The US' adherence to the "one China" principle has effectively maintained a stalemate between Taiwan and the People's Republic of China (PRC). Enabling the peaceful development of China should be an obvious and significant priority for the US, and a number of factors make a conflict between the US and the PRC unlikely. These factors include a high volume of economic trade between the two nations, blossoming trade relations between the PRC and Taiwan, and a mutual understanding of the danger of military conflict between two nuclear powers. The upcoming elections in Taiwan pose a potential risk to the US as Taiwanese Pres Chen Shui-bian pushes for a referendum that seeks to alter the status quo. Similarly, the expanding military capabilities of the People's Liberation Army and the People's Liberation Army Navy have increased the risk of possible conflict in the Taiwan Strait. To reduce the possibility of conflict, the US should define and clarify its statements, creating a reliable set of actions and predictable reactions.
Jeffrey Harley Jeffrey Harley is a visiting fellow at the Cou
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"One Policy for China: Avoiding Conflict with the Mainland"Please download to view full document