Financial Conglomerates in Japan Is Japan heading for a universal ...

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Nomura Institute of Capital Markets Research Financial Conglomerates in Japan Is Japan heading for a universal banking system? Nomura Institute of Capital Markets Research Yasuyuki Fuchita October 5, 2004 Nomura Institute of Capital Markets Research From Separation to Conglomeration- The case in Japan 1948: Securities and Exchange Act = GS type regime 1983:Banks are allowed to conduct brokerage business of public securities 1984: Banks are allowed to conduct dealing business of public securities 1992: Financial System Reform Act = Allow entering into other financial business through subsidiaries. Banks started establishing securities subsidiaries in 1993(At first, equity related businesses were banned.) 1996: Japanese “Big Bang” 1997: Banks’ securities subsidiaries are allowed equity related businesses 1998: Establishment of Financial Holding Company is allowed. Banks are allowed to sell mutual funds 2004(December) : Banks can sell securities through tie-ups with securities brokers Mitsubishi Tokyo Financial Group, Inc. 100% 100% Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi 62.2% The Mitsubishi Trust and Banking Corp. 52.3% 4.0% UnionBanCal Corporation Mitsubishi Securities Credit Card Factoring Leasing Computer Service Asset Management SONY Corporation 100% SONY Financial Holdings Inc. 100% 100% 84.2% SONY Life Insurance Co. Ltd. SONY Assurance Inc. SONY Bank Inc. How Japanese system is different from the U.S. system under GLB? • FHC = not so strict requirements for being well capitalized and well managed • Banks are not allowed to sell major insurance products (phased deregulations are expected) • Banks and FHC can be fully owned by commercial companies • Banks can sell mutual funds • Banks can sell corporate securities through tieups with securities brokers starting Dec. 2004 • Banks can introduce potential clients to investment banks and receive fees Two characteristics of Japanese system • Banks face less restrictions in doing securities business by themselves – Less need to be registered as securities firms – Less need to use securities affiliates or subsidiaries • The meaning of “Functional Regulation” is different from GLB Backgrounds • Policy since 2001 – Sifting individual financial assets from bank deposits to securities investment • Purpose – Less money flows into banks = less risks in banking system – Utilize banks’ nationwide networks to promote securities markets Banks’ share in mutual funds sales (publicly offered stock funds) % 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 11 01 .1 11 02 .1 11 11 3 5 7 9 3 5 7 9 3 5 7 9 3 5 7 9 3 5 00 .1 03 .1 04 .1 7 Is Japan heading for a universal banking system? • Some similarities to the initiatives in the UK and Canada in late 1980s • Any significant problems emerged in the UK and Canada after the reform? • Important differences = competition among financial industry – Banks hold dominating shares in money flow – Increasing market shares of mega-banks Compositions of personal financial assets (2001) Cash & Deposit JPN US UK 54% 11% 23% Mutual funds 2% 12% 5% Stocks 7% 34% 13% Bonds 5% 10% 1% CAN 27% - 28% 3% Emergence of mega banking groups (March 2004) vs. domestic deposits vs. domestic deposits + postal savings vs. major banks’ deposits Mizuho FG SMFG MTFG UFJHD MTFG+UFJHD SMFG+UFJHD 13.6% 11.8% 10.4% 10.3% 20.8% 22.2% 9.6% 8.4% 7.4% 7.3% 14.7% 15.7% 25.4% 22.2% 19.5% 19.4% 38.9% 41.5% Competition policy mitigating LCFIs’ problems • US – strict competition policy (ex.10% share) – long history of banning interstate business – no dominating financial players (except for GSEs?) • UK – relatively effective competition policy • Canada – prohibition of mergers among the Big 5 – prohibition of mergers between the Big 5 and big insurance firms Real issue=Emergence of LCFIs in Japanese context • Limited competition policy • Policy allowing banks to be more complex • Insufficient market disciplines and prevalent moral hazard • Is Japan becoming the country with the Largest and the most Complex Financial Institutions? • Future policy course – Clear policy focus on LCFIs’ potential threats over depositors, investors, fair competitions, and financial systems

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