Philippines
Comprehensive Asset Management in Water Supply and Sanitation
WBI South East Asia Water Sector Support Program
SEAWUN
Manila, Philippines, October 2 - 6, 2006
The views expressed in this paper are the views of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views or policies of the Asian Development Bank (ADB), or its Board of Directors, or the governments they represent. ADB does not guarantee the accuracy of the data included in this paper and accepts no responsibility for any consequences of their use. Terminology used may not necessarily be consistent with ADB official terms.
Session L Asset Management Business Planning
by
Jan G. Janssens, WBI
1
Introduction - 1
Utilities should plan their water supply services as a business.
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Introduction - 2
The business planning process: In the past, often been overlooked. Helps to identify problems / solutions and prioritize projects. Often required by the financier: the creditworthiness challenge A tool to help to train town administrators and utility managers.
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2
Business Planning, What is it ?
Links to the Strategic Plan - vision of the utility. (Typically) a one-year period of the strategic vision, on a rolling basis. Initiated by a discussion of past Executive Board Resolutions affecting the coming Business Plan.
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A Vision for Surabaya ?
Vision Surabaya: World-Class City
Outcomes
Health
No water-borne Disease -- quality of life -- environmental health
Growth
Sustained GSDP Equitable Growth
Output
24-hour water supply
Uninterrupted supply Clean, high-quality -- water access by the poor
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3
Business Planning, What is it ?
It addresses key elements of the organization:
The objectives for the past year and how/if they were achieved The aims/objectives of the utility for the coming year OPEX and CAPEX program (e.g. growth related, replacement/rehabilitation, operational requirements, design and construction) Key projects to be initiated in the year ahead The staffing, including hires Funds committed and required funds to be committed
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Business Planning: a definition Business planning is a process to help utilities to plan operations, investments and finance in a sustainable way.
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4
Business Planning, Why do it ?
No business, whether public or private, can legitimately operate without forecasting its way forward It provides a benchmark, when considering the past year, e.g. why did we not achieve our capital program expectations ? It provides a means of both reporting to the Executive Board and seeking its approval for the coming year’s budget
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Framework
Management
Business Plan
Work plan
Budgeting
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5
The Business Plan, a blueprint for implementing the CAM Plan
Funding Plans
Investments O&M Capacity building Studies
Financial Plans
Tariffs Subsidies Borrowings Debt service Depreciation
Business Plan
Targets Budgets Staffing Action Plan
Stakeholder Communication
Consumers, Civil Society Politicians, Regulator
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CORPORATE PLAN
TOTAL MANAGEMENT PLAN Financial Management Financial Management Plan Business Development Plan Asset Management Asset Evaluation Plan Asset Maintenance Plan Operations Management Plan Energy Management Plan Water Source Management Plan Infrastructure Procurement Plan Infrastructure Optimisation Renewal Plan Asset Management, Business Planning 12 Infrastructure Planning Water Demand Management Plan Sewer I/I Management Plan Works Programming Plan Environmental Management Effluent Management Plan Biosolids Management Plan Trade Waste Management Plan Environmental Coordination Plan Management Support Information Management Plan Human Resources Plan Risk Management Plan Performance Assessment Plan
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Business Plan Inclusions - 1
Performance targets
Customer service, environmental protection, efficiency, maintenance of assets and development of the utility
An investment (infrastructure assets) plan
To meet performance targets Affordability, Sustainability Access to improved and expanded service
A financing plan
How and from whom the money to finance the investment plan will be raised
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Business Plan Inclusions - 2
An operations plan
Management and staffing arrangements including professional support and training
A procurement strategy
To identify professional support needed, and the contract options best suited to local needs
A financial management and reporting plan
To monitor performance and meet regulatory obligations
A marketing and communications plan
To offer informed choices to consumers, including the implications of alternative levels of service, and to keep decisions transparent
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7
The Business Planning Process (1)
The business planning process requires extensive continuous consultation
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The Business Planning Process (2)
Business planning is best understood as an iterative process.
If the cost of initial plans is too high, customers will not be able to afford the system and the utility will be financially unviable.
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8
The Business Planning Process
Review external pressures Identify existing utility performance and any problems Clarify Utilities objectives and vision
Analysis
Annual cycle of review
Planning Implementation
Create a plan of activities to address problems Create a plan of activities to develop the business Implement plan Measure against KPI’s Adjust and improve
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Developing the OPEX & CAPEX Program
Should be based on a holistic view of the utility
building on effective demand from customers, technical master-plans and prioritization of investment program using reports, studies, financial analysis including ‘pros & cons’, and risks, of alternative project delivery methods/models
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9
Funding OPEX and CAPEX
Need to identify the source of funds What loan/grant sources may be planned, and how dependent is the capital program on these sources of funds The financial analysis should follow the General Accounting Procedures for depreciated assets, i.e. to allow planned asset replacement
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Funding CAPEX
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Long-Term Financing Has A Significant Effect on Tariff Levels
Effect of Loan Maturities on Tariffs
90 80 70 60 Tr f aif 50 40 30 20 10 0 0 5 10 15 20 25 Ma turity in Ye a rs Sugbon Bohol Malabuyoc OBA Cambodia
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Financial management
Managing a utility is a long term business. Gaining access of external capital by demonstrating that the utility is being managed in a responsible and cost efficient manner. It is essential that authorities respond by:
Cost efficiency Prioritized critical capital investment needs Communication plan to all stakeholders concerned Tariff structures with cost recovery strategy
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Two guiding principles for financial management
Water demand management, linked with efficiency & equity measures Efficiency in operations and investment, a must in any viable service expansion scenario
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Controlling costs
affordable standards
consumers informed, asked what they want and are willing to pay for avoid pushing rich-country standards onto lower-income communities stage environmental improvements competition (for the market, for inputs, bulk, inset, comparative) transparent incentive regulation public-sector: autonomous utilities, owned at arm’s-length, market tested focus on asset longevity
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efficient delivery
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The Problem of Subsidies
COSTS
Realized loss if subsidies cannot be sustained
Taxpayer have to pay
APPROPRIATE COSTS LEVEL
TARIFFS
User Need to Pay
TIME
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Financial Management Building A budget for a Water Business
Revenue Requirement
40,000
Revenue Building Blocks
•
35,000
30,000
25,000
$'000
Return on Capital (blue) provides a return on investment in the business Return of Capital (red) accounts for assets depreciation over the relevant period Operating, Maintenance & Administration Costs (yellow)
20,000
15,000
•
10,000
5,000
0 W ater W astew ater Total
Return on Capital
Return of Capital
OM&A
•
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The Financial Model - 1
The key output of the financial model will be a cash flow projection and a set of financial and operational performance indicators
The financial model is the central
planning tool
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The Financial Model - 2
In the model, initial tariffs may need to be increased over a specified period of time (say 3-5 years). The projection period should be long enough to ensure that cash flows are sufficient to meet debt service obligations.
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The Financial Model - 3
Financial Viability: all stakeholders to accept that the financial model is an important tool for reviewing and adjustment of water tariffs. Different Scenarios: management tool to assess impact of investment program on tariff.
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Financial Target Performance Options
Return on net fixed assets
(a) difficult to determine objectively what is the real value of fixed assets (b) might give a wrong signal
Annual cash equilibrium
Useful but often not achievable in the short term
Reducing the accumulated cash deficit to zero
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15
Tariff and Subsidy a Cost Recovery Strategy
Short term:
Recovering O&M and renewal?
Medium term:
Including debt service?
Long term:
Full cost recovery?
The ultimate aim being a sustainable business
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Tariff and Subsidy a Subsidy Strategy
Tariff level:
Subsidize transitional operational deficit? Subsidize capital investments?
Tariff structure:
Service level Subsidize access, not consumption (Subsidize low-income house connections?) Cross subsidization to low-income households
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A Logical Framework ?
Average Consumer Tariff Level
Financial Restructuring
Subsidies (Taxpayers / Donors )
Debt Overhang Utility Margin
Utility Operations
Current Tariff Level
Tariff level with subsidies
Cost Recovery Tariff
1
2
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time
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Tariff/m3
Annual Water Tariff Adjustments to reach Full Cost Recovery
Cash Deficit
Extension / Expansion
Operating Deficit
Renewal Operation & Maintenance
t0
t1
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t2
Time
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Financial Modeling: Why ?
To calculate the financial and economic rates of return of a project To conduct a sensitivity analysis of different scenarios, in view for a policy briefing To determine the annual tariff increase which would be necessary to reach sector financial equilibrium within a reasonable period of time. To determine the size and profile of the cash deficit which would accumulate during the initial years. To test alternative options to minimize that deficit and estimate the corresponding temporary financing requirements.
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There is No Magic Solution Someone Has to Pay!
Who Pays How Financed User Tariffs (Earnings Borrowings)
Consumers
Taxpayers
Government Subsidies
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Funding Infrastructure Example – Wide Bay Water Corporation Australia
Developer Contributions 12% Loans 35%
State Government 36% Internal (Customers) 17%
Infrastructure Funding 2006
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At the roots,
Explicit Versus Implicit Charges
Explicit Charges Implicit Charges
Recovery of Investment Costs O&M Currency Risk Water Resources O&M Not Done Principal & Interest Payments On Debt Bad Debts Environmental Profits
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Don’t Base Tariffs Purely on Explicit Charges Experience shows financial trouble is guaranteed
if water utilities base their Tariffs purely only on Explicit Charges because Implicit (or Hidden) charges often have a way of becoming Explicit and, Water Tariffs are politically charged and cannot be adjusted easily
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Developing Operational Contracts from Business Plans - 1
Contracts are linked to business plans, and the process of business planning helps build capabilities to understand and manage contracts
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Operational Contracts as part of the Business Plan - 2
Allow for a level of flexibility in terms of
increasing delegation of responsibility compensation of the operator
Need for sound legal basis with mechanism for contractual adjustments.
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Conclusion: Business Planning
Is a method of sharing information with staff and stakeholders Allows investment decisions which meet the needs of customers Allows to check whether revenues are adequate and the business is financial sustainable Allows monitoring of financial and technical performance Supports performance monitoring and constant improvement
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Important Characteristics of Business Plans
Clear objectives: what to be achieved how, when Living document: periodically updated Stakeholder approved:
Investment plans Tariff policy, increases Utility development
Comprehensive: takes into account all aspects of CAM; funding choices, enabling conditions Realistic: not just wishful thinking; all elements are “in synch”, acknowledges constraints and obstacles Transparency: important information published
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Thank you
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