Election 2008
A Hawthorn Group visit with
The Former Members of Congress
May 10, 2007
Presidential Primary & Caucus Dates
*as of May 7, 2007
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Presidential Primary & Caucus Dates
*as of May 7, 2007
14 - Iowa caucuses 19 - Nevada caucuses 22 - New Hampshire,
Wyoming caucus (R) 29 - South Carolina (D), Florida (pending Governor’s signature)
2 - Maine (R), South Carolina (R) 5 - Alabama, Alaska caucus (D),
Arizona, Arkansas, California, Colorado caucuses, Connecticut, Delaware, Georgia, Illinois, Kansas, Missouri, Montana, Michigan (R), New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Tennessee, Texas, Utah 9 - Alaska caucus (R), Louisiana, Michigan caucus (D), Nebraska caucus (D) 10 - Maine (D) 12 - Maryland, Virginia 19 - Wisconsin 26 - Hawaii caucus, (D), Idaho caucus (D) TBD - North Dakota caucuses,
2 - Hawaii caucus (D) 4 - Massachusetts, Minnesota, Ohio,
Vermont
11 - Mississippi
Washington
States that are considering moving their primary dates are in italics.
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Presidential Primary & Caucus Dates
*as of May 7, 2007
Nothing Scheduled
6 - Indiana 10 - Wyoming caucus (D) 13 - Nebraska, West Virginia 20 - Kentucky 27 - Idaho
3 - South Dakota
States that are considering moving their primary dates are in italics.
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Democratic Delegates
3,515 Pledged Delegates (selected by Primary Voters and Caucus Participants) 852 Un-Pledged Delegates (Super-Delegates--DNC Members, Democratic Members of Congress and Governors) 4,367 TOTAL DEMOCRATIC DELEGATES
*The DNC has said they will cut by half the number of delegates to the national convention of any state that votes before February 5, 2008. The DNC Chair has also threatened to bar all delegates of candidates who “campaign” in rule-breaking states. Florida: 241 Delegates (5.51% of Total Democratic Delegates)
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Republican Delegates
1,305 Congressional Delegates (3 per each of the 435 Congressional Districts) 560 Base At-Large Delegates 168 Party Delegates 484 Bonus Delegates 2,517 TOTAL REPUBLICAN DELEGATES
*The RNC has said they will cut by half the number of delegates to the national convention of any state that votes before February 5, 2008. Florida: 130-140 Delegates (5.16% - 5.56% of Total Republican Delegates)
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Candidate 2007 Q1 Fundraising
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Democratic Candidates – 2007 Q1 Presidential Fundraising
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Republican Candidates – 2007 Q1 Presidential Fundraising
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Number of $200+ Donors
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Primary and General Cash – Democrats
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Primary and General Cash – Republicans
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15 Closest States--‘00 & ‘04 Presidential
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Top 20 PAC Contributors - Federal Candidates
2004
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Top 20 PAC Contributors - Federal Candidates
2006
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Top 20 PAC Contributors - Total Expenditures
2004
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Top 20 PAC Contributors - Total Expenditures
2006
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Top 10 527 Donors
2004
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Top 10 527 Donors
2006
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2008 Senate Elections (33)
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‘08 Incumbent Senators
Democratic Incumbents
Max Baucus (MT) Joe Biden (DE) Dick Durbin (IL) Tom Harkin (IA) Tim Johnson (SD) John Kerry (MA) Mary Landrieu (LA) Frank Lautenberg (NJ) (84 at time of election) Carl Levin (MI) Mark Pryor (AR) Jack Reed (RI) Jay Rockefeller, IV (WV)
Republican Incumbents
Lamar Alexander (TN) Saxby Chambliss (GA) Thad Cochran (MS) Norm Coleman (MN) Susan Collins (ME) John Cornyn (TX) Larry Craig (ID) Elizabeth Dole (NC) Pete Domenici (NM) (76 at time of election) Michael Enzi (WY) Lindsey Graham (SC) Chuck Hagel (NE) Jim Inhofe (OK) Mitch McConnell (KY) Pat Roberts (KS) (72 at time of election) Jeff Sessions (AL) Gordon Smith (OR) Ted Stevens (AK) (85 at time of election) John Sununu (NH) John Warner (VA) (81 at time of election) Wayne Allard (CO) (Retiring) http://www.hawthorngroup.com/
2010 Senate Elections (34)
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‘10 Incumbent Senators
Democratic Incumbents
Evan Bayh (IN) Barbara Boxer (CA) Christopher Dodd (CT) Byron Dorgan (ND) Russ Feingold (WI) Daniel Inouye (HI) (86 at time of election) Patrick Leahy (VT) Blanche Lincoln (AR) Barbara Mikulski (MD) (74 at time of election) Patty Murray (WA) Barack Obama (IL) Harry Reid (NV) Ken Salazar (CO) Chuck Schumer (NY) Ron Wyden (OR)
Republican Incumbents
Bob Bennett (UT) (77 at time of election) Kit Bond (MO) Sam Brownback (KS) Jim Bunning (KY) (79 at time of election) Richard Burr (NC) Tom Coburn (OK) Mike Crapo (ID) Jim DeMint (SC) Chuck Grassley (IA) (77 at time of election) Judd Gregg (NH) Johnny Isakson (GA) Mel Martinez (FL) John McCain (AZ) (74 at time of election) Lisa Murkowski (AK) Richard Shelby (AL) (76 at time of election) Arlen Specter (PA) John Thune (SD) David Vitter (LA) George Voinovich (OH) (74 at time of election)
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2008 “Consensus” House Seats In Play (75)
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2007 Gubernatorial Elections
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2008 Gubernatorial Elections
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State Legislature Breakdown
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Election 2008
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