Research and Forecast of China Heavy Truck Industry 2008-2009

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Research and Forecast of China Heavy Truck Industry 2008-2009
Published on December 2008

                                                                                                                  Report Summary

The total sales of China heavy truck was 476,931 in the first 9 months of 2008, an increase of 27.2 per cent year-on-year and 2008 is
expected that the growth rate will be 15% and total sales will reach 550,000.


The production and sales of China's heavy truck have been continued decline, especially in October 2008 had a substantial decline,
the reason caused this result is the economic slowdown in China, the markets of coal, steel and other bulk commodities and real
estate have been in downturn. In the light of China's economic growth has slowed sharply, the industry cycle need to adjust and the
effect of stimulation of national investment will affect later, therefore, the heavy truck industry in a certain period will still in a downside
trend. But, on the other hand, the transformation of VAT is an opportunity for heavy truck enterprises to updated their equipment and
technological upgrading, enhancing capability of research and development and, maintaining companies' competitiveness and
achieve sustainable development.


In recent years, the market concentration of China's top five heavy truck manufacturers have declined and of the semi-trailer towing
vehicle market has risen. Overall, the concentration of China's heavy truck market is very high, the top five manufacturers accounted
for more than 80% market share. On the one hand, heavy truck belongs to machinery manufacturing section, so, scale benefit is
obvious, and a completed industry chain has a large impact on the competitiveness of heavy truck manufacturers; in addition, the
after-sales service also plays a very important role, a large-scale nation-wide after-sales service network will has a strong supporting
for sales, and on the other hand, only the large manufacturers are able to build up a comprehensive after-sales service network;
those two reasons lead to the leading enterprises will become more stronger. Therefore, the market concentration of heavy truck
industry will rise in the future.


The price of China's heavy truck is two thirds less than foreign heavy truck. Thus China's heavy truck has a strong price advantage.
After years of introducing technology and development, the gap of technology level between China's and foreign has narrowed,
which caused the export of China's heavy truck has been a explosive growth in recent years; in the first 8 months of 2008, China
exported 28,689 diesel heavy trucks, up 143% year-on-year; exported 11,993 semi-trailer towing vehicles, an increase of 19%
year-on-year. Currently China's export of heavy truck accounts for 10% of total sales.




                                                                                                                   Table of Content

Contents


1 Analysis of the sales of heavy truck
1.1 The total volume of sales
1.2 Production and sales of segment products
1.3 Analysis of semi-trailer towing vehicle market
1.3.1 Market-driven
1.3.2 Sales



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2 The market concentration of heavy truck


3 The downturn of China's heavy truck industry in 08H2


4 Forecast of heavy truck industry of 2009
4.1 The reduction of cost
4.2 Export will as a measure to affect China's heavy truck industry cycle
4.3 The impact of National ' emission standard
4.4 Analysis of the sales of 2009


5 The future development trend of China's heavy truck industry
5.1 The trend of heavy-duty will continue as a mainstream
5.2 Lightweight
5.3 Van and the lightweight of Urban Special Purpose Vehicle
5.4 The trend of high-tech and high value-added
5.5 Safety and environmental protection and energy conservation



Figure index


The sales and growth rate of China's heavy truck 2004-Sep 2008
The monthly sales of China's heavy truck 2005- Oct 2008
The sales structure of various kinds of heavy truck 2004-Sep 2008
The monthly sales of China's heavy truck in the first 3 quarters of 2008
China's highway freight and port cargo throughput
The sales of under 25 tons semi-trailer towing vehicle
The sales of semi-trailer towing vehicle (25-40tones)
The sales of semi-trailer towing vehicle over 40 tons
The market share of heavy truck in the first 9 months2008
The sales of heavy truck of each manufacturer in the first three quarters 2008
The market share of semi-trailer towing vehicle in the first 9 months2008
The sales of semi-trailer towing vehicle of each manufacturer in the first three quarters 2008
The growth of the urban investment in fixed assets
The price of Qinhuangdao's steam coal
"My Steel" steel composite price index
China's heavy truck exports 2004-2007
Comparison of the heavy truck price between China and overseas enterprise
The monthly sales structure of heavy truck 2008
The monthly sales of heavy truck 2003-Sep 2008
The monthly sales growth rate of heavy truck 2003-Sep 2008



Table index


The sales of various kinds of heavy truck products 2004-Sep 2008
The sales of semi-trailer towing vehicle September 2008
The market concentration of China's top five heavy truck manufacturers
Forecast of heavy truck sales




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