce                  would be cumulative with those from the
the concentration of oxygen in the water needed             proposed action, if the water withdrawals
by overwintering fish. However, only 15% of                 occurred in the same watershed. As discussed
water under the ice sheet may be withdrawn                  in Section 4.3.6, impacts of the proposed action
(ADNR 2001e), which would reduce the potential              on surface water would be negligible in
for oxygen reduction or loss and the release of             magnitude, local, and temporary because most
harmful substances from the sediments. The                  water needs are met by using groundwater wells
quality of surface water in other areas could be            along the TAPS ROW. It is anticipated that the
affected by discharges during drilling,                     cumulative impacts of the foreseeable actions
sedimentation and runoff from road construction,            would be minimized as much as possible by
discharges from homes and developments, and                 using good engineering practices.
spills. Impacts of these activities would be                Implementation of the foreseeable actions would
cumulative if the surface discharges or spills              require compliance with all applicable permit
occurred in the same watershed. Impacts from                restrictions, laws, and regulations.
                                                      4.7-49    ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES



     The quality of surface water resources in             water in the Valdez area is supplied by four
Interior Alaska could also be affected by oil and          primary groundwater wells (Vacation Alaska
gas exploration, development, and production;              1999). If the foreseeable project water needs
oil refining; and human habitation and                     were met by using groundwater from these wells
development. Surface water quality is affected             or other new wells, there would be no impact to
by both dissolved constituents and sediment.               surface water quantities. Impacts from
Similar to withdrawal from taliks on the North             anticipated or likely small spills would produce
Slope, water withdrawal from taliks in Interior            small and local impacts because of the small
Alaska could affect overwintering fish if a large          volumes of oil released. (Cumulative impacts to
proportion of liquid water were withdrawn.                 groundwater are discussed in Section 4.7.6.5).
However, this potential effect is limited by water         Impacts from continued operation of the TAPS
withdrawal permit conditions. Similarly, the               for the proposed action would, then, be the only
quality of surface water could be affected by              component of the cumulative impact to surface
discharges during drilling, sedimentation and              water quantities in the Prince William Sound
runoff from road construction (particularly during         area. These impacts, as previously discussed,
construction of a natural gas pipeline), refinery          would be small in magnitude, local, and
construction and operation, human habitation               regulated by applicable permits for water use at
and development, and spills. Impacts of these              the Valdez Marine Terminal.
activities would be cumulative with those from
the proposed action if the surface discharges or                The quality of surface water resources in the
spills occurred in the same watershed.                     area of Prince William Sound could also be
Depending on the quantities of pollutants                  affected by oil refining; oil and gas
released, impacts from the foreseeable actions             transportation; and human habitation and
could be large in magnitude and local. Impacts             development. Surface water quality is affected
from continued operation of the TAPS would, in             by both dissolved constituents and sediment.
general, be small and local because of existing            The quality of surface water could be affected by
permit conditions. However, impacts from a                 runoff from road construction, refinery
large spill could be major in magnitude and                construction and operation, human habitation
extensive, depending on the speed of cleanup               and development, and spills. Impacts of these
response and the conditions affecting dispersal.           activities would be cumulative with those from
(For example, a guillotine break caused by a               the proposed action if the surface discharges or
helicopter or fixed-wing aircraft crash could spill        spills occurred in the same watershed. Impacts
oil directly into a river or stream at an elevated         from the foreseeable actions could be large in
crossing.) In the case of smaller spills, cleanup          magnitude and local. Impacts from continued
response would limit the extent of contamination           operation of the TAPS would, in general, be
and effect on water quality. By following                  small in magnitude and local, except for impacts
guidelines established for appropriate Alaska              from spills, which could be major and extensive
discharge permits, meeting restrictions on the             (e.g., a catastrophic failure of an oil storage tank
storage of toxic construction and operations               at the Valdez Marine Terminal). For anticipated
materials, and meeting requirements for cleanup            or likely small spills, impacts to surface water
of all toxic materials as part of construction and         quality would be small and local because of the
normal operations, cumulative impacts on water             small volumes of oil released. The recipients of
quality would be minimized and synergistic                 most of these impacts would be marine waters
effects are not expected.                                  (see Section 4.7.6.7) rather than freshwater
                                                           rivers or streams, which are limited in number
     In the area of Prince William Sound, oil              and size in the vicinity of the Valdez Marine
refining; oil and gas transportation; and human            Terminal. By following guidelines established for
habitation and development could affect both the           appropriate Alaska discharge permits, meeting
quantity and quality of available surface water.           restrictions on the storage of toxic construction
The quantity of surface water available could be           and operations materials, and meeting
reduced by activities such as road construction            requirements for cleanup of all toxic materials as
and dust control, building construction, and               part of construction and normal operations,
human habitation and development, however,
ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES                            4.7-50



cumulative impacts on water quality would be                    In the Prince Williams Sound area, impacts
minimized.                                                 to surface water quantity and quality would be
                                                           initially high as TAPS facilities were removed;
     For the less-than-30-year renewal                     however, these impacts would be temporary.
alternative, cumulative impacts would be as                Once removal activities were completed,
stated above for the proposed action but of a              impacts would be produced by other non-TAPS
shorter duration. Impacts from routine TAPS                related projects. Because surface water would
operations would be small in magnitude and                 not be used for these other activities, impacts to
local. However, for a large spill into a major             the quantity of surface water available would be
system, impacts on surface waters could be                 negligible. Impacts to water quality would be
large in magnitude and extensive, depending on             minimized, to the extent possible, by following
the speed of cleanup and the conditions                    good engineering practices and provisions in
affecting dispersal. If at the end of this period a        appropriate Alaska discharge permits.
further request for renewal was granted,
cumulative impacts would continue as stated for                 In summary, the cumulative impacts of all
the proposed action. If a further request for              activities would have small, local, and additive
renewal was not granted, cumulative impacts                impacts on surface water quantity and quality.
would continue as stated for no action, below.             Permit requirements related to water
                                                           withdrawals and discharges to surface waters,
      Under the no-action alternative, the Federal         as well as cleanup of small petroleum spills,
Grant of ROW would not be renewed, and oil                 would protect surface water resources. The
would no longer flow through the pipeline to the           impacts of TAPS operations on surface water
Valdez Marine Terminal. Oil production on the              resources would be small in comparison to other
North Slope would cease, and there would be no             actions such as oil exploration and development,
exploratory drilling for oil. However, it is               water requirements for construction of a natural
assumed gas production on the North Slope                  gas transportation system, and the requirements
would continue, as would exploratory drilling for          of other industrial and municipal systems.
gas. Because oil production and exploratory
drilling for oil would cease, water use on the
North Slope would be greatly reduced, and                       4.7.6.5 Groundwater
impacts to surface water quality from activities                        Resources
(e.g., ice road construction, other construction,
and camp use), discharges from homes and                        A number of foreseeable actions have been
developments, and spills would also be greatly             identified that could produce impacts to
reduced.                                                   groundwater resources in three regions
                                                           associated with the TAPS ROW: the North
     In Interior Alaska, cumulative impacts along          Slope, Interior Alaska (along the TAPS ROW),
the TAPS ROW would be temporarily increased                and Prince William Sound. These actions could
during removal of the oil pipeline and associated          interact cumulatively with impacts from the
structures. These impacts would include water              proposed action. Specific impacting factors for
use and modification of the existing water                 these foreseeable activities include water use,
quality. Impacts from TAPS removal would be                permitted discharges, site remediation, and
cumulative with those from construction of a new           spills. Impacts to groundwater resources include
gas pipeline. Although construction and removal            reduced quantities of water available and
impacts would only occur for a short time, the             degraded water quality.
cumulative impacts along the TAPS ROW would
be large in magnitude and extensive (occurring                 In the North Slope area, oil and gas
along a substantial portion of the 800-mi length           exploration, development, and production; oil
of the pipeline). Once the pipeline was removed,           and gas transportation; and human habitation
impacts from any TAPS-related spills would no              and development could affect the quantity and
longer be possible, and impacts to surface water           quality of groundwater directly or indirectly.
quality would be limited to other non-TAPS-                While groundwater resources could be used for
related projects.                                          such activities as drilling, road construction
                                                           (particularly ice roads), construction, dust
                                                  4.7-51    ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES



control, and human consumption, water needs            and operations materials, and meeting
on the North Slope are typically met by using          requirements for cleanup of all toxic materials as
surface water resources (BLM 1983c) (see               part of construction and normal operations,
Section 4.7.6.4) because of the presence of a          cumulative impacts on water quality would be
thick layer (thousands of feet) of permafrost.         minimized.
Therefore, cumulative impacts to the available
groundwater from the foreseeable actions,                  In Interior Alaska (i.e., along the TAPS
together with the proposed action would be none        ROW), groundwater quantity and quality could
to negligible.                                         be cumulatively impacted by oil and gas
                                                       exploration, development, and production; oil
     The quality of groundwater resources could        and gas transportation; oil refining; and human
also be affected by oil and gas exploration,           habitation and development. The quantity of
development, and production; oil and gas               groundwater available may be locally reduced
transportation; and human habitation and               because water would be used for industrial
development in the North Slope. Both direct and        activities such as drilling, oil refining,
indirect impacts could occur. Direct impacts on        construction; dust control, and human
water quality would result from direct discharges      consumption. Within Interior Alaska, water
to the groundwater from drilling operations            needs are usually met by using groundwater
(e.g., disposal of production water in deep            wells. For example, the City of Fairbanks
formations beneath the permafrost layer) and           acquires all of its water from wells. In 1996, the
septic systems that discharge to very shallow          monthly mean water withdrawal was about
water above the permafrost (suprapermafrost).          6 million gal/d (USGS 2002b).
However, disposal of production water in deep
formations would not impact water available for             For the foreseeable actions in Interior
human consumption. Indirect impacts on water           Alaska, water requirements would be met by
quality would result from the infiltration of          using groundwater wells, although surface water
contaminated surface water derived from                resources could be used to meet natural gas
petroleum spills. Impacts from these sources           pipeline construction needs. Impacts of these
would be cumulative with the proposed action           activities on groundwater resources would be
only if contaminants reached the same aquifers.        cumulative with those from the proposed action,
However, these impacts would be controlled and         if the water withdrawals were from the same
minimized by prompt cleanup actions. Impacts           aquifer. Impacts produced by the foreseeable
on water quality from the foreseeable actions          actions could be large in magnitude and local if
would be small in magnitude and local because          withdrawals were a substantial proportion of the
of the presence of the permafrost in this region.      available resource. As discussed in
Synergistic effects are not expected. Impacts          Section 4.3.6, impacts of the proposed action on
from spills from all actions could be large and        groundwater quantities would be negligible and
extensive if contamination from unlikely or very       would be a small component of the cumulative
unlikely large spill events were allowed to reach      impact. The cumulative impacts of the
the groundwater. Impacts to water quality from         foreseeable actions would be minimized as
continued operation of the TAPS would be small         much as possible by using good engineering
in magnitude and local on the North Slope (no          practices. Implementation of the foreseeable
cumulative impacts along the TAPS ROW would            actions would require compliance with all
be derived from North Slope actions), except for       applicable permit restrictions, laws, and
spills, which could produce large and extensive        regulations.
impacts if allowed to reach the groundwater. The
cumulative impact of foreseeable actions and the            The quality of groundwater resources in
proposed action would be small in magnitude            Interior Alaska could also be affected by oil and
and local. Impacts from anticipated spills would       gas exploration, development, and production;
be small and local because of the small volumes        oil refining; and human habitation and
released. By following guidelines established for      development. Both direct and indirect impacts
appropriate Alaska discharge permits, meeting          could occur. Direct impacts could result from
restrictions on the storage of toxic construction      direct discharges to the groundwater from
                                                       industrial activities and septic fields. Indirect
ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES                          4.7-52



impacts could result from the infiltration of            could be large, and the water table would be
contaminated surface water from industrial and           lowered. Water for operation of the Valdez
municipal sources and from spills which were             Marine Terminal is obtained from surface water
not cleaned up. Impacts of these activities would        resources. Impacts from continued operation of
be cumulative with those from the proposed               the TAPS under the proposed action would thus
action, if the direct discharges were to the same        be a negligible component of the cumulative
aquifer or if contaminated surface water                 impact to groundwater quantities in the Prince
infiltrated the same aquifer. Impacts from the           William Sound area.
foreseeable actions could be large in magnitude
and local if any wastewaters were disposed of by               The quality of groundwater resources in the
deep well injection. Impacts from continued              area of Prince William Sound could also be
operation of the TAPS would, in general, be              affected by oil refining; oil and gas
small and local, except for impacts from unlikely        transportation; and human habitation and
or very unlikely large spills, which could be large      development. Both direct and indirect impacts
and extensive (e.g., a very unlikely underground         could occur. Direct impacts would result from
guillotine break caused by seismic activity or a         direct discharges to the groundwater from septic
landslide). The cumulative impact of foreseeable         fields. Indirect impacts would result from the
actions and the proposed action would be large           infiltration of contaminated surface water.
in magnitude and local, with the contribution            Impacts from continued operation of the TAPS
from continued TAPS operation being negligible           would, in general, be small in magnitude and
to small in magnitude, except for the impacts            local, except for impacts from spills, which could
from spills. In the case of spills, the cumulative       be larger and more extensive (e.g., a very
impacts could be very large in magnitude and             unlikely catastrophic failure of an oil storage tank
extensive, particularly if a large unlikely spill was    at the Valdez Marine Terminal). The cumulative
released directly to groundwater. For anticipated        impact of foreseeable actions and the proposed
spills, impacts would be small and local because         action would be large in magnitude and local,
of the small volumes of contaminants released            with the contribution from continued TAPS
and because they would be promptly cleaned up.           operation being small in magnitude, except for
By following guidelines established for                  the impacts from spills. In the case of spills, the
appropriate Alaska discharge permits, meeting            cumulative impacts could be very large and
restrictions on the storage of toxic construction        extensive for unlikely to very unlikely spill
and operations materials, and meeting                    scenarios. For anticipated spills, impacts could
requirements for cleanup of all toxic materials as       be small and local because of the small volumes
part of construction and normal operations,              of contaminants released. By following
cumulative impacts on water quality could be             guidelines established for appropriate Alaska
minimized.                                               discharge permits, meeting restrictions on the
                                                         storage of toxic construction and operations
    In the area of Prince William Sound, oil and         materials, and meeting requirements for cleanup
gas transportation, and human habitation and             of all toxic materials as part of construction and
development could affect both the quantity and           normal operations, cumulative impacts on
quality of groundwater. The quantity of                  groundwater quality would be minimized.
groundwater could be reduced because water
would be used for activities such as industrial               Under the less-than-30-year renewal
requirements, road construction and dust                 alternative, cumulative impacts would be the
control, building construction, and human                same as the cumulative impacts under the
consumption and development. Water in the                proposed action but of shorter duration.
Valdez area is supplied by four primary                  Cumulative impacts on groundwater could be
groundwater wells (Vacation Alaska 1999).                large and local; however, the contribution of
Water is stored in two 750,000-gal reservoirs            routine TAPS operations to these impacts would
before it is piped throughout Valdez. If                 be small in magnitude. Impacts to groundwater
foreseeable project water needs were met by              could be large in the case of a large, but very
using groundwater from these wells or other new          unlikely oil spill. If at the end of this period a
wells, the impacts on the groundwater system             further request for renewal was granted,
                                                      4.7-53    ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES



cumulative impacts would continue as stated for            Once removal activities were completed,
the proposed action. If a further request for              impacts would be produced by other non-TAPS-
renewal was not granted, cumulative impacts                related projects. Because groundwater is the
would continue as stated for no action, below.             primary source of water in the area, impacts to
                                                           the resource could be large. Impacts to
      Under the no-action alternative, the Federal         groundwater resources could be minimized, to
Grant of ROW would not be renewed, and oil                 the extent possible, by following good
would no longer flow through the pipeline to the           engineering practices and provisions in
Valdez Marine Terminal. Oil production on the              appropriate Alaska discharge permits.
North Slope would cease, and there would be no
exploratory drilling for oil. However, it is                    In summary, cumulative impacts on
assumed gas production on the North Slope                  groundwater would be small and local. These
would continue, as would exploratory drilling for          impacts would be related to oil and gas
gas. Because oil production and exploratory                exploration, development, and production, and
drilling for oil would cease, water use on the             by other industry and community withdrawals. In
North Slope would be greatly reduced. Because              the event of an unlikely or very unlikely large
this water is normally supplied from surface               spill, groundwater could also be affected if
water resources, there would be no effect on the           contamination was allowed to reach the
groundwater resources. However, groundwater                groundwater. Continued operation of the TAPS
quality could still be impacted by such activities         would be a small contributor to the cumulative
as exploratory drilling for gas (e.g., brine               impacts on groundwater resources. No
disposal), discharges from septic fields, and              synergistic effects were found.
spills. With the curtailment of oil field drilling,
impacts from normal operations to groundwater
quality would be greatly reduced. Although the                  4.7.6.6 Physical Marine
impacts of spills could still be high, the                              Environment
occurrence of spills would be reduced with the
curtailment of oil production and exploratory                   Potential cumulative impacts to the physical
drilling for oil.                                          marine environment associated with the TAPS
                                                           would include those from tankers traveling from
     In Interior Alaska, cumulative impacts along          the Valdez Marine Terminal through Prince
the TAPS ROW would be increased during                     William Sound to the Hinchinbrook Entrance and
removal of the oil pipeline and associated                 on to the Gulf of Alaska, Pacific Ocean, and
structures and construction of a natural gas               receiving ports. These transits would create
pipeline. These impacts include water use and              noise and involve the risks of petroleum spills or
modification of the existing water quality.                other accidents. Other actions that would be
Impacts from TAPS removal would be less than               cumulative with the impacts from tanker traffic
those from construction of a new natural gas               are commercial fishing, recreational
pipeline. Because construction and removal                 fishing/sightseeing, commercial
impacts would only occur for a short time, the             sightseeing/tours, and other commercial cargo
cumulative impacts along the TAPS ROW would                operations in Port Valdez, Prince William Sound,
be extensive in area (occurring along a                    and other ports. With the exception of the risks
substantial portion of the 800-mi length of the            from larger oil spills, these cumulative impacts
pipeline) and temporary. Once the TAPS                     on the physical marine environment would be
pipeline was removed, impacts from any TAPS-               small and short-lived. Small spills from all
related spills would no longer be possible, and            vessels are rapidly responded to and cleaned up
impacts to groundwater quality would be limited            by the spill response infrastructure supporting
to those produced by other non-TAPS-related                the oil transportation industry. However, a vessel
projects.                                                  could sink in deep water and release oil over a
                                                           longer time period.
     In the Prince William Sound area, impacts to
groundwater quantity and quality would be                      Section 4.7.4.10.5 discusses potential spills
initially high as TAPS facilities were removed;            and accidents that could impact Port Valdez and
these impacts would be temporary, however.                 Prince William Sound, Gulf of Alaska, and
ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES                             4.7-54



Pacific Ocean coastal areas, including Oregon               model, response times could be longer, and the
and California. The GNOME computer program                  released oil could travel more rapidly, so a much
(NOAA 2000) was used to estimate the spread                 larger area would be impacted by the potential
of oil from the various release points identified in        oil spills than the area estimated here.
Table 4.7-4 GNOME uses location files to
specify local conditions; this analysis used the                 Prevailing winds in Port Valdez and Prince
Prince William Sound location file compiled by              William Sound are generally from the northeast,
NOAA (2002). The Prince William Sound                       with speeds up to 15 knots. The other prevalent
location file includes the effects of five current          wind direction in Port Valdez is from the
patterns to simulate the circulation and tides in           southwest at about 12 knots (TAPS Owners
Prince William Sound and Port Valdez. NOAA                  2001a). Both of these prevailing winds were
(2002) states:                                              used in the model runs to estimate the impacts
                                                            of the various spill scenarios. Because specific
         “The tides at Hinchinbrook Strait,                 locations for these spills were not known, a
    Port Wells, Montague Strait, and Valdez                 number of locations from Port Valdez to the
    Arm are each simulated with separate                    Hinchinbrook Entrance were evaluated. In
    current patterns. The tidal circulation of              addition to the effects of wind variability, the
    Latouche Passage, Elrington Passage                     differences in currents at different times of the
    and Prince of Wales Passage are all                     day were also incorporated into the calculations.
    simulated with two current patterns: (1) a
    modified portion of the Montague Strait                      For all the release scenarios modeled, the
    current pattern and (2) a background                    oil slick moved out from the release point and
    current pattern. The background current                 expanded radially, except the expansion was
    pattern models the net surface currents                 larger in the direction of the prevailing winds and
    through each of these passages:                         currents. The general direction of the oil
    Latouche Passage (−0.3 knots);                          movement depended on the wind direction.
    Elrington Passage (0.3 knots); and
    Prince of Wales Passage (−0.9 knots).                        The best estimate of the shape of the area in
    The tidal current pattern for Montague                  which 99% of the oil would be in the water within
    Strait was extended to each of these                    6 hours after the release is that it would be an
    passages with relative amplitudes that                  almost-circular ellipse, if the spill could not reach
    approximate the residual tides. Since                   the shoreline. This area would extend about
    the phase differences between these                     4-1/2 mi in diameter from the release point. The
    areas were on the order of an hour, this                general shape of this estimated area would be
    approximation was considered                            different for different release points, since it
    acceptable.”                                            would be influenced by winds and currents in the
                                                            spill location.
     The spill scenarios assume that a volume of
North Slope crude oil ranging from 50,000 to                    The GNOME program also has the
290,000 bbl would be released instantaneously               capability to evaluate the relative uncertainties of
at various locations in Port Valdez, the Valdez             various parameters used in the model
Narrows, and Prince William Sound, and that it              projections. These calculations are implemented
would spread for 6 hours before response and                by using a “minimum regret” approach (see
containment. This is the range of oil spill                 Section 4.4.4.5.2). The estimated areas that
volumes that would be expected to be released               would contain the oil spill plume after 6 hours
from a tanker accident (see Table 4.7-4). The               would be ellipses about 10 mi in diameter,
actual response time might be significantly                 approximately centered on the release point, in
different (either higher or lower) from the                 an almost circular shape.
assumed 6-hour value, depending on weather
                                                                Spills starting at locations near the center of
conditions, the location of the spill, and other
                                                            Prince William Sound would not reach the
factors. If the spills occurred under extreme
                                                            shoreline within the assumed 6-hour response
weather conditions in which the winds and
                                                            time; spills starting at locations within 5 mi of the
currents were different from those used in the
                                                            shore could potentially reach the shoreline within
                                                      4.7-55    ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES



the 6-hour assumed time limit. Potential oil spill         Sound away from the release point or oiled
locations within Port Valdez and the Valdez                shoreline; these impacts on seawater hydro-
Narrows would release oil over large portions of           carbon concentrations would also be small and
the shoreline, up to 10 mi (5 mi on each side of           localized. As noted in Section 3.11.3, significant
Port Valdez or the narrows) in the assumed                 hydrocarbon background concentrations already
6-hour response window. Potential oil spill                exist in Port Valdez waters. Low concentrations
locations near the Hinchinbrook Entrance would             resulting from long-term releases from an oiled
also release oil over large amounts of shoreline,          shoreline would not be distinguishable from
up to 6 mi or more, depending on prevailing wind           background concentrations at any locations
directions at the time of the spill.                       except the areas very near the source location.

    All spills within the range of spill volumes               Mitigation for spills occurring during tanker
evaluated would behave in a similar manner,                transit from Port Valdez and in Prince William
and the oil would be transported over                      Sound would include (1) minimizing the time for
comparable distances. The only difference                  response and the time required to contain a
would be in the concentration of oil within the            release, (2) deploying containment systems
plume.                                                     quickly, and (3) starting removal actions before
                                                           weather or other adverse conditions could make
     It is assumed that at the 6-hour point, the           containment difficult.
spill would be contained, and further spreading
of the oil would stop. However, it is possible that              Oil spilled in the Gulf of Alaska, Pacific
some oil would escape the initial containment              Ocean, or mainland coastal areas would be
and could impact other areas in Port Valdez and            transported away from the spill site by prevailing
Prince William Sound. The impacts outside the              winds and currents. The drifting oil would form a
containment area would be small and localized.             water-in-oil emulsion (mousse) that breaks into
Within the containment area, the impacts would             bands and stringers and could reach areas
be significant.                                            hundreds of miles away from the spill site.
                                                           Where shore is reached, impacts would be
     It is assumed that once the oil was                   similar to those for the proposed action. For oil
contained, removal actions would begin. As                 remaining in the water column, the concentration
noted in Section 4.4.4.5.4, North Slope crude oil          of hydrocarbons in the water column would be
does not significantly dissolve into the water             high, hundreds of parts per million, during the
column during the first 24 hours after a spill;            first several days following the spill. Over some
however, some dissolution does take place.                 period of time, perhaps as long as several
Dissolved constituents resulting from the spill            months in heavily oiled areas, the concentration
could have minor local impacts, but dilution               of hydrocarbons in the water would decrease to
effects would limit the impacts away from the              background levels. This decrease would result
spill areas. As noted in Section 3.9.3 on affected         from a number of processes, including
marine environment, the waters of Port Valdez              evaporation of the volatile components,
and Prince William Sound are well-mixed and                dispersion through horizontal and vertical
would dilute dissolved constituents from the spill.        mixing, weathering, biodegradation, deposition
                                                           along shorelines and in seafloor sediments, and
     Releases near the shore would heavily oil             photolysis (MMS 2002).
the shoreline, and the waters immediately
around the area would also be affected. The                     Under the less-than-30-year renewal
oiled shoreline could also continue to affect the          alternative, the consequences from oil spills
waters of Port Valdez and Prince William Sound             would be the same as those discussed for oil
in the immediate area of the spill for a long time         spills under the proposed action. However, the
after the initial release. However, because of             overall probability of a spill (which is the product
dilution and the existing hydrocarbon                      of the spill frequency multiplied by the number of
background concentrations, changes in                      years) will be lower with the less-than-30-year
seawater hydrocarbon concentrations would be               renewal period.
minimal and localized. Impacts could also occur
in other areas of Port Valdez and Prince William
ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES                             4.7-56



     Under the no-action alternative, oil                   addition, available ambient air quality monitoring
shipments from the TAPS would cease, and                    data in the vicinity of the TAPS ROW indicate
there would be no risk of an oil spill from a               that cumulative air quality impacts from the
TAPS-related tanker. However, risks from an oil             TAPS and other existing industrial facilities as
spill from other marine traffic would remain. If the        well as from other human activities would not
spill emergency response infrastructure was not             result in ambient air quality exceeding applicable
maintained, the environmental effects of fuel or            ambient air quality standards (Table 3.13-10).
oil spilled by non-TAPS-related vessels could be            Potential impacts on air quality (and AQRVs)
larger than those under the proposed action.                from termination activities under the no-action
                                                            alternative are estimated to be less than those
                                                            under the proposed action (Section 4.6.2.9).
    4.7.6.7 Air Quality
                                                                 Twelve TAPS facilities are located along the
    Reasonably foreseeable actions that might               800 mi of the TAPS ROW. They include
impact air quality and air quality-related valves           11 pump stations (4 are currently in ramp-down
(AQRVs), such as visibility and acid deposition,            mode) and the Valdez Marine Terminal.
include exploration, development, production,               Therefore, it is likely that many locations of
storage, refining, and transportation of oil and            reasonably foreseeable actions would be
gas; human habitation and development; land                 spatially separated from the TAPS facilities by
management activities; and natural resource                 considerable distances. In these cases, there
uses. Specific factors inherent to these actions            would be little long-term cumulative impacts due
impacting air quality and AQRVs include                     to the potential long-term emissions from
emissions from (1) the operation of facilities and          reasonably foreseeable actions in combination
equipment (exhaust emissions from fuel-burning              with the proposed action. In cases where
equipment and fugitive emissions of dust and                reasonably foreseeable actions would be located
VOCs); (2) construction activities (exhaust                 close to TAPS facilities, there could be
emissions from heavy equipment and vehicles                 observable cumulative impacts. However, all
and fugitive emissions of dust from land                    new or modified industrial facilities that would
disturbance); (3) accidental spills of crude oil,           have a significant amount of new emissions or
petroleum products, and hazardous chemicals                 emission increases (major new source or
(evaporative emissions); and (4) transportation             modification) would have to comply with the
activities (exhaust and road dust emissions from            Prevention of Significant Deterioration of Air
vehicles).                                                  Quality regulations (18 AAC 50.020), which limit
                                                            the maximum allowable incremental increases in
     Emissions associated with the operation of             ambient concentrations above established
industrial facilities and equipment are usually             baseline levels (Table 3.13-8). Therefore, any
continuous and long-term, while those                       potential long-term cumulative air quality
associated with construction activities or spills           impacts due to reasonably foreseeable actions
are usually intermittent and short-term.                    in combination with various activities under the
Emissions from transportation activities can be             proposed action would be limited and would not
either short-term or long-term, depending on                result in deterioration that would exceed
whether they are associated with facility                   applicable ambient air quality standards.
construction or operational activities. Potential
impacts on air quality (and AQRVs) from                          It is also likely that many locations of
operational, construction, and transportation               construction activities or spills associated with
activities and those from accidental spills under           the reasonably foreseeable actions would be
the proposed action are described in                        separated spatially from the TAPS facilities or
Sections 4.3.9 and 4.4.4.6, respectively. Results           temporally from the TAPS-related construction
of air quality impact modeling of emissions from            activities or spills under the proposed action, or
TAPS facilities, including pump stations and the            from termination activities under the no-action
Valdez Marine Terminal, show that ambient air               alternative. In these cases, there would be little
quality in the vicinity of the TAPS ROW would               or no short-term cumulative impacts due to the
remain in compliance with applicable ambient air            potential emissions from construction activities
quality standards under the proposed action. In
                                                      4.7-57       ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES



or spills associated with the reasonably                     transit, and during unloading at the destination
foreseeable actions in combination with the                  ports. These emissions would consist primarily
proposed action or the no-action alternative. In             of nitrogen oxides, sulfur dioxide, and particulate
cases where construction activities or spills                matter. Emissions of volatile organic compounds
associated with the reasonably foreseeable                   would also occur during tanker loading and
actions would be located close to TAPS facilities            unloading operations. Emissions of nitrogen
or occur simultaneously and in close proximity to            oxides and volatile organic compounds would be
TAPS-related construction or termination                     of concern in ports located within ozone
activities, there could be observable cumulative             nonattainment areas because of their potential to
impacts. However, the potential air quality                  contribute to tropospheric ozone levels. In these
impacts of emissions from these construction                 areas, local regulations commonly require the
activities or spills would be short-term and                 use of vapor balance systems to reduce volatile
localized to the immediate vicinity of                       organic compound emissions substantially. For
construction or spill sites. Mitigation measures,            any particular port, the emissions would be
such as watering to control fugitive dust at                 intermittent, and nitrogen dioxide, sulfur dioxide,
construction sites and containment and recovery              and particulate matter concentrations would be
of spilled materials by spill response teams,                within ambient air quality standards. Impacts
would minimize the potential impacts on ambient              from emissions during transit would be very
air quality. Thus, any potential short-term                  small because emissions would be dispersed
cumulative air quality impacts due to                        over a large area.
construction activities or spills associated with
the reasonably foreseeable actions in                             In summary, little or no potential long-term
combination with the proposed action or the                  and short-term impacts on air quality (and
no-action alternative would be limited and would             AQRVs), including synergistic effects, are
not result in deterioration that would cause                 estimated to result from reasonably foreseeable
ambient air quality to exceed applicable                     actions in combination with the proposed action
standards.                                                   or the no-action alternative. Such impacts would
                                                             not result in deterioration of air quality that would
     Transportation of personnel, equipment,                 cause ambient air quality to exceed applicable
materials, and supplies for construction activities          standards.
associated with reasonably foreseeable actions,
such as the natural gas pipeline, would result in
increased traffic volumes on the roadways near                   4.7.6.8 Noise
the TAPS. Potential increases in traffic volume
along Dalton Highway due to the natural gas                        The construction and operation of industrial
pipeline construction and operation would be                 facilities and equipment, transportation, and
expected to be small (see Section 4.7.6.9).                  mining can produce annoying or harmful levels
Existing traffic volumes on these highways are               of noise. Potential noise impacts due to
also low.3 Thus, it is estimated that potential              operational and construction activities under the
cumulative air quality impacts due to the                    proposed action are described in Section 4.3.10.
emissions from small increases in traffic                    It is estimated that there would be no adverse
volumes in combination with the proposed                     noise impacts beyond TAPS facility site
action, less-than-30-year alternative, or the                boundaries from the noise emitted during TAPS
no-action alternative would be limited and would             facility operations. Potential noise impacts due to
not result in deterioration of ambient air quality           any construction activities under the proposed
along these highways that would cause ambient                action or termination activities under the
air quality to exceed applicable standards.                  no-action alternative would also be limited to
                                                             within the TAPS facility site boundaries or the
    The transportation of crude oil to market by             immediate vicinity of construction sites.
tankers would result in air emissions from the               Therefore, any cumulative noise impacts due to
tankers’ engines during loading operations,                  noise emitted from the reasonably foreseeable

____________________________
3   Annual average daily traffic volumes along Dalton Highway range from about 200 to 300 vehicles per day,
    and those along the Alaska Highway range from about 400 to 3,000 vehicles per day. These values can be
    compared with tends of thousands to more than 100,000 vehicles per day for a busy urban highway.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES                           4.7-58



actions, in combination with noise emitted from           material, goods, and services for the natural gas
TAPS operational or construction activities under         pipeline construction might temporarily increase
the proposed action or termination activities             use on the roadways.) It is expected that any
under the no-action alternative, would be limited         natural gas pipeline would follow existing
to within the facility site boundaries or the             roadways to facilitate construction and
immediate vicinity of construction sites.                 maintenance. The most noticeable impacts
                                                          would occur in the immediate vicinity of the
                                                          current focus of construction along the affected
    4.7.6.9 Transportation                                highways as a result of the entry and exit of
                                                          workers and construction equipment. However,
     The transportation network currently plays a         proper staging of equipment and gas pipeline
key role in North Slope oil and gas exploration,          components along the affected highways would
development, and production. One major route              minimize delays along the routes associated
by which equipment, materials, and supplies               with deliveries to the current construction site.
enter Alaska is via the rail marine service
between Seattle and Whittier. From Whittier, the               In general, any impacts to travel along the
cargo is shipped by rail to Fairbanks. The cargo          affected highways would be expected to be
is then shipped by truck from Fairbanks via               small and additive because daily traffic volumes
Dalton Highway to the North Slope for use. The            are relatively low. Annual average daily traffic
Deadhorse Airport also plays an important role            volumes along Dalton Highway range from about
in North Slope operations as a terminus for               200 to 300 vehicles per day. Traffic volumes
personnel and some cargo.                                 along the major highways south of Fairbanks
                                                          vary significantly and fall into the range of
     Aside from the existing road network, some           approximately 300 to 2,000 vehicles per day
roads and workpads need to be constructed on              away from the larger communities such as
the North Slope for oil and gas exploration. Ice          Anchorage, Delta Junction, Fairbanks,
roads and pads are employed when possible to              Glennallen, and Valdez (ADTPF 2001; Richards
reduce impacts to water, soil, and vegetation. Oil        2002). Commercial truck traffic constitutes
and gas exploration and development on the                approximately 10% to 40% of these volumes.
North Slope is an ongoing process in which a              Traffic in mid-summer is close to double the
relatively constant number of contractors move            annual averages in some locations. Because of
from area to area to locate more producing well           these relatively low traffic volumes, additional
fields. Over time, the number of production wells         traffic from natural gas pipeline construction
does not change significantly because older well          would not be expected to cause significant
fields eventually become uneconomical. The                impacts, such as traffic delays.
older wells are taken off-line, while new
producing wells are brought on-line as a result of             Under the less-than-30-year renewal
the exploration and development. Thus, North              alternative, the impacts discussed above for the
Slope activities would not be expected to change          proposed action also would apply. However,
significantly in the foreseeable future, and the          should the TAPS ROW renewal not be granted,
associated demands on the area’s transportation           a number of changes might occur. Without the
infrastructure from oil and gas exploration,              pipeline, an alternative means of transporting oil
development, and production could be readily              from the North Slope to the refineries and Prince
accommodated.                                             William Sound would need to be identified.
                                                          Should further transportation of oil from the
     The construction of a natural gas pipeline           North Slope prove to be infeasible, railroad
might impact the transportation corridor that is          transport of petroleum products from the North
also used by the TAPS. The existing                       Pole refinery to Anchorage would cease,
transportation network is expected to be capable          resulting in approximately a one-third cut in the
of transporting personnel, equipment, materials,          railroad’s annual revenue. A decrease or
and supplies for natural gas pipeline                     cessation of oil exploration and production on
construction. This infrastructure has been                the North Slope would also decrease the need
incrementally upgraded over the years since the           for rail shipments of materials and supplies to
construction of the TAPS. (Transportation of
                                                   4.7-59    ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES



Fairbanks and subsequent shipment by truck up           discussion of these actions and their impacts,
the Dalton Highway. In addition, personnel and          see Appendix C.
supply transport into the Deadhorse Airport
would also decrease.
                                                            4.7.6.10.1 Waste Impacts
                                                        Associated with Oil Exploration,
    4.7.6.10 Wastes                                     Development, and Production. Impacts
                                                        associated with oil exploration, development,
     Waste impacts would result from many of            and production on the North Slope result from
the past, present, and reasonably foreseeable           the management and disposal of production
activities that contribute to the cumulative            waters, domestic and sanitary wastewaters,
impact. In most instances, the majority of waste        other wastes from North Slope operations
impacts from those activities would result from         (e.g., wastes containing naturally occurring
human habitation or presence (i.e., the                 radioactive materials, commonly called NORM
generation of domestic solid wastes and                 wastes) and solid wastes.
domestic and sanitary wastewaters). With the
exception of North Slope activities, human                   Production water recovered from each
habitation related to these cumulative actions          wellhead is either reinjected into the production
(i.e., the workforce engaged in those actions)          well from which it was removed or injected into
would likely occur at or near population centers        any of the underground injection wells located
or established communities. It is therefore             throughout the North Slope. More than 20 such
assumed that solid wastes and domestic and              Class II underground injection wells are in
sanitary wastewaters attributable to that               operation on the North Slope. Thus, water is
workforce would be managed in existing                  returned to the geologic formation from which it
municipal treatment or disposal facilities. It is       originated or into a formation of similar depth
further assumed that the (1) relative sizes of the      and characteristics. Other industrial
workforces engaged in most cumulative actions           wastewaters, such as drilling muds, well
would be small relative to the sizes of the             development solutions, snow meltwater removed
communities in which they would reside or work          from impoundment structures, and
and (2) cumulative actions would thus have only         nonhazardous industrial wastewaters associated
small incremental and additive impacts on               with activities at the central processing facility,
existing waste management systems.                      are also routinely disposed of through deep well
Consequently, those waste impacts were not              injection. TAPS operations do not have any
analyzed further, and no discussion is included         impacts on any of the formations that receive
here. Such assumptions are only partially correct       production water or well development wastes
for the North Slope, however, thus waste                that are disposed of through deep well injection.
impacts from the presence of a workforce in the
North Slope are discussed in this analysis.                  Some wastes associated with oil exploration
Among the potential cumulative actions                  and production on the North Slope exhibit
identified in Table 4.7-2, three ongoing actions        hazardous waste characteristics. These wastes
have substantial waste impacts: North Slope oil         are transported to out-of-state permitted
exploration, development, and production                treatment storage and disposal facilities
(including maintaining the North Slope                  (TSDFs). Hazardous wastes associated with
workforce); oil refining at three of the four           TAPS operations are also delivered to out-of-
operating refineries in Alaska; and tanker              state TSDFs. Thus, there might be some
loading activities at the Valdez Marine Terminal.       cumulative impacts at those out-of-state TSDFs
One proposed action, the construction of a              that receive hazardous waste from both TAPS
natural gas pipeline, could also have substantial       and North Slope operators. However, these
waste impacts.                                          impacts are governed by the permit limitations
                                                        under which such facilities operate.
    The potential cumulative actions for each of
the ongoing actions identified above are                   Domestic and sanitary wastewaters
discussed briefly below. For a more detailed            associated with North Slope operations are
                                                        managed by (1) biological treatment followed by
ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES                          4.7-60



discharge of treated effluents to area lakes or the      Combustible solid wastes delivered to the
Beaufort Sea or (2) injection into Class II              Oxbow landfill are incinerated there before land
underground injection wells located on the North         disposal. Similarly, solid wastes from TAPS
Slope. Domestic and sanitary wastewaters from            operations at PS 1 are also delivered to the
PS 1 are managed by stack injection. However,            Oxbow Landfill. TAPS solid waste that is
currently the TAPS PS 1 workforce lives in North         combustible is incinerated at PS 1, and the ash
Slope dormitories maintained by the North Slope          is delivered to the Oxbow Landfill. Thus, impacts
companies; therefore, the domestic and sanitary          to the environment from the operation of the
wastewater resulting from TAPS workforce                 Oxbow Landfill are cumulative, resulting from the
residents is combined with similar wastewater            management of wastes from both North Slope
from the North Slope workforce. Thus, TAPS and           operations and TAPS operations. However,
North Slope operations have a cumulative                 TAPS solid waste volumes are estimated to be
impact on the area lakes and the Beaufort Sea            only a minor portion of all the wastes delivered to
and on underground formations as a result of the         Oxbow.
discharge of treated sanitary wastewater. These
impacts are, however, limited by the conditions               Under the no-action alternative, oil
of the NPDES and Class II injection well permits,        exploration, development, and production would
respectively, under which discharges to surface          cease, pending development of another
water or underground injection occur.                    transportation means. Consequently, there
                                                         would be a dramatic decrease in the North Slope
     Other waste associated with North Slope             oil company workforce and a proportional
operations includes retired well production and          decrease in wastes associated with the support
oil handling equipment that is contaminated with         of that workforce (e.g., domestic solid waste,
scale that may contain NORM precipitates that            domestic and sanitary wastewaters). Maintaining
were present in production waters. This NORM             oil production facilities until an alternative oil
waste is generated by all North Slope drillers to        transportation option is established would result
varying degrees that depend on the                       in small amounts of maintenance-related
characteristics of the formations from which oil         wastes; a small fraction of which might be
and water are being recovered. However, all              hazardous waste. However, no production water,
such waste is centrally managed at the Mukluk            industrial wastewaters, or other wastes
Storage Yard and then transported to                     associated with oil exploration and production
commercial firms in Louisiana for treatment.             (e.g., retired well production and oil handling
Surveys conducted by those responsible for the           equipment) would be generated.
Mukluk Yard have demonstrated that NORM
contamination of surrounding soils has not
occurred during storage. Thus, impacts                        4.7.6.10.2 Waste Impacts
associated with NORM generation and                      Associated with Oil Refining
management do not occur at the North Slope.              Operations. Petroleum refining is the
Because acceptance criteria for oil delivered to         physical, thermal, and chemical separation of
PS 1 limit the amount of water allowed and thus          crude oil into its major distillation fractions,
the accumulation of contaminated scales, TAPS            which are then processed through a series of
operations do not contribute to the generation of        separation and conversion steps into finished
NORM wastes.                                             petroleum products. Currently, four petroleum
                                                         refineries operate in Alaska: Petro Star Refinery
    Finally, solid wastes are generated in               on the Kenai peninsula, Petro Star Valdez
association with North Slope activities. While           Refinery, Petro Star North Pole Refinery, and
some nonhazardous solid industrial waste is              Williams Alaska Petroleum Co. North Pole
generated, the majority of solid waste is                Refinery (formerly the MAPCO Refinery). Only
nonhazardous solid domestic waste from                   the last three receive crude oil from the TAPS.
activities that support the workforce. All               Consequently, for the purposes of this EIS, only
nonhazardous solid domestic and industrial               activities at the three refineries in North Pole and
wastes from North Slope operations are                   Valdez are considered to be within the area of
delivered to the Oxbow Landfill for disposal.            interest and to result in cumulative impacts.
                                                    4.7-61    ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES



     The nature and volumes of wastes                         Hazardous wastes, including oily wastes
generated at refineries are functions of the             that may contain hazardous constituents
quality and throughput of the raw materials              (e.g., benzene), are generated during refinery
(crude oil) as well as the products being                operations. In addition, certain EPA-listed
generated. The petroleum refining industry uses          wastes are associated with oil refinery
relatively large volumes of water. Four types of         processes, including slop oil emulsion solids
wastewater are produced: surface water runoff            (EPA Hazardous Waste No. K049), dissolved air
(precipitation draining from industrialized land         flotation floats (EPA Hazardous Waste No.
areas), cooling water, process water, and                K048), and heat exchanger bundle sludge (EPA
domestic/sanitary wastewaters. Federal                   Hazardous Waste No. K050). As discussed
regulations governing the discharge of storm             above, all hazardous wastes generated in
water from industrial areas require the capture          Alaska are transported to out-of-state TSDFs for
and treatment of storm water at all petroleum            ultimate treatment and disposal. For example,
refineries, including the removal of a large             Williams North Pole Refinery is a large-quantity
fraction of both conventional pollutants                 generator of RCRA hazardous wastes. In 1997,
(e.g., suspended solids and constituents that            Williams North Pole Refinery generated
contribute to the water’s biological oxygen              17.6 tons of hazardous waste, all of which was
demand) and toxic pollutants (e.g., certain              shipped off site to out-of-state TSDFs
metals and organic compounds).                           (EPA 2002b). There could be some cumulative
                                                         impacts at out-of-state TSDFs that receive
     Most cooling water is recycled. Any                 hazardous wastes from both TAPS operations
discharge of cooling water, even though it does          and from oil refining operations. However, permit
not come into direct contact with the oil, is            conditions would limit the extent of those
treated to remove any oil residues that might            impacts to acceptable levels.
have resulted from leaks and to remove any
chemicals that were added to the cooling water                Solid, nonhazardous wastes are also
(e.g., descalers). Process waters require primary        generated during refinery operations. (They
and secondary wastewater treatment. Primary              include packing materials and nonhazardous
wastewater treatment is the separation of oil,           sludge). These can be disposed of in on-site
water, and solids. After primary treatment,              landfills; disposed of in off-site, local solid waste
wastewater can be discharged to a publicly               landfills; or shipped out of state to appropriately
owned treatment works (POTW) or undergo                  permitted landfills. If local disposal is selected,
secondary treatment before being discharged              there may be a cumulative impact to the area
directly to surface waters under an appropriate          sanitary landfills also being used by the TAPS.
NPDES permit. For example, Williams North                However, these landfills also serve their
Pole Refinery holds an NPDES permit, issued by           respective communities and the percentages of
EPA Region 10, for the discharge of treated              input to the landfills from either the TAPS or any
wastewater into a former gravel pit located on           of the refineries are expected to be small. Some
the Williams property. In addition, treated              outputs, such as sulfur, acetic acid, phosphoric
process wastewater is discharged to the City of          acid, and recovered metals, are sold as
North Pole’s municipal sewage treatment plant            by-products and transported off site.
(EPA 2002b). Domestic/sanitary wastewaters
and industrial wastewaters (including process                 Under the no-action alternative, although
waters and cooling waters) from the oil refining         there are other sources of Alaska crude oil that
operations are not discharged to the same                could be processed at these oil refineries,
watercourses or publicly owned treatment                 transportation via other transportation modes
facilities as TAPS wastewaters. Surface water            (e.g., truck) would be costly, and it is assumed
runoff discharged from the North Pole Refinery           oil refinery production would dramatically decline
may impact the same watercourses as storm                at the three refineries that rely on TAPS oil as
waters discharged from the TAPS North Pole               their primary feedstocks. There would be a
metering station and from segments of the ROW            comparative decline in oil refining wastes
in the immediate vicinity.                               (including waste related to workforce support).
ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES                            4.7-62



     4.7.6.10.3 Waste Impacts                              domestic and sanitary wastewaters generated by
Associated with Tanker Operations at                       the tankers. These wastewaters are treated
the Valdez Marine Terminal. Wastes                         under existing US Coast Guard and ADEC
associated with oil tanker visits to the Valdez            regulations and discharged to the ocean. None
Marine Terminal include tanker ballast and bilge           of the tankers commingle domestic or sanitary
water and domestic solid wastes generated on               wastewaters with ballast waters or other TAPS
board (which could include some medical                    wastewater (Edwards 2002). Finally, wastes
wastes) during the ship’s voyage to the Valdez             generated during the vessel’s trip to Prince
Marine Terminal. Oil tankers berthing at the               William Sound as a result of maintenance or
Valdez Marine Terminal discharge their ballast             repair of on-board mechanical systems are not
and bilge waters to the Ballast Water Treatment            off-loaded at Valdez (Edwards 2002).
Facility (BWTF) at the Valdez Marine Terminal
for treatment before discharge to Prince William
Sound (e.g., removal of oil). Appendix C                       4.7.6.10.4 Waste Impacts
provides a detailed description of wastes                  Associated with Natural Gas Pipelines.
associated with TAPS operations. Section C.5               The construction and operation of the proposed
provides details regarding the operation of the            natural gas pipeline would generate wastes. In
BWTF.                                                      addition to the pipeline, the system would
                                                           include construction of a natural gas separation
     Conversion of the Valdez Marine Terminal              and treatment facility on the North Slope and
tanker fleet to comply with double-hull                    compressor stations along the pipeline route. If
requirements will dramatically reduce but not              natural gas was transported to Valdez, a gas
completely eliminate the volume of ballast water           liquefication facility and marine terminal might be
treated in the BWTF. It can be reliably assumed            located at Anderson Bay in Prince William
that the maximum reduction in ballast water                Sound. Waste impacts would be both short term
volumes will be realized by January 2015.                  (associated with initial construction) and long
However, a schedule for reductions in the interim          term (associated with subsequent operation).
period is difficult to predict, since many vessel          During construction, substantial amounts of
owners are reconfiguring their fleet or                    domestic solid waste and domestic and sanitary
purchasing new vessels on more aggressive                  wastewaters would be generated in support of
schedules than those required by the statute.              the construction workforce.
Regardless of their hull design, tankers visiting
the Valdez Marine Terminal will still have bilge                Wastes associated with operation of the
water that will require treatment before                   natural gas pipeline would include wastes
discharge. Under the no-action alternative, oil            resulting from the support of a workforce and
tanker visits to the Valdez Marine Terminal                wastes associated with pipeline maintenance.
would decline to zero, and no bilge water or               Although less complex in its design than the
ballast water would be treated at the BWTF.                TAPS, the natural gas pipeline would still require
                                                           maintenance, and related activities would also
     Domestic solid wastes generated on board              generate wastes, many of which would be
are managed as “international wastes” or                   similar to those resulting from maintenance of
“regulated wastes” and are treated as potentially          the TAPS. Because the natural gas pipeline
biohazardous. As a service to the berthing                 project is only at a preliminary conceptual
tankers, upon request, the Valdez Marine                   development stage, no additional details can be
Terminal accepts domestic solid wastes,                    provided regarding the amounts or types of
separately bags those wastes, and delivers them            operation wastes that would result or their
to a commercial firm for sterilization and ultimate        ultimate disposal.
disposal in a municipal landfill. Under the
no-action alternative, oil tanker visits would                  The LNG plant would generate industrial
decline to zero and the solid waste generated              wastewater related to plant operations as well as
from the tankers also would cease.                         domestic and sanitary wastewater from support
                                                           of the workforce. In addition, LNG tankers
     Valdez Marine Terminal personnel report               visiting the LNG plant could generate
that the Valdez Marine Terminal does not treat             bilge/ballast wastewaters that would have to be
                                                     4.7-63    ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES



treated and discharged under the auspices of                  4.7.6.11.1 Occupational Hazards.
appropriate NPDES permits. Prince William
Sound would then receive treated wastewaters                   Physical Hazards. Unintentional
from both the Valdez Marine Terminal and any              (including accidental) injuries are the fifth
new LNG plant.                                            leading cause of death in the United States,
                                                          primarily from motor vehicle crashes, falls,
     In addition, the LNG plant would generate            poisonings, and drownings (NSC 2001). While
solid waste that could be disposed of in the City         unintentional injuries, as a whole, are the third
of Valdez municipal landfill. This would be               leading cause of death in Alaska (43.4 per
cumulative to any solid waste generated at the            100,000 population), in 1998, Alaska had the
Valdez Marine Terminal and disposed of at the             second greatest decrease (−19%) in
municipal landfill. Under the no-action                   unintentional injury death rates to the general
alternative, solid wastes from the LNG plant              public (NSC 2001). A National Institute for
could continue to be disposed of at the municipal         Occupational Safety and Health study of death
landfill, even though Valdez Marine Terminal              certificate surveillance data collected for the
operations would have ceased. However, under              period 1980−1995 showed that Alaska was the
the no-action alternative, solid wastes generated         state with the highest overall occupational injury
during pipeline and Valdez Marine Terminal                fatality rate of 24.3 per 100,000 workers (Marsh
closure and dismantlement could also be                   and Layne 2001). While Alaska still has the
disposed of at the municipal landfill.                    highest worker death rate in the nation,
                                                          occupation-related fatalities have been
    Finally, the construction and operation of the        decreasing in recent years (20.5 to 13.4 during
LNG plant might cause increases in the                    1996−2000) (ADHSS 2002). Nationwide, the
populations of Valdez and other nearby                    highest average annual fatality rates during the
communities, together with increases in                   same period 1980−1995 were for workers in the
domestic solid wastes and domestic and                    mining industry (30.4) and for farmers/
sanitary wastewaters, the management of which             foresters/fishers (21.9) (Marsh and Layne 2001).
would represent cumulative impacts to those               However, the rates of traumatic occupational
already resulting from other activities, including        fatalities from 1980−1995 were much higher in
those associated with the Valdez Marine                   Alaska, with the highest rates in agriculture/
Terminal operational workforces. Under the                forestry/fishing (295.4 per 100,000 workers)
no-action alternative, these cumulative impacts           and in associated farming/forestry/fishing
would be less, since employment related to the            occupations (383.2 per 100,000 workers). Other
Valdez Marine Terminal would decline.                     hazardous industries in Alaska include
                                                          manufacturing and mining, which had 64.0 and
                                                          18.7 fatalities per 100,000 workers, respectively,
     4.7.6.11 Human Health and                            in 1983−1995 (Marsh and Layne 2001).
              Safety
                                                               The two industry divisions of transportation/
     Actions considered, which, together with the         communications/public utilities and construction,
proposed action, could have cumulative impacts            which were found to have occupational fatality
on human health and safety include oil and gas            rates of 39.0 and 31.5 per 100,000 workers,
exploration, development, and production on the           respectively, over the same period, are probably
North Slope; construction and operation of                the most inclusive of pipeline-related activities
natural gas pipelines; land management                    and many of the associated cumulative actions.
activities; human habitation and development;             (The total number of fatalities from incidents
and natural resource use. Possible cumulative             directly related to TAPS pipeline construction
impacts of these actions (in conjunction with the         and operations-related incidents are 31 and 9,
proposed action, the less-than-30-year renewal            respectively [APSC 2001i; Elleven 2002b].) It is
alternative, or the no-action alternative) to             apparent that the risk faced by workers, as
workers and the general public are considered in          defined by traumatic occupational fatality rates,
this section.                                             is already considerably elevated in Alaska,
                                                          particularly as a result of the water and air
ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES                             4.7-64



transport required for various hazardous                         Radiation Hazards. Another concern
occupations there (e.g., fishing, farming, logging,         with respect to occupational exposures is
mining, and manufacturing). With the exception              NORM. NORM may be deposited in oil
of workers involved in the proposed natural gas             production pipes and vessels as the temperature
pipeline, relatively small numbers of workers will          and pressure of oil and water brought to the
be involved in other cumulative actions (e.g., oil          surface decreases. When equipment is taken out
refining, oil and gas exploration, oil storage), and        of production, actions are taken to avoid hazards
their risks of injuries and fatalities from physical        from NORM exposure (BP Amoco Alaska 2001).
hazards are expected to be in line with the                 The equipment is surveyed for the presence of
historical rates, especially for the transportation/        NORM, and any pieces with contamination
communications/public utilities-related and                 greater than a minimal level (50 microroentgens
construction-related cumulative activities. The             per hour, µR/h) are segregated, labeled, sealed
use of best management practices for                        in plastic, and secured in a special storage area.
occupational health and safety compliance is                Such equipment is shipped off site for cleaning
recommended to reduce statewide fatality and                by a specifically licensed NORM contractor. With
injury incidence rates in all of these sectors in           such procedures in place, there is little potential
the future.                                                 for any NORM exposure from oil production
                                                            operations on the North Slope or during pipeline
     Of the actions considered (e.g., oil and gas           dismantlement. NORM is not an issue for the no-
exploration, development and production and oil             action alternative because it is assumed that oil
refining, storage, and transportation [see                  production would cease.
Section 4.7.4]), the natural gas pipeline could
employ the most workers during the construction                 Petroleum Spills. The cumulative
phase. Key components of the project would be               assessment of human health and safety impacts
construction of a large CO2 treatment plant, a              from environmental releases is limited to the
large-diameter pipeline, high-efficiency                    general public and does not include occupational
compressor stations, and a natural gas liquid               exposures for cleanup workers or employees at
(NGL) recovery plant. Multiple construction                 the plants or compression facilities. Protection of
projects would be spread out over 2 to 3 years.             these workers is regulated under the
At the peak of construction, the pipeline project           Occupational Health and Safety Act and is
could employ as many as 10,000 workers. After               beyond the scope of this assessment.
construction, the project could directly employ
600 permanent employees. Similar to the TAPS,
potential fatalities and injuries from a natural gas             4.7.6.11.2 Hazards to the Public.
pipeline would be expected on the basis of                  As stated above, cumulative impacts of concern
incidence rates in the construction and pipeline            with respect to public impacts include cumulative
industries, the number of full-time equivalents             air emissions and uptake of persistent,
(FTEs), and the number of years of construction             bioaccumulative, and toxic (PBT) substances
and operation. While such occupational hazards              from multiple sources into the food chain.
can be minimized when workers adhere to safety              Potential cumulative impacts in these categories
standards and use appropriate protective                    are discussed below both for normal operations
equipment, fatalities and injuries from on-the-job          and accidents and spills.
accidents can still occur. The use of best
management practices for occupational health                    Cumulative Impacts of Emissions
and safety compliance is recommended to                         to Air.
reduce statewide fatality and injury incidence
                                                                 Volatile Organic Compounds. Table 4.7-10
rates from all of the actions in combination (i.e.,
                                                            summarizes 1999 Alaska statewide emissions of
the proposed action, less-than-30-year renewal
                                                            chemicals to air as reported under EPA's Toxics
alternative, and the no-action alternative). The
                                                            Release Inventory (TRI) (EPA 2002). The TRI
rates of occupational fatalities and injuries are
                                                            contains information on releases of nearly
expected to be similar for all alternatives.
                                                            650 chemicals and chemical categories from
                                                            many industries, mainly manufacturing
                                                            (including petroleum refining), metal and coal
                                                  4.7-65           ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES



TABLE 4.7-10 Toxics Release Inventory Reportable Emissions for the State
of Alaska in 1999a

                                                 Cities Where
                              Total 1999          Emissions
   Chemical     Number of     Statewide            Occurred          Industry Sectors (in order of emissions
    Name         Sources    Emissions (tons)      (% of total)                amount contributed)

 1,2,4-            6              3.1          Anchorage (14),     Manufacturing (petroleum refining);
   Trimethyl-                                    Fairbanks (<1),    wholesale trade-petroleum products (bulk
   benzene                                       Kenai (67),        stations and terminals)
                                                 North Pole (18)
 Ammonia           3              684          Fairbanks (<1),     Mining-gold and silver ores; manufacturing-
                                                 Kenai (99)         petroleum refining and chemicals
 Antimony          1             0.008         Juneau              Mining-lead and zinc ores
  compounds
 Arsenic           1             0.25          Juneau              Mining-lead and zinc ores
  compounds
 Barium            2              172          Healy (>99),        Electric services (power plant); mining-lead
  compounds                                      Juneau (<1)         and zinc ores
 Benzene           7              13           Anchorage (4),      Wholesale trade-petroleum products (bulk
                                                 Kenai (68),         stations and terminals); manufacturing
                                                 North Pole (28)     (petroleum refining)
 Cadmium           2              1.5          Kivilina (95),      Mining-lead and zinc ores
  compounds                                      Kotzebue (5)
 Chromium          3             0.046         Fairbanks(30),      Mining-lead and zinc ores; manufacturing
  compounds                                      Juneau (1),        (chemicals)
                                                 Kotzebue (69)
 Cobalt            1             0.013         Kotzebue            Mining-lead and zinc ores
  compounds
 Copper            3             0.21          Fairbanks (<1),     Mining-lead and zinc ores
  compounds                                     Juneau (<1),
                                                Kotzebue (99)
 Cyclohexane       5              11           Anchorage (3),      Wholesale trade-petroleum products (bulk
                                                Kenai (80),          stations and terminals); manufacturing
                                                North Pole (17)      (petroleum refining)
 Ethylbenzene      6              3.7          Anchorage (4),      Wholesale trade-chemical and allied
                                                Fairbanks (1),       products; wholesale trade-petroleum
                                                Kenai (77),          products (bulk stations and terminals);
                                                North Pole (21)      manufacturing (petroleum refining)
 Ethylene          2             0.35          Anchorage (11),     Wholesale trade-petroleum products (bulk
  glycol                                        Kenai (89)           stations and terminals); manufacturing
                                                                     (chemicals)
 Formaldehyde      1             0.078         Kenai               Manufacturing (chemicals)
 Hydrochloric      1              20           Healy               Electric services (power plant)
  acid
 Hydrogen          1              1.8          Fairbanks           Mining-gold and silver ores
  cyanide
 Hydrogen          1              23           Healy               Electric services (power plant)
  fluoride
ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES                           4.7-66



TABLE 4.7-10 (Cont.)

                                                    Cities Where
                                Total 1999           Emissions
    Chemical      Number of     Statewide             Occurred          Industry Sectors (in order of emissions
     Name          Sources    Emissions (tons)       (% of total)                amount contributed)

  Lead                3               5          Juneau (<1),         Mining-lead and zinc ores
   compounds                                       Kivalina (2),
                                                   Kotzebue (84)
  Manganese           3              37          Juneau (<1),         Mining-lead and zinc ores; electric services
   compounds                                       Kotzebue (<1),      (power plant)
                                                   Healy (>99)
  Mercury             1             0.047        Healy                Electric services (power plant)
   compounds
  Methanol            2              248         Kenai (15),          Manufacturing (chemicals); mining-lead and
                                                   Kotzebue (85)       zinc ores
  n-Hexane            6              18          Anchorage (6),       Wholesale trade-petroleum products (bulk
                                                   North Pole (19),    stations and terminals)
                                                   Kenai (75)
  Nickel              3             0.026        Juneau (2),          Mining-lead and zinc ores, gold and silver
   compounds                                       Fairbanks (6),      ores
                                                   Kotzebue (92)
  Toluene             6              24          Anchorage (2),       Wholesale trade-petroleum products (bulk
                                                   Kenai (80),         stations and terminals), manufacturing-
                                                   North Pole (18)     petroleum refining
  Xylene (mixed       8              18          Anchorage (3),       Wholesale trade-petroleum products (bulk
   isomers)                                        Fairbanks (1),      stations and terminals), manufacturing-
                                                   Kenai (79),         petroleum refining
                                                   North Pole (17)
  Zinc                4              28          Fairbanks (<1),      Mining-gold and silver ores, lead and zinc
    compounds                                      Kivalina (11),      ores
                                                   Juneau (32),
                                                   Kotzebue (57)

a TAPS and North Slope producer facilities do not have to report their toxic pollutant emissions to the EPA Toxic
  Release Inventory (because of the SIC code exemption) and, as a result, they are explicitly excluded from the
  table.
Source: EPA (2002).



mining, electric utilities, and commercial                    benzene emissions in the United States (Ott and
hazardous waste treatment. Although the TRI                   Roberts 1998).
data are informative about emissions from many
sources, the emissions inventory is not                            Of the TRI-reported emitted chemicals listed
exhaustive because not all industrial emitters are            in Table 4.7-10, benzene, ethylbenzene,
required to report. For example, APSC has a                   formaldehyde, n-hexane, toluene, and xylene
standard industrial classification (SIC) of 4612              are also emitted from TAPS facility sources
(transportation  crude petroleum pipelines)                  (i.e., pump stations or the Valdez Marine
and is not required to report emissions. The                  Terminal, see Table 3.13-6). For each of these
North Slope oil producer facilities (SIC of 1311)             chemicals, emissions from TAPS facilities
are also not required to report emissions. For                (assuming maximum throughput) exceed those
perspective, note that industrial sources are                 from the TRI-reported sources, with the majority
estimated to contribute only about 14% of all                 of emissions from the Valdez Marine Terminal at
                                                     4.7-67    ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES



Valdez. The TRI-reported emissions are                    2002). Auto emissions would be expected to
generally quite distant from the Valdez Marine            increase over the renewal period as the state
Terminal and the pump stations and, with the              population and automobile transportation
exception of some emissions in Fairbanks and              increase (the annual increase in population is
North Pole, are mostly from petroleum refineries.         estimated to be 1.5%, resulting in a 60%
Note that for an unknown reason, emissions                population increase by 2034; see
from the Petro Star refinery at Valdez were not           Section 4.3.19.3.1). On the basis of the 1991
included in the reported TRI data. It is estimated        benzene concentrations, a cancer risk of about
that this refinery would emit about 0.65 ton/yr of        3 × 10-5 was estimated for residents of Valdez
benzene and 2 ton/yr of the other VOCs (in                from benzene inhalation from all sources
comparison with 43 tons/yr of benzene and                 (Section 4.3.13.2.2). As sources such as motor
69 tons/yr of the other VOCs from the Valdez              vehicle emissions increase over the next
Marine Terminal only and Ballast Water                    30 years, additional emission controls on mobile
Treatment Facility).                                      and/or point sources might be needed to
                                                          minimize increasing cancer risks under any of
     An assessment of potential health impacts            the alternatives.
from Valdez Marine Terminal air toxics
emissions was provided in Section 4.3.13.2.2. It               Criteria Pollutants. During construction of a
concluded that no adverse health impacts would            natural gas pipeline, the main type of emission of
be expected in association with inhalation of             concern during the 2- to 3-year construction
those emissions throughout the authorization              period would most likely be criteria pollutants
period. A tracer study also concluded that only           generated from excavation, heavy equipment
10% of the ambient VOC level in the city of               operation, and vehicles used for transporting
Valdez was attributable to Valdez Marine                  workers and raw materials. Unless residential
Terminal emissions. Some possible future                  areas were located in close proximity to the
projects in the regions of interest (e.g., new            pipeline or related facilities, adverse health
natural gas pipelines and perhaps a gas                   impacts due to limited-duration increases in
liquefication facility at Valdez, should a natural        criteria air pollutant levels from future
gas pipeline be routed there) could result in             construction actions in conjunction with the
additional VOC emissions, presumably with                 proposed action, the less-than-30-year renewal
maximum emissions similar to or less than those           alternative, or the no-action alternative would not
associated with TAPS facilities. Even with these          be expected.
facilities, there should be no adverse health
impacts from inhalation of VOCs from all the                   Because the population of Alaska is
industrial sources combined (under the                    expected to substantially increase during the
proposed action, less-than-30-year renewal                next 30 years (at an annual rate of about 1.5%),
alternative, and no-action alternative).                  traffic and vehicular emissions of criteria
                                                          pollutants would also be expected to increase.
     Another important source of some of the              This increase might be problematic in the
same VOCs that are emitted from TAPS facilities           Fairbanks/North Pole area, which is an air
is motor vehicle emissions. For example, in the           quality nonattainment area with respect to CO.
United States, automobile emissions are                   Inhalation of increased levels of CO could
estimated to account for approximately 82% of             aggravate cardiovascular conditions existing in
all the benzene emitted to the atmosphere                 the general population. Although change in
(although auto emissions contribute only 18% of           human habitation and development is an issue
total benzene exposures; cigarette smoking                considered in this cumulative impacts
contributes about 45% to exposures [Ott and               assessment, none of the TAPS emissions of CO
Roberts 1998]). The average benzene                       under the proposed action, the less-than-30-year
concentration in the city of Valdez in 1991 was           renewal alternative, or the no-action alternative
approximately 5 µg/m3 (Goldstein et al. 1992).            would cause a measurable increase in CO levels
This value is on the high side compared with the          in the Fairbanks nonattainment area (see
2001 values of ambient benzene in five major              Sections 4.3.9.1 and 4.6.2.9.1). Therefore,
U.S. cities, which ranged from 1 to 5 µg/m3 (EPA          although the CO levels might become more
ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES                        4.7-68



problematic as the population increased, such          Safety Act and is beyond the scope of this
an increase in CO levels does not constitute a         assessment.
cumulative impact with respect to the action
being considered.                                           Potential for Exposure to
                                                       Persistent, Bioaccumulative, and
    Air Emissions, Accidents, and                      Toxic Chemicals. An extensive discussion of
Spills. Under the proposed action and the              the sources and toxicity of PBT chemicals of
no action alternative, it was determined that the      concern is provided in Section 3.17. There is
potential for serious adverse health impacts           evidence that under certain circumstances there
exists from inhalation of contaminants emitted         may be interactions between chemicals in
from spills or fires for people who remain within      complex mixtures of PBTs. However, it is difficult
maximum impact distance areas (0.02, 0.4, and          to say whether a cumulative effect would be less
4 km; and 0.2 km, respectively). Numerous              than or greater than the combined individual
hazardous materials would be used and stored           effects because the health consequences of
in association with some of the actions                exposure to most chemicals have not been
considered in this cumulative impacts                  tested and effects vary according to specific
assessment, especially oil and gas exploration,        conditions. Thus, the overall effects are
development, and production; oil refining; and oil     considered to be additive. The PBT
and gas transportation. Human health and safety        contaminants include persistent organic
impacts from accidental releases of hazardous          pollutants (POPs) such as certain pesticides,
materials could result in exposures to                 PCBs, some PAHs, and the heavy metal
contaminated air, soils, groundwater, or food.         mercury. (Radionuclides are not listed as PBTs
However, the potential for additional cumulative       by the EPA but are also of some concern.)
adverse impacts from accidental releases is            These persistent contaminants generally
small for the following reasons. First, it is          originate outside of Alaska but are deposited
unlikely that accidental releases would occur at       there as a result of long-range transport. They
the same time and in close proximity to each           may persist longer in the Arctic environment than
other. Second, existing regulations require timely     in other locations because of the lower
cleanup of environmental media contaminated            temperatures. In the Arctic ecosystem, the PBTs
by spills, so that the possibility of prolonged        accumulate and are concentrated in the fat and
human exposure would be limited.                       organ meats of animals at upper levels of the
                                                       food chain. Traditional use of these animals as
     The potential for ingestion or dermal             part of the diet is a pathway of exposure to these
exposure of the general public to soils and            contaminants, especially for Alaska Natives.
groundwater contaminated due to spills of
hazardous materials is very low, because there             As discussed in Section 3.17, levels of PCBs
is extensive regulation with regard to the             and mercury in tissues of Alaska Natives and
containment and cleanup of spill sites. Because        others regularly consuming contaminated game
spills onto gravel or soil surfaces must be            may be elevated, and these exposures could
cleaned up according to the ADEC                       cause a variety of adverse health impacts. The
requirements, there should be no complete              major source of these contaminants is long-
exposure pathways or elevated concentrations           range atmospheric transport from industrialized
remaining after remediation of these types of          areas in many countries. PCB production has
spill sites and, therefore, no long-term health        been stopped in most countries, but poor
impacts from exposure to contaminants in soil.         disposal practices may result in continued
                                                       releases to the atmosphere. The major sources
     The cumulative assessment of human health         of mercury in the atmosphere are burning of
and safety impacts from environmental releases         coal, municipal waste, medical waste, and
is limited to the general public and does not          hazardous waste; operation of motor vehicles;
include occupational exposures for cleanup             and production of chlorine (EPA 2001a). The
workers or employees at the various plants and         operation of the TAPS is not known to result in
facilities. Protection of these workers is             any emissions of PCBs or mercury; these
regulated under the Occupational Health and            chemicals are also not expected to be
                                                       4.7-69    ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES



associated with the no-action alternative nor               workers and the general public were considered
would the no action or less-than-30-year renewal            in this section. The types of actions that could
alternatives reduce the cumulative emissions,               have cumulative impacts on human health and
PCBs, or mercury. Similarly, the other                      safety include oil and gas exploration,
foreseeable actions considered in this                      development, and production on the North
cumulative impact assessment (i.e., oil and gas             Slope; construction and operation of fuel gas
exploration, development, and production on the             pipelines (e.g., the natural gas pipeline); land
North Slope; construction and operation of fuel             management activities; human habitation and
gas pipelines; land management activities;                  development; and natural resource use.
human habitation and development; and natural
resource use) would not be expected to result in                 Occupational. The risk faced by workers,
emissions of PCBs or mercury. Therefore,                    as defined by traumatic occupational fatality
additional cumulative adverse health impacts                rates, is already considerably elevated in
from exposure to these contaminants would not               Alaska, particularly as a result of the water and
be likely.                                                  air transport required for various hazardous
                                                            occupations there (e.g., fishing, farming, logging,
     The PAH benzo[a]pyrene has also been                   mining, and manufacturing). With the exception
designated as a PBT (EPA 2001b). PAHs are a                 of workers involved in the construction of
constituent of crude oil and refined oil products           proposed natural gas project, relatively small
and were a major contaminant of concern with                numbers of workers would be involved in other
respect to food pathways after the Exxon Valdez             cumulative actions (e.g., oil refining, oil and gas
oil spill (Field et al. 1999). There is also an             exploration, oil storage), and their risks of
ongoing debate about the sources of PAHs in                 injuries and fatalities from physical hazards are
PWS, including past anthropogenic sources and               expected to be in line with the historical rates,
natural background from oil seeps, oily shales,             especially for the transportation/
and coal (see Section 3.11.3). Oil spills in the            communications/public utilities-related and
marine environment have the most potential for              construction-related cumulative activities.
foodchain impacts, because of bioaccumulation               Similar to the TAPS, potential fatalities and
in shellfish (see Section 4.4.4.7.3). Of the                injuries from a natural gas pipeline would be
actions assessed in this cumulative impacts                 expected on the basis of construction and
evaluation, oil and gas exploration,                        pipeline industry incidence rates, the number of
development, production, and transportation                 FTEs, and the number of years of construction
involve risk of a spill in either the North Slope or        and operation. While such occupational hazards
Prince William Sound marine environment. On                 can be minimized when workers adhere to safety
the basis of an analysis of the data from the               standards and use appropriate protective
Exxon Valdez Oil Spill (see Section 4.4.4.7.4),             equipment, fatalities and injuries from on-the-job
uptake of PAHs in the foodchain after a spill               accidents can still occur. The use of best
could result in somewhat increased cancer risks             management practices for occupational health
among individuals consuming high amounts of                 and safety compliance is recommended to
shellfish (especially mussels) from highly                  reduce statewide fatality and injury incidence
contaminated areas. The increased risk would                rates from all of the actions in combination.
likely be less than that from ingestion of smoked
meats and fish. It is possible that increased                   Another concern with respect to
digestive cancer incidence rates among Alaska               occupational exposures is NORM. However,
Natives (see Section 3.17) are associated with              with standard operating procedures in place,
dietary PAH exposures, but this speculation has             there is little potential for any NORM exposure
not been confirmed with data.                               from oil production operations on the North
                                                            Slope or during pipeline dismantlement.

     4.7.6.11.3 Summary. Possible                                The cumulative assessment of human health
cumulative human health impacts of reasonably               and safety impacts from environmental releases
foreseeable actions, in conjunction with the                is limited to the general public and does not
proposed action, the less-than-30-year renewal              include occupational exposures for cleanup
alternative, or the no-action alternative, to               workers or employees at the plants or
ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES                            4.7-70



compression facilities. Protection of these                which is an air quality nonattainment area with
workers is regulated under the Occupational                respect to CO. However, none of the TAPS
Health and Safety Act and is beyond the scope              emissions of CO under the proposed action or
of this assessment.                                        alternatives would cause a measurable increase
                                                           in CO levels in the Fairbanks nonattainment
    Public. An assessment of potential health              area (see Sections 4.3.9.1 and 4.6.2.9.1).
impacts from Valdez Marine Terminal air toxics             Therefore, although the CO levels might become
emissions was provided in Section 4.3.13.2.2. It           more problematic as the population increased,
was concluded that no adverse health impacts               such an increase in CO levels does not
would be expected in association with the                  constitute a cumulative impact with respect to
inhalation of those emissions throughout the               the action being considered.
renewal period. Some planned future projects in
the regions of interest (e.g., new natural gas                 Numerous hazardous materials would be
pipelines) could result in additional VOC                  used and stored in association with some of the
emissions, presumably with maximum emissions               actions considered in this cumulative impacts
similar to or less than those associated with              assessment, especially oil and gas exploration,
TAPS facilities. Unless a large new source of              development, and production; oil refining; and oil
VOC emissions is placed in the Valdez area                 and gas transportation. Human health and safety
(none currently planned), there should be no               impacts from accidental releases of hazardous
adverse health impacts from inhalation of VOCs             materials could result in exposures to
from all the industrial sources combined.                  contaminated air, soils, groundwater, or food.
                                                           However, the potential for additional cumulative
     Another important source of some of the               adverse impacts from accidental releases is
same VOCs that are emitted from TAPS facilities            relatively small.
is motor vehicle emissions. Auto emissions
would be expected to increase over the renewal                  The potential for ingestion or dermal
period as the state population and automobile              exposure of the general public to soils and
transportation increased. An increased cancer              groundwater contaminated due to spills of
risk of about 3 × 10-5 has been estimated for              hazardous materials is very low, because there
residents of Valdez from benzene inhalation                is extensive regulation with regard to the
from all sources. As sources such as motor                 containment and cleanup of spill sites. Because
vehicle emissions increase over the next                   spills onto gravel or soil surfaces must be
30 years, additional emission controls on mobile           cleaned up according to these ADEC
and point sources might be needed to minimize              requirements, there should be no complete
increasing cancer risks, under any of the                  exposure pathways or elevated concentrations
alternatives.                                              remaining after remediation of these types of
                                                           spill sites and, therefore, no long-term health
     During construction of a natural gas pipeline,        impacts from exposure to contaminants in soil.
the main type of emission of concern during the
2- to 3-year construction period would most                     Levels of two PBT contaminants (PCBs and
likely be criteria pollutants generated from               mercury) in tissues of Alaska Natives and others
excavation, heavy equipment operation, and                 regularly consuming contaminated game may be
vehicles used for transporting workers and raw             elevated, and these exposures could cause a
materials. Unless residential areas were located           variety of adverse health impacts. The operation
in close proximity to the pipeline or related              of the TAPS is not known to result in any
facilities, adverse health impacts due to limited-         emissions of PCBs or mercury. Similarly, the
duration increases in criteria air pollutant levels        other foreseeable actions considered in this
from future construction actions in conjunction            cumulative impact assessment would not be
with the proposed action or the no-action                  expected to result in emissions of PCBs or
alternative would not be expected.                         mercury. Therefore, additional cumulative
                                                           adverse health impacts from exposure to these
    The projected increase in the population of            contaminants would not be likely.
Alaska over the next 30 years might be
problematic in the Fairbanks/North Pole area,
                                                    4.7-71    ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES



    Oil spills in the marine environment have the        which could adversely affect terrestrial and
most potential for foodchain impacts, because of         wetland communities. These activities would
bioaccumulation of PAHs in shellfish (see                also produce fugitive dust, which could injure or
Section 4.4.4.7.3). However, the increased risk          kill vegetation and alter vegetative communities
would likely be less than that from ingestion of         by reducing vegetative cover, altering local soil
smoked meats and fish.                                   and permafrost conditions, and changing
                                                         species composition. Erosion from construction
                                                         sites could result in the sedimentation of
4.7.7 Biological Resources                               vegetative communities, particularly wetland
                                                         communities. Sediments could injure or kill
                                                         vegetation and alter vegetative communities.
    4.7.7.1 Terrestrial Vegetation
            and Wetlands                                     Disturbances to vegetative communities
                                                         would generally require restoration of the
    This section evaluates the cumulative                affected site and revegetation efforts. Vegetative
effects of the proposed action, in combination           communities that would then become
with other past, present, and foreseeable future         established might not represent local natural
actions, on terrestrial vegetation and wetlands          community types and might include non-native
communities. This cumulative effects                     species, which could become dominant or
assessment evaluates impacts in and along the            invade undisturbed natural areas. Activities that
Beaufort Sea, North Slope, Interior Alaska, and          disturbed the soil or remove vegetation could
Prince William Sound.                                    result in changes to the underlying permafrost,
                                                         causing thermokarst. Terrestrial vegetative
     The cumulative effects of past actions have         communities and some wetland communities
resulted in the existing conditions described in         might be eliminated by thermokarst-induced
Section 3.18. In general, the greatest overall           inundation.
effects within the region of TAPS influence have
been caused by oil and gas production and                     Spills of crude oil, diesel oil, or other fluids
transportation. However, the cumulative effects          might result from activities associated with any
on the major vegetative zones through which the          of the major actions contributing to cumulative
TAPS passes have generally been minor. Future            effects. Spills could injure or kill vegetation,
actions that have the potential to affect terrestrial    potentially leaving affected areas unvegetated or
and wetland vegetative communities are                   sparsely vegetated. Impacted soils might require
presented in Table 4.7-2 and include oil and gas         extended periods of time to revegetate. Small
exploration, development, and production; oil            spills, however, which would be considered
refining; oil and gas transport; oil storage; human      likely or anticipated events (see Section 4.4.1 for
habitation and development; transportation; land         spill frequency definitions) would be cleaned up
management activities and plans; natural                 and would generally have negligible to minor
resource use; and petroleum spills.                      cumulative effects on the terrestrial vegetation
                                                         and wetland communities of the four major
    These actions could impact vegetation by             vegetation zones. Large spills, which would be
means of a number of impacting factors.                  considered unlikely or very unlikely events,
Table 4.7-9 identifies the activities and impacting      would have greater effects but would not be
factors associated with these actions.                   considered reasonably foreseeable future
Construction activities would disturb soil and           events. (See Section 4.4.4.9 for a discussion of
probably involve physical injury to vegetation or        the effects of spills on terrestrial vegetation and
removal of vegetation within the disturbed area.         wetlands.)
In areas with a high proportion of wetlands, such
as the Arctic Coastal Plain, or during                       Activities associated with transportation
construction of large projects, such as a natural        might result in impacts to terrestrial vegetation
gas pipeline, wetlands could be filled in. The           and wetlands from the generation of fugitive
placement of gravel to construct drilling pads,          dust, particularly along unpaved highways,
workpads, or service roads would eliminate local         such as the Dalton Highway. However, ongoing
vegetation and alter local hydrologic regimes,           improvements to the Dalton Highway road
ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES                           4.7-72



surface have resulted in reduced airborne dust            beetle, might also cause changes in the
along treated road segments. Oil and gas                  structure or composition of forest communities.
transportation might also involve the
construction of pipelines. The elimination of                 While the combined effect of these large-
terrestrial and wetland communities might occur           scale impacts with local project-specific impacts
on a large scale during the construction of an            may be greater than additive, data do not exist to
extensive pipeline system, such as a natural gas          support such a conclusion.
pipeline, resulting in major impacts to
vegetation. Large-scale restoration and
revegetation activities might be required. Past                4.7.7.1.1 Beaufort Sea. The
construction projects, such as TAPS and the               construction and operation of facilities for oil
construction of drilling pads on the North Slope,         exploration and production would include
have involved extensive vegetation restoration.           offshore gravel islands, Beaufort Sea shore
Pipeline construction and operation might also            modifications, new access roads, and pipelines.
result in permafrost changes and accidental               Losses of vegetative communities might result
petroleum spills. The loading and transport of oil        from direct removal, sedimentation, or spills and
tankers might also result in accidental spills of         might include marine vegetative communities or
crude oil.                                                coastal marshes. The cumulative impacts of
                                                          these actions on the Beaufort Sea would be
    Other than oil and gas production, mining             expected to be minor. For cumulative impacts
and logging are the primary activities that use           under both the proposed action and the less-
resources. Mining includes the extraction of              than-30-year renewal alternative, there would be
minerals (such as gold, silver, lead, and zinc)           a negligible effect on vegetation near the
and sand and gravel mining for construction               Beaufort Sea, unless there was a large oil spill
materials, primarily for oil field development.           (see Section 4.4.4.9). The contribution to
Mining operations for sand and gravel and placer          cumulative effects from TAPS to impact
gold mining might remove large quantities of              vegetation near the Beaufort Sea would be
stream bed deposits and also riparian vegetative          negligible because TAPS does not occur in that
communities. The alteration of hydrologic                 area. Under the no-action alternative, structures
regimes or surface water drainage patterns                for oil exploration and drilling in the Beaufort Sea
could adversely affect vegetation by increasing           would not be constructed, and associated
or decreasing soil moisture or inundation. Mining         impacts to vegetation would not occur. Impacts
activities might result in soil disturbance, dust,        to the Beaufort Sea from TAPS termination
erosion, and sedimentation. Logging operations            activities would not be expected, since the
would remove or alter existing vegetation on              system does not extend into this region.
logged sites and could also result in soil
disturbance, dust, erosion, and sedimentation.
                                                               4.7.7.1.2 North Slope. Impacts to
Logged sites generally progress through
                                                          vegetation would result from the construction
successional stages to mature forest over time.
                                                          and use of drilling pads, modifications of stream
Harvesting of plant material from natural
                                                          banks and channels, new access roads,
vegetative communities is often associated with
                                                          pipelines, and use of sand and gravel mining
human settlements. The acquisition of firewood,
                                                          sites. Although oil and gas exploration,
building materials, and edible plants or fruit
                                                          development, and production are expected to
might result in local impacts to vegetative
                                                          continue on the North Slope, the area of impact
communities.
                                                          from individual drilling or production sites has
    Certain large-scale or global phenomena               become considerably smaller over the past
can also impact terrestrial and wetland                   30 years as advances in technology have
vegetation. For example, global warming might             reduced the area required for well pads. Losses
result in changes to permafrost and alter many            of vegetative communities might result from
vegetative communities throughout the state of            direct removal, sedimentation, or spills; these
Alaska. Natural pests, such as the spruce bark            communities might include lowland and upland
                                                          tundra. However, less than 1% of the vegetation
                                                          of the Arctic Coastal Plain would likely be
                                                     4.7-73    ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES



impacted by oil development (BLM 1998).                   vegetation communities, although the increase
Construction of a natural gas transportation              would be very small relative to the boreal forest,
system would also impact vegetation on the                coastal forest, and upland tundra vegetation
North Slope in the vicinity of existing oil               zones.
production facilities and near the TAPS ROW.
The cumulative effects of these activities on
North Slope terrestrial vegetation and wetlands                4.7.7.1.4 Prince William Sound.
would be expected to be minor. Very little new            Loss of vegetative communities might result
construction or other major disturbance of                from direct removal, sedimentation, or spills;
vegetation on the North Slope is anticipated for          these communities might include marine
continued operation of the TAPS. The                      vegetative communities or coastal marshes. The
contribution to cumulative impacts from the               cumulative effects of future activities affecting
continued operation of the TAPS would be                  these resources, such as oil storage and
minor, unless there was a large oil spill (see            transportation, land development, logging, and
Section 4.4.4.9). Under the no-action alternative,        natural resource use on the terrestrial vegetation
impacts to vegetation from the construction of oil        and wetlands would be expected to be minor,
exploration and drilling structures would not             unless there was a large oil spill. The largest
occur. Impacts to the North Slope vegetation              contribution to the cumulative impact to the
communities from TAPS termination activities              terrestrial vegetation and wetlands of Prince
would result in a small temporary contribution to         William Sound results from past and existing
cumulative impacts and an increase in North               impacts, such as the Exxon Valdez oil spill,
Slope communities over the long-term, although            which impacted many miles of shoreline. The
the increase would be very small relative to the          continued operation of the TAPS would have a
total area of upland and lowland tundra                   negligible effect on Prince William Sound, under
vegetation zones.                                         the proposed action and less-than-30-year
                                                          renewal alternative, unless there was a large oil
                                                          spill (see Section 4.4.4.9). Thus, the contribution
     4.7.7.1.3 Interior Alaska. Impacts to                to cumulative effects from the TAPS would be
vegetation would result from the construction             negligible. Under the no-action alternative, oil
and use of new access roads, a natural gas                storage and transportation would cease and
pipeline, modifications of stream banks and               associated impacts to terrestrial vegetation and
channels, use of sand and gravel mining sites             wetlands would not occur. Impacts to Prince
land development, logging, and other natural              William Sound communities from TAPS
resource use. Losses of vegetative communities            termination activities would make a very small
might result from direct removal, sedimentation,          contribution to cumulative impacts. Cumulative
or spills; these communities might include                impacts to vegetation would continue from all
upland tundra, boreal forest, and coastal forest.         other activities not related to oil transportation.
The cumulative effects of these activities on the
interior terrestrial vegetation and wetlands would
be expected to be minor. Very little new                      4.7.7.1.5 Summary. The cumulative
construction or other major disturbance of                effects on terrestrial vegetation and wetlands
vegetation in Interior Alaska is anticipated for          would be minor, relative to the extent of the four
continued operation of the TAPS. The                      major vegetation zones (lowland tundra, upland
contribution to cumulative impacts from the               tundra, boreal forest, coastal forest) within the
continued operation of the TAPS, under both the           TAPS region of influence, and the Beaufort Sea
proposed action and the less-than-30-year                 and Prince William Sound.
renewal alternative, would be minor, unless
there was a large oil spill (see Section 4.4.4.9).             The contribution to cumulative effects on
Impacts to boreal forest, coastal forest, and             terrestrial vegetation and wetlands from the
upland tundra communities from termination                continued operation of the TAPS under the
activities under the no-action alternative would          proposed action, under the less-than-30-year
result in a small temporary contribution to               renewal alternative, and under the no-action
cumulative impacts and a long-term increase in            alternative would be small and additive.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES                            4.7-74



    4.7.7.2 Fish                                           when there is prolonged darkness and thick ice
                                                           cover, phytoplankton photosynthesis would not
     This section evaluates the cumulative                 likely be substantially affected. Heavy
impacts of the proposed action (Section 4.3.16)            downstream sedimentation from construction or
in combination with other past, present, and               oil production activities could smother the
foreseeable future activities on fish. Thus,               benthos in localized areas, but effects would
impacts associated with actions in the Beaufort            probably not to be widespread. In general,
Sea, the North Slope, Interior Alaska, and in              species occupying these areas have adapted to
Prince William Sound are considered for                    dynamic conditions, and they react to short-term
anadromous, diadromous (freshwater fish that               fluctuations in water quality and habitat by either
overwinter in freshwater but disperse into low-            enduring and functioning under those conditions
salinity coastal waters during the summer to               or moving out of the impact zone. Recolonization
feed) and strictly freshwater fishes. The “other           of affected areas by benthic organisms in
actions” that are considered in this cumulative            surrounding areas would probably occur
impacts evaluation include (1) oil and gas                 relatively rapidly in most cases. An exception
exploration, development, and production; (2) oil          would be the Boulder Patch community that lies
and gas transportation; (3) human habitation and           about 6 mi seaward of the Sagavanirktok River
development; (4) legislative actions; (5) land             delta. This community of epilithic flora and fauna
management activities; (6) natural resource use;           inhabits an isolated area of rock substrate in
and (7) spills (Table 4.7-2). Additional                   Stefansson Sound (Dunton and Schonberg
information on the scopes of these activities is           2000). Organisms occupying the Boulder Patch
presented in Section 4.7.4. As for the proposed            are at risk from localized impacts because they
action (Section 4.3.16), these other actions can           are immobile, occupy a relatively small
affect fish in a variety of ways that can be               geographic area, and are an isolated community
broadly categorized into impacts that result from:         that cannot easily be repopulated from
                                                           surrounding stocks. Offshore construction and
•   Alteration and loss of fish habitat;                   trenching in this area may require special
                                                           consideration.
•   Obstructions to fish passage;
                                                                Another habitat alteration that may affect fish
•   Increased human access; and                            resources in Prince William Sound is the
                                                           introduction of nonnative organisms from the
•   Effects of oil, fuel, and chemical spills.
                                                           ballast water of oil tankers. Some inbound
                                                           tankers, especially the newer double-hulled
     4.7.7.2.1 Alteration and Loss of                      tankers that are expected to become prevalent
Habitat. Actions on the North Slope, in the                within the next 10 years, carry segregated
Beaufort Sea, and in Prince William Sound might            ballast water (i.e., ballast water is separated
all cumulatively contribute to the alteration and          from the oil cargo compartments) that is
loss of resources and habitat for fish that occur          discharged directly into Port Valdez. The
there and use habitats along the TAPS ROW. Oil             segregated ballast water can contain organisms
exploration activities, offshore construction              that are not native to Prince William Sound.
discharges, and offshore dredging or trenching             Organisms introduced from other areas of the
might alter marine habitats and influence                  world may become a nuisance in the absence of
planktonic and benthic marine invertebrates and            predator species to control population growth.
fish (USACE 1984, 1999) that serve as food for             Once established, nonindigenous species may
anadromous and diadromous fish. Similar                    also ecologically displace native species or
impacts to anadromous fish could occur in                  some species in the food chain upon which fish
Prince William Sound as a result of construction           or other native aquatic organisms depend for
activities, dredging, or runoff from industrial            survival. Hines and Ruiz (2000) investigated the
sites. Affected areas would probably be more               numbers and types of nonindigenous organisms
turbid than normal, and this turbidity could affect        transported into Prince William Sound in ballast
visual distances for feeding fish. Because most            water. They concluded that large numbers of
North Slope construction occurs in the winter              planktonic organisms are released into Prince
                                                         4.7-75    ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES



William Sound with segregated ballast water and               mitigation are incorporated into these operations
that there is a high potential for the types of               to minimize impacts on fish. Water withdrawals
organisms observed to survive in the water                    would continue to be required for future North
conditions in Prince William Sound. On average,               Slope oil field developments, but efficient and
they found about 360 organisms per cubic foot of              appropriate regulation, compliance, and enforce-
water in segregated ballast water samples.                    ment would reduce the potential impacts. Use of
Although not all of these organisms were                      other options for obtaining water for ice roads
nonnative species, 14 nonnative species were                  and pads (e.g., desalination, use of snowmelt
recorded (13 crustacean species and 1 fish                    water, and water from flooding abandoned mine
species) from the 169 tankers sampled. A                      sites) may also limit potential impacts.
previous study (Ruiz and Hines 1997) found that
when nonsegregated ballast water (i.e., the                        Construction of and maintenance operations
ballast water that is carried in oil-holding                  for a gas pipeline would have impacts on
compartments) was introduced, it contained very               freshwater habitats similar to those of the TAPS.
few viable nonindigenous organisms. In addition,              Inspection, monitoring, and prompt corrective
such water is processed in the BWTF before                    action would be required to limit impacts.
being discharged into Port Valdez, making it                  Increased public access as a result of new
unlikely that nonindigenous organisms would be                pipeline construction or development would
introduced. The tanker traffic used in support of             probably have only small impacts on fish habitat,
the gas pipeline may be about 275/yr (TAPS                    primarily due to the increased erosion of stream
Owners 2001a). This could add incrementally to                banks by off-road vehicles and the increased
the potential to introduce nonnative species into             amount of dust deposited by vehicles traveling
Prince William Sound. However, ballast water                  on unpaved roads. The development of other
treatment would minimize this impact.                         industries in the vicinity of the TAPS could also
                                                              have impacts on freshwater habitats, depending
     Oil and gas exploration and development                  on the location and operational needs.
can affect fish, if ground- or vegetation-
disturbing activities occur in or near waterways                   Alterations to freshwater habitats could
or if chemicals or wastes are discharged into                 reduce fish survival and potentially affect fish
waterways. Loss of habitat in freshwater                      populations. The Interior column of Table 4.7-2
systems can result from bank hardening,                       lists the activities that may impact freshwater
draining of water bodies, changes or temporary                habitats. These impacts would more likely occur
diversions in river or stream channels,                       if the alterations were allowed to persist for
excavations of streambed materials, removal of                multiple years and if overwintering habitat was
riparian vegetation, and changes in water quality             affected. However, such alterations would
parameters. Permits are required under Alaska                 typically be minor in scope and would not
Title 16 for activities in or near streams that               substantially affect fish populations. In addition,
could affect anadromous fish and their                        many potential impacts would probably be
freshwater habitat or the free and efficient                  identified and corrected before impacts to
migrations of resident fish. Discharges of wastes             populations ever occurred. Overall, cumulative
and treated water from oil facilities must also               impacts from alterations of freshwater habitats in
comply with the Clean Water Act and NPDES                     the vicinity of the TAPS would be low to
permits. Compliance minimizes the cumulative                  moderate under the proposed action. Synergistic
effects from the described actions on aquatic                 effects on the population as a whole are not
habitats.                                                     anticipated.

     Removal of freshwater from lakes to                           Overall, the magnitude and geographic
construct ice roads and pads and for other                    scope of impacts to fish habitats are likely to be
operations could also affect fish in these water              low. However, it is difficult to predict the potential
bodies. Withdrawal of water can reduce water                  impacts associated with biological organisms
depth in overwintering areas, thereby reducing                that could be introduced via ballast water.
their ability to support fish, and it can entrain fish
through the pumps. Design considerations and
ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES                              4.7-76



     4.7.7.2.2 Obstructions to Fish                          freshwater habitats may be affected over the
Passage. Drainage structures, such as                        renewal period. Overall, cumulative impacts
culverts and low water crossings can impede                  from blocking fish passage in freshwater habitats
fish migration and obstruct fish passage                     in the vicinity of the TAPS would be low to
(Section 4.3.16). Generally, such impacts may                moderate under the proposed action, and
occur intermittently at some, but not all, stream            synergistic effects with other factors are not
crossings that require drainage structures or that           anticipated.
require vehicles to cross streams. Impacts at
stream crossings are typically addressed                          Cumulative impacts to anadromous or
through proper design and maintenance of                     diadromous species may occur as a result of
roads, pipeline river crossings, and culverts,               activities that obstruct fish movement in marine
coupled with regulation, monitoring, and                     environments. Under certain meteorological
corrective actions.                                          conditions, structures along the Beaufort Sea
                                                             mainland coast can also block the movements of
     Little or no discernable impact to fish                 diadromous fishes, particularly juveniles
passage in freshwater habitats has occurred in               (Gallaway and Fechhelm 2000 and references
North Slope oil fields as a result of past                   cited therein). Because many of these species
activities, and it is anticipated that this will also        avoid high-salinity, marine conditions, they tend
be the case for future North Slope oil fields.               to remain nearshore, where they forage up and
Construction and operation of a natural gas                  down the coast within a narrow band of warm,
pipeline would likely have impacts similar to                low-salinity water (Craig 1984). Causeways can
those from the TAPS. For example, new roads,                 impede coastal movement either by directly
workpads, and buried pipeline crossings for a                blocking fish or by modifying nearshore water
natural gas pipeline could impact new areas                  conditions to the point where they might become
outside the TAPS ROW. Construction of                        too cold and saline for these species. On the
additional roads and increased numbers of                    North Slope, this impact was identified as a
workers could result in more stream crossings                concern at West Dock and the Endicott
and more vehicles crossing streams in the                    Causeway, although actual impacts were
vicinity of the TAPS. This may increase the                  identified only at West Dock. However, current
frequency of impacts to fish from obstructed                 construction practices and mitigation efforts
passage at disturbed stream crossing areas.                  have shown that breaching can alleviate
Other activities that may be developed on the                blockage (Gallaway and Fechhelm 2000 and
North Slope or in Interior Alaska (Table 4.7-2)              references cited therein).
could further increase such impacts, depending
on the applicable location, extent of                             The locations of causeways relative to
development, level of mitigation, and regulatory             coastal topography, local bathymetry, and
control.                                                     freshwater drainages also is critical in
                                                             determining their impact on the nearshore
     Inhibiting fish movement in streams can                 migration corridor (Niedoroda and Colonell
reduce access to spawning areas and potentially              1990). For example, West Dock was constructed
affect fish populations. These results are more              at the eastern end of an extensive brackish-
likely if the obstructions are allowed to persist for        water lagoon system (Simpson Lagoon) through
multiple years. Fish passage in freshwater                   which fish disperse and migrate. The causeway
habitats has been a continuous maintenance                   extends seaward into the marine environment
issue along the TAPS ROW, and it is also likely              enough beyond the 6-ft isobath to exacerbate
to be an issue relatively frequently as a result of          coastal mixing processes that sometimes block
the cumulative actions described above.                      the movements of those fish. In contrast, the
However, obstructions to fish passage would                  entire Endicott Causeway was constructed
probably be identified and corrected before                  inside the 6-ft isobath and does not protrude
impacts to populations would occur. Given the                into deeper marine waters. The onshore
geographic extent and the large number of                    encroachment of marine water is further
streams that could be affected by existing and               impeded by the freshwater discharge of the
proposed activities, fish populations in some                Sagavanirktok River (Niedoroda and Colonell
                                                       4.7-77    ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES



1990). As a result, cells of upwelled marine                overharvest is expected to be greater in northern
water that develop at the Endicott Causeway are             areas because fish productivity is low.
restricted to the seaward tip of the causeway’s
western leg and do not reach the mainland                         In the North Slope oil fields and Beaufort
shore, where the water might otherwise disrupt              Sea, increased human access, with its
fish migrations (Hachmeister et al. 1991;                   accompanying increased fishing pressure, has
Gallaway et al. 1991).                                      not affected fish populations, although some
                                                            subsistence, sport, and very limited commercial
     The proper siting of any future causeway to            fishing occur. Public access into Prince William
be constructed along the Beaufort Sea is the                Sound is increasing, and the combined effects of
most important consideration with regard to fish            commercial, subsistence/personal use, and
movements. In many cases, breaching might be                sport fishing could impact populations. Fishing
appropriate, depending on the site location and             activities are managed by the ADF&G and the
hydrography. Other structures constructed at                National Marine Fisheries Service within federal
offshore facilities and artificial islands would not        conservation units. The Federal Subsistence
affect diadromous fish habitat and would have a             Board manages subsistence fishing by rural
limited influence on anadromous species.                    Alaska residents. Maintenance of fish at the
                                                            desired sizes and population levels has been
     Although the impact from docks or                      largely accomplished by regulations established
causeways may occur in the marine environment               by the Alaska Board of Fish and enforced by
of the Beaufort Sea, it is believed that there has          ADF&G and the Alaska Department of Public
been little or no impact on fish movements from             Safety. In the vicinity of Prince William Sound, a
docks or causeways at the Valdez Marine                     number of anadromous fish hatcheries are also
Terminal or in Prince William Sound. Because of             utilized to produce enough fish to increase
the extensive distributions and coastal                     harvest above natural levels and to manage
movements of marine and anadromous species,                 stocks. Consequently, the cumulative impact of
any additional terminal structures would                    increased human access to fish populations is
probably affect only an insignificant number of             expected to be minor and additive.
individuals and a small geographic area.

                                                                 4.7.7.2.4 Effects of Oil, Fuel, and
     4.7.7.2.3 Effects on Fish                              Chemical Spills on Fish. Oil, fuel, and
Populations from Increased Human                            chemical spills are a primary concern with
Access. With an increase in human population                regard to oil and gas development, production,
associated with foreseeable future activities               and transportation. The potential impacts of
(Table 4.7-2), there would likely be additional             freshwater spills (see Section 4.4.4.12) are
recreational fishing pressure on fish populations.          primarily localized and restricted to gravel pads
Currently, recreational fisheries are regulated to          at facilities or roads. Large spills into freshwater
maintain adequate stocks and are adjusted to                have not occurred. However, should one occur
compensate for changes in fishing pressure.                 in the future, it could have substantial impacts on
However, increased access could result in                   fish in the impacted area.
overharvest if regulations and enforcement were
inadequate. The BLM and USACE (1988)                             Large marine spills, such as the Exxon
reported that individuals of the species preferred          Valdez oil spill, could potentially have large
for harvest were smaller and less numerous after            impacts on fish. Such spills could cause
the construction of the TAPS in areas accessible            mortality and injury to plankton, marine
to anglers. While developments in remote areas              invertebrates, and fish (USACE 1999). While
have allowed access to previously unavailable               direct mortality of fish due to open water marine
harvest opportunities, large increases in fishing           oil spills has seldom been documented, impacts
effort and catches of desirable species such as             on fish in natural environments have been
Arctic char, Arctic grayling, and lake trout were           inferred on the basis of laboratory studies. The
not reflected in statewide harvest surveys (Burr            Exxon Valdez oil spill had some impacts on fish,
2001) after the entire length of the Dalton                 including pink salmon and herring
Highway was opened in 1994. The potential for               (see Sections 3.19.1.3 and 4.4.10.2). While
ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES                              4.7-78



some populations and habitats appear to have                 actions. In Prince William Sound and the Gulf of
recovered from the effects of the spill, other               Alaska, future actions contributing to cumulative
habitats and populations have not yet recovered              impacts on fish include oil transport, other
or their status is not certain (Section 3.19.1.3).           transportation activities, (e.g., barging and cruise
                                                             ships), human habitation, natural resource use
     Past oil spills along the TAPS and in the               (e.g., commercial, subsistence, and recreational
North Slope oil fields have been mainly confined             fishing), and land management activities.
to land, but future leaks could reach watersheds             However, none of these activities are expected
and impact fish. The future operation of the                 to significantly increase cumulative impacts,
TAPS, a gas pipeline, and other industrial                   including any synergistic effects, on fish or affect
activity carry the risk of small-scale spills of oil,        the viability of species’ populations. Oil spills
fuel, and chemicals from vehicles and                        would not significantly add to cumulative
machinery. Present and future North Slope oil                impacts, except for an unlikely large spill to
field developments might have an impact on fish,             aquatic habitats, in which case impacts similar to
particularly in the marine environment. The                  the Exxon Valdez oil spill could occur (see
potential for spills from subsea pipelines and               Section 4.4.4.10).
other sources for offshore developments in the
Beaufort Sea was assessed previously (USACE                       TAPS operations are only a small
1999). Impacts of spills in solid ice or broken ice          component of the cumulative impacts associated
in this region may be particularly difficult to clean        with the activities listed in Table 4.7-2. However,
up.                                                          the indirect effects of the TAPS are a significant
                                                             contribution to cumulative impacts to fish,
     Gas production activities could increase the            because of the interdependence of current and
risk of impacts as a result of the increased                 foreseeable future oil development, production,
volume of liquids transported through the gas                and transportation activities with the TAPS.
pipeline and in tankers. The magnitude of the
risk of such impacts would partly depend on                       Cumulative impacts of the less-than-30-year
facility locations. Increased public access could            renewal alternative on fish would be similar to
result in some small spills from highway                     cumulative impacts described above under the
vehicles, off-road vehicles, and boats.                      proposed action but of shorter duration. During
                                                             the renewal periods, TAPS operations,
     Although there is a potential for large                 monitoring, and maintenance activities; and
impacts to fish from large oil spills, the risk of           other present and foreseeable actions would
such spills is relatively small (Section 4.4.1). The         essentially be the same for both alternatives.
probability of smaller spills is higher, but the             The shorter renewal period would not preclude
impacts from such spills if they entered                     any other current or foreseeable actions listed in
freshwater or marine habitats would probably be              Table 4.7-2 from occurring. The differences in
small, temporary, and additive and unlikely to               cumulative impacts between the two renewal
severely affect fish populations; especially in              alternatives likely would be negligible during the
light of spill response activities that are                  renewal periods. If at the end of the less-than-
undertaken when spill events occur.                          30-year renewal period a further request for
                                                             renewal was granted, cumulative impacts would
                                                             continue as stated for the proposed action. If a
    4.7.7.2.5 Summary. On the North                          further request for renewal was not granted,
Slope and Beaufort Sea, the most important                   cumulative impacts would continue as stated for
future activities that could contribute to                   no action, below.
cumulative impacts on fish would be planned oil
and gas development activities, oil and gas                       Differences in cumulative impacts between
transportation, and natural resource use                     the no-action and the proposed-action
(e.g., subsistence). In Interior Alaska, future              alternatives on fish would be more evident than
actions that could contribute to cumulative                  those between the less-than-30-year renewal
impacts on fishes include oil and gas transport,             alternative and the proposed action, particularly
other transportation activities, human habitation            within the North Slope. While activities
and development, and land management                         associated with gas production and
                                                       4.7-79    ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES



transportation would occur under both                       proposed action (Sections 4.3.17 and 4.4.4.11).
alternatives; oil production and transportation             Thus, cumulative actions could impact these
would be reduced to very low levels for the no-             wildlife resources by (1) habitat loss, alteration,
action alternative. Thus, most oil production               or enhancement; (2) disturbance or displace-
facilities would be idled. Also, the incremental            ment; (3) mortality; (4) obstruction to movement;
changes that would have occurred from future oil            and (5) spills. The effects that these actions may
field developments would not occur. Therefore,              cause include (1) immediate physical injury or
the level of impacts to fish within the North Slope         death; (2) increased energy expenditures or
would be less for the no-action alternative,                changes in physiological condition that may
except for subsistence harvest levels that may              reduce survival or reproduction rates; or
increase. The potential for accidental oil spills           (3) long-term changes in behavior, including the
would also decline within the North Slope, along            traditional use of ranges (Calef et al. 1976).
the TAPS ROW, and within Prince William                     Possible differences between cumulative
Sound and the Gulf of Alaska. However, the                  impacts and the impacts from the proposed
infrastructure required to promptly clean up any            action would depend on the intensity
spills that might occur within these areas might            (magnitude), scale (geographic area), duration,
not be available (e.g., response equipment and              timing and frequency, any synergies (impact
teams associated with the TAPS would not be                 interactions), and likelihood of the impacts
present). The potential for introduction of                 associated with the cumulative actions (USACE
nonnative organisms within Prince William                   1999).
Sound would decrease from the decrease or
elimination of oil tanker traffic within Prince
William Sound.                                                   4.7.7.3.1 Habitat Loss, Alteration,
                                                            or Enhancement. Within the North Slope, oil
                                                            and gas exploration, development, and
    4.7.7.3 Birds and Mammals                               production, along with the construction and
                                                            operation of ancillary facilities (e.g., gravel
     This section evaluates the cumulative                  mines, roads, pipelines, and drill pads), could
impacts of the proposed action in combination               result in a cumulative reduction in habitat for
with other reasonably foreseeable actions on                wildlife. Future developments within the North
birds and terrestrial mammals. Past and present             Slope could result in continued habitat alteration,
activities that contribute to cumulative impacts            although new developments would have smaller
are part of the existing baseline and are                   footprints and result in a relatively smaller
discussed in Sections 3.20 (birds) and 3.21                 impact than in the past (TAPS Owners 2001a).
(terrestrial mammals). Actions directly                     The cumulative loss from all listed projects in the
associated with the oil and gas industry that               North Slope may have localized effects on the
could contribute to cumulative impacts include              distribution or density of some wildlife species
ancillary facilities and infrastructure (e.g., pipe-        over the life of the oil fields (MMS 1998). Overall,
lines, roads, landing strips, gravel mines, and             fragmentation of the tundra by oil facilities has
pump stations), refineries, terminals, and tanker           not been a major factor affecting bird use of the
transport. Other actions within the region of               Prudhoe Bay oil field. There may have been a
influence that could contribute to cumulative               rearrangement of birds, but there was probably
impacts include human habitation and                        no net change in bird abundance (Troy and
development, transportation systems, natural                Carpenter 1990; TERA 1993). The potential
resource use (including subsistence and sport               effect on species such as caribou might not be
hunting), spills, and natural events (e.g., forest          measurable because of the natural variability,
fires and insect infestations) (Section 4.7.4).             including productivity, of a large population
Legislative actions and land management                     (ADNR 1999).
activities could also have a controlling influence
on the environment.                                              Within the North Slope, more than
                                                            21,550 acres have been filled and covered by
    It is expected that in general, the cumulative          gravel for airstrips, drill pads, roads, and other
impacts on birds and terrestrial mammals would              structures. This total includes 10,653 acres
be similar to the impacts associated with the               distributed by mine sites and gravel placement
ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES                          4.7-80



within the oil fields and 10,900 acres occupied          remain near preferred foraging habitats, thereby
by the portion of TAPS within the North Slope            lessening the energy demands normally
(Ambrosius 2000; Gilders and Cronin 2000).               imposed upon caribou during the insect season
However, this represents a very small portion            (Pollard et al. 1996a).
(~0.02%) of the more than 56.8 million acres that
occur within the Arctic Coastal Plain (Gilders               Shorebirds and waterfowl commonly feed
and Cronin 2000).                                        and rest on impoundments associated with
                                                         gravel pads (Pollard et al. 1990). Pacific loons
     The loss of wildlife habitat from the               nest and rear their young in impoundments
development projects represent a small                   created by oil field developments (Kertell 1996).
decrease in the amount of available tundra
habitat in the North Slope (MMS 1998). The                    Dust shadows might be increased by the
avoidance by wildlife of areas near industrial           addition of roads, facility pads, and greater traffic
developments that might otherwise be usable              loads associated with gas commercialization on
habitat (i.e., functional habitat loss) also             the North Slope. Construction of the natural gas
contributes to the cumulative loss of habitat            pipeline would increase traffic loads on the
associated with facility development (Cameron            Dalton Highway, contributing to the effect in the
et al. 1995; Nellemann and Cameron 1998;                 TAPS study area. The dust shadows affect a
James and Stuart-Smith 2000). However,                   limited amount of habitat but will continue as
cumulative impacts would be negligible because           long as heavy traffic occurs on gravel roads.
the amount of habitat physically affected would          Cumulative impacts of dust shadows on wildlife
be small compared to the amount available                would be similar to those addressed in
(ADNR 1999).                                             Section 4.3.17.1.

    Gravel fill generally eliminates tundra                   A new North Slope oil field could require
habitat. However, it can provide habitat for some        permanent gravel roads and pads for production
species. For example, it provides insect relief          facilities, which would incrementally increase the
areas for caribou; denning habitat for arctic foxes      area affected by changes in drainage patterns.
and ground squirrels; and nesting sites for              However, the footprint for new developments
semipalmated plover, ruddy turnstone, and                would require less area than in the past. For
Baird’s sandpiper; and feeding habitat for               example, the “P” Pad built in the Prudhoe Bay
Lapland longspurs (Pollard et al. 1990;                  Oil Field is 70% smaller than the “A” Pad built in
Truett et al. 1994 and references cited therein).        the 1970s (Gilders and Cronin 2000). The
Arctic fox den density was found to be greater           construction of a natural gas pipeline would also
within developed areas than on adjacent                  contribute to these types of effects on wetlands,
undeveloped tundra; using culverts and road              because trenching for the pipeline, burial of the
embankments as den sites (Ballard et al. 2000).          pipeline, and placement of gravel for compressor
                                                         stations and access roads would cover wetland
     Although structures may occasionally be a           sites and affect natural drainage patterns. If the
barrier to wildlife movements, they can provide a        gas pipeline was routed approximately parallel to
haven from predators, pests, or weather, or a            the TAPS alignment, impacts could be
platform for feeding, hunting, or nesting (Truett        minimized if the existing TAPS workpad, access
et al. 1994). In general, birds use gravel pads          roads, stream crossings, and material sites were
more for feeding and resting than for nesting;           used when feasible (TAPS Owners 2001a).
while mammals rest and, less often, feed on the
gravel pads (Pollard et al. 1990). Caribou use                Construction of natural gas pipeline would
gravel pads and roads as insect relief habitat           disturb up to 23,216 acres of habitat (TAPS
during the mosquito season (June to mid-July)            Owners 2001a). Because the gas pipeline would
and use the shade of oil field structures                be buried, impacts would be short term, lasting
(pipelines and buildings) and parked vehicles            during the construction period and time required
when oestrid flies are abundant (mid-July to             for revegetation. However, to allow access to the
early August) (Lawhead and Prichard 2002;                pipeline, the overlying ROW would be
Pollard et al. 1996a). The availability of man-          maintained in an early stage of succession
made insect-relief habitats may allow caribou to         (i.e., in boreal forest areas), similar to that of the
                                                      4.7-81    ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES



TAPS ROW. This could total up to about                     avoid roads with relatively low traffic levels
8,425 acres during the period of gas pipeline              (e.g., < 100 vehicles/day) for about two weeks
operation (TAPS Owners 2001a). The gas                     following parturition and tend to remain > 0.6 mi
condition facility would require an area of about          from roads (Cameron et al. 1992; Cronin et al.
300 acres (TAPS Owners 2001a) within the                   1994). Caribou, including cows with calves, do
56.8 million acre North Slope. A further                   not avoid developments during the post-calving
390 acres of habitat may be disturbed for                  period (Pollard et al. 1996b; Cronin et al. 1998a).
construction of a gas liquefication plant at               Cameron et al. (1992) observed that the calving
Valdez, if this option were selected (TAPS                 caribou of the Central Arctic caribou herd were
Owners 2001a).                                             displaced outward after construction of the Milne
                                                           Point road system; relative densities within
     Several studies have documented that birds            1.2 mi of the road system decreased by over
such as raptors perch and nest on oil field and            two-thirds. Similarly, Nellemann and Cameron
pipeline structures and that swallows and other            (1998) observed that increasing density of roads
birds nest on structures at several TAPS pump              in the Kuparuk Development Area near Prudhoe
stations (see Section 4.3.17.1). Similarly, Pollard        Bay decreased caribou density. Caribou
et al. (1990) and Rodrigues (1992) documented              densities declined by 63% when there were
extensive use of gravel pads and adjacent                  0.0 to 0.5 mi of roads/mi2 and declined by 86%
disturbed sites in the North Slope oil fields by           when there were more than 1.9 to 2.8 mi of
birds. Offshore artificial drilling islands would          roads/mi2. The higher road densities virtually
provide new artificial habitats that would attract         excluded cow-calf pairs (Nellemann and
birds (USACE 1999). This situation was                     Cameron 1998). In contrast, Carruthers and
documented on the Endicott Causeway, which                 Jakimchuk (1987) did not observe traditional
was colonized by common eiders. In addition,               migration of the Nelchina caribou herd (in the
molting long-tailed ducks aggregate on the                 Gulkana River area) to be affected by the TAPS
leeward side of the causeway (TAPS Owners                  and the Richardson Highway.
2001a). Present and future oil and gas
development on the North Slope, particularly                    During the post-calving season, caribou
offshore in the Beaufort Sea, might involve the            distribution is largely unrelated to distance from
construction of more offshore islands, which               infrastructure; they regularly occur within the oil
would likely provide more nesting and molting              fields, and they often occur close to
habitat for birds.                                         infrastructure (Cronin et al. 1998a). Although
                                                           some level of cumulative effect to caribou is
                                                           likely from petroleum development, clear
     4.7.7.3.2 Disturbance or                              separation of the cumulative effects from natural
Displacement. High levels of air and vehicle               variation in caribou habitat use and demography
traffic are associated with the petroleum industry         is difficult (Wolfe et al. 2000). No population-
in the North Slope. For example, up to 1,200               level impacts to any wildlife species have been
helicopter trips per year have taken place just to         documented (reviewed in Truett and Johnson
support offshore development. Such activities              2000).
could cause short-term displacement of nesting,
feeding, and/or molting birds (MMS 1998).                       Several factors influence caribou
Traffic and human activity associated with the             populations, including winter weather, oil field
TAPS and the Dalton Highway can disturb                    disturbances and developments, hunting,
female caribou with young calves (Cameron and              predation, intersegment or interherd movements,
Whitten 1980); while roads, pipelines, and                 and insect harassment (Cronin et al. 1997; Klein
human activity may block, delay, or deflect                1991). All major caribou herds on the North
individual caribou as they move through the                Slope have increased in size, independent of oil
Prudhoe Bay oil field (Pollard et al. 1996a).              field development (Klein 1991). These higher
Nevertheless, movements of large groups of                 population densities may cause dispersal or
caribou do occur through the oil fields (Murphy            range changes among caribou herds. Thus, no
and Lawhead 2000). Pregnant and maternal                   single cause-and-effect explanation can be
cows are sensitive to human activities within the
North Slope (Cameron et al. 1985). Some will
ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES                           4.7-82



made regarding changes over time in caribou               adverse effect on herd abundance or overall
herd size and distribution (Cronin et al. 1997).          productivity.

     Helicopter and fixed-wing aircraft flights               Future North Slope oil field developments
associated with the multitude of North Slope              may contribute to the disturbance and
projects could result in combined or repeated             displacement of wildlife. However, mitigation
disturbances to wildlife. Such impacts could be           measures, such as restricting the timing of the
effectively reduced by restricting flight paths to        activity and locating facilities away from nesting
avoid sensitive nesting areas during active               or calving areas, could minimize impacts.
breeding and brood-rearing periods and by                 Operation of the gas pipeline project would have
establishing minimum flight altitudes to reduce           a negligible impact. Localized disturbances to
ground-level noise (USACE 1999). While a few              wildlife would occur during its construction.
species, such as wolves and foxes, habituate to
human presence, they are nevertheless                         In Prince William Sound, the cumulative
disturbed by aircraft and other vehicles (ADNR            effect of aircraft and vessel traffic associated
1999). Brant react to aircraft by alert posturing,        with the oil industry, commercial and
running, or entering water. Interruptions of              recreational fishing, tourism, and other
feeding may have deleterious effects on body              commercial and recreational activities could
reserves; and molting birds that move to                  result in long-term displacement of birds from
undisturbed areas would be exposed to                     nesting and feeding habitats (MMS 1995).
predators within the open tundra. A single                However, most effects of disturbance and
aircraft could disturb birds from dozens of lakes         displacement would be local and minor at the
in its flight path (Simpson et al. 1982). Repeated        population level because most species have
exposure of caribou to low-level military jet             relatively low density (BLM 1998).
overflights, especially during sensitive periods,
may reduce calf survival and increase daily
activities (Calef et al. 1976; Maier et al. 1998;             4.7.7.3.3 Mortality. The Dalton
Wolfe et al. 2000). Females of the Delta caribou          Highway has provided access to previously
herd with newborn calves apparently move away             remote areas north of the Yukon River. Concern
from areas where they are disturbed by jet                exists that this increased access has adversely
aircraft overflights (Murphy et al. 1993).                affected moose, caribou, wolf, and bear
However, Valkenburg and Davis (1984) believe              populations as a result of increased harvests
that the effects of disturbance from hunters on           (McLellan 1989; Yokel 1999). The increase in
snowmobiles may be more important than                    Alaska’s human population since TAPS
aircraft overflights.                                     construction has also increased the hunting
                                                          pressure on the state’s wildlife. ADF&G has
     Traffic along hundreds of miles of existing          responded to this pressure where necessary by
and future pipeline roads could disturb and               restricting seasons and bag limits and by
displace wildlife. Disturbance to caribou would           implementing intensive management programs
be generally short-term (e.g., a few hours or             to achieve and maintain population objectives for
less). Less time spent lying and more time                ungulates available to hunters (see TAPS
moving about are the two consistent reactions by          Owners 2001a).
caribou to disturbance. Disruption of the feeding
and resting cycle, accompanied by increased                   Increased densities of predators and
energy expenditures by running may contribute             scavengers attracted to areas of human activity
to energetic stress (Murphy and Curatolo 1987).           may result in increased predation pressure on
If calving caribou are displaced from a high-             prey populations. This situation has recently
quality forage area, there is a potential for             become a management issue, mainly for
lowered calf survival (ADNR 1999). To date, the           ground-nesting birds on the North Slope (Day
cumulative impacts of North Slope oil and gas             1998), but it is difficult to document. Increases in
developments have caused minor displacement               the abundance of foxes are well-documented in
of the Central Arctic caribou herd from a small           the North Slope oil fields (Burgess 2000).
portion of its calving range without an apparent          However, because pipeline facilities are more
                                                          dispersed than are oil field facilities, this problem
                                                       4.7-83    ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES



would be small south of PS 1. Within the North              could be killed by vehicles (Shoulders 1999;
Slope, losses of birds due to elevated levels of            Schmidt 1999). Road kills have not been a
predators would be in addition to losses                    problem in the North Slope oil fields, although
associated with habitat loss, displacement, and             there have been occasional mortalities of
so forth (BLM 1998).                                        caribou and bears. The same trend would be
                                                            likely during present and future North Slope oil
    Similarly, increased densities of predators             field developments and a gas transmission line
and scavengers might increase the occurrence                project. A gas pipeline might increase traffic on
and rate of transmission of wildlife diseases,              highways, particularly during construction. This
including rabies (Follmann et al. 1988). The                situation would be unlikely to impact large
primary reservoir of rabies in the North Slope              numbers of animals. Increased public access
area is the arctic fox, whereas south of the                might increase the numbers of road kills from
Brooks Range, the red fox and other carnivores              Valdez to the North Slope, while the National
are sources of greater concern (Winkler 1975).              Missile Defense System is unlikely to have an
                                                            impact. Traffic associated with other industrial
     Other causes of wildlife mortality in Alaska           activities might result in road kills, depending on
include intentional mortality (i.e., sport and              the location and extent of developments.
subsistence harvest, management and research
mortality) and unintentional mortality                           Birds might also fly into structures,
(i.e., railroad and road kills; unreported harvests;        particularly offshore structures during periods of
defense of life and property mortality) (TAPS               fog. Also, some birds (e.g., cliff swallows) that
Owners 2001a). Vehicle collisions with terrestrial          nest at the TAPS pump stations might fly into the
mammals, particularly moose, are an issue of                pump station structures. Structures and bright
public safety as well as a source of wildlife               lights at the Valdez Marine Terminal might
mortality (TAPS Owners 2001a). Black bears                  attract birds during inclement weather (Senner
continue to be a problem in Valdez as a result of           1999). Collisions normally occur during spring
city garbage management and lack of fencing at              and fall when birds are migrating through the
the Valdez Marine Terminal (Schmidt 1999;                   area. Although they could result in the loss of
Lawlor 1999; Shoulders 1999; Brown 1999).                   individual birds, the cumulative effect would not
                                                            be considered significant (USACE 1999).
     Mortality of predators such as bears occurs
primarily from sport and subsistence hunting.                   In the North Slope oil fields, there is some
Overall, only about 5% of brown bear mortality              anecdotal evidence for bird mortality at
and 3% of black bear mortality are related to               nearshore structures such as Endicott and at the
defense of life and property. However, within               seawater treatment plant at the end of the West
urban areas, these percentages are about 22%                Dock causeway. Bird mortality at such
and 6% for brown and black bear, respectively               structures, however, has been intermittent and
(Miller and Tutterow 1997). Oil and other                   local and has involved only a few individuals.
resource extraction industries have indirectly              Present and future North Slope oil and gas
contributed to brown bear mortality by the                  developments could also cause some bird
construction of roads that have increased access            mortalities. It has been postulated that lights at
by hunters, poachers, and settlers (McLellan                offshore facilities such as Northstar might attract
1989). The oil industry, in cooperation with                migrating birds that could then collide with
ADF&G, has implemented management                           structures (USACE 1999).
activities to reduce impacts to wildlife. These
measures have included the closing of the                         High predator populations in the North Slope
developed areas to big game hunting, prohibiting            oil fields are associated with natural factors such
firearms within the oil fields proper, educating            as high prey availability and natural den sites.
workers on wildlife safety, and training security           However, because of the availability of
personnel on proper techniques for hazing                   supplemental food at the North Slope Borough
problem animals (Shideler and Hechtel 2000).                Landfill and in dumpsters throughout the North
                                                            Slope oil fields, populations of predators, such
    Birds, especially those using early green-up            as bears, foxes, gulls, and ravens, have
areas in dust shadows along the TAPS ROW,                   increased over the past three decades. Although
ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES                               4.7-84



there is no definite cause-and-effect relationship            these include muskox, brown bear, polar bear,
between human food and predator numbers,                      arctic fox, snow goose, brant, and other
predators have adversely affected nesting                     waterfowl and shorebirds (see Cronin et al.
success of birds that nest on the ground,                     1998b).
especially colonial nesting snow geese, and
possibly some ducks and shorebirds (TAPS
Owners 2001a).                                                     4.7.7.3.4 Obstruction to
                                                              Movement. Present and future North Slope oil
     The introduction of exotic animals (mostly               field developments could further obstruct wildlife
foxes, but also rats, voles, ground squirrels, and            movements. For example, during the brood-
rabbits) has been among the most damaging                     rearing period when species such as brant are
source of direct mortality to seabirds of all the             flightless, roads, causeways, and other
factors associated with human activity (Bailey                structures could present a barrier to movement
1993). Unlike an oil spill or some other one-time             (ADNR 1999). Roby (1978) reported that during
catastrophe, predators have a continuing                      summer, caribou with calves were the group
negative impact on seabird populations.                       most sensitive to the Dalton Highway. Caribou
Combined with this source of seabird loss is the              cows with calves may be underrepresented
detrimental impact of large fish harvests on                  along the Dalton Highway during the calving
seabirds (e.g., seabirds are accidentally killed in           season due to avoidance of the road, habitat
drift gill nets, major shifts in fish stocks have             selection, or predator avoidance. Roads (without
altered seabird food supplies, and possible                   adjacent pipelines) that have heavy traffic
effects of fish biomass) (Hatch and Piatt 2001).              (e.g., >60 vehicles/h) appear to impede caribou
Disease, predation, fluctuations in prey, and                 movement. Pipeline-road combinations tend to
severe weather are among the natural                          have a synergistic effect on impeding caribou
phenomena that also contribute to cumulative                  movements (Curatolo and Murphy 1986;
impacts on wildlife (MMS 1998).                               Cronin et al. 1994). Regardless, the Central
                                                              Arctic Herd of caribou has grown in numbers
     The natural gas pipeline and other industrial            since the mid-1970s (i.e., from about 5,000 in
developments could result in more workers                     1975 to more than 27,000 in 2000) (ADF&G
within remote areas and could increase hunting                undated; Cronin et al. 1998b), and any
pressure depending on location and extent of                  redistribution of caribou in the spring has
development. However, it is likely that firearms              apparently not adversely affected population
will be prohibited from gas-pipeline construction             growth (TAPS Owners 2001a). The ADF&G
sites and facilities (as with APSC facilities today)          management objectives for this herd (10,000
and that hunting will be prohibited from the ROW              individuals) are being met, and herd-levels
of a gas pipeline, as with the TAPS ROW.                      impacts due to the oil field are not apparent
Increased public access could result in the                   (Cronin et al. 1998b).
greatest impact to wildlife through sport hunting,
while an NMDS may bring more military                             It is reasonable to expect that measures
personnel who hunt, although hunting may be                   designed to provide caribou and other large
prohibited on the military site (TAPS Owners                  mammals with unimpeded movement
2001a).                                                       (e.g., pipelines at least 5 ft aboveground and
                                                              minimizing permanent roads alongside
     The Central Arctic caribou herd has                      pipelines) would also be used in the future.
increased in size since oil field development and             Therefore, cumulative impacts that would
operation began. Similar increases have                       obstruct wildlife movements would be minor
occurred to all major caribou herds in northern               (USACE 1999), and synergistic effects at the
Alaska and Canada, and are presumed to be                     herd level would not be anticipated.
independent from the effects of oil field
development (Klein 1991). In fact, the                            The natural gas pipeline would have little or
populations of many wildlife populations that                 no impact on animal movements because only a
spend at least part of the year in the vicinity of oil        few aboveground structures would be required
fields are either stable or larger than when oil              on the North Slope and along the pipeline route.
field development began. In addition to caribou,              The gas pipeline would be buried and have no
                                                        4.7-85    ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES



impact, except during construction. The NMDS                 migration (BLM 1998). Caribou could be
would have very localized impacts in the area of             impacted by a large oil spill in the North Slope if
development. Increased public access could                   it occurred during the spring or insect-
result in more highway traffic and increased                 harassment period, when caribou are found in
obstruction of wildlife movements. The impact                coastal waters or on beaches. Some individuals
from other industrial activity would depend on its           or groups of caribou might come in contact with
extent and location (TAPS Owners 2001a).                     oil and be adversely affected. However, impacts
                                                             to the herd as a whole would be negligible.

     4.7.7.3.5 Spills. About 400 spills of                        As discussed in Section 4.4.4.11, a land-
diesel, crude, and hydraulic oils and other                  based oil spill can contaminate individual
substances (e.g., drilling wastes and seawater)              animals, their habitats, and their food resources.
occur yearly in the North Slope. Many of the oil             Species such as foxes may be attracted by dead
spills occur as a result of corroded infrastructure          oiled wildlife at a spill site or by human activity
(Schmidt 2002). Multiple spills could adversely              associated with spill cleanup. A large spill would
affect wildlife if more disturbances occurred                probably disturb and displace most animals
while populations were still recovering from the             (other than foxes and other scavengers) from the
initial disturbance (USACE 1999). Potentially,               area due to extensive activities associated with
tens of thousands of birds (e.g., long-tailed                spill cleanup activities (ADNR 1999). Leaving
ducks, common eider, and other sea ducks)                    some residual oil in place may be less damaging
could be killed as a result of oil spills within the         than the potential long-term effects of intensive
Beaufort Sea over the life of the oil fields. Other          cleanup activities (Jorgenson and Cater 1996).
species, such as brant and snow geese, could
be similarly affected by oil spills into coastal salt             A large oil spill (e.g., from a tanker spill) in
marshes or the Sagavanirktok River delta,                    Prince William Sound could have deleterious
respectively (MMS 1998). To date, there have                 impacts similar to those that resulted from the
been no significant offshore oil spills on the               Exxon Valdez oil spill (e.g., the loss of hundreds
North Slope and, subsequently, no measurable                 of thousands of marine and coastal birds and
mortality of seabirds and waterfowl, although                hundreds of eagles) (Ford et al. 1996; Exxon
such spills have occurred in other arctic regions.           Valdez Oil Spill Trustee Council 2002). Smaller
Based on experience, land-based spills of crude              oil spills and contamination routinely occur (e.g.,
oil in the oil fields are uncommon and have only             from natural crude oil seeps, and from bunker
impacted tens of acres. Diesel spills have been              and diesel fuel spills) (Burger and Fry 1993).
more common and have affected hundreds of                    Small oil spills would have an additive effect,
acres but mostly within gravel pads (Jorgenson               perhaps causing death to several thousand
1997), and thus have had a negligible biological             marine and coastal birds. Bird losses would be
impact. Current management and cleanup                       an incremental addition to the hundreds of
techniques are effective in reducing the                     thousands of birds that annually die in driftnets
occurrence of spills and in removing spills when             within the North Pacific, Bering Sea, and Gulf of
they occur (Jorgenson 1997).                                 Alaska (MMS 1998). However, present and
                                                             future oil transport through Prince William Sound
     Present and future North Slope oil field                is now safer than before the Exxon Valdez oil
developments could include more offshore                     spill because of the implementation of the
facilities, which would increase the potential for           SERVS vessel escort system. In addition, the
marine oil spills (USACE 1999). For example, oil             use of double-hulled tankers in the future will
pipelines will be used for the Northstar                     add further protection against potential tanker
development in the Alaskan Beaufort Sea, and                 spills (TAPS Owners 2001a).
fuel barges will be used for supply. Depending
on the time of year and the volume of the oil                     An analysis of the cumulative impact of
spill, several thousand birds could be affected by           tanker spills in the Gulf of Alaska determined
a spill in the Beaufort Sea (USACE 1999).                    that normal operations would have no
Significant impacts could occur to post-nesting              measurable impact on marine mammals, marine
birds that concentrate along the coast for brood             and coastal bird populations, and terrestrial
rearing, molting, premigratory staging, or                   mammals (MMS 2002). A worst case analysis of
ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES                             4.7-86



a large tanker spill in the Gulf of Alaska                  by weathering and dispersion in the water.
(200,000 bbl) would result in significant impacts           Recovery periods would be lengthened if more
to biological resources if the spill occurred in the        than one spill affected the same population
summer under onshore wind conditions (MMS                   within a short interval — a situation that is
2002). Full recovery of non-endangered marine               unlikely. Therefore, effects on species along the
mammals would vary from 5-10 years for sea                  tanker-transportation route south of the Gulf of
otters, 1 year for northern fur seals, 2-5 years for        Alaska to the U.S. West Coast and California
harbor seals, and 10 years or more for                      ports are expected to be about the same or less
cetaceans (assuming the complete loss of a pod              than those described above for the Gulf of
of killer whales). Marine and coastal birds would           Alaska (MMS 2002).
also be significantly impacted by a large tanker
spill with full recovery taking multiple                          Ports receiving oil produced on the North
generations of successful post-spill reproduction           Slope are sensitive areas in the unlikely event of
(MMS 2002). If the spill was to occur in late               a significant oil spill. For example, the area of
spring and the spill affected the Copper River              the Los Angeles/Long Beach (LA/LB) marine
Delta, a catastrophic loss of marine and coastal            terminal includes, in addition to terminal and port
birds could occur with losses of up to 10,000-              facilities, sand beaches, marinas, wetlands, and
50,000 individual western sandpipers, dunlin,               habitats of sensitive species. The most
dusky Canada goose. The MMS (2002) also                     significant, sensitive, and important habitats and
estimated that approximately 20-30 brown and                resources in the area are found in approximately
black bears could ingest oil-covered food.                  3,000 acres of remaining wetlands, including
Recovery of bear populations would take 1 year.             Anaheim Bay, Bolsa Chica, Huntington Beach,
                                                            Talbert Marsh, and Santa Ana River mouth.
    While a worst-case tanker spill in the Gulf of          Anaheim Bay is much reduced from its original
Alaska would significantly impact a number of               size. Many shorebirds and migrating birds
biological resources, the likelihood of such an             depend upon it for survival, and it receives a
event is extremely small (see                               high priority for protection. Species that nest
Section 4.7.4.10.6). Thus, the overall cumulative           and/or feed in areas potentially affected by a
impact from tanker traffic is considered                    spill in the region encompassing the terminal
negligible over the lifetime of the proposed                include the California brown pelican, the
renewal period.                                             California least tern, western snowy plover, light
                                                            footed clapper rail, and Belding’s savannah
     LaBelle and Marshall (1995) calculated                 sparrow. Also in the area, San Nicholas Island
simulated oil-spill trajectories for tanker routes          has an introduced population of the sea otter. A
off the U.S. West Coast. Oil-spill trajectories             potential candidate for listing, the black skimmer,
were mapped as “risk contours” (or oil-spill travel         utilizes sand beaches in the area, particularly
time at sea), showing the chance of contact to              Seal Beach (California Department of Fish and
environmental resource areas, assuming an oil               Game 2002).
spill occurred (conditional probabilities). Off the
California coast, an oil spill at 100 nautical miles
offshore would have a 5% chance of contacting                   4.7.7.3.6 Summary. On the North
the shoreline within 30 days, while an oil spill at         Slope and in the Beaufort Sea, the most
80 nautical miles offshore would have a 10%                 important future activities that could contribute to
chance of contacting the shoreline within                   cumulative impacts on birds and terrestrial
30 days. The contour lines are farther offshore             mammals would be planned oil and gas
off Washington and Oregon.                                  development activities, oil and gas
                                                            transportation, and natural resource use
     Spills of this size at sea have not been found         (e.g., subsistence). In Interior Alaska, future
to cause serious effects on bird, fish, or sea              actions that could contribute to the cumulative
mammal populations when the effects have been               impacts on these species would include oil and
studied. Additionally, at-sea spills of these               gas transport, other transportation activities,
average sizes are not expected to reach large               human habitation and development, and land
areas of habitat critical to these species’ survival        management actions. For example, timber
until after the oil has been rendered less harmful          harvests and post-harvest management may
                                                     4.7-87    ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES



directly and indirectly affect winter habitat of          on birds and terrestrial mammals would be more
caribou through loss of lichen (Wolfe, S.A.,              evident, particularly within the North Slope.
et al. 2000). In Prince William Sound, future             While activities associated with gas production
actions that could contribute to cumulative               and transportation would occur under both
impacts on birds and terrestrial mammals would            alternatives, oil production and transportation
include oil transport, other transportation               would be reduced to very low levels for the
activities (e.g., barging and cruise ships), human        no-action alternative. Thus, most oil production
habitation, natural resource use                          facilities would be idled. Also, the incremental
(e.g., commercial and recreational fishing,               changes that would have occurred from future oil
hunting, and trapping), and land management               field developments would not occur. Therefore,
activities. However, it is expected that none of          the level of disturbance to wildlife within the
these activities would significantly increase             North Slope would be less for the no-action
cumulative impacts or affect the viability of             alternative as the level of vehicle use and human
species’ populations including from synergistic           activity would reduced. For example, caribou
effects. Oil spills would not significantly add to        using gravel pads during periods of insect
cumulative impacts, except for an unlikely to             harassment would not be disturbed on pads
very unlikely large spill to aquatic habitats; in this    housing idled facilities. The potential for
case, impacts similar to those from the Exxon             accidental oil spills would also decline within the
Valdez oil spill could occur (see Section                 North Slope, along the TAPS ROW, and within
4.4.4.11).                                                Prince William Sound, the Gulf of Alaska, and
                                                          Pacific transportation routes. However, the
    Impacts associated directly with the TAPS             infrastructure required to promptly clean up any
are only a small component of the cumulative              spills that may occur within these areas may not
impacts associated with the activities listed in          be available in areas or ports where other oil
Table 4.7-2. However, the indirect effects of the         transportation is not common (e.g., response
TAPS are a significant contributor to cumulative          equipment and teams associated with the TAPS
impacts to birds, and terrestrial mammals                 would not be present).
because of the interdependence of current and
foreseeable oil development, production, and
transportation activities with the TAPS.                      4.7.7.4 Threatened,
                                                                       Endangered, and
     Cumulative impacts of the less-than-30-year
                                                                       Protected Species
renewal alternative on birds and terrestrial
mammals would be similar to the cumulative                     Cumulative impacts to threatened,
impacts of the proposed action. TAPS                      endangered, and protected species result from
operations, monitoring, and maintenance                   past, present, and reasonably foreseeable future
activities; and other present and foreseeable             actions in the three regions crossed by the
actions would essentially be the same for both            TAPS: (1) North Slope and Beaufort Sea;
alternatives (except for the duration of the TAPS         (2) Interior Alaska; and (3) Prince William
renewal period). The shorter renewal period               Sound. In addition, spills of North Slope oil could
would not coincide with any other current or              impact listed species in the Gulf of Alaska and
foreseeable actions listed in Table 4.7-2. The            Pacific transportation routes. Cumulative
differences in cumulative impacts between the             impacts are considered separately for species in
two renewal alternatives would likely be within           the three TAPS regions because there are few
the same order of magnitude. If at the end of the         species that occur in more than one. Past and
less-than-30-year renewal period a further                present activities that contribute to cumulative
request for renewal was granted, cumulative               impacts are part of the existing baseline and are
impacts would continue as stated for the                  described in Section 3.22. Only past activities or
proposed action. If a further request for renewal         events whose impacts still influence the status of
was not granted, cumulative impacts would                 listed or protected species are considered here.
continue as stated for no action, below.                  Factors contributing to the existing baseline for
                                                          species are sometimes not well known, not
    Differences in cumulative impacts between
                                                          restricted to TAPS or oil-related activities, and
the no-action alternative and the proposed action
ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES                           4.7-88



occur in other portions of the species’ ranges.           TAPS and non-TAPS activities) as represented
No critical habitat, as designated by the ESA,            in the existing baseline are considered moderate
occurs in the area affected by TAPS operations;           if the species is threatened or depleted and large
therefore, cumulative impacts on critical habitats        if the species is listed as endangered. The
are not discussed here.                                   effects of past and present activities on state
                                                          species of special concern are considered
    Tables 4.7-11, 4.7-12, and 4.7-13 provide an          minor. The effects of past and present actions on
overview of the relative contributions of the             other species were based on the current status
proposed action and past, present, and                    of populations relative to predisturbance
reasonably foreseeable future actions to                  population estimates, as described in
cumulative impacts on listed and protected                Section 3.22.
species. Five categories of impact are
considered:                                                    The relative impacts of future actions on
                                                          listed and protected species were estimated on
•   No effect: Activity has not produced or is not        the basis of information presented in
    expected to produce an effect on the                  Section 4.7.4. The impacting factors associated
    species.                                              with future actions that affect listed and
                                                          protected species are similar to those described
•   Negligible effect: Activity has produced or is        for the proposed action (see Section 4.3.14). The
    expected to produce an adverse effect, but            relative magnitude of impacts was determined
    the effect is or would not be distinguishable         from the area that would be affected by the
    from natural variability in population size.          future action and the nature of the impact
                                                          (i.e., habitat alteration, noise, air emissions,
•   Minor effect: Activity has produced or is
                                                          changes in hydrology).
    expected to produce a small but measurable
    decrease (about 5% or less) in population                  Only petroleum spills that are anticipated or
    size that does or would not affect the viability      likely to occur are considered in this cumulative
    of the population.                                    impact evaluation. These include spills that
                                                          result from vandalism or sabotage, because, on
•   Moderate effect: Activity has produced or is
                                                          the basis of past frequencies of occurrence,
    expected to produce a moderate measurable
                                                          these types of spills are likely to occur. Only
    decrease (more than about 5%) in
                                                          large spills (which are considered unlikely or
    population size that does or would not affect
                                                          very unlikely to occur) would contribute
    the viability of the population.
                                                          substantially to the cumulative impact on listed
•   Large effect: Activity has produced or is             and protected species. Since these spills are not
    expected to produce a measurable decrease             “reasonably foreseeable,” their effects are not
    in population size that does or would affect          described here. It is important to note that the
    the viability of the population.                      proposed action would not affect the waters of
                                                          the Beaufort Sea, except in the case of an
    The same five categories are used to                  unlikely or very unlikely catastrophic oil spill into
describe the overall cumulative effect (i.e., the         the Sagavanirktok River that could not be
effect of all past, present, and future actions           contained before it entered the Beaufort Sea.
together on the species of concern). These
designated levels of impact are consistent with                The proposed action would result in a
the definitions of “threatened” and “endangered,”         negligible contribution to cumulative impacts on
as provided in the ESA and presented in                   listed and protected species on the North Slope
Section 3.22.                                             (spectacled eider, Steller’s eider, and Arctic
                                                          peregrine falcon) and no contribution to
    For listed species (i.e., those listed as             cumulative impacts on species in the Beaufort
threatened or endangered by the federal                   Sea because the proposed action would not
government or the state or as depleted by the             affect the water of the Beaufort Sea
federal government under the MMPA), the                   (Table 4.7-11).
effects of past and present activities (including
TABLE 4.7-11 Cumulative Impacts on Threatened, Endangered, and Protected Species That Occur on the North
Slope and Beaufort Seaa

                                                                       Relative Contribution to Cumulative Effect

                                         Oil and Gas               Human
                                         Exploration,             Habitation
                                        Development,                and                   Transportation   Land    Natural                                  Overall
                               Existing       and     Oil and Gas Develop-                (other than oil Manage- Resource Petroleum              Proposed Cumulative
           Species            Baselineb Production Transportation   ment                     and gas)      ment     Use     Spillsc                Actiond   Effect

    Arctic peregrine falcon   Negligible     Negligible      Negligible      Negligible      Negligible    Negligible     None       Negligible   Negligible   Negligible
    Spectacled eider          Moderate       Negligible      Negligible      Negligible      Negligible    Negligible   Negligible   Negligible   Negligible   Moderate
    Steller’s eider           Moderate       Negligible      Negligible      Negligible      Negligible    Negligible   Negligible   Negligible   Negligible   Moderate
    Bearded seal              Negligible     Negligible      Negligible        None            None          None       Negligible   Negligible     None       Negligible
    Beluga whalee             Negligible     Negligible      Negligible        None            None          None       Negligible   Negligible     None       Negligible
    Bowhead whale              Large         Negligible      Negligible        None            None          None       Negligible   Negligible     None        Large
    Gray whale                Negligible     Negligible      Negligible        None            None          None       Negligible   Negligible     None       Negligible




                                                                                                                                                                                4.7-89
    Pacific walrus            Negligible     Negligible      Negligible        None            None          None       Negligible   Negligible     None       Negligible
    Polar bear                Negligible     Negligible      Negligible      Negligible      Negligible    Negligible   Negligible   Negligible     None       Negligible
    Ribbon seal               Negligible     Negligible      Negligible        None            None          None       Negligible   Negligible     None       Negligible
    Ringed seal               Negligible     Negligible      Negligible        None            None          None       Negligible   Negligible     None       Negligible
    Spotted seal              Negligible     Negligible      Negligible        None            None          None       Negligible   Negligible     None       Negligible




                                                                                                                                                                                ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES
a     Impacts in all portions of the species’ ranges are considered. None = activity has not produced or is not expected to produce any effect; negligible = activity
      has produced or is expected to produce an adverse effect, but the effect on population size would not be distinguishable from natural variability in population
      size; minor = activity has produced or is expected to produce a small but measurable (5% or less) decrease in population size that does not affect the
      viability of the population; moderate = activity has produced or is expected to produce a moderate measurable decrease (more than 5%) in population size
      that does not affect the viability of the population; large = activity has produced or is expected to produce a measurable decrease in population size that
      affects the viability of the population.
b     Existing baseline incorporates the effects of all current ongoing activities and residual past effects (i.e., the effects of past activities that continue to influence
      baseline conditions) and both TAPS and non-TAPS activities. The effects of past and present activities are considered moderate for species listed as
      threatened or depleted and large for species listed as endangered. These effects are considered minor for state species of special concern.
c     Only those petroleum spills that are considered anticipated or likely to occur are presented here. Very large spills that are unlikely or very unlikely to occur
      could have impacts ranging from no effect to large effect depending on the location and extent of the area affected.
d     The direct and indirect effects of the proposed action are presented.
e     Beaufort Sea and Chukchi stocks.
TABLE 4.7-12 Cumulative Impacts on Threatened, Endangered, and Protected Species That Occur




                                                                                                                                                                                ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES
in Interior Alaskaa

                                                                        Relative Contribution to Cumulative Effect

                                         Oil and Gas               Human
                                         Exploration,             Habitation
                                        Development,                and                   Transportation   Land    Natural                                  Overall
                               Existing       and     Oil and Gas Develop-                (other than oil Manage- Resource Petroleum              Proposed Cumulative
           Species            Baselineb Production Transportation   ment                     and gas)      ment     Use     Spillsc                Actiond   Effect

    American peregrine        Negligible Negligible        Negligible       Negligible    Negligible       Negligible     None      Negligible   Negligible Negligible
      falcon
    Blackpoll warbler         Minor       Negligible       Negligible       Negligible    Negligible       Negligible     None      Negligible   Negligible   Minor
    Gray-cheeked thrush       Minor       Negligible       Negligible       Negligible    Negligible       Negligible     None      Negligible   Negligible   Minor
    Olive-sided flycatcher    Minor       Negligible       Negligible       Negligible    Negligible       Negligible     None      Negligible   Negligible   Minor
    Townsend’s warbler        Minor       Negligible       Negligible       Negligible    Negligible       Negligible     None      Negligible   Negligible   Minor

a     Impacts in all portions of the species’ ranges are considered. None = activity has not produced or is not expected to produce any effect; negligible = activity




                                                                                                                                                                                4.7-90
      has produced or is expected to produce an adverse effect, but the effect on population size would not be distinguishable from natural variability in population
      size; minor = activity has produced or is expected to produce a small but measurable (5% or less) decrease in population size that does not affect the
      viability of the population; moderate = activity has produced or is expected to produce a moderate measurable decrease (more than 5%) in population size
      that does not affect the viability of the population; large = activity has produced or is expected to produce a measurable decrease in population size that
      affects the viability of the population.
b     Existing baseline incorporates the effects of all current ongoing activities and residual past effects (i.e., the effects of past activities that continue to influence
      baseline conditions) and both TAPS and non-TAPS activities. The effects of past and present activities are considered moderate for species listed as
      threatened or depleted and large for species listed as endangered. These affects are considered minor for state species of special concern.
c     Only those petroleum spills that are considered anticipated or likely to occur are presented here. Very large spills that are unlikely or very unlikely to occur
      could have impacts ranging from no effect to large effect depending on the location and extent of the area affected.
d     The direct and indirect effects of the proposed action are presented.
TABLE 4.7-13 Cumulative Impacts on Threatened, Endangered, and Protected Species That Occur in
Prince William Sounda

                                                                  Relative Contribution to Cumulative Effect

                                                            Human
                                                           Habitation
                                                             and      Transportation Land    Natural                                            Overall
                                   Existing  Oil and Gas   Develop- (other than oil Manage- Resource Petroleum                        Proposed Cumulative
             Species              Baselineb Transportation   ment        and gas)    ment     Use     Spillsc                          Actiond   Effect

    Steller’s eider               Moderate        None            None            None           None       Negligible   Negligible   Negligible   Moderate
    Beluga whalee                 Moderate      Negligible        None          Negligible       None       Negligible   Negligible   Negligible   Moderate
    Dall’s porpoise               Negligible    Negligible        None          Negligible       None       Negligible   Negligible   Negligible     None
    Fin whale                      Large        Negligible        None          Negligible       None       Negligible   Negligible   Negligible    Large
    Gray whale                    Negligible    Negligible        None          Negligible       None       Negligible   Negligible   Negligible     None
    Harbor porpoise               Negligible    Negligible        None          Negligible       None       Negligible   Negligible   Negligible     None
    Harbor seal                    Minor        Negligible      Negligible      Negligible     Negligible   Negligible   Negligible   Negligible    Minor
    Humpback whale                 Large        Negligible        None          Negligible       None       Negligible   Negligible   Negligible    Large




                                                                                                                                                                  4.7-91
    Killer whale                  Negligible    Negligible        None          Negligible       None       Negligible   Negligible   Negligible   Negligible
    Minke whale                   Negligible    Negligible        None          Negligible       None       Negligible   Negligible   Negligible   Negligible
    Pacific white-sided dolphin   Negligible    Negligible        None          Negligible       None       Negligible   Negligible   Negligible   Negligible
    Sea otter                      Minor        Negligible      Negligible      Negligible     Negligible   Negligible   Negligible   Negligible    Minor
    Steller sea lion               Large        Negligible      Negligible      Negligible     Negligible   Negligible   Negligible   Negligible    Large




                                                                                                                                                                  ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES
a    Impacts on all portions of the species’ ranges are considered. None = activity has not produced or is not expected to produce any effect;
     negligible = activity has produced or is expected to produce an adverse effect, but the effect on population size would not be distinguishable from
     natural variability in population size; minor = activity has produced or is expected to produce a small but measurable (5% or less) decrease in
     population size that does not affect the viability of the population; moderate = activity has produced or is expected to produce a moderate
     measurable decrease (more than 5%) in population size that does not affect the viability of the population; large = activity has produced or is
     expected to produce a measurable decrease in population size that affects the viability of the population.
b    Existing baseline incorporates the effects of all current ongoing activities and residual past effects (i.e., the effects of past activities that continue
     to influence baseline conditions) and both TAPS and non-TAPS activities. The effects of past and present activities are considered moderate for
     species listed as threatened or depleted and large for species listed as endangered. These affects are considered minor for state species of
     special concern.
c    Only those petroleum spills that are considered anticipated or likely to occur are presented here. Very large spills that are unlikely or very unlikely
     to occur could have impacts ranging from no effect to large effect depending on the location and extent of the area affected.
d    The direct and indirect effects of the proposed action are presented.
e    Cook Inlet stock.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES                         4.7-92



     The largest contribution to cumulative             existence of this species, but that adverse
impacts on species occupying the North Slope            effects of noise on whale behavior were possible
and Beaufort Sea would result from past and             (Knowles 2001).
current activities, including activities and effects
in other portions of the ranges of these species.           None of the species in Interior Alaska are
For example, for the spectacled eider, the              currently listed by the federal government as
ingestion of lead shot and ecosystem-level              threatened or endangered. The American
changes elsewhere in its range might have been          peregrine falcon has been de-listed because the
major contributors to the declines in the               population has recovered. Several neotropical
population of the species (USFWS 1999).                 migrant bird species are considered species of
Population status and factors affecting the status      special concern by the state (blackpoll warbler,
of listed and protected species are discussed in        gray-cheeked thrush, olive-sided flycatcher,
Section 3.22. The most important future activities      Townsend’s warbler), but past and present
that could contribute to cumulative impacts on          actions affecting existing populations mostly
the North Slope and Beaufort Sea are planned            result from impacts in other portions of the
oil and gas development activities, oil and gas         ranges of these species. Future actions in
transportation, and natural resource use                Interior Alaska that could contribute to the
(subsistence harvests). However, on the basis of        cumulative impact on these species include oil
information available none of these activities are      and gas transport, human habitation and
expected to noticeably increase the cumulative          development, other transportation activities, land
impact or affect the viability of species’              management actions, and petroleum spills
populations.                                            (Table 4.7-12). The contributions to the
                                                        cumulative impact from all of these activities and
     Spectacled and Steller’s eiders could be           from the proposed action are expected to be
affected by future activities and facilities that       negligible given the area of habitat potentially
would disturb their habitat, including the              affected compared to that available.
development of new production facilities and oil
and gas transportation infrastructure. Increased             Future actions contributing to cumulative
predator abundance associated with human                impacts on listed and protected species in
occupation and the subsequent increased                 Prince William Sound include oil transport
mortality of eider eggs and young have been             (tankering), other transportation activities
identified as a concern on the North Slope but          (e.g., barge traffic), human habitation, natural
could be mitigated with proper disposal and             resource use (e.g., commercial and recreational
management of food waste (USFWS 2002). New              fisheries), land management, and petroleum
development is expected to have relatively minor        spills. The largest contribution to the cumulative
effects, given the overall availability of habitat      impact results from past and existing impacts.
across the North Slope; consequently, the               The Exxon Valdez oil spill has affected several
overall cumulative impact on eiders would be            species in the Sound, including the sea otter and
relatively unchanged. Cumulative impacts are            Steller sea lion (Section 3.22.3; Table 4.7-13).
not expected to threaten the population viability       Past and present impacts to fin whale,
of either the spectacled or Steller’s eider.            humpback whale, beluga whale, and Steller’s
                                                        eider, for the most part, occur in other portions of
     Concern has been raised about the effect of        the ranges of these species (see Section 3.22).
underwater noise and disturbances associated            Reasonably foreseeable future actions in the
with oil and gas development on whales                  Sound, because of their nature and size (see
inhabiting the Beaufort Sea. All whale species          Section 4.7.4), would contribute relatively minor
that have been examined show some aversion to           increments to the overall cumulative impact, and
underwater noise (see Section 3.22). A recent           these increments are not expected to reduce the
evaluation of the cumulative impacts of leasing         viability of existing populations in Prince William
and exploration activities on bowhead whales of         Sound.
the Outer Continental Shelf portion of the
U.S. Beaufort Sea concluded that these activities            The proposed action would result in a
were not likely to jeopardize the continued             negligible contribution to cumulative impacts on
                                                        listed and protected species in Prince William
                                                        4.7-93    ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES



Sound (Table 4.7-13). Very minor amounts of                  an incremental reduction in survival to adulthood
water pollutants would be released as effluent to            but probably would not result in population-level
Port Valdez during normal operations of the                  effects. It is unlikely that any adverse effects
TAPS. On the basis of past monitoring results,               would occur to either salmon or other fish
these permitted discharges would not affect                  species as a result of a tanker spill. It is unlikely
overall water quality in the Sound. Similarly,               that an oil spill would affect designated critical
anticipated or likely spills associated with the             habitat for marbled murrelets, because the
proposed action are expected to be relatively                critical habitat is inland coniferous forests. It also
small, and, if existing oil spill contingency plans          is unlikely that an oil spill would affect proposed
for response and cleanup are followed, any                   critical habitat for western snowy plovers. If an
impacts from the spills should be short in                   oil spill occurred from a tanker carrying oil from
duration. Large spills (not included in                      the North Slope and the spill contacted proposed
Table 4.7-13) that are considered unlikely or                critical habitat, the intertidal food sources for this
very unlikely could contribute substantially to the          species may be adversely affected, resulting in
cumulative impacts on listed and protected                   slow growth and development and/or death of
species in Prince William Sound. The impacts of              the chicks. No significant mortality of short-tailed
such a spill would depend on many factors                    albatrosses is expected to result from a tanker
including location, weather, time of year, and               spill along the transportation route. No adverse
area affected.                                               effects from any spill containing oil produced on
                                                             the North Slope are expected to result to the
     The analysis of oil-spill risk on some species          following: the northern spotted owl, California
along transportation routes from Alaska to ports             freshwater shrimp, California tiger salamander,
on the U.S. west coast can be found in the Cook              mission blue butterfly, San Bruno elfin butterfly,
Inlet Planning Area Oil and Gas Lease Sale 149               callippe silverspot butterfly, Behren’s silverspot
Final EIS (MMS 1995). That EIS discusses                     butterfly, Suisun thistle, soft bird’s-beak, coastal
potential effects of an oil spill on these species           dunes milk vetch, Hickmann’s potentilla, La
as a result of tankers transporting oil from the             Graciosa thistle, yellow larkspur, Sonoma
Cook Inlet sale area to California ports.                    alopecurus, showy Indian clover, Presidio
                                                             manzanita, marsh sandwort, robust spineflower,
     Sea lions are not expected to be adversely              Sonoma spineflower, Presidio clarkia, Santa
affected, because studies suggest there would                Cruz cypress, Baker’s larkspur, Santa Cruz
be relatively low effects of an oil spill on sea             tarplant, clover lupine, and white-rayed
lions. Northern sea otters likely would be at                pentachaeta.
limited risk from a tanker oil spill, because oil
spilled along the Far East tanker route would                     The effects on marine mammals of
tend to be moved parallel to the Aleutian Islands            underwater noise associated with boat and
by the Alaskan Stream rather than toward the                 tanker traffic is a concern in Prince William
coast where sea otters might be contacted.                   Sound, much as it is in the Beaufort Sea. Unlike
Critical habitat for Steller’s eiders on the north           in the Beaufort Sea, however, no substantial
side of the Alaska Peninsula also is unlikely to             increases in noise are anticipated in Prince
be at risk from a tanker spill along the Far East            William Sound, since tanker and boat traffic is
tanker route. Overall, the potential for an oil spill        not expected to increase substantially over the
to affect salmonids and other fish species,                  TAPS renewal period. Decreasing throughput
including the tidewater goby, the Sacramento                 during the renewal period could result in
splittail, Pacific hake, white abalone, and black            decreased tanker traffic and reduced noise
abalone, appears limited.                                    levels.

     Implementation of the provisions of the Oil                 The cumulative impact of the less-than-
Pollution Act of 1990 should significantly reduce            30-year renewal alternative on listed and
the frequency and magnitude of spills associated             protected species would be very similar to that of
with oil tankers. If an oil spill coincided with the         cumulative impacts under the proposed action.
outmigration of smolt, some smolts could be                  The only difference between the proposed action
exposed to spilled oil. An oil spill could cause             and this alternative is the length of the renewal
slower growth for smolts, which could result in
ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES                            4.7-94



period. As for the proposed action, a decision             oil and gas transportation; and use of natural
could be made to renew the Federal Grant at the            resources (subsistence harvest). Activities in
end of the renewal period. Therefore, ultimately,          Interior Alaska, including the proposed action,
the period of time during which the TAPS would             would result in negligible contributions to the
operate under the less-than-30-year renewal                cumulative impact on species that occur there. In
alternative could be identical to that under the           Prince William Sound and the Gulf of
proposed action. A shorter renewal period would            Alaska/Pacific Ocean, the largest contributors to
not preclude any other existing or foreseeable             cumulative impacts would be associated with
actions from occurring. Because large impacts              past, present, and future oil and gas
on listed species are due to existing non-TAPS             transportation (tankering) and use of natural
actions, and because a very unlikely major spill           resources (commercial fishing).
could occur for either alternative, the duration of
the renewal period does not affect recovery from               The cumulative impact of the less-than-
effects. Consequently, the cumulative impact of            30-year renewal alternative on listed and
this alternative could be the same as that of the          protected species would be very similar to that of
proposed action.                                           the proposed action because TAPS operation
                                                           and associated activities would continue and the
     The cumulative impact of the no-action                impacts of other future activities would be
alternative on listed and protected species would          similar. In contrast, the cumulative impact of the
be quite different from that of the proposed               no-action alternative on listed and protected
action. Differences result from the relationship           species would be quite different from that of the
between the TAPS and oil and gas production on             proposed action. Differences would result from
the North Slope. For the no-action alternative it          the relationship between the TAPS and oil and
is assumed that oil exploration and production             gas production on the North Slope. Under the
activities would cease pending development of              no-action alternative, the cumulative impact
another means of transporting the oil to market,           would be less than it would be under the
but that gas production and transportation would           proposed action because of the reduction in
occur via a natural gas pipeline. Thus, the                impacts associated with oil exploration and
cumulative impact of the no-action alternative             production on the North Slope and oil
would be less than that of the proposed action             transportation in Prince William Sound. Although
because of the reduction in impacts associated             there would be some potential for a short-term
with oil exploration and production on the North           increase in impacts resulting from termination
Slope and oil transportation in Prince William             activities for production facilities on the North
Sound. Although there would be some potential              Slope and Prince William Sound, the overall
for a short-term increase in impacts resulting             cumulative impact on listed and protected
from termination activities for production                 species under the no-action alternative would be
facilities on the North Slope and on Prince                minor and less than that under the proposed
William Sound, the overall cumulative impact on            action.
listed and protected species of the no-action
alternative would be minor and less than that of
the proposed action.                                       4.7.8 Social Systems
     In summary, the impacts of the proposed
action would represent a small incremental                     4.7.8.1 Subsistence
contribution to the cumulative impact on listed
and protected species. For all of these species,               As was the case when assessing
the largest contributions to cumulative impact             subsistence impacts of the proposed action and
would occur in other portions of the species’              other alternatives considered in this EIS, the
range. On the North Slope, past and present oil            evaluation of cumulative impacts on subsistence
and gas production activities would be the                 requires consideration of complex relationships
largest contributors to cumulative impact, while           among several variables  biological resource
important future contributors would include oil            levels, human population, the economics of
and gas exploration and development activities;            various components of Alaskan society,
                                                           recreational hunter and angler practices and
                                                     4.7-95    ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES



harvests, and subsistence practices and harvest           cumulative impacts to subsistence, discussed in
levels. The evaluation of cumulative impacts on           this section, similarly considers all possible
subsistence is particularly challenging in that it        effects to arrive at an overall assessment.
involves several past, present, and reasonably
foreseeable actions, each potentially affecting                The following evaluation focuses primarily
the above variables. Of particular concern are            on cumulative impacts associated with the
North Slope oil field development and potential           proposed action. Cumulative impacts associated
impacts from tanker transportation of oil (as             with the less-than-30-year renewal and no-action
occurred following the Exxon Valdez oil spill).           alternatives appear at the end of the section.
Nevertheless, one would expect certain types of           This analysis evaluates cumulative impacts for
conditions to emerge under negative and                   three principal geographic areas associated with
positive impacts. Negative impacts would                  the TAPS: the North Slope, Interior Alaska, and
generate reduced subsistence harvest levels or            Prince William Sound/Gulf of Alaska. This
efficiency, through smaller resource populations,         procedure differs slightly from other geographic
changed resource locations, increased                     treatments of subsistence in the EIS, essentially
competition for resources, disrupted subsistence          combining the Yukon River drainage and Copper
activities, reduced access to resources, or some          River basin (used in subsistence impact
combination of these factors resulting from the           evaluations in other parts of the document) into
alternatives considered in this EIS in conjunction        Interior Alaska.
with other pertinent (past, present, or reasonably
foreseeable) actions. Positive impacts, in turn,               For cumulative impacts, several effects on
would be those leading to improved subsistence            subsistence would be possible due to past,
harvest levels or efficiency, through increased           present, and reasonably foreseeable future
resource populations, resource relocation closer          actions. These effects would vary in importance
to subsistence users, improved access to                  depending on the geographic area being
resources, improved ability to acquire more               considered. The principal potential effects are as
efficient transportation or harvest technology, or        follows:
some combination of these factors, again as a
                                                          •   More infrastructure and activity in support of
consequence of pertinent actions. The
                                                              this infrastructure would potentially increase
evaluation of cumulative impacts on subsistence
                                                              disruption to the movement of various types
that follows considered this large collection of
                                                              of fish and game.
interrelated factors for cumulative impacts
associated with the proposed action, less-than-           •   Additional actions that would introduce more
30-year renewal alternative, and no-action                    infrastructure, people, and activities would
alternative. It concludes that negative impacts               further limit the areas where subsistence is
would be associated with the first two, with their            pursued.
magnitude low for all except those on the North
Slope, which would be moderate.                           •   Improved access to rural Alaska may
                                                              accompany the construction and
     Section 4.3.20 contains a description of                 maintenance of additional service roads
anticipated impacts under the proposed action.                associated with other current or potential
That analysis was based on an evaluation of                   activities, such as oil and gas exploration on
evidence for all possible impacts to subsistence              the North Slope and construction, operation,
as a result of the TAPS, either positive or                   and maintenance of a natural gas pipeline.
negative. The evaluation of impacts under the
less-than-30-year renewal alternative employed            •   The overall state population likely would
an identical approach, yielding a conclusion                  grow in response to the direct and indirect
similar to that for the proposed action (the                  economic effects of current and reasonably
magnitude of the negative impacts likely less                foreseeable actions; the increased number
see Section 4.5.2.20). Finally an assessment of               of residents may generate increased
likely subsistence impacts under the no-action                competition for fish and game resources.
alternative indicated a slight positive impact
overall (see Section 4.6.2.20). The analysis of
ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES                            4.7-96



•   Increasing numbers of outsiders would be               •   Improved subsistence through enhanced
    introduced to rural Alaska through their                   travel to resources, increased harvest
    involvement in present and reasonably                      levels, increased harvest efficiency, or some
    foreseeable actions, increasing the number                 combination of all three through access to
    of potential competitors for fish and game                 cash to purchase modern transportation and
    resources,                                                 harvest technology.

•   Larger amounts of cash would probably be                    The North Slope communities of Anaktuvuk
    available to individuals pursuing recreational         Pass and Nuiqsut both rely heavily on
    hunting and fishing, enabling them to obtain           subsistence for economic, sociocultural, and
    and operate improved sport harvest-related             ceremonial reasons. Because of their locations,
    technologies.                                          the locations of their subsistence harvest areas,
                                                           and their subsistence practices, each village
•   Larger amounts of cash would probably be               likely would experience the above impacts to
    available to individuals pursuing subsistence          some degree. In part these impacts would be
    activities, enabling them to obtain and                directly associated with various activities and
    operate improved subsistence-related                   land management strategies identified
    technologies.                                          elsewhere in this EIS. The presence of
                                                           infrastructure and crews associated with oil and
     On the North Slope, many of the current               gas exploration and development already
and reasonably foreseeable actions tend to                 restricts subsistence in areas traditionally used
involve the oil and gas oil industry  through             for that purpose (BLM 1998; Haynes and
exploration, development, production, support,             Pedersen 1989; Pedersen et al. 2000). Although
and transportation. A second important future              the establishment of Gates of the Arctic NPP did
action there would be the construction and                 not disallow subsistence activities in the park
operation of a natural gas pipeline with facilities        area, it did introduce certain restrictions
and activities present on the North Slope (and             (e.g., allowable modes of transportation) that
extending south). Finally, the northern part of            increased the difficulty of subsistence in the park
Gates of the Arctic NPP is located on the                  (Ned 1992; Reakoff 1992). Nevertheless, the
North Slope, where it overlaps with portions               traditional harvest areas of these villages are
of traditional subsistence harvest areas for               very large, both exceeding 11,000 mi2, enabling
Anaktuvuk Pass and Nuiqsut (see Maps 3.24-1,               the continued pursuit of subsistence in other
3.27-2, D-3, and D-4). Likely cumulative impacts           locations outside the restricted areas. Additional
to subsistence in the North Slope would include            travel likely would be necessary to harvest
the following:                                             certain resources, reducing subsistence
                                                           efficiency (see Pedersen et al. 2000). As a
•   Increased disruption to the movement of
                                                           consequence, the magnitude of this impact is
    subsistence resources;
                                                           anticipated to be moderate.
•   Increased restrictions against using certain
                                                                The impact of the TAPS and human
    areas traditionally used for subsistence;
                                                           activities on subsistence resource movement
•   Increased number of potential competitors              continues to be debated. One of the main
    for fish and game in subsistence harvest               concerns is caribou, a key subsistence resource
    areas;                                                 that migrates (in herds) in the spring and fall of
                                                           each year (see Section 3). Scientific evidence
•   Improved sport harvests by enhanced travel             indicates that human activities could change
    to resources, increased harvest levels,                caribou movement patterns (Horejsi 1981;
    increased harvest efficiency, increased                Lenart 2000; Murphy and Lawhead 2000; Tyler
    opportunities for recreational hunting and             1991; Wolfe, S.A., et al. 2000), and testimony
    fishing, or some combination of all four               from several of the rural communities in the
    through access to additional cash to                   vicinity of the TAPS associates the pipeline and
    purchase pertinent technology or otherwise             related activity with changes in herd movement
    fund sport hunting and fishing; and                    (ADF&G 2001; Moses 1993; see also
                                                    4.7-97    ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES



Section 3.24.1). However, disruption to                  large size of traditional subsistence harvest
movement patterns does not appear to have                areas for Anaktuvuk Pass and Nuiqsut (see
occurred at a large scale involving more than            Map 3.24-1), coupled with evidence for
relatively few animals (see Section 4.7.7.3.2).          substantially increased populations of certain
                                                         key subsistence resources (namely caribou) in
     The modification of whale migration routes          recent years (TAPS Owners 2001a) and the
due to noise associated with North Slope oil             successful regulation of harvests by ADF&G
activities has been asserted by Nuiqsut                  (see Sections 4.7.7.2 and 4.7.7.3), suggests that
residents as causing failed whale harvests in the        the magnitude of impacts from reduced flexibility
past (Pedersen et al. 2000). Although whales             likely would be minimal.
have been shown to be quite sensitive to
underwater noise (see Section 3.22) and                      Residents of the North Slope, including
bowhead whales can exhibit adverse behavioral            Anaktuvuk Pass and Nuiqsut, continue to be
effects from such noise (Knowles 2001), specific         employed by the oil and gas industry in the
effects on movement are unknown and oil                  region (ADCED 2001). The cash income
development activities were not found to                 generated by such employment can be used to
jeopardize continued survival of the species (see        obtain transportation and harvest technology that
Section 4.7.7.4). Large numbers of caribou               aids in subsistence. Cash income from these
continue to be harvested in Anaktuvuk Pass and           activities on the North Slope and cumulative
Nuiqsut (see Section 3.24.1), while whale                actions elsewhere also can be used to improve
harvests in Nuiqsut and elsewhere usually reach          sport harvests on the North Slope. Although
imposed limits, suggesting that any impacts due          such technological enhancement of recreational
to relocation from noise on the North Slope are          hunting and fishing no doubt occurs, available
not serious or long-lasting.                             evidence from resource populations and harvest
                                                         levels does not indicate the presence of severe
     Increased competition for subsistence               cumulative impacts as a result (see Sections
resources could also occur from nonlocal                 3.19.1.1.1, 3.21, 3.24.3, 4.7.7.2.3, and 4.7.7.3.3).
hunters and fishermen as a result of introducing
more individuals to the North Slope through                   Note that cumulative impacts on the North
employment-related activities. Residents from            Slope also could involve the consequences of
both Anaktuvuk Pass and Nuiqsut have                     spills. Table 4.7-4 describes a number of spills
identified competition for resources as key              and associated probability of occurring. For
problems for subsistence (ADF&G 2001).                   normal operations  that is, reasonably
However, of specific concern here are impacts            foreseeable  anticipated or likely spills could
that are a direct consequence of cumulative              occur. Although releases as large as 82,000 bbl
actions  that is, competition from personnel            could occur within these probability ranges, they
associated with these activities on the North            would be confined to terrestrial settings. As
Slope. There is no indication that personnel             discussed in Sections 4.4.4.11 and 4.4.4.14, a
associated with oil and gas exploration and              terrestrial spill would have limited impacts on
development, who tend to live elsewhere, are a           terrestrial mammals with large ranges. A similar
serious source of competition for fish and game          conclusion holds for a spill on the North Slope
resources on the North Slope. Moreover, the              under cumulative impacts.
number of people involved directly or indirectly
in other current and foreseeable actions is not              For the cumulative impacts on subsistence
expected to be large and in many cases would             anticipated on the North Slope, the TAPS
be temporary (TAPS Owners 2001a).                        contribution should be small.

     Indirect impacts resulting from cumulative              Cumulative impacts to subsistence would
actions also are likely, mainly by further reducing      also occur in Interior Alaska. Impacts here would
the flexibility of subsistence users to pursue           relate in particular to oil and gas development
resources where and when they are available,             and transportation, coupled with continued
and by reducing harvests in an area felt to be           management of Gates of the Arctic NPP and
experiencing reduced subsistence resources               Wrangell-St. Elias NPP. The most important
(Ned 1992; Nelson 1992). Nevertheless, the
ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES                            4.7-98



cumulative impacts to subsistence associated               because of the rural subsistence priority as
with the proposed action would include:                    applied to national parks, competition from
                                                           nonrural hunters is eliminated in parks and
•   Disruption to the movement of subsistence              reduced in preserves. Because the presence of
    resources;                                             the TAPS itself leads to little restriction on
                                                           subsistence activities (see Section 4.3.20), this
•   Restrictions against using certain areas               evaluation assumes that restrictions due to
    traditionally used for subsistence;                    additional infrastructure (such as a gas pipeline)
                                                           would be similarly limited.
•   Increased number of potential competitors
    for fish and game in subsistence harvest                    In the interior, as on the North Slope,
    areas;                                                 infrastructure and human activity could disrupt
                                                           movements of certain subsistence resources in
•   Improved sport harvests by enhanced travel
                                                           Interior Alaska. Again, a main concern is caribou
    to resources, increased harvest levels,
                                                            important to subsistence for several Interior
    increased harvest efficiency, increased
                                                           rural communities and a migratory species
    opportunities for recreational hunting and
                                                           whose movements are important to harvests.
    fishing, or some combination of all four
                                                           Subsistence users from Interior communities
    through access to additional cash to
                                                           have expressed concerns that caribou migration
    purchase pertinent technology or otherwise
                                                           patterns have changed in recent decades,
    fund sport hunting and fishing; and
                                                           occasionally citing the TAPS as the cause of
•   Improved subsistence through enhanced                  such change (ADF&G 2001; Moses 1993).
    travel to resources, increased harvest levels,         However, as for the North Slope, although
    increased harvest efficiency, or some                  caribou can be sensitive to human activity, there
    combination of all three through access to             is no evidence that the impacts of the TAPS
    cash to purchase modern transportation and             have affected more than a few animals
    harvest technology.                                    temporarily (see Section 4.3.17.2). Cumulative
                                                           impacts similarly are not expected to affect the
     Several interior communities likely would             behavior of many caribou or any other animal
experience cumulative impacts to subsistence:              important for subsistence (see Sections 4.7.7.2,
Alatna, Allakaket, Big Delta, Chitina, Coldfoot,           4.7.7.3, and 4.7.7.4).
Copperville, Copper Center, Delta Junction,
Evansville, Gakona, Glennallen, Gulkana,                        As discussed in Section 4.3.20, increased
Hughes, Kenny Lake, Livengood, Manley Hot                  competition for subsistence resources likely will
Springs, Minto, Paxson, Rampart, Stevens                   occur throughout Alaska with continued
Village, Tanana, Tazlina, Tonsina, and Wiseman             population growth. However, very little of this
(see Map 3.24-1). However, the magnitude of                growth would be directly due to either the
the impacts would vary, depending on the                   proposed action or other current and reasonably
community’s proximity to one or more activities            foreseeable future activities, beyond temporary
included in the cumulative analysis. For                   local influxes of workers for construction of a gas
instance, Alatna, Allakaket, Evansville, and               pipeline and the NMDS (see Section 4.7.8.3).
Wiseman all have part of their respective                  Certain subsistence resources have shown low
subsistence harvest areas within Gates of the              population levels in recent years, including
Arctic NPP (see Maps 3.24-1 and 3.27-2). Parts             Yukon River salmon and the Delta caribou herd
of the subsistence harvest areas of Chitina,               (see Section 4.3.20). The active management of
Copper River, Gakona, Glennallen, Gulkana,                 sport harvests by ADF&G, particularly where
Kenny Lake, Paxson, and Tonsina, in turn, lie              these specific resources are concerned,
within Wrangell-St. Elias NPP. Although                    undoubtedly would continue and would help to
subsistence for traditional and personal use is            minimize that source of competition  although
allowed within the parks, many subsistence                 low resource populations likely are due primarily
practitioners feel that restrictions on subsistence        to other reasons (severity of winters, predation,
in the parks makes that activity unduly difficult          environmental conditions, and commercial
(e.g., Mekiana 1992; Moses 1993). However,                 fishing).
                                                    4.7-99    ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES



     Residents of Interior Alaska, including many        •   Improved sport harvests by enhanced travel
of the villages mentioned above, continue to be              to and from hunting and fishing areas,
employed by the oil and gas industry in the                  increased harvest levels, increased
region, although at much lower levels than on                opportunities to pursue recreational hunting
the North Slope (ADCED 2001). Employment                     and fishing, or combinations of these
also is available in connection with the two                 consequences through the availability of
national parks in the region. The cash income                additional cash; and
generated by such employment can be used to
obtain transportation and harvest technology that        •   Improved subsistence by enhanced travel to
aids in subsistence. Cash income from these                  and from subsistence areas, increased
activities in Interior Alaska and cumulative                 harvest levels or efficiency, or both through
actions elsewhere (e.g., on the North Slope) also            the availability of additional cash.
can help to improve sport harvests in the Interior.
Technological enhancement of recreational                     The impacts of disrupting subsistence
hunting and fishing no doubt occurs, particularly        resource movements in Prince William Sound
in the rivers near Fairbanks and in the Copper           and Gulf of Alaska should be minimal. Most of
River basin, which support particularly active           the terrestrial subsistence resources relied upon
sport fisheries, and in the game management              by the three rural communities (Chenega Bay,
units (GMUs) experiencing high amounts of                Cordova, and Tatitlek) in Prince William Sound
hunting (see Section 3.19.1.1.2 and Table 3.21-2         examined in this EIS are harvested well away
[for GMUs 13, 20, and 24]). Once again, the              from infrastructure and activities associated with
heavy use of particular species in particular            either the TAPS or other current or reasonably
areas has resulted in careful management of all          foreseeable activities (see Maps D-20, D-21, and
harvests by ADF&G to help maintain resources             D-24). Marine resources similarly tend to be
at sustainable levels.                                   harvested well away from current and
                                                         foreseeable infrastructure and activities.
    For the cumulative impacts on subsistence
anticipated in the Alaska Interior, the TAPS                  As noted earlier, increased competition for
contribution once again should be small.                 subsistence resources likely will occur
Compared with the North Slope, cumulative                throughout Alaska with continued population
impacts in the Interior should be smaller                growth. However, very little of the growth in
because of less concentration of infrastructure          Prince William Sound would be directly due to
and activities (particularly within subsistence          either the proposed action or other current and
harvest areas).                                          reasonably foreseeable future activities. Certain
                                                         subsistence resources in this region have shown
    In Prince William Sound and the Gulf of              low population levels in recent years, including
Alaska, cumulative impacts on subsistence                pink salmon and herring (see Sections 3.19.1.3
would be possible as a result of past, current,          and 4.3.20). The active management of sport
and reasonably foreseeable future actions.               and commercial harvests by ADF&G, especially
These impacts could include those from                   where these particular resources are concerned,
anticipated and likely hazardous materials spills        undoubtedly will continue and would help to
 that is, smaller-volume spills that are                minimize that source of competition  although
reasonably foreseeable (see Section 4.7.4.10).           low resource populations likely are due primarily
The most important possible cumulative impacts           to other reasons (e.g., predation, environmental
to subsistence in Prince William Sound would             conditions, and commercial fishing).
include the following:
                                                              The Eyak Tribe has asserted that the closure
•   Disruption to the movement of subsistence            of oil tanker lanes in the Valdez Arm to Cape
    resources;                                           Hichinbrook waters, recently adopted for
                                                         national security reasons, has restricted access
•   Increased number of potential competitors            to a traditional fishing area. The map of the
    for fish and game in subsistence harvest             traditional use area for Cordova residents does
    areas;                                               not show these lanes to be part of the traditional
                                                         use area (see Maps 3.24-1 and D-23).
ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES                       4.7-100



     Residents of the Prince William Sound area        potential for avoidance would depend on many
continue to be employed by the oil and gas             other factors (such as spill location and
industry, primarily in the vicinity of Valdez          subsequent dispersal). Also, the act of
(ADCED 2001). The cash income generated by             avoidance, harvesting subsistence resources
such employment can be used to obtain                  elsewhere, in itself would be a negative impact
transportation and harvest technology that aids        in that it would likely involve greater travel and
in subsistence. Cash income from these                 hence less efficiency and longer absences from
activities in Prince William Sound and                 the village.
cumulative actions elsewhere also can be used
to improve sport harvests. Technological                    Depending on the scale of the spill, impacts
enhancement of recreational hunting and fishing        on subsistence could include large reductions in
no doubt occurs (see Section 3.19.1.3 and              subsistence harvests. Associated consequences
Table 3.21-2 [for GMU 6]). Once again, the             of such reductions would extend to the local
heavy use of particular species in particular          economy, social organization, and ceremonial
areas has resulted in careful monitoring by            spheres. Intensive community survey data for
ADF&G to help maintain resources at                    the five rural communities examined in the EIS
sustainable levels.                                    that experienced direct impacts from the Exxon
                                                       Valdez oil spill (Chenega Bay, Cordova,
     The impacts described above for Prince            Nanwalek, Port Graham, and Tatitlek) indicate
William Sound concern normal activities or spills      that subsistence harvests dropped off drastically
under the anticipated or likely frequency              in the first two years of spill damage, the range
categories. The distinction between spill              of species harvested was reduced, sharing
categories is particularly important for Prince        declined, and young people had fewer
William Sound, which experienced severe                opportunities to participate and learn the cultural
subsistence impacts from the Exxon Valdez oil          values associated with subsistence (Fall and
spill in 1989 (see Fall and Utermohle 1999). The       Utermohle 1999; see Section 3.24.2.4.2). Fear of
spills thus far considered would involve the           contamination was cited by subsistence users as
release of 60 barrels or less into the Sound (see      a major factor in these changes (Fall 1999a).
Table 4.7.4-6). Although much less probable,
larger spills are included in the spill scenarios           In the following three years, harvest levels,
considered  with maximum releases into some           sharing, and subsistence involvement by young
portion of Prince William Sound (as opposed to         people rebounded, although not uniformly across
Hinchinbrook Entrance or beyond) of                    and within communities (Fall and Utermohle
300,000 bbl under an unlikely scenario and             1999). A study of psycho-social impacts noted
320,000 bbl under a very unlikely scenario.            that “fear” about resource safety and “alienation”
                                                       from culturally valued activities were important in
     The release of a large volume of oil into         the early years (IAI 2001). By the late 1990s,
Prince William Sound could have severe                 nearly a decade after the spill, subsistence uses
negative impacts on subsistence resources,             had largely recovered to pre-spill levels, but with
notably certain species of fish, birds, and marine     some enduring changes. Fish species now make
mammals. Impact magnitude would vary,                  up a larger portion of subsistence harvests,
depending on the location of the release point         while marine mammals, marine invertebrates,
and the duration of the spill. Moreover, current       and birds constitute a smaller portion than
contingency plans for oil spills in Prince William     before. Resource scarcity, rather than fear of
Sound, coupled with the SERVS tanker escort            contamination, is now cited as the primary factor
system (with accident prevention and spill             influencing harvest patterns, and subsistence
containment capabilities), likely would help to        hunters report having to travel greater distances
limit the size of the area affected and thus the       to meet their subsistence needs (Fall and
impacts. The location and size of traditional          Utermohle 1999). The likelihood of an accident
subsistence harvest areas in Prince William            releasing a large amount of oil into Prince
Sound (for Chenega Bay, Cordova, and Tatitlek)         William Sound is extremely low, but if such an
might enable avoidance of spill areas (see             event occurs, the impacts on subsistence could
Maps D-20, D-21, and D-24). However, the               be severe for several years.
                                                      4.7-101    ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES



     For the cumulative impacts on subsistence                   The main consequences of increased
anticipated in Prince William Sound or the Gulf             subsistence activity likely would be growing
of Alaska, the TAPS contribution once again                 pressure on the resources harvested, although
should be small under normal operations. This               less access to cash (and hence less access to
conclusion would hold where a large tanker spill            modern technology and the materials to operate
is concerned, as such an event would technically            it) may well mean that subsistence efficiency
not be reasonably foreseeable, although the                 would decline. Considering positive and
ultimate impacts of such an event on                        negative consequences together, the likely net
subsistence could be severe.                                effect on subsistence from the no-action
                                                            cumulative case would be slightly positive 
     Cumulative impacts for the cases of the                similar to that concluded for the no-action
other alternatives considered in this DEIS would            alternative alone (see Section 4.6.2.20),
vary from those just discussed for the proposed             although slightly greater because of the
action. Under the less-than-30-year renewal                 anticipated improvements on the North Slope.
alternative, impacts likely would be about as
small as those outlined earlier in this section; if              Cumulative impacts to subsistence also can
anything, they would be smaller because there               occur outside of Alaska. The potential for an oil
would be less time for impacts to accumulate                spill to affect subsistence fisheries and the small
(see also Section 4.5.2.20).                                subsistence gray whale hunt of the Makah Tribe
                                                            on the Washington coast along the tanker
     Cumulative impacts of the no-action                    corridor appears to be limited. Any negative
alternative on subsistence likely would change in           cumulative impacts associated with the less-
comparison to those associated with the                     than-30-year renewal alternative likely would be
proposed action. This EIS assumes that closing              less than those associated with cumulative
down the TAPS would effectively cause North                 impacts under the proposed action. Cumulative
Slope oil production to cease. As discussed                 impacts associated with the no-action
above, this activity has had an adverse impact              alternative, in contrast, likely would be positive
on subsistence in that region through restrictions          but very small outside of Alaska, removing
on use areas and effects on resource movement               possible negative impacts due to a tanker spill.
(notably of caribou) (see Haynes and Pedersen
1989; Pedersen et al. 2000). Although the EIS                    In summary, cumulative impacts to
makes no assumption about removal of                        subsistence likely would vary for the three broad
infrastructure on the North Slope associated with           geographic regions  the North Slope, Interior
oil production, the dramatic reduction of                   Alaska, and Prince William Sound Gulf of Alaska
personnel and termination of activities likely              area. In all cases, cumulative impacts to
would remove many of the above impacts. Slight              subsistence under past, present, and reasonably
reductions in human activity also would occur in            foreseeable actions should not be large. Those
Interior Alaska and Prince William Sound as a               occurring in the North Slope likely would be the
result of cumulative actions, although impacts on           greatest, due primarily to the relatively large
subsistence would not be as great as on the                 amount of oil and gas exploration, development,
North Slope. By the same token, cumulative                  and production occurring there and the
impacts would include considerable changes in               associated human activity and restrictions on
the Alaska economy, with mixed consequences                 subsistence in certain areas (see BLM 1998).
on subsistence. On the one hand, slowing                    However, the size of subsistence harvest areas
population growth in Alaska as a whole and                  in all three regions would leave much of these
providing less disposable income for sport                  areas unaffected by cumulative impacts  that
hunting and fishing likely would reduce                     is, still available for subsistence, and outside the
competition for subsistence resources. On the               geographic influence of various cumulative
other hand, the substantial economic decline in             activities that might cause minor disruptions to
Alaska that would accompany the no-action                   subsistence resource movements. Moreover, the
alternative likely would increase both the number           increase in size of certain key subsistence
of people pursuing subsistence and the intensity            resource populations over the past several years
of subsistence activity in many places.                     suggests that improved availability of certain
ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES                        4.7-102



species may help compensate for reduced                      As was the case with the individual
access to certain subsistence areas.                    alternatives assessed in this EIS, the basis for
                                                        many of the cumulative impacts on sociocultural
                                                        systems is the amount of revenue that these
    4.7.8.2 Sociocultural Systems                       other actions generate. The effects of these
                                                        revenues can be broad and positive. For
    Cumulative impacts on sociocultural                 example, although their association with
systems take the form of changes to Alaska              sociocultural systems is indirect, many
Native and rural non-Native sociocultural               cumulative actions contribute (or will contribute)
systems because of one of the alternative               revenues that help support a variety of state
actions considered in conjunction with other            programs, public services, and infrastructure
past, present, and reasonably foreseeable               construction and maintenance (see
actions. Although it is the nature of sociocultural     Section 4.3.21). Access to such public programs
systems to change in response to shifting               can have tangible positive effects. For instance,
challenges or surrounding conditions, rapid,            infant mortality among Alaska Natives
large-scale change that often accompanies               decreased approximately 36% between
close interaction with other, more modern               1988−1990 and 1996−1998, while overall
societies can be cause for concern. Large shifts        mortality fell by more than 12% over the same
and rapid changes prevent sociocultural systems         time period (ADHSS 2001b). In 1998, nearly
from incrementally adjusting to conditions and          76% of residents in the North Slope Borough had
discarding those adjustments that do not help           a minimum of a high school education in 1998,
them survive. Moreover, such large-scale                despite being one of the most geographically
changes place members of a sociocultural                remote parts of the United States (North Slope
system under pressure, since they may face              Borough 1999).Moreover, beyond the obvious
situations for which there are no established           benefits of public expenditures, such programs
cultural guidelines to help them respond. With          and services are extremely important in
the consideration of cumulative impacts, one            providing a quality of life in rural settings that in
adds additional opportunities for adjustments by        many cases helps to maintain resident
Alaska Native and rural non-Native sociocultural        populations. For Alaska Native communities in
systems to shifting external conditions.                particular, maintaining cohesive communities
                                                        helps to strengthen sociocultural bonds and
     Similar to the analysis of impacts under the
                                                        preserve working societies.
proposed action (see Section 4.3.21), this
evaluation of cumulative impacts considers both             Despite their importance to Alaska Native
positive and negative effects on sociocultural          and rural non-Native sociocultural systems, the
systems. This section focuses primarily on              future of many state programs is uncertain
cumulative impacts associated with the                  because of current state budget problems. The
proposed action. It begins by exploring positive        loss or substantial reduction of these programs
and negative impacts in general, and then               would be keenly felt by much of rural Alaska,
examines cumulative impacts specifically on the         including many of the sociocultural systems
North Slope, in the Alaska Interior, and in Prince      examined in this EIS.
William Sound. The conclusion drawn here is
that negative cumulative impacts on                         Another important consequence of
sociocultural systems due to the proposed action        cumulative actions is continued access to wage
would be likely, but those impacts would be             employment for many rural Alaskans. As
small in magnitude. Cumulative impacts                  discussed in Section 3.24, the foundation of rural
associated with the less-than-30-year renewal           communities in Alaska is a mixed subsistence-
alternative and the no-action alternative employ        cash economy (Wolfe and Walker 1987).
the same approach to evaluation as used for the         Subsistence continues to play an extremely
cumulative-proposed action case. Conclusions            important role in these communities, with its
for these last two cumulative cases appear at the       importance for Alaska Natives extending beyond
end of this section.                                    economic considerations to sociocultural and
                                                        ceremonial roles. But access to cash also is
                                                4.7-103    ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES



important, enabling the purchase of necessities       most of the state, including rural settings.
that cannot be obtained through other means,          Accompanying this continued reduction in
including equipment and supplies used for             isolation is exposure to growing amounts of
subsistence. Beyond any convenience, security,        ideas and people from sociocultural systems
or improved quality of life that cash might           very different from those of rural Alaska. Such
provide, in Alaska rural economies do not             exposure introduces the potential for
function without it. Access to more cash in such      increasingly rapid sociocultural change  and
settings, in turn, often promotes increased           the potential displacement of both village
subsistence involvement and productivity (Wolfe       residents lured by other opportunities and key
1987).                                                components of sociocultural systems supplanted
                                                      by constructs imported from elsewhere.
     Increased reliance on cash and increased
involvement in a cash economy can also have                 Despite indications of improved conditions
negative consequences. Although money                 and quality of life for many rural sociocultural
provides the means of purchasing goods and            systems in modern Alaska, certain measures of
services necessary for survival and enhances          societal health and mental health for Alaska
subsistence activity, it also requires that rural     Natives indicate sociocultural systems that are
Alaskans locate scarce jobs and participate in a      out of balance. One of the most alarming is the
job market for which they may not be fully            high rate of suicide. For years suicide has been
prepared (Hudson 1985). This situation provides       a source of concern, and by the late 1980s
an additional source of pressure in sociocultural     Alaska Natives took their own lives at a rate of
systems that have changed considerably (in the        69 per 100,000, many times the rate found in the
case of Alaska Natives). Participation in wage        rest of American society (see Section 3.25.1.3).
employment, in turn, can require behavior that is     Concerted efforts to reduce suicides among
inconsistent with the normal functioning of rural     Native peoples in Alaska, many conducted in
sociocultural systems, such as extended               rural villages, experienced some success. After
absences from a community and important               a decade of fluctuating rates, by 1999 Alaska
social activities (including subsistence; see         Native suicides occurred at a rate of 53 per
Strohmeyer 1997). Access to cash can change           100,000 persons. This was a marked
status recognition, shifting influence to             improvement over levels a decade earlier, but
individuals with money who may not have               still more than five times the rate for the United
attained the status normally associated with          States as a whole in 2000 (ADHSS 2001b).
authority in Alaska Native and rural non-Native
sociocultural systems. In addition, cash can                Substance abuse similarly continues to be a
provide the means of acquiring substances, such       problem among Alaska Natives. Alaska Natives
as drugs and alcohol, detrimental to a healthy        are nearly two to three times more likely to have
existence (Kettl and Bixler 1991; Kraus and           lifetime alcohol dependence, more likely than
Buffler 1979). Indeed, the large amounts of           any ethnic group in Alaska to engage in binge
money earned through employment on the TAPS           drinking, more likely to have fetal alcohol
construction in the 1970s were accompanied by         syndrome than non-Natives, and four times more
the introduction of illegal drugs to many rural       likely to be amphetamine dependent than Whites
Alaskan communities (Strohmeyer 1997).                in Alaska (ADHSS 1999, 2001b). Although large-
                                                      scale problems in the Native community with
    A final general consequence of the revenues       alcohol abuse can be traced to the onset of rapid
generated by some of the cumulative actions           change initiated by statehood (see
considered here is the continued rapid                Section 3.25.1.3), its persistence suggests the
modernization of Alaska. As has occurred              presence of conditions that would somehow
throughout much of the United States in recent        generate such behavior into the 21st century.
decades, information flows with increased
freedom and people move with increased ease               Violence in Alaska Native society also
throughout virtually all of Alaska in 2002.           remains a concern  occurring in much greater
Isolation from broad, frequent contact with other     frequency among these sociocultural systems
sociocultural systems is no longer a condition in     than for Alaska as a whole, with the rate of
ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES                       4.7-104



homicide among Alaska Natives nearly twice             possible association between rapid acculturation
that of all Alaskans in 1998 (ADHSS 2001b).            of Alaska Native (and, to a lesser extent, rural
                                                       non-Native) sociocultural systems and persisting
     In considering the rise of certain social         social problems as a possible indicator of
problems challenging contemporary Alaska               cumulative impacts to those systems.
Native communities, it is also important to note
the rapid development of Alaska Native self-                Cumulative impacts to sociocultural systems
determination and self-governance institutions in      are expected to accompany additional oil and
the last several decades. Building on traditional      gas exploration, development, and production
foundations of leadership and political                projected to occur on the North Slope in coming
organization during the 1960s, Alaska Natives          years. As discussed in Section 4.3.21, despite
created regional organizations and the state-          their remote location, the (largely) Alaska Native
wide Alaska Federation of Natives. Under the           sociocultural systems of the North Slope
terms of the Indian Self-Determination Act             interacted with outsiders throughout much of the
(P.L. 93-638), the regional nonprofit corporations     20th century, and particularly over the past three
and new regional health corporations assumed           decades as a consequence of oil-related
responsibility for many federal programs. Tribal       activities. Despite experience interacting with
governments and the North Slope borough have           modern Western society, there are symptoms
also grown in exercising “civic capacity” on           that the Nunamiut and Tareumiut sociocultural
behalf of Alaska Native constituents. Alaska           systems also have developed certain indications
Native leaders in all of these entities have           of sociocultural stress. More than two decades
systematically focused on prevention and               ago, research revealed the presence of violence
intervention to reduce the problems of suicide,        and substance abuse in these sociocultural
substance abuse, and violence. Cultural renewal        systems (e.g., Kruse et al. 1981)  problems
efforts, including culture camps for young             which persist. In addition, over the last
people, the statewide sobriety movement, and           three decades, different types of problems have
development of culturally appropriate treatment        emerged with the enormous surge of income to
models, all form part of this growing capacity         the North Slope Borough, introducing authority
within the Alaska Native community.                    structures, status differences, and in some
                                                       instances corruption previously unknown in
     The citation of problems among Alaska             traditional Iñupiat society (see Strohmeyer
Native sociocultural systems is in no way an           1997).
attempt to belittle or otherwise disrespect these
peoples. Rather, it is an attempt to provide a              In addition to the two Iñupiat sociocultural
complete sense of the challenges that these            systems noted above, cumulative impacts would
sociocultural systems face. Although the Alaska        also be likely to affect the communities of
of the late 20th century brought many                  Anaktuvuk Pass and Nuiqsut (see Map 3.24-1)
improvements to Native life, it also provided a        as well as other Iñupiat communities. As
setting where many social problems could               described in Section 3.24 and Appendix D, both
develop. Although one can argue for a link             of these communities have mixed economies,
between certain social improvements and                although they rely heavily on subsistence
modern services and programs, such as                  (ADCED 2001). The participation in wage
improved health care and a widespread school           employment outside the villages requires
system, the causes of social maladies are not as       absence from the communities, introducing the
clear. However, in the case of suicide, many           possibility of fragmentation in sociocultural
researchers have postulated that high rates            systems built on a heritage of interaction and
among Alaska Natives are associated with the           collaboration. Moreover, such absence can
sudden introduction of money and modern                compromise subsistence activities, such as
American culture (Hlady and Middaugh 1988;             caribou and whale hunting, that typically occur in
Kettl and Bixler 1991, 1993; Kraus and Buffler         groups and remain extremely important in both
1979). Acculturation also has been linked to           villages (see Section 3.24.1). Cumulative
alcohol use as well (Kelso and DuBay 1989).            impacts to subsistence in these communities are
This evaluation of cumulative impacts uses the         discussed in Section 4.7.8.1, noting disruption
                                                     4.7-105    ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES



via additional restrictions to subsistence harvest             The construction and operation of a natural
areas. Because of the key sociocultural and                gas pipeline would probably provide additional
ceremonial roles of subsistence, further                   opportunities for wage employment for rural
constraints on this activity are important to              Interior Alaskans, with sociocultural impacts of
consider in the current context as well.                   the sort outlined in prior paragraphs (increased
                                                           absence from communities, shifting authority
     It appears that cumulative actions, in                structures, heavy interaction with members of
association with the proposed action, will bring           other sociocultural systems, possible increases
mixed impacts to Alaska Native sociocultural               in social problems, additional state revenues for
systems on the North Slope. In addition to                 public programs, and an important source of
providing revenues to help continue various                cash). Construction of the NMDS would generate
state-funded services and programs, the North              similar impacts, although these likely would
Slope Borough’s ability to tax certain types of            serve to replace the current mission at Fort
development will provide additional local                  Greely.
revenues. A noted in Section 4.3.21, such
revenues have enabled the borough to provide a                  Sociocultural systems of particular concern
number of improvements for residents of rural              with regard to cumulative impacts to Interior
communities within its jurisdiction. But with              Alaska would be those with members located
development come certain possible challenges,              near the TAPS and these other developments.
including continued social disruption and                  Native systems of particular concern would be
subsistence impacts. The people of the North               (north to south) the Gwich’in, Koyukon, Tanana,
Slope have taken an aggressive approach to                 and Ahtna Athabascans. Alaska Native and rural
acquiring the financial resources necessary to             non-Native communities of particular concern
adjust to increased interaction with modern                would include Alatna, Allakaket, Big Delta,
American society, and this evaluation assumes              Chitina, Coldfoot, Copperville, Copper Center,
that such adjustments will continue in the                 Delta Junction, Evansville, Gakona, Glennallen,
cumulative case. As a result, cumulative impacts           Gulkana, Hughes, Kenny Lake, Livengood,
likely will be small, although probably negative           Manley Hot Springs, Minto, Paxson, Rampart,
given continued modernization and the social ills          Stevens Village, Tanana, Tazlina, Tonsina, and
that such change has introduced to the North               Wiseman (see Map 3.24-1). The extent of the
Slope peoples. TAPS contributions to                       cumulative impacts experienced in each village
sociocultural impacts on the North Slope, both             would likely vary with the degree to which it was
positive and negative, would be relatively small           affected by current and foreseeable future
compared with the other changes occurring                  actions, in terms of the involvement of
there.                                                     community members in these actions or in terms
                                                           of the effects on the community itself from an
     Cumulative impacts to sociocultural systems           increased influx of outsiders and increased
would also be likely in Interior Alaska, to both the       exposure to the outsiders’ sociocultural systems.
(largely) Athabascan Alaska Native sociocultural           Negative cumulative impacts likely would be less
systems and to non-Native sociocultural systems            to rural non-Native sociocultural systems, such
located there. In Interior Alaska, other activities        as found in Wiseman, in part because many
that occurred in the recent past, are currently            have their roots in American society. As
under way, or are reasonably foreseeable would             described in Section 3.24.1 and Appendix D, all
not be as geographically concentrated as on the            of these communities have mixed economies
North Slope. Thus, their potential impacts would           that combine subsistence and wage labor; those
also be dispersed geographically. As a result, in          with larger non-Native populations located close
some cases, it is unlikely that the cumulative             to major roads tend to rely more on the latter
impacts on rural sociocultural systems would be            (ADCED 2001).
as great in Interior Alaska as they would be on
the North Slope. One exception likely would be                 In Interior Alaska, as with the North Slope,
positive impacts of public services, state-funded          cumulative impacts associated with the
programs, and infrastructure, which Interior               proposed action likely will have mixed
Alaska in particular relies upon.                          consequences. In addition to providing revenues
ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES                         4.7-106



to help continue various state-funded services                As discussed in Section 4.7.4.10.5,
and programs, the cumulative actions                     cumulative impacts also include tanker spills in
considered also will provide additional                  Prince William Sound and beyond to destination
opportunities for wage employment. But once              ports. Because of the need to focus on
again, with development come certain possible            reasonably foreseeable actions, the spills
challenges, including continued social disruption        considered under normal operating conditions
and the persistence of social problems. The              would those falling in anticipated or likely
people of Interior Alaska, particularly the Copper       frequency categories. Such spills would be
River Basin, have had a lengthy experience of            reasonably probable (between one every
interaction with, and adjustment to, modern              30 years to two per year), but would generate
American society. This evaluation assumes that           minimal impacts due to the release of 60 barrels
such adjustments will continue in the cumulative         of oil or less (see Table 4.7-6). Despite concerns
case, and that they will be small because of the         about another spill by people living near Prince
relatively limited actions occurring in a huge           William Sound, impacts (including sociocultural
geographic area. As a result, cumulative impacts         impacts) under normal operating conditions
to Alaska Native and rural non-Native                    should be minimal. TAPS contributions to
sociocultural systems in Interior Alaska likely will     sociocultural impacts in the Prince William
be small, although once again probably negative          Sound area, both positive and negative, would
given continued modernization and the social ills        be relatively small compared with the other
that such change has introduced to this part of          activities occurring there.
Alaska. TAPS contributions to sociocultural
impacts in Interior Alaska, both positive and                In contrast, impacts on Alaska Native and
negative, would be relatively small compared             rural non-Native sociocultural systems from a
with the other changes occurring there.                  less probable tanker accident in Prince William
                                                         Sound and beyond along transportation routes
     Cumulative sociocultural impacts also would         could be severe. Falling under the frequency
affect the Alaska Native and rural non-Native            categories of unlikely and very unlikely, oil
sociocultural systems of Prince William Sound.           releases into the Sound (i.e., within the
Considering past, present, and reasonably                Hinchinbrook Entrance) could total 320,000 bbl
foreseeable actions, impacts on these systems            (see Table 4.7-6), and yield impacts to local
would probably be less extensive than those              naturally occurring resources similar to those
likely to occur in Interior Alaska or on the North       experienced with the Exxon Valdez oil spill (see
Slope. The main reason for this conclusion is            Sections 4.7.7.2, 4.7.7.3, 4.7.7.4, and 4.7.8.1).
that there are generally fewer total actions taking
place in Prince William Sound that would disrupt             Impacts to sociocultural systems from the
Alaska Native or rural non-Native sociocultural          Exxon Valdez spill were severe in terms of the
systems than there in the other two regions,             short-term adjustments made, including major
especially the North Slope. It is also worth noting      economic shifts, changes in community structure
that the Native sociocultural systems in Prince          (e.g., extended absence to work on spill
William Sound  the Chugach Alutiiq and Eyak             cleanup), and changes in authority recognition
 have interacted with Western societies more            (IAI 2001). Some of the largest sociocultural
than the Alaska Native sociocultural systems in          impacts involved subsistence impacts, as this
the Interior and North Slope. This long history of       central component of rural Alaskan sociocultural
interaction and adjustment to the presence and           systems was severely affected in Prince William
influence of Western society has produced                Sound and beyond (Fall and Utermohle 1999;
Native sociocultural systems (including Tribal           see Section 4.7.8.1).
governments) in a sense more accustomed to
introduced change (see Section 3.25). The                    Much of the economic shift that occurred
communities expected to experience                       represented a replacement of subsistence with
sociocultural impacts include three Alaska               wage labor. Exchange of subsistence resources
Native villages: Chenega Bay, Cordova                    declined, as did the presence of such resources
(including Eyak), and Tatitlek (Map 3.24-1).             in ceremonial activities of Native communities.
                                                         Young persons received less instruction in
                                                         subsistence activities traditionally passed from
                                                     4.7-107    ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES



generation to generation, while older members              sources of interaction with personnel maintaining
of society saw their influence replaced by that of         the pipeline and related facilities as well as
people more involved in spill-related activities.          sources of wage employment. Reduced positive
Ultimately, it is likely that sociocultural impacts        impacts likely would be of particular concern.
as a result of the Exxon Valdez oil spill were             Not renewing the Federal Grant would remove a
short-term, representing adjustments to the                source of wage employment for rural Alaskans,
consequences of this event rather than changes             which as noted can have positive as well as
in the fundamental structural components of                negative consequences. It would also remove a
local sociocultural systems (Wooley 1995).                 considerable amount of state and local (North
Moreover, the improbability of a large tanker              Slope Borough) tax revenues used to fund public
accident occurring again, coupled with                     services, programs, and infrastructure (see
dramatically improved spill prevention and                 Section 4.6.2.19). For sociocultural systems,
cleanup contingency plans and the use of the               cumulative actions under the no-action
SERVS system for tanker escort (TAPS Owners                alternative would yield an Alaska quite different
2001a), likely would limit impacts to much less            from that which currently exists. Alaska Native
than those experienced from the Exxon Valdez               and rural non-Native sociocultural systems likely
spill. Nevertheless, should a large spill occur,           would face lessened acculturation than under
the impacts on Alaska Native and rural non-                current conditions, but also would face greater
Native sociocultural systems in Prince William             economic challenges in conjunction with
Sound (at least in the short term) would be                reduced public services and programs  these
severe.                                                    negative consequences likely providing other
                                                           challenges for rural sociocultural systems. Under
      Sociocultural effects south of the Gulf of           the less-than-30-year renewal alternative, the
Alaska to the U.S. West Coast and California               TAPS contribution to cumulative sociocultural
ports are expected to be less than those                   impacts would be relatively small compared with
described above. This is primarily because                 the likely effects of other cumulative actions.
Native subsistence cultures south of Alaska                Under the no-action alternative, the relative
historically have been more greatly affected by            contribution of discontinuing the TAPS would be
Euro-American Society, although several Native             quite large in the sense that North Slope oil
communities in the Pacific northwest of the                production relies on the TAPS to transport oil to
United States and the Pacific coast of                     the market. As discussed in Section 4.7.8.3,
southwestern Canada continue to practice                   discontinuing the TAPS would set several other
subsistence. Ultimately, impacts likely to result          events into motion, including the termination of
from a tanker spill far offshore likely would have         oil production and the considerable revenues it
little impact on the resources used by these               provides.
Native peoples, and little impact on their
sociocultural systems.                                          Overall, cumulative impacts to sociocultural
                                                           systems likely would be a mix of positive and
     Cumulative impacts associated with the                negative consequences. Both probably are a
less-than-30-year-renewal alternative likely               consequence of continued acculturation and
would be similar to those just described for               influence by modern American society,
proposed action-associated cumulative impacts.             particularly affecting Alaska Native sociocultural
Cumulative impacts associated with the                     systems but also influencing rural non-Native
no-action alternative, in turn, likely would be            systems. As was the case when evaluating
similar to those discussed under the no-action             sociocultural impacts under the proposed action
alternative by itself, although the magnitude              (see Section 4.3.21), clearly linking acculturation
likely would be greater both for positive and              with the TAPS or any of the cumulative actions
negative consequences, and ultimately the latter           considered in this EIS is extremely difficult
would dominate. Reduced negative impacts                   given the general modernization that continues
could result from a reduction in potential                 to occur throughout Alaska for a variety of
acculturation were the TAPS and certain key                reasons.
related activities (e.g., North Slope oil
production) discontinued  removing some
ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES                            4.7-108



    4.7.8.3 Economics                                       which would have had a throughput rate
                                                            (2 billion ft3/d) similar to that of the proposed
     The assessment of the cumulative economic              pipeline, it is estimated that revenues from the
impacts of the TAPS covers the impacts from                 pipeline would amount to $189 million annually
continued operation (including renewal for less             in royalties and severance taxes and
than 30 years) and no action, together with                 $188 million annually in property taxes (TAPS
impacts from other existing and projected                   Owners 2001a). The exact size of revenues
economic development activities likely to occur             would depend on tax rates, actual daily
in the state during the proposed lease renewal              throughput rates, and the market price of natural
period. The economic impacts of any spills that             gas. Additional benefits of the pipeline would be
could potentially occur in Prince William Sound             the possibility of further North Slope economic
during tanker operations are also included. The             development, and the potential for reduction in
analysis combines the impacts from the TAPS                 the cost of natural gas throughout the state.
continued operation and no action with those
from the most important major projects expected                  Employment that would be created by the
to occur during the period 2004 to 2034 and                 pipeline is difficult to estimate, given the
qualitatively assesses the resulting aggregate              provisional status of the project. Since the length
impact on the economy of the state and pipeline             of time required for its construction is assumed
corridor region. Although numerous projects are             to be less than that estimated for the TAGS,
slated for development in Alaska (see                       given that it would be a shorter pipeline and that
Section 4.7.4), the only projects potentially               there would be processing facilities (CERA
creating significant cumulative impacts in                  1999), it is likely that the employment impacts
association with the continued operation of the             from the project would be less than those
TAPS and no action are the natural gas pipeline             estimated from the TAGS. The TAGS
designed to transport gas from the North Slope              employment impact is assumed to be
to Canada and the proposed National Missile                 7,200 direct workers during the peak year of an
Defense System (NMDS) at Fort Greely and a                  8- to 10-year construction period, with an
large potential oil spill. The impacts of all oil field     additional 3,300 jobs created indirectly in the
development considered likely to occur are                  state as a whole. Annual operations jobs are
included under the proposed action                          estimated to be 550, with an additional
(Section 4.3.19). Other economic development                1,250 indirect jobs (TAPS Owners 2001a). It is
activities, such as the Wrangell-St. Elias NPP              likely that the pipeline would employ a large
and mining development near Fairbanks,                      number of construction workers from outside the
although they would add to the overall level of             state, and while wages and salaries would
economic activity in the state, would not be as             produce local spending and state tax revenues,
significant as the pipeline project, NMDS, and a            a significant portion of wages and salaries during
large potential oil spill.                                  construction would leave the state, used for
                                                            families and other expenditures elsewhere in the
     The largest planned activity potentially               United States. Deterioration in the provision of
occurring during the renewal period would be the            local public services might also occur in some
construction and operation of the proposed                  communities along the proposed route in the
natural gas pipeline from the North Slope. Gas              short term as a large number of in-migrating
would be transported through the pipeline to                workers arrive, especially if some are
serve markets in both Canada and the United                 accompanied by their families.
States. The total capital cost associated with the
pipeline would be between $5 and $6 billion, and                 The NMDS includes a facility to be located in
it would take up to 7 years to build (CERA 1999).           Alaska to support an anti-ballistic missile
The largest impact of the pipeline to the state             system, most likely at Fort Greely, near Delta
and local economy would be the tax revenues it              Junction. The system would cost $626 million
would generate. On the basis of the impact of               and create 400 direct construction jobs over a
the Trans Alaska Gas System (TAGS), a                       five-year period and create an additional
pipeline that was proposed to transport liquid              620 jobs in the state (U.S. Army Space and
petroleum gas from the North Slope to Valdez,               Missile Defense Command 2000). A total of
                                                     4.7-109    ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES



360 direct operations jobs and an additional                    While the Exxon Valdez oil spill resulted in
110 indirect jobs would be created. Currently,             significant economic benefits to the communities
600 civilian and military jobs are under threat as         in Prince William Sound, there were numerous
part of the plan to close the base at Fort Greely          other social and psychological costs incurred by
(TAPS Owners 2001a). A large number of                     many of those directly and indirectly involved in
construction workers from outside the state                the spill. These impacts include damage to
could be expected as a result of the project, and          fisheries resources and cultural, spiritual and
depending on the where these workers live                  community damages, many of which are long
during construction, they could strain the ability         term and highly significant, possibly life-
of local governments to provide adequate public            changing, to those involved. More information on
services to the local communities in the vicinity          the impact of the spill on communities in the
of the site.                                               Prince William Sound area, including intangible
                                                           impacts outside the scope of this
     In addition to new economic development               socioeconomics section (such as psychological
activity projected for the state, oil spills in Prince     stress) can be found in IAI (2001).
William Sound could also result in additional
spending in local communities and at the state                  Improvements to tankers, shipping safety,
level. For example, as a result of the Exxon               and spill response capability in Prince William
Valdez oil spill in 1989, Exxon Corporation spent          Sound developed after the Exxon Valdez
more than $2.6 billion on cleanup activities in the        incident means that it is unlikely that a spill of the
following three-year period (Etkin 1998), creating         same magnitude would occur again, and that the
an average of 2,500 direct cleanup jobs and                local and state economic impacts associated
approximately 2,500 indirect jobs over the period          with spill response and clean-up activities for
(ADOL 1990). These jobs more than offset                   any spill would not be as significant as those
monetary losses in the fishing and tourism                 following the Exxon Valdez incident. The
industries (IAI 1990). The local economy, in               possibility of compensatory and punitive damage
particular, was stimulated by income generated             resulting from a future spill, however, may still
by the oil spill; income doubled and employment            increase the monetary cost of even a relatively
increased by 30% in the Valdez-Cordova                     small spill, although there may be offsetting
Census Region in 1989 (TAPS Owners 2001a).                 economic impacts, depending on the extent to
Many of the cleanup jobs were filled by                    which cash from compensation payments is
temporary in-migrants from outside the state,              spent inside the state.
reducing the benefits to the state and local
economy. In addition to the employment and                      It may be reasonable to assume that the
income generated as a result of the spill,                 economic impacts resulting from the Exxon
significant compensation was paid by Exxon to              Valdez oil spill, excluding those associated with
various parties in the state. Almost $300 million          compensation, represent the upper bound for
was paid to commercial fishermen, while                    any potential accidental spill. The local and state
$1,025 million was paid to the state and federal           economic impacts from smaller spills that would
government in criminal and civil settlements for           be well within the capability of the spill response
damage to the environment in Prince William                authorities would therefore probably be far less
Sound. In addition, APSC paid $98 million to               significant. The possibility of compensatory
commercial fishermen and has significantly                 claims in the event of a spill might still remain,
increased its annual spill response expenditures           however, since the long-term effect of the Exxon
to $60 million, primarily benefiting the Valdez            Valdez oil spill on the environment of Prince
local economy (TAPS Owners 2001a). The long-               William Sound has not been clearly established
term effects of the spill on the environment in            (TAPS Owners 2001a). Even in the absence of
Price William Sound have yet to be fully                   significant local employment and income
established, and the potential costs of                    impacts like those that occurred as a result of
compensatory claims for additional                         the Exxon Valdez spill, the ultimate distribution
environmental damages may still significantly              of compensation among parties (in the event of a
increase the overall monetary cost of the spill.           lawsuit and settlement following a serious spill)
ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES                        4.7-110



would mean that local and state economic                built along the pipeline route during TAPS
impacts might still be significant.                     construction, and for many years use of the road
                                                        was limited to oil development and pipeline
     Although the natural gas pipeline would            support traffic. The road recently has been
impact the economy of the state, the cumulative         opened to the general public, which has created
economic impacts of declining North Slope oil           problems, especially in the North Slope
production and continued TAPS operations,               Borough, where the provision of emergency and
together with the operation of the gas pipeline         other public services to support the additional
project, would probably not be significantly            traffic has been costly and has placed strain on
larger than the impacts of current North Slope          the financial resources of the Borough.
and TAPS operations. The gas pipeline would
probably be the most important new project for               Cumulative employment and income
the state in the next decade, and its most              impacts associated with NMDS and oil spills in
significant impact would be on tax revenues from        Prince William Sound would probably be much
severance taxes, royalties and property taxes           less significant with regard to the economy of the
levied by the state, and from additional property       state than they would be with regard to the local
taxes collected by local governments. It is likely      economies in which each is located.
that gas pipeline construction would not begin          Employment and income impacts of the NMDS
until after 2010 during a period of declining           would only offset the decline in employment
revenues from North Slope production and TAPS           resulting from base realignment at Fort Greely,
throughput that will begin in 2006 (see                 with no major impacts to local public service
Section 4.3.19.1). Impacts from the gas pipeline        provision expected. Any major employment and
might therefore merely partially offset the decline     income impacts resulting from a spill would be
in state oil revenues over the renewal period.          unlikely, given the significant upgrading of spill
Employment impacts at the state level, while            response capability since the Exxon Valdez
significant during construction, would be likely to     accident. Any increases in activity would most
impact the economy only in the short term; the          likely be concentrated in Valdez. Any
longer-term overall impact on the state would           in-migrating workers would probably not have a
probably be small, even though pipeline                 major impact on the ability of local government
operations workers are likely to be relatively          to provide adequate local public services.
highly paid.
                                                             The impacts of continued TAPS operation
     At the local level, impacts of continued           for the less-than-30-year renewal alternative,
TAPS operations and the gas pipeline in the             together with the gas pipeline and NMDS, would
short term would also probably be significant,          be less than those for the proposed action as a
with a major influx of workers expected during          function of the renewal period. Less oil-related
the construction period. Depending on where             investment could occur in the North Slope fields
these workers reside during pipeline                    and other parts of the oil sector, and supporting
construction, there might be substantial impacts        industries, together with lower levels of private
on local employment and income in the smaller           and public investment in the non-oil-related parts
communities as well as impacts on the ability of        of the economy, would produce less
local governments to provide adequate public            employment, income, and tax revenues.
services, especially if many workers are
accompanied by their families. There might also              Construction and operation of the gas
be major impacts at the local level if construction     pipeline project and the NMDS under the
of the gas pipeline project and the NMDS                no-action alternative would partially offset the
occurred simultaneously in the Fairbanks/Delta          losses in employment, income, and tax revenues
Junction area, but such impacts are unlikely,           that would occur at both the state and local
given the proposed schedules for the two                levels with the end of TAPS operation and North
projects.                                               Slope production (see Section 4.6.2.19).
                                                        Construction of the pipeline project would not
    Additional cumulative impacts of continued          conflict with the latter stages of TAPS
TAPS operations would come from use of the              termination activities or the NMDS, and pipeline
Dalton Highway for general traffic. The road was        operation would likely provide an alternative
                                                 4.7-111    ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES



basis of support for state and local revenue               4.7.8.5 Land Use and Coastal
generation and continuing efforts toward                           Zone Management
diversifying the state’s economy away from
natural resource extraction activities.
                                                            4.7.8.5.1 Land Use. The TAPS and
                                                       other actions in the vicinity of the pipeline have
    4.7.8.4 Cultural Resources                         had cumulative effects on land ownership and
                                                       use near the ROW during the past 25 years.
     Cumulative impacts on cultural resources          Valid legal access for TAPS operation and
have occurred in the recent past as a                  maintenance has been acquired on the lands it
consequence of the Exxon Valdez oil spill. In          crosses. Access to public and some private
addition to damage to coastal archaeological           lands has increased in the vicinity of the pipeline
sites due to contact with oil, additional impacts      due to construction of the Dalton Highway, TAPS
occurred because of clean-up efforts and as a          access roads, and airstrips. Some trespassing
consequence of increased human traffic along a         and conflict of use issues have resulted on
coast previously quite isolated (Bittner 1996;         native lands. Some increases in recreational,
IAI 2001). Physical impacts from clean-up efforts      residential, municipal, and commercial land uses
resulted from soil removal at archaeological           have occurred; some of which can be attributed
sites and operation of machinery near                  to the pipeline. Commercial development has
archaeological sites. The unauthorized removal         occurred at three development nodes along the
of artifacts from archaeological sites by clean-up     Dalton Highway. The existence of the pipeline
personnel was also reported. Based on                  has contributed to the increase in oil exploration,
experience from this spill, the SHPO determined        development, and transportation activities at the
that the involvement of cultural resource              North Slope during the past 25 years.
professionals and local tribal groups during the
initial planning stages of an emergency is                 Other actions unrelated to the TAPS have
important to minimize impacts to cultural              greatly affected land ownership and use in
resources (Bittner 1996).                              Alaska. The passage of the Alaska National
                                                       Interest Lands Conservation Act (ANILCA) in
    No cumulative impacts are anticipated for          1980 resulted in numerous designations of
cultural resources under any of the alternatives       conservation system units. Lands have also
considered in this EIS. Although other projects        been conveyed from federal to state
might adversely affect cultural resources,             government, and from state to local government
adherence to federal and state laws pertaining to      and Native Alaskans.
cultural resources should mitigate adverse
effects associated with the additional projects.           The largest new development reasonably
As stated in Section 4.3.22, the renewal of the        foreseeable in the vicinity of the TAPS is a
TAPS ROW could adversely affect known                  natural gas pipeline project. In this project, a
cultural resources, but these impacts could be         buried natural gas pipeline would run parallel to
mitigated on a project-by-project basis through        the TAPS ROW. A gas processing facility would
avoidance, monitoring, data recovery, etc.             be constructed on the North Slope, and
Although the Exxon Valdez oil spill                    compressor, pigging, and valve stations would
understandably had negative impacts on cultural        be constructed intermittently along the pipeline.
resources, the likelihood of an event of similar
magnitude occurring is quite low (see                       The gas pipeline and its related
Table 4.7-6). This improbability, coupled with         infrastructure would have some effects on land
improved spill response capabilities and steps to      use in the vicinity of the TAPS. Aesthetics would
restrict vandalism, should limit impacts to            be affected along and/or within the TAPS ROW,
cultural resources from a similar event.               with resulting effects on recreation likely
                                                       (see Section 4.7.8.6). Noise from construction,
                                                       operation, and maintenance of the gas pipeline
                                                       and related structures would likely be audible
                                                       from some recreation areas and could interfere
                                                       with recreational activities. During construction,
ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES                            4.7-112



a temporary increase in noise might also occur              the location of the natural gas pipeline and
on lands set aside for wildlife habitat                     related structures. If the TAPS ROW were
conservation, disturbing wildlife. Effects on               renewed for less than 30 years, the cumulative
military, residential, municipal, commercial, or            effects would be similar to the cumulative
private land use could also occur, not only from            impacts under the proposed action but of shorter
increased noise, but from preclusion or                     duration.
interference of use from the gas pipeline and
related structures. Conflicts with mining and                    However, the cumulative effects under the
other natural resource use would be possible,               no-action alternative would be much different
depending on the route of the pipeline and                  from those under either the proposed action or
locations of structures.                                    the less-than-30-year renewal alternative. Less
                                                            commercial, municipal, and residential
    Finally, although there would be an influx of           development would be expected to occur due to
personnel associated with the gas pipeline, it              a downturn in the state economy resulting from
would be unlikely to result in an increase in               lost oil revenues. Use of state recreation areas,
residential, municipal, or commercial                       sites, and parks would decline because of
development. The new personnel associated                   closures resulting from state funding reductions.
with the project would probably just offset the             Oil exploration, development, and transportation
workforce reductions that have recently resulted            activities at the North Slope would cease,
from the closure of Fort Greely and proposed                although natural gas development at the North
APSC reorganization.                                        Slope and construction of a natural gas pipeline
                                                            might still occur.
    Additional recreational development and/or
increased use of existing developed recreation                   Cumulative effects on land use from the
areas would also be unlikely. However,                      TAPS will continue to occur, whether the ROW is
increased access would likely result from                   renewed for 30 years, less than 30 years, or not
construction of the gas pipeline and could                  at all. Few, if any, additional effects on land
contribute to an increase in recreational use of            ownership would be expected, regardless of
undeveloped public lands.                                   renewal.

    Spills (see Sections 4.4.4.17.1 and
4.6.2.23.1) could also occur as the result of a                 4.7.8.5.2 Coastal Zone
variety of actions, including oil exploration and           Management. The TAPS and other actions in
development, oil refining, oil storage activities,          the vicinity of the pipeline have had cumulative
and transportation. Small spills could disrupt              effects on the North Slope Borough and Valdez
other land uses, although a large spill would               coastal zones during the past 25 years.
have the greatest impact. If there was a spill              Aesthetic and land use impacts from the TAPS
from the natural gas pipeline, resulting in                 and other activities are evident in both zones.
volatilization of the gas, the potential for a fire         However, the operation and maintenance of the
would exist. A fire would result in temporary               TAPS and related facilities, including the Valdez
evacuation of nearby areas, long-term aesthetic             Marine Terminal are permitted activities in
impacts to the landscape, and potential long-               compliance with the enforceable policies in
term interference with land uses.                           both the North Slope Borough CMP and the
                                                            Valdez CMP. The TAPS is also a development
     If there were no spills, renewal of the TAPS           activity consistent with both CMPs. (See
ROW for either 30 years or less than 30 years               Section 4.3.23.2 for effects on coastal zone
would continue to have only small impacts on                management from the proposed action.) Other
land use in the vicinity of the pipeline. However,          currently existing development in the coastal
the anticipated construction of the natural gas             zones would be expected to be consistent and in
pipeline and related infrastructure would have              compliance with the CMPs as would future
larger impacts on land use. The combined                    development, and therefore would be unlikely to
effects from both pipelines would increase the              have a large cumulative impact on coastal zone
currently existing impacts on land use in the               management. Spills from the TAPS, a future
vicinity of the TAPS, depending in large part on            natural gas pipeline, or oil and gas development
                                                  4.7-113    ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES



represent actions that could have the greatest               As discussed in Section 4.4.4.19.2, renewal
potential cumulative effect on coastal zone             of the Federal Grant would continue to be
management with regard to either the North              consistent with the North Slope Borough CMP
Slope Borough or Valdez CMP.                            and in compliance with enforceable policies. In
                                                        the absence of spills, continued operation and
    North Slope Borough Coastal                         maintenance of TAPS would have very little
Management Program. Oil and gas                         additional effect on coastal resources and
exploration, development, and production                activities within the borough. The cumulative
activities would be expected to continue within         effects from the renewal of the ROW for less
the North Slope Borough coastal zone.                   than 30 years would be similar to the cumulative
Construction of a natural gas processing facility       impacts under the proposed action, but of short
has been proposed. The facility would service a         duration. However, in the event of an unlikely
gas pipeline that would parallel the TAPS, either       spill, impacts would be the same for both
within or adjacent to the ROW. The pipeline             renewal alternatives.
would be buried along most of its length.
                                                             If the no-action alternative were
    The natural gas processing facility would           implemented, TAPS-related activities would
add to the existing visual impact within the North      cease in the North Slope Borough coastal zone.
Slope Borough. The gas pipeline would also              Land occupied by the TAPS and related oil
represent a visual impact if any segment of it          exploration, production, and transportation
was above ground. However, the North Slope              facilities would be available for other
Borough CMP allows for development activities           development activities, consistent with ACMP
as long as they do not substantially interfere with     statewide standards and the North Slope
subsistence activities in the borough or                Borough CMP. Some aesthetic and land use
jeopardize the continued availability of                impacts would likely result.
subsistence resources. The additional
processing facility, the natural gas pipeline, and           Some cumulative effects on the North Slope
ongoing oil and gas activities would not be             Borough coastal zone from the TAPS will
expected to interfere with or jeopardize                continue to occur, whether the ROW is renewed
subsistence within the borough, although an             for 30 years, less than 30 years, or not at all.
impact would be expected to occur (see the              Because of required compliance with statewide
cumulative effects discussion on subsistence).          ACMP standards and the North Slope Borough
                                                        CMP, additional effects would likely be small.
     Impacts to subsistence resources within the
North Slope Borough coastal zone could occur                 Valdez Coastal Management
from a land or water-based petroleum spill. The         Program. The Valdez CMP allows for a variety
magnitude of the impacts would depend on the            of activities within the coastal zone, including
volume, location, duration of the spill, as well as     development, and those activities would be
the time of year it occurred. Aesthetic impacts         expected to continue. No major developments
would also occur, and cleanup activities could be       are currently planned within the Valdez coastal
substantial and long term. Potential effects to the     zone, but any additional development would add
North Slope Borough coastal zone from TAPS              to the existing visual impact of the Valdez
spills are discussed in Section 4.4.4.19.2.             Marine Terminal.
Similar impacts would result from petroleum
spills from other resources. Spills could also              Normal operation and maintenance of the
occur from the natural gas pipeline if it was           TAPS and the Valdez Marine Terminal would not
constructed, resulting in volatilization that could     impact the Valdez coastal zone. However,
temporarily impair air quality. Volatilized gas         impacts to other activities within the coastal zone
could lead to a fire, resulting in damage to            could occur from small spills, although a major
subsistence resources and temporary                     land- or water-based petroleum spill at the
evacuation of areas within the borough, thereby         Valdez Marine Terminal, or from an oil tanker,
disrupting subsistence activities. Disruption to        other commercial vessel, or private vessel would
other development activities within the borough         be most disruptive. A spill at the Valdez Marine
would also be likely.                                   Terminal that erupted into fire or a spill to water
ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES                            4.7-114



within the coastal zone, especially to Prince               Dalton Highway, resulting in an increase in
William Sound, would likely damage coastal                  recreational opportunities and use in some
resources (including aesthetics) and interfere              areas. The pipeline is visible from some
with other coastal zone activities. These impacts           recreation areas, sites, and parks. At some
would be similar to the potential impacts on the            locations, noise from TAPS-related infrastructure
Valdez coastal zone from TAPS spills discussed              (such as pump stations) is audible.
in Section 4.4.4.19.2.
                                                                 The passage of ANILCA in 1980, which
     As discussed in Section 4.4.4.19.2, renewal            created numerous conservation system units in
of the Federal Grant would continue to be in                Alaska, greatly increased recreational
compliance with the enforceable policies in the             opportunities in the vicinity of the TAPS. The
Valdez CMP. In the absence of spills, continued             existence of these opportunities has increased
operation and maintenance of the TAPS and the               recreational use of public lands near the TAPS.
Valdez Marine Terminal would have very little               Oil revenues have allowed for greater funding of
additional effect on coastal resources and                  state recreational areas, sites, and parks, which
activities within the Valdez coastal zone. The              has also increased recreational opportunities
cumulative effects under the less-than-30-year              and use.
renewal alternative would be similar to those
under the proposed action. Under the no-action                   These impacts from the TAPS would
alternative, TAPS and related activities would              continue with renewal of the ROW. The only
cease, and the Valdez Marine Terminal would be              large development  recreational or otherwise
removed. Other permitted activities could then               reasonably foreseeable at or near recreation
occur in those areas, which would likely have               areas, sites, or parks in the vicinity of the TAPS
associated aesthetic and land use impacts.                  is the potential construction of a buried natural
                                                            gas pipeline within or adjacent to the TAPS
     Receiving Port Coastal Zone.                           ROW, beginning about the year 2010. The
Numerous significant economic resources have                anticipated route of the pipeline would parallel
the potential to be impacted in the event of an oil         the TAPS. A gas processing facility would be
spill in a harbor receiving North Slope oil                 constructed on the North Slope, and
shipments. For example, in the vicinity of the              compressor, pigging, and valve stations would
LA/LB terminal, there are large marinas in                  be constructed intermittently along the pipeline.
Marina Del Rey and Redondo Beach; inside the
LA/LB Harbor complex; at the mouth of the Los                    The gas pipeline and its related
Angeles River; inside Alamitos, Anaheim and                 infrastructure would substantially add to the
Newport Bays; and at Dana Point. At all of these            currently existing visual impacts along, and
locations, private vessels are susceptible to               within, the TAPS ROW. Only temporary visual
oiling. There are many commercial fishing                   impacts would occur from burying the gas
vessels throughout the various harbors.                     pipeline but construction of the related
Recreation at all or a portion of the beaches in            infrastructure would represent long-term
the area could be impacted during a response to             aesthetic impacts. Since sight-seeing is a very
a nearshore spill (California Department of Fish            popular recreational activity in Alaska, these
and Game 2002).                                             visual impacts would somewhat diminish the
                                                            quality of that recreational experience for some
                                                            people. Infrastructure visible from recreation
    4.7.8.6 Recreation, Wilderness,                         areas, sites, or parks might also reduce the
            and Aesthetics                                  quality of other recreational experiences such as
                                                            hiking or camping.

     4.7.8.6.1 Recreation. The TAPS and                          In addition, noise from construction of the
other actions have had some cumulative effects              gas pipeline and compressor, pigging, or valve
on recreation on federal and state lands in the             stations could be audible from some recreation
vicinity of the pipeline. Access to public lands            areas, sites, and parks, depending on the
has increased since construction of the TAPS,               location of the pipeline and related infrastructure,
particularly as a result of the construction of the         which is currently uncertain. Additional vehicular
                                                     4.7-115    ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES



and air traffic resulting from the construction,           pipeline and related infrastructure would also
operation, and maintenance of the natural gas              impact recreation. The combined effects from
pipeline would also add to current noise audible           both pipelines would increase the currently
from recreation areas, sites, or parks,                    existing impacts on recreation in the vicinity of
particularly those in proximity to a highway.              the TAPS, depending in large part on the
Lastly, increased access resulting from                    location of the natural gas pipeline and related
construction of the gas pipeline could contribute          structures.
to an increase in recreational use of
undeveloped public lands.                                       The cumulative effects on recreation from
                                                           the no-action alternative would likely be greater
     Recreation in the vicinity of the TAPS could          than those from either the proposed action or the
also be affected in the future by a major land- or         less-than-30-year renewal alternative. The
water-based TAPS spill, particularly a major               currently existing visual and noise impacts from
spill. Visual and noise impacts could occur,               the TAPS would end after termination activities
especially from long-term cleanup activities.              were completed. Oil revenues would decline and
Both temporary evacuation and long-term                    eventually cease, resulting in decreased funding
closure of recreation areas would be possible.             of state recreation areas, sites, and parks. The
Potential effects to recreation from TAPS spills           reduced funding would be expected to force
are discussed in Section 4.4.4.18.3.                       closure of some state areas, sites, and parks,
                                                           resulting in a decrease in recreational
    Spills could also occur from the natural gas           opportunities and use levels in the vicinity of the
pipeline if it was constructed, resulting in               TAPS.
volatilization that could temporarily impair air
quality. Volatilized gas could lead to a fire,                  Cumulative effects on recreation from the
resulting in evacuation of recreation areas, long-         TAPS and other actions would continue to occur,
term aesthetic impacts to the landscape, and               regardless of the length of the renewal, or even
potential closure of sites.                                in the event of no action. In spite of some visual
                                                           and noise impacts from TAPS infrastructure and
     If a major spill occurred in Prince William           increased traffic, the overall cumulative effects
Sound, it would create economic losses for the             on recreation from the TAPS are generally
tourist and recreation industries. A major spill in        favorable, since oil revenues generated by the
the Gulf of Alaska would affect recreation and             TAPS help to fund state recreation areas, sites,
tourism, with major economic losses for the                and parks. However, decreased throughput
tourist industry. Small charter boat, lodge, and           during the renewal period would result in
sportfishing operations in the Yakutat area would          decreased state revenues, which could impact
be the hardest hit. Tourist levels would be                state recreational funding, although not as much
expected to rebound to prespill levels 1 year              as no action.
after the spill. A spill south of the Gulf of Alaska
to the U.S. West Coast and California ports
would affect the same types of tourist industries               4.7.8.6.2 Wilderness. The Wilderness
and resources. However, in coastal areas to the            Area within the Gates of the Arctic NPP is the
south, marine sanctuaries, shoreside beaches,              only federally designated Wilderness Area within
parks, campgrounds, and recreation areas are               a few miles of the TAPS or in the vicinity of the
more numerous and see more overall visitation.             proposed gas pipeline. No state designated, or
For this reason, economic losses to the tourism            federal or state proposed, wilderness areas exist
industry could be greater (MMS 2002).                      in the vicinity of the TAPS or the proposed gas
                                                           pipeline.
     In the absence of spills, renewal of the
Federal Grant of ROW, either for 30 years or a                 The only large action that has occurred in
lesser term, would continue to have only small             the past near the eastern portion of the Gates of
impacts to recreation in the vicinity of the               the Arctic NPP Wilderness Area is the
pipeline and the effects of the renewal                    construction of the TAPS. The pipeline continues
alternatives would be similar. However, the                to be the only large development in the vicinity.
anticipated construction of the natural gas
ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES                           4.7-116



The currently existing cumulative effects on the           TAPS as well as some of the noise associated
Wilderness Area are due to the TAPS.                       with the pipeline and related traffic on the Dalton
                                                           Highway. Increased access and a small increase
     The construction of a buried natural gas              in use would be expected to continue.
pipeline within or adjacent to the TAPS ROW as
it passes the Gates of the Arctic NPP is a
reasonably foreseeable future activity and would                4.7.8.6.3 Aesthetics. The TAPS and
add to the indirect impacts of the TAPS.                   several other actions have resulted in a large
Temporary visual impacts would occur from                  cumulative visual impact in the vicinity of the
burying the pipeline and would persist until               pipeline. The TAPS and its related infrastructure
revegetation occurred. Any compressor, pigging,            represent one of the more substantial visual
or valve stations constructed along the pipeline           impacts on the landscape along much of its
and visible from the Gates of the Arctic                   length. The highways that it parallels also
Wilderness Area would add to the existing visual           represent major aesthetic impacts, as do the
impact. Noise from construction could be audible           communities and other developments within the
within the wilderness, and the additional                  pipeline viewshed. Other existing visual impacts
vehicular and air traffic resulting from the               include additional pipelines and oil development
construction, operation, and maintenance of the            infrastructure on the North Slope; commercial,
natural gas pipeline would also add to current             industrial, residential, and recreational
noise audible from the Wilderness Area. Lastly,            development along the Dalton and Richardson
an increase in personnel in the area due to the            Highways; mining operations; pipeline viewing
additional pipeline could potentially result in an         stations; and the Valdez Marine Terminal.
increase in recreational use in the Gates of the
Arctic Wilderness Area.                                        All of these visual impacts currently exist
                                                           and have existed for many years or decades
     Spills in the vicinity of the Gates of the Arctic     along the length of the pipeline. Development in
NPP could occur from the natural gas pipeline if           the vicinity of the pipeline is expected to occur
it was constructed, and they could result in a fire        slowly, as it has in the past. No major municipal,
that would impair air quality in the vicinity of the       commercial, industrial, recreational, or mining
Wilderness Area. Long-term aesthetic impacts to            development has been identified adjacent to the
the landscape could occur from a fire, and                 TAPS, and no major additional TAPS-related
potentially be visible from the Gates of the Arctic        construction is anticipated. However, a 200- to
NPP Wilderness Area. See Section 4.4.4.18.2                300-acre residential development and an
for a discussion of potential impacts on                   approximately 2,000-acre agricultural
wilderness from TAPS spills.                               development have been proposed about 5 mi
                                                           south of Copper Center.
     In the absence of spills, renewal of the TAPS
ROW would continue to have only small visual                    In addition, the TAPS corridor has been
and noise impacts to the Wilderness Area.                  proposed for the construction of a natural gas
However, the anticipated construction of the               pipeline within the next decade. The anticipated
natural gas pipeline and related infrastructure            route of the pipeline would parallel the TAPS. A
would also have indirect impacts to wilderness.            gas processing facility would be constructed on
The combined effects from both pipelines would             the North Slope, and compressor, pigging, and
likely have a more substantial impact on the               valve stations would be constructed
Gates of the Arctic NPP Wilderness Area than               intermittently along the pipeline. These stations
the current impact, depending in large part on             would add to the currently existing visual
the location of the natural gas pipeline. The              impacts along, and within, the TAPS ROW. Even
cumulative impacts would be similar under the              though the gas pipeline would be buried, the
proposed action and the less-than-30-year                  ROW would be visible and would likely be
renewal alternative.                                       maintained in a state visually different from
                                                           surrounding areas. This would be similar to
     Cumulative effects on wilderness from the             buried segments of the TAPS, which are visually
no-action alternative would result in elimination          different from surrounding areas.
of the currently existing visual impact of the
                                                  4.7-117    ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES



     Aesthetics could also be affected in the           cumulative impacts in other impact areas
future by a land- or water-based petroleum              (groundwater, human health, etc.) and then on
spills from oil exploration, development, or            whether these impacts would affect minority and
production; oil storage; or oil transportation by       low-income populations disproportionately.
tanker. Visual impacts, including cleanup               Disproportionate impacts can occur two ways:
activities, could be long-term and similar to the       (1) because the environmental justice population
aesthetic impacts from a TAPS spill, as                 under consideration is present at a percentage
discussed in Section 4.4.4.18.3. Spills could also      higher than that found in the state as a whole, or
occur from the natural gas pipeline if it was           (2) because the environmental justice population
constructed, resulting in volatilization that could     under consideration is more susceptible to such
temporarily impair air quality. Volatilized gas         impacts. In either case, it is a necessary
could lead to a fire, further degrading air quality     precondition that the cumulative impacts have
until it was extinguished. Long-term aesthetic          already been determined to be high and
impacts to the landscape could occur from a fire,       adverse. Analyses indicate that high and
depending on its extent.                                adverse impacts would not be anticipated for
                                                        cumulative actions combined with the proposed
     As discussed in Section 4.3.24.3, renewal of       action or less-than-30-year renewal alternative.
the TAPS ROW would continue to have mostly              Impacts associated with the no-action
localized impacts to aesthetics in the vicinity of      cumulative case, in contrast, are expected to
the pipeline. In the absence of spills, continued       produce high and adverse economic
operation and maintenance of the TAPS would             consequences. Both because minority and low-
have very little additional aesthetic effect on the     income populations occur in disproportionately
landscape. However, the anticipated                     high percentages in many parts of Alaska (the
construction of the natural gas pipeline and            entire state economy likely to be affected; see
related infrastructure would have additional            Figures 3.29-1 and 3.29-2), and because these
visual impacts on the landscape in the vicinity of      populations tend to be more susceptible to such
the TAPS. That potential project, combined with         impacts because of their financial status (see
existing aesthetic impacts from the TAPS, as            Section 3.29), environmental justice impacts
well as other probable future development in the        would be anticipated.
vicinity of the pipeline, would combine to create
a major aesthetic impact in the vicinity of the
TAPS ROW, under the proposed action or less-            4.7.9 Summary
than-30-year renewal alternative.
                                                             Many activities in the TAPS region of
     The cumulative effects to aesthetics would         interest (TAPS ROW, North Slope, and Prince
be lessened somewhat under the no-action                William Sound) contribute to cumulative effects
alternative because the TAPS and related                on the environment. If it were not for the
infrastructure would be removed. The rate of            construction of the TAPS, some of these
development in the vicinity of the pipeline would       activities would not take place, including oil
also be expected to slow because of the                 exploration, development, and production on the
economic impacts of lost oil revenues. However,         North Slope; refinery operations; and oil
the gas pipeline may still be built, and the            transport from Valdez to market. However, other
residential and agricultural development near           petroleum industry activity could still occur in the
Copper Center may still occur. Overall, the             TAPS region of interest even in the absence of
aesthetic impacts would be less under the               the TAPS, including the transport of petroleum
no-action alternative than under either of the          products into and within Alaska and the storage
renewal options.                                        of oil for industrial, transportation, and domestic
                                                        use. It is also possible that natural gas
                                                        exploration, development, and production would
    4.7.8.7 Environmental Justice                       occur and that a natural gas pipeline would be
                                                        constructed and operated, depending on
      The evaluation of cumulative impacts with
                                                        economic conditions. The petroleum industry
implications for environmental justice depends
                                                        affects many segments of the Alaskan economy
first on the identification of high and adverse
ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES                        4.7-118



by creating jobs, providing revenue for                      Many of these impacts are secondary.
government services, and providing income to            Three major cross-cutting impacts are identified
support subsistence lifestyles. These secondary         in this analysis. First, the generation of road
effects are most evident when economic and              dusts affects vegetation, soils, and permafrost;
social issues are the subject of an assessment.         this impact, in turn, affects surface hydrology
However, some activities within the TAPS region         and snowmelt; and this impact affects birds and
of interest are independent of the oil industry.        mammals. Second, activities associated with
These include activities based on Alaska’s other        petroleum exploration and development use
natural resources, such as mining, forestry,            large quantities of water that are taken from
tourism, and fishing.                                   surface water under ice, which constitutes an
                                                        important habitat for overwintering fish. Third,
     The cumulative impact assessments                  developments in all areas affect fish and
presented in Sections 4.7.6 through 4.7.8               mammal populations, which are important
integrate the effects of all actions taken together     subsistence resources for Alaskans; in addition,
under three scenarios. The first scenario, which        the income and access provided by these
is analyzed in the most detail, considers the           developments affect the ability of and need for
impacts from all actions, including the operation       people to utilize these subsistence resources.
of the TAPS, for another 30 years. This is the          Although the cumulative impacts on these
proposed action. The second scenario considers          resources, as analyzed in Sections 4.6 through
all actions taken together with a less-than-            4.8, are, in general, minor and local, knowledge
30-year authorization of TAPS operations                about their relationships is still important to
followed by either a further renewal or no action.      reach an understanding of the environmental
The third scenario considers all actions taken          consequences of the proposed action. No major
together with no action, which would involve            synergistic effects were identified in the
ending TAPS operation and removing TAPS                 cumulative analysis.
facilities. The cumulative impacts associated
with these three scenarios are summarized in
Table 2.1.

						
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